Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections
Northern Wyoming Community College District
Sheridan College, Sheridan College in Johnson County, and Gillette College
May 14, 2015
Draft Posted to Trustee Portal 4/24/2015
Note: This paper is intended to inform discussions among NWCCD’s senior staff. As an institution that participates in the Academic Quality Improvement Process (AQIP) for accreditation we are committed to making data driven decisions. Sometimes we have examined data narrowly and written justification for a decision we have already made or for a potential initiative such as a grant proposal. Several white papers, grant applications, studies and cases for support have been based on labor market information, industry trends, and occupation projections. The research for this paper takes a broader view by starting with all occupations in Wyoming (demand) and all certificates of completion and associates of applied science degrees currently offered by NWCCD (supply).
Contributing team: Susan Bigelow, Jay Lindsay (Gillette College White Paper), Joy Baule (Colleague Student Information System data queries), Sharon Elwood and Steffi Rawlings for technical support.
White papers, studies, and spreadsheets are available from [email protected] .
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District ii Table of Contents
Executive Summary ...... i Introduction ...... 1 Figure 1 Aligning Academics and Economics ...... 1 Literature Review ...... 3 Figure 2 Education Pays ...... 4 Former NWCCD Studies ...... 7 Sheridan College Enrollment White Paper (February 2013) ...... 7 Table 1 Northeast Wyoming Region Occupational Projections 2011 to 2021 show growth in several related occupations ...... 9 Table 2 Forecasted Net Growth in Selected Occupations for Wyoming, Montana and North Dakota...... 10 Phase 1 Report: Career and Technical Education Training Assets Analysis (May 2013) ..... 10 Figure 3 Two Phases of Career and Technical Education Analysis ...... 11 Table 3 Target Industry Sectors and Career Tech Education Programs Matrix ...... 14 Table 4 Certificates and Degrees Conferred and Supported Industries (CAEL/Avalanche Phase 1 Report) ...... 14 Gillette College Enrollment White Paper (January 2014) ...... 16 Table 5 Occupations to Educational Goals Alignment, Gillette College 2014 ...... 16 Table 6 Gillette College Enrollment Strategies and Related Occupations, 2014 White Paper ...... 16 Labor Market Analysis for TAACCCT Round 4 Grant Application (June 2014) ...... 17 Table 7 Top Ranked Occupations by Education Level ...... 18 Table 8 Cross-walk between occupations and industry employers ...... 18 Demand for Nurses from Sheridan College (November 2014) ...... 19 Table 9 Wyoming: Projected Demand for New Nurses 2012 to 2022 ...... 21 Demand for Dental Hygienists from Sheridan College (December 2014) ...... 22 Table 10 Dental Hygienists Degrees Awarded in Wyoming by Year (DH Paper) ...... 23 Table 11 Occupation: Dental Hygienists (SOC code 29-2021) (DH Paper) ...... 23 Demographic Trends ...... 24 Figure 4 K-12 Enrollment: Northeast Wyoming Districts Fall 2012 ...... 24 Figure 5 Historical Enrollment in Northeast Wyoming Districts ...... 24 Figure 6 Production of High School Graduates: Wyoming ...... 25 Industry Trends ...... 26 Figure 7 Employment by Industry - Northeast Wyoming Region 1Q13 ...... 26 Figure 8 Minerals Assessed Valuation - Wyoming - January 2014 CREG Report ...... 27 Figure 9 Minerals Assessed Valuation - Wyoming - January 2015 CREG Report ...... 27 Methodology to Assess Alignment ...... 28 Does NWCCD have instructional programs in place to train students for high-demand high- wage occupations in northeast Wyoming and in Wyoming? ...... 28 Table 12 Step-by-step process to identify top 25 occupations based on demand, wage, and skill ...... 29 Table 13 Top 25 occupations, median earnings, annual openings 2012-2022 and jobs .. 30
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District iii Table 14 Certificates and associates degrees awarded 2012-2013 ...... 31 Table 15 Occupation to Instructional Program Crosswalk for 25 Selected Occupations . 32 Table 16 NWCCD Programs related to Top 25 High-Demand High-Wage Occupations .. 35 Table 17 High Demand High Wage Occupations not supported with or identified by an NWCCD program ...... 36 Is there demand in northeast Wyoming and Wyoming for graduates of NWCCD’s current instructional programs? ...... 37 Table 18 Number of degrees and certificates awarded, by level and program: 2012-13 38 Table 19 Programs of study offered by NWCCD ...... 39 Table 20 Demand in Gainful Employment Occupations and Supply of Completers ...... 40 Table 21 Is there demand in high-wage jobs for program completers? (Gainful employment programs only) ...... 43 Table 22 Supply of Completions exceeds Demand for Workers ...... 44 Table 23 Construction Apprenticeship Related Occupations ...... 45 Table 24 Remaining Certificate and Associates Degree Programs offered by NWCCD ... 46 Concluding Observations and Recommendations ...... 48 Bibliography ...... 51 Appendix ...... 52 Table 25 NWCCD Awards 2011-2014 ...... 53 Table 26 Top 25 Occupations based on High-Wage, High-Demand, Postsecondary Training ...... 56 Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data...... 59 Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations ...... 65
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District iv Executive Summary
The Northern Wyoming Community College District chooses to align our college with its communities, and align our academic programs with economic sectors and occupations in high- demand and paying high-wages in our region. The purpose for the assessment is to answer two questions about the alignment of NWCCD’s academic programs and the demand for new workers in occupations in northeast Wyoming.
1. Does NWCCD have instructional programs in place to train students for high-demand high-wage occupations in northeast Wyoming and in Wyoming? 2. Is there demand in northeast Wyoming and Wyoming for graduates of NWCCD’s current instructional programs?
The employer discussions, labor market analysis and occupational projections support strong demand in high-wage occupations for several existing programs: Diesel Technology, Industrial Electricity, Welding, Machine Tool Technology, Natural Resources, Information Technology, Business and Nursing. Some of programs with few graduates that should be considered for increased emphasis on enrollment and completions: 1) computer related certificates and degrees; 2) electricians (not industrial electricity which is a different CIP); 3) appropriate certificate or degree for first line supervisor of construction and extraction workers (possibly one of the Mining Technology certificates).
Some of the opportunities for new programs and programs expansions may be addressed by non-credit community education or workforce training: property and real-estate managers and operating engineers/other construction equipment operators. Others may be addressed with apprenticeship programs and tailored pathways in the current General Technology program: Plumbers and Industrial Machinery Mechanics. The demand for Mining Technicians for the Oil and Gas industry may be addressed with modifications and expansions in the Mining Technology degree or underlying certificates.
Labor market information did not provide sufficient information to support some NWCCD
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District i certificate or gainful employment programs with recent graduates: culinary arts, massage therapy, and hospitality. Additional labor market information from local employers and former students should be gathered regarding employment outcomes.
In summary, the research to match instructional programs to the economy and employment projections using graduation data and labor market information occupational projections resulted in five general findings for groups of occupations as shown in the table. Does NWCCD have instructional programs in place to train students for high-demand high- wage occupations in northeast Wyoming and in Wyoming? Occupations Findings Recommendations Diesel Technology, Industrial Current instructional Maintain and strengthen Electricity, Welding, Machine programs are supported current programs through Tool Technology, Natural with strong demand in high- capacity building and Resources, Information wage occupations. enrollment growth. Technology, Business, Nursing Property and real-estate Instructional programs not Consider non-credit/CEU managers, operating in place to support strong training for real-estate engineers/other construction demand in high-wage managers. Expand non-credit equipment operators occupations instruction for equipment operators with in-house capacity. Plumbers and Industrial Instructional programs not Introduce for-credit Machinery Mechanics in place to support strong apprenticeship model similar demand in high-wage to HVAC apprenticeship that occupations aligns with Industrial Technology AAS. Mining Technicians (Oil and Closest academic program Modify and expand Mining Gas Industry) is not aligned with oil and Technology program to gas industry. address oil and gas industry needs. Is there demand in northeast Wyoming and Wyoming for graduates of NWCCD’s current instructional programs? Occupations Finding Recommendations Culinary Arts, Massage Labor Market Information Gather employment outcome Therapy, Hospitality did not provide sufficient data from employers and demand or wages to justify graduates for further the programs. evaluation of demand/wages.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District ii Introduction
The Northern Wyoming Community College District chooses to align our college with its communities, and align our academic programs with economic sectors and occupations represented and in demand in our region and the State of Wyoming.
We should be selective about where we focus our efforts and resources to maximize potential benefits. In light of the scarcity of resources, the Northern Wyoming Community College District (NWCCD) cannot provide equal support to growing capacity and recruiting students in all programs. We must invest in selected programs that will provide momentum for other programs. We should align our college with its communities, and align our academic programs with our economic sectors and occupations (Figure 1). This alignment helps students gain relevant skills preparing them for high-wage high-demand occupations and connects our faculty with relevant economic sectors. NWCCD must network academic and industry leaders, link academic programs to economic clusters, and connect students to job opportunities.
Figure 1 Aligning Academics and Economics
NWCCD as a comprehensive community college offers transfer programs aligned with four-year degree programs, applied programs at the certificate and associates of applied science level, and non-credit career oriented training. Students who earn Certificates of Completion and Associates of Applied Science degrees are often ready to enter the workforce immediately. Short-term non-credit career oriented training is also designed to prepare students for available jobs or increase the skills for incumbent workers. This purpose supposes that the offerings and
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 1 capacity of the programs are determined by the occupational demands, both current and anticipated demand. Other students plan to transfer to other institutions to complete baccalaureate degrees before entering their selected occupation.
We conducted a review of selected literature regarding alignment of programs to occupations and the general completion initiative. We also included some excerpts from various white papers and cases for support written for grant applications, presentations and proposals to donors.
We used available data sources to investigate and answer two questions about alignment of instructional programs and occupations:
1. Does NWCCD have instructional programs in place to train students for high-demand high-wage occupations in northeast Wyoming and in Wyoming? 2. Is there demand in northeast Wyoming and Wyoming for graduates of NWCCD’s current instructional programs?
In this assessment we endeavor to identify high-wage/high-demand occupations and assess whether we offer academic programs or training that prepare students for the occupations. First, we test program capacity and recent completions to the forecasted annual job openings – demand perspective. Second, we look at NWCCD’s current applied science and certificate programs, specifically those identified as gainful employment programs, and the occupations for which the programs are aligned – the supply perspective. Finally, we compared the recent graduation numbers (2012 to 2014) for all remaining programs to the regional demand in related occupations and observed alignment of supply and demand.
The conclusions identify gaps in training for high-wage/high-demand occupations and programs that may not be justified by the occupation projections alone.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 2 Literature Review
In their introduction to the seminal “jobs report” released by the Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce (Carnevale, Smith, & Strohl, 2010) “the future of employment in the United States comes down to this: success will require postsecondary education, in one form or another” (p. 110). The Georgetown report summarizes findings as “our forecasts show the economy will create 46.8 million openings—13.8 million brand new jobs and 33 million replacement jobs, positions vacated by workers who have retired” (p. 110). The surprising revelation and compelling message from the report which has spurred or supported the national completion agenda is this: “Nearly two-thirds of these 46.8 million jobs—some 63 percent—will require workers with at least some college education.”
While it is widely accepted that education is the gateway to the middle class, meaning the gateway to greater earnings and employment stability, there is some misalignment between educational paths and career opportunities. Gray and Herr (2006) explain the conundrum of the misalignment as “while the nation’s firms search the world to fill high skill/high-wage technical occupations, growing numbers of American college graduates end up in low-paying occupations struggling to pay off student loan debts” (p. 98). The Center on Education and the Workforce (Carnevale, Smith, & Strohl, 2010) conducted a thorough analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistic’s (BLS) method of projecting job openings and anticipating educational levels for new entrants for two reasons:
1. The ability of individuals to connect education, training, and careers has become key to employability and to attaining and maintaining middle class status. 2. In spite of its growing importance, our ability to match education alternatives with career options is woefully underdeveloped. (p. 1)
“Education and training pay” is a truth portrayed well in a graph published by The Pell Institute and produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics where unemployment rate decreases and mean
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 3 earnings increases with increased employment (Figure 2).1
Figure 2 Education Pays
Unfortunately, this graph does not explain why some college graduates end up in low wage jobs and why some high school graduates succeed in high-skill and high-wage occupations. Gray and Herr (2006) observe that for every 100 people who earn a 4-year degree there will be only 57 jobs that require a 4-year degree (p. 34). That leaves 43 college graduates educated for jobs that do not exist. The key to being hired for high-skill high-wage jobs is the requisite skills. College graduates not able to find jobs that match their education do not compete for high-skill jobs with those who have obtained those in-demand skills and find themselves instead competing against high-school graduates for low-skill/low-wage jobs.
Projected job openings, from industry growth and retirements, is the best starting point to anticipate demand (Carnevale, Smith, & Strohl, 2010) (Gray & Herr, 2006). Unfortunately, there are shortcomings in the projections and data gathered and reported; for instance, educational levels for occupations do not tell the full story. Skill levels for some occupations change over
1 Education and Training Pay, Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_chart_001.htm
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 4 time requiring new entrants to have higher skill levels prior to hiring than the incumbent workers had when they entered employment. Job projections tend to rely on historical patterns and do not reflect rapidly changing market forces in an industry or region. For example, the forecasted demand for heavy truck drivers in states like North Dakota developed prior to the boom in oil drilling and production could not have accurately reflected the actual demand for new entrants to that occupation.
A report released in February 2015 by the Center on Education and the Workforce, Georgetown University, reaffirms that we will continue to have a nursing shortage (Carnevale, Smith, & Gulish, 2015). Specifics regarding the shortage include:
• The economy will create 1.6 million job openings for nurses through 2020 – 700,000 for newly created positions and 880,000 to replace retiring baby boomers. The bulk of the job openings – 1.2 million – will be for Registered Nurses (RNs). • By 2020, the United States will face a shortfall of 193,000 nursing professionals. • Aging of the baby boomers, more people with health insurance, and other social and economic factors have led to the pending shortages. • The demand for healthcare services, including nursing, is growing. • An economic recovery both increases demand for and reduces the supply of qualified nurses. • The end of the Great Recession will signal more nursing shortages. • The nursing workforce is aging. • Nursing has a relatively demanding job environment. • Government programs increase supply putting downward pressure on wages. • Recruitment is increasing. • Nursing schools lack adequate faculty, facilities, and clinical placement sites to train enough students to meet the growing demand. • Changes in immigration legislation are affecting supply.
Carnevale etal.’s projected job openings from 2015 through 2020 for Wyoming was 2,580,
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 5 approximately 500 openings annually. According to their search of IPEDS data they found that Wyoming colleges award 450 LPN, AAS/ADN and BSN degrees annually. Because of our knowledge of the Wyoming programs, we know that the 450 is not an unduplicated headcount and that many of the BSN degrees are awarded to those who received AAS/ADN degrees in recent years and most LPN certificate awardees are on a path to complete the associates degree. That means that the best count for nursing graduate production may be the Associates degree – 280 annually.
