Thursday, March 11, 2004  Volume 10, Number 29 Page 1 of 10 he Rating Bayh’s odds T for Kerry’s ticket Howey Key question: Could he carry ? By BRIAN A. HOWEY in and MARK SCHOEFF JR. in Washington Arianna Huffington has written to U.S. Sen. John Political Kerry telling him to forget Evan Bayh. University of Virginia Prof. Larry Sabato said that would have won in 2000 if Bayh had been on the ticket. The Hill gives Report Bayh 4:1 odds of making the cut, best on its list. In the race for the Democratic vice presidential nom- The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink ination, Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh ranks high on the buzz list Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is in Washington. “I'd put him in the top half-dozen. He's on an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the political process in Indiana. virtually every top 10 list,” said Joe Romer, a capital denizen who's worked in Hoosier Democratic politics for 35 years. Brian A. Howey, publisher “Bayh is a very capable guy. He's got a great resume. On Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer balance, he brings huge assets to the ticket.” Jack E. Howey, editor Romer's list of Bayh's strengths include a moderate voting record, executive experience as governor, a telegenic, The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-968-0487 articulate demeanor, security policy background developed Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 Mobile: 317-506-0883 through his positions on the Senate Armed Services and [email protected] Intelligence committees, the regional balance he would pro- www.howeypolitics.com vide for Kerry, his clean record and his relative youth. “He symbolizes the future of the party, and you can't Washington office: 202-775-3242; Business Office: 317-254-0535. say that about a lot of the other candidates,” Romer said. It's also unlikely that national media scrutiny of Subscriptions: $350 annually via e-mail; Bayh would result in skeletons coming out of his closet. In a $550 annually including the HPR Daily job whose first requirement is to do no harm to the ticket, Wire. Call 317-254-1533 or 254-0535. the integrity factor is crucial. “That's no small thing,” said © 2004, The Howey Political Report. All rights Romer. reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or But reading the tea leaves in Washington has been reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- difficult. “They're playing it very close to the vest,” Romer tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without said of the Kerry campaign. consent of the publisher.

“He was a very gentle man, a very good man, Howey: Remembering Gov. Orr p. 3 a very caring man.” Horse Race: Bowen endorses Miller p. 4 Columnists: Rutter, Gerard p. 7 - Former Indiana Republican Chairman Star on Borst: Connecting the dots? p. 8 Gordon Durnil on the late Gov. Robert D. Orr, who Congressmen team up on Kernan p.10 died Wednesday evening, to the Associated Press Covering 10 years of Indiana politics Thursday, March 11, 2004 Page 2 of 10

But inscrutability may be a good Schoeff’s analysis tack for Kerry to take. “If I were advising The Midwestern momentum argu- them, I'd advise them to (name a VP) as ment may be wishful. Yes, Bayh has won late as possible," said Chris Sautter, a four elections in a row (and his designated Washington media consultant. The deci- successor as governor another two) since sion “should be driven by the needs of 1986 in a conservative enclave. Bayh, KITTLE SAYS ORR MADE July rather than the needs of March.” however, would have to start his VP cam- INDIANA A BETTER PLACE: Sautter said that the political Indiana Republican paign by building name ID in neighboring Chairman Jim Kittle Jr. atmosphere is almost identical to the one states. Someone like North Carolina Sen. released this statement fol- that surrounding the 2000 campaign. The is well known in his south- lowing the death of Gov. country is evenly split, and each party ern home region in his White House bid. Robert D. Orr: “I am sad- is likely to hold on to its base, making the Although Bayh does bring a laun- dened by the passing of general election a contest for six or so dry list of strengths to a hypothetical Gov. Robert Orr. Bob was a states that are in play. “It would be pru- ticket with Kerry, he does not provide per- good friend to me and to dent for the nominee to pick someone sonality balance. Like Kerry, Bayh is a Hoosiers everywhere. My who helps bring in a red state” he said. prayers are with Mary Kay somewhat stiff policy wonk. No one and Bob’s family. Indiana accuses Bayh of being arrogant, but he has lost a leader, a gentle- VP Rejected in Home State? hasn't