ETHICAL CHALLENGES IN TRANS-PACIFIC RELATIONS SELECTED ESSAYS | 2013 CONTEST First trans-PaciFic student contest
What is the greatest ethical challenge facing U.S.-Asia relations? Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs challenged American and East Asian students to partner and submit a joint essay or video to answer this question—whether about U.S.-Asia relations in general, or U.S. relations with a particular East Asian country. Each entry had to be a collaboration between a citizen of the United States and a citizen of an East Asian country.
The contest received entries from undergraduate, graduate, and postgraduate students from the U.S., Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam. In total, nearly a hundred students paired up to publicly post their entries on the Council’s social media site, Global Ethics Network (www.globalethicsnetwork.org). As one participant from China remarked, “[T]his competition is a wonderful experience and a great chance for us to deepen understanding of two countries.”
This contest is part of Ethics for a Connected World, a three-year global education project to mark the Council’s 2014 Centennial. The winners, Robert D. O’Brien and Shiran Shen, received a trip to New York City to attend the 2013 Council Global Ethics Network Annual Meeting and to give a presentation on their work. carnegie council for ethics in international affairs Founded by Andrew Carnegie in 1914, Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs is an educational, nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that produces lectures, publications, and multimedia materials on the ethical challenges of living in a globalized world. Its work is rooted in the premise that the incorporation of moral principles into discussions of international affairs will yield a more peaceful, just world. The educational value of the Council’s programs lies in its three-part formula: thematic focus on ethics, access to world-renowned experts, and an in-house studio that produces original video and audio resources for a global market.
Henry Luce Foundation This contest was made possible by a generous grant from the Henry Luce Foundation, established in 1936 by the late Henry R. Luce, co-founder and editor-in-chief of Time Inc., to honor his parents who were missionary educators in China. The Foundation seeks to bring important ideas to the center of American life, strengthen international understanding, and foster innovation and leadership in academic, policy, religious, and art communities.
Copyright © 2013 Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs www.carnegiecouncil.org 170 East 64th Street, New York, NY 10065 taBLe oF contents
introduction LaBor rigHts and HuMan rigHts
Engaging Students in a Trans-Pacific Conversation on Sewing Dissension: The Struggle for Labor Rights in Ethics Cambodia’s Garment Industry devin t. StEWArt Abigail GrEGG and Elita OUk Page 2 Page 28
Two Faces of Economic Development: The Ethical Controversy Surrounding U.S.-Related Sweatshops in winning essay Developing Asian Countries Benjamin Adam SCHOrr and Annabelle WONG The U.S., China, and Cybersecurity: The Ethical Page 32 Underpinnings of a Controversial Geopolitical Issue robert d. O’BrIEN and Shiran SHEN Speaking Against the Silence: An Ethical Analysis of Page 4 Censorship Practices within China Today Qingchuan Lv and Brian YU Page 36 FinaLists Confronting Traditions and Contextualizing Modernity: The Challenges of Protecting Women’s Human Rights in geoPoLitics and security Southeast Asia Julio AmAdOr III and michele CANtOS A Pivot and a Promise: The Future of U.S.-Myanmar Page 40 Relations thaw Zin Aung GYI and reid LIdOW Page 8 cLiMate cHange and deVeLoPMent The Ethical Challenge in Sino-U.S. Relations: The Threat of War The Ethical Challenges of Climate Change and tONG Zhichao and William YALE Intergenerational Equity Page 12 tsering Jan vAN dEr kUIJp and LIN Lilin Page 44 Senkaku/Diaoyu Conflict Endangers U.S. Rebalance to the Asia-Pacific Time, Talent, Treasure: Revisiting Development Ana mArtINOvIC and Iris SOrIANO Partnerships between the Philippines and the Page 16 United States Christopher derige mALANO and This Is How You Lose: Against Political Pressure by Jeanne Carmel pUErtOLLANO Militarism Page 48 Alexandra Nicolette kHOO and Sean LAGUNA Page 20
In Case of Intervention, Break Glass: How the China- contriButors U.S. Impasse on Syria Could Be Used to Move the G2 toward a Unified Global Ethic About the Winning Authors and Finalists Gage demont HANSEN and Page 52 Jasper WONG Yun Guang Page 24 introduction Engaging Students in a Trans-Pacific Conversation on Ethics By devin t. StEWArt, Senior program director, Carnegie Council
t may be a cliché, but the world is States and one from China, and it sweatshop labor and economic growth, changing. That was the theme of identified cybersecurity as the biggest and the challenge of inter-generational I the U.S. government assessment of ethical challenge in U.S.-Asia relations. justice and climate change disasters. threats this year—as well as the contest The authors, Robert D. O’Brien and Just a couple of years ago, few people that produced this book. Shiran Shen, will be invited to join would have imagined that, after decades For the first time, the U.S. director of Carnegie Council’s annual Global Ethics of isolation, Myanmar would open its National Intelligence listed cyber threats, Fellows meeting in New York City. These doors to the world so dramatically. displacing terrorism, as the top security annual meetings aim to advance ethical Despite crumbling infrastructure, risk to the United States. Along with dialogue between cultures, and perhaps challenges in healthcare and education, President Obama’s “pivot” or rebalancing can play a role in finding peaceful and spreading religious violence, of foreign policy assets toward Asia, this solutions to international disputes. Myanmar’s democratic change new security environment brings U.S.- This year’s Trans-Pacific Student represents hope to its people as well as Asia relations back to center stage in Contest was a first for us in some ways, to many around the world, as students world affairs. Obama has declared and we are happy to report that our noted. After President Thein Sein’s first American prosperity in the twenty-first experiment was a success. Carnegie official White House visit, Myanmar century will depend on cybersecurity. Council has held international student became host to the prestigious World But will a corresponding set of contests for years but this was the first Economic Forum meeting in its capital cyberethics follow suit? time we asked Americans and Asians Naypyidaw in June. Some signs are encouraging. to collaborate on submissions, which Nevertheless, Myanmar’s religious Increased tensions between the United included both essays and videos, and strife demands a strategic rethink in U.S. States and China over cyber-attacks all submissions were posted online for policy, argue authors Thaw Zin Aung have pushed the two nations to agree public viewing. Gyi and Reid Lidow. “If the U.S. is on a new dialogue on establishing The collaborative nature of the project serious about the pivot, and recognizes cybernorms—which happened to be the suggests that the arguments reflected its ethic of responsibility to Myanmar, recommendation of the winning essay of concerns that were shared across the then it will work to build state capacity Carnegie Council’s 2013 Trans-Pacific Pacific Ocean. This is to say, the issues by shifting from a wait-and-see Student Contest. identified were not those particular to approach to a proactive “Three Pillars” “Cybersecurity is a new issue, a one cultural perspective; they reflected [economic, political, and inter-cultural] global issue, and an important issue. a more pluralistic view. Moreover, the engagement model,” they write. Breaking it apart into its ethical submissions were created by students, The world may be changing but old underpinnings provides a framework for so the insights represent the concerns of fashioned balance-of-power Realism is effectively addressing it at the bilateral the next generation. still in play. The rise of China—one of level. Bilateral cooperation can, in turn, Along with cybersecurity, topics of the most significant changes in drive a broader global conversation on other student submissions also mirrored international affairs today—has been creating a system of norms that provides changes in U.S.-Asia relations and in the accompanied by a growing risk from for a more secure cyber realm,” write world at large. Some of those topics territorial disputes in East Asia. the authors. included the opening of Myanmar, the International relations theory tells us Symbolically, our winning essay was rise of China and increased threat of that when the balance of power shifts, written by a student from the United war, the moral conundrums of the threat of conflict may increase. As
2 students pointed out, these conflicts may Yet are sweatshops a necessary evil of Should current generations sacrifice be mitigated by managing the role of the economic growth? Authors Benjamin economic development for the sake of military in addressing these disputes. Adam Schorr and Annabelle Wong future generations? Authors Tsering Jan Authors Ana Martinovic and Iris remind us that, “Even as U.S.-Asia van der Kuijp and Lin Lilin pinpoint this Soriano point to a dilemma some relations aim at boosting overall problem: “Most worrisome about military officers have noted in the past: economic progress, these countries climate change is not just how it will “It may be a moral duty for the U.S. to cannot overlook the moral obligation of affect tomorrow’s weather but how it comply to its security-treaty with Japan, respecting and defending fundamental will impact the children of the future. but is it worth jeopardizing its human rights, and must continuously Out of this dilemma between boosting relationship with China? This is an work at reconciling these divergent industrial production and curbing ethical challenge that the United States concerns.” climate change emerges the greatest needs to confront.” Finally, scholars have explored the ethical challenge for China and the Moral questions regarding sweatshops ethical implications of climate change. United States: how to safeguard the have been around since the Industrial But its consequences, potentially health and well-being of their people Revolution. But the record deaths from including extreme weather, mass while guaranteeing the same for future the collapse of the Rana Plaza factory in migration, and even armed conflict, generations.” Bangladesh this spring forced average will likely only become more shoppers to consider the ethical apparent in the future, raising a New York City implications of their purchasing choices. question of inter-generational justice. June 2013
Devin T. Stewart is senior program director and senior fellow at Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs. He also is a Truman Security Fellow, and an adjunct assistant professor in international affairs at Columbia University and New York University. Stewart’s writings have appeared in more than ten languages in numerous publications, including the American Interest, Newsweek, Foreign Policy, SAIS Review, Ethics & International Affairs, The Wall Street Journal, the International Herald Tribune, Current History, the Asahi Shimbun, and The National Interest.