The U.S. Department of Labor recognizes the shortcomings of published data and encouraged applicants for recent job training grants to use “real-time labor market information” by working with “employers, regional industry organizations, national industry organizations (if applicable), State and local workforce boards, and educational and economic development entities.”2 Local information gained from discussions with employers improves the quality of the conclusions gained from the analysis of the job projections and educational program alignment.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics recently modified its recommended methodology for forecasting replacements needed in occupations based on retirements.3 Wyoming updated its 2012-2022 Occupation Projections using a new methodology which is being used by many states and is recommended by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.4
2 Notice of Availability of Funds and Solicitation for Grant Applications for Trade Adjustment Assistance Community College and Career Training Grants Program, 2014 3 http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_separations_change.htm 4 February 19, 2015 Discussion David Bullard, Senior Economist, Wyoming Department of Workforce Services, Research and Planning
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 6 Former NWCCD Studies
Several former analyses of program alignment and capacity to occupation needs and forecasts have been conducted by or commissioned by NWCCD. These focused analyses have supported grant applications to the State of Wyoming and several federal agencies, gift requests to individual and foundation donors, and introduction of new academic programs. The studies have also supported internal decisions to increase program capacity, renovate, re-purpose or add facilities, and upgrade teaching environments. Commissioned studies have identified alignment gaps from K-12, the college programs and economic development targeted industries. While the former studies which are summarized in this section have provided a glimpse into a specific occupation or industry sector, they have not provided a comprehensive view of the occupational needs and the alignment of the college’s academic programs which support those occupations.
Sheridan College Enrollment White Paper (February 2013)
Sheridan College has the opportunity and the obligation to increase our impact on the economy by enrolling more students in programs that align with and support our local economy and by ensuring that those students complete their education. This strategy addresses two factors for economic growth: growing a labor force and increasing the workforce’s productivity through higher education. To achieve the targeted enrollment levels we must both create capacity for more students and recruit students to selected programs that have a strong alignment to the regional economy (opportunity). This is best accomplished in those areas where we have quality programs and have, or can create, capacity in the programs for more students (strength).
Sheridan College has selected the academic programs of Agriculture, Arts, and Career Technology for increased enrollment. The three program areas have: • strong linkage to economic clusters, economic development initiatives; • employment and/or self-employment opportunities; • cohort of motivated faculty who are committed to program improvement and enrollment
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 7 growth; • capacity for significant increase in enrollment or potential for increased capacity; and • external partners willing to financially support initiatives in the programs.
Two of the three targeted program areas are designed as transfer programs, not designed for students to be ready to enter employment in an occupation related to their instructional program. The third targeted program area, career technical education, consists of several programs that are designed with both one-year certificates and two-year associates of applied science degrees. Although students can pursue four year degrees in applied sciences, the programs are designed for students to enter the workforce immediately upon completion of a certificate or degree.
In February 2013 we specifically examined the demand for graduates of the machine tool technology and welding technology programs.
Tie to Economy/Community: The recent success of Vacutech relocating from an urban Colorado location to Sheridan demonstrates that the ability to hire local people, many from Sheridan College’s career technical programs, draws in new businesses that discover the steady stream of precision-skilled workers the college can provide. Additionally, the inevitable expansion of EMIT technology shows the promise of small manufacturing and light manufacturing in Sheridan County. This supports the concept of “niche” product manufacturing as one of the six target industry recommendations for business recruitment (Wadley-Donovan Group, The, 2007). The 2007 labor analysis revealed that 329 underemployed residents have skills in production occupations (Wadley-Donovan Group). The SEEDA owned industrial park is designed for high-tech businesses with its two first occupants a customized vacuum system manufacturer and a data storage company. The park is designed to accommodate small manufacturing operations.
Employment and/or Self-Employment: Sheridan College instructors and administrators recently met with area employers for graduates from the Welding Technology program to assess the relevance of our curriculum to their workforce needs. We were reassured that our
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 8 program was a good fit for the skills they expect from recent graduates and that there will continue to be high-demand for trained welders. Machine Tool Technology programs are scarce regionally and nationally yet the graduates of the program are in high-demand. Sheridan College’s Machine Tool Technology is the only program training Machinists in Wyoming. The State of Wyoming’s occupational projections (Glover, 2012) show a steady need for new employees with skills in machining and welding and related occupations (Table 1). Net growth, both from industry growth and people leaving jobs (permanent exits), is strong in electricians, diesel technicians, machinists, industrial machinery mechanics, and welders for Wyoming, North Dakota and Montana, driven by the energy industry in these three states (Table 2). Table 1 Northeast Wyoming Region Occupational Projections 2011 to 2021 show growth in several related occupations5 Standard Occupational Wyoming Statewide (includes NE Wyoming) Northeast Wyoming (Sheridan, Johnson, Code & Title Campbell, Weston, Crook Counties)
Code Title Base Net Annual Openings Net growth Annual Openings Year growth from from 2011 to from from 2011 2011 to Growth Permanent 2021 Growth Permanent 2021 Exits Exits
47- Electricians 2664 502 50 266 265 27 79 2111 49- Bus & Truck 2830 718 72 247 519 51 101 3031, Mechanics & 41, 42 Diesel Engine Specialists; Farm Equip Mech.; Mobile Heavy Equip. Mechanics 51- Machinists 466 34 3 41 15 1 9 4041 49- Industrial 2241 600 60 201 38 4 15 9041, Machinery 43 & 44 Mechanics, Millwrights, 51- Welders, 1842 339 34 175 -7 -1 17 4121 Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
5 http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/projections/
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 9 Table 2 Forecasted Net Growth in Selected Occupations for Wyoming, Montana and North Dakota6 Standard Occupational Code & Title Forecasted Net Growth by Occupation: 2010/11 to 2020/21
2011 to 2021 2010 to 2020 2011 to 2021 Code Title MT,ND & WY Montana North Dakota Wyoming 47-2111 Electricians 1310 408 400 502 49-3031, 41, 42 Bus & Truck Mechanics & 2186 329 1139 718 Diesel Engine Specialists; Farm Equip Mech.; Mobile Heavy Equip. Mechanics
51-4041 Machinists 309 110 165 34 49-9041, 43 & 44 Industrial Machinery 1342 180 562 600 Mechanics, Millwrights, 51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, 1126 228 559 339 and Brazers
Phase 1 Report: Career and Technical Education Training Assets Analysis (May 2013)
NWCCD/Sheridan College is a member of the Sheridan Economic and Education Development Authority (SEEDA), a joint powers board (JPB). Other members in May 2013 included the City of Sheridan and the Sheridan County School District #2. In a strategic planning discussion the board members and supporting staff agreed to commission an assessment of academic programs offered by the school district and the college (Sheridan campus only) and determine the alignment to occupations projected for primary industries that were targeted for growth or recruitment by the economic development plans for Sheridan. The two-part study was conducted by two national consulting firms: Council for Adult and Experiential Learning (CAEL) and Avalanche Consulting.7 They based the first phase, an analysis of training assets on the economic development targets adopted in 2007. The second phase examined the viability of the 2007 targets and updated that list. The graphic in Figure 3 from the Phase 1 Report depicts the analysis process.
6 http://www.ourfactsyourfuture.org/ ; http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/projections/ ; http://www.ndworkforceintelligence.com/ 7 http://www.cael.org/ and http://www.avalancheconsulting.com/
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 10
Figure 3 Two Phases of Career and Technical Education Analysis8
The following are excerpts from the phase 1 report.9
This report represents the first phase of the Economic and Career and Technical Education analysis for the Sheridan Economic and Educational Development Authority (SEEDA). The report examines (1) Sheridan’s Career and Technical Education Assets and how they align with current economic development targets, (2) potential economic development target subsectors within the broader target sectors, and (3) models for Career and Technical Education and Training (CTET) that Sheridan can use to enhance its own CTET assets to better support current and potential economic growth opportunities. While this report does not attempt to make final recommendations, some preliminary observations (see page 33) can guide Phase Two of the analysis, and preliminary recommendations can be considered while the economic development asset analysis in Phase Two is conducted.
Sheridan has developed key CTET resources that can be promoted as important benefits to companies considering relocating to, expanding within, or launching in Sheridan. Particular CTET disciplines that show the greatest strength include Industrial Machinery,
8 Phase 1 Report: Career and Technical Education Training Assets Analysis, CAEL and Avalanche, conducted for Sheridan Economic and Education Development Authority, May 2013, p. 7. 9 Phase 1 Report: Career and Technical Education Training Assets Analysis, CAEL and Avalanche, conducted for Sheridan Economic and Education Development Authority, May 2013
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 11 Personal and Culinary Services, Visual and Performing Arts and Agriculture.
Some of the community’s key CTET offerings are experiencing declining enrollments. While the programs themselves should be viewed as assets, higher levels of enrollment and completion will help Sheridan take full advantage of those assets. Information Technology, Biological Sciences, Engineering and Engineering Technologies, Park/Recreation/Leisure and Fitness Studies, Communications/Journalism are all areas where additional career awareness, participant recruitment and increased completions can support increased development of sector-related skills and thus enhance Sheridan’s ability to support target sectors (CAEL/Avalanche)
To further develop key sectors, it will be beneficial to produce graduates in the Physical Sciences, Natural Resources, Math/Statistics, and Communication Technologies in which output does not currently exist (CAEL/Avalanche).
The CAEL/Avalanche team visited with school district and college instructors and administrators and economic development leaders. They also examined the economic conditions data and occupations both current and projected. The Phase One study attempted to address three questions and provided some preliminary priority recommendations in their May 2013 report.
Q1. To what degree do the current set of Career and Technical Education and Training offerings available in Sheridan address skills needs of the current set of sectors targeted for economic growth?
Q2. Can the current set of offerings from Sheridan College and the Sheridan School District be repurposed, realigned, adjusted and re-focused to support sectors and sub- sectors not currently among Sheridan’s economic development targets? How can Sheridan’s skills development assets drive selection of additional target sectors and sub- sectors?
Q3. What models for Career and Technical Education exist across the country that can inform enhancement of Sheridan’s Career and Technical Education programs?
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 12 Highest Priority, near-term:
1. Increase enrollments and completions in key sectors (IT, Science/Natural Resources, Business), maximizing the benefits of existing programs. 2. Redirect CTET enrollments in more limited occupations (such as culinary) to higher- wage occupations (such as information technology, science, engineering).
High Priority, near-term:
1. Examine Sheridan’s economic assets, and assess the viability of potential targets described in Part 3, and adjust CTET programs accordingly. 2. Increase availability of Machine-tool programming and associated equipment to meet employer and learner demand.
High Priority, longer term:
1. Increase Baccalaureate-level learning opportunities connected to target sectors, and awareness of Baccalaureate level careers. 2. Enhance career-focused programming at the secondary level with emphases on integrating Core and Career learning.
Target sectors rely on a variety of skills, and draw from a variety of CTET program areas. The review of Sheridan’s ability to address skills in each target sector therefore draws upon information from several programs offered. The chart below (Table 3) shows how this analysis considered and included multiple CTET program areas in assessing skill development for each target sector.
The greyed in boxes in Table 3 Target Industry Sectors and Career Tech Education Programs Matrix indicate the occupations needed by the targeted sectors and the corresponding academic programs.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 13 Table 3 Target Industry Sectors and Career Tech Education Programs Matrix Target Sector Research Back Office Culture Agri- Transport Industrial (Science/ (Business and Business Energy ation & Machinery Environme Support Entertain & Food Logistics ntal) Operations) ment Agriculture operations and related sciences Biological and biomedical sciences Business, management, marketing and related support services Communication, Journalism and related programs
Visual and Performing Arts Computer and information sciences and support services Construction Trades Engineering Engineering technologies/technicians Mechanic and repair technologies/technicians
Career and Technical Discipline Career and Technical Parks, recreation, leisure and fitness studies Personal and culinary services Precision production Mathematics and Statistics Natural Resources/Conservation Transportation and Moving Materials Science Technologies Physical Sciences Communication technology and support services
Data on completions provided by NWCCD and reported in the CAEL/Avalanche report provide some historic trends in specific content areas. Content areas are industry sectors. Occupations in demand by industry sectors are listed in Table 4.
Table 4 Certificates and Degrees Conferred and Supported Industries (CAEL/Avalanche Phase 1 Report)10 Content Area: Industrial Machinery 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Construction Trades 6 4 4 4 Diesel Technology 10 12 5 12 Welding technology 18 26 17 14 Machine Tool Technology 4 3 5 15
10 Reported data source: Sheridan College
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 14 Table 4 Certificates and Degrees Conferred and Supported Industries (CAEL/Avalanche Phase 1 Report)10 Engineering 2 4 1 5 Engineering Technologies/Technicians 2 2 1 0 Content Area: Agribusiness and Food 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Agriculture- agriculture operations- and related sciences. 13 25 8 13 Diesel Technology 10 12 5 12 Natural Resources 0 0 0 0 Science Technologies 0 0 0 0 Physical Sciences 0 0 0 0 Content Area: Energy 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Natural Resources 0 0 0 0 Science Technologies 0 0 0 0 Physical Sciences 0 0 0 0 Engineering 2 4 1 5 Engineering technologies/technicians. 2 3 1 1 Content Area: Computer Science 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Computer and information sciences and support services 2 1 4 3 Content Area: Research (Science and Environmental) 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Agriculture- agriculture operations- and related sciences. 13 25 8 13 Biological and biomedical sciences. 2 3 3 2 Natural Resources/Conservation 0 0 0 0 Mathematics and Statistics 0 2 0 1 Science Technologies 0 0 0 0 Physical Sciences 0 0 0 0 Content Area: Back Office (Business Support Operations) 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 General Business 10 11 6 7 Administrative Assistant 1 0 0 2 Communication Technology 0 0 0 0 Hospitality Management 6 8 10 12 Content Area: Culture and Entertainment 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Communication technology 0 0 0 0 Personal and Culinary Services 1 6 16 34 Communication- journalism- and related programs 0 4 2 2 Parks- recreation- leisure- and fitness studies 0 0 1 3 Visual and Performing Arts 5 6 13 14 General Business 10 11 6 7 Administrative Assistant 1 0 0 2 Hospitality Management 6 8 10 12 Content Area: Transportation and Logistics 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Communication Technology 0 0 0 0 Diesel Technology 10 12 5 25 Transportation and Moving Materials 0 0 0 0 Content Area: Engineering 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Engineering 2 4 1 5 Engineering technologies/technicians 2 2 1 0 Science Technologies 0 0 0 0 Physical Sciences 0 0 0 0 Surveying Technology 0 1 0 1 Mathematics and Statistics 0 2 0 1
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 15 Gillette College Enrollment White Paper (January 2014)
The Gillette College team recommended the enrollment and academic program plans in Table 5 and Table 6 based on their 2013 analysis.11 This analysis was based on a growing oil industry and the 2012-2022 occupation projections developed with a methodology that has been replaced so should be considered with the new methodology and the 2015 industry forecast.12 Table 5 Occupations to Educational Goals Alignment, Gillette College 2014 Occupations Evaluated Educational Goal Engineers Transfer to Bachelor’s Degree Skilled trades to support Oil Industry Certificates, Associates of Applied Sciences Agriculture - focus on Reclamation AAS and Transfer to Bachelor’s Degree Education - focus on K-12 teachers Transfer to Bachelor’s Degree Business Transfer to Bachelor’s Degree Emergency Responders Certificates, Associates of Applied Sciences
Specific enrollment strategies including potential articulation agreements and pathways for students are shown in Table 6. Table 6 Gillette College Enrollment Strategies and Related Occupations, 2014 White Paper Enrollment Strategies Possible SOC Codes 1 Expand training for the oil industry 47, 49, 51, 53-0000 Welding – pipe, diesel mechanics, equipment operators - non-credit, safety training, machining 2 Engineering - Transfer 17-2XXX - Engineers Articulation to Montana State-Butte, SD School of Mines & Focus on Civil, Petroleum Technology, University of Wyoming 3 Education PreK-12 25-2XXX 4 Agriculture 19-2042, 19-4041, 19-4000 Focus on Reclamation - part of Rangeland Management Geoscientists; Geological and Petroleum Technicians; Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 5 Emergency Responders 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics, Expanded to Health Technicians (some college or associates degree) 6 Business - Transfer 13-0000
11 White Paper: Gillette College Academic Focus: Based on Occupational Projections and Economic Forecasts, Draft January 22, 2014
12 The Wyoming Department of Workforce Services, Research and Planning published occupational projections for 2012-2022 with detailed forecasts for the workforce regions and industry sectors. These occupational projections were used for some of the NWCCD analysis. The Department has since published a new 2012-2022 occupational projections for the state under a DOL grant using a methodology that is consistent with several other states. The new methodology will be used for future projections and was used for the new analysis conducted for this paper.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 16 Labor Market Analysis for TAACCCT Round 4 Grant Application (June 2014)
Using 2010 labor market information we identified the highest paying and in demand occupations in Wyoming, Montana and North Dakota.13 The selected clusters of standard occupation codes for first-line supervisors and computer network/electronics and electrical engineering technicians (Table 7) best represent high-wage high-skill occupations for which we can provide quality training using online delivery. We verified our labor market analysis with energy sector employers, economic development organizations, and workforce system leaders. Employers we interviewed, Basin Electric Power Cooperative, BeneTerra USA, Black Hills Corporation; Northern Production Co., LLC, Summit Gas Resources; SWCA Environmental Consultants, and Uranerz Energy Corporation, represent electricity generation and transmission, oil service, professional and technical services, gas and uranium extraction.
