Deepening Democracy the Real Utopias Project
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Ad Securitatem
AD SECURITATEM The best essays by students at the Baltic Defence College during 2017/18 Contents Foreword .............................................................................................................................................. 2 BEST ESSAYS OF THE JOINT COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COURSE ................... 3 Is the Operational Planning Process Immune to the Pitfalls of Group Decision- Making? MAJ Jeff Allen .................................................................................................................... 4 Can small powers have grand strategies? MAJ Vitalijus Anisimenko .............................. 17 Is the network theory the most suitable for understanding terrorist radicalisation? MAJ Deimantas Čyžius ................................................................................................................... 28 If NATO deterrence fails, can the Baltics use unconventional warfare to overcome Russian occupation? MAJ Michael D. Hoffman ...................................................................... 40 Is social network theory the most suitable for understanding terrorist radicalisation within Europe? MAJ Sean Navin.................................................................................................. 52 BEST ESSAY OF THE CIVIL SERVANTS COURSE (CSC) ..................................................... 64 What are the future prospects of the eFP in the Baltic region? Mr. Marko Brügel ......... 65 How can Latvia enhance its societal resilience to better counter Russian propaganda? -
What Triggers Public Opposition to Immigration? Anxiety, Group Cues, and Immigration Threat
What Triggers Public Opposition to Immigration? Anxiety, Group Cues, and Immigration Threat Ted Brader University of Michigan Nicholas A. Valentino The University of Texas at Austin Elizabeth Suhay University of Michigan We examine whether and how elite discourse shapes mass opinion and action on immigration policy. One popular but untested suspicion is that reactions to news about the costs of immigration depend upon who the immigrants are. We confirm this suspicion in a nationally representative experiment: news about the costs of immigration boosts white opposition far more when Latino immigrants, rather than European immigrants, are featured. We find these group cues influence opinion and political action by triggering emotions—in particular, anxiety—not simply by changing beliefs about the severity of the immigration problem. A second experiment replicates these findings but also confirms their sensitivity to the stereotypic consistency of group cues and their context. While these results echo recent insights about the power of anxiety, they also suggest the public is susceptible to error and manipulation when group cues trigger anxiety independently of the actual threat posed by the group. mmigration surged onto the national agenda follow- tervals throughout U.S. history (Tichenor 2002). Current ing the 2004 election, as politicians wrangled over episodes reflect mounting pressures from heavy immi- I reforms on what is perceived to be a growing prob- gration and an expanding Latino electorate. West Europe lem for the United States (U.S.). Public concern followed, also has experienced a rising tide of migrants, spurring with 10% of Americans by 2006 naming it the most im- bitter debates over how to deal with the newcomers and portant problem facing the country, the highest level in 20 a growth in electoral position taking (Fetzer 2000; Sni- years of polling by Pew Research Center. -
Capitolo 8 Gruppo.Pdf
Organizzazione Aziendale Capitolo 8, Gruppo: costruzione e dinamiche di Massimo Magni © EGEA S.p.A. Severino Salvemini (a cura di), Organizzazione Aziendale, 2017 Livello di analisi •Organizzazione •Relazioni tra individui •Individuo © EGEA S.p.A. Severino Salvemini (a cura di), Organizzazione Aziendale, 2017 Learning goal Evidenze dell’importanza del team Definizione Condizioni di utilizzo di un gruppo Tipi di gruppi Design e management di un gruppo efficace Soluzione delle patologie di gruppo © EGEA S.p.A. Severino Salvemini (a cura di), Organizzazione Aziendale, 2017 Gruppo: importanza del fenomeno 1985 --> il 20 per cento delle attività in un’organizzazione si svolge in team 2015 --> questa percentuale supera l’80 per cento PERCHÉ? ● Vantaggio cognitivo (mettere a fattor comune le conoscenze individuali) ● Vantaggio motivazionale © EGEA S.p.A. Severino Salvemini (a cura di), Organizzazione Aziendale, 2017 quando si usa il gruppo invece che l’individuo? • Problema complesso • Problema multidisciplinare • Problema con componente rilevante di creatività e innovazione • Problema che tocca una molteplicità di attori da coinvolgere • Quando le informazioni/competenze sono distribuite tra i membri del gruppo © EGEA S.p.A. Severino Salvemini (a cura di), Organizzazione Aziendale, 2017 Gruppo: definizione Insieme di tre o più individui che interagiscono e dipendono gli uni dagli altri per il raggiungimento di un obiettivo comune e che si riconoscono e sono riconosciuti come entità sociale unica. In altre parole: • I membri del gruppo condividono gli stessi obiettivi • Il gruppo sviluppa ruoli e relazioni interne • Il gruppo esiste quando gli individui riconoscono se stessi come membri e la sua esistenza è riconosciuta dall’esterno • Si basa sul processo di aggiustamento diretto e reciproco tra attori interdipendenti © EGEA S.p.A. -