developed the embracabilty of an man, and a champion of our But Bayh's ability to transfer Edwards and isn't known for having a state. Indiana is a better Indiana from the red to blue column may common touch. One interesting question place because of Bob Orr.” undermine his viability. Indiana has not about Bayh is whether he could project voted for a Democratic since 1964. himself into the lives of average voters GOV. KERNAN STATMENT: and demonstrate that he feels their pain. “Indiana has lost its second “The primary barrier to putting great leader in the last six Bayh on the ticket is his ability to bring in months. Bob Orr devoted a state Bush carried four years ago,” said Howey’s analysis his life to the service of the Sautter. “Other names stand a better The critical question seems to be, people of Indiana and chance of bringing in their state that Bayh “Could Bayh carry Indiana if he was on America. He was always does in Indiana.” the ticket?” My answer would be, yes. willing to share his good Romer also is skeptical that Bayh Would it be a cinch? No. counsel and offer his sup- could put Indiana into Kerry's fold. “It's port. He was a friend who But remember, this is a state will be missed. I join all still a big question mark that he can bring where Bayh has consistently demonstrated Hoosiers in mourning the Indiana in," said Romer. “It's plausible, coattails. Everytime he’s been on the bal- passing of Gov. Bob Orr. but I see it as less than 50-50.” lot, he’s pulled in more Indiana House Our prayers are with Mrs. Still, Bayh would add a Democrats seats. He has maintained the Orr and the Orr family.” Midwestern element to the ticket. “He's states’s best Democratic political organi- Gov. Kernan order all flags from a place in the middle of three states zation; he controls the party’d central at Indiana to half staff for (Illinois, Michigan, Ohio) where unem- committee. Don’t for a minute think that seven days in honor of Gov. ployment is high.” if Kerry chose him, all of those assets Orr. Fort Wayne Journal Gazette built up over the past two decades would- DANIELS STATEMENT: columnist Sylvia Smith even suggested n’t kick in at the highest level. “Bob Orr was a friend, a Bayh could use some of his re-election The latest polls show President great leader and a personal money to run TV in the Cincinnati, Bush leading Kerry by 8 percent in hero,” Republican guberna- Dayton and Toledo markets to bump up Indiana. Those are not good numbers for torial candidate Mitch his impact in Ohio along with South Bend the president. Indiana is in roughly the Daniels said today. “While and Fort Wayne which would reach south- same boat as Ohio is, experiencing a high he led us, Indiana thrived ern Michigan and, perhaps, the sprawling loss of jobs. That will be the top issue economically, improved its here. Bayh can say he helped create schools and enjoyed effec- Chicago market that would reach Illinois, Michigan, Iowa and Wisconsin. 300,000 new jobs and left the state with Continued on page 3 billions of dollars of surpluses.  Page 3 of 10 Thursday, March 11, 2004

My First Big Story front was economic development and pol- itics. and Gov. Orr tive government. The best Elkhart’s entry way from the My second job out of Indiana tribute we can pay him is to Indiana Toll Road to downtown was an University was the state editor perch at return to and surpass the aterial highway (Indiana 19) named the Elkhart Truth, a daily newspaper that standards he set.” Cassopolis Street. Back in the mid-1980s, circulated in two Michigan counties just it was a clogged, cluttered and ugly two- HOGSETT STATEMENT: to the north. lane street that gave Elkhart a terrible first Indiana Democratic Party Several months after I arrived impression for travelers coming in from Chairman Hogsett released there in 1979, my Edwardsburg, Mich., the north. The city tried to get the state to this statement: “Regardless correspondent called in with a hot tip: move its widening up on the priority list. of our differences in party Cass County wants to secede to Indiana! affiliation, all Hoosiers – Everytime Gov. Orr came to the city, he The big insurrection was going to Democrats and Republicans was harrangued by the locals. occur at The Dock on Eagle Lake and the alike – are deeply saddened Yet, nothing happened. Until Truth was the only newspaper to cover the by the passing of Gov. 1986, when a Democrat named Bruce Robert Orr, who served our initial event. Carter upset State Rep. Dean Mock, large- state with honor and dis- It turned out to be an absolute gift ly on the Cassopolis Street issue. In 1987, tinction during his time in to Indiana’s Lt. Gov Robert D. Orr. in the midst of Orr’s greatest legislative the , as lieu- After publishing the story, we triumph, the A-Plus education initiative, tenant governor and finally called Lt. Gov. Orr for a comment. As Cassopolis Street was finally moved up as governor.” head of the Department of Commerce and on the priority list. Mock was able to preparing his own bid for governor in LUGAR REMEMBERS ORR: regain his seat in 1988. 