Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Fisheries Research
j ournal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/fishres
Development and application of the fisheries vulnerability assessment
tool (Fish Vool) to tuna and sardine sectors in the Philippines
a a,b a
Melchor R. Jacinto , Al Jayson G. Songcuan , Graceous Von Yip ,
a,∗
Mudjekeewis D. Santos
a
National Fisheries Research and Development Institute, 101 Mother Ignacia St., Quezon City, Philippines
b
Marine Science Institute, University of the Philippines Diliman, 1101 Quezon City, Philippines
a
r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Climate change studies in the Philippines are emerging fast, focusing on different fields of sciences. How-
Received 20 January 2014
ever, studies that address the fisheries sector remain insufficient. Here, we described a sector-based
Received in revised form 4 July 2014
fisheries vulnerability assessment tool (Fish Vool) to evaluate the vulnerability of primary fishery com-
Accepted 5 July 2014
modities. Tool demonstration and validation were conducted in General Santos and Zamboanga City,
which are the primary producers of tuna and sardine, respectively. Fish Vool revealed an overall medium
Keywords:
vulnerability (low exposure, medium sensitivity, and low adaptive capacity) for both sectors. The vulner-
Climate change
ability assessment of the tuna and sardine sectors emphasizes the potential of Fish Vool to assess climate
Vulnerability assessment tool
Fisheries change vulnerability for primary commodities and other fishery sectors.
© 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Food security
1. Introduction Accordingly, a National Framework Strategy on Climate Change
was formed to aid in adaptive capacity building of communities and
Climate change, also referred to as global warming, is the optimization of mitigation opportunities toward sustainable devel-
increase in global atmospheric temperature and high variability in opment. The Philippine climate change policy provides guidelines
frequency and intensity of extreme weather disturbances, which for the development of adaptation strategies, which can be accom-
poses threat to society, biodiversity, economy, and food secu- plished by conducting vulnerability assessments (VAs), among
rity (Adger et al., 2005; IPCC, 2001). Philippine development and others (e.g., Allison et al., 2009; Cochrane et al., 2009; Mamauag
progress are critically related to the adaptive capacity toward the et al., 2013; Santos et al., 2011). VAs, especially for fisheries and
emerging effects of climate change. The fisheries sector contributes aquaculture, provide a better way to understand the interactions
to the country’s economy by generating approximately 2.2% (170.3 among the natural system, pressures, and threats, which serves as
billion pesos) of gross domestic product and 452 million dollars of a basis for the development of climate change adaptation (CCA)
export earnings (Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources (BFAR), options (Mamauag et al., 2013).
2010), as well as providing sources of livelihood to rural areas and Several climate change and VA studies (Jose and Cruz, 1999;
coastal communities. However, this sector may be highly vulner- Badjeck et al., 2010; Sajise et al., 2012; Mamauag et al., 2013) have
able to the impacts of climate change (Burke et al., 2012; Hughes been conducted in the Philippines, which also included the devel-
et al., 2012). Harmeling (2011) ranked the Philippines as the sev- opment of a VA tool. However, most of these vulnerability tools
enth most vulnerable country to climate change on the basis of were designed to evaluate the vulnerability of specific subjects
long-term trends of exposure and extreme weather events from only. Mamauag et al. (2013) designed a framework for the VA of
1990 to 2009. Impacts contributing to the vulnerability of fisheries coastal fisheries ecosystems (Tool for Understanding Resilience of
include direct and indirect effects of physical and chemical factors, Fisheries, VA-TURF). VA-TURF was used to assess the vulnerability
such as temperature, winds, vertical mixing, salinity, oxygen, and of the coastal fisheries ecosystems in the tropics to climate change.
pH (Brander, 2010). This tool was demonstrated in all coastal barangays of two island
municipalities located along the Verde Island Passage, which has
the world’s highest marine shore fish biodiversity. However, VA-
TURF is limited to fisheries associated with nearshore habitats, uses
∗ the coastal or fishing village (barangay) as the spatial unit, and lacks
Corresponding author. Tel.: +632 3725063.
E-mail address: [email protected] (M.D. Santos). commercial and sectoral levels of assessment.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2014.07.007
0165-7836/© 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
M.R. Jacinto et al. / Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181 175
Table 1
Fisheries vulnerability assessment matrix (scoring guide).