Occupational projections for first-line supervisors, computer network/electronics technicians, and electrical engineering technicians indicate employment in these occupations spread among the energy sector industries with some concentration in Mining, Oil & Gas for first-line supervisors and Professional & Technical Services for Computer/Electronic Engineering Technician (Table 8). The energy sector is expected to continue growing in the region, with a combined 280 annual openings projected in northeast Wyoming (Table 8). Through 2018, Wyoming officials are projecting crude oil production to increase, natural gas production to decline slightly, and coal production to remain level.14 Coal basins, uranium deposits and oil and gas plays do not respect state lines; similarly, companies and workers engaged in commodity extraction, transportation, and electrical generation and transmission operate in multiple states.15,16
13 2010 Occupational Projections, http://www.careerinfonet.org/ - 14 Wyoming State Government Revenue Forecast; Consensus Revenue Estimating Group, January 2014. eadiv.state.wy.us/creg/creg.html 15 Drilling Productivity Report for key light oil and shale gas regions, U.S. Energy Information Administration, April 2014. www.eia.gov 16 Lower 48 states shale plays (map), U.S. Energy Information Administration, www.eia.gov
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 17 Table 7 Top Ranked Occupations by Education Level17 Highest-Paying by Median Fastest-Growing Occupation Rankings Most Openings Hourly Wages Occupations Some College WY MT ND WY MT ND WY MT ND First-Line Supervisors of Prod/ Operating Workers 3 11 5 2 7 7 18 21 5 Two-year/Associates Degree WY MT ND WY MT ND WY MT ND Electrical & Electronics Engineering Technicians 12 13 4 6 7 7 16 29 13 Computer Network Support Specialists 14 20 5
Table 8 Cross-walk between occupations and industry employers18 Occupations Computer/Electronic/Electrical Eng. Tech* First-Line Supervisor/Manager* 2012 2022 Annual 2012 2022 Annual Employment Projection Openings Employment Projection Openings Wyoming (all industries) 2329 2771 247 7574 9224 1116 Mining (21) 70 99 12 2111 2934 371 Utilities (22) 49 56 3 155 26 12 Prof Services (54) 386 458 67 16 20 3 Northeast Wyoming 220 220 38 1495 1757 242 NE WY/WY Percentage 9% 8% 15% 20% 19% 22% * Includes Standard SOC 15-1131, 1132, 1133, 1134, 1141, 1143, SOC 47-1010; 49-1010; 51-1010; 53- Occupation Codes: 1151, 1152; 17-3023 1020, 1030
Increasing demands by one energy sector creates a tighter labor market for all energy employers. Oil production is growing in Wyoming, Colorado, and Montana and growing exponentially in North Dakota.19 Employers have provided worker housing near Williston, ND, and are considering similar solutions near Gillette, WY, as the available workforce cannot fill the demand for skilled workers. Six uranium operations in northeast Wyoming are in development from “partially permitted and licensed” to “producing.”20 Unemployment rates for March 2014 were 2.6% in North Dakota, 4.0% in Wyoming, 5.1% in Montana, and 6.2% in Colorado.21
17 2010 Occupational Projections, http://www.careerinfonet.org/ - 18 (Wyoming) Occupational Projections 2012 – 2022, https://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/projections/ind-occ-prj-2012-2022/full.pdf 19 Crude Oil Production (chart), U.S. Energy Information Administration, www.eia.gov 20 Uranium Production Report May 2014. Energy Information Administration, www.eia.gov 21 Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 18 Demand for Nurses from Sheridan College (November 2014)
Expanding the cohort capacity is a major undertaking. Demand for new nursing graduates and competitive wages are two factors to consider when looking at the return to the community on the investment in expanded nursing education. NWCCD endeavors to align the college’s nursing program in capacity and content to the local job market which improves the likelihood that our graduates will be hired for local jobs. NWCCD has maintained a nursing program on two campuses with consistently high quality instruction and a high percentage of graduates passing their licensing exam the first time while growing the cohort size incrementally.
The following statements are supported and discussed in the data and discussion paper.22
• Sheridan College admits about 24 students each fall into the first year of its two year nursing program. • Sheridan College’s planned target for the nursing cohort is 64 with 32 first year and 32 second year. • Within Wyoming and its neighboring states hourly mean wages range from $25.51 to $33.16. • Wyoming’s wages are in the middle of this range with a mean of $29.56. • Nurses employed in Sheridan County receive an average hourly wage of $28.26. • Nurses employed in Johnson County receive $26.18. • Significant numbers of Wyoming’s nurses are in the age ranges that will retire in the next ten years. • Wyoming, of the western states, will experience the highest ratio of nursing shortages by 2030. • Wyoming’s annual demand for new nursing graduates is 180 every year from 2012 to 2022. • Cheyenne and Casper have an excess of trained registered nurses while both northeast Wyoming (Sheridan, Johnson, Campbell, Crook and Weston Counties) and southwest
22 Demand for Nurses from Sheridan College: Data and Discussion, November 13, 2014, Bigelow
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 19 Wyoming are experiencing a shortage. • Every year Sheridan College’s nursing program turns away as many qualified students as it accepts. • Wyoming’s community colleges graduated 258 associate degree nurses in 2013. • Sheridan College’s nursing students pass their licensure exam at a high pass rate. • Sheridan College graduated 123 students from the nursing program between 2010 and 2014. • Of the 80 for whom we have home addresses, 60% are both living and licensed to practice in Wyoming. • Half of the 80 for whom we have home addresses live in Sheridan County and are licensed in Wyoming. • Wyoming’s colleges must produce a larger supply of graduating nursing students than the forecasted demand for new entrants into the nursing profession. • Expansion of the nursing cohort is justified by forecasted demand in the workforce exceeding the current capacity to graduate new nurses and good wages for graduates.
The demand for new nurses is equally driven by the growth in number of positions and the job openings due to those retiring and exiting from the occupation. The annual demand in Wyoming for new nursing graduates or entries into the professional from transfers from other states is 180 according to the Wyoming labor market information projections. These projections are fairly linear and do not account for changes in the health care industry or other complex factors that affect the demand for nurses (Table 9).
The demand for new nurses is not evenly distributed across the state. According to a 2010 study conducted by the Wyoming Department of Workforce Services – Research and Planning, Health Care Workforce Needs in Wyoming: Advancing the Study – Occasional Paper No. 6 (2011), the two metropolitan areas of Cheyenne and Casper have an excess of trained registered nurses while both northeast Wyoming (Sheridan, Johnson, Campbell, Crook and Weston Counties) and southwest Wyoming are experiencing a shortage. The DWS report stated that it is “likely that the health care infrastructure could not keep pace with the rapid
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 20 population growth due to oil and gas expansion in these regions.” Table 9 Wyoming: Projected Demand for New Nurses 2012 to 2022 23 Total Demand Standard Occupation Code (SOC) 2012 Base 2022 Projection Growth Replacement Total Code and Title Employment Employment Openings Openings Openings 29-1141 Registered Nurses 4,738 5,619 881 919 1,800 29-1151 Nurse Anesthetists 41 47 6 8 14 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 191 248 57 37 94 Annual Demand Annual Annual Standard Occupation Code (SOC) 2012 Base 2022 Projection Growth Replacement Annual Total Code and Title Employment Employment Openings Openings Openings 29-1141 Registered Nurses 4,738 5,619 88 92 180 29-1151 Nurse Anesthetists 41 47 1 1 2 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 191 248 6 4 10
23 http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/projections/2014/long-term-occupational-2012-2022.htm
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 21 Demand for Dental Hygienists from Sheridan College (December 2014)
The Northern Wyoming Community College District offers a dental hygiene program at Sheridan College. Sheridan College’s program offers the Associate of Applied Science Degree (AAS) with the option of completing a Bachelor of Science Degree in Dental Hygiene (BSDH) through the University of Wyoming. This provides students the opportunity to complete their education at the AAS degree level and enter directly into office practice or continue on for the bachelor degree while in practice or in the dental hygiene program. Most graduates receive both an associate’s degree and a bachelor’s degree.
Sheridan College has operated its dental hygiene program for over 40 years and has developed and maintained a regional draw for students. While many students complete their degree and return home to practice their occupation, Sheridan College also fulfills the demand for dental hygienists in the local and statewide market. Table 10 and Table 11 provide the supply from Wyoming’s academic programs and regional employment demand for dental hygienists.
The following statements are supported and discussed in the data and discussion paper.24
• NWCCD’s dental hygiene program at Sheridan College has a well-deserved and long held dominant position in the regional market, with the ability to attract students from a large geographic region. • Graduates pass the national and regional exams reliably and are able to secure well-paid positions in many states. • Sheridan College admits about 24 students each fall into the first year of its two year dental hygiene program. • Sheridan College’s planned target for the dental hygiene program is 30 second year and 30 third year students. (year one is a prerequisite year) • Every year Sheridan College turns away two qualifying students for every student accepted into the program.
24 Demand for Dental Hygienists from Sheridan College: Data and Discussion, December 20, 2014, Bigelow
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 22 • Wyoming’s wages are consistent with the national average of $70,000 annually at $67,000 mean. • Sheridan College’s program is the only one in Wyoming that is partnered with a university for a bachelor’s degree in dental hygiene. • Wyoming’s annual demand for new dental hygienists is 22 every year from 2012 to 2022. • The national demand for dental hygienists is anticipated to increase by 33% over the decade from 2012 to 2022.
Table 10 Dental Hygienists Degrees Awarded in Wyoming by Year (DH Paper)25 Award Level Institution 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Associates Sheridan 24 23 24 19 21 19 25 21 21 21 23 degree College Bachelor’s University of degree Wyoming (in 8 8 4 11 14 7 22 16 17 11 20 (duplicated partnership HC) with SC) Laramie Associates County 0 0 15 19 25 20 18 19 16 20 17 degree Community College
Table 11 Occupation: Dental Hygienists (SOC code 29-2021) (DH Paper)26 Hourly mean Annual mean Hourly 25th Hourly med. Hourly 75th Period: May 2013 Employment(1) wage wage(2) percentile wage wage percentile wage Colorado 3980 37.07 77110 33.43 38.84 42.61 Idaho 1140 34.64 72060 31.31 35.02 40.28 Montana 650 32.46 67510 30.42 33.06 35.71 North Dakota 580 30.04 62490 26.53 30.66 34.2 South Dakota 490 29.05 60420 25.84 29.15 32.91 Utah 2230 32.68 67970 30.67 33.21 35.75 Wyoming 450 32.40 67400 28.81 32.18 35.52 Footnotes: (1) Estimates for detailed occupations do not sum to the totals because the totals include occupations not shown separately. Estimates do not include self-employed workers. (2) Annual wages have been calculated by multiplying the hourly mean wage by 2080 hours; where an hourly mean wage is not published the annual wage has been directly calculated from the reported survey data. Data extracted on December 19 2014
25 EMSI Analyst 26 SOC code: Standard Occupational Classification code -- see http://www.bls.gov/soc/home.htm
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 23 Demographic Trends
One discussion amongst policymakers and leaders of community colleges is whether the institutions have sufficient capacity for upcoming high school graduates ready for postsecondary education. Two datasets used to anticipate future high school graduation are the current grade level enrollments and the past enrollment trends (Figure 4 and Figure 5). NWCCD should anticipate more high school graduates through at 2023, the year 2012 Kindergarten students graduate, based on historic and current enrollment.
1800 1600 Weston #7 1400 Weston #1 1200 Sheridan #3 1000 Sheridan #2 800 Sheridan #1 600 400 Johnson #1 200 Crook #1 0 Campbell #1 KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Figure 4 K-12 Enrollment: Northeast Wyoming Districts Fall 201227
1800 1558 1600 1433 1469 1349 1401 1400 1200 Kindergarten 1000 4th Grade 800 8th Grade 600 12th Grade 400 Linear (Kindergarten) 200 0 Fall08 Fall09 Fall10 Fall11 Fall12
Figure 5 Historical Enrollment in Northeast Wyoming Districts28
27 Wyoming Department of Education 28 Wyoming Department of Education
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 24 The Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE) produces projections of high school graduates by the metropolitan area, state and region. According to the most recent WICHE report, “projections indicate that the nation can look forward to significant changes in the overall size of the pool of graduates,” specifically that enrollment will flatten for a few years and then increase modestly (Prescott & Bransberger, 2012, p. xi). As shown in Figure 6 Wyoming, similar to several other Western states, will see significant increases in its high school graduates by 2024-2025, a projected increase of 26% over the 2008-2009 enrollment (Prescott & Bransberger, 2012, p. 14).
8,000
7,500
7,000
6,500
6,000
5,500
5,000 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28
PUBLIC TOTAL NON-PUBLIC TOTAL
Figure 6 Production of High School Graduates: Wyoming29
Wyoming’s community colleges do very well in capturing the graduating high school students and ranked first in “market penetration” in fall 2011. Wyoming’s community colleges enrolled 62 percent of the state’s college enrollment in fall 2011 placing it first in the nation for market penetration. Twenty-one states placed higher than the national average of 34 percent.30
29 Knocking at the College Door, 2012, WICHE 30 http://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d12/tables/dt12_250.asp
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 25 Industry Trends
Government and Mining (coal mining, oil, natural gas and other mining) are the two primary employment sectors in northeast Wyoming (Figure 7). Since the Mining sector is such a significant economic driver and employer in the region, the forecasts for energy production help inform and support occupation forecasts.