3 winning essay The U.S., China, and Cybersecurity: The Ethical Underpinnings of a Controversial Geopolitical Issue Addressing the fundamental ethical considerations of cybersecurity will provide a better framework for easing bilateral tensions than tit-for-tat negotiations and public naming and shaming. By robert d. O’BrIEN (United States) and Shiran SHEN (China) Tao Zero www.flickr.com/photos/t_zero/ (CC) Zero www.flickr.com/photos/t_zero/ Tao Inside a circuit board
he rise of Asia is one of the most importance of the bilateral relationship divergent Chinese and American views, significant developments in the between the United States and China, determined in large part by differing T twenty-first century geopolitical the two largest economies in the world. stances on various ethical questions, are landscape. Pundits who dubbed the These two countries, which feature inhibiting cooperation. In this essay, twentieth century the “American markedly different political systems and however, we would like to examine Century” are now predicting that the cultures, have an unprecedented another issue that looms large in both twenty-first century will be the “Pacific opportunity to cooperate in reshaping U.S.-China ties and international Century.” Asia’s ascendance is driven in global norms in the name of the greater relations writ large—cybersecurity. large part by the return of China, whose good. To do so, however, they will have Though commonly conceptualized as a economic and political might has been to overcome numerous bilateral strategic geopolitical issue, we contend growing at unprecedented speeds, to a disputes, many of which are grounded in that its underpinnings are comprised of position of international prominence. divergent views on ethics. a series of ethical considerations. China’s re-emergence as a significant Human rights and climate change are Moreover, we believe that addressing global player has heightened the two of the most prominent areas where some of these fundamental ethical
4 considerations will provide a better addressing it at the bilateral level. According to Mandiant, several papers framework for easing bilateral tensions Bilateral cooperation can, in turn, drive on computer network security and and promoting cooperation than surface- a broader global conversation on intrusion detection were co-authored by level tit-for-tat negotiations and public creating a system of norms that provides faculty at SJTU and researchers at PLA naming and shaming. for a more secure cyber realm. Unit 61398, an allegedly operational Cybersecurity is an issue that has unit actively engaged in cyber rapidly ascended in importance in the the role of cybersecurity in espionage. U.S.-China relationship. U.S. military u.s.-china relations The media’s activism coupled with and security officials are increasingly American private sector angst has wary of the adversarial effects of Cybersecurity has quickly catapulted spurred a U.S. government response. potential cyber warfare. In his to the top of the U.S.-China bilateral Recognizing the severity of the confirmation hearings for the post of agenda. The two sides, however, have problem, the Department of State has secretary of defense in 2011, Leon expressed very different understandings elevated the issue to a place of Panetta warned, “the next Pearl Harbor of the situation, making resolution of the prominence in its annual strategic that we confront could very well be a dispute difficult. While some nascent dialogue with China. The White House cyber attack.” China is widely assumed forms of dialogue have begun, a grander has also taken notice. In early March, at both the popular and elite levels in the vision for addressing the problem is President Obama and National Security United States to be the biggest initiator needed. We believe that vision can be Advisor Tom Donilon both publicly of cyber attacks on U.S. government, found in isolating the ethical dilemmas criticized China for its role in business, and media networks. On the at the core of the issue. supporting cyber attacks and cyber Chinese side, the view is a bit different. Stories on suspected attacks from espionage targeting U.S. networks. Chinese officials, too, feel that they are Chinese hackers—whether government- President Obama also conveyed his victims in the cyber realm and note that affiliated or not—have been prevalent in concerns personally to Xi Jinping a considerable proportion of malicious the U.S. media in recent years. In 2010, during a phone call to congratulate Xi cyber activities globally have originated The New York Times reported that on his recent installment as China’s from computer hosts located in the investigators had tracked cyber attacks president. More recently, Donilon stated United States. This latent sense of U.S.- on Google to Shanghai Jiao Tong that cybersecurity should be included in China distrust in the realm of cyberspace University (SJTU) and a vocational all major U.S.-China bilateral economic is dangerous as it can exacerbate the school in eastern China. The most discussions. The U.S. perspective is broader strategic distrust about each notorious case came in 2011, when a clear—China is at fault and needs to other’s current and future intentions, McAfee white paper documented rectify its wrongdoings. brewing hostility that is threatening to Operation Shady RAT, an ongoing series With the United States publicly the health of the most important bilateral of cyber attacks since mid-2006 that denouncing China’s alleged role in relationship in the world. have hit at least seventy-two cyber attacks on American Cybersecurity is an important organizations, including defense organizations, Chinese officials and geopolitical issue, but framing it in pure contractors, businesses, the United public intellectuals have responded in strategic terms neglects its core—a Nations, and the International Olympic several ways. Some highlight the series of basic ethical considerations. Committee. According to McAfee, the uncertain nature of attributing cyber Economically, these include questions Internet security company that executed attacks to a particular entity since a about the ethics of espionage targeting the investigation, the operation was “a hacker can take control of another private sector entities as well as, more five-year targeted operation by one computer in nearly any country to generally, the ethics of intellectual specific actor” and the targeting of launch malicious cyber activity without property. In the politico-military realm, athletic oversight organizations around the owner even being aware of it. cybersecurity raises general ethical the time of the 2008 Beijing Olympic Others react with rage, condemning the questions about intelligence gathering Games “potentially pointed a finger at a U.S. side for making “groundless” and reasonable diplomatic and military state actor behind the intrusions.” This accusations and “carrying a Cold War responses to intrusions and attacks that state actor is widely presumed to be mentality.” To them, this is simply occur in the cyber realm. China. More recently, the security firm another American plot to demonize Cybersecurity is a new issue, a global Mandiant released a report stating that China. Still others point out that China issue, and an important issue. Breaking cyber spying collaboration had been is a major victim of cyber attacks. In it apart into its ethical underpinnings discovered between SJTU and the December 2011, several of China’s provides a framework for effectively People’s Liberation Army (PLA). most popular online shopping,
5 winning essay microblogging, social networking, and neglecting the fundamental ethical More importantly, the issue of gaming websites were hacked, leaking questions at its core. Identifying these economically motivated cyber the account information for more than ethical questions not only adds further espionage is underwritten by difficult 100 million usernames, passwords, and nuance to our respective understandings questions regarding intellectual emails. According to He Rulong, of the issue, but also provides a property. This is a longstanding area of spokesman of the Chinese Embassy in framework for addressing it. contention between the United States London, 6,747 overseas servers were and China, but one worth rehashing. In found to have controlled more than 1.9 cybersecurity and ethics: short, different cultures employ million mainframes in China with the economic aspect different practices of idea attribution, a Trojans or botnets in February and reality which is all-too-often March of this year. Who do these One example of the ethical overlooked. American academic papers Chinese officials and pundits identify as foundations of cybersecurity can be frequently feature hundreds of the initiators of these attacks? The found in the economic aspects of the footnotes; many serious papers by United States. According to a 2009 issue. The American mainstream media Chinese scholars employ only a few Xinhua News report, about 40 percent and U.S. government statements have footnotes. Who is right? Do Americans of cyber attacks on Chinese computer painted this as a fairly straightforward excessively individualize the systems in 2005 originated in the United problem—China is stealing precious production of knowledge, losing sight States. intellectual property from American of its true social value, or do Chinese While the issue of cybersecurity has companies. Yet a closer look at the issue academics understate the role that become one of great importance in U.S.