Components Score
1 or 2 3 or 4 5
Sensitivity Compare catch 20 years ago Increasing catch rate over the Normal catch rate: Mix of Decreasing catch rate; Small,
(Catch rate = number of kgs. years; Most catches are large, small and large fishes immature fishes are abundant
added/deducted from the catch mature fishes
20 yrs ago compared today)
≥ ± ≤
Average length at first sexual 5 cm;Greater than 2 cm but 2 cm; Greater than 2 cm but 5 cm
maturity (for validation) less than 5 cm less than 5 cm
Dependence on resource Household income from 41–60%; 61–30% Household income from
resource-dependent is less resource-dependent is greater
than 20%; 21–40% than 80%
Household age structure 26–40; 41–55 15–25; 56–65 above 65 years old
(15–70 y/o)
Health conditions No special health needs Symptomatic diseases With special health needs
Exposure Fishing ground (annually) Rare occurrence of typhoons, Intermediate incidence of Frequented by typhoons,
storms, weather disturbances typhoons, storms, weather storms, weather disturbances
(0–1); 2 disturbances (3); 4 (5 above)
Household (annually) (0–1); 2 3; 4 More than 5 weather
disturbances
Frequency of storms/typhoons, No climate events 3–4; 5–6 More than 6 climate events
records of landslides and/or experienced; 1–2 experienced
flash floods (annually)
Adaptive Capacity What is the annual income More than 80% of annual 40–59%; 20–39% Less than 20% came from
from fishing? income is generated from fishing
fishing: 60–79%
Awareness No to little idea about the topic Moderately knows the topic Knows the topic very well
Access to information No sources of information; 1–2 3–4; 5–6 More than 6 sources of
information
Adaptive strategy No to insignificant Less but significant More and significant
precautionary measures precautionary measures precautionary measures
Literacy Out of school youth or High school College or vocational
elementary student/graduate graduate/student/skilled student/graduate
Gear modification/replacement No modification/No With some modification/With With full modification,
for the past 10 years knowledge/No resources knowledge/With limited knowledge, and re-sources
(budget) resources/Unsuccessful Successful
Climate change No climate change 2–3 climate change More than 4 climate change support/organization support/organization support/organization support/organization
Table 2
This study developed a tool that will complement VA-TURF
Potential impact scoring.
by providing effective data collection for assessing the poten-
tial impacts of climate change to commercial fishery sectors or Potential Sensitivity
impact
commodities. The tool enables the identification of fisheries com-
modities and areas that are highly vulnerable to climate change,
L M H
which is important for the formulation of measures that will
Exposure L L L M
address the impacts of climate change on fisheries and ensure
M L M H
sustainable livelihood and food security (Food and Agriculture H M H H
Organization (FAO), 2008).
Table 3
2. Methodology
Overall vulnerability index scoring.
Vulnerability Adaptive capacity
2.1. Development of Fish Vool and vulnerability map
L M H
The fisheries vulnerability assessment tool (Fish Vool) was
Potential L M L L
developed following the key goal of VA (e.g., Allison et al., 2009;
impact M H M L
IPCC, 2001; Mamauag et al., 2013) to determine the vulner- H H H M
abilities of fishery commodities or sectors of local municipal or
commercial landing sites. The tool was refined using input and
validation from fisheries and VA specialists of the University of
the Philippines—Marine Science Institute, National Agricultural and
(2013) (Tables 2 and 3). An open source geographic information
Fishery Council, and Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources
system software (Quantum GIS v1.8 Lisboa) was used to pro-
(BFAR) regional representatives to eliminate unnecessary parame-
duce vulnerability maps of the target commodities. Scores of 1
ters and incorporate relevant components.
to 2 correspond to low vulnerability, and scores of 3 to 4 corre-
Key informants from General Santos and Zamboanga City were
spond to medium vulnerability; a score of 5 corresponds to high
interviewed and assessed in November 2012 and August 2013,
vulnerability (Table 4). The numerical values of each component
respectively, using a vulnerability matrix (Table 1). Data were ana-
were summed and translated using a rank system, in which point
lyzed using a simple semi-quantitative approach (Johnson and
class intervals correspond to low, medium, and high vulnerability
Welch, 2009; Mamauag et al., 2013), and scores calculated using
(Mamauag et al., 2013) (Table 5).
the cross-tabulation (Punnett square) method by Mamauag et al.