Total Government Management of Companies & Enterprises Educational Services Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Utilities Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, & Hunting Information Real Estate & Rental & Leasing Administrative & Waste Services Finance & Insurance Manufacturing Transportation & Warehousing Other Services, Except Public Administration Professional & Technical Services Wholesale Trade Health Care & Social Assistance Construction Accommodation & Food Services Retail Trade Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Campbell Sheridan Johnson Weston Crook
Figure 7 Employment by Industry - Northeast Wyoming Region 1Q1331
The energy industries are in flux in 2014-2015 with coal production hampered by declining demand, oil exploration constricted by tumbling oil prices, and natural gas from coal seams stagnant and declining due to low prices for natural gas. The Wyoming Consensus Revenue Estimating Group (CREG) forecast price and production for Wyoming’s minerals to estimate
31 Wyoming Labor Market Information – Covered Employment
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 26 future revenue to the state. These forecasts provide a glimpse into the future regional economy. The January 2014 CREG report reflects continued high oil prices. A comparison of the January 2014 CREG Report (Figure 8) to the January 2015 report (Figure 9) shows the shift from an increasing value of oil from 2009 through 2018 in 2014 to a forecast of significantly lower valuation (reflecting price and production decreases) in 2015 with modest increases but not full recovery through 2020. While the minerals/energy industry has suffered a setback and declining markets the forecast reflects a significant industry presence (Figure 9).
$20
Billions $15 Coal Projected Gas Projected $10 Oil Projected Coal $5 Gas
$0 Oil 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 8 Minerals Assessed Valuation - Wyoming - January 2014 CREG Report32
$20
Billions $15 Coal Proj. Gas Proj. $10 Oil Proj. Coal Hist. $5 Gas Hist. Oil Hist. $0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 ) Figure 9 Minerals Assessed Valuation - Wyoming - January 2015 CREG Report33
32 http://eadiv.state.wy.us/creg/GreenCREG_Jan14.pdf 33 http://eadiv.state.wy.us/creg/GreenCREG_Jan15.pdf
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 27 Methodology to Assess Alignment
Does NWCCD have instructional programs in place to train students for high-demand high- wage occupations in northeast Wyoming and in Wyoming?
By starting with occupation projections we are positioning our lens on the demand side of the equation. We used available labor market information from the State of Wyoming and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, program and completion data reported by NWCCD and other colleges to the U.S. Department of Education, and real-time labor market information for our local workforce region when available. The industry forecasts provided by the CREG reports constitute real-time labor market information which should be considered along with the 2012- 2022 occupation forecasts. Lower prices for energy in the next decade may mean that job growth may be mostly from replacements from retiring workers than from industry growth.
We supplemented primary data sources with EMSI’s Analyst which uses the same primary data bases and other data sources and analytics.34 EMSI database includes employment for 2012 and 2013 by county. The laborshed includes five counties in northeast Wyoming: Sheridan, Johnson, Campbell, Crook and Weston. Occupations are identified by their standard occupation classification (SOC) and programs are identified by a classification of instructional program code (CIP). The two databases for the labor analysis are provided by the Wyoming Department of Workforce Services Research and Planning (R & P) and the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).35 Academic program completions are reported for various institutions by the U.S. Department of Education National Center for Education Statistics (NCES).36 The NCES also provides an SOC to CIP crosswalk.37 EMSI Analyst uses all these databases.
34 http://www.economicmodeling.com/analyst/ Occupation Data: EMSI occupation employment data are based on final EMSI industry data and final EMSI staffing patterns. Wage estimates are based on Occupational Employment Statistics (QCEW and Non-QCEW Employees classes of worker) and the American Community Survey (Self-Employed and Extended Proprietors). Occupational wage estimates also affected by county-level EMSI earnings by industry. State Data Sources: This report uses state data from the following agencies: Wyoming Department of Employment, Research and Planning 35 http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/projections.htm and http://www.bls.gov/emp/ 36 http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/datacenter 37 http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/cipcode/resources.aspx?y=55
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 28 We used the available data sources to identify high-demand/high-wage occupations in northeast Wyoming for which the community college can provide an education or training program. The three value criteria were DEMAND, WAGE, and SKILL. Occupations were removed from consideration if they were low-skill, low-wage, or low-demand. The step-by-step process of winnowing the list of occupations from 744 to 25 is shown in Table 12. Table 12 Step-by-step process to identify top 25 occupations based on demand, wage, and skill Value Resulting Step Action Criteria Records Source or Comment 1 Retrieve Statewide Projections 2012- 857 http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/projections/2014/long- 2022 - Run 2014 term-occupational-2012-2022.htm 2 Remove Groups 00-0000; XX-0000; 744 XX-X000 3 Remove Occupations with Total Demand 568 Low numbers are not disclosed (ND). Removing Annual Openings not disclosed (ND) groupings and ND loses 2.4% of all jobs and 2.3% of Total Annual Openings 4 Remove Occupations with Total Demand 96 Annual Openings less than 25 5 Removed 31 Occupations with Skill 65 Removed occupations represent 3,307 Annual Education Level of "Less than High Job Openings School" 6 Removed 12 Occupations with Skill 53 Removed occupations represent 718 Annual Job Education Level of "Bachelors", Openings "Masters" or "Doctorate or Professional" 7 Tested remaining Occupations Skill 53 All required either work experience or job training requiring HS diploma or equivalent for or both. additional skills. 8 Created Group in EMSI Analyst for 53 Occupations 9 Added data from sub-occupations to Wage get wages for 15-1100 10 Added Average and Median Wage for Wage Occupations 11 Selected 25 Occupations based on Wage 25 Median hourly earnings ranged from $35.05 to Descending Median Wages $18.70
The projected annual openings reported by the updated 2012-2022 occupation projections from R & P and those retrieved from EMSI varied somewhat with the largest variation for Machinists (Table 13). The total for the selected occupations varied by only two percent based on the two data sources. The EMSI jobs by occupation in the five northeast Wyoming counties was used to verify that the occupations were represented in the region. The total jobs in these occupations in northeast Wyoming (2013) represents 22 percent of the total for the jobs in Wyoming (2012) which is an indicator that the selected occupations are critical for the region.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 29 Table 13 Top 25 occupations, median earnings, annual openings 2012-2022 and jobs Wyoming 2013 Annual 2012 2014 Med.Hrly Total Annual Jobs Jobs in SOC Earnings Openings Opening in WY NE WY Code SOC Title (EMSI) (R&P) s (EMSI) (R&P) (EMSI) 11-9141 Property, Real Estate, and Community Association $21.26 26 24 691 115 Managers 11-9199 Managers, All Other $31.83 61 63 1,984 210 15-11xx Computer Occupations - Some data from sub- $21.67 97 36 2,740 116 occupations (EMSI) 29-1141 Registered Nurses $29.02 180 97 4,738 775 29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses $20.47 32 23 795 155 33-3012 Correctional Officers and Jailers $18.70 31 28 1,006 53 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers $24.60 39 41 977 207 41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and $24.80 79 97 2,115 397 Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative $21.38 70 91 1,928 279 Support Workers 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and $28.86 98 79 3,743 801 Extraction Workers 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction $22.52 160 118 5,543 2,588 Equipment Operators 47-2111 Electricians $25.41 94 124 2,751 665 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters $19.32 35 50 1,085 164 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and $32.33 63 71 1,723 381 Repairers 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine $26.01 42 43 1,568 813 Specialists 49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except $25.81 56 47 1,322 470 Engines 49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration $19.26 30 43 583 61 Mechanics and Installers 49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics $26.97 141 116 2,407 414 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating $35.05 27 28 1,351 242 Workers 51-4041 Machinists $20.88 25 38 563 107 51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers $22.08 90 63 2,437 555 51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery $30.93 37 33 894 175 Operators, and Gaugers 51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and $21.71 27 31 737 75 Weighers 53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and $27.19 35 36 922 136 Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers $21.07 195 201 7,081 1,512 Total 1,770 1,621 51,684 11,466
In addition to Wyoming’s seven community, one four-year university, and five private accredited colleges awarded over 5,000 certificates and associates degrees in 2012-2013 (Table
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 30 14). NWCCD is the only higher education provider at the certificate and associates degree level located in northeast Wyoming. Eastern Wyoming College provides local programs in Crook and Weston Counties but does not have resident technical programs in those counties.
Table 14 Certificates and associates degrees awarded 2012-2013 Awards/degrees conferred by program (2010 CIP classification), award level, Grand total (13)38 Certificates below the Associates Institution Name City State baccalaureate degrees Casper College Casper WY 207 589 Central Wyoming College Riverton WY 77 247 Cheeks International Academy of Beauty Culture-Cheyenne Cheyenne WY 33 College America-Cheyenne Cheyenne WY 9 Eastern Wyoming College Torrington WY 62 107 Laramie County Community College Cheyenne WY 127 571 Northwest College Powell WY 82 388 Sheridan College (NWCCD) Sheridan WY 244 415 University of Phoenix-Cheyenne Campus Cheyenne WY University of Wyoming Laramie WY 14 Western Wyoming Community College Rock Springs WY 72 439 Wyotech-Laramie Laramie WY 1,347 360
The U.S. Department of Education provides a crosswalk between occupations and instructional programs at the National Center for Education Statistics.39 Multiple instructional programs were matched to several of the occupations, some for different levels of skills and others for slightly different applications (Table 15). Some occupations and instruction programs were matched one-for-one such as electricians. EMSI reported completers for the group of CIPs identified for each occupation. Completers are reported by IPEDS by general category of instructional programs, not by specific instructional programs with identifying CIPs (Table 16). IPEDS also reports “no training provider in the region” for occupations aligned with NWCCD instructional programs, specifically criminal justice. For example in Table 18 are listed IPEDS completions for the instructional program Homeland Security, Law Enforcement, Firefighting, and Related Protective Service but EMSI shows no program available for correctional officers and police and sheriff officers. This discrepancy between data sources is explained by the selection of CIP for the NWCCD Criminal Justice program.
38 http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/datacenter 39 http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/cipcode/resources.aspx?y=55
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 31 Table 15 Occupation to Instructional Program Crosswalk for 25 Selected Occupations 25 Selected High-Demand High-Wage Occupations and Related Instructional Programs 2013 Completions (EMSI) in NE Wyoming SOC SOC 2010 Title CIP 2010 Codes (Programs offered at
2010 NWCCD in bold italics.) 1 but
Code
Institution 1 than less of Award year academic least at of Award yrs 2 acad than less degree Associates CompletionsAll 119141 Property, Real 4.1001, 52.1501 No training Estate, and providers in Community region Association Managers 119199 Managers, All 3.0207, 9.0702, 11.1005, 25.0101, 25.0103, NWCCD 0 1 33 34 Other 31.0302, 31.0399, 42.0101, 42.2701, 42.2702, 42.2703, 42.2704, 42.2705, 42.2706, 42.2707, 42.2708, 42.2709, 42.2799, 42.2801, 42.2802, 42.2803, 42.2804, 42.2805, 42.2806, 42.2807, 42.2808, 42.2809, 42.281, 42.2811, 42.2812, 42.2813, 42.2814, 42.2899, 42.9999, 43.0103, 43.0115, 43.0202, 43.0301, 43.0302, 43.0303, 43.0304, 44.0401, 45.0101, 45.0102, 45.0201, 45.0202, 45.0203, 45.0204, 45.0299, 45.0301, 45.0401, 45.0501, 45.0601, 45.0602, 45.0603, 45.0604, 45.0605, 45.0699, 45.0701, 45.0702, 45.0799, 45.0901, 45.0902, 45.0999, 45.1001, 45.1002, 45.1003, 45.1004, 45.1099, 45.1101, 45.1201, 45.1301, 45.1401, 45.9999, 50.1001, 50.1002, 50.1004, 50.1099, 51.0719, 52.0101, 52.0201, 52.0206, 52.021, 52.0211, 52.0701, 52.0702, 52.0703, 52.0903, 52.0999, 52.2101, 54.0101, 54.0102, 54.0103, 54.0104, 54.0105, 54.0106, 54.0107, 54.0108, 54.0199 1511xx Computer and 11.0101, 11.0102, 11.0103, 11.0104, 11.0199, NWCCD 0 0 3 3 Information 11.0401, 11.0701, 11.0804, 26.1103, 51.2706, Related 11.0101, 11.0103, 11.0501, 11.0901, 11.0103, Occupations 11.0701, 11.0901, 11.1001, 11.1002, 11.1003, 11.1005, 43.0116, 11.0201, 11.0202, 11.0203, 11.0299, 11.0701, 11.0803, 11.0804, 15.1204, 51.0709, 52.1201, 11.0102, 11.0103, 11.0104, 11.0201, 11.0202, 11.0701, 11.0804, 14.0901, 14.0903, 15.1204, 26.1103, 51.2706, 11.0102, 11.0103, 11.0104, 11.0201, 11.0202, 11.0401, 11.0701, 14.0901, 14.0903, 15.1204, 11.0201, 11.0701, 11.0801, 11.1004, 11.0101, 11.0802, 11.1003, 11.0101, 11.1001, 11.1003, 11.0101, 11.0103, 11.0501, 11.0901, 11.1001, 11.1003, 14.0901, 14.0999, 1.0106, 11.1006, 51.0709, 11.0201, 11.0501, 11.0701, 11.0901, 11.1001, 11.1002, 11.1003, 11.1006, 11.0101, 11.0301, 11.0401, 11.0701, 11.1005, 26.1103, 26.1104, 30.0801, 30.1601, 30.3001, 30.3101, 43.0116, 51.2706,
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 32 Table 15 Occupation to Instructional Program Crosswalk for 25 Selected Occupations 25 Selected High-Demand High-Wage Occupations and Related Instructional Programs 2013 Completions (EMSI) in NE Wyoming SOC SOC 2010 Title CIP 2010 Codes (Programs offered at
2010 NWCCD in bold italics.) 1 but
Code
Institution 1 than less of Award year academic least at of Award yrs 2 acad than less degree Associates CompletionsAll 291141 Registered Nurses 51.3801, 51.3802, 51.3803, 51.3805, 51.3806, NWCCD 0 49 44 93 51.3808, 51.3809, 51.3810, 51.3811, 51.3812, 51.3813, 51.3814, 51.3815, 51.3816, 51.3818, 51.3819, 51.3820, 51.3821, 51.3822, 51.3899, 51.3901, 51.3999, 333012 Correctional 43.0102, 43.0110, 43.0199 No training Officers and providers in Jailers region 333051 Police and 3.02080, 43.0107, 43.0111, 43.0114, 43.0115, No training Sheriff’s Patrol 43.0119, 43.0120, 43.0122, List does not providers in Officers include NWCCD’s choice of 43.0104 region 471011 First Line 46.0000, 46.0101, 46.0201, 46.0302, 46.0401, NWCCD 4 5 1 10 Supervisors of 46.0402, 46.0403, 46.0404, 46.0406, 46.0408, Construction 46.041, 46.0412, 46.0413, 46.0414, 46.0415, Trades and 46.0502, 46.0503, 46.0504, 46.0505, Extraction Workers 472073 Operating 49.0202, 49.0206 No training Engineers and providers in Other Construction region Equipment Operators 472111 Electricians 46.0302 NWCCD 4 0 0 4 472152 Plumbers, 46.0502, 46.0503, 46.0599 No training Pipefitters, and providers in Steamfitters region 491011 FirstLine 46.0301, 46.0303, 47.0600, 47.0617, 47.0618, No training Supervisors of 52.0205 providers in Mechanics, region Installers, and Repairers 493031 Bus and Truck 47.0605, 47.0613 NWCCD 0 48 34 82 Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 493042 Mobile Heavy 1.0205, 47.0302 NWCCD 0 48 34 82 Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 499021 Heating, Air 15.0501, 47.0201 No training Conditioning, and providers in Refrigeration region Mechanics and Installers
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 33 Table 15 Occupation to Instructional Program Crosswalk for 25 Selected Occupations 25 Selected High-Demand High-Wage Occupations and Related Instructional Programs 2013 Completions (EMSI) in NE Wyoming SOC SOC 2010 Title CIP 2010 Codes (Programs offered at
2010 NWCCD in bold italics.) 1 but
Code
Institution 1 than less of Award year academic least at of Award yrs 2 acad than less degree Associates CompletionsAll 499041 Industrial 47.0303 No training Machinery providers in Mechanics region 511011 FirstLine 52.0205 No training Supervisors of providers in Production and region Operating Workers 514041 Machinists 48.0501, 48.0503 NWCCD 0 13 7 20 514121 Welders, Cutters, 15.0614, 48.0508 NWCCD 0 29 5 34 Solderers, and Brazers 519061 Inspectors, 15.0702 No training Testers, Sorters, providers in Samplers, and region Weighers 531031 First Line 49.0208 No training Supervisors of providers in Transportation and region Material Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 533032 Heavy and Tractor 49.0205 No training Trailer Truck providers in Drivers region
Sheridan College Institutional Research provided a table of graduates by program and CIP code (Table 25). Matching the programs to the CIP codes for high-demand high-wage occupations in Table 16 resulted in identifying some programs that lead to occupations in high-demand high- wage occupations. The high-demand high-wage occupations in Table 16 for which NWCCD has programs with few graduates should be considered for increased emphasis on enrollment and completions. These include: 1) computer related certificates and degrees; 2) electricians (not industrial electricity which is a different CIP); 3) appropriate certificate or degree for first line supervisor of construction and extraction workers (possibly one of the Mining Technology certificates).