1980, Orr took this delicious story and U.S. Sen. Dick Lugar made These two stories reveal Orr’s issued a great quote, saying something the following statement penchant for astutely playing the political today on the death of for- like, “Indiana doesn’t only look great for game. In 1982, with the state’s economy mer Governor Robert Orr: business, it looks downright sexy.” in shambles due to the atrophied "Bob Orr was our Governor With Orr’s death at age 86 last Northwest Indiana steel industry and fac- during eight years of record night due to heart arrhythmia, the tory closures throughout, Orr let the elec- growth in Indiana jobs, inevitable memories will come forth in tion pass before revealing a huge budget Indiana exports, and increased interest in public the coming days as Indiana prepares to deficit that later required a special session bade farewell to its second governor in education. As a scholar, of the that businessman, political the last six months. December, passing the largest tax increase leader, state legislator, and Back in those Cass County in history. But he was also responsible for Lieutenant Governor, he secession movement days, Indiana was opening up Indiana’s first foreign trade was superbly qualified to be only seven years off a major tax restruc- office, making the state a big exporter. the 45th Governor of turing and had a better business climate Orr was known for his humility. Indiana. His extraordinary than Michigan, which was roiling under a “He was a very gentle man, a very good success brought new ideal- decline in its auto manufacturing sector. It man, a very caring man,” Gordon Durnil, ism, energy, and pride to the Hoosier State. "I was would take our neighbor to the north who served as state GOP chairman while privileged to share a myriad another 15 years before it restructured its Orr was governor, told the Associated of wonderful experiences tax system, a move that eventually put Press. “During all kinds of turmoil or with Bob Orr during the Indiana at a competitive disadvantage. trouble or whatever you first thought past forty years of our work I had another chance to interact when you walked into the room or his together in public service, with Orr, this time after he had been elect- office, his first words were, 'How are you, but two will be indelible in  ed and re-elected as governor. Again, the how is your family?’” continued on page 4 Thursday, March 11, 2004 Page 4 of 10 2004 Racing Form Indiana 2004 Gubernatorial Republican: , Eric Miller. Democrat: Gov. Joe my memories. In June of Governor 2004: l989, Bob was nominated by Kernan. 1996 Results: O’Bannon (D) 1,075,342, Goldsmith (R) 997,505, Dillon (L) 35,261. President George H. W. 2000 Results: O’Bannon (D) 1,230,345, McIntosh (R) 906,492, Horning (L) 38,686. 2004 Bush to be United States Forecast: Daniels and Supt. Suellen Reed unveiled their shared vision for K-12 education poli- Ambassador to Singapore. cies and improvements this morning. Included are He proceeded to his post calls to evolve the ISTEP program, appoint the after a hearing by the U. S. superintentent of public instruction, expand access Senate Foreign Relations to kindergarten from July 1 to Sept. 1, adopt a Committee and confirmation simplied school funding formula that would by the U. S. Senate. Shortly “reflect enrollment trends and demands unique to certain school districts,” and support charter thereafter, Char and I visited schools. Daniels explained, “True excellence in education is an economic imperative for Indiana Ambassador Orr in and not a remote one. Dramatic improvement in results is essential not only so that today's kids Singapore. We were thrilled can succeed years from now, but so that we can persuade businesses to locate in Indiana today," by his vision of the great Daniels said. Kernan announced a $150 million expansion for Carmel's Midwest Independent opportunities our country Transmission System Operator Inc. (Midwest ISO), which will create more than 300 new jobs could enjoy if we utilized over the next five years. Miller shot his TV ads at the Statehouse Tuesday featuring Gov. Doc our collective imagination Bowen. Much of Miller’s strategy depends on his relationship and endorsement from Bowen, and inventive genius to but the suspicions are, Doc Bowen doesn’t carry nearly the muster he would have 10 or 20 years expand exports and to pro- ago. A