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Baseline Report Cheshire West and Chester

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Baseline Report Cheshire West and Chester Cheshire West and Chester Integrated Transport Strategy: Baseline Report Cheshire West and Chester July 2009 QM Issue/revision Issue 1 Revision 1 Revision 2 Revision 3 Remarks Final draft Final Date 28/5/09 24/07/09 Prepared by Roy Desouza Roy Desouza Signature Checked by J Marsh J Marsh Signature Authorised by R Elliott R Elliott Signature Project number 11550051 11550051 File reference 090724 CW&C 090724 CW&C Baseline Baseline Report.doc Report.doc WSP Development and Transportation The Victoria 150-182 The Quays Salford Website: www.wspgroup.com Manchester WSP is one of the world's fastest-growing design, engineering and management M50 3SP consultancies. Specialising in property, transport and environmental projects, we work Tel: +44 (0)161 886 2400 with clients to create built and natural environments for the future. Fax: +44 (0)161 886 2401 CONFIDENTIAL http://www.wspgroup.com This e-mail is confidential to the named recipient. If you have received a copy in error, WSP UK Limited | Registered Address WSP House,please 70 Chancery destroy Lane, London, it. You WC2A may 1AF, not UK | useReg No. or 01383511 disclose England the | WSPcontents Group pl cof | Offices this worldwidee-mail to anyone, nor take copies of it. The only copies permitted are (1) by the named recipient and (2) for the purposes of completing successful electronic transmission to the named recipient Contents 1 Introduction 1 2 Population, Travel Pattern and Economic Analysis and Trends 8 3 Understanding the Local Transport Network 45 4 Summary and Conclusions 109 Appendix A Additional Traffic Data Appendix B Accession Plots Appendix C Discussions With Representatives Of Community Rail Partnerships Error! No table of contents entries found. Error! No table of contents entries found. FIGURES 1.1 Cheshire West and Chester in context 2.3 Cheshire West and Chester sub-area boundaries 2.14 Resident location of people working in Cheshire West and Chester 2.15 Work location of Cheshire West and Chester residents 2.16 Resident location of people working in Chester 2.17 Work location of Chester residents 2.18 Resident location of people working in Ellesmere Port 2.19 Work location of Ellesmere Port residents 2.20 Resident location of people working in Northwich and Rural North 2.21 Work location of Northwich and Rural North residents 2.22 Resident location of people working in Northwich Town Area 2.23 Work location of Northwich Town Area residents 2.24 Resident location of people working in Winsford and Rural East 2.25 Work location of Winsford and Rural East residents 2.26 Resident location of people working in Winsford Town Area 2.27 Work location of Winsford Town Area residents 2.28 Resident location of people working in Rural West 2.29 Work location of Rural West residents 2.30 Resident location of people working in Neston 2.31 Work location of Neston residents 2.32 Resident location of people working in Rural West excluding Neston 2.33 Work location of Rural West residents excluding Neston 3.1 Cheshire West and Chester road network hierarchy 3.7 Cheshire West and Chester Rail Network 3.8 Cheshire West and Chester Local Bus Network 3.9 Chester Local Bus Network 3.10 Ellesmere Port Local Bus Network 3.11 Northwich Local Bus Network 3.12 Winsford Local Bus Network 3.13 Neston Local Bus Network 3.14 Bus frequencies on interurban corridors 3.15 Chester Park and Ride locations 3.16 Designated Cycle Routes in Cheshire West and Chester 4 4 1 Introduction 1.1 OVERVIEW 1.1.1 WSP, in association with Lambert Smith Hampton, has been appointed by the new Cheshire West and Chester authority to provide consultancy support in undertaking an Integrated Transport Study. The key requirement of this study is to ensure that a comprehensive evidence base is assembled that will underpin the development of the Authority’s Local Development Framework (LDF) and then the authority’s Local Transport Plan (LTP). Initially this involves reviewing the key development proposals in the authority’s area and compiling data that describes the current and future transport demands. 1.1.2 This baseline report sets out this body of data which will be analysed and turned into intelligence from which problems and issues are identified and prioritised. 