- yields a measure of its complexity. individuals play in creating ideas? And China relations, steps to address it More specifically, norms regarding the what role does culture and tradition remain rudimentary in nature. On April ethics of economically motivated cyber play? In the U.S., students are 13, 2013, U.S. Secretary of State John espionage remain underdeveloped and encouraged at a very young age to Kerry announced that the two sides had viewing the procurement of commercial “think outside the box” as well as to agreed to establish a cybersecurity data as pure theft fails to take into “find your own way of learning.” working group. A little over a week later, account cultural considerations Americans are taught to use the ideas the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of regarding the ethics of intellectual presented to them to chart their own, Staff, General Martin Dempsey, property protection. unique course forward. In China, by convened a joint conference with In recent months, numerous reports contrast, students learn primarily Chinese General Fang Fenghui, who have been released identifying China as through rote memorization—the pledged to work with the United States a thief—the illegal procurer of sensitive consumption of knowledge and later because the consequences of a major American proprietary information. It is reproduction of it on standardized tests. cyber attack “may be as serious as a important to note however, that even Such a system has its roots in the nuclear bomb.” General Fang, the chief assuming these reports are accurate and ancient practice of imperial of the PLA General Staff and a member China does procure economic data from examination, in which prospective of the Central Military Commission, American firms through cyber officials proved they were worthy of indicated that he would be willing to espionage, the People’s Republic is not governing by demonstrating their establish a cybersecurity “mechanism,” alone in doing so. Indeed, a recent U.S. mastery of the content and style of with the caveat that progress might not National Intelligence Estimate notes Confucian wisdom. Examinees be swift. that France, Russia, and Israel have sometimes spent a lifetime in These steps toward dialogue are engaged in hacking for economic preparation, memorizing the work of positive in nature, but they are only intelligence. The diversity of sages such as Confucius and Mencius small bricks in the construction of a these countries—a democracy, an so as to reproduce it in essays that were bridge that needs to extend across a authoritarian regime, and a democracy notoriously rigid in form. In other great divide. One challenge to founded on religious grounds—is words, in China, imitation can be not improving the bilateral dialogue can be indicative of the fact that relevant only the sincerest form of flattery, but found in the framing of the issue itself: norms on cyber espionage are neither also the sincerest form of respect. This cybersecurity is typically couched universal nor well-established. Such a cultural norm, in turn, influences within a strategic geopolitical context. fact creates an area of ethical fuzziness conceptions of the ethics of intellectual We contend that viewing cybersecurity that makes assertions of right and property itself, posing questions like: Is as simply a strategic and technological wrong as regards economic cyber intellectual property itself always matter, however, proves restrictive, espionage problematic. ethical, particularly when one takes into
6 account the disparities in wealth, health determine what is permissible as cybersecurity has a spillover effect on care, and access to technology it can opposed to what “crosses the line”? overall bilateral relations, cooperation create? And shouldn’t the true value of On the military front, ethical in setting norms on permissible knowledge be founded on its social questions regarding appropriate cyberspace behavior can help ease impact and not a financial measure? responses to incidents of cyber tensions between the two countries. These ethical considerations make the espionage and cyber attack also stand Moreover, U.S.-China bilateral U.S. accusation that China is a thief prominent. Here, the consequences of collaboration in addressing the issue problematic, not only from the an unclear ethical framework for can serve as a critical step towards perspective of “right” versus “wrong,” response entail huge risks. Cyber promoting multilateral efforts aimed at but also in terms of finding common warfare is an extremely new tactic. ensuring a more secure cyber realm. ground from which to address the Thus, the issue of appropriate and The task of bridging the divide cybersecurity issue. Both sides, then, proportional response remains an between Chinese and American could benefit from taking a step back to important and uncharted territory. If understandings of cybersecurity is not look at core ethical questions about U.S. intelligence operatives hack into a an easy one. Tensions are high and the economically motivated cyberespionage: Chinese military network and destroy stakes—the health of the bilateral a) What are the international norms in plans that are integral to China’s relationship and the safety of the cyber this area and what should they be? And construction of its new aircraft carrier, realm—are even higher. Nevertheless, b) how should intellectual property be what is an ethical response? Can there is a path forward for the two conceptualized and how should its Chinese intelligence agents respond countries and it can be found in a protection be encouraged? by launching a cyber attack on an consideration of the fundamental ethical American bank that wreaks widespread questions that constitute the issue of cybersecurity and ethics: havoc, thereby hurting the U.S. cybersecurity itself. By clarifying their the Politico-Military aspect government’s economic position? respective views on a series of simple More alarmingly, what happens if a ethical questions, the United States Ethics also stand at the core of cyber attack by one side on the other and China will increase mutual considerations regarding cybersecurity’s is deemed so damaging that a understanding, creating a more politico-military dimensions. Important conventional military response is taken conducive environment for dialogue. ethical questions in this realm include: into consideration? This dialogue, in turn, will make What type of interstate cyber espionage Here, again, the dialogue between the possible agreements on certain new is acceptable? And what are ethical United States and China would benefit norms in the cyber realm. forms of response to incidences of from a clear focus on a series of ethical Ultimately, the United States and cyber espionage and cyber attack? questions. Without ethical guidelines on China are only two countries in a At a fundamental level, espionage of interstate espionage and emergency complex international system. They any type stands on questionable ethical response mechanisms, bilateral mutual alone cannot solve problems involving footing. That being said, in practice distrust stands to grow and the potential multiple stakeholders. By working to states both acknowledge and allow for a major military conflict, in the create new norms, however, they can espionage to occur. Such espionage, cyber or conventional realm, remains mature the multilateral dialogue on however, is not without its own set of perilously high. issues like cybersecurity, helping to ethical guidelines. One prominent make possible global solutions to example of this was the so-called china, the united states, and important global problems. “Moscow Rules”—the tacitly agreed-to cybersecurity: the opportunity set of regulations for interstate April 30, 2013 espionage between the United States By focusing on the ethical and Soviet Union during the Cold War. underpinnings of the cybersecurity Defense Group International Vice issue, the United States and China can President James Mulvenon, among chart a path forward in addressing the others, has noted that these rules simply bilateral dispute. As the two most do not exist in the cyber realm. Without significant players in international these mutually constituted social cyberspace, the two sides can expect guidelines on ethics in the practice of dividends from cooperating in espionage, how are state cyber establishing norms in the cyber realm. intelligence agents supposed to Since strategic mistrust regarding
7 geoPoLitics and security A Pivot and a Promise: The Future of U.S.-Myanmar Relations The United States needs to move beyond a “wait and see” approach towards Myanmar and encourage broader reforms by boosting state capacity in three essential areas: the economic, political, and cultural. By thaw Zin Aung GYI (myanmar) and reid LIdOW (United States) U.S. Government Works / Pete Souza www.flickr.com/photos/whitehouse/ (CC) / Pete Souza www.flickr.com/photos/whitehouse/ U.S. Government Works Barack Obama strikes bell at Shwedagon Pagoda, Yangon.
