DOCSLIB.ORG

United Republic of Tanzania

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
United Republic of Tanzania United Republic of Tanzania POWER SYSTEM MASTER PLAN 2012 UPDATE Produced by: Ministry of Energy and Minerals May 2013 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AfDB African Development Bank BoT Bank of Tanzania CCM Chama Cha Mapinduzi COSS Cost of Service Study DSM Demand-side Management EAPMP East Africa Power Master Plan EEPCo Ethiopia Electric Power Company EPC Engineering, Procurement and Construction Contract ERT Energizing Rural Transformation ESKOM Electricity Supply Company (RSA) EWURA Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority FYDP Five Years Development Plan GoT Government of the United Republic of Tanzania GWh Gigawatt-hours = 1,000,000,000 watt-hours GWh Gigawatt-hours = 1,000,000,000 watt-hours IDC Interest During Construction IPP Independent Power Producer IPTL Independent Power Tanzania Limited KPLC Kenya Power and Lighting Company kWh Kilowatt-hours = 1,000 watt-hours LTPP Long Term Plan Perspective MCA-T Millennium Challenge Account Tanzania MEM Ministry of Energy and Minerals MKUKUTA Mkakati wa Kukuza Uchumi na Kupunguza Umasikini Tanzania MKUZA Mkakati wa Kukuza Uchumi Zanzibar MoF Ministry of Finance MPEE Ministry of Planning, Economy and Empowerment MPIP Medium-Term Public Investment Plan MVA Mega Volt Ampere MVAr Mega Volt Ampere Reactive MW Megawatt = 1000,000 watts MWh Megawatt-hours = 1,000,000 watt-hours NBS National Bureau of Statistics NDC National Development Corporation NGO Non-Governmental Organisations POPC President‘s Office Planning Commission PPA Power Purchase Agreement i PPP Public Private Partnership PSMP Power System Master Plan R&D Research and Development REA Rural Energy Agency REB Rural Energy Board REF Rural Energy Fund SADC Southern African Development Community SAPP South African Power Pool SEZ Special Economic Zone SME Small and Medium Enterprises SNC SNC-Lavalin International Inc. SPP Small Power Producer SVC Static Var Compensator TANESCO Tanzania Electric Supply Company Limited TANWAT Tanzania Wattle Company TEDAP Tanzania Energy Development and Access Project TPC Tanzania Plantation Company TPDC Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation URT United Republic of Tanzania USD United States Dollar WVES Way Leave Village Electrification Study ZECO Zanzibar Electricity Corporation ZTK Zambia – Tanzania – Kenya Interconnector ii Contents List of abbreviations ....................................................................................................................... i Acknowledgement ...................................................................................................................... vii CHAPTER one ............................................................................................................................ 1 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Purpose and Scope ....................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Scope of the work .......................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Information collected for the PSMP Update ................................................................... 2 1.4 Factors considered in the Update plan .......................................................................... 3 CHAPTER TWO .......................................................................................................................... 5 2 POWER DEMAND FORECAST ........................................................................................... 5 2.1 Background ................................................................................................................... 5 2.2 Issues related to the load forecast ................................................................................. 5 2.3 National economy .......................................................................................................... 6 2.4 The Energy Sector ...................................................................................................... 12 2.5 Forecast Approach and Methodology .......................................................................... 20 2.6 Regional forecast ........................................................................................................ 26 2.7 Derivation of global energy sales forecast ................................................................... 34 2.7.1 Forecast Results .................................................................................................. 39 2.8 Sensitivity .................................................................................................................... 42 2.9 Comparison of Trend Analysis and Econometric Analysis ........................................... 43 CHAPTER THREE .................................................................................................................... 45 3 GENERATION .................................................................................................................... 45 3.1 Existing Generation Plants .......................................................................................... 45 3.2 Future Generation Options .......................................................................................... 49 3.2.1 Hydroelectric power ..................................................................................................... 49 3.2.1.1 Hydrology and Hydro System Capability .............................................................. 49 3.2.1.2 Hydrological Data Update ..................................................................................... 49 3.2.1.3 Hydro generation simulations ............................................................................... 49 3.2.1.4 Existing Hydroelectric Power Plants ..................................................................... 50 3.3 Development costs ...................................................................................................... 67 3.3.1 Generation Costs ................................................................................................. 69 3.4 Plant Data and Operating Costs .................................................................................. 73 3.5 Import Options - The Zambia-Tanzania-K Inter-connector ........................................... 76 3.6 Security of supply from Zambia through ZTK interconnector ....................................... 78 3.7 Other power interchanges ........................................................................................... 79 3.8 Renewable .................................................................................................................. 80 3.8.1 Nuclear ................................................................................................................. 83 3.8.2 Solar Photo Voltaic (PV) ....................................................................................... 84 iii 3.9 Generation Plan Results .............................................................................................. 84 3.10 Ranking on costs of new power options....................................................................... 86 3.11 Basic technical screening ............................................................................................ 86 3.12 Project Ranking and Availability .................................................................................. 86 3.13 Detailed Generation Costs and Screening Tables ....................................................... 88 3.14 Environmental and Social Impact Assessment ............................................................ 91 3.15 Status of environmental assessments ......................................................................... 93 3.16 Project Assessments in the Current PSMP .................................................................. 93 CHAPTER FOUR ...................................................................................................................... 94 4 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN ................................................................................ 94 4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 94 4.2 Load flow analysis ..................................................................................................... 110 4.2.1 Year-2012 case .................................................................................................. 110 4.2.2 Year-2015 case .................................................................................................. 112 4.2.3 Year-2020 case .................................................................................................. 115 4.2.4 Year-2035 case .................................................................................................. 118 4.3 Transmission System Costs ...................................................................................... 121 4.3.1 Summary of cost estimate .................................................................................. 125 CHAPTER FIVE ...................................................................................................................... 133 5 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS ....................................................................... 133 5.1 Main Assumptions ....................................................................................................
