UNEP-African Rift Geothermal Development Facility
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UNEP - ARGeo UNEP-African Rift Geothermal Development Facility Strategy and Scenario for development of Geothermal Resources in the East Africa Region Meseret T. Zemedkun Six Africa Rift Geothermal Conference (ARGeo C6) UNEP is the lead organization to coordinate environmental matters within the United Nations system. We produce environmental assessments and analyses, norms, guidelines and methods for use by stakeholders looking for guidance on how to effectively manage the environment for their sustainable development and economic growth UNEP’S seven THEMATIC AREAS 7 Divisions and Six Regional OFFICES The Energy branch leads UNEP’s work on climate change mitigation by addressing the environmental consequences of energy production and use. THE EAST AFRICAN RIFT SYSTEM Extends about 6500 Km from the Dead Sea Huge Geothermal Resource with (North) to Mozambique (South) Estimated Potential4 of > 20,000 MWe East African Countries Using Or Having Carried Out Research On Geothermal Resources Burundi Comoros DRC* Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia* Kenya* Malawi Mozambique Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Zambia * *Plant installed 5 STATUS OF GEOTHERMAL E&D Countries Reconnaissance S. Detailed Detailed Drilling Feasibility Power Remark Development Burundi X - - - - - - Comoros X - - - - - - DRC X - - - - - Djibouti X X X X - - - Eritrea X X X - - - Ethiopia X X X X - X 7.2 MWe Kenya X X X X - X 655 MWe Rwanda X X X X - - - Tanzania X X X - - - - Uganda X X X - - - Zambia X* X X X - - * Not F. plant 200KW = Semi-Detailed = Detailed = Power generation = Reconnaissance 6 DISTRIBUTION OF INDIGENOUS RE SOURCES Djibouti and Eritrea have no other known indigenous energy resources except potential for geothermal energy: Rely 100% on petroleum fuels for commercial energy supply Kenya is almost exhausting its hydro-potentials, DRC, Zambia, Ethiopia, Uganda’s with relatively large hydro-potential are subject to climatic fluctuations. Hydropower supply needs to be stabilized by suitable energy mix, using geothermal power generation. THERE IS AN ABUNDANCE OF HIGH ENTHALPY GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES IN THE REGION SUITED TO LOW COST AND CLEAN ELECTRICITY GENERATION USING ESTABLISHED TECHNOLOGY. 7 GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL IN KENYA > 10,000MW in over 23 sites • Suswa, • Longonot, • Olkaria, • Eburru, • Menengai, • Arus-Bogoria, Menengai Block (1,600MW) • Lake Baringo, (Drilling Ongoing) • Korosi, 105 MWe tender • Paka, awarded to private • Lake Magadi, developers • Badlands, Olkaria Block(1,200MW) • Silali, (i)Installed 636 MW • Emuruangogolak, (ii)Developing 560MW (the first 140MWe • Namarunu Olkaria V advertised) • Barrier • Mwananyamala Private developers • Homa Hills already licensed at Olkaria, Akiira and • Nyambene Ridges Longonot fields • Chyulu Hills Source: TMO; Internet Sources; Argeo 1 ETHIOPIA •Exploration began in 1969 (UNDP & EG) •About 22 Geothermal Prospect areas were identified in the whole ERV (covers 13% of the country) •Much larger are for direct uses (agriculture, agro-industry etc) 9 DJIBOUTI DETAILED INVESTIGATION Consortium of donors- 50 MWe Drilling operation is ongoing in Assal M. Abdou 2015 10 ERITREA SEMI DETAILED DETAILED INVESTIGATION Yohannes, E. 2008 11 DETAILED RWANDA INVESTIGATION -KARISMBI (2012) Two wells were drilled (2013-14) -Kinigi G.Prospect -Bugarama - Gisenyi Uwera , R. 2015 12 TANZANIA $T $T$T $T $T Semi-Detailed investigation Lake Natron geothermal field $T $T $T $T $T $T Detailed- Ngozi-Songwe $T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T$T $T $T $T $T $T $T Rufiji geothermal field $T $T $T$T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T $T Mbeya geothermal field $T 13 UGANDA SEMI DETAILED DETAILED INVESTIGATION Katwe Kibiro Buranga Pynamir Bahati , G. 2008 Kato. V. 2013 14 BURUNDI RECONNAISSANCE Oswald, 2013 ICEIDA, 2011 15 DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO . Kiabukwa (Upemba rift) . Shallow wells . 91°C . 40 l/s . 1952: Binary pilot plant 0.2 MW; abandoned few years after commissioning RECONNAISSANCE 16 16 THE COMOROS ISLANDS Karthala volcano KENGEN DID INVESTIGATIONS 17 MALAWI • Reconnaissance stage of Exploration • Identified a number of geothermal prospect areas • Main Challenges: Inadequate skilled manpower, etc.. Chisambi, 2011 18 ZAMBIA PD- Kalhari Geo Eergy Ltd commenced drilling in Kafue B. in 2013 Bwengwa River Low to medium temperature RECONNAISSANCE Kapisya Prospect Lake Tanganyika " L ake Mweru ! Mp ulun gu TAN ZAN IA Sumbu National Park !! ! K asama ! Isoka D. R. CONGO !MansaBangweulu Floodplains MA LAWI North Luangwa National Park ! Mp ika AN GOLA !So lwezi Luambe National Park Kitwe! Kasanka National Park ! Ndo la South Luangwa National park Chipata! ! Mkushi !Kapiri Mposhi Liuwa Plains National Park Kafue NationalZ Park A M B I A