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 34 Table 16 NWCCD Programs related to Top 25 High-Demand High-Wage Occupations40 Related Occupations Unique CIP Total Awards in Top 25 Codes Certificate and Degree Titles (2012-14) 11-9199 42.0101 Psychology Associate of Arts 17 45.0101 Social Science/Social Science Associate of Arts 14 52.0101 Business: AAS; AA; AS; Certificate of Completion 69 54.0101 History 4 15-11xx 11.0101 Computer Networking Administration Associate of 5 Applied Science 11.0401 Computer Information Systems Associate of Science 4 11.1003 Cyber Security Associate of Applied Science 4 29-1141 51.3801/3901 Nursing Associate of Applied Science/Certificate 284 33-3051 43.0104 Criminal Justice - Certificates and Degrees 64 47-1011 46.0302 Electrical Apprenticeship Certificate of Completion 7 46.0415 Construction Technology Certificate/Associate of 21 Applied Science 47-2111 47.0302 Electrical Apprenticeship Certificate of Completion 7 49-3031 47.0605 Diesel Technology Certificate/Associate of Applied 183 Science 51-4041 48.0501 Machine Tool Technology Certificate/Associate of 41 Applied Science 51-4121 48.0508 Welding Certificate/Associate of Applied Science 95
NWCCD does not have academic programs, identified by CIP codes, to train students for the high-demand high-wage occupations listed in Table 17. Some of the gaps can be filled administratively by changing the CIP for underlying certificates to better align with the occupations. Other gaps can be or are being addressed with workforce training solutions such as heavy equipment operators and tractor trailer drivers. We can argue that it is not as important that we assign the identified CIP to our existing program but that we are actually training for the occupations. One case where this applies is the HVAC program which is offered as a for-credit apprenticeship program that aligns with the General Technology Associates of Applied Sciences.
40 Award data and CIP designations from NWCCD Institutional Research
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 35 Table 17 High Demand High Wage Occupations not supported with or identified by an NWCCD program SOC SOC 2010 Title CIP 2010 Codes Potential Actions/Comments 2010 Code 119141 Property, Real Estate, and 4.1001, 52.1501 Consider community Community Association education/workforce training Managers approach if need is validated. 333012 Correctional Officers and 43.0102, 43.0110, 43.0199 Include one of the CIPs in the Jailers Criminal Justice Certificates 333051 Police and Sheriff’s Patrol 3.02080, 43.0107, 43.0111, Include one of the CIPs in the Officers 43.0114, 43.0115, 43.0119, Criminal Justice Certificates 43.0120, 43.0122, List does not include NWCCD’s choice of 43.0104 472073 Operating Engineers and 49.0202, 49.0206 Address with workforce training Other Construction approach. Equipment Operators 472152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and 46.0502, 46.0503, 46.0599 Further evaluate need with Steamfitters employers - possibly add as apprenticeship program in the Gen Tech Degree. 491011 First Line Supervisors of 46.0301, 46.0303, 47.0600, No training providers in region Mechanics, Installers, and 47.0617, 47.0618, 52.0205 Repairers 499021 Heating, Air Conditioning, 15.0501, 47.0201 Ensure HVAC apprenticeship and Refrigeration certificate is on the list. Mechanics and Installers 499041 Industrial Machinery 47.0303 Evaluate whether an existing Mechanics program (Diesel) fits this need and/or tailor a Gen Tech degree path that fits the requirements. 511011 First Line Supervisors of 52.0205 Align this CIP with the Supervisory Production and Operating Certificate in the Mining Tech Workers program - stack to the Gen Tech degree. 519061 Inspectors, Testers, 15.0702 Could we tailor a suggested path Sorters, Samplers, and to the Gen Tech degree that Weighers would meet this need? 531031 First Line Supervisors of 49.0208 Align this CIP with the Supervisory Transportation and Certificate in the Mining Tech Material Moving Machine program - stack to the Gen Tech and Vehicle Operators degree. 533032 Heavy and Tractor Trailer 49.0205 Address with workforce training Truck Drivers approach.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 36 Is there demand in northeast Wyoming and Wyoming for graduates of NWCCD’s current instructional programs?
The primary data source for completions is the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS)41. The data reported on this site has been provided in more detail by NWCCD. This data is available directly from the IPEDS site and is also used by EMSI in their analysis. For 2012-2013 NWCCD reported 659 total awarded certificates and associate’s degrees (Table 18). There are at last three limitations with relying on this data alone: some completers are awarded multiple certificates and degrees in the same academic year so the IPEDS data includes duplicated headcount and inflates the actual number of completers; the associate’s degrees are not segregated by associates of applied science degrees designed for graduates to enter an occupation and associates of arts, sciences, or fine arts degrees designed for graduates to transfer to 4-year programs; and programs are listed at a summary level in lieu of specific programs of study. The IPEDS data does allow comparison and summation of awards from all Wyoming’s institutions.
In addition to non-credit workforce training NWCCD offers instructional programs at the levels of certificates of completion (less than 30 credit hours); certificates of completion; associates of applied science degrees and associates degrees (Table 19).
Most but not all programs are approved by the U.S. Department of Education for federal student aid, authorized under Title IV of the Higher Education Act and often referred to as simply Title IV. For the certificates of completion approved for Title IV NWCCD identifies the targeted occupations by SOC either intentionally by the faculty proposing the program or by the administrative staff who complete the gainful employment template for submittal. The identified occupations may general to the instructional program in lieu of selected based on the knowledge, skills and abilities embedded in the NWCCD program or the occupations represented in northeast Wyoming.
41 http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 37 Table 18 Number of degrees and certificates awarded, by level and program: 2012-1342 Certificates Below Program (Institution: Sheridan College/NWCCD) Bachelor's Associate's Total Grand total 244 415 659 Agriculture, Agriculture Operations and Related Sciences 12 12 24 Communication, Journalism, and Related Programs 0 0 Computer and Information Sciences and Support Services 0 3 3 Personal and Culinary Services 27 6 33 Education 1 28 29 Engineering 1 1 Engineering Technologies and Engineering related Fields 22 30 52 Foreign Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics 1 1 English Language and Literature/Letters 1 1 Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities 135 135 Biological and Biomedical Sciences 0 1 1 Mathematics and Statistics 2 2 Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies 6 6 Parks, Recreation, Leisure and Fitness Studies 0 1 1 Psychology 3 3 Homeland Security, Law Enforcement, Firefighting, and Related Protective Service 11 20 31 Social Sciences 8 8 Construction Trades 9 1 10 Mechanic and Repair Technologies/Technicians 48 34 82 Precision Production 42 13 55 Visual and Performing Arts 3 6 9 Health Professions and Related Programs 59 75 134 Business, Management, Marketing, and Related Support Services 10 27 37 History 1 1
42 http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/datacenter/institutionprofile.aspx?unitId=adafabb1b1b1
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 38 Table 19 Programs of study offered by NWCCD Certificate of Completion Associate of Applied Science Associate of Arts (Less than 30 credits) • Athletic Coaching Cert. • Agriculture AAS • Business AA • Biotechnology Cert. • Business AAS • Criminal Justice AA • Carpentry Apprenticeship Cert. • Computer Aided Design AAS • English AA • Early Childhood Education Cert. • Computer Networking Administration AAS • General Studies AA • Electrical Apprenticeship Cert. • Computer Web Design AAS • History AA • Farrier Science Cert. • Construction Technology AAS • Human Services AA • HVAC Apprenticeship Cert. • Criminal Justice: Correctional Services AAS • Psychology AA • Industrial Operations Mgmt & Supervision Cert. • Criminal Justice: Law Enforcement AAS • Social Science AA • Massage Therapy Cert. • Criminal Justice: Security AAS • Theatre AA • Mine Management Cert. • Criminal Justice: Victim Advocacy AAS Associate of Fine Arts • Mine Safety & Technology Cert. • Culinary Arts AAS • Art AFA • Music Technology Cert. • Cyber Security AAS • Music AFA Certificate of Completion • Dental Hygiene AAS Associate of Science • Addictions Practitioner Cert. • Diesel Technology AAS • Agricultural Business AS • Administrative Assistant Cert. • Early Childhood Education AAS • Agricultural Science AS • Business Cert. • Environmental Engineering Technology AAS • Animal Science AS • Computer Aided Design Cert. of Completion • General Technology AAS • Athletic Training AS • Construction Technology Cert. • Horticulture & Sports Turf Management AAS • Biology AS • Criminal Justice: Correctional Services Cert. • Hospitality Management AAS • Business AS • Criminal Justice: Crime Scene • Computer Information Investigation Cert. • Industrial Electricity AAS Systems AS • Criminal Justice: Law Enforcement Cert. • Machine Tool Technology AAS • Criminal Justice AS • Criminal Justice: Security Cert. • Massage Therapy AAS • Early Childhood Education AS • Criminal Justice: Victim Advocacy Cert. • Mining Technology AAS • Elementary Education AS • Culinary Arts Cert. • Nursing AAS • Engineering AS • Cyber Security Cert. • Surveying Technology AAS • Exercise Science AS • Diesel Technology Cert. • Welding AAS • General Science AS • Hospitality Management Cert. • General Studies AS • Human Services Cert. of Completion • Health Science AS • Industrial Electricity Cert. • Horticulture AS • Machine Tool Technology Cert. • Mathematics AS • Natural Resource & Ranch • Nursing Cert. Land Management AS • Personal Trainer Education Cert. • Outdoor Leadership AS • Welding Cert. • Physical Education AS • Pre-Professional AS • Secondary Education AS • Sustainable Food Systems AS
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 39 Gainful Employment Certificates
In order for students to be eligible for federal financial aid (Title IV) they must be enrolled in programs that are approved for financial aid by the U.S. Department of Education. Programs offered as associates’ degrees or associates of applied science degrees are usually Title IV approved. Programs that are offered in less than two years, specifically certificates, must be submitted to the U.S. Department of Education with justification that the programs lead to occupations that provide “gainful employment.” Programs that are offered as associates of applied sciences (AAS) without having embedded certificates are not considered gainful employment programs. Demand from occupational forecasts and supply from recent completions are shown in Table 20. Additional information is shown in Table 27, located in the Appendix, including all NWCCD’s gainful employment certificates, the targeted occupations and information available through EMSI.43
We added to our spreadsheet the unduplicated headcount for students receiving a certificate of completion, associates of applied science or both in the same academic program within an academic year in order to better analyze the supply of program completers. We also combined the two programs and occupations for electricians and electrical technicians based on local understanding of the occupations and similar wages.
Table 20 Demand in Gainful Employment Occupations and Supply of Completers NE Wyoming NWCCD Wyoming Completions Completers 2012-22 Median Median (awards) (unduplicated Certificate SOC Occupation Annual Hourly Hourly (2013) EMSI headcount) Program Code Description Openings Earnings Earnings & IPEDS (2013) (SIS) Diesel 47- Bus and Truck 42 $30.29 $26.08 82 48 Technology 4011 Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Nursing – 29- Licensed Practical 8 $20.56 $20.33 93 47 Counted 2061 Nurses, Licensed AAS awards Vocational Nurses, only Licensed Registered Nurses
43 http://www.sheridan.edu/site/assetlibrary/nwccd/IR/GE/
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 40 Table 20 Demand in Gainful Employment Occupations and Supply of Completers NE Wyoming NWCCD Wyoming Completions Completers 2012-22 Median Median (awards) (unduplicated Certificate SOC Occupation Annual Hourly Hourly (2013) EMSI headcount) Program Code Description Openings Earnings Earnings & IPEDS (2013) (SIS) Industrial 17- Electrical and 58 $25.92 $25.76 50 40 Electricity & 3023/ Electronics Electrical 47- Engineering 2081 Technicians & Electricians Welding 51- Welders, Cutters, 40 $24.91 $23.33 34 32 Technology 4041 Solderers, and Brazers Culinary Arts 33- Cooks, Restaurant 15 $10.97 $10.59 33 29 9032 Business 11- Administrative 2 $32.08 $33.47 22 22 3011 Services Managers Machine 49- Machinists 8 $25.82 $20.94 20 13 Tool 9095 Technology Massage 31- Massage Therapists 4 $15.31 $15.25 11 10 Therapy 9011 Hospitality 11- Lodging Managers 6 $18.31 $18.41 12 7 Managemen 9081 t Personal 29- Athletic Trainers ND ND $19.63 5 5 Trainer 9091 Education Cyber 15- Information Security ND ND $33.63 3 3 Security 1122 Analysts Administrativ 37- Executive Secretaries 4 $21.00 $20.42 3 2 e Assistant 1011 and Executive Administrative Assistants Administrativ 43- Secretaries and 35 $16.08 $15.83 3 2 e Assistant 6011 Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive Early 25- Preschool Teachers, 11 $13.31 $11.68 1 1 Childhood 2011 Except Special Education Education Computer 17- Architectural and Civil 3 $20.18 $19.34 0 0 Aided 3011 Drafters Design Construction 47- Carpenters 36 $16.33 $17.77 0 0 Technology 1011 Criminal 33- Security Guards 7 $12.41 $13.15 0 0 Justice: 9032 Corrections, Security
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 41 Table 20 Demand in Gainful Employment Occupations and Supply of Completers NE Wyoming NWCCD Wyoming Completions Completers 2012-22 Median Median (awards) (unduplicated Certificate SOC Occupation Annual Hourly Hourly (2013) EMSI headcount) Program Code Description Openings Earnings Earnings & IPEDS (2013) (SIS) Criminal 33- Detectives and 1 $37.71 $36.52 0 0 Justice: 3021 Criminal Investigators Crime Scene Investigation , Law Enforcement , Victim Advocacy Farrier 43- First-Line Supervisors 2 $24.44 $23.04 0 0 6014 of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers Criminal 33- Security Guards 7 $12.41 $13.15 0 0 Justice: 9032 Corrections, Security Addictions 21- Substance Abuse 1 $20.86 $19.80 0 0 Practitioner 1011 and Behavioral Disorder Counselors Human 11- Social and 3 $22.10 $27.33 22 Services 9151 Community Service Managers
The question framing this research and analysis is: Is there demand in northeast Wyoming and Wyoming for graduates of NWCCD’s current instructional programs? Three certificate programs meet the criteria of completers of at least ten, median wages greater than $18/hr and regional demand of at least 20: Diesel Technology, Industrial Electricity and Electrical, and Welding Technology. Three additional programs with at least ten annual completers also have higher median wages but not high demand: Nursing, Business, and Machine Tool Technology. Two programs with at least ten completers did not meet the selected benchmarks of high wage or high demand: Culinary Arts and Massage Therapy. The criminal justice certificates and degree are assigned one CIP and have various selected occupation codes. There is high-wage high demand in two related criminal justice occupations – probably aligned with our programs – that are not identified by the CIPs or the selected SOCs. This can be fixed administratively. The remaining programs had fewer than ten completers and met only one criteria of high-wage or high-demand (Table 21).