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Community Concerns of Orphans and Development Association (Cocoda) P
    COMMUNITY CONCERNS OF ORPHANS AND DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION (COCODA) P. O. BOX 712, NJOMBE - CHAUNGINGI STREET ALONG SONGEA ROAD, OPPOSITE TANESCO REGIONAL OFFICE Email: [email protected] Website: www.cocoda.or.tz COCODA 2019 ANNUAL REPORT COMMUNITY CONCERN OF ORPHANS AND DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION REPORTING PERIOD: 1 JANUARY – 31 DECEMBER 2019 Projects Implemented Councils • SAUTI Project Njombe Region councils: Njombe Town Council • USAID KIZAZI KIPYA Project • • Njombe District Council • USAID Tulonge Afya • Makambako Town Council • Makete District Council • Wanging’ombe District Council • Ludewa District Council Prime Recipients Implementing Partners • DELOITTE CONSULTANCY LTD • LGAs JHPIEGO • • Health facilities • PACT TANZANIA • FHI360 Programme/Project Budget/Year Programme Duration • SAUTI 182,970,583 5 Years • USAID KIZAZI KIPYA 297,158,227 5 Years • USAID TULONGE AFYA 159,376,560 5 Years TOTAL: 639,505,370 Report Submitted By o Name: Mary Kahemele o Title: Executive Director o Organization: COCODA o Email address: [email protected] o Phone No: 0754 071 288 1 Table of Contents List of Acronyms / Abbreviations ................................................................................ 3 Executive Summary ................................................................................................... 4 PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION ..................................................................................... 5 I. SAUTI PROJECT .................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • MC Monthly Report Status
    MC Monthly Report Status Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Facility Name Entry Status Entry Status Entry Status Entry Status Entry Status Bomalang'ombe Health Centre Bulongwa Health Centre Idodi Health Centre Ifwagi Health Center IGOMA DISPENSARY Ihungilo dispensary Ikonda Health Centre Ikuwo Health Centre Ilembula Mission Hospital Ilula District Hospital Imalinyi Dispensary Ipogolo Health Centre Iringa Regional Hospital Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Isele Dispensary Ismani Health Centre Itulahumba Dispensary Kasanga Health Centre Kibena Town Hospital Kidabaga Health Centre Kidugala Health Centre Kimande Dispensary Kiponzelo Health Centre Kisanga Dispensary Ludewa District Hospital Lugalawa Hospital Lugoda Hospital Lupembe Health Centre Lupila Dispensary Lupingu Dispensary Lwila Health Centre Lyasa Health centre Madege Dispensary Mafinga District Hospital Makambako Health Centre Makete District Hospital Makoga Health Centre Makowo Dispensary Maliwa Dispensary Manda Health Ceantre Mavanga Health Centre Mawengi Dispensary Mgololo Health center Migori Dispensary Milo Hospital Mtambula Dispensary Mtandika Health Centre Mtwango Dispensary Mundidi Health centre Mwatasi Dispensary Ngalanga dispensary Ngome Health Centre Nyombo Dispensary Nyumbanitu Dispensary Pomerini dispensary Sadani Health Center Saint Lukes Dispensary Tanangozi Dispensary TANWAT Hospital Tosamaganga District Hospital Ugwachanya Dispensary Ujuni Dispensary Ukalawa dispensary Uliwa Dispensary Usokami HC Key: Not Applicable Available Not Available Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10
    [Show full text]
  • Bioenergy's Role in Balancing the Electricity Grid and Providing Storage Options – an EU Perspective
    Bioenergy's role in balancing the electricity grid and providing storage options – an EU perspective Front cover information panel IEA Bioenergy: Task 41P6: 2017: 01 Bioenergy's role in balancing the electricity grid and providing storage options – an EU perspective Antti Arasto, David Chiaramonti, Juha Kiviluoma, Eric van den Heuvel, Lars Waldheim, Kyriakos Maniatis, Kai Sipilä Copyright © 2017 IEA Bioenergy. All rights Reserved Published by IEA Bioenergy IEA Bioenergy, also known as the Technology Collaboration Programme (TCP) for a Programme of Research, Development and Demonstration on Bioenergy, functions within a Framework created by the International Energy Agency (IEA). Views, findings and publications of IEA Bioenergy do not necessarily represent the views or policies of the IEA Secretariat or of its individual Member countries. Foreword The global energy supply system is currently in transition from one that relies on polluting and depleting inputs to a system that relies on non-polluting and non-depleting inputs that are dominantly abundant and intermittent. Optimising the stability and cost-effectiveness of such a future system requires seamless integration and control of various energy inputs. The role of energy supply management is therefore expected to increase in the future to ensure that customers will continue to receive the desired quality of energy at the required time. The COP21 Paris Agreement gives momentum to renewables. The IPCC has reported that with current GHG emissions it will take 5 years before the carbon budget is used for +1,5C and 20 years for +2C. The IEA has recently published the Medium- Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2016, launched on 25.10.2016 in Singapore.
