ESRES RTL Inception Report.Pdf
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Table of Contents LIST OF ACRONYMS .................................................................................................................... 1 1 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND ....................................................................... 2 1.A Background ................................................................................................................. 2 1.B Scope of Project ......................................................................................................... 2 1.C ESRES Real Time Learning Project ........................................................................... 3 1.C.1 What is RTL? .................................................................................................. 3 1.C.2 Project Team ................................................................................................... 3 1.C.3 ESRES Theory of Change .............................................................................. 4 1.C.4 The RTL Process ............................................................................................ 7 2 INCEPTION PERIOD ACTIVITIES ............................................................................... 8 2.A Design ......................................................................................................................... 8 2.A.1 Planning and Mobilisation ............................................................................... 8 2.A.2 Real Time Learning Launch Workshop ........................................................... 8 2.B Consolidation .............................................................................................................. 9 2.B.1 Coordination and Collaboration with ESRES Secretariat ................................. 9 2.B.2 Stakeholder Engagement ................................................................................ 9 2.B.3 Real Time Learning Group ............................................................................ 10 2.B.4 ESRES RTL Validation Event........................................................................ 11 3 IMPLEMENTATION PHASE WORK PLAN ................................................................ 12 3.A The RTL Process ...................................................................................................... 12 3.B Hybrid Mini-grid Development ................................................................................. 14 3.B.1 Fieldwork: Baseline and Post-implementation Assessment ........................... 15 3.B.2 Key Informant Interviews ............................................................................... 19 3.B.3 Focus Groups Discussions ............................................................................ 19 3.B.4 Case Studies ................................................................................................. 20 3.B.5 Fieldwork Data Analysis ................................................................................ 21 3.C Technical Assistance to MoEM ................................................................................ 21 3.D Establishing Renewable Energy Fund .................................................................... 22 4 RTL DELIVERABLES ................................................................................................ 23 4.A Objectives ................................................................................................................. 23 4.B Detailed Deliverables ................................................................................................ 24 4.B.1 RTL Contributions to the ESRES Logframe................................................... 24 4.B.2 Quarterly Progress Reports ........................................................................... 24 4.B.3 Annual RTL Workshops ................................................................................ 25 4.B.4 Annual Review .............................................................................................. 25 4.B.5 RTL Final Report ........................................................................................... 25 4.B.6 Value for Money Assessment ........................................................................ 26 5 COMMUNICATIONS STRATEGY .............................................................................. 28 5.A Principles .................................................................................................................. 28 5.B Audience ................................................................................................................... 28 Inception Report - Somaliland – ESRES Real Time Learning Process 5.C Content ...................................................................................................................... 30 5.D Formats ..................................................................................................................... 30 Annex 1 Updated Implementation Work plan .......................................................... 34 Annex 2 RTL Risk Matrix ........................................................................................... 38 Annex 3 ESRES Theory of Change (TOC) ................................................................ 44 Annex 4 Stakeholder Engagement Matrix ................................................................ 45 Inception Report - Somaliland – ESRES Real Time Learning Process List of Acronyms AfDB African Development Bank DFID UK Department for International Development EA Enumeration area ESRES Energy Security and Resource Efficiency Programme EPC Ethiopian Power Company FCAS Fragile and Conflict Affected States FGD Focus Group Discussion HFO Heavy-fuel oil ICF International Climate Fund ICT Information Communications Technology JSC Joint Steering Committee KII Key Informant Interview kWh Kilowatt-hour, a unit of power MDCD Mobile data collection devices MoEM Ministry of Energy and Minerals MoNPD Ministry of National Planning and Development NDP National Development Plan PEG Partnership for Economic Growth PIA Participatory Impact Assessment PPA Power purchase agreement PPD Public-Private Dialogue PRA Participatory Rural Appraisals RE Renewable energy RTL Real time learning RTLG Real Time Learning Group SDG Sustainable Development Goals SEA Somaliland Electricity Association SELP Somaliland Energy Livelihoods Project SRO Senior Responsible Owner STTA Short-term technical assistance TA Technical assistance USAID United States Agency for International Development UQ Upper Quartile WYGI WYG International • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Inception Report - Somaliland – ESRES Real Time Learning Process P a g e | 1 1 Introduction and Background 1.A Background Since declaring independence in 1991, Somaliland has succeeded in reaching a level of relative stability, which creates opportunities for socio-economic growth and development. However, the country still ranks, with the rest of Somalia, among the least-developed countries worldwide. Limited access to reliable, low-cost energy represents a major obstacle to development. Wood and charcoal are the most widespread sources of energy in Somaliland (90%), with imported petroleum representing nearly 100% of electricity generation. Not only are these fuels polluting, but they are available only in limited quantity and cannot therefore support the future development of the economy. Nearly three quarters of the Somaliland population, mostly in rural areas, have no access to electricity. When electricity is available, it can only be accessed at very expensive rates when available—anecdotally as much as $1.00/kWh (or even higher for fixed-price usage). This constitutes a major obstacle to both economic and social development. Another major issue is the lack of regulation and the widespread perception that the independent power providers take advantage of the situation to increase prices while delivering poor quality services. Residents in Hargeisa have reported accidents and fires due to poor cabling systems set up by power providers at low cost. Except in Hargeisa, which underwent a massive consolidation of electricity providers in 2015, Somaliland’s antiquated electricity infrastructure is run by a decentralised network of local privately owned power providers or large companies selling off excess electricity generated in-house. In Hargeisa, before the recent consolidation, there were over 100 power providers, each serving a specific city zone with its own network generating and distributing power to end-users.1 As of January 2016, these power providers have largely been consolidated into just three: Kaah (General Electric), Alleel, and Gaafane, although the telecom companies (Telesom and Somtel) are also still involved in providing electricity service. This consolidation is likely to impact the price of electricity, although exactly how will be a function of the effectiveness of regulation. It could also lead to pooling of capital and potentially support increased investment in energy infrastructure. Renewable energy (RE) technology constitutes a potential opportunity for power providers, but it requires heavy capital investment and access to finance remains a major constraint in Somaliland. Power providers are unlikely to move towards RE until it has proven its commercial viability. Thus, international assistance is needed to allow the sector to grow.