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 42
Table 21 Is there demand in high-wage jobs for program completers? (Gainful employment programs only) Certificate Program (and related AAS Supply (Completers) High Median High Demand programs) CIP Code 10 + annually Wage >$18/hr 20 + annually Diesel Technology 47.0605 Yes Yes Yes Nursing 51.3801 Yes Yes No Industrial Electricity & Electrical 15.0399 Yes Yes Yes Welding Technology 48.0508 Yes Yes Yes Culinary Arts 12.0503 Yes No No Business 52.0101 Yes Yes No Machine Tool Technology 48.0501 Yes Yes No Massage Therapy 51.3501 Yes No No Hospitality Management 52.0901 No Yes No Personal Trainer Education 31.0507 No Yes No Cyber Security 11.1003 No Yes No Administrative Assistant - Executive 52.0401 No Yes No Administrative Assistant 52.0401 No No Yes Early Childhood Education 13.1210 No No No Computer Aided Design 15.1302 No Yes No Construction Technology 46.0415 No No Yes Criminal Justice: Corrections, Security 43.0104 No No No Criminal Justice: Crime Scene Investigation, Law Enforcement, Victim Advocacy 43.0104 No Yes No Farrier 01.0307 No Yes No Criminal Justice: Corrections, Security 43.0104 No No No Addictions Practitioner New No Yes No Human Services New No Yes No
Gainful employment certificate of completion programs for which completers exceeds demand include three occupations that would not be considered high-wage (median hourly earnings of less than $20): Restaurant Cooks; Massage Therapists; and Lodging Managers (Table 22). The apparent low number of openings related to instructional programs of business and human services may be caused by the narrow field of occupations identified on NWCCD’s Gainful Employment disclosure for those certificates. There is an inconsistency in how NWCCD has selected targeted occupations for each instructional program. For some we list a narrow occupation and for others such as Carpentry Apprenticeship we listed a number of occupations
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 43 that are not represented in our local economy. The person completing the template for submittal probably selected a group of related occupations without regard to the actual skills taught in the program or the occupations in the local economy. The “Business” Certificate Program was not included on this list since 11-9199 Managers, All Others is on the selected high-demand high-wage list of 25 occupations.
Table 22 Supply of Completions exceeds Demand for Workers 2012-22 Median NWCCD Annual Supply Hourly Certificate SOC Completions Openings less Earnings Programs Code Occupations (2013) (NE WY) demand (WY) Human Services 11-9151 Social and Community Service 22 3 19 $27.33 Managers Culinary Arts 33-9032 Cooks, Restaurant 33 15 18 $10.59 Massage Therapy 31-9011 Massage Therapists 16 4 12 $15.25 Hospitality 11-9081 Lodging Managers 12 6 6 $18.41 Management
Only one of the occupations related to the Carpentry Apprenticeship, Civil Engineering Technician, lists Associate’s degree as typical entry level education. For occupations related to the carpentry apprenticeship in northeast Wyoming, the median hourly pay ranges from $14.08 for Roofers (SOC 47-2142) to $21.81 for Mechanical Insulation Workers (SOC 47-2131). Higher wages are available for Construction and Building Inspectors (SOC 47-2231) at $22.59 per hour and First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers (SOC 45-1011) at $29.40 per hour. The SOC 45-1011 has a reported 801 employees in northeast Wyoming and probably represents employment in the extraction industry.
Three construction occupations were deleted from Table 23 for lack of jobs in those occupations in northeast Wyoming. Three of the remaining occupations, glaziers, mechanical insulation workers, and structural iron/steel workers, specify a high school diploma and apprenticeship as the typical education and training. Most of the remaining occupations typically require at most a high school diploma and moderate term on-the-job training. Exceptions are First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers with required work experience typically 5 years or more and General Maintenance and Repair Workers which typically requires long-term on-the-job training. The median hourly wage for these two occupations respectively is $29.40 and $18.24. NWCCD should consider updating the
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 44 occupations listed on the Construction Technology gainful employment disclosure to the occupations both represented in the region and for which the curriculum is designed.
Table 23 Construction Apprenticeship Related Occupations Work SOC Typical Entry Level Experience Code Occupation Education Required Typical OJT (OJT) Training 17-3022 Civil Engineering Technicians Associate's degree None None 47-2111 Glaziers HS diploma or equiv. None Apprenticeship 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Mechanical HS diploma or equiv. None Apprenticeship 47-2181 Structural Iron and Steel Workers HS diploma or equiv. None Apprenticeship 49-3031 Maintenance and Repair Workers, HS diploma or equiv. None Long-term OJT training General 47-2231 Construction and Building Inspectors HS diploma or equiv. 5 years or Moderate-term OJT training more 47-2041 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, HS diploma or equiv. None Moderate-term OJT training and Hard Tiles 47-2042 Floor Sanders and Finishers HS diploma or equiv. None Moderate-term OJT training 49-9071 Manufactured Building and Mobile HS diploma or equiv. None Moderate-term OJT training Home Installers 45-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction HS diploma or equiv. 5 years or None Trades and Extraction Workers more 35-2014 First-Line Supervisors of HS diploma or equiv. Less than 5 None Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers years 47-2043 Tile and Marble Setters Less than HS None Long-term OJT training 47-2044 Cement Masons and Concrete Less than HS None Moderate-term OJT training Finishers 47-2053 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers Less than HS None Moderate-term OJT training 47-2132 Painters, Construction and Less than HS None Moderate-term OJT training Maintenance 47-2142 Roofers Less than HS None Moderate-term OJT training 47-2031 Carpet Installers Less than HS None Short-term OJT training 47-2121 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Less than HS None Short-term OJT training Wall
Other Associates Degrees and Non-Gainful Employment Certificates
NWCCD’s “Associate of Applied Science degree is designed to lead students directly to employment in a specific career, allow the opportunity for further academic study, and lead directly to certification and/or licensure, where appropriate.”44 Although “specific careers” and “certification and/or licensure” are not listed with the programs of study we can identify related occupations using the identified CIPs for each certificate and degree and a crosswalk to
44 http://catalog.sheridan.edu/preview_program.php?catoid=9&poid=1164
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 45 standard occupational codes (SOCs).
It may be useful to examine the demand and wages for graduates of other associate degree programs and certificate programs that are not deemed gainful employment. Associates and Associates of Applied Science degrees were included in the analysis of the gainful employment certificates. Some certificate programs are not identified as gainful employment programs either because the jobs did not qualify under the gainful employment criteria or the students in the programs generally do not require federal student aid. The associates degrees and certificates not addressed in earlier analysis are shown in Table 24.
Table 24 Remaining Certificate and Associates Degree Programs offered by NWCCD Total Awards Unique CIP Codes Certificate and Degree Titles (2012-14) 01.0000 Agriculture Associate of Applied Science 6 01.0101 Agricultural Business Associate of Science 13 01.1103 Horticulture & Sports Turf Management Associate of Applied Science 6 01.1106 Natural Resource & Ranch Land Management Associate of Science 4 01.9999 Agricultural Science Associate of Science 5 09.9999 Communication 2 11.1004 Computer Web Design Associate of Applied Science 1 13.1202 Elementary Education Associate of Science 47 13.1205 Secondary Education Associate of Science 9 13.1314 Athletic Coaching Certificate 12 14.0101 Engineering Associate of Science 9 15.0507 Environmental Engineering Technology Associate of Applied Science 2 15.0901 Mining Technology Associate of Applied Science 20 15.1102 Surveying Technology Associate of Applied Science 7 16.0101 Modern Language 2 23.0101 English Associate of Arts 5 24.0102 General Studies Associates of Arts/Sciences 439 26.0101 Biology and Biology Associate of Science 4 27.0101 Mathematics Associate of Science 6 30.0101 General Science/General Science Associate of Science 13 30.9999 Pre-Professional Associate of Science 9 31.0501 Physical Education K-12 Associate of Science 1 31.0505 Health & Fitness Leadership Associate of Science 4 48.9999 General Technology Associate of Applied Science 1 50.0501 Theater Associate of Arts 7 50.0701 Art Associate of Fine Arts 9 50.0901 Music Associate of Fine Arts/Music Tech Certificate 21 51.0000 Health Science Associate of Science 14 51.0602 Dental Hygiene Associate of Applied Science 65 51.0708 Medical Transcription 9
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 46 The CIP codes matched to one or more occupations and likewise some occupations matched more than one CIP code. The full dataset is shown in Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations in the Appendix. Reviewing the three year graduations (2012- 2014) with the annual openings anticipated from 2012 to 2022 we find the following:
• Although the occupation “Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers” declined by almost half from 2005 to 2014 there are anticipated 28 annual openings. This occupation aligns with several agriculture related CIPs. • Elementary educators are a prevalent occupation with an anticipated 20 annual openings. This is in line with our three year graduation rate of 47, average of 15 annually. NWCCD graduates need an additional two-years to complete a baccalaureate which is available in the region through Chadron State College. • The CIP Physical Education Teaching and Coaching appears to be in line with the related occupation projections. • The occupational demand that is related to Mining Technology/Technician is oil and gas service focused. This is not the focus of the NWCCD Mining Technology program and may be an opportunity for expansion of the program. • The occupation of “Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education” is not specific enough to relate it to any specific academic program so the alignment of supply and demand is not meaningful. • NWCCD’s single largest graduation group was in the CIP General Studies with an average of 150 graduates annually. This general program aligned with the general occupation of “Postsecondary Teachers, All Other.” The academic program provides the first two years of general studies which prepares students to transfer to a variety of academic programs but does not prepare students for specific occupations at the completion of the two-year degree. • Similar to the white paper on demand for dental hygienists this data shows that the regional demand is less than our annual supply; however, the program serves a much larger geographic base than the northeast Wyoming region.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 47 Concluding Observations and Recommendations
The following are key concepts, information, observations and recommendations from previous analysis and the analysis completed for this assessment of program alignment to occupational projections.
We supplemented primary data sources with EMSI’s Analyst which uses the same primary data bases and other data sources and analytics. EMSI database includes employment for 2012 and 2013 by county. The laborshed includes five counties in northeast Wyoming: Sheridan, Johnson, Campbell, Crook and Weston.
Wyoming, similar to several other Western states, will see significant increases in its high school graduates by 2024-2025, a projected increase of 26% over the 2008-2009 enrollment shown in Figure 6 Production of High School Graduates: Wyoming (Prescott & Bransberger, 2012, p. 14).
The energy industries are in flux in 2014-2015 with coal production hampered by declining demand, oil exploration constricted by tumbling oil prices, and natural gas from coal seams stagnant and declining due to low prices for natural gas. While the minerals/energy industry has suffered a setback and declining markets the forecast reflects a significant industry presence (Figure 9).
Strong Demand for Current Programs
Net growth, both from industry growth and people leaving jobs (permanent exits), is strong in electricians, diesel technicians, machinists, industrial machinery mechanics, and welders for Wyoming, North Dakota and Montana, driven by the energy industry in these three states (Table 2).
Increase enrollments and completions in key sectors (IT, Science/Natural Resources, Business), maximizing the benefits of existing programs – recommendation from CAEL/Avalanche study.
Increase availability of Machine-tool programming and associated equipment to meet employer and learner demand – recommendation from CAEL/Avalanche Study.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 48 Occupational projections for first-line supervisors, computer network/electronics technicians, and electrical engineering technicians indicate employment in these occupations spread among the energy sector industries with some concentration in Mining, Oil & Gas for first-line supervisors and Professional & Technical Services for Computer/Electronic Engineering Technician (Table 8).
The demand for new nurses is equally driven by the growth in number of positions and the job openings due to those retiring and exiting from the occupation. The annual demand in Wyoming for new nursing graduates or entries into the professional from transfers from other states is 180 according to the Wyoming labor market information projections. These projections are fairly linear and do not account for changes in the health care industry or other complex factors that affect the demand for nurses (Table 9). National studies support the demand for new nursing graduates.
Three certificate programs meet the criteria of completers of at least ten, median wages greater than $18/hr and regional demand of at least 20: Diesel Technology, Industrial Electricity and Electrical, and Welding Technology (Table 21).
Consider Some Administrative Changes
The criminal justice certificates and degree are assigned one CIP and have various selected occupation codes. There is high-wage high demand in two related criminal justice occupations – probably aligned with our programs – that are not identified by the CIPs or the selected SOCs (Table 21).
There is an inconsistency in how NWCCD has selected targeted occupations for each instructional program. For some we list a narrow occupation and for others such as Carpentry Apprenticeship we listed a number of occupations that are not represented in our local economy. NWCCD should consider updating the occupations listed on the Construction Technology gainful employment disclosure to the occupations both represented in the region and for which the curriculum is designed.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 49 NWCCD does not have academic programs, identified by CIP codes, to train students for some high-demand high-wage occupations. Some of the gaps such as HVAC, Criminal Justice, and can be filled administratively by changing the CIP for underlying certificates to better align with the occupations.
Re-evaluate Need for Programs
Two programs with at least ten completers did not meet the selected benchmarks of high wage or high demand: Culinary Arts and Massage Therapy (Table 21).
Gainful employment certificate of completion programs for which completers exceeds demand include three occupations that would not be considered high-wage (median hourly earnings of less than $20): Restaurant Cooks; Massage Therapists; and Lodging Managers (Table 22).
Redirect CTET enrollments in more limited occupations (such as culinary) to higher-wage occupations – recommendation from CAEL/Avalanche Study.
Opportunities for New Programs and Program Expansions
Address the high-demand high-wage occupation gap for property, real estate managers with community education approach. Address the high-demand high-wage occupation gap for operating engineers and other construction equipment operators with workforce training.
Evaluate need for plumbers with employers and consider an apprenticeship program that aligns with the associates of applied sciences degree in General Technology. Evaluate whether the existing Diesel Tech program fits the need for Industrial Machinery Mechanics, contact employers, and if the need exists and is not met consider developing a General Technology pathway to fill this need.
