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LIBRO INDIA 2021 a Color FINAL Agosto.Indd India-América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión India–Latin America: Trade and investment relationship India-América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión India–Latin America: Trade and investment relationship Sadcidi Zerpa de Hurtado Aparajita Gangopadhyay Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Editores Grupo de Estudios Económicos sobre Asia Universidad de Los Andes India-América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión India–Latin America: Trade and investment relationship © Sadcidi Zerpa de Hurtado Aparajita Gangopadhyay Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Editores 1ra Edición, 2021 Grupo de Estudios Económicos sobre Asia Universidad de Los Andes © Para esta edición Prachi Agarwal Nanno Mulder Aravind Krishnan Paridhi Pardeshi Hari Seshasayee Devika Misra Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Sadcidi Zerpa de Hurtado Soraya Caro Vargas Francisco Daniel Trejos-Mateus Paola Andrea Baroni Tamara Spagnolo Karol Stefany Rojas Tole Karen Lorena Gutiérrez Masmela Saul Martínez González Ramón Alonso Dugarte Rangel Francisco Javier Haro Navejas Raquel Isamara León Aparaajita Pandey Hecho el depósito de Ley Depósito legal: ME2021000274 E-Book: ME2021000276 ISBN: 978-980-11-2048-3 E-Book: 978-980-11-2049-0 Imágenes internas: www.pixabay.com Cuidado de los textos: Sadcidi Zerpa de Hurtado Aparajita Gangopadhyay Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Diseño y cuidado digital José Gregorio Vásquez Edición digital, 2021 La presente publicación fue evaluada y aprobada por el Dr. Manuel Gonzalo, Universidad Nacional de General Sarmiento, Argentina, y el Dr. Juan Miguel Massot, Universidad del Salvador, Argentina. Contenido Prólogo 11 Florencia Rubiolo Presentación 17 Hernán Lucena Molero Introducción 25 Sadcidi Zerpa de Hurtado Aparajita Gangopadhyay Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Capítulo 1 IT enabled services supply and trade between India and Latin America and its potential contribution to recovery 37 Prachi Agarwal Nanno Mulder Aravind Krishnan Paridhi Pardeshi 7 India-América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión Capítulo 2 India and Latin America in the global automotive value chain 69 Hari Seshasayee Capítulo 3 The facets of India-Latin America relationship: Role of energy cooperation 91 Devika Misra Capítulo 4 India-América Latina: Evidencia de convergencia económica y comercial 119 Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Sadcidi Zerpa de Hurtado Capítulo 5 ¿Cómo atraer inversión desde India a los países de la Alianza del Pacífico? Recomendaciones a las Agencias de Promoción de Inversión 145 Soraya Caro Vargas Francisco Daniel Trejos-Mateus Capítulo 6 La estrategia comercial de Argentina hacia India: Objetivos, acciones y resultados 179 Paola Andrea Baroni Capítulo 7 En camino hacia la consolidación de las relaciones entre Chile e India 207 Tamara Spagnolo 8 India América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión Capítulo 8 Colombia-India: Análisis de la relación comercial (2000-2019) 229 Karol Stefany Rojas Tole Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Capítulo 9 Análisis comparativo de la banca digital en Colombia e India: Una primera mirada 253 Karen Lorena Gutiérrez Masmela Alberto José Hurtado Briceño Capítulo 10 Autosuficiencia alimentaria y pobreza rural en México e India. Una aproximación 281 Saul Martínez González Capítulo 11 Las necesidades energéticas de India y su relación comercial con Venezuela (2019-2020) 311 Ramón Alonso Dugarte Rangel Capítulo 12 India-América Latina, relaciones diferenciadas y posibilidades para salir del ensimismamiento indio 343 Francisco Javier Haro Navejas Raquel Isamara León Capítulo 13 India-Latin America: A future of opportunities 373 Aparaajita Pandey 9 India-América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión Epílogo India - Latin America and the Caribbean: From cultivating indifferences to building synergies 393 Aparajita Gangopadhyay Resúmenes – Abstracts 405 Acerca de los autores 419 10 Prólogo 11 Prólogo a República de India es en la actualidad uno de los polos de crecimiento y desarrollo a nivel mundial. Con 3,3 millones de kilómetros cuadrados y L rodeada por la bahía de Bengala en el este, el Mar Arábigo en el oeste y el Océano Índico al sur, ocupa una gran parte del subcontinente indio. Entre sus reli- giones están el hinduismo, el islam, el cristianismo, el sijismo, el budismo, y tiene más de veinte idiomas oficiales. Con una población de 1.291.400.000 de habitantes y una densidad poblacional de 391 personas por kilometro cuadrado, India posee una de las poblaciones más jóvenes del mundo, con una edad media de 27 años y una clase media de 500 millones que va en crecimiento. Aún más, su economía —la quinta a nivel mundial— representa un Produc- to Interno Bruto (PIB) de más de 