    [Show full text]
  • A New Era for Wind Power in the United States
    Chapter 3 Wind Vision: A New Era for Wind Power in the United States 1 Photo from iStock 7943575 1 This page is intentionally left blank 3 Impacts of the Wind Vision Summary Chapter 3 of the Wind Vision identifies and quantifies an array of impacts associated with continued deployment of wind energy. This 3 | Summary Chapter chapter provides a detailed accounting of the methods applied and results from this work. Costs, benefits, and other impacts are assessed for a future scenario that is consistent with economic modeling outcomes detailed in Chapter 1 of the Wind Vision, as well as exist- ing industry construction and manufacturing capacity, and past research. Impacts reported here are intended to facilitate informed discus- sions of the broad-based value of wind energy as part of the nation’s electricity future. The primary tool used to evaluate impacts is the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s (NREL’s) Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model. ReEDS is a capacity expan- sion model that simulates the construction and operation of generation and transmission capacity to meet electricity demand. In addition to the ReEDS model, other methods are applied to analyze and quantify additional impacts. Modeling analysis is focused on the Wind Vision Study Scenario (referred to as the Study Scenario) and the Baseline Scenario. The Study Scenario is defined as wind penetration, as a share of annual end-use electricity demand, of 10% by 2020, 20% by 2030, and 35% by 2050. In contrast, the Baseline Scenario holds the installed capacity of wind constant at levels observed through year-end 2013.
    [Show full text]
  • Final Energy Report Tanzania
    Final Energy report Tanzania Commissioned by the Netherlands Enterprise Agency Report Tanzania Author: Kees Mokveld & Steven von Eije (RVO.nl) Date: 30-7-2018 Version: 6 (final) RVO 1. Tanzania general overview ...................................................................................................... 2 2. Energy overview ....................................................................................................................... 3 3. Renewable energy ................................................................................................................... 6 4. Energy efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 9 5. Governmental framework ..................................................................................................... 11 6. Regulatory framework ........................................................................................................... 14 7. Access to finance.................................................................................................................... 16 8. Opportunities and barriers for Dutch renewable energy companies in Tanzania ................ 18 9. Dutch companies active in Tanzania ...................................................................................... 22 10. Relevant Dutch support schemes .......................................................................................... 23 11. Relevant international donors ..............................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Revisiting Public-Private Partnerships in the Power Sector
    Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Revisiting Public-Private Partnerships in the Power Sector A WORLD BANK STUDY Revisiting Public-Private Partnerships in the Power Sector Maria Vagliasindi Washington, D.C. © 2013 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet: www.worldbank.org Some rights reserved 1 2 3 4 16 15 14 13 World Bank Studies are published to communicate the results of the Bank’s work to the development community with the least possible delay. The manuscript of this paper therefore has not been prepared in accordance with the procedures appropriate to formally edited texts. This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. Note that The World Bank does not necessarily own each component of the content included in the work. The World Bank therefore does not warrant that the use of the content contained in the work will not infringe on the rights of third parties. The risk of claims resulting from such infringement rests solely with you. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denomina- tions, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.