peaking at the University of reviled military junta. Operating on a Evan Osnos entitled “The Burmese Yangon last November, President geologic timescale in foreign policy terms, Spring,” Osnos observed that unlike SObama declared the United Myanmar seemed to make an about-face what was seen during the Arab Spring, States “a Pacific nation,” with a future overnight as political prisoners were “Burma’s opening has so far defied the “bound to those nations and peoples to released, Aung San Suu Kyi was elected narrative logic we’ve come to associate our West.” The visit to Myanmar, the to parliament in free and fair elections, and with political transformation: there is, as first ever by a sitting U.S. president, was a nominally civilian government worked yet, no crowd picking through a ruined the culmination of nearly two years of to broker ceasefire agreements with ethnic palace, no dictator in the dock.” That policy reforms and reengagement directed groups. Simultaneously, the United States was then. And while the homes (palaces toward the long ignored state. What made normalized diplomatic relations with by Burmese standards) of former this reengagement possible was a Myanmar, installing a new ambassador military generals and crony businessmen combination of a new foreign policy and easing toward a sanctions drawdown. still remain standing, the homes of rulebook adopted by the Obama Several months after President minorities are smoldering. In Rakhine administration advocating a rebalancing— Obama’s visit, it is clear that U.S. policy state, the persecution of stateless or pivot—into the Asia-Pacific, along with towards Myanmar needs an adjustment. Rohingya Muslims persists. In Kachin a democratization effort by Myanmar’s In an August 2012 New Yorker story by state, the Kachin Independence Army
8 continues to wage a bloody war against internal cultural issues relating to ethnic With so many suitors rushing the the military, and other decades-old groups must be peacefully resolved. If Myanmar market, it is easy to see why ceasefire agreements have broken down the United States is serious about the GDP growth for 2012 was 6.5 percent amidst the reforms. And throughout the pivot, and recognizes its ethic of and U.S. FDI topped US$ 1 billion, and country, a recent wave of violence responsibility to Myanmar, then it will both metrics show no sign of losing between Buddhists and Muslims has work to build state capacity by shifting momentum. Myanmar stands as a rare resulted in a series of protests and deaths from a wait-and-see approach to a monetary howitzer when compared that has spread to neighboring countries. proactive “Three Pillar” engagement alongside the sagging global economy, It may be business as usual in model. so what is the problem? As U.S. Naypyitaw, but it is clear that the new business interests enter Myanmar, there Myanmar is being born in blood. the First Pillar: economic is a real risk that they will follow in the The United States has made an engagement same footsteps as China. That is good impressive effort to step up engagement for the balance sheets and the bottom with Myanmar in line with the rest of the In the September 2012 Center for line, but bad in just about every other world, but it’s time for a change. In what Strategic and International Studies imaginable way. China uses Myanmar has become known as the “wait-and- Myanmar Trip Report, the investigative as an extractive resource pit where see” approach, all policy movements by team, composed of several leading upstream industries ravage the Burmese the U.S. come in a graduated fashion Myanmar observers, concluded that the land and people with no regard for only after the Burmese government U.S. government must “support sustainability. In November of last year, pushes past key reform metrics. To help substantial levels of assistance for hundreds of monks and local nudge the government, the U.S. uses an capacity building at all levels,” community members protested the additional tool: the two prongs of beginning with investment. Thus far, the unsustainable business practices at the engagement and pressure. Early in the most visible signposts of the U.S. Letpadaung Copper Mine, which is reform process, this approach worked as reengagement effort with Myanmar owned by a Chinese military-backed designed—as Myanmar plucked the have been the many economic markers company, Wanbao Mining Co. In what low-hanging fruit of political prisoners of American firms rushing into what was widely perceived as Beijing and rigged elections off the poison tree, they perceive to be one of the last nudging Naypyitaw and President Thein the U.S. was ready to both take partial untapped markets on the planet—a Sein to solve the problem, the Burmese credit for the reforms and roll out new “Wild West” of sorts. General Electric police moved to suppress the engagement policies. This tit-for-tat was one of the first major companies to demonstration by cracking down on the approach can only go on for so long, and make a bet on Myanmar, signing a deal protesters, burning many homes, and it has run its course. in July 2012 for a US$ 2 million contract wounding hundreds. Whether the Now, the United States needs to be with Yangon hospitals. Soft beverage dispute is over a copper mine, even more patient with Myanmar and giant Coca-Cola reentered the Myanmar hydroelectric dam, or oil and gas encourage broader, more comprehensive market last year (2012) after a sixty-year pipeline, the people of Myanmar tend to reforms over smaller, transient victories, absence and announced the construction view China as a “taker” and not a and this can be accomplished by of a domestic bottling plant through a “giver.” Moreover, the United States boosting state capacity in three essential local partner. PepsiCo followed in tow should scrutinize both its own business areas: the economic, political, and leaving North Korea and Cuba the only intentions as well as those of its new cultural sectors. First, economic U.S.-soft drink-free states in the Myanmar partners. cooperation with Myanmar must be world—a club Myanmar no doubt Speaking with one of the authors of deepened as American firms enter the sought to exit. MasterCard is working this piece in an interview, Myanmar state, and all ventures must be defined with Myanmar’s CB Bank helping to journalist, dissident, and national icon U by socially responsible practices. build an electronic banking Win Tin acknowledged that the “U.S. Second, political capacity must be infrastructure beginning with ATMs, and presence in Asia is very tangible and expanded, especially with respect to a soon tourists and businessmen entering rather great.” He went on to say that in virtually nonexistent judiciary and a the country won’t have to come with terms of development “the U.S. can highly flawed constitutional document wads of crisp U.S. dollars or Chinese help, [however] the U.S. is not the great that continues to undermine real reform renminbi. Most notably, Google CEO industrial nation” it once was, so in the parliament, and this can be Eric Schmidt toured Myanmar in March perhaps it can focus on building achieved through heightened “soft of this year and shortly thereafter democratic capacity. To a degree, U Win power” type exchanges. And third, announced a Burmese version of Google. Tin is right. So far, U.S. economic
9 geoPoLitics and security engagement with Myanmar has stayed the national reconciliation process.” And positive impact with Myanmar with away from the highly extractive while this level of awareness on the part respect to constitutional and judicial industrial and resource sectors; Coca- of the government is heartening, there issues by starting a dialogue, a Cola is hardly the banality of evil. This remain real fissures in Myanmar’s conversation that is presently being is bound to change in the coming years political system leading to fits and starts ignored in favor of more politically as U.S. firms seek to tap into some of the in the reform process. savvy discussions such as prisoner largest natural gas and offshore oil President Thein Sein has made an releases and foreign investment laws. reserves in the world. Myanmar would effort to confront corruption within The United States can begin this be wrong not to capitalize on its Myanmar’s political system head on, conversation by opening up “soft resources, and the United States would going so far as to make an internal power” dialogue channels, the Fulbright be foolish not to compete for contracts speech “rebuking” political cronyism Program being a prime example. While in a free, fair and open marketplace, but and arguing, “good governance is still the present Fulbright Program in all of this must be done sustainably. In very weak in Myanmar and still falls Myanmar is in its infancy, the United the words of U Win Tin, “China is a shorts of international norms.” The States would be wise to create two new menace” because of their actions, and United States has an opportunity to help programs. The first program would the United States must work with local strengthen Myanmar’s political system, extend the opportunity to Burmese communities to minimize industry’s but in