Q2 2020 Dallas Industrial Market Report
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Q2 2020 Dallas-Fort Worth Market Overview INDUSTRIAL Q2 2020 Industrial Snapshot DALLAS-FORT WORTH MARKET Market Facts WAREHOUSE & DISTRIBUTION RBA 627,279,936 SF MANUFACTURING RBA 96,839,726 SF FLEX RBA 89,810,447 SF TOTAL RBA 856,414,837 SF VACANCY TOTAL 5.8% Market Overview AVERAGE DIRECT Dallas-Fort Worth continues to be one Transaction activity is driven by NNN RENT of the premier industrial markets in the institutional capital, with national portfolio $6.57/SF country. COVID-19 has spurred steady sales accounting for a major portion of demand for warehouse and distribution sales volume. Sales volume reached $2B 12 MONTH RENT properties as much of the consumption for 1H 2020. While cap rates are roughly GROWTH economy shifted to online purchasing. equal to the national average, pricing has 4.0% The metroplex has averaged more than increased at a faster rate than the national 20 million SF of net new supply annually benchmark this cycle, hovering around over the past few years, with 2019 seeing $80/sf. Sales totals were over $6B for the AVERAGE SALES PRICE 22.5 MSF deliver. However, vacancies last 12 months. $$$ have remained flat due to a combination $78/SF of impressive demand for speculative Leasing volume remains high thanks projects and a few major build-to-suits that to DFW’s centralized location and 12 MONTH delivered. headquarters hubs for major national ABSORPTION businesses. Q2 saw 5.5 msf of positive net 26,822,135 SF Groundbreakings have yet to slow down, absorption, down slightly from its recent and speculative construction remains averages, but still quite impressive. active. But impressive leasing velocity on 12 MONTH DELIVERIES spec projects and the large number of COVID-19 will keep demand quite strong 32,609,733 SF build-to-suits make it likely that vacancies for industrial product for the time being, will remain low over the next few quarters. and could change many retail models Rent growth is still well out-pacing the to embrace a more online presence, UNDER which will keep activity healthy for the CONSTRUCTION metro’s historical average, though it has cooled substantially since the pandemic foreseeable future. 28,903,793 SF outbreak. Partnership. Performance. avisonyoung.com DALLAS-FORT WORTH INDUSTRIAL MARKET Q2 2020 NET ABSORPTION, NET DELIVERIES, & VACANCY Average Direct NNN Asking Rates $7 $6 $5 $4 MAJOR PROPERTY TYPE AVAILABILITIES $3 $2 $1 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 YTD Inventory Vs. Vacancy Passport Park-Building 1 3000 W Kingsley Warehouse Manufacturing 2600 Rental Car Dr | Irving, TX 75062 3000 W Kingsley Rd | Garland, TX 75041 E DFW Air/Las Colinas Ind Submarket NE Dallas/Garland Ind Submarket 1,106,315 SF | 1,106,315 SF Available 341,840 SF | 341,840 SF Available Year Built: Under Construction Year Built: 1974 Trammell Crow at 35 Eagle-Bldg A 600 Millennium Dr Historical Construction Starts Distribution Flex 15245 Heritage Pky | Fort Worth, TX 76177 600 Millennium Dr | Allen, TX 75013 NE Tarrant/Alliance Ind Submarket Allen/McKinney Ind Submarket 1,089,642 SF | 1,089,642 SF Available 164,866 SF | 164,866 SF Available Year Built: 2018 Year Built: 1997 For more information, please contact: Avison Young | Dallas 1920 McKinney Avenue | Suite 1100 | Dallas, TX 75201 214.559.3900 avisonyoung.com Report Parameters: Industrial & Flex Space, 20,000+ SF buildings, owner-occupied ©2020 Avison Young — Dallas, LLC. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: The information contained herein was obtained from included, Existing & Under Construction sources which we deem reliable and, while thought to be correct, is not guaranteed by Avison Young. Partnership. Performance. avisonyoung.com Dallas-Fort Worth Q2 2020 | Industrial Market Report CORE SUBMARKET STATS MANUFACTURING Net Absorption Average Asking Under Construction Core Submarkets Buildings Inventory Vacancy (sf) Vacancy (%) 12 Mo.Delivered Direct Rate NNN (sf) Q2 2020 12 Month DFW Airport 15 2,497,978 17,694 0.7% 0 30,000 $5.05 0 319,450 East Dallas 53 6,542,648 69,996 1.1% -47,820 -69,996 $5.00 0 0 Great SW/Arlington 42 11,385,091 36,380 0.3% -36,380 24,270 $5.69 0 0 North Ft Worth 59 7,381,842 302,567 4.1% 33,374 33,315 $5.04 47,000 425,000 Northeast Dallas 113 22,003,927 924,808 4.2% 314,395 171,144 $11.40 230,000 666,542 Northwest Dallas 80 7,266,042 320,995 4.4% -210,266 -174,450 $5.30 0 0 South Dallas 120 17,146,218 61,000 0.4% 66,011 -219,109 $4.01 0 0 South Ft Worth 110 14,207,522 172,739 1.2% 19,200 31,161 $4.26 100,000 0 South Stemmons 92 8,408,458 302,435 3.6% 94,100 -55,448 $2.79 199,070 0 Total 684 96,839,726 2,208,614 2.2% 232,614 -229,113 $5.39 576,070 1,410,992 FLEX Net Absorption Average Asking Under Construction Core Submarkets Buildings Inventory Vacancy (sf) Vacancy (%) 12 Mo.Delivered (sf) Q2 2020 12 Month Direct Rate NNN DFW Airport 124 6,182,694 490,216 7.9% -68,238 77,733 $10.82 0 163,028 East Dallas 80 3,189,970 65,356 2.1% 6,111 17,650 $6.10 0 0 Great SW/Arlington 156 6,842,608 505,331 7.4% -56,936 -184,568 $10.44 0 0 North Ft Worth 77 6,073,537 129,113 2.1% 41,814 771,092 $13.02 788,365 36,625 Northeast Dallas 455 23,709,468 1,899,962 8.0% -30,113 -253,491 $9.84 213,834 64,431 Northwest Dallas 329 16,668,491 942,046 5.7% 49,172 -74,683 $10.60 0 24,000 South Dallas 49 1,984,828 135,920 6.8% -31,528 -106,668 $9.00 0 84,000 South Ft Worth 200 8,427,585 469,327 5.6% -21,263 -82,130 $7.86 22,800 0 South Stemmons 390 16,731,266 467,350 2.8% 205,533 423,703 $12.92 144,560 0 Total 1,860 89,810,447 5,104,621 5.4% 94,552 588,638 $10.07 1,169,559 372,084 WAREHOUSE & DISTRIBUTION Net Absorption Average Asking Under Construction Core Submarkets Buildings Inventory Vacancy (sf) Vacancy (%) 12 Mo.Delivered Direct Rate NNN (sf) Q2 2020 12 Month DFW Airport 430 70,302,238 4,191,651 6.0% 40,381 946,469 $6.04 1,478,276 4,895,055 East Dallas 328 34,479,653 2,797,869 8.1% 1,289,864 1,595,473 $3.98 2,270,452 944,106 Great SW/Arlington 748 93,303,223 5,423,697 5.8% -582,027 2,194,391 $4.61 3,905,850 576,123 North Ft Worth 444 83,249,909 10,433,233 12.5% 308,209 5,252,934 $4.73 9,241,189 6,802,991 Northeast Dallas 640 57,789,866 3,486,594 6.0% 763,804 832,279 $6.48 669,499 2,901,859 Northwest Dallas 768 82,684,547 3,122,521 3.8% 187,821 1,514,937 $5.59 2,269,811 2,436,151 South Dallas 395 80,691,028 5,195,361 6.4% -237,931 7,740,192 $3.99 3,104,138 1,374,237 South Ft Worth 776 46,897,281 1,786,116 3.8% 282,754 284,703 $4.95 271,134 3,202,171 South Stemmons 1,094 77,882,191 3,356,016 4.3% 2,532,482 4,352,240 $5.96 4,871,394 973,442 Total 5,623 627,279,936 39,793,058 6.3% 4,585,357 24,713,618 $5.15 28,081,743 24,106,135 TOTAL Net Absorption Average Asking Under Construction Core Submarkets Buildings Inventory Vacancy (sf) Vacancy (%) 12 Mo.Delivered Q2 2020 12 Month Direct Rate NNN (sf) DFW Airport 583 81,115,341 4,758,824 6.0% 382,374 1,428,318 $7.08 1,478,276 5,568,533 East Dallas 489 46,216,570 2,961,905 6.4% 1,248,155 1,543,127 $4.06 2,270,452 944,106 Great SW/Arlington 996 114,370,274 6,103,318 5.3% -668,845 2,206,038 $5.51 4,004,225 576,123 North Ft Worth 625 106,575,123 11,153,434 10.5% 428,075 6,081,994 $6.05 10,244,592 7,850,240 Northeast Dallas 1,262 108,346,300 6,761,686 6.2% 1,146,238 787,783 $7.94 1,392,465 3,805,361 Northwest Dallas 1,211 108,581,780 4,526,631 4.2% 36,494 1,269,098 $7.22 2,366,321 2,699,985 South Dallas 597 102,504,722 5,453,278 5.3% -264,445 8,168,285 $4.15 3,676,138 2,435,240 South Ft Worth 1,086 77,233,531 2,428,182 3.4% 280,691 785,867 $5.53 667,982 3,202,171 South Stemmons 1,661 108,026,706 4,271,691 3.9% 2,849,015 4,695,161 $7.64 5,215,024 973,442 Total 8,510 852,970,347 48,418,949 5.7% 5,437,752 26,965,671 $6.13 29,827,372 28,055,201 ALL SUBMARKETS TOTAL 8,621 856,414,837 49,040,929 5.8% 5,483,592 27,026,089 $6.57 31,774,269 28,196,201 Parameters: 20,000 SF+ | Exisiting/Under Construction | Owner Occupied Included Partnership.