MOZA MBIQU E ! Mo ngu ! LusakLower a Zambezi National Park Lochinvar National Park ! Chirun du S iavonga! Lake Kariba ZIMBABWE Sioma Ngwezi National Park 19 N AMIBIA !Livingstone Victoria Falls B OTSWA NA Figure 8. Map of Zambia showing the location of Kapisya Geothermal Prospect STRATEGY FOR EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF GR IN EARS 20 STRAEGY FOR EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT Strategic plan of Exploration and DevelopmentIN (Five EARS Years) Countries Reconnaissance S.Detailed Detailed Drilling Feasibility Power Remark Development Burundi X X X - - - - Comoros X X X - - - 10-15 MW DRC X X X - - Djibouti X X X X X X 50 MW (Assal) Eritrea X X X X X X ALID (PP) Ethiopia X X X X X X 580 MWe Kenya X X X X X X 880 MWe Rwanda X X X X X Binary (DU) Tanzania X X X - - - 10-20 Mwe X X X X X -50 MWe Uganda Zambia X* X X - - - * Not F. plant 200KW = Detailed investigation = Power Generation 21 WHAT RESOURCES DO WE HAVE? 22 MAIN CHALLENGES/BARRIERS: • Large Upfront cost of geothermal exploration and development • Risks Associated with Resource Exploration and Power development • Inadequate skilled manpower and equipment for geothermal Resource Exploration and development • Limited national budgetary allocation and donor funding • Inadequate Private Sector Participation in the region • Lack of Supportive government policy and regulatory framework • Long lead project development time 23 STRATEGY TO FAST TRACK GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT 24 What to consider ! 1.The Resource 2.The Government 3.Policy, Laws and regulations 4.Institutional and infrastructural Capacities 5.The private sector 6.Support Programmes/development partners 7. Technology 25 THE RESOURCE- LTLCNPDMP 26 26 Comparisons with others sources GDC, 2011 Assessment criteria Generation Low cost Location and Option US$c/kwh Availability Fast delivery* Environment friendly Natural potential transmission benefit Comments • Geothermal 6.4 • Significant proven potential • Wind • Significant potential, but dependent on 8.8 weather • Nuclear 8.6 • Min plant size of 500 MW required, politically sensitive • Gas CNG 8.4 • Need to import, liquify for transport and re- gas • Coal 9.3 ? ? • Coal potential in Kitui • MSD • Attractive intermediate 10.2 capacity, but not large base load • Hydro** 12.5 • High exposure to hydrology risk (60% of installed capacity) • Gas 16.5 • Current GTs running at high loads, need Kerosene more base load • Solar 30-50 ? • Dependent on weather with low average availability • Could pursue along side coal opportunity • Co-gene- tbd ? ? ration 27 * Based on construction time – additional time would be needed for feasibility and other pre-construction activities 27 ** 6US cents/kwh based on importing hydro power from Ethiopia vs. 12 US cents/kwh based on remaining projects in Kenya, e.g. Mutonga *** Lower than 10 cents/kwh, greater than 80% availability, less than 3 years, lower than 0.20 CO2 kg/kwh and known natural potentia 27 GOVERNMENT COMMITMENT • Establishment of policy framework that attracts private investment • Government’s commitment to undertake the exploration risk • Setting up of favorable institutions to enhance exploration and development of the geothermal resource in the country (e.g. GDC in Kenya); • Upscale national investment • Recognition of geothermal energy as a viable solution for electricity generation and energy mix • Un-bundling the geothermal and electricity generation sector to cater for steam development, generation, transmission and distribution 28 GOVERNMENT COMMITMENT • Establishment of policy framework that attracts private investment • Government’s commitment to undertake the exploration risk • Setting up of favorable institutions to enhance exploration and development of the geothermal resource in the country (e.g. GDC in Kenya, TGDC, GDU); • Upscale national investment • Recognition of geothermal energy as a viable solution for electricity generation and energy mix • Un-bundling the geothermal and electricity generation sector to cater for steam development, generation, transmission and distribution 29 CLEAR AND COHERENT LEGISLATION AND REGULATION • Geothermal Act ( Except in Kenya ) • Specific geothermal concession agreement; In most cases, geothermal is under mining law • Appropriate institutional framework for exploring and developing geothermal resource: Kenya • Specific geothermal Feed in Tariff. Successful development of geothermal resource, is governed by laws and fulfilled by appropriate institutions 30 Effective Planning • National Level Planning (NPDMP) • Tactical Level Planning Prioritization/Ranking) • Strategic Level Planning (Single Govt.entity or Concession in the form PPP/IPP) 31 Enablers –Technology Wellhead Generation INVESTORS TO INSTALL WELLHEADS FOR EARLY GENERATION Characteristics Typical Sizes – 5-10 MW Containerized/portable Mounted on the well pad 9 months to manufacture, ship and install Cost USD 1.5 million/MW