doing so it must be careful not to academics to come to the United States footprint. Rather than working to send the message that it wants to make for one year of study or work at an suppress protests as seen at the copper Myanmar in its image—a neocolonial academic institution or policy mine, the United States would be wise undertaking of sorts. Perhaps the organization in Washington, D.C. This to learn from China’s mistakes and greatest structural political hurdle facing “Capital Scholar Exchange Program” instead sit down with those who Myanmar can be found with the will allow some of Myanmar’s leading question the development motives of Constitution, a document which became thinkers to come to the United States, others. In short, if Myanmar is the “Wild law in 2008 and lacks the current study and work on their own terms, and West,” then the United States must be democratic values the new quasi- return to Myanmar with ideas of their the cowboy in the “white hat.” democratic government is trying to own. Additionally, the other side of the espouse. The document’s mere inception soft power highway should be opened the second Pillar: is a blight on Myanmar’s history, as it up and enthusiastic Americans should be Building Political capacity was rushed into law by the military in able to apply to undertake research in the days after Cyclone Nargis made Myanmar in the same way they can in If the party line emanating from the landfall, claiming over 130,000 lives. over 100 other states worldwide. While Myanmar Ministry of Foreign Affairs Written and tailored to serve the the availability of this opportunity in (MOFA) is any indication of current interests of the former military junta, the Myanmar is not a question of if but policy attitudes toward the United 2008 Constitution allocates one quarter rather when, the United States would be States, then America must adjust its of the seats in Parliament to military wise to move swiftly before hot topics, Myanmar policy approach. Speaking officials. Designed to create a such as the flawed constitution and with the authors of this piece in a closed dichotomy between civilian and military corrupt judiciary, go cold. meeting in Naypyitaw, two MOFA affairs, constitutional divisions between If the United States decides that soft directors-general revealed that Myanmar these two groups have worked so well power engagement should be employed is tired of the U.S. two-pronged that Thein Sein is having trouble in Myanmar, namely through academic approach and that “we [Myanmar] take enforcing ceasefire agreements the exchanges, then caution should be the engagement, but not the pressure military seeks to void. The most recent exercised. Critiquing the soft power part.” During the interview, the example of this power division came concept, United Nations Special comment came off like a child at the with the military reneging on a 1989 Rapporteur Richard Falk makes the dinner table not wanting to eat the ceasefire agreement with the Shan State convincing argument that “the idea of vegetables, but upon closer evaluation Army-North, brokered by the State Law using power of any kind to democratize there is real promise in this rebuke of and Order Restoration Council other sovereign states is an imperial U.S. foreign policy. The directors- (SLORC), resulting in displacements undertaking at its core.” The United general went on to say that reforms are and deaths. Additionally, Myanmar’s States must not fall into the trap that being undertaken at a breakneck pace, judiciary is limited and highly corrupt. American democracy is the only kind of “not because of U.S. pressure, but The opening for the United States is democracy, and that is why two way because we feel we have to do this—for obvious. First, America can make a cultural exchanges—defined by
10 curiosity and a lack of prejudice—are statewide protests—which have turned and will remain one of Myanmar’s largest key to forging a healthy, sustainable violent—against Muslims. The U.S. trading partners for some time to come. political future in Myanmar. Embassy in Yangon, and Ambassador Furthermore, Myanmar is unlikely to fall Mitchell, have done an excellent job into any “bloc” due to its history as a the third Pillar: Finding a applauding the good reforms and nonaligned state that prefers to hedge its cultural common ground challenging the bad developments, but bets rather than become over-reliant on these core violent ethnic clashes cannot any one state. Going forward, the United As the saying goes, it is important not be allowed to persist. States needs to prove that the pivot is just to throw stones in a glass house. When The tools in the U.S. toolbox available as much about building cooperative, it comes to diversity, and cultures to help guide Myanmar out of a series of mutually beneficial relationships with clashing, the United States’ history is not ethnic crises are strictly words; America long ignored states—such as Myanmar— as proud as many would like it to be: can get away with playing “Scrabble,” as it is about balancing against China. Native Americans have been forcibly but a game such as “Risk” is off the And this commitment begins with the removed from their land; African- table. The solution to these conflicts can, “Three Pillars” of engagement: an Americans have been subject to racist in part, be found in the first and second economic deepening, political capacity laws; and Muslims have been treated as pillars of engagement. Economically, the building, and a commitment to a a suspect class following the 9/11 Burmese government should make an diversity of cultures. attacks. The shameful list goes on, but effort to give minority groups, whose Returning again to Evan Osnos’ for every failure the United States land is affected by extractive business words, Obama’s actions in Myanmar makes, an effort to repair wounds and ventures, an economic stake in the have been nothing less than “a high engage in a national reconciliation success of the company. This could mean profile bet on men of immense moral process ensues. This is a story that must giving minority groups actual shares—a flexibility.” It’s time for the United be shared with Myanmar. literal stake—or setting up a revenue States to double-down on the bet. It’s Increasingly, when Myanmar makes distribution fund that provides a monthly time for America to acknowledge its news the topic now is clashes with or annual check to these groups that can ethic of responsibility and for the United minority groups, and the severity of this then be reinvested in community States and Myanmar to move forward, problem cannot be overstated. In development programs. It is a reality that working together. Rakhine state, a rape and killing of a economics set the agenda, whether at the Buddhist woman last May spurred a household or national political level, and April 29, 2013 series of protests against Muslims, and in more needs to be done to give minority an old junta-style action, martial law was groups a stake in the success of declared in the state. Subsequently, Myanmar. With respect to the second police were deployed to the area to pillar, the political system must be maintain the rule of law and suppress reformed in such a way that Myanmar protests. However, it appears from news becomes more of a federal state where footage that their presence was largely minority groups—the Shan, the Karen, ornamental. In the process, there began the Kachin—hold allocated elected seats what has been described as a “pogrom” both at the local level and in the national against Rohingyas. Speaking with a parliament. Most importantly, the United reporter who covered the Rakhine state States, through formal diplomatic crisis, under the condition of anonymity, engagement, must share the stories of its the individual commented, “There is a cultural failures. The truth is not always real feeling of potential ethnic cleansing. flattering, but being honest with The uprising [in Rakhine] has shades of Myanmar will help to avoid repeating Darfur.” Additionally, over the course of the painful ethical lapses of the past. the last year, tensions between the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) and the united states and Myanmar: the Burmese military have been ratcheted Moving Forward, working together up resulting in frequent skirmishes and a series of deaths in the northern regions of The United States reengaging the country. This has been against the Myanmar does not have to be all about backdrop of a more recent phenomenon: the pivot. China is not going anywhere
11 geoPoLitics and security The Ethical Challenge in Sino-U.S. Relations: The Threat of War The United States’ predilection to find military solutions to political problems, and China’s failing search to legitimize an ailing political system are paradoxically different and yet two heads of the same coin. By tONG Zhichao (China) and William YALE (United States) U.S. Pacific Fleet www.flickr.com/photos/compacflt/ (CC) U.S. Pacific Fleet www.flickr.com/photos/compacflt/ Chinese sailors render honors to Secretary of the Navy, the Honorable Ray Mabus, during a visit to the People’s Liberation Army Navy hospital ship Peace Ark.