Paradoxes Situations That Seems to Defy Intuition
Paradoxes Situations that seems to defy intuition PDF generated using the open source mwlib toolkit. See http://code.pediapress.com/ for more information. PDF generated at: Tue, 08 Jul 2014 07:26:17 UTC Contents Articles Introduction 1 Paradox 1 List of paradoxes 4 Paradoxical laughter 16 Decision theory 17 Abilene paradox 17 Chainstore paradox 19 Exchange paradox 22 Kavka's toxin puzzle 34 Necktie paradox 36 Economy 38 Allais paradox 38 Arrow's impossibility theorem 41 Bertrand paradox 52 Demographic-economic paradox 53 Dollar auction 56 Downs–Thomson paradox 57 Easterlin paradox 58 Ellsberg paradox 59 Green paradox 62 Icarus paradox 65 Jevons paradox 65 Leontief paradox 70 Lucas paradox 71 Metzler paradox 72 Paradox of thrift 73 Paradox of value 77 Productivity paradox 80 St. Petersburg paradox 85 Logic 92 All horses are the same color 92 Barbershop paradox 93 Carroll's paradox 96 Crocodile Dilemma 97 Drinker paradox 98 Infinite regress 101 Lottery paradox 102 Paradoxes of material implication 104 Raven paradox 107 Unexpected hanging paradox 119 What the Tortoise Said to Achilles 123 Mathematics 127 Accuracy paradox 127 Apportionment paradox 129 Banach–Tarski paradox 131 Berkson's paradox 139 Bertrand's box paradox 141 Bertrand paradox 146 Birthday problem 149 Borel–Kolmogorov paradox 163 Boy or Girl paradox 166 Burali-Forti paradox 172 Cantor's paradox 173 Coastline paradox 174 Cramer's paradox 178 Elevator paradox 179 False positive paradox 181 Gabriel's Horn 184 Galileo's paradox 187 Gambler's fallacy 188 Gödel's incompleteness theorems -
JANE JUNN Department of Political Science University of Southern California 327 Vonkleinsmid Center Los Angeles, CA 90089 E-Mail: [email protected] Phone: 908.399.6186
JANE JUNN Department of Political Science University of Southern California 327 VonKleinSmid Center Los Angeles, CA 90089 E-mail: [email protected] Phone: 908.399.6186 ACADEMIC EMPLOYMENT 1993 – 1994 Rutgers University, Instructor of Political Science 1994 – 2000 Rutgers University, Assistant Professor of Political Science 2003 Columbia University Teachers College, Sussman Visiting Professor 2000 – 2009 Rutgers University, Associate Professor of Political Science 2002 – 2009 Rutgers University, Research Professor, Eagleton Institute of Politics 2009 Rutgers University, Professor of Political Science 2009 – present University of Southern California, Professor of Political Science OTHER PROFESSIONAL POSITIONS & APPOINTMENTS 1999 Senior Scientist, Knowledge Networks, Palo Alto, California 2000 – 2004 Director, Assessing Quality of University Education and Research, Association of American Universities, Washington, DC 2007 – 2008 Program Co-Chair, American Political Science Association 2008 – 2009 Faculty Director, Rutgers-Eagleton Poll 2009 – 2010 Vice President, American Political Science Association (APSA) 2009 – 2010 Administrative Committee, APSA Council 2009 – 2010 Research Director, USC College-Los Angeles Times Poll 2016 – 2017 Co-President, APSA Race, Ethnicity and Politics organized section 2017 – 2018 Vice President, Western Political Science Association (WPSA) 2018 – 2019 President, Western Political Science Association (WPSA) 2018 – 2020 Co-Editor-in-Chief, Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics EDUCATION 1985 A.B., University of -
Building an Ethical Small Group (Chapter 9 of Meeting the Ethical Challenges of Leadership) Craig E
Digital Commons @ George Fox University Faculty Publications - School of Business School of Business 2018 Building an Ethical Small Group (Chapter 9 of Meeting the Ethical Challenges of Leadership) Craig E. Johnson George Fox University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.georgefox.edu/gfsb Part of the Business Commons, and the Ethics and Political Philosophy Commons Recommended Citation Johnson, Craig E., "Building an Ethical Small Group (Chapter 9 of Meeting the Ethical Challenges of Leadership)" (2018). Faculty Publications - School of Business. 94. https://digitalcommons.georgefox.edu/gfsb/94 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the School of Business at Digital Commons @ George Fox University. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Publications - School of Business by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ George Fox University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Building a11 Ethical Small Group Cooperation is the thorough conviction that nobody can get there unless everybody gets there. -AUTHOR VIRGINIA BURDEN TOWER Never underestimate a minority. -BRITISH PRIME MINISTER WINSTON CHURCHILL WHAT'S AHEAD This chapter examines ethical leadership in the small-group context. To help create groups that brighten rather than darken the lives of participants, leaders must foster individual ethical accountability among group members, ensure ethical group interac tion, avoid moral pitfalls, and establish ethical relationships with -
Tanika Raychaudhuri
