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Speurwerk 7996 Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk 7996 Bundeling van bijdragen aan het colloquium gehouden te Rotterdam op 28 - 29 november 1996 Redactie A.M.T. Mouwen N. Kalfs B. Covers Deel 3 Kaftontwerp: Jos’ Ontwerp Studio, Breda COLLOQUIUM VERVOERSPLANOLOGISCH SPEURWERK Het doel van het Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk is een ontmoetingsplaats te vormen waar nieuwe inzichten en ideeën met betrekking tot de vervoersplarming en de raakvlakken hiervan met de ruimtelijke planning worden gepresenteerd en besproken. De auteurs bezitten auteursrechten van hun bijdragen. Bestelling van boeken: Dit verslag, dat uit drie delen bestaat, kan worden besteld door overmaking van f 150,- op girorekening 58.0621 ten name van de penningmeester van het Colloquium Vervoers- planologisch Speurwerk, Legmeerstraat 62/2h, 1058 NG Amsterdam, onder vermelding van “CVS 1996” en de naam en adres van de besteller. Aanbevolen literatuurverwijzing: A.M.T. Mouwen, N. Kalfs & B. Govers (red.). “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 1996 - Beheersbare mobiliteit: een utopie?“. Delft, C.V.S., 1996. 111 TRANSPORTATION PLANNING RESEARCH COLLOQUIUM The purpose of the Transportation Planning Research Colloquium is to provide a meeting ground for the presentation and discussion of new insights and ideas in the field of transportation and its relationship with spatial planning. Authors retain al1 rights in their papers. Orders for books: Copies of this publication CVS-1996, which exists of three volumes, can be ordered from the treasurer of the Transportation Planning Research Colloquium, Legmeerstraat 62/2h, NL-1058 NG Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Suggested citation: A.M.T. Mouwen, N. Kalfs & B. Govers (red.). “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 1996 - Beheersbare mobiliteit: een utopie?“. Delft, C.V.S., 1996. IV LIST OF PUBLISHED PROCEEDINGS OF THE PREVIOUS COLLOQUIA 1. P.H.L. Bovy et al (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1974- modellen en methoden in de vervoersplanologie”. 2. F. le Clercq et al (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1975- praktijk en model in de vervoers- planning”. 3. J.P.J.M. van Est et al (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1976- planevaluatie, vervoersmodellen en ruimtelijk keuzegedrag”. 4. G.R.M. Jansen et al (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1977- veranderingen in en om vervoers- planologisch onderzoek”. 5. G.R.M. Jansen et al (red.) “New developments in modelling navel demand and urban systems: some results of recent Dutch research”. Famborough, Saxon House, 1979 (alleen via boekhandel). 6. F. le Clercq et al (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1979- vervoersstudies, -modellen en methoden”. Delft, 1979. V 7. P.H.L. Bovy et al (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1980- mobiliteit, ruimtelijke interactie en vervoerssysteemgebruik”. Delft, 1980. 8. C.J. Ruijgrok & J.P.J.M. van Est (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 198 l- nieuwe tendensen in de vervoers- planologie”. Delft, 1981. 9. J.G. Smit & F. le Clercq (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 1982- openbaar vervoer, kompakte stad en mobiliteit”. Delft, 1982. 10. P.H.L. Bovy (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1983- Transportation and stagnation; challenges for planning and research (2 volumes). Delft, 1983. ll. G.R.M. Jansen et al (red.) “Transportation and Mobility in arr Era of Transition” Elsevier/North-Holland, 1985 (alleen via de boekhandel). 12. J.P. van Est (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 1984- Mobiliteit in beweging” (2 delen). Delft, 1984. VI 13. F. le Clercq (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1985- Dynamiek in verkeer en mobiliteit” (2 delen). Delft, 1985. 14. G.R.M. Jansen (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1986- Mobiliteit, transport en technologische vernieuwing” (2 delen). Delft, 1986. 15. E.J. Verroen (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -19X7- 8 miljoen auto’s in 2010” (3 delen). Delft, 1987. 16. P.M. Blok (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1988- Nederland in nota’s, strategie en pragmatisme en beleid en onderzoek” (3 delen). Delft, 1988. 17. H.J. Meurs (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 1989- Vervoerbeleid tussen rand en stad, naar een integrale aanpak op regionaal niveau” (3 delen). Delft, 1989. 18. J.M. Jager (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1990- Meten-modelleren-monitoren” (2 delen). Delft, 1990. VII 19. P. T. Tanja (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1991- De prijs van mobiliteit en van mobiliteitsbeperking” (3 delen). Delft, 1991. 20. P.M. Blok (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1992- Innovatie in Verkeer en Vervoer” (3 delen). Delft, 1992. 