he greatest ethical challenge buffeted every day by internal pressures, It didn’t used to be this way. Forty confronting the United States and is thus coming up with new foreign years ago, the United States and China T and China is that in both policies that it thinks can legitimize reconciled their vast ideological countries, decision-makers are increasingly itself and distract the people from differences and previous hostility scoping out foreign policy strategies that domestic problems. But in reality these towards each other because of a very will inevitably lead to military conflict. policies have the side effect of practical challenge: the threat of the On the U.S. side, decision-makers often rationalizing hyper-nationalism, which Soviet Union. The decision-making look for military solutions to what are could push the CCP into being more calculus on both sides was really political problems. They consider antagonistic towards the United States. predominately realist—by joining geopolitics, and in fact fall back on Taken together, problems in both forces, the United States and China geopolitical fatalism in thinking about countries could create a security could rebalance international relations China as an inevitable enemy. In China, dilemma, or put in more colloquial and put the Soviet Union in a weaker the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is terms, a death spiral into conflict. position. After the fall of the Soviet
12 Union, the United States and China had concept, intended especially for use in B), both of which are designed primarily to come up with a new paradigm for the the Asia Pacific. This new operational to hit targets deep within mainland relationship. Although this rationale for concept is called AirSea Battle. It is a China. PGS consists of a hypersonic the relationship has never been concept that combines the strengths of glider launched on top of a ballistic completely settled, for the most part, the Navy and the Air Force to combat missile, delivering a conventional good relations have been realized what is known in military jargon as warhead anywhere in the world in under through mutual economic benefit—the A2/AD (anti-access/area-denial). A2/AD, an hour. But there is a catch—it is United States has invested billions of in turn, refers to a combination of possible that the launch of such a missile dollars into the Chinese economy and asymmetric threats that are intended to could be confused by Russia or China helped it develop, while the Chinese thwart a conventional military (like the as a nuclear launch. The LRS-B, have, in time, sold the United States U.S. military) as it approaches the coast meanwhile, completes similar missions cheap goods and offered the country of a foreign country. Such technologies without quite the destabilizing factor. cheap credit. In fact, economics has been could include ballistic and cruise But still, given how expensive it is likely the brightest part of the relationship, and missiles, diesel and nuclear submarines, to be (at least $500 million each, but indeed what has kept the relationship land-based attack aircraft, anti-satellite likely much more given cost overruns), going along as well as it has. technology, and cyber warfare in order we must always ask the question: Is But today, mutual economic benefit is to cripple the U.S. military. While the there a strategic reason for developing widely perceived as inadequate to DoD and outside think tanks have this weapons system? indefinitely sustain good relations. On strenuously denied that the Pivot to Asia These developments are ethically the U.S. side, the military plays an or AirSea Battle is intended to combat troubling in and of themselves, but in outsized role in determining the China, it is clear that China is the target, reality they are only a small part of a character of the Sino-U.S. relationship. because it is developing precisely this larger system. The DoD and others Overwhelmingly, the U.S. Department A2/AD strategy (Iran is to a lesser extent believe that AirSea Battle will prevent of Defense (DoD) relies on geopolitics developing it as well). a future Sino-U.S. conflict. And to to predict a powerful, antagonistic AirSea Battle proposes many ways to some degree, they are right. It is China; after that, it simply plans based negate the Chinese asymmetric threat important to have a credible deterrent on that assumption. Starting in late in the event of a conflict: hardening in order to avert war. But is AirSea 2011 and early 2012, the Obama forward operating bases from attack Battle, especially weapon systems like administration rolled out a new Asia- (such as in Guam or eastern Japan); PGS, the right kind of deterrent? Pacific strategy: the Pivot (or Rebalance) incapacitating Chinese ground and space- Under the geopolitical logic that the to Asia. The Pivot was supposed to be based ISR (intelligence, surveillance, and DoD has adopted (well represented by comprehensive, striking a balance reconnaissance) capabilities; conducting the book A Contest for Supremacy by between engagement and hedging; strikes on ballistic and cruise missile Aaron Friedberg), war is seen as almost between soft and hard power; and launch and production sites in Chinese inevitable, as if the United States and between the diplomatic, international territory; and eventually enforcing China were the British Empire and development, and military components blockades against Chinese commerce Germany on the eve of World War I. If of the U.S.’s foreign policy apparatus. and energy shipments. left unchecked, this kind of thinking And to some extent, the economic and Of all these potential missions, will result in ever-greater tit for tat as diplomatic sides have materialized: for striking targets deep within Chinese both sides attempt to achieve virtually example, with the Trans-Pacific territory would be the most difficult, the impossible levels of security. It is the Partnership, a free trade agreement most expensive, and the most contentious. sad truth that the current Sino-U.S. currently being negotiated with Official publications emphasize that military situation has the makings of a countries spanning both sides of the “attacking in depth” (more jargon security dilemma. If we let geopolitics Pacific (although it excludes China, meaning attacking deep within enemy determine U.S. relations with China, partially by China’s choice). territory) is essential to the success of we are going to end up with World However, what has mainly appeared the AirSea Battle concept and that War III. instead of diplomatic and economic current DoD assets will be less useful to In reality, a Sino-U.S. war would be engagement is an overemphasis on conduct this mission into the future. overwhelmingly against the national military hedging. Starting shortly before For this reason, the DoD is currently interest on both sides. Actual conflict the official unveiling of the “Pivot to developing new weapons systems, such would represent the complete failure of Asia,” it was made public that the DoD as Prompt Global Strike (PGS) and the both U.S. and Chinese foreign policy. was designing a new operational new Long-Range Strike Bomber (LRS- Both sides would be economically
13 geoPoLitics and security crippled by war, but China would suffer problems loom large, corruption seems international stage. Tianxia can also be more. Blockade operations alone would intractable, and citizen discontent boils seen as the philosophical foundation for immediately cut off seaborne trade and upwards in the form of mass protests. the “Harmonious World” promoted by energy conduits, slowly suffocating and But the largest problem is currently the the CCP’s ex-party chief Hu Jintao. circumscribing Chinese action. The lack of legitimization of the CCP. The The CCP itself will actually be too economic consequences of war would CCP, of course, previously relied on happy to encourage such an intellectual be received highly unfavorably by the revolutionary Marxist-Leninist-Maoist development. Being assertive in foreign Chinese public, and could even threaten thought. But in the last thirty years, this affairs provides them the cover that the the CCP’s hold on power. Finally, the has been insufficient since China moved party desperately needs so as to distract DoD assumes that China would start this towards a capitalist market. So China the Chinese people from domestic hypothetical war; this however has now emphasizes nationalism and a conflicts. In addition, Chinese serious logical flaws, given that China historical narrative of “national exceptionalism based on Tianxia also could not support such a war if it started humiliation” perpetrated upon China by responds to the party’s need to label it. China does not have the ability to the Western imperial powers in the everything as “having Chinese project power that the U.S. does; A2/AD century before China’s unification under characteristics.” It could justify the as a strategy is not geared to projecting Mao. Taken together, these are not just party’s refusal to adopt liberal power, but rather defending and ideologies to legitimize the CCP, but democratic political reforms. After all, controlling the maritime area around also methods to quell internal dissent, by if China could refuse Western modes China. In a potential conflict, China encouraging average people to take their of thinking in international relations, would be limited close to home. This is discontent and latch it onto foreign why could it not refuse Western political contradictory to an offensive, power- countries. systems? In other words, Tianxia may projection strategy. In recent years, nationalist figures in give the CCP additional legitimacy and As it stands, AirSea Battle is a Chinese foreign policy have sought to staying power. strategy that will largely exacerbate the systematize this thought and make it What ethical challenge does this pose latent Sino-U.S. security dilemma, not more coherent. There is a dangerous