    [Show full text]
  • Innovation Landscape for a Renewable-Powered Future: Solutions to Integrate Variable Renewables
    INNOVATION LANDSCAPE FOR A RENEWABLE-POWERED FUTURE: SOLUTIONS TO INTEGRATE VARIABLE RENEWABLES SUMMARY FOR POLICY MAKERS POLICY FOR SUMMARY INNOVATION LANDSCAPE FOR A RENEWABLE POWER FUTURE Copyright © IRENA 2019 Unless otherwise stated, material in this publication may be freely used, shared, copied, reproduced, printed and/or stored, provided that appropriate acknowledgement is given of IRENA as the source and copyright holder. Material in this publication that is attributed to third parties may be subject to separate terms of use and restrictions, and appropriate permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before any use of such material. Citation: IRENA (2019), Innovation landscape for a renewable-powered future: Solutions to integrate variable renewables. Summary for policy makers. International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu Dhabi. Disclaimer This publication and the material herein are provided “as is”. All reasonable precautions have been taken by IRENA to verify the reliability of the material in this publication. However, neither IRENA nor any of its officials, agents, data or other third-party content providers provides a warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied, and they accept no responsibility or liability for any consequence of use of the publication or material herein. The information contained herein does not necessarily represent the views of the Members of IRENA. The mention of specific companies or certain projects or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by IRENA in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. The designations employed and the presentation of material herein do not imply the expression of any opinion on the part of IRENA concerning the legal status of any region, country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of frontiers or boundaries.
    [Show full text]
  • Lake Tanganyika Strategic Action Programme
    ,,,,/ The Strategic Action Programme for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of the Natural Resources of Lake Tanganyika and its Basin November 2010 1 Page for Signature 2 Contents ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ............................................................................................................................. 5 FOREWORD ............................................................................................................................................. 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................. 8 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS .......................................................................................................... 9 GLOSSARY OF TERMS ............................................................................................................................ 12 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 15 1.1 NEED FOR JOINT ACTION - SHARED RESOURCES IN LAKE TANGANYIKA AND ITS BASIN ............................ 15 1.1.1 The Lake Tanganyika and its Basin .................................................................................. 15 1.1.2 The People ....................................................................................................................... 16 1.1.3 Causes of Threats to Biodiversity and Sustainable Use of Natural Resources in the Lake Basin 18 1.1.4 Previous Projects
    [Show full text]
  • 2019 Clean Energy Plan
    2019 Clean Energy Plan A Brighter Energy Future for Michigan Solar Gardens power plant at This Clean Energy Plan charts Grand Valley State University. a course for Consumers Energy to embrace the opportunities and meet the challenges of a new era, while safely serving Michigan with affordable, reliable energy for decades to come. Executive Summary A New Energy Future for Michigan Consumers Energy is seizing a once-in-a-generation opportunity to redefine our company and to help reshape Michigan’s energy future. We’re viewing the world through a wider lens — considering how our decisions impact people, the planet and our state’s prosperity. At a time of unprecedented change in the energy industry, we’re uniquely positioned to act as a driving force for good and take the lead on what it means to run a clean and lean energy company. This Clean Energy Plan, filed under Michigan’s Integrated Resource Plan law, details our proposed strategy to meet customers’ long-term energy needs for years to come. We developed our plan by gathering input from a diverse group of key stakeholders to build a deeper understanding of our shared goals and modeling a variety of future scenarios. Our Clean Energy Plan aligns with our Triple Bottom Line strategy (people, planet, prosperity). By 2040, we plan to: • End coal use to generate electricity. • Reduce carbon emissions by 90 percent from 2005 levels. • Meet customers’ needs with 90 percent clean energy resources. Consumers Energy 2019 Clean Energy Plan • Executive Summary • 2 The Process Integrated Resource Planning Process We developed the Clean Energy Plan for 2019–2040 considering people, the planet and Identify Goals Load Forecast Existing Resources Michigan’s prosperity by modeling a variety of assumptions, such as market prices, energy Determine Need for New Resources demand and levels of clean energy resources (wind, solar, batteries and energy waste Supply Transmission and Distribution Demand reduction).