21. Th.A.M. Reijs & P.T. Tanja (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1993- Grenzen aan de vervoersplano- logie” (3 delen). Delft, 1993. 22. J.M. Jager (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk -1994- Implementatie van beleid. De moeizame weg van voornemen naar actie” (3 delen). Delft, 1994. 23. H.J. Meurs & E.J. Verroen (red.) “Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk - 1995 - Decentralisatie van beleid: implicaties voor kennis en onderzoek” (3 delen). Delft, 1995. VIII De publikaties (met uitzondering van de nummers 5 en 11) kunnen worden besteld door overmaking van het bijbehorende bedrag op girorekening 58.06.21 ten name van de penningmeester van het Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, Legmeerstraat 62/2h, 1058 NG Amsterdam, onder vermelding van “CVS”, jaartal en nummer, en de naam en het adres van de besteller. Het over te maken bedrag is voor de publikaties: - 1 t/m 8 j 25,-- - 9 t/m 14 j 55,-- - 15 t/m 17 f 85,-- - 18 j 75,-- -19 en 20 j 120,-- - 21 t/m 23 j 150,-- Copies of these publications can be ordered t?om the treasurer of the Transportation Planning Research Colloquium, Legmeerstraat 62/2h, NL-1058 NG Amsterdam, The Netherlands. 1x Geachte lezer, Voor u liggen de gebundelde bijdragen van alweer het 23e Colloquium Vervoers- planologisch Speurwerk (CVS). Op het eerste gezicht is dit jaar weer een ‘gewoon’ jaar. Toch zijn er een aantal wijzigingen opgetreden die wij u met willen onthouden. De belang- rijkste wijziging is zondermeer dat vrijwel het gehele bestuur is verjongd. Zo’n verjonging is van tijd tot tijd nodig om de zaak weer eens van nieuw elan te voorzien. Het nieuwe bestuur wil een aantal veranderingen aanbrengen. Enkele vernieuwingen zullen u op 28 en 29 november zeker opvallen. Eén van de meest tastbare wijzigingen ten opzichte van voor- gaande jaren betreft de wijze van bundeling van de papers. Dit jaar is gepoogd de papers zo veel mogelijk programma-gewijs te ordenen. Zo wordt het enerzijds mogelijk dat u per dag met minder boeken hoeft rond te slepen en anderzijds dat u per sessie minder hoeft te bladeren. Uiteraard houdt het bestuur vast aan de sterke punten van het CVS. Dit betekent dat de vertrouwde CVS-formule ook nu weer wordt gehanteerd: laag drempelig, actieve partici- patie van alle deelnemers, ruime gelegenheid voor discussies, zowel in de zaal als in de ‘wandelgangen’. Het doel van het CVS is en blijft het bieden van een forum waarop onderzoekers die actief zijn op het gebied van het vervoersplanologisch onderzoek hun ideeën en gedachten met elkaar kunnen uitwisselen. Ook dit jaar heeft het bestuur weer gekozen voor clustering rond een thema. Het thema van het CVS 1996 luidt: ‘BEHEERSBARE MOBILITEIT, een utopie?’ Wij kunnen u wel verklappen dat er in het bestuur driftig is gediscussieerd over het laatste teken van de thematekst; een vraagteken (?) of een uitroepteken (!). In de bundels zult u x1 zowel papers aantreffen van onderzoekers die nog zoekende zijn, als van hen die het antwoord reeds gevonden hebben. Tot slot een woord van dank aan onze werkgevers die het ons mede mogelijk hebben gemaakt om dit CVS te organiseren. Ook bedanken wij weer Dick den Adel van de Technische Universiteit Delft, vakgroep Stedebouwkunde, zonder wiens met aflatende ijver en organisatietalent dit CVS met tot stand zou zijn gekomen. Het bestuur wenst u ook dit jaar weer veel leesplezier en hoopt dat deze bundel voorziet in een behoefte. Amoud Mouwen Wil Clerx AGV Adviesgroep voor verkeer en vervoer Provincie Zuid-Holland Nelly Kalfs Bart Egeter Adviesdienst Verkeer en Vervoer Technische Universiteit Delft Bas Govers Wim Kerver Goudappel Coffeng TNO-INRO Delft, oktober 1996 x11 INHOUDSOPGAVE Voorwoord Inhoudsopgave Deel 1 Sessie 1: Parkeren (themasessie) 1 Harteveld, C., J. Ververs & N. Bosch “Geen ruimte meer voor parkeren op eigen terrein.” 2 Waagmeester, J.A. “Parkeemormen in auto-arme en autovrije wijken.” 17 3 Waerden, P. van der, A. Borgers & H. Timmermans “Automobilisten en de verhoging van parkeertarieven in binnensteden.” 29 Sessie 2: Beheersbare mobiliteit (themasessie) 47 4 Köbben, M. & J. van der Waard “Het bereikbaarheidsvraagstuk nu en op middellange termijn; een situatie-analyse.” 49 5 Koning, M.A. & G.P. van Wee “Een duurzame ontwikkeling en vervoer tot 2010.” 69 6 Rienstra, S.A. & P. Nijkamp “Beheersbare mobiliteit een utopie? Een actorbenadering.” 89 7 Brohm, K.A. & M.J.H. Beek “Individuele mobiliteitsontwikkeling, autonoom?” 109 8 Gommers, M.J.P.F., R.J. Molemaker & M. van Schijndel-Pronk “Beheersing van de consequenties van onbeheersbare mobiliteit.” 123 Sessie 3: Technologiebeleid 139 9 Korver, W. & G.R.M. Jansen “Technologiebeleid collectief personenvervoer: opties en achtergronden.” 141 10 Minderhoud, M.M. & P.H.L. Bovy “Telematica en informatietechnologie in het
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