The occupational demand that is related to Mining Technology/Technician is oil and gas service focused. This is not the focus of the NWCCD Mining Technology program and may be an opportunity for expansion of the program.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 50 Bibliography
Carnevale, A., Smith, N., & Gulish, A. (2015). Nursing: Supply and demand through 2020. Washington DC: Center on Education and Workforce, Georgetown University. Retrieved from https://cew.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/Nursing-Supply-Final.pdf
Carnevale, A., Smith, N., & Strohl, J. (2010). Help wanted: Projections of jobs and education requirements through 2018. Washington DC: Georgetown University, Center on Education and the Workforce. Retrieved from cew.georgetown.edu
Glover, T. (2012). Wyoming Occupational Projections, 2011 to 2021. Cheyenne, WY: Wyoming Department of Workforce Services - Research & Planning.
Gray, K. C., & Herr, E. L. (2006). Other ways to win: Creating alternatives for high school graduates (3rd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Corwin Press.
Prescott, B. T., & Bransberger, P. (2012). Knocking at the college door: Projections of hig school graduates (8th edition). Boulder, CO: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education.
Wadley-Donovan Group, The. (2007). Target Opportunities for Sheridan County, WY. Sheridan, WY: Forward Sheridan.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 51 Appendix
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 52 Table 25 NWCCD Awards 2011-2014 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Sum: CIP GIL SHE GIL SHE GIL SHE Code 01.0000 Agriculture Associate of Applied Science 2 1 3 6 01.0101 Agricultural Business Associate of Science 1 5 7 13 01.0307 Farrier Science Certificate 4 12 12 28 01.1103 Horticulture & Sports Turf Management Associate of 3 3 6 Applied S 01.1106 Natural Resource & Ranch Land Management 3 1 4 Associate of Scienc 01.9999 Agricultural Science Associate of Science 3 2 5 09.9999 Communication 2 2 11.0101 Computer Networking Administration Associate of 1 2 2 5 Applied Scie 11.0401 Computer Information Systems Associate of Science 1 2 1 4 11.1003 Cyber Security Associate of Applied Science 1 1 2 4 11.1004 Computer Web Design Associate of Applied Science 1 1 12.0503 Culinary Arts Associate of Applied Science 8 6 12 26 12.0503 Culinary Arts Certificate of Completion 26 27 21 74 13.1202 Elementary Education Associate of Science 1 6 11 13 5 11 47 13.1205 Secondary Education Associate of Science 3 1 2 1 1 1 9 13.1210 Early Childhood Education Associate of Applied 3 1 1 2 7 Science 13.1210 Early Childhood Education Certificate 1 1 13.1314 Athletic Coaching Certificate 5 1 6 12 14.0101 Engineering Associate of Science 5 1 3 9 15.0399 Industrial Electricity Associate of Applied Science 20 24 10 54 15.0399 Industrial Electricity Certificate of Completion 35 22 8 65 15.0507 Environmental Engineering Technology Associate of 2 2 Applied Sc 15.0901 Mining Technology Associate of Applied Science 9 2 9 20 15.1102 Surveying Technology Associate of Applied Science 1 4 2 7 15.1302 Computer Aided Design Associate of Applied 4 4 Science 15.1302 Drafting Certificate of Completion 1 1 16.0101 Modern Language 1 1 2 23.0101 English Associate of Arts 1 1 1 2 5 24.0102 General Studies Associate of Arts 1 4 7 6 6 9 33 24.0102 General Studies Associate of Science 49 78 46 76 56 101 406 26.0101 Biology 1 1 26.0101 Biology Associate of Science 1 1 1 3 27.0101 Mathematics Associate of Science 1 2 3 6 30.0101 General Science 1 1 30.0101 General Science Associate of Science 3 1 1 7 12 30.9999 Pre-Professional Associate of Science 2 4 3 9 31.0501 Physical Education K-12 Associate of Science 1 1 31.0505 Health & Fitness Leadership Associate of Science 1 1 2 4 31.0507 Personal Trainer Education Certificate of Completion 2 2 4
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 53 Table 25 NWCCD Awards 2011-2014 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Sum: CIP GIL SHE GIL SHE GIL SHE Code 42.0101 Psychology Associate of Arts 3 3 1 2 1 7 17 43.0104 CJ: Correctional Services Associate of Applied 1 2 3 Science 43.0104 CJ: Corrections Certificate of Completion 1 1 1 3 43.0104 CJ: Crime Scene Investigation Certificate of 2 2 Completion 43.0104 CJ: Law Enforcement Associate of Applied Science 3 2 3 8 43.0104 CJ: Law Enforcement Certificate of Completion 3 4 2 9 43.0104 CJ: Private Security Certificate of Completion 1 1 43.0104 CJ: Victim Advocacy Associate of Applied Science 2 4 1 7 43.0104 CJ: Victim Advocacy Certificate of Completion 1 3 4 43.0104 Criminal Justice Associate of Arts 2 3 2 1 2 10 43.0104 Criminal Justice Associate of Science 1 1 3 6 2 3 16 43.0104 Criminal Justice Security Certificate 1 1 45.0101 Social Science 1 3 2 2 8 45.0101 Social Science Associate of Arts 2 2 1 1 6 46.0302 Electrical Apprenticeship Certificate of Completion 4 3 7 46.0415 Construction Technology Associate of Applied 2 1 4 7 Science 46.0415 Construction Technology Certificate of Completion 2 5 7 14 47.0605 Diesel Technology Associate of Applied Science 6 6 25 9 25 9 80 47.0605 Diesel Technology Certificate of Completion 9 6 37 11 26 14 103 48.0501 Machine Tool Technology Associate of Applied 8 7 3 18 Science 48.0501 Machine Tool Technology Certificate of Completion 7 13 3 23 48.0508 Welding Associate of Applied Science 4 4 2 3 7 10 30 48.0508 Welding Certificate of Completion 7 10 13 16 7 12 65 48.9999 General Technology Associate of Applied Science 1 1 50.0501 Theater Associate of Arts 1 1 5 7 50.0701 Art Associate of Fine Arts 6 1 2 9 50.0901 Music Associate of Fine Arts 3 4 4 11 50.0901 Music Technology Certificate 4 3 3 10 51.0000 Health Science Associate of Science 1 3 1 4 5 14 51.0602 Dental Hygiene Associate of Applied Science 21 23 21 65 51.0708 Medical Transcription 3 3 1 1 1 9 51.3501 Massage Therapy Associate of Applied Science 3 3 7 13 51.3501 Massage Therapy Certificate 12 8 12 32 51.3801 Nursing Associate of Applied Science 16 31 17 27 23 24 138 51.3901 Nursing Certificate of Completion 23 27 21 28 23 24 146 52.0101 Business Associate of Applied Science 4 4 52.0101 Business Associate of Arts 1 1 2 4 52.0101 Business Associate of Science 7 7 13 8 9 10 54 52.0101 Business Certificate of Completion 2 1 3 1 7 52.0401 Administrative Assistant Associate of Science 1 1 3 5 52.0401 Administrative Assistant Certificate of Completion 1 1 2 7 11
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 54 Table 25 NWCCD Awards 2011-2014 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Sum: CIP GIL SHE GIL SHE GIL SHE Code Hospitality Management Associate of Applied 52.0901 6 5 8 19 Science 52.0901 Hospitality Management Certificate of Completion 6 7 8 21 54.0101 History 2 1 1 4 Source: NWCCD Institutional Research 207 368 266 393 249 446 1929
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 55
Table 26 Top 25 Occupations based on High-Wage, High-Demand, Postsecondary Training Regional Median 2012 Completions Hourly Base Annual Annual Annual Annual (2013) Typical SOC Earnings Employ Growth Replacement Total Openings (EMSI Typical Work Typical Job Code SOC Title (EMSI) ment Openings Openings Openings (EMSI) IPEDS) Education Experience Training 11- Property, Real $21.26 691 10 16 26 24 0 HS diploma or Less than None 9141 Estate, and equiv. 5 years Community Association Managers 11- Managers, All $31.83 1,984 18 43 61 63 253 HS diploma or Less than None 9199 Other equiv. 5 years 15- Computer $21.67 2,740 53 44 97 36 293 Associate's None None 1100 Occupations - degree Some data from sub-occupations (EMSI) 29- Registered Nurses $29.02 4,738 88 92 180 97 586 Associate's None None 1141 degree 29- Licensed Practical $20.47 795 13 19 32 23 125 Postsecondar None None 2061 and Licensed y non-degree Vocational Nurses award 33- Correctional $18.70 1,006 4 27 31 28 3 HS diploma or None Moderate- 3012 Officers and Jailers equiv. term OJT 33- Police and Sheriff's $24.60 977 8 31 39 41 0 HS diploma or None Moderate- 3051 Patrol Officers equiv. term OJT 41- Sales $24.80 2,115 38 41 79 97 0 HS diploma or None Moderate- 4012 Representatives, equiv. term OJT Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 43- First-Line $21.38 1,928 24 46 70 91 6 HS diploma or Less than None 1011 Supervisors of equiv. 5 years Office and Administrative Support Workers
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 56
Table 26 Top 25 Occupations based on High-Wage, High-Demand, Postsecondary Training Regional Median 2012 Completions Hourly Base Annual Annual Annual Annual (2013) Typical SOC Earnings Employ Growth Replacement Total Openings (EMSI Typical Work Typical Job Code SOC Title (EMSI) ment Openings Openings Openings (EMSI) IPEDS) Education Experience Training 47- First-Line $28.86 3,743 58 40 98 79 19 HS diploma or 5 years or None 1011 Supervisors of equiv. more Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 47- Operating $22.52 5,543 37 123 160 118 8 HS diploma or None Moderate- 2073 Engineers and equiv. term OJT Other Construction Equipment Operators 47- Electricians $25.41 2,751 42 52 94 124 12 HS diploma or None Apprenticeshi 2111 equiv. p 47- Plumbers, $19.32 1,085 21 14 35 50 8 HS diploma or None Apprenticeshi 2152 Pipefitters, and equiv. p Steamfitters 49- First-Line $32.33 1,723 16 47 63 71 0 HS diploma or Less than None 1011 Supervisors of equiv. 5 years Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 49- Bus and Truck $26.01 1,568 9 33 42 43 739 HS diploma or None Long-term 3031 Mechanics and equiv. OJT Diesel Engine Specialists 49- Mobile Heavy $25.81 1,322 18 38 56 47 0 HS diploma or None Long-term 3042 Equipment equiv. OJT Mechanics, Except Engines 49- Heating, Air $19.26 583 15 15 30 43 4 Postsecondar None Long-term 9021 Conditioning, and y non-degree OJT Refrigeration award Mechanics and Installers
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 57
Table 26 Top 25 Occupations based on High-Wage, High-Demand, Postsecondary Training Regional Median 2012 Completions Hourly Base Annual Annual Annual Annual (2013) Typical SOC Earnings Employ Growth Replacement Total Openings (EMSI Typical Work Typical Job Code SOC Title (EMSI) ment Openings Openings Openings (EMSI) IPEDS) Education Experience Training 49- Industrial $26.97 2,407 71 70 141 116 22 HS diploma or None Long-term 9041 Machinery equiv. OJT Mechanics 51- First-Line $35.05 1,351 8 19 27 28 0 Postsecondar Less than None 1011 Supervisors of y non-degree 5 years Production and award Operating Workers 51- Machinists $20.88 563 12 13 25 38 30 HS diploma or None Long-term 4041 equiv. OJT 51- Welders, Cutters, $22.08 2,437 30 60 90 63 153 HS diploma or None Moderate- 4121 Solderers, and equiv. term OJT Brazers 51- Petroleum Pump $30.93 894 4 33 37 33 6 HS diploma or None Long-term 8093 System Operators, equiv. OJT Refinery Operators, and Gaugers 51- Inspectors, $21.71 737 11 16 27 31 0 HS diploma or None Moderate- 9061 Testers, Sorters, equiv. term OJT Samplers, and Weighers 53- First-Line $27.19 922 10 25 35 36 0 HS diploma or Less than None 1031 Supervisors of equiv. 5 years Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 53- Heavy and Tractor- $21.07 7,081 82 113 195 201 0 Postsecondar None Short-term 3032 Trailer Truck y non-degree OJT Drivers award
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 58
Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data Typical Certificate Annual 2014 Median Median Regional Sheridan Typical On-The- Programs SOC Annual Opening 2014 Jobs Hourly Hourly Completi College Entry Work Job (P=Pending Cod Opening s (NE Jobs (NE Earnings Earnings ons WY Completio Level Exper. Training Approval) e Occupation s (WY) WY) (WY) WY) (WY) (NE WY) (2013) ns (2013) Education Req’d (OJT) Business 11- Administrativ 9 2 246 38 $33.47 $32.08 245 22 Bachelor's Less None 3011 e Services degree than 5 Managers years Hospitality 11- Lodging 28 6 287 54 $18.41 $18.31 15 12 HS Less None Management 9081 Managers diploma or than 5 equiv. years Human P 11- Social and 19 3 379 55 $27.33 $22.10 253 22 Bachelor's 5 years None Services 9151 Community degree or more Service Managers Cyber Security 15- Information 2 ND 43 <10 $33.63 ND 123 3 Bachelor's Less None 1122 Security degree than 5 Analysts years Computer 17- Architectural 20 3 344 29 $19.34 $20.18 44 0 Associate' None None Aided Design 3011 and Civil s degree Drafters Carpentry P 17- Civil 17 4 349 74 $20.62 $19.96 6 6 Associate' None None Apprenticeship 3022 Engineering s degree Technicians Industrial 17- Electrical and 10 2 197 28 $26.58 $25.92 78 46 Associate' None None Electricity 3023 Electronics s degree Engineering Technicians Addictions P 21- Substance 18 1 235 16 $19.80 $20.86 20 0 HS None Moderat Practitioner 1011 Abuse and diploma or e-term Behavioral equiv. OJT Disorder Counselors Early 25- Preschool 69 11 941 143 $11.68 $13.31 168 1 Associate' None None Childhood 2011 Teachers, s degree Education Except Special Education
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 59
Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data Typical Certificate Annual 2014 Median Median Regional Sheridan Typical On-The- Programs SOC Annual Opening 2014 Jobs Hourly Hourly Completi College Entry Work Job (P=Pending Cod Opening s (NE Jobs (NE Earnings Earnings ons WY Completio Level Exper. Training Approval) e Occupation s (WY) WY) (WY) WY) (WY) (NE WY) (2013) ns (2013) Education Req’d (OJT) Nursing 29- Licensed 35 8 755 155 $20.33 $20.56 125 54 Postsecon None None 2061 Practical and dary non- Licensed degree Vocational award Nurses Personal P 29- Athletic 2 ND 38 <10 $19.63 ND 43 5 Bachelor's None None Trainer 9091 Trainers degree Education Massage 31- Massage 26 4 213 17 $15.25 $15.31 45 16 Postsecon None None Therapy 9011 Therapists dary non- degree award Criminal 33- Detectives 8 1 200 29 $36.52 $37.71 0 0 HS Less Moderat Justice: Crime 3021 and Criminal diploma or than 5 e-term Scene Investigators equiv. years OJT Investigation, Law Enforcement, Victim Advocacy Criminal 33- Security 71 7 1,20 157 $13.15 $12.41 0 0 HS None Short- Justice: 9032 Guards 9 diploma or term OJT Corrections, equiv. Security Culinary Arts 33- Cooks, 121 15 2,62 328 $10.59 $10.97 39 33 Less than Less Moderat 9032 Restaurant 1 high than 5 e-term school years OJT Carpentry P 35- First-Line 39 6 738 104 $16.65 $17.20 190 0 HS Less None Apprenticeship 2014 Supervisors diploma or than 5 of equiv. years Housekeepin g and Janitorial Workers
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 60
Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data Typical Certificate Annual 2014 Median Median Regional Sheridan Typical On-The- Programs SOC Annual Opening 2014 Jobs Hourly Hourly Completi College Entry Work Job (P=Pending Cod Opening s (NE Jobs (NE Earnings Earnings ons WY Completio Level Exper. Training Approval) e Occupation s (WY) WY) (WY) WY) (WY) (NE WY) (2013) ns (2013) Education Req’d (OJT) Administrative 37- Executive 27 4 937 88 $20.42 $21.00 15 3 HS Less None Assistant 1011 Secretaries diploma or than 5 and equiv. years Executive Administrativ e Assistants Administrative 43- Secretaries 222 35 5,90 913 $15.83 $16.08 10 3 HS None Short- Assistant 6011 and 2 diploma or term OJT Administrativ equiv. e Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive Farrier 43- First-Line 10 2 130 22 $23.04 $24.44 0 0 HS Less None 6014 Supervisors diploma or than 5 of Farming, equiv. years Fishing, and Forestry Workers Carpentry P 45- First-Line 209 43 3,56 801 $29.40 $31.09 19 10 HS 5 years None Apprenticeship 1011 Supervisors 5 diploma or or more of equiv. Construction Trades and Extraction Workers Construction 47- Carpenters 185 36 3,57 617 $17.77 $16.33 8 0 HS None Apprenti Technology 1011 2 diploma or ceship equiv. Carpentry P 47- Carpet 10 2 135 28 $15.78 $18.12 8 0 Less than None Short- Apprenticeship 2031 Installers high term OJT school Carpentry P 47- Floor Layers, 2 ND 36 <10 $16.36 ND 8 0 HS None Moderat Apprenticeship 2041 Except diploma or e-term
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 61
Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data Typical Certificate Annual 2014 Median Median Regional Sheridan Typical On-The- Programs SOC Annual Opening 2014 Jobs Hourly Hourly Completi College Entry Work Job (P=Pending Cod Opening s (NE Jobs (NE Earnings Earnings ons WY Completio Level Exper. Training Approval) e Occupation s (WY) WY) (WY) WY) (WY) (NE WY) (2013) ns (2013) Education Req’d (OJT) Carpet, equiv. OJT Wood, and Hard Tiles Carpentry P 47- Floor ND ND 14 <10 $15.81 ND 8 0 HS None Moderat Apprenticeship 2042 Sanders and diploma or e-term Finishers equiv. OJT Carpentry P 47- Tile and 12 2 164 30 $15.72 $17.88 8 0 Less than None Long- Apprenticeship 2043 Marble high term OJT Setters school Carpentry P 47- Cement 51 10 742 121 $17.86 $18.63 8 0 Less than None Moderat Apprenticeship 2044 Masons and high e-term Concrete school OJT Finishers Carpentry P 47- Terrazzo ND ND <10 <10 ND ND 8 0 HS None Apprenti Apprenticeship 2051 Workers and diploma or ceship Finishers equiv. Carpentry P 47- Drywall and 21 2 278 23 $17.97 $18.68 8 0 Less than None Moderat Apprenticeship 2053 Ceiling Tile high e-term Installers school OJT Electrical 47- Electricians 244 57 2,94 665 $25.76 $27.61 12 4 HS None Apprenti 2081 5 diploma or ceship equiv. Carpentry P 47- Glaziers 14 2 142 11 $17.42 ND 8 0 HS None Apprenti Apprenticeship 2111 diploma or ceship equiv. Carpentry P 47- Insulation 13 ND 148 <10 $17.79 ND 8 0 Less than None Short- Apprenticeship 2121 Workers, high term OJT Floor, school Ceiling, and Wall Carpentry P 47- Insulation 21 4 200 32 $21.81 $24.90 8 0 HS None Apprenti Apprenticeship 2131 Workers, diploma or ceship Mechanical equiv.