176 M.R. Jacinto et al. / Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181
Fig. 1. Fish Vool study sites.
Table 4
fishing wharfs in barangay Cawit, Zamboanga City were selected as
Vulnerability category.
study sites (Fig. 1) on the basis of data availability and productivity
Vulnerability category Score of tuna and sardine resource in the area, respectively. Fish produc-
tion in General Santos mainly consists of large pelagic fishes such
Low 1–2
Medium 3–4 as yellowfin tuna and other scombrids, whereas Zamboanga City
High 5 is well known for the production of small epipelagic fishes (i.e.,
sardines, round scads, and mackerels).
2.2. Selection of sectoral commodity sites 2.3. Key informant interview
The General Santos Fish Port Complex in barangay Tambler, Gen- Site selection was conducted in coordination with the BFAR
eral Santos and the Alberto Molina Requinto, Mega, and Universal Regional Office and National Centers. During the site evaluation,
Table 5
Point class interval and corresponding rank classifications for the three major components.
Major Number of Minimum total Maximum total Point class interval (score to rank
Components variables score possible score possible system conversion)
Exposure 3 3 15 3–7 Low (L) 8–11 Medium (M) 12–15 High (H)
Sensitivity 4 4 20 4–9 Low (L) 10–15 Medium (M) 16–20 High (H)
Adaptive capacity 7 7 35 7–17 Low (L)18–27 Medium (M)28–35 High (H)
M.R. Jacinto et al. / Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181 177
key informants were interviewed using questions focusing on cli- 2011). Records of landslides or flashfloods in the community were
mate events they observed within the municipality in the past years collected from local leaders (city or province).
and the subsequent effects and adaptation measures developed.
Key informants included representatives of occupational groups 3.1.2. Sensitivity variables for all sub-components
(e.g., fisher folks and households) with at least 20 years of fishing 3.1.2.1. Length at first maturity. The age or size at onset of mat-
experience. uration, and growth rate are important stock parameters for the
assessment and prediction of exploited fish species. Rapidly grow-
ing individuals attain maturity at lower ages and thus have shorter
3. Results and discussion
average lengths (Godo and Haug, 1999). This variable is validated
through the National Stock Assessment Program, which provides
3.1. Fish Vool and VA-TURF
the only time-series fisheries data in the Philippines that includes
information on maximum sustainable yield and total allowable
The framework for the development of Fish Vool is consistent
catch. This information is used to determine closed seasons, fish
with that used for VA-TURF, which defines vulnerability as the com-
sanctuaries, endangered species, and fishing vessel regulation.
bined effects of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity (Fig. 2).
Although both Fish Vool and VA-TURF produce vulnerability maps,
3.1.2.2. Catch comparison. Trends or changes in catch rate over the
VA-TURF targets the coastal integrity and reef ecosystem of an
years may show the effects of fishing. In this variable, catch rate
area, whereas Fish Vool focuses on the commercial fisheries sec-
refers to the difference between the total catch by weight (kg) of
tors. Vulnerability maps aid the local and national government in
the present catch of fishers and that from at least 20 years ago. Data
identifying areas and commodities that are vulnerable to climate
were collected from fishers’ historical accounts from interviews.
change and need prioritization for adaptation options.
Decreasing catch rate coupled with increasing number of small,
The definitions of the major vulnerability components were
immature fishes in the catch indicates high sensitivity of the fish
adopted from Licuanan et al. (2012). Exposure is a measure of the
stocks. Given that large-sized species are intensively targeted and
intensity or severity of the physical environment conditions that
thus reduced in number before smaller ones (Pauly et al., 1998;
affect the present state of the biophysical system. Sensitivity is
Mamauag et al., 2013), the rates and process of potential recovery
illustrated by the present state of the system based on the spe-
of the fish stocks in the community structure can be determined on
cific properties that respond to the exposure factors arising from
the basis of change in catch composition (Jennings, 2001).
