[Korea] Entertainment March 19, 2021 JYP Entertainment Buy (035900 KQ ) (Maintain) Firming up TP: W47,000 Upside: 33.5% Mirae Asset Daewoo Co., Ltd. Jeong -yeob Park
[email protected] 4Q20 review Consolidated revenue of W41.7bn ( -6% YoY), OP of W10.5bn ( -22.1% YoY); in -line results In 4Q20, JYP Entertainment’s top line contracted due to the absence of concerts; however, robust album/digital content revenue provided a cushion. Due to changes in the revenue mix, royalty fees and production costs fell 6% and 12% YoY, respectively, leading to gross margin improvement (+4.4%p YoY to 54.2%). Album/digital music (+47.1% YoY): A total of 1.04mn copies were sold, including 480,000 copies for TWICE, 200,000 copies for Stray Kids, and 340,000 copies for GOT7. Management (-53.6% YoY): Concerts (-100% YoY) and advertising (-40% YoY) were hit hard by the pandemic. Merchandise/other (-26.2% YoY): YouTube revenue (W4.7bn; +102% YoY) was boosted by NiziU’s growing fan base. Despite higher SG&A expenses (labor and commissions), a shift in income source from management to content improved underlying profitability. Growing optimism on 2021 Watch for global projects and greater monetization in 2021 earnings Despite being relatively new, the group NiziU contributed W5bn to 4Q20 revenue across album sales, digital content, and YouTube. JYP Entertainment has a strong next-generation lineup (Stray Kids and ITZY) and ample new artist momentum (an audition show titled LOUD will air in May). The company is also continuing to work on its global lineup (China’s Project C, a Japanese boy band, and a new artist development partnership in the US).