for Sino-U.S relations? There are two prevent war. The failure to craft an possibility that they will succeed in types of the Tianxia system that will appropriately comprehensive strategy adopting an ancient Chinese concept, pose problems. The “hard” version, if lies as much with the U.S.’s civilian Tianxia, meaning “all under heaven,” implemented, will be a total disaster for leaders as its military leaders. The Sino- which places China at the center of a Sino-U.S relations. There is no doubt U.S. relationship is at its heart a hierarchical world order. Tianxia at its that the hard version of Tianxia is a political problem, not a military one. heart is a way to provide justification for hierarchical order with China in the And yet the current administration has Chinese exceptionalism. During recent dominant position. Ancient China, let the military largely define the Pivot years there have been Chinese scholars under the influence of Tianxia, never to Asia. This is a mistake. The president like Zhao Tingyang, Qin Yaqing, and viewed its neighbors as sovereign has an ethical obligation to craft Yan Xuetong who advocate a Chinese nations equal to itself. Instead it always national strategies that explicitly attach model of international relations theory treated them as inferior partners or political purposes to the use of military based on Tianxia. According to them, vassal states. The massive naval power force. Historically, the U.S. military has Tianxia embraces a universal ethical of the fleet of 27,000 soldiers on 250 been a force for good in the Asia Pacific, system that is superior to the ships led by Zheng He during the Ming by upholding stable governments, free Westphalian system, which allows for Dynasty, after all, did “shock and awe” markets, and a just international order. too much conflict among nation-states. foreigners into submission. Moreover, But this too was as much about good They urge Beijing to use its increasing the supposedly peaceful Zheng He used diplomacy as it was about smart power to reassert China’s traditional military force at least three times; he military deployments; the U.S.’s moral world order. As Zhao Tingyang, even captured the king of modern-day modern Asia Pacific strategy must be a well-known intellectual in the Sri Lanka and delivered him to China also. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, for disobeying Ming authority. So if the On the other side, China is marching wrote on the back of his book Tianxia CCP chose to enforce this hard version towards a security dilemma, but from Tixi, “the real problem facing the world of the Tianxia system, whether because a different angle. Domestically, China is not the existence of failed States, but they truly believe it or they merely want suffers from stark insecurities. The the presence of a failed world.” Some to distract people’s attention from economy is unbalanced, social and Chinese scholars tend to believe that domestic unrest, China will increasingly economic inequality is stark, environmental Tianxia will create a great utopia on the be in conflict with its neighbors. And
14 with America’s return to the Asia codes on a global scale, tries to Chinese nationalism and Tianxia into Pacific, this will definitely result in accomplish something impossible. overdrive, then the United States would military conflict with the United States. How do we handle this great ethical be forced to conclude that its military The “soft” version of Tianxia, challenge? There is no doubt that buildup is rational and well-reasoned. however more peaceful and open- political reforms will be necessary in And if the United States continues to minded than the hard version, could still China. Otherwise the CCP will continue give China the impression that it seeks create problems for Sino-U.S. relations. to manipulate this Tianxia concept so as to “contain” China with the Pivot to It reflects a more cultural missionary to stay in power. After all, nationalism Asia, then to China, Tianxia only makes attitude of Tianxia. The construction of through revival of one’s national more sense as a strategy to combat an Confucius Academies around the globe traditions has been used by all antagonistic United States. But if both is a good example. It advocates authoritarian regimes around the globe. can exacerbate each other, then the Chinese exceptionalism by spreading And the discussions above show that the amelioration of either strategy can also exceptional Chinese ethics around the CCP will try to use the hard side of improve outcomes in the other country. globe. After all, under the ancient Tianxia as much as they can. Communism This will require strategic trust, which in Tianxia system, China did not colonize has few true believers in China now; turn will require solid, practical moves neighboring states like the Roman thus nationalism is the best chance for by both sides to clarify their long-term Empire did. The neighboring states the CCP to keep its legitimacy. intentions and strategies. submitted to China because of its Chinese citizens, intellectuals, and cultural dominance. With China’s especially the Chinese government need April 30, 2013 revival, many Chinese intellectuals are to face the fact that this is a pluralistic reviving the great traditions of Chinese world. The utopian dream based on culture. There is no doubt that China Tianxia may have little appeal to people now is going through a great cultural believing in different comprehensive renaissance. Traditional Chinese clothes doctrines. The United States, with its are increasingly popular and the tradition of liberalism, will never be government directly promotes the converted to this traditional style of celebration of traditional Chinese Chinese thinking. The ideological festivals. There are even markets for conflict between communism and traditional Chinese schooling based on capitalism resulted in a Cold War the Confucius style. between the Soviet Union and the The problem is that no matter how United States. The same scenario may hard China tries to advertise Tianxia as happen again if we let Tianxia define being benign (for example, they may Chinese foreign policy. In order to deal claim that “harmony with difference” with insuperable ideological differences, has a great place in traditional Chinese a real strategy would be to focus on culture), the soft version of Tianxia is practical measures to improve Sino-U.S still a comprehensive ethical doctrine relations. The same applies to the United that is only accepted in China. It will States as well. Both sides desperately definitely result in ideological need to compromise, and have a more conflicts with the ethical code based on nuanced historical perspective of the Western liberalism shared by most other. Americans, and indeed, the entire In the end, these two massive modern international order. Under the problems—the United States’ predilection geopolitically fatalistic assumptions to find military solutions to political being made by many decision-makers in problems, and China’s failing search to the United States, it is entirely possible legitimize an ailing political system— that the U.S. could mistake attempts to are paradoxically different and yet two implement “soft Tianxia” as actually heads of the same coin. The two can be “hard Tianxia,” thus provoking even seen to be one unity because they more serious conflict. The soft version exacerbate the dangers of the other—if of Tianxia, through advocating the China were to descend into an economic application of traditional Chinese ethical slump and decide it had to pump
15 geoPoLitics and security Senkaku/Diaoyu Conflict Endangers U.S. Rebalance to the Asia-Pacific It may be a moral duty for the United States to comply with its security treaty with Japan, but is it worth jeopardizing its relationship with China? By Ana mArtINOvIC (United States) and Iris SOrIANO (philippines) relationship with China. Though it appears to be a moral duty for the United States to follow through with its written obligations, it would be in the best interest of the United States to remain out of the conflict to most successfully secure a prosperous economic future. In recent years, the Obama administration decided to shift the focus of the U.S. Department of Defense from the Middle East to the Asia-Pacific region. This strategic shift, known as rebalancing, is welcomed by the Asia- Pacific region. The United States will be emphasizing defense and security cooperation in the region. Besides military service, the United States also hopes to provide allies with assistance in developing human rights. It can be assumed that the United States carried out this strategy in response to growing tensions with North Korea, wanting to show its commitment to its strongest allies: Japan and South Korea. Joseph
National Land Image Information, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Japan Tourism, and Transport Infrastructure, Land, of Ministry Information, Image Land National Yun, an assistant secretary in the State Aerial photo of contested islands. Department Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, recognizes that “the n the international level, the Due to the recent downfall of the U.S future prosperity and security of our significance of the relationship economy, hospitable relations with nation will be defined by events and Obetween the United States and China must be maintained. China could developments in the region.” Not only China is twofold. First, these two serve as a key factor in the rebuilding will this rebalancing allow the United nations stand alone as social and and stabilization of the future in States to cultivate amicable relationships political powerhouses, and second, they America. The current territorial conflict with Asian nations, but it will heavily depend on each other in the East China Sea between China subsequently help the U.S. economy for economically. The United States may and Japan, however, threatens this the following reasons. have the largest military and economy, relationship and its potential to aid the The United States increased investments but China’s economy continues to grow U.S. economy. A preexisting security in the Asia-Pacific over the past few at an unprecedented rate, most notably treaty from 1951 obligates the United years, with considerable benefit to its serving as the world’s greatest exporter States to get involved and defend Japan economy. Investments increased by $20 of goods such as electrical machinery if armed conflict occurs. If a conflict did billion from 2009 to 2011. The increase and equipment. China exported over in fact break out between Japan and in exports links directly with increasing US$ 300 billion worth of goods in this China, by the treaty, the United States jobs for Americans, which is beneficial category during 2009, and $71 billion would have to support Japan. This for economic welfare. Because of its worth was exported to the United States. would clearly hinder the U.S. status as a top exporter not only in the