case in point is Bowen’s endorsement of Dr. John McGoff in the secretary of state’s race vide constructive economic at the 2002 Republican convention. Now that’s a body that would be expected to revere Bowen, and political leadership in but McGoff faded in the first balloting. Miller is expected to have more than $1 million to pump Asia. Bob Orr was tireless into TV prior to the primary, or about four weeks worth. Maybe that will motivate Miller’s in leading Indiana and the “Bumper Sticker Brigades” (we haven’t seen a single one). The Indianapolis Star reported that United States to have an Daniels and Kernan will spend a combined $20 million in TV. We wouldn’t be surprised either. international perspective As for Daniels “RV1” odyssey that debuted last weekend, it got some good earned media in the and a clear vision of how press and prompted Bernie Toon of the Kernan campaign to vow to try and redefine Daniels our business and educa- later. Our suspicions are that Kernan was going to try and paint Daniels as a corporate scam- tional opportunities could mer. What the RV tour and tape are doing is defining Daniels as a regular guy who had a dawg flourish if we sought to named Duke. Thus, while there is some private nerve gnawing inside the Daniels campaign as to compete more effectively. the fact that Miller exists, what is actually happening is it’s giving Daniels the perfect mecha- "My second indelible memo- nism to define himself before Kernan does. Kernan’s plan is to look and act gubernatorial and ry is my last visit with Bob we’ll be seeing a lot more of the kinds of trips he made to Carmel, stoking up the economy. But and Mary Kay Orr last this is a dangerous period for Kernan. The next spate of polls will almost certainly show that 13- September at a dinner in point lead over Daniels evaporated. It would be easy to envision Daniels staying up on TV for Indianapolis featuring an the rest of the year, just like Bart Peterson did to Sue Anne Gilroy in 1999; he never stopped and address by President never looked back. Republican Primary Status: Likely Daniels; General Status: Tossup.  George W. Bush. It was exciting to compare political notes with both of them and Indiana 2004 Congressional to catch up on family news. U.S. Senate: Republican: Marvin Scott. Democrat: U.S. Sen. Evan Bayh. 1992 I had the privilege of once Results: Coats (R) 1,267,972, Hogsett (D) 900,148. 1998 Results: Bayh (D) 1,012,244, Helmke again introducing a great (R) 552,732. 2004 Forecast: Dwight “Ike” Wilkerson is bounced off the ballot because he Governor, world statesman, couldn’t collect 500 signatures in all nine CDs. It’s a law designed to keep frivilous, ill-prepared and very dear friend. I had vanity candidates from cluttering things up. Status: Safe Bayh. introduced, nominated, and Republican: U.S. Rep. Chris Chocola, Tony Zirkle. spoken about Bob Orr innu- Congressional District 2: merable times, but the last Democrat: . Geography: South Bend, Michigan City, Mishawaka, Elkhart, time I had the honor to do Kokomo, Plymouth, Logansport; LaPorte, St. Joseph, Starke, Marshall, Pulaski, Fulton, Cass, so was very special. The Carroll and parts of Howard, Porter, Elkhart and White counties. Media Market: South Bend- Elkhart, Indianapolis, Lafayette, Chicago. People: Urban/rural 73/27%; median income$40,381; continued on page 5 Page 5 of 10 Thursday, March 11, 2004

Poverty 9.5%; Race 84% white, 8% black; 5 Hispanic; Blue/white collar: 34/50%. 2000 Presidential: Bush 53%, Gore 44%; Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+5; 2002 Result: Chocola 95,081 (50%), Long Thompson 86,253 (46%); 2002 Money: Chocola $1.69m, Long Thompson $1.535m. 2004 Outlook: Rothenberg Political Report observed: “Chocola showed $373,000 in the bank at the end of December and looks good for re-election.” Status: Leans Chocola. Republican: U.S. Rep. Steve Buyer, Dennis Hardy Congressional District 4: assembled crowd rose in Mike Campbell, Brian Paasch . Democrat: David Sanders, Bill Abbott. Geography: cheers and sustained Tippecanoe, Clinton, Boone, Montgomery, Hendricks, Morgan, Lawrence and parts of Marion, applause. Strongly assisted Johnson, Monroe, Fountain and White counties. Media Market: Lafayette, Indianapolis, Terre by Mary Kay, Governor Orr Haute, Evansville, Louisville. People: urban/rural 68/32%; median income $435,947; Poverty arose, a living legend for a 8%; Race 93% white, 1.3% black, 2.6% Hispanic; blue/white collar 29/56%; 2000 Presidential: legion of Hoosiers inspired Bush 66%, Gore 31%; Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+18; 2002 Results: Buyer 112,760 by his life of achievement (71%); Abbott 41,314 (26%). 2002 Money: Buyer $924,869, Abbott $21,634. 