Tanika Raychaudhuri 001 Fisher Hall Princeton, NJ 08544 [email protected] http://www.tanikar.com Summary PhD candidate in American Politics at Princeton University, with a research focus on po- litical behavior, race and ethnicity, immigration, and inequality. Academic Postdoctoral Research Fellow August 2019 Appointments Center for the Study of Ethnicity, Race, and Immigration, University of Pennsylvania Education Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Politics September 2016 - August 2019 (expected) Princeton University, Princeton, NJ • Subfields: American Politics (Primary field); Comparative Politics; Empirical Methods (Quantitative and Qualitative) M.A., Department of Politics (GPA: 3.81/4.00) September 2014 - August 2016 Princeton University, Princeton, NJ B.A., Political Science (GPA: 3.98/4.00) September 2010 - May 2014 University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI • Graduated with Highest Distinction, Phi Beta Kappa • Senior Thesis \Now You Are Speaking My Language: Informational and Priming Effects of Spanish-Language Political Advertising on U.S. Hispanic Voters." (with Highest Honors. Advisor: Nicholas Valentino.) • Minors in Applied Statistics and Sociocultural Anthropology Dissertation \The New Democrats: On the Social Roots of Asian American Partisan Political Behavior" • Committee: Tali Mendelberg (Chair); Martin Gilens; Dara Strolovitch Peer-Reviewed • Raychaudhuri, Tanika. 2018. \The Social Roots of Asian American Partisan Atti- Publications tudes" Politics, Groups, and Identities 3(6): 389-410. Works • \(Dis)enfranchised Citizens: -
Revisiting the Abilene Paradox: a Reflection on Group Dynamics ©Copyright by Robert (Bob) Lucas
Revisiting the Abilene Paradox: A Reflection on Group Dynamics ©copyright by Robert (Bob) Lucas In 1988, George Washington University professor Jerry Harvey wrote the book The Abilene Paradox. Today the book and a video based on it are still being used to train employees in all types of organizations. The strength of the message is why the book is still viable in today’s business market. It provides insights into, among other issues, why people make bad decisions, why group think often pushes us in the wrong direction, why conflict often erupts in groups and between two people and why organizations struggle to be competitive. The central theme in the Abilene Paradox is a story told by Harvey of a how he spent a hot July day with his family in Coleman Texas in the late 1950s. According to Harvey, the temperature was 104 degrees, the wind was blowing the Texas topsoil around, and their car was a non-air-conditioned 1958 Buick. As he and his wife, mother-in-law and father-in-law sat around on the back porch sipping cold lemonade, his father-in-law made the sudden announcement, “Let’s get in the car and go to Abilene and have dinner at the cafeteria.” Harvey’s internal reaction was not a receptive one, however, his wife and ultimately his mother-in-law agreed. Not wanting to be the only dissenting voice, he also reluctantly agreed. The four-hour, 106 mile roundtrip trip was a disaster with excruciating heat and dust and poor food quality at the cafeteria. -
The Double Bind: the Politics of Racial & Class Inequalities in the Americas
THE DOUBLE BIND: THE POLITICS OF RACIAL & CLASS INEQUALITIES IN THE AMERICAS Report of the Task Force on Racial and Social Class Inequalities in the Americas Edited by Juliet Hooker and Alvin B. Tillery, Jr. September 2016 American Political Science Association Washington, DC Full report available online at http://www.apsanet.org/inequalities Cover Design: Steven M. Eson Interior Layout: Drew Meadows Copyright ©2016 by the American Political Science Association 1527 New Hampshire Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036 All rights reserved. ISBN 978-1-878147-41-7 (Executive Summary) ISBN 978-1-878147-42-4 (Full Report) Task Force Members Rodney E. Hero, University of California, Berkeley Juliet Hooker, University of Texas, Austin Alvin B. Tillery, Jr., Northwestern University Melina Altamirano, Duke University Keith Banting, Queen’s University Michael C. Dawson, University of Chicago Megan Ming Francis, University of Washington Paul Frymer, Princeton University Zoltan L. Hajnal, University of California, San Diego Mala Htun, University of New Mexico Vincent Hutchings, University of Michigan Michael Jones-Correa, University of Pennsylvania Jane Junn, University of Southern California Taeku Lee, University of California, Berkeley Mara Loveman, University of California, Berkeley Raúl Madrid, University of Texas at Austin Tianna S. Paschel, University of California, Berkeley Paul Pierson, University of California, Berkeley Joe Soss, University of Minnesota Debra Thompson, Northwestern University Guillermo Trejo, University of Notre Dame Jessica L. Trounstine, University of California, Merced Sophia Jordán Wallace, University of Washington Dorian Warren, Roosevelt Institute Vesla Weaver, Yale University Table of Contents Executive Summary The Double Bind: The Politics of Racial and Class Inequalities in the Americas . -
List of Paradoxes 1 List of Paradoxes