16 region, but also globally, China has dispute was avoided. Regardless, serious to both Japan and the United States. become the main focus of the United tensions between Japan and China began Though China has not attacked Japan States in the Asia Pacific. China will, in to spark in fall 2012. militarily, it has been sending ships and upcoming years, become the world’s In September 2012, Japan’s cabinet aircraft to scout the region as a symbol most powerful nation due to the rate at announced that it would purchase three of confrontation toward Japan. China which it is developing infrastructure and of the five islets from a private owner. has also taken the extra step and increasing its manufacturing processes. China became enraged over the escalated to the point of locking targets Though the nation does not pose any proposition and warned Japan against onto Japanese aircraft and ships. China’s threats to the United States or rest of the the purchase, stating that doing so would provocative actions seem troubling to world due to its high status, it is lead to serious consequences. The the rest of the world, so the question important for countries to take China United States joined China and advised becomes whether or not the competition seriously and to try to be in good Japan against the purchase. Kurt will lead to armed conflict if Japan does standing with it. As such, it is important Campbell, a U.S. assistant secretary of not relinquish the islets to China. for the United States to keep a positive state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, The United States has repeatedly relationship with China because the stated that “even though we warned declared that it does not want to get United States depends on Asia for its Japan, Japan decided to go in a different involved in the territorial conflict in the successes just as Asia depends on the direction.” It was clear to the United East China Sea and hopes that the two United States for its international States that Japan’s purchase could nations will settle the dispute among market. Unfortunately, the current threat trigger a big conflict with China, but themselves by coming to a peaceful to the U.S. association with China is the Japan went ahead with it anyway. Now agreement. Nonetheless, the United conflict in the East China Sea between in 2013, we find both nations defending States also mentioned that if armed China and Japan. The United States may their sovereignty rights over the islets. conflict does occur between Japan end up in a position to get involved in China continues to stand firm in its and China that it will intervene to the conflict and if the United States belief that the islets are under its defend Japan. The obligation of U.S. makes the wrong decision, it could authority and has expressed this clearly intervention is due to the U.S.-Japan destroy the U.S. plan to rebalance in the Asia-Pacific. To expand on the issue, China and Japan are engaged in a territorial conflict with regard to islets in the East China Sea, known as the Diaoyu by the Chinese and the Senkaku by the Japanese. Historically, Japan’s government annexed these islands in 1895. A Japanese man started a business on one of the islets that failed in the 1940s. Since the failure of his business, no one has inhabited the islets. Since the islands were essentially empty, the United States used these islets for military occupation after World War II, but in the early 1970s the United States returned them to Japan, excluding sovereignty rights. During this same period, the United Nations declared that there was a possibility of oil and gas reserves surrounding the islets. Not surprisingly, this news brought a heightened interest in the islets for both Japan and China. Throughout the twentieth century, China claimed ownership of the islets, but no vital action www.wikipedia.org (wikimedia creative commoms) www.wikipedia.org to obtain the islets occurred, therefore Senkaku/Diaoyu/Tiaoyutai Islands.
17 geoPoLitics and security
Security Treaty written after World War cooperation with China on a wide range strengthen its relationship with China II. Article I of the Security Treaty states of bilateral, regional, and global issues.” because of the nation’s growing power that American forces “may be utilized Yun aims to console China by assuring rather than to commit itself to a security to contribute to the maintenance of it that the new U.S. role in the Asia- treaty with Japan written in the past. international peace and security in the Pacific will be mutually beneficial. Let us reiterate that the U.S. shift to Far East and to the security of Japan Unfortunately, his words may not be the Asia-Pacific region is an important against armed attack.” It directly states satisfying enough for China because of defensive move. This region provides that the United States must support regular meetings held between Japan and many opportunities for Asian nations to Japan as an ally in the event that a the United States about updating defense form alliances with the United States foreign nation attacks them. This implies plans over the East China Sea islets. which benefit each nation's security that the United States will necessarily To avoid potential conflict between the and development. The U.S. plan to have a role in supporting Japan United States and China, the United further increase its investments in the militarily if armed conflict occurs States should continue to remain neutral Asia-Pacific should alleviate any between China and Japan. and uninvolved in the territorial conflict. hostility between the Unites States and The United States, however, cannot It may be a moral duty for the United other Asian countries if the United afford to get involved in this situation. States to comply with its security treaty States chooses to develop a powerful It would immediately jeopardize the with Japan, but is it worth jeopardizing defense strategy. Therefore, the United U.S. relationship with China, which in its relationship with China? This is an States should remain out of the turn damages the entire defense ethical challenge that the United States Diaoyu/Senkaku conflict completely. strategy of rebalancing to the Asia- needs to confront. It would be in the best Supporting Japan will hinder the U.S. Pacific. Ultimately, the strong alliances interest of the United States to let Japan relationship with China, whereas formed with Asian nations such as Japan know immediately that it will not support leaving Japan and China to settle it draw the United States into regional them militarily in case of armed conflict themselves enhances the independence conflicts that the United States simply with China. The United States needs to of the Asia-Pacific. It is ethically cannot afford. The United States and disregard the language in the security important for the United States to let the China have a complex, interdependent treaty and leave territorial conflicts to be security treaty go and to reassure Japan relationship. Even though both nations handled solely by the region. It is a that it has no negative intentions because have different ideologies, they both disagreement between China and Japan of the withdrawal, but rather it should depend on each other economically. which should be left entirely alone by not be engaged in other nations’ Despite this relationship, China has the United States. Announcing this territorial conflicts. This decision will stated that the presence of both the reinforcement to China will strengthen help make the rebalancing policy more Japanese and Americans around the the relationship between these two successful by preserving its relationship islets is seen as “provocative.” China countries by eradicating any possible with China because it is the key country knows that the United States has ulterior motive that China believes the making this shift possible. obligations to Japan and this causes United States holds against them. It is doubt in China as to whether the United more important for the United States to May 1, 2013 States is truly aiming to strengthen its relationship with China. China has also indicated that U.S. support is another form of containment. The Chinese government assumes that the United States and its allies want to restrict China’s power because it is such a rapidly growing nation. The powerful nations in the West, such as America, must therefore feel threatened by this growth and want to suppress it. Joseph Yun, acting assistant secretary in the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, said, “Let me be clear that we have no interest in containing China, but rather Al Jazeera English www.flickr.com/photos/aljazeeraenglish/ (CC) Al Jazeera English www.flickr.com/photos/aljazeeraenglish/ our policy is designed to increase Patrolling troubled waters.
18 Carnegie Council on iTunes University http://www.carnegieitunesu.org
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