EUROPE 2030 the Roadmap for a Liberal Europe and How to Get There
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LIBERAL WHITE BOOK EUROPE 2030 The Roadmap for a liberal Europe and how to get there Edited by ANTONIOS FRANCESCO MARIA VINCENT CARMEN NESTORAS CAPPELLETTI ALESINA DELHOMME DESCAMPS p. 5 # Introduction INDEX p. 9 # Sustainability and 1 Climate Change p. 40 # Democracy and 2 Rule of Law p. 70 # Internal Market 3 and Trade p. 90 # Digitalisation,Connectivity, 4 and e-Commerce p. 124 # Internal Market 5 and Trade What will Europe be like in 2030? No one has the answer yet, but everyone should take part in the crucial FOREWARD discussion. The choices we make today will define how the EU looks like ten years down the road: muddling through or changing fundamentally so as to build a better Europe. The EU has always managed to rise up to new challenges when needed and to take decisive steps when facing existential crises. What we need now is a new vision and a concrete roadmap for action, and even more so in the midst of a global pandemic, which has put into question many of the things that we had been taking for granted. The Liberal White Book 2030 is the contribution from the liberal family to this debate. The pieces brough together in the present book are the offspring of the intense discussions that took place in a series of online events organised by the European Liberal Forum throughout the year 2020. These events gathered some of the finest minds of today’s European intellectual landscape as well as a wide range of relevant stakeholders. All the key topics were addressed, from climate change to the economic and monetary Union, from democracy and the rule of law to the much-needed digitalisation of our continent. The ideas that came out of these discussions and that are laid down in the various chapters of this book are thus both firmly grounded theoretically and well-fit for the real world. This publication highlights the challenges, which the EU faces, and puts forwards a number of bold policy proposals. We hope that it becomes a point of reference for liberal policymakers and all those who want to shape Europe’s future. ...COMING SOON While we can all agree that the EU requires reforming, we may not all agree on what these reforms should be. The Liberal White Book 2030 does not shy away from potential disagreements. It defends a liberal way for the EU, a way where economic freedom, civil liberties, and democracy remain our lodestars. This means strengthening the (digital) single market and the economic, monetary, and budgetary Union. This also means providing the EU with an increased capacity to speak with one voice on the world stage, so that these values are defended and our Union remains a model that is envied and looked up to, a beacon of hope for the peoples of this planet. A liberal Europe is one that believes in its citizens’ abilities and that every level of government has a role to play. Bigger is not necessarily better. A more effective EU does not always mean more of the EU. Whenever Member States, regions, local governments, businesses, and individuals can solve their problems by themselves, there is a good reason to let them do so. The EU already has a lot on its plate. A liberal Europe is the one where Member States are allowed to advance at their own pace and where those seeking further integration are not prevented from doing so. Our diversity is our most precious treasure. We liberals can be proud of our values that have brought peace, prosperity, and progress on our continent, but we must not be complacent. Euroscepticism and populism strive on people’s feeling of uprootedness, neglect, and lack of opportunities. Our citizens must be listened to and their fears and doubts not be dismissed. The best way we can respond to citizens’ hopes and concerns is by building a freer and better European society where everyone finds his or her own place and contribution. INTRODUCTION The 2020 was a momentous year for Europe and its future. It has left us with a sense of despair but also INTRODUCTION plenty of reasons to hope. It is the year that has seen for the first time a Member State leave the European Union, after long and painful rounds of negotiations. The worst pandemic in a century hit our continent badly, leaving our communities wounded and our economies in tatters. But 2020 also saw the adoption of an unprecedented recovery plan in Europe and the election of a new US President that opens an era of cautious optimism for the world. In 2016, Brexit sent shockwaves through the EU and raised the prospect of various Frexit, Nexit or Polexit, but five years later, no such thing has happened. Europe remains divided on many issues, but it has sent a clear message of unity and decisiveness. It has defended the integrity of its common home and managed to stay firm on its core principles. Brexit also proved to be a timely reminder of the benefits of EU membership and of what it means, in practice, to give them up. Leaving did not only translate in longer queues of lorries at the border between Dover and Calais but has also greatly diminished the ability of EU citizens to live and settle in the UK, a place where so many had made their homes in the last decades. Brexit has also sparked new tensions in Northern Ireland, illustrating there, too, the importance of open borders on a continent of multiple identities. These provide only a glimpse of what would happen if the entire edifice collapsed and should convince us to work as hard as we can so that this never comes true. In early 2021, a day before Brexit became official, the World Health Organisation declared the Covid-19 outbreak to be a public health emergency of international concern. This was the prelude to a pandemic wave that would take over our continent and soon the entire world, a wave that no one had anticipated. Most European capitals responded with painful lockdowns and restrictions of personal freedoms. Unfortunately, these measures have spanned well into 2021. The EU found itself under the spotlight, accused of not having done enough to help Member States coordinate their response. Internal borders were shut, and States resorted to once forgotten protectionist measures, seizing each other’s shipment of facemasks or other medical devices. Criticism of the EU was mostly disingenuous, as it had willingly been kept at a distance from national healthcare systems, but it revealed nonetheless that the EU needed to do better. In many ways it did. It provided Member States with equipment and medical guidance, laying the first bricks of a European Health Union that is better prepared for future public health emergencies. Regarding vaccines, the picture is more nuanced. Although the EU took up a leading role in a massive effort of vaccine procurement, the European Commission failed to deliver a sufficient supply. Now that vaccination is well underway, one can appreciate the pertinence of a joint approach that has ensured that no Member State is left behind. But responsibility should have and will have to be assumed for the problems that have occurred. A more mature EU is also one where its top executive can be criticised, even by the most fervent supporters of the project. Faced with the disastrous economic consequences of the pandemic, Member States have agreed to a historical recovery plan. With the NextGenerationEU instrument, made of €750 million of loans and LIBERALFORUM.EU 5 INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION grants, Member States will be able to overcome the current difficulties. But NextGenerationEU is more From July to November, the European Liberal Forum hosted a series of expert discussions dedicated to the than a recovery plan, it is a unique chance for Europe to emerge stronger from the pandemic and to build most pressing issues facing a freer, fairer, and more liberal Europe. These discussions brought together a sustainable, more digital, and more resilient future. This money will have to be spent on activities and various stakeholders: from European and national politics, public institutions, academia, policy-making innovations of tomorrow, not of yesterday. It must not be a substitute for structural reforms but an incentive circles, and civil society. They also greatly benefitted from the insights of our member organisations, who to accelerate them. live and experience Europe on the ground, in close contact with its citizens. The centrepiece of the NextGeneration instrument is the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility, which will These open and honest discussions were truly invigorating. Organised around eight clusters – future make 627,5 billion EUR in loans and grants available to Member States to support reforms and investments institutional framework; climate change and sustainability; democracy and rule of law; internal market and for a sustainable recovery. The path to recovery, the approved reforms, and the means of repayment trade; digitalisation, connectivity and e-commerce; security policy and foreign affairs; social policy; budget of the ‘largest stimulus package ever’ will likely have long-term and far-reaching consequences on the and Economic and Monetary Union – they brought some fresh ideas and solutions and provided us with direction and degree of fiscal integration in the EU. a roadmap to a renewed Europe, faithful to its founding liberal principles and better armed to meet its citizens’ current expectations. In November 2020, after days of nerve-racking uncertainty, the major American news outlets announced the election of Joe Biden as the 46th President of the United States, putting an end to Donald Trump’s For each of the key issues identified, specific chapters were drawn up and gathered in the present Liberal term in office.