climate changes. Adaptive capacity refers to resiliency or the abil-
ity of the system to cope with the impacts associated with the
3.1.2.3. Socio-economics. Information on socio-economic condi-
changes in climate. The components are further divided into three
tions is essential because people’s capacities (i.e., income, number
sub-components, namely, fish, human, and community (Fig. 2).
of family members, household age structure, health conditions,
In VA-TURF, the components are subdivided into fisheries, reef
etc.) determine their ability to cope with extreme weather events
ecosystem, and socio-economics. Each sub-component has corre-
(Blaikie et al., 1994; Pelling, 2003; Reganit, 2005). Given that
sponding variables or criteria relevant for evaluating the major
fishers are considered the poorest of the poor sectors in the
components (i.e., exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity). The
Philippines (Castro, 2009) and thus the most vulnerable sector
criteria for each sub-component are outlined and discussed below.
to climate change (Williams and Rota, 2009), knowledge on the
Low potential impact (exposure and sensitivity) values indicate low
socio-economics of fisheries with regard to climate change and its
vulnerability, whereas low adaptive capacity values indicate high
impacts, adaptation, and mitigation is a pivotal tool for guiding pol-
vulnerability to climate change (e.g., Allison et al., 2009; Johnson
icy makers and program implementers on how to fully prepare the
and Welch, 2009; Mamauag et al., 2013). Thus, a good biophysical
country for climate change.
system has low potential impact and high adaptive capacity values.
3.1.2.4. Dependence on resource. This criterion provides informa-
3.1.1. Exposure variables for all sub-components
tion on the importance of fisheries to their household and the
3.1.1.1. Fishing ground. This criterion examines the frequency and
well-being of the community. Fishers with sources of income other
severity of exposure of fishing grounds to extreme weather dis-
than fishing are less sensitive to the effects of climate change. High
turbances. VA-TURF uses wave exposure as the exposure variable,
sensitivity attributes to higher number of fishers who depend on
which is derived using the Wave Exposure Model software by the
the resource (Mamauag et al., 2013).
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). By con-
trast, Fish Vool uses qualitative data from perception surveys of
3.1.3. Adaptive capacity variables for all sub-components
fishers who have been fishing for at least 20 years. Weather pertur-
3.1.3.1. Gear modification. Fishing gear modification or replace-
bations, such as typhoons and storms, and increased sea surface
ment is a measure of the fishers’ adaptive capacity for a more
temperatures in the fishing grounds act as physical stressors to
effective fishing effort. A fisher with resources (budget), knowledge,
fishes, which may result in disturbance and migration (IPCC, 2007;
and successfully modified fishing gear will achieve higher catch
Santos et al., 2011). Thus, catch rate may decrease during frequent
rates, save fuel and time in fishing activities, and possess higher
occurrences of these events.
adaptive capacity.
3.1.1.2. Household or community site assessment. This criterion 3.1.3.2. Adaptive strategies. Adaptive strategies refer to the precau-
measures the degree of exposure of a fisher’s household or commu- tionary measures undertaken by the fishers before, during, and
nity to weather disturbances (i.e., tropical storms, extreme rainfall, after extreme weather events. More and significant adaptive meas-
storm surges, sea level rise, etc.). Frequent occurrences of these ures indicate high adaptive capacity.
climate events affect the safety and efficiency of fishing opera-
tions because fishers are unlikely to fish during storms, indicating 3.1.3.3. Level of awareness. Level of awareness refers to the extent
high exposure (Santos et al., 2011). Furthermore, extreme events of knowledge of fishers on climate change and its impacts to their
increase damage and disruptions to coastal and riparian homes, livelihood. The high awareness of fishers to climate change can be
services, and infrastructure (Williams and Rota, 2009; Santos et al., translated into capacity building, planning, and piloting activities.
178 M.R. Jacinto et al. / Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181
Fig. 2. Conceptual Framework for the development of Fish Vool.
The authors intentionally separated the level of awareness and lit- income; hence, adaptive capacity will depend considerably on the
eracy of fishermen as a measure of their adaptive capacity because knowledge and skill of the person (e.g., Cabral and Alino,˜ 2011;
some out-of-school youth fishers are more aware of the impacts of Muallil et al., 2011; Marshall et al., 2012; Mamauag et al., 2013).
climate change in their livelihood than those who attained higher Fishers with college or vocational degrees have higher adap-
education. tive capacity than those who are out-of-school youth or elementary
graduates.