    [Show full text]
  • Lake Tanganyika Biodiversity Project Projet Sur La Biodiversité Du Lac Tanganyika
    Lake Tanganyika Biodiversity Project Projet sur la Biodiversité du Lac Tanganyika Lake Tanganyika: Results and Experiences of the UNDP/GEF Conservation Initiative (RAF/92/G32) in Burundi, D.R. Congo, Tanzania, and Zambia prepared by Kelly West 28 February 2001 TABLE of CONTENTS ACRONYMS 08 CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION to LAKE TANGANYIKA 11 1.1 Why is Lake Tanganyika Special? 11 1.1.1 Physiographic Considerations 11 1.1.2 Biological Considerations 12 1.1.3 Socio-Political Considerations 17 1.2 Threats to this Resource 19 1.2.1 Pollution 19 1.2.2 Sedimentation 20 1.2.3 Overfishing 21 1.2.4 People 22 CHAPTER 2. ORIGIN, STRUCTURE and EVOLUTION of LTBP 23 2.1 History 23 2.2 Project Objectives 25 2.3 Project Structure 25 2.4 Chronology of LTBP 28 CHAPTER 3. IMPLEMENTATION and OUTPUTS of LTBP 31 3.1 Capacity-Building and Training 31 3.1.1 Material Capacity Building 31 3.1.2 Human Capacity Building and Training 32 3.2 Technical Programmes 35 3.2.1 Biodiversity Special Study 35 3.2.1.1 Objectives and Strategy 35 3.2.1.2 Products 36 3.2.1.2.1 Methodology 37 3.2.1.2.2 Human Capacity 38 3.2.1.2.3 Databases 38 3.2.1.2.4 Biodiversity in Lake Tanganyika 39 Habitats 39 Lakewide Biodiversity Patterns 41 Biodiversity Patterns near PAs 41 3.2.2 Pollution Special Study 45 3.2.2.1 Objectives and Strategy 45 3.2.2.2 Products 46 3.2.2.2.1 Water Quality Studies 46 3.2.2.2.2 Industrial Pollution Inventory 47 Bujumbura, Burundi 48 2 Uvira, D.R.
    [Show full text]
  • PURPA and Solar by Robert Shapiro, in Washington
    April 2017 PURPA and Solar by Robert Shapiro, in Washington Solar developers are again using a 1978 federal law that requires utilities to sign long-term power purchase agreements to secure utility PPAs after years of disuse, but the recent track record of developers trying to use this statute is mixed. The law, called the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act or PURPA, requires utilities to buy electricity from renewable energy projects of up to 80 megawatts in size at the “avoided cost” the utility would otherwise spend to purchase or generate the electricity itself. PURPA is expected to overtake state renewable portfolio standards as the biggest driver for utility-scale PPAs in 2017 due to falling solar electricity prices. Solar electricity can now be delivered at less than utility avoided costs in such states as North Carolina, Georgia, Utah and Oregon. Any developer planning to use PURPA should analyze first how likely it is to end up bat- tling with the utility before the state public utility commission and, if so, with what likeli- hood of success. Potentially Useful Tool For more than 10 years, renewable energy developers have relied on renewable portfolio standards, or RPS, created under state laws as the primary way to get a utility to enter into a long-term PPA that can support project financing. Twenty-nine states and the District of Columbia have RPS standards. However, as most of the state utilities in RPS states have signed / continued page 2 IN THIS ISSUE 1 PURPA and Solar 6 Emerging Storage A TAX EQUITY TRANSACTION was set aside on audit.
    [Show full text]
  • Electric Power Grid Modernization Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities
    Electric Power Grid Modernization Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities Michael I. Henderson, Damir Novosel, and Mariesa L. Crow November 2017. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 United States License. Background The traditional electric power grid connected large central generating stations through a high- voltage (HV) transmission system to a distribution system that directly fed customer demand. Generating stations consisted primarily of steam stations that used fossil fuels and hydro turbines that turned high inertia turbines to produce electricity. The transmission system grew from local and regional grids into a large interconnected network that was managed by coordinated operating and planning procedures. Peak demand and energy consumption grew at predictable rates, and technology evolved in a relatively well-defined operational and regulatory environment. Ove the last hundred years, there have been considerable technological advances for the bulk power grid. The power grid has been continually updated with new technologies including increased efficient and environmentally friendly generating sources higher voltage equipment power electronics in the form of HV direct current (HVdc) and flexible alternating current transmission systems (FACTS) advancements in computerized monitoring, protection, control, and grid management techniques for planning, real-time operations, and maintenance methods of demand response and energy-efficient load management. The rate of change in the electric power industry continues to accelerate annually. Drivers for Change Public policies, economics, and technological innovations are driving the rapid rate of change in the electric power system. The power system advances toward the goal of supplying reliable electricity from increasingly clean and inexpensive resources. The electrical power system has transitioned to the new two-way power flow system with a fast rate and continues to move forward (Figure 1).
    [Show full text]