2004 Outlook: and service." Abbott opened his campaign by attacking Buyer by talking about the North American Free Trade Agreement, which he contends has cost American jobs and will soon cost him his job (Joe ELECTION COMMISSION Thomas, Lafayette Journal & Courier). “I want to go to Washington and fix trade agreements APPROVES CONTROVER- like NAFTA,” Abbott said. Status: Safe Buyer. SIAL VOTING SYSTEMS: Congressional District 6: Republican: U.S. Rep. . Democrat: Melina The Indiana Election Ann Fox. Geography: Anderson, Muncie, Richmond; Wells, Adams, Blackford, Jay, Madison, Commission voted to allow Delaware, Randolph, Henry, Wayne, Rush, Fayette, Union, Decatur, Franklin, and parts of Vanderburgh and three Bartholomew, Shelby, Johnson and Allen counties. Media Market: Indianapolis, Fort Wayne, other counties to use voting Dayton, Cincinnati. People: urban/rural 59/40%; median income $39,002; poverty 9.7%; race: systems in the May primary 93% white, 3.8% black, 1.3% Hispanic; blue/white collar 35/49%; 2000 Presidential: Bush that would otherwise be ille- 58%, Gore 40%; Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+10; 2002 results: Pence 118,436 (64%), Fox gal under Indiana law after 63,871. 2002 Money: Pence $1.2m, Fox $342,987. 2004 Outlook: House Majority Leader Tom hearing from county clerks DeLay, criticized by some conservatives for toeing the White House line too often over the past left in a desperate situation three years, is announcing his own legislative agenda. “I have not discussed this with President by the voting system ven- Bush or anyone else in the White House, and have no desire to,” Mr. DeLay told the Washington dor (Evansville Courier & Times in an interview in his majority leader's office. “But if you don't set these conservative Press). Vanderburgh County goals, you don't get conservative governance." Said Pence, "What Tom's doing is pretty refresh- bought new touch-screen ing. The White House normally sets the agenda. Tom's practice has been to defer to the presi- voting systems from dent in his first term. And that's really been reflected in the leadership's policy in Congress." Election Systems & Pence said DeLay's introducing his own agenda "signals the dynamics of the president's second Software, its vendor for term, hopefully very different.” Status: Likely Pence around 30 years, to upgrade Congressional District 8: Republican: U.S. Rep. John Hostettler. Democrat: Jon from its old punch-card sys- Jennings, Bill Pearman. Geography: Evansville, Terre Haute, Greencastle; Posey, Vanderburgh, tems. ES&S demonstrated Warrick, Gibson, Pike, Martin, Daviess, Knox, Sullivan, Greene, Owen, Clay, Vigo, Vermillion, and first shipped the sys- Parke, Putnam, Warren and part of Fountain counties. Media Market: Evansville, Terre Haute, tems with a version of soft- Indianapolis. Lafayette. People: Urban/rural 58/42%; median income$36,732; poverty 10.7%; ware, called 7.4.5, that has race white 93.7%, black 3.7%, Hispanic .9%; blue/white collar: 32/52%. 2000 Presidential: not received approval in Bush 56%, Gore 42%; Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+8. 2002 Results: Hostettler 98,952 Indiana. ES&S then later (51%), Hartke 88,763 (46%), 2004 Forecast: Rothenberg Political Report observed, “Bryan retrofitted the systems with Hartke was a weak opponent for Hostettler last cycle, but the race was close. Democratic insid- an older version of soft- ers like Boston Celtics scout Jennings, who has only $109,000 in the bank after raising ware, 6.1.2, that is certified $286,000. Jennings has an interesting and varied background, but his chances rest on Hostettler in Indiana but faces compat- running his usual inept campaign. Hostettler, who refuses to make the effort to raise money, had ibility problems when only $46,000 in the bank on Dec. 31, and he’ll probably need the BRCC to pull his chestnuts loaded onto the new voting out of the fire again. A Democratic target because of Hostettler’s self-destructive decisions.” systems. At a Wednesday Status: TOSSUP. meeting of the Indiana Congressional District 9: Republican: Mike Sodrel. Democrat: U.S. Rep. Election Commission, to which ES&S had been sub- Baron Hill, Lendell Terry. Media Market: Evansville, Indianapolis, Louisville, Dayton, poenaed to appear, repre- Cincinnati. People: urban/rural 52/48%, median income $39,011; race white 94%, 2.3% black, sentatives waffled on 1.5% Hispanic; blue/white collar: 34/50%; 2000 Presidential: Bush 56%, Gore 42%; Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+8. 2002 Results: Hill 96,654 (51%), Sodrel 87,169 (46%). 2002 continued on page 6 Thursday, March 11, 2004 Page 6 of 10