List of paradoxes 1 List of paradoxes This is a list of paradoxes, grouped thematically. The grouping is approximate: Paradoxes may fit into more than one category. Because of varying definitions of the term paradox, some of the following are not considered to be paradoxes by everyone. This list collects only those instances that have been termed paradox by at least one source and which have their own article. Although considered paradoxes, some of these are based on fallacious reasoning, or incomplete/faulty analysis. Logic • Barbershop paradox: The supposition that if one of two simultaneous assumptions leads to a contradiction, the other assumption is also disproved leads to paradoxical consequences. • What the Tortoise Said to Achilles "Whatever Logic is good enough to tell me is worth writing down...," also known as Carroll's paradox, not to be confused with the physical paradox of the same name. • Crocodile Dilemma: If a crocodile steals a child and promises its return if the father can correctly guess what the crocodile will do, how should the crocodile respond in the case that the father guesses that the child will not be returned? • Catch-22 (logic): In need of something which can only be had by not being in need of it. • Drinker paradox: In any pub there is a customer such that, if he or she drinks, everybody in the pub drinks. • Paradox of entailment: Inconsistent premises always make an argument valid. • Horse paradox: All horses are the same color. • Lottery paradox: There is one winning ticket in a large lottery. It is reasonable to believe of a particular lottery ticket that it is not the winning ticket, since the probability that it is the winner is so very small, but it is not reasonable to believe that no lottery ticket will win. -
Emerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences
Gender and Women’s Influence in Public Settings TALI MENDELBERG, CHRISTOPHER F. KARPOWITZ, and LAUREN MATTIOLI Abstract Does gender equality in public meetings improve as women’s numbers grow? Research applying critical mass theory to the exercise of influence in public discussion and decision making reveals a complicated story. Women have made significant progress in education, employment, and the attainment of elected office; yet, they continue to lag behind their male counterparts in substantive, symbolic, and authoritative representation. Across political, nonpolitical, and experimental settings, women’s participation and influence does not follow necessarily from their numerical proportion. We review previous studies of how women’s lower status is manifested in group interaction, and we argue that research can better identify when and how numbers matter by attending to the group’s context, institutional features, and informal norms. We describe cutting-edge research designed to explore the effects of institutional rules and norms on women’s authority. Women’s increasing numbers in positions of potential influence constitutes a timely, promising, and challenging agenda for further scholarship. WOMEN AND CRITICAL MASS THEORY One of the most intriguing theories in social science is the theory of numeri- cal representation in organizations, known as critical mass. According to this theory, elegantly outlined by Kanter, the relative prevalence of members of a subordinate social group in an organization sets in motion a set of processes that either reinforce or eliminate the group’s disadvantage in that setting (Kanter, 1977). While numbers are not destiny, they are a major cause of dis- advantage. The theory can be applied to the case of subordinate groups in general, but here we are concerned with the case of one particular group: women. -
Katherine Cramer Walsh Associate Professor of Political
A GEOGRAPHY OF POWER: RURAL PERSPECTIVES OF POLITICAL INEQUALITY Katherine Cramer Walsh Associate Professor of Political Science Morgridge Center for Public Service Faculty Research Scholar 110 North Hall University of Wisconsin-Madison Madison, WI 53706 608-265-3679 [email protected] Abstract: The globalization, advanced media technology and increased mobility of modern life has not erased the importance of place for politics. How does place matter for the way people make sense of political affairs? This study examines the use of place, particularly the rural vs. urban divide, among rural residents. It does so through a conception of public opinion as perceptions that are formulated in the midst of interpersonal interaction. It uses observation of multiple conversations among 36 groups in 27 communities sampled across a Midwestern state. The analyses reveal that rural residents imbue the urban/rural divide with perceptions of who has decision-making power, who has values consistent with their own, and who has resources. The anti-urban perspectives the paper reveals are not simply reducible to racism or partisanship. The importance of the rural/urban lens for rural residents suggests that place is a powerful identity on which political mobilization can occur. Paper prepared for presentation to the Department of Political Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, February 18, 2011. I am sincerely grateful to the people who allowed me to take part in their conversations for this study. I also thank Tim Bagshaw, Emily Erwin-Frank, Valerie Hennings, Ryan Miller, Tricia Olsen, Kerry Ratigan, and especially Sarah Niebler for transcription, translation and research assistance.