Flexible Designing of Large Sports Complex

DOI: J0.1515/ace-2015-0066 DE GRUYTER ARCHIVESOFCIVILENGINEERING OPEN Vol. LXII ISSUE 2 2016 © 2016 by M. Kośmieja, J. Paslawsk. This is anopen access article distributedunder I the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/) FLEXIBLE DESIGNING OF LARGE SPORTS COMPLEX 1 2 M. KOŚMIEJA , J. PASŁAWSKI The article presents the ideas of tlexible design in the construction sector. Flexibility in the construction sector was discussed and defined between typical and tlexible approaches to design. The idea applied during the economic effectiveness analysis of construction projects was introduced. The issue of tlexibility was discussed based on the example of construction of a sports facility - The National Stadium in Warsaw. An effectiveness analysis was applied forvariant solutions. Keywords: tlexibility, sport complex, design, net present value 1. INTRODUCTION In current times, fasttechnological advancement is an importantfactor causing significantdifficulties in designing construction objects. It has a particularly strong effecton the large sports facilitiesused for many years. Very often, the issue of designing projects accounts for the possibility of changes throughout their life cycle becomes important. Tt is this flexibility of the design that provides the opportunity to adapt to potentia) changes [1]. Seeing how the large sports facilitiesare used fora long time period, changes to them are certain and can pertain to the conditions of use as well as the requirements set forthor technologi cal developments [1 O]. Establishing the moment that the need for changes arises is not difficult, that is why introducing a new approach based on flexibility, which is the possibility of introducing analyses of scenarios calling for changes in the configuration of the parameters of a system or its elements over time, is justified. 1 M.Sc., Eng., Poznań University of Technology, Faculty ofCivil and Environmental Engineering, Al. Piotrowo 5, 60-965 Poznań, Poland, e-mail: [email protected] 2 Prof., PhD., Eng., Poznań University of Technology, Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Al. Piotrowo 5, 60-965 Poznań, Poland, e-mail: [email protected] 78 M. KOMIEJA, J. PASAWSK In order to present the flexible approach to project design in construction, a case study has been carried out and described in the article in addition to the theoretical approach to the problem. The topic regards the construction of the football stadium in Warsaw. Changes concerning the requirements and parameters over time are to be expected for the entire period during which these types of objects are utilized, that is throughout their so called life cycle. As a general rule, a tendency for increasing requirements (e.g. gradually increasing the amount of users for a buffer parking lot, the number of airport passengers, an increase in the number of highway users, etc.) ought to be expected. 2. DEFINITION OF FLEXIBILITY Although flexibility is a frequently encountered phenomenon in everyday life, it is difficult to agree on an accurate definition which would apply to studies in the field of construction management. The great majority of literature on flexibility focuses on flexible production systems [7] or on the strategic management of an organization [14, 4]. What makes this different from flexibility in construction is the focus on the object of influence. In general, the approach focuses on the client's requirements, while in construction, it concentrates on the influence of the environment. In general, it can therefore be stated that flexibility is the ability of the system to respond to external or internal changes without sacrificing values in terms of: quality, time, and cost effectiveness. Following this train of thought, the following definitions of flexibility can be proposed depending on the stages of the investment process [10]: Phases of realization: the ability of the system to act in such a way that various tactics can be reversed in response to the changing environment, which is based on a proactive approach (the monitoring of ongoing processes and surroundings) and aims to limit dangers and take advantage of opportunities, assuming the maximization of profits (at a constant agreed price, this signifies the minimization of costs) Phases of exploitation: The ability of the system to switch between various options of flexibility depending on the changing external conditions during the course of exploitation, assuming maximization of NPVs (Net Present Values). 3. FLEXIBLE APPROACH VS TYPICAL DESIGN FLEXIBLE DESIGNING OF LARGE SPORTS COMPLEX 79 For over the past 80 years, many researchers have been interested in issues connected with managing building processes. Below are some who have presented solutions applying the idea of flexibility: Schumpeter; in 1943 described the idea of flexibility in managing production [11] Kapliński in 1978 presented the concept of buffering when looking into the issue of harmonization building processes [8] De Neufville - since 2000 has been affirming that flexibility plays a key role in planning and design, as well as making it possible to adapt the reaction to the changing conditions of operation [2,3] Thomas, in the years 1999-2005, along with his research team, carried out studies on the analyses of building processes using flexibility [5,13] Pasławski in 2009 presented the concept of the method of flexible management through realizing building processes using the FLEMANCO method [9] Zavadskas and Vaidogas, in 2009, prepared and presented a work on the application of multi- criterial choice when designing infrastructure [15] Shahu et.al., in 2012, indicated the necessity of taking flexibility into account when planning building processes along with other criteria such as: cost, deadlines and quality [12]. The traditional approach to planning and design in construction is based on the gradual elimination of the number of project-realization variants, which is illustrated by Fig. 1. It is based on one key value (e.g. traffic intensity) and thus, does not account for the possibility of changing it over time. When drawing up plans in such a way, the engineer often relies on a single average value, which provides limited information regarding the realistic values. Ultimately, the engineer, acting in accordance with the specification, regulations and building codes, as well as often financial limitations imposed by the investor, creates a project with minimal possibilities of creating different variants. Applying a range of values which may occur would be more beneficial. Fig. 1. Cone of construction, technological and organizational design [10] 80 M. KOMIEJA, J. PASAWSK Meanwhile, the situation in which objects cease to serve their initial functions after a short exploitation period, or due to overly optimistic assumptions cannot be adapted to fulfill the current requirements placed upon them, ought to be counteracted. This can be done by introducing flexibility, understood as accepting the possibility of changes in the object (or system) over the course of its life cycle. Flexibility thus constitutes a method of acting in conditions of uncertainty and risk. Determining the predicted conditions of the environment for which the object or system is designed for is of a key importance here. Presented below are the basic differences between the common and proposed flexible approaches to the design. The first significant difference is digression from the typical negative approach to risk. Thanks to flexibility, it becomes possible to reduce the probability of the occurrence of negative occurrences (losses), as well as increasing the probability of positive ones (chances). Another significant difference is the assumption of the proactive attitude, which is based on preparing oneself for the changes that may take place and not awaiting them (and acting based on a confirmed situation). This takes on particular importance in the case of the long life cycle of objects in the transportation infrastructure, as well as the inevitability of changes in these types of systems, which stems from internal and external uncertainty. The third element is connected with the aforementioned and concerns accounting for the possibility of introducing changes (accepting the option of expansion ought to be accepted as typical, although - as indicated by some experiences (e.g. no traffic zone in the center of cities) - the option of restricting parameters in the life cycle should also be considered. The fourth element of this comparison is expanding the decision analysis beyond the typical technical criteria. It is a fact that in economics, the flexible approach to design is often warranted. While advances in construction technology and materials are factors which, , aid and enable the realization of many types of transformations, the deciding factor seems to be the final cost The cost of applying the flexible approach in engineering can in fact increase the cost of executing project documentation, and also lead to higher costs of project completion later on. However, when accounting for the anticipated long-term scale of the object's exploitation, applying the flexible approach may significantly influence the reduction of costs connected with the realization of specific changes in the object, which stem from the dynamics of changes in the environment. Because of this, applying the flexible approach leads to a significant reduction of the aggregated

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