Money: Hill $1.144m, Sodrel $1.62m. 2004 Forecast: Rothenberg Political Report said, “Hill beat Sodrel 51-46 percent last time, and Sodrel is back for a rematch. Hill had $505,000 in the bank on Dec. 31, while Sodrel had $141,000. Worth watching, though Hill clearly is a survivor.” We’ve put this race in our tossup zone, but some are wondering how the jobless economy is going to play for President Bush in a number of district towns seeing an erosion of jobs. If Bush suffers next fall, Hill returns. Status: Tossup whether the new systems would work with the old Indiana 2004 Legislative software. That led Commissioner Anthony Senate District 36: Republican: Sen. Larry Borst, Johnson County Council President Long to blow up at Ken Brent Waltz. Democrat: Terry Rice. 2000 Primary Results: Borst 7,513. 2000 General Carbullido, ES&S senior Results: Borst (R) 24,621, Reno (D) 12,120, Williamson (L) 1,026. 2004 Forecast: Waltz is vice president of product endorsed by the pastor of the Manual Baptist Church in Greenwood, which has a congregation and software development. of 1,200 people. Borst needs to be worried about the “social conservatives” that Eric Miller will "Does it work?" Long asked likely lure into the primary. Miller is expected to run somewhat strong in this district in the rhetorically. "I guess it gubernatorial primary, and Waltz will certainly exploit his pro-life credentials and what he says depends on what day it is." is Borst’s 67 percent voting record against pro-life bills. How much will Waltz’s election report- Vanderburgh County Clerk ing violations hurt him? He’ll have earned a week of bad press after the Star virtually ignored Marsha Abell said the rela- this race up to that point, but the Election Commission fined him only $52 for his transgression tionship with ES&S has Wednesday. If the story doesn’t go away (i.e. see Brooks LaPlante) that would give Borst some become "tainted" and she's offensive fodder. In a race like this, a challenger needs to run a perfect campaign, and Waltz concerned if she doesn't can’t say that at this point. WTHR’s Kevin Rader featured this race on Wednesday’s 6 p.m. ask the right questions, she newscast and while it covered the Election Commission meeting, it focused its attention on won't know what problems Waltz’s relative youth, quoting him as saying “Man hadn’t walked on the moon when Sen. Borst the county may face using was first elected.” Rader also noted that Borst has the “support” of the Republican Party. the 6.1.2 version. Primary Status: Tossup. House District 1: Republican: Jerome Baffa. Democrat: State Rep. Linda Lawson, ELECTION COMMISSIONER Hammond Councilwoman Kathleen Pucalik. 2002 Results: Lawson (D) 5,669, BURDICK WORRIES ABOUT Rosenbloom (R) 3.006. 2004 Forecast: Pucalik fails to make proper campaign finance state- BORST-WALTZ RACE: "I ments, giving Lawson an issue. Primary Status: LEANS LAWSON. find this whole thing incred- House District 12: Republican: Dan Fagen. Democrat: Rep. John Aguilera, Alicia ibly distasteful," said Brian Lopez-Rodriguez. 2002 Results: Aguilera 7,343. 2004 Forecast: Aguilera will remain on the Burdick, chairman of the ballot for the May 4 primary (Steve Walsh, Post-Tribune). The state Election Commission ruled Election Commission unanimously against a challenge byLopez-Rodriguez, and a separate citizen petition by Rose (Indianapolis Star). "We're Fernandez. Lopez-Rodriguez’s attorney, Ned Ruff, used documents showing that, over the last all lined up to be sued all four years, Aguilera, a two-term state representative, claimed residency in Florida and Munster, because you derelicts both being outside his district. Aguilera’s attorney, Lance E. Ryskamp, countered with water couldn't get your act togeth- bills, driver’s license registration and voter registration cards to show that Aguilera and his wife er." He was particularly con- Mary still claim a home in East Chicago as their legal address. In the end, it was enough evi- cerned about Johnson dence for the panel of two Democrats and two Republicans to allow Aguilera to stay on the bal- County, where a potentially lot. “This was a charge trumped up by my political opponents because I wouldn’t support close primary election con- George Pabey in the mayor’s race,” Aguilera said. Primary Status: LEANS AGUILERA. test is brewing between two House District 17: Republican: Rep. Steve Heim. Democrat: Open. 2002 Results: Republicans -- state Sen. Heim 10,073, Winters 7,422. 2004 Forecast: Democratic sources tell HPR that the party will Lawrence Borst and slate an opponent for the freshman Heim after the primary. Primary Status: LIKELY R. Johnson County Council Republican: Democrat: Rep. Allen Chowning. President Brent Waltz. "God House District 45: forbid we have a problem" 2002 Results: Chowning 9,627, Borders 9,337. 2004 Forecast: Chowning said he signed the in the tallying of votes in gay marriage resolution calling for an amendment, but doesn't believe the need for it is as press- that race, Burdick said. ing as Republicans have indicated (Pete Ciancone, Terre Haute Tribune-Star). “There hasn't been any indication that Indiana courts will overturn ... the very strong Indiana marriage law KERNAN ASKS COLLEGES passed in 1997,” Chowning said. General Status: TOSSUP.  TO CAP TUITION: Gov. has asked Indiana's Page 7 of 10 Thursday, March 11, 2004