3.1.3.4. Literacy. The fisher’s literacy determines their ability to
find other income-generating livelihoods. Supplemental liveli- 3.1.3.5. Community support system. The high adaptive capacity of
hoods that are accessible to fishers and may increase cumulative a community may be attributed to the strong community support
M.R. Jacinto et al. / Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181 179
Table 6
Vulnerability indices of tuna and sardine sectors to climate change in selected landing sites in General Santos and Zamboanga City.
VA components Parameters Tuna sector in General Santos Sardine sector in Zamboanga City
Score Subtotal Score Subtotal
Exposure Fishing ground L L M L
Household L L
Sensitivity Catch comparison M M M M
Age structure L L
Dependence on resource H H
Health conditions L L
Adaptive Capacity Awareness L L L L
Sources of CC information L L
Strategies L L
Literacy M M
Overall Vulnerability Index M M
Legend: L = low, M = medium, H = high vulnerability.
systems or programs for climate change. These support systems 3.2. Vulnerabilities of tuna and sardine sectors
or programs usually include seminars, workshops, and training
that inform and educate people on the current issues of climate Fifty local fishermen were interviewed at selected landing
change and how they can deal with the impacts through adapta- sites, of which 25 were from General Santos and 25 were from
tion, risk reduction, and diversification of livelihood (e.g., Songcuan Zamboanga City. The vulnerability indices for tuna in General
and Santos, 2013). Data from this variable were collected from local Santos and sardines in Zamboanga City indicate medium overall
leaders (i.e., city or provincial agriculturist officer). vulnerability (Table 6 and Fig. 3). Medium sensitivity and low adap-
tive capacity values (Table 6) indicate that the tuna and sardine
resources in General Santos and Zamboanga City are vulnerable
3.1.3.6. Access to information. The fisher’s ability to cope with the to climate change. This finding suggests that the effects of cli-
disasters brought about by climate change depends on their acces- mate change vary in different areas and depend on the nature
sibility to climate-related knowledge through different means (i.e., and level of resource dependency of the community. Thus, specific
TV, radio, newspaper, internet, school, etc.). and more localized management measures or adaptive strate-
gies should be developed for each area. The sardine sector in
Zamboanga City is more vulnerable to climate change than the
tuna sector in General Santos because of the high exposure of
3.1.3.7. Annual income from fishing. Livelihood income from fishing
the fishing grounds to localized typhoons, which makes fishing
is a common indicator that characterizes the economic profile of a
difficult or even prohibits fishing operations. Hence, policy mak-
community (e.g., Muallil et al., 2011; Mamauag et al., 2013). A high-
ers and program implementers should invest more on programs
average income generated from fishing indicates a lower capacity of
(e.g., livelihood and climate change awareness) that reduce the
the community to adapt to climate change stressors. A community
dependence of sardine fishers and other stakeholders in the sardine
has higher adaptive capacity if most of the livelihood income of the
sector.
people is derived from supplemental livelihoods or other sources.
Fig. 3. Vulnerability map of sardine and tuna sectors of barangay Cawit, Zamboanga City and barangay Tambler, General Santos.
180 M.R. Jacinto et al. / Fisheries Research 161 (2015) 174–181
3.2.1. Tuna in General Santos Muallil et al., 2011). Accordingly, the local government units (LGUs)
The exposure value for General Santos is low (Table 6), which in the area coordinate with BFAR IX for livelihood support services
indicates a low exposure to the impacts of climate change. Out to provide trainings and seminars for the fisherfolk.
