TravelSky Technology | March 2, 2016 MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH March 2, 2016 MORGAN STANLEY ASIA LIMITED+ Watson Lau TravelSky Technology
[email protected] +852 2239-1523 Edward H Xu, CFA A defensive play in China's growing air
[email protected] +852 2239-1521 travel market; initiate at Overweight Industry View Stock Rating Price Target In-Line Overweight HK$13.77 TravelSky Technology ( 0696.HK, 696 HK ) Hong Kong/China Transportation & Infrastructure / China Stock Rating Overweight TSK is a major global distribution system (GDS) provider in China Industry View In-Line with a near monopoly, fostered by government regulation and Price target HK$13.77 Up/downside to price target (%) 17 customer - shareholder support. We believe TSK will benefit from Shr price, close (Feb 29, 2016) HK$11.72 China's stable air traffic growth and increasing airport expansions in 52-Week Range HK$15.60-7.30 Sh out, dil, curr (mn) 2,926 the next three to five years. Mkt cap, curr (mn) Rmb28,844 EV, curr (mn) Rmb24,528 China's leader in electronic ticket distribution: TravelSky (TSK) enjoys Avg daily trading value (mn) HK$79 strong shareholder support (i.e., its major airline customers are also owners) and solid customer relationships, acting as China's sole electronic ticket Fiscal Year Ending 12/14 12/15e 12/16e 12/17e ModelWare EPS (Rmb) 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.64 distribution provider for almost all Chinese airlines (more than 30), except Consensus EPS (Rmb)§ - 0.59 0.58 0.63 Spring Airlines, which has its own distribution system.