David Rutter, Post-Tribune - than $1 million to deliver the help. And While the rest of the Indiana Legislature they wouldn’t have to stand out in public colleges and universi- spent this session lollygagging in indolent December clanging those infernal bells. ties to cap tuition increases self-absorption, Crown Point State Rep. Township response: FABRICATION! NO at 4 percent this year and to give students and parents Bob Kuzman was busy. Busy running for TRUTH, YOU DUPLICITOUS, VER- more notice of proposed his life. Hell hath no fury like an Indiana MINOUS SCUM! K/C: Turning virtually all township duties over to the counties hikes (WRTV). Kernan sent a township official scorned. Kuzman, prob- letter Wednesday to leaders could save at least $64 million a year and ably in a momentary idyll he wishes he at each of the seven could do over, proposed a bill to do away as much as $122 million. Most of it is state-supported schools. with township government in Indiana and duplicated personnel. Township response: "My intention is not to hinder save us all millions of dollars. Efficiency SPAWN OF THE DEVIL: BEGONE!!!! your efforts to manage your in Indiana government? What was the PUSILLANIMOUS PIPSQUEAKS!! institution," Kernan wrote. boy THINKING? Kuzman, or as town- "Rather, it is to protect your institutional flexibility while ship leaders call him, “Rosemary’s Gary Gerard, Warsaw Times-Union encouraging students and Baby,” even had the state Chamber O’ - Examining the 119 votes Kerry made in their families to believe that Commerce on his side with a fat survey the Senate in 2003, one finds that he is higher education is attain- that suggested clinging to township gov- the classic Massachusetts liberal. In fact, able." Kernan wants the lim- ernment is the equivalent of hoarding in 2003, he voted against W 70 percent of its on tuition and mandatory used chewing gum. But in the end, the the time. (Of course, busy campaigning, fee increases to start this best Bob could manage was assurances Kerry was present for just 28 percent of fall. Officials at Indiana from township officials they would not the Senate votes in 2003.) Interestingly, University and Purdue string him up in the middle of the night if Kerry’s colleague from Massachusetts, University said they would consider Kernan's request, he promised to shut up. They did say, Sen. Ted Kennedy -- long-known as the but would not commit to the however, they were all going to work epitome of liberal ideology -- voted limits. tirelessly for his personal regime change against W only 53 percent of the time. in the next election. The nerve of the guy. (Of course, Kennedy was present for 97 BAYH KEY VOTE ON ENER- Without hacking through the math, we percent of the votes.) Congressional GY BILL: U.S. Sen. Evan have assessed the Kuzman/Chamber posi- Quarterly also notes that Kerry and Bayh holds a swing vote that tion and the township officials’ counter Kennedy have highly similar voting could help decide pending argument for your edification. records. In 2003, Kerry voted with energy legislation harmful to Kuzman/Chamber view: Taxpayers could Kennedy 93 percent of the time on roll- consumers and the environ- ment, according to a Hoosier save $13 million a year just by transfer- call votes in which both men were pre- coalition fighting the bill ring assessment costs to the county. sent. Meanwhile, the American (South Bend Tribune). Bayh Township response: LIES! DAMNABLE Conservative Union, which rates law- helped stall the bill during a LIES!! K/C: Only three states in the makers on a perfect conservative scale of Senate filibuster last year, nation administer poor relief at lower 100, gives Kerry a six – the same as chiefly because it included than the county level and many town- Leahy and New York’s Charles Schumer. legal immunity for makers of ships in Indiana spend more delivering Kennedy got a three. I can assure you of a gasoline additive that has poor relief than the actual relief itself. one thing. There will be a lot of the “L” contaminated ground water For example, Calumet and North town- word bandied about during the coming in Indiana and other states. The current bill does not months of the presidential campaign. And ships in