of the 25 local fishermen interviewed, 92% live in disaster-free
areas and 62% have disaster-free fishing grounds. These findings 4. Conclusions
are supported by the 50-year storm trajectory record of NOAA,
which shows that Mindanao, the region where the study sites are The results revealed that the tuna and sardine sectors in Gen-
located, has not experienced any tropical storm for more than five eral Santos and Zamboanga City, respectively, are vulnerable to
decades. No incidences of landslides and flash floods in the com- climate change. Considering that General Santos and Zamboanga
munity have been reported. However, the city was struck by two City are the tuna and sardine capitals of the Philippines, appro-
strong typhoons, Sendong and Pablo, on December 16, 2011 and priate management measures should be promoted in these areas
December 3 2012, respectively. Additionally, approximately 77% for sustainable food production and security. VA is only an ini-
of the interviewed fishers associate the difficulty in catching tuna tial part of integrating CCA into development planning, and the
with high temperatures because tuna feed deeper during warm key step toward climate-resilient development is the identifica-
days. An increase in temperature will cause a stronger thermocline tion and implementation of adaptation options. These adaptation
that limits water mixing between cold deeper waters and warm options are often enhancements to already existing initiatives,
shallower waters, which in turn causes a decline in primary produc- such as providing alternative livelihoods for sardine fishers during
tivity (Gribbin, 1988; Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands Country closed seasons, integrating climate change into the fisheries pol-
Unit and the World Bank, 2000). In tropical regions, an increase icy frameworks, strengthening the capacity of the fisheries sector
in surface water temperature coupled with the decrease in pri- for adaptation to climate change, among others. High exposure and
mary productivity may cause tuna populations to migrate toward sensitivity to climate variability necessitate more diverse and effi-
higher latitudes (Lehodey et al., 1997). This distribution may slowly cient adaptation strategies. Between the sardine and tuna sectors,
deplete the stocks in the tropics. LGUs should prioritize the development of adaptation strategies for
Furthermore, 85% of the respondents experienced decreasing the sardine industry. Moreover, Fish Vool proved to be a useful tool
catch rate over the years as reflected on their sensitivity score. for assessing the climate change vulnerabilities of the tuna and sar-
According to statistics, the volume of tuna production in General dine sectors in General Santos and Zamboanga City and shows great
Santos decreased by 15% from 2008 to 2012 (Bureau of Agricultural potential for CCA mainstreaming (e.g., Santos et al., 2011; Mamauag
Statistics (BAS), 2012). The majority of local fishers greatly depend et al., 2013).
on the tuna industry for their livelihood; only 8% of the respondents Considering that 50 local fishermen do not represent the whole
have alternative livelihoods and other sources of income. population of tuna and sardine fishers in the area, we recommend
Adaptive capacity in General Santos is fairly low. Among the a larger sampling size for exhaustive data collection. The tool may
respondents, 85% are unaware of the impacts of climate change also be used for other fisheries commodities. The study shall be
in their livelihood, 92% have no sources of climate change-related continued to refine Fish Vool for the conduct of regional and sector-
information, and 77% have no adaptive strategies. Additionally, based VAs by all BFAR regional offices and centers in the country.
approximately 55% of the entire income of the community is gener-
ated from tuna fisheries, indicating high dependence on the sector Acknowledgments
and thus higher vulnerability. However, the current development in
agriculture (i.e., production of pineapple, durian, etc.) has increased
We thank the National Fisheries Research and Development
in General Santos, thereby relieving the pressure on the tuna indus-
Institute (NFRDI) for funding the study, especially Dir. Melchor
try caused by fishing activity and climate change to some extent.
Tayamen and Noel Barut for their support on the project. We also
thank the Genetic Fingerprinting Laboratory of NFRDI for providing
3.2.2. Sardines in Zamboanga City
relevant inputs in developing the tool. We gratefully appreciate the
Although located in Mindanao, Zamboanga City has higher
assistance given by Ming, Sam, and Mangi of BFAR XII and Mads,
exposure values than General Santos because most of the fishing
Pedling, and Saj of BFAR IX in the project logistics and conduct of
grounds are frequently impacted by localized typhoons. Accord- interviews.
ing to the climate projections of the Philippine Atmospheric,
Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)
Appendix A. Supplementary data
(2013) in Zamboanga City, the projected seasonal temperature,
rainfall, and frequency of extreme events has increased. The local
Supplementary material related to this article can be
fishers and community are already experiencing these changes,
found, in the online version, at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
especially the progressing rainfall and increase in temperature.
j.fishres.2014.07.007.
Moreover, 88% of the interviewed fishermen reported
decreasing catch rates over the past 20 years because of the
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