2,1 mil millones de dólares, creciendo a una tasa promedio de 6,8% anual entre 2003 y 2020. Además, es el primer destino mundial de Inversión Extranjera Directa (IED) en servicios, construcción, telecomunicacio- nes, software y hardware, medicamentos y productos farmacéuticos, automóviles, y el número uno en el Índice de Base de Rentabilidad (IBR). Siendo uno de los mayores mercados globales, India ofrece posibilidades de vinculación a través de múltiples canales y constituye un polo de innovación y desarrollo tecnológico, cultural, comercial, de cooperación internacional, entre otras. Esta breve radiografía de India muestra de forma indiscutible su potencial económico regional y global, y pone en evidencia su creciente rol a nivel interna- cional, tanto geopolítico como geoeconómico. El despegue económico indio está ligado a una sostenida política de apertura que tuvo sus inicios en 1991 durante el gobierno de P.V. Narasimha Rao, y se mantiene hasta la actualidad a pesar de los matices que imprimieron los diferentes gobiernos posteriores. La política exterior se constituyó en uno de los espacios que acompañó y potenció la apertura económica internacional, canalizando el creciente peso espe- 13 India-América Latina: Relación comercial e inversión cífico de India en espacios multilaterales regionales y globales. Su activa partici- pación en IBSA, en el G33 dentro de la OMC y en el G20, fueron algunas de las acciones que materializaron la mayor presencia internacional del país. Esta proyección externa, que adquirió un mayor dinamismo a partir del fin de la Guerra Fría, tuvo como una de las principales directrices reorientar la mira- da hacia Asia, buscando reconfigurar su rol en la región con especial foco en sus vecinos del sur y sudeste asiático. En este marco, las relaciones con la Asociación de Naciones del Sudeste de Asia (ASEAN) se convirtieron en la piedra angular de la Look East Policy, precursora de la actual Act East Policy, inaugurada por Rao y continuada por los sucesivos gobiernos. La proximidad geográfica, los lazos histó- ricos y culturales, así como el objetivo de consolidar al país como una economía con centralidad en la región, cimentaron este giro. Como resultado, las vinculacio- nes de India con el Asia Pacífico se multiplicaron, incluyendo las relaciones con China que, aunque complejas, muestran un profundo nivel de interdependencia. La continuidad ha sido otro de los rasgos característicos de la política exte- rior india de las últimas dos décadas. Algunos principios como el mantenimiento de relaciones pacíficas con la región, el sostenimiento de una estrecha relación con los Estados Unidos un vínculo cercano con China, y la procura de una política nuclear independiente, forman parte del núcleo de la diplomacia del subcontinen- te. Todo lo cual se complementa con el despliegue de una política comercial más proactiva y de atracción de inversiones productivas, además de la consolidación de un rol protagónico en el escenario internacional dentro de los espacios de discusión regional y global. En este marco, es indudable el surgimiento de India como una potencia en el escenario del Asia Pacífico, no como un jugador más, sino como actor con capa- cidad de influir en la arquitectura económica, política y de seguridad regional. Su estatus de economía emergente también se consolidó y su proyección política, cultural, y más recientemente sanitaria, a diferentes regiones del globo es muestra de este proceso de fortalecimiento como poder de alcance global que, aunque aún en desarrollo, es insoslayable. En este sentido, las relaciones con América Latina comenzaron a fortale- cerse como parte de la estrategia de apertura económica, pero aún con múltiples espacios por desarrollar. Los vínculos con la región recorrieron un derrotero de similitudes históricas, con base en principios compartidos de independencia, anti- colonialismo y no alineamiento que vio numerosos acercamientos en el periodo de la Guerra Fría. El enfriamiento de los vínculos posterior al fin del conflicto bipolar, consecuencia de agendas que dictaban distintas prioridades en ambos lados, comenzó a superarse con la llegada de Narendra Modi al poder en India, junto a un mayor activismo y un discurso de acercamiento hacia América Latina. 14 Prólogo Las potencialidades y complementariedades en estos vínculos son eviden- tes, aunque aún en un estado de desarrollo incipiente. En términos comerciales, el horizonte para crecer es prometedor. Mientras India se ha consolidado como la quinta economía mundial, siendo uno de los principales mercados de importación y exportación global, su participación en el comercio latinoamericano representa sólo el 3% del total del comercio de la región en el periodo 2020-2021. La comple- mentariedad natural en términos de seguridad alimentaria y de provisión de recur- sos energéticos y minerales, es sólo uno de los pilares que permitirá potenciar la relación. Como
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