Lake County spent $15 million include that provision, and  in 2002 on poor relief. But $8 million of I don’t mean “love.” Bayh, a Democrat, has not that went for overhead. By comparison, it indicated how he will vote on would have cost the Salvation Army less Thursday, March 11, 2004 Page 8 of 10 Star’s coverage of SD36: Connect the dots? By BRIAN A. HOWEY But the Star’s coverage of the Leave it to the Indianapolis Star to Waltz-Borst race was curious in other provide the bookends to the recently con- ways. The news article noted that one of the revised bill. His office cluded Indiana General Assembly. Waltz’s campaign chairs, Rexford Early, did not return calls On Sunday, the Star editorialized, favored pull-tabs. “What they didn’t Tuesday. Indiana's senior “Pity the cleaning crews who toil at the report was that my other campaign chair- senator, Republican Richard Statehouse. The 150 members of Indiana's man, Bill Schneider, is opposed to gam- Lugar, supported the bill General Assembly left behind a stinking bling of all forms,” Waltz said. last year and continues to mess as they crept from their darkened If there was one personality in the support its concepts, according to his staff. But chambers late Thursday night.” legislature that could be intricately tied to Lugar spokesman Nick On Tuesday, the Star editorial writ- the state’s successes and failures over the Weber, citing a report this ers urged a total recall. “If the Indiana past 30 years, it is Chairman Borst. week in the independent General Assembly were a professional But Borst is a legislative dinosaur publication CongressDaily, sports franchise coming off a season as seeking a quick primary ride on the very said there is little likelihood bad as the legislative session that just agents of change the Star editorial pages the massive bill will get a ended, the team owner would be poised to so desire. vote this year in its current fire the coaching staff and overhaul the In Borst’s first TV advertisement, form. "I think it's still impor- roster. Citizens of Indiana, you are the he is shown with Republican gubernatori- tant to highlight all these owners of a 150-member legislative team al candidate Mitch Daniels, the same can- concerns we have," said Dave Menzer, of the that can rightly be called the Indiana didate who told HPR last November, Citizens Action Coalition. Turkeys. They've spent the past two “When I look at the Indiana General months embarrassing you, themselves and Assembly, I see a lot of places where peo- RALSTON JOINS TERRE the entire state of Indiana. The question ple have been in the same rut for so long, HAUTE BANK: Patrick R. now is what are you going to do about it? they haven’t even thought about options. Ralston, former executive “Allow us to make a suggestion: We are going to have a house-cleaning director of the Indiana State Vote.” across state government. I’m thinking in Emergency Management Yet, on its City/State news pages, the executive branch, but there are folks in Agency, has joined First the first coverage the Star gave to the 36th the legislative branch still blind to the Financial Bank as vice pres- ident for government rela- Senate District showdown between Senate very urgency of the situation.” tions and business develop- Finance Chairman Larry Borst and How could that “blindness” be ment (Terre Haute Tribune- Johnson County Councilman Brent Waltz characterized in the last session of the Star). noted, “Waltz,who’s pushing a message of General Assembly? youth and change, has already hit a snag - How about Borst’s success in cap- SINGER WITHDRAWS he’s violated Indiana campaign finance ping local government spending? “Senate FROM RACE: Sandi Patty's laws.” Bill 1 is by far the most important,” said decision to enter the Waltz told HPR that he checked Borst. “Senate Bill 1 is going to work.” Anderson Community with with Brad King of the Indiana Martin DeAgostino reported for the Schools board race ended less than a month later. Election Commission three times and was South Bend Tribune, “One of those con- Sandi Patty Peslis told that his year-end report as a county trols will hurt some school districts that announced Wednesday that councilman would suffice and that nothing lost transportation funding through state she was withdrawing from else would need to be filed before the budget cuts, but cannot raise offsetting the May 4 election for the April reporting deadline. property taxes because of the new law." East District seat on the Waltz became one of 18 candidates Borst defended that decision -- school board (Anderson who failed to file a “Statement of Organ- opposed by Democrats -- as a victory for Herald-Bulletin). Patty, 47, a ization” that came before the fractured taxpayