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Global-Outlook-Report-November GLOBAL OUTLOOK 2014: SPATIAL INFORMATION INDUSTRY Peter Woodgate, Isabel Coppa and Nicola Hart August 2014 141 ACCESS AND AVAILABILITY The report is available in PDF format at http://www.crcsi.com.au We welcome your comments regarding the readability and usefulness of this report. To provide feedback, please contact us at [email protected] CITING THIS REPORT Woodgate, P. W., Coppa, I. and Hart, N. (2014), ‘Global Outlook 2014: Spatial Information Industry’. Published by the Australia and New Zealand Cooperative Research Centre for Spatial Information. ISBN (online) 978-0-646-93034-3 COPYRIGHT All material in this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence, save for content supplied by third parties, and logos. Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided you attribute the work. The full licence terms are available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/ legalcode. A summary of the licence terms is available from creativecommons.org/ licenses/by/3.0/au/deed.en. DISCLAIMER While every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, the CRCSI does not offer any express or implied warranties or representations as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. The CRCSI and its employees and agents accept no liability in negligence for the information (or the use of such information) provided in this report. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Wendy Jackson. 2ii INDEX OF TABLES Table 1: Global Megatrends According to Ernst & Young and ..................................... 3 PriceWaterhouseCoopers Table 2: Australian Satellites, Accurate at 31 January, 2014 ........................................ 6 Table 3: Overview of GNSS Systems ........................................................................... 11 Table 4: Current and Planned Numbers of GNSS and RNSS Satellite Numbers ........... 12 Table 5: Average Internet Connection Speeds by Country ........................................... 16 Table 6: Cloud Computing Scorecard Measuring 'Cloud-readiness'............................ 19 Table 7: Summary of Prominent Government-Run Public Web-Based Spatial Data ... 21 Services in Australia Table 8: Estimates of Annual Economic Benefits from AVs in the United States .............. 29 Table 9: Potential Future Developments in Autonomous Vehicles ............................... 30 Table 10: Global GDP Growth ......................................................................................... 42 Table 11: Global Labour Productivity Growth ................................................................. 46 Table 12: Global Growth Indicators, Labour Productivity and Real GDP 2012–2013 .............. 46 INDEX OF FIGURES Figure 1: Interconnected Aspects of Technology and Society ..................................... 4 Figure 2: Future Expected Space Payload Launches .................................................. 5 Figure 3: Number of Satellites by Countries ................................................................. 6 Figure 4: Value of Remote Sensing Products by Platform, 2011 to 2017 ($billion) ........... 7 Figure 5: Number of NASA/NOAA Earth-Observing Instruments ................................. 8 Figure 6: Cumulative Core Revenue for Various Sectors between 2012 and 2022 ...... 9 Figure 7: GNSS Capability in Receivers ....................................................................... 10 Figure 8: Installed Base of GNSS Devices by Region .................................................. 10 Figure 9: Global Numbers of iPv6-Capable Smartphones and Tablets, 2013 to ......... 14 2018 Figure 10: Global Machine-to-Machine Growth and Migration, 2013 to 2018 ............... 14 Figure 11: Global Mobile Data Traffic, 2013 to 2018 ...................................................... 16 Figure 12: Incidence of Crime Pre/Post Application of Predpol ..................................... 25 Figure 13: M2M Connections in Various Fields .............................................................. 26 Figure 14: The Spanish City of Santander, with Wireless Intelligent Motes ................... 27 Represented by Yellow Pins Figure 15: Types of Sensors in a Wireless Sensor Network ........................................... 28 Figure 16: Rate of Change of Global GDP ...................................................................... 41 Figure 17: Public Debt in Selected OECD Countries over Time ..................................... 43 Figure 18: Government Debt as a Percentage of GDP ................................................... 44 Figure 19: 2005 PPPs as a Percentage of GDP.............................................................. 45 Figure 20: The Benefits of Collaboration to Organisation Productivity ........................... 47 Figure 21: Annual GDP Forecast by Country .................................................................. 52 Figure 22: Government Debt in Europe as a Percentage of GDP................................... 53 Figure 23: GDP Growth over Time ................................................................................. 58 Figure 24: Contributions to GDP Growth in Australia .................................................... 59 Figure 25: General Government Net Debt, 2013 (as a percentage of GDP) ................... 60 Figure 26: Australian Federal Government Spending and Tax Revenue ........................ 61 Figure 27: Australia's Tax-to-GDP Ratio by Level of Government ................................. 62 iii TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Purpose Of This Paper ............................................................................................. 1 2. Executive Summary ................................................................................................. 1 3. Global Megatrends ................................................................................................... 3 4. Spatial Industry Trends ............................................................................................ 4 4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................. 4 4.2 Enabling Infrastructure and Technology ...................................................... 4 4.2.1 Geospatial Services ...................................................................... 4 4.2.2 Remote Sensing ........................................................................... 5 4.2.2.1 Satellites ........................................................................ 5 4.2.2.2 Remote Sensing Markets .............................................. 7 4.2.3 Positioning and Location-Based Services (LBS) .......................... 8 4.2.4 Mobile Sensors and Usage – Internet of ‘Things’ ......................... 12 4.2.5 Networks ...................................................................................... 15 4.2.6 Cybersecurity ................................................................................ 17 4.2.7 3D Printing .................................................................................... 18 4.3 Big Data Storage and Access ..................................................................... 19 4.3.1 Big Data and the Cloud ................................................................ 19 4.3.2 Open Access and Standards ........................................................ 20 4.3.3 BIM and GIS technology............................................................... 23 4.4 Predictive Models And Applications ........................................................... 23 4.4.1 Algorithms .................................................................................... 23 4.4.2 Smart Machines ............................................................................ 25 4.4.3 Simple User Interfaces for Better User Experience ..................... 26 4.4.4 Smart Systems ............................................................................. 27 4.4.5 Autonomous transport including UAVs ........................................ 28 4.5 Social/Human Aspects ................................................................................ 31 4.5.1 Education, Skills and Capacity Building ....................................... 31 4.5.2 Machine/Human Interactions................................................................ 33 4.5.3 Privacy versus Identity .................................................................. 33 4.5.4 Public Engagement ....................................................................... 34 4.5.5 Health ........................................................................................... 35 4.6 Speculation on Future Developments ......................................................... 36 4.6.1 The Moment of Singularity ............................................................ 36 4.6.2 Robotics ....................................................................................... 37 iv 4.6.3 Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Computing............................ 37 4.6.4 Cyborgs........................................................................................ 38 4.6.5 Virtual Worlds................................................................................ 39 4.7 The Outlook................................................................................................. 39 5. The World Economy ................................................................................................
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