1.1.3 The brief also requires WSP to evaluate the available modelling tools and determine whether these are likely to provide an adequate evidence base to support the development of the LDF. 1.1.4 The study will then seek to generate options for addressing these future challenges that will need to be capable, in the future, of being turned into a clear and deliverable programme of action informing the spatial planning decisions to be made in accommodating required growth in the authority’s area. 1.2 REPORT STRUCTURE 1.2.1 The report is structured as follows: Section 2 – Population, Travel Pattern and Economic Analysis and Trends Section 3 – Understanding the Local Transport Network Section 4 – Summary and Conclusion 1.2.2 An Annex to this report (separate document) includes the following sections: Policy Review Transport Modelling Review 1.3 AREA APPRECIATION 1.3.1 The Cheshire West and Chester area is shown in its regional geographical context on Figure 1.1. 1.3.2 Cheshire West & Chester currently has a population of approximately 330,000 (2009 Estimate). The population of the area is forecast to rise from about 328,000 in 2006 to around 346,000 by 2026. This is an increase of 18,000, averaging at growth of 1,000 people each year. 1.3.3 The age profile of Cheshire West & Chester’s population is forecast to change broadly in line with national trends. In particular: The number of people aged 65 to 84 will increase by just over 40% between 2006 and 2026, from 50,000 to 71,000; The number of people aged 85 or older will nearly double between 2006 and 2026, from 7,000 to 13,000; 1 The number of residents aged 16 to 64 (working age) falls slightly, by around 3%, between 2006 and 2026; and, There will be around 5% fewer children under the age of 16 living in Cheshire West and Chester by 2026 than there were in 2006. 1.3.4 The Authority covers an area of some 916 square kilometres and contains the key settlements of Chester, Ellesmere Port and Neston to the west, Frodsham to the north and Northwich and Winsford to the east. Large parts of central and southern West Cheshire are rural and the rural population (from DEFRA’s rural statistics) is some 85,760 or 26% of the total population. The rural economy is still serviced from smaller settlements, but there is also a substantial long-distance commuter population resident in the countryside which looks across the authority’s borders for employment. 1.4 CROSS BOUNDARY CONNECTIONS 1.4.1 The new authority has strong connections with its surrounding authorities. To the north, the area abuts the densely urbanised areas of the Wirral, Halton (Runcorn) and Warrington. The north western edge of the authority borders Merseyside, bringing close contacts with Wirral MBC and Merseytravel, as Integrated Transport Authority. In the east and south, it adjoins the more rural areas of the newly formed East Cheshire authority as well as part of Shropshire. The authority has a border to the west with North Wales in general and specifically with two of its constituent unitary councils (Wrexham and Flintshire). The transport interests of these bodies are represented by the Councils, their consortium (Taith) in respect of transport planning, and at greater remove, by the Welsh Assembly Government. A specific issue for Chester is that the urban area of the city extends into Wales. 1.4.2 While there is no common boundary the important economic role that Greater Manchester has in the North West also needs to be recognised and there are relatively strong employment and commercial ties between the Northwich area, in particular, and Greater Manchester. 1.5 WEST CHESHIRE GROWTH POINT 1.5.1 One of the key influences on the study is the West Cheshire Growth Point initiative, which seeks to significantly accelerate the pace of housing growth in the area, balanced with complementary economic development proposals. Government accepted the Growth Point proposals in July 2008 and awarded enabling funding in December 2008. Information provided by this study will assist in establishing the transport options that will need to be considered in implementing the proposals. 1.5.2 The strategy for West Cheshire will concentrate new growth in four key locations of Chester, Ellesmere Port, Northwich and Winsford. These four key locations are identified as areas where regeneration priorities are greatest and where there are a number of available sites that can deliver sustainable development. 1.5.3 A key objective behind the West Cheshire Growth Point is to link areas of housing potential to areas of employment and economic opportunity so as to create a more self contained sustainable area. There is therefore an opportunity to ensure that housing and economic growth is accompanied by a transport strategy that contributes to this overall objective. 2 1.5.4 The intention in terms of housing is to deliver an additional 2,700 units between 2007/08 and 2016/17, over and above the 11,853 already identified in the Regional Spatial Strategy, an increase of 23%. A prime motivation of the Growth Point is that of increasing the supply of affordable housing, which has been limited during years of strength in the market. Therefore, 30-40% of the new homes are expected to be delivered as affordable housing.
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