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 62
Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data Typical Certificate Annual 2014 Median Median Regional Sheridan Typical On-The- Programs SOC Annual Opening 2014 Jobs Hourly Hourly Completi College Entry Work Job (P=Pending Cod Opening s (NE Jobs (NE Earnings Earnings ons WY Completio Level Exper. Training Approval) e Occupation s (WY) WY) (WY) WY) (WY) (NE WY) (2013) ns (2013) Education Req’d (OJT) Carpentry P 47- Painters, 56 12 787 153 $16.47 $16.48 8 0 Less than None Moderat Apprenticeship 2132 Construction high e-term and school OJT Maintenance Carpentry P 47- Paperhanger ND ND <10 <10 ND ND 8 0 HS None Moderat Apprenticeship 2141 s diploma or e-term equiv. OJT Carpentry P 47- Roofers 34 7 363 68 $14.08 $17.42 8 0 Less than None Moderat Apprenticeship 2142 high e-term school OJT Carpentry P 47- Structural 25 6 205 56 $18.28 $19.80 8 0 HS None Apprenti Apprenticeship 2181 Iron and diploma or ceship Steel equiv. Workers Carpentry P 47- Solar 1 ND <10 <10 ND ND 0 0 HS None Moderat Apprenticeship 2221 Photovoltaic diploma or e-term Installers equiv. OJT Carpentry P 47- Construction 11 2 212 33 $22.59 $23.82 0 0 HS 5 years Moderat Apprenticeship 2231 and Building diploma or or more e-term Inspectors equiv. OJT Diesel 47- Bus and 93 42 1,73 813 $26.08 $30.29 739 82 HS None Long- Technology 4011 Truck 3 diploma or term OJT Mechanics equiv. and Diesel Engine Specialists Carpentry P 49- Maintenance 170 26 4,11 571 $18.24 $17.25 1 0 HS None Long- Apprenticeship 3031 and Repair 2 diploma or term OJT Workers, equiv. General Carpentry P 49- Manufacture ND ND 11 <10 $12.72 ND 0 0 HS None Moderat Apprenticeship 9071 d Building diploma or e-term and Mobile equiv. OJT Home
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 63
Table 27 NWCCD Gainful Employment Certificates, Targeted Occupations and Occupational Data Typical Certificate Annual 2014 Median Median Regional Sheridan Typical On-The- Programs SOC Annual Opening 2014 Jobs Hourly Hourly Completi College Entry Work Job (P=Pending Cod Opening s (NE Jobs (NE Earnings Earnings ons WY Completio Level Exper. Training Approval) e Occupation s (WY) WY) (WY) WY) (WY) (NE WY) (2013) ns (2013) Education Req’d (OJT) Installers Machine Tool 49- Machinists 53 8 679 107 $20.94 $25.82 30 20 HS None Long- Technology 9095 diploma or term OJT equiv. Welding 51- Welders, 188 40 2,35 555 $23.33 $24.91 153 34 HS None Moderat Technology 4041 Cutters, 3 diploma or e-term Solderers, equiv. OJT and Brazers
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 64
Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations Academic Programs (NWCCD) Occupations in Region (EMSI) 2005 - Three Year Annual 2014 2014 Regional 2013 Avg. CIP201 Graduations Opening Job Chang Completion Hourly SOC2010 0 Code CIP2010Title (2012-2014) s s e s (2013) Earnings Code SOC2010Title 01.0000 Agriculture, General. 6 0 0 0 4 $0.00 19-1011 Animal Scientists Insf. Insf. Data <10 1 Insf. Data Data 19-1012 Food Scientists and Technologists Insf. Insf. Data <10 7 Insf. Data Data 19-1013 Soil and Plant Scientists Agricultural Sciences Teachers,
25-1041 Postsecondary 01.0101 Agricultural Business and 13 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other 28 458 (239) 23 $11.65 Management, General. 11-9013 Agricultural Managers Agricultural Sciences Teachers,
25-1041 Postsecondary 01.1103 Horticultural Science. 6 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other 28 458 (239) 23 $11.65 11-9013 Agricultural Managers Insf. Insf. Data <10 7 Insf. Data Data 19-1013 Soil and Plant Scientists Agricultural Sciences Teachers,
25-1041 Postsecondary 01.1106 Range Science and 4 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other 28 458 (239) 23 $11.65 Management. 11-9013 Agricultural Managers 0 0 0 4 $0.00 19-1011 Animal Scientists Insf. Insf. Data <10 7 Insf. Data Data 19-1013 Soil and Plant Scientists Insf. Data 13 1 0 $26.49 19-1031 Conservation Scientists Agricultural Sciences Teachers,
25-1041 Postsecondary Forestry and Conservation Science
25-1043 Teachers, Postsecondary 01.9999 Agriculture, Agriculture 5 Operations, and Related Sciences, Other. NO MATCH NO MATCH 09.9999 Communication, Journalism, 2 Communications Teachers,
and Related Programs, 25-1122 Postsecondary
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 65
Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations Academic Programs (NWCCD) Occupations in Region (EMSI) 2005 - Three Year Annual 2014 2014 Regional 2013 Avg. CIP201 Graduations Opening Job Chang Completion Hourly SOC2010 0 Code CIP2010Title (2012-2014) s s e s (2013) Earnings Code SOC2010Title Other. 1 15 (1) 0 $19.18 27-3041 Editors 3 43 16 0 $13.80 27-3043 Writers and Authors 11.1004 Web/Multimedia 1 Insf. Management and Insf. Data 13 3 $25.18 Data Webmaster. 15-1134 Web Developers 13.1202 Elementary Education and 47 Elementary School Teachers, 20 455 73 24 $27.14 Teaching. 25-2021 Except Special Education 13.1205 Secondary Education and 9 Secondary School Teachers, Teaching. 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education 13.1314 Physical Education Teaching 12 25-1081 Education Teachers, Postsecondary and Coaching. Recreation and Fitness Studies
25-1193 Teachers, Postsecondary Middle School Teachers, Except 6 147 20 1 $29.49 Special and Career/Technical 25-2022 Education Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education 7 108 23 1 $13.92 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts Fitness Trainers and Aerobics 8 167 25 1 $11.70 39-9031 Instructors 14.0101 Engineering, General. 9 Architectural and Engineering 3 52 5 1 $52.91 11-9041 Managers 2 45 6 1 $35.39 17-2199 Engineers, All Other Engineering Teachers,
25-1032 Postsecondary 15.0507 Environmental Engineering 2 Technology/Environmental Insf. Data 13 1 0 $27.23 Environmental Engineering Technology. 17-3025 Technicians 15.0901 Mining 20 Engineering Technicians, Except 3 76 11 2 $28.67 Technology/Technician. 17-3029 Drafters, All Other
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 66
Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations Academic Programs (NWCCD) Occupations in Region (EMSI) 2005 - Three Year Annual 2014 2014 Regional 2013 Avg. CIP201 Graduations Opening Job Chang Completion Hourly SOC2010 0 Code CIP2010Title (2012-2014) s s e s (2013) Earnings Code SOC2010Title Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, 56 651 10 2 $23.52 47-5013 and Mining 15.1102 Surveying 7 Insf. Cartographers and Insf. Data 11 4 $23.78 Technology/Surveying. Data 17-1021 Photogrammetrists 4 63 7 4 $27.27 17-1022 Surveyors Surveying and Mapping 3 50 5 4 $22.14 17-3031 Technicians 16.0101 Foreign Languages and 2 Foreign Language and Literature
Literatures, General. 25-1124 Teachers, Postsecondary Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education Insf. 2 22 1 $15.92 Data 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 23.0101 English Language and 5 English Language and Literature
Literature, General. 25-1123 Teachers, Postsecondary Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education 24.0102 General Studies. 439 25-1199 Postsecondary Teachers, All Other 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, 4 Insf. Data 21 3 5 $42.49 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers General. 1 20 3 1 $29.66 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other Insf. Insf. Data <10 1 Insf. Data Data 19-1099 Life Scientists, All Other Biological Science Teachers,
25-1042 Postsecondary Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education 27.0101 Mathematics, General. 6 Insf. Data 21 3 5 $42.49 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers Insf. Insf. Data <10 2 Insf. Data Data 15-2021 Mathematicians
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 67
Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations Academic Programs (NWCCD) Occupations in Region (EMSI) 2005 - Three Year Annual 2014 2014 Regional 2013 Avg. CIP201 Graduations Opening Job Chang Completion Hourly SOC2010 0 Code CIP2010Title (2012-2014) s s e s (2013) Earnings Code SOC2010Title Insf. Insf. Data <10 2 Insf. Data Data 15-2041 Statisticians Mathematical Science Occupations, 0 0 0 2 $0.00 15-2099 All Other Mathematical Science Teachers,
25-1022 Postsecondary Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education 30.0101 Biological and Physical 13 Insf. Data 21 3 5 $42.49 Sciences. 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 30.9999 Multi-/Interdisciplinary 9 Studies, Other. NO MATCH NO MATCH 31.0501 Health and Physical 1 Recreation and Fitness Studies
Education/Fitness, General. 25-1193 Teachers, Postsecondary Insf. Insf. Data <10 0 Insf. Data Data 27-2021 Athletes and Sports Competitors 7 108 23 1 $13.92 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts Fitness Trainers and Aerobics 8 167 25 1 $11.70 39-9031 Instructors 31.0505 Kinesiology and Exercise 4 Insf. Insf. Data <10 1 Insf. Data Science. Data 29-1128 Exercise Physiologists 48.9999 Precision Production, Other. 1 NO MATCH NO MATCH 50.0501 Drama and 7 Art, Drama, and Music Teachers,
Dramatics/Theatre Arts, 25-1121 Postsecondary General. Insf. 1 11 1 $17.48 Data 27-2011 Actors Insf. 1 11 1 $25.52 Data 27-2012 Producers and Directors Insf. Entertainers and Performers, Sports Insf. Data <10 1 Insf. Data Data 27-2099 and Related Workers, All Other 50.0701 Art/Art Studies, General. 9 Art, Drama, and Music Teachers,
25-1121 Postsecondary
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 68
Table 28 Remaining Academic Programs Crosswalk with Occupations Academic Programs (NWCCD) Occupations in Region (EMSI) 2005 - Three Year Annual 2014 2014 Regional 2013 Avg. CIP201 Graduations Opening Job Chang Completion Hourly SOC2010 0 Code CIP2010Title (2012-2014) s s e s (2013) Earnings Code SOC2010Title Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education Insf. 1 <10 1 Insf. Data Data 27-1012 Craft Artists Insf. Fine Artists, Including Painters, Insf. Data <10 1 Insf. Data Data 27-1013 Sculptors, and Illustrators 6 62 34 1 $10.98 27-4021 Photographers 50.0901 Music, General. 21 Secondary School Teachers, 16 350 46 4 $27.53 Except Special and 25-2031 Career/Technical Education 5 55 23 7 $18.54 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 51.0000 Health Services/Allied 14 Health/Health Sciences, General. NO MATCH NO MATCH 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist. 65 Health Specialties Teachers,
25-1071 Postsecondary 6 97 27 28 $30.80 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 51.0708 Medical 9 Transcription/Transcriptionist Insf. Data 14 0 7 $14.33 . 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists
Assessment of Academic Program Alignment with Regional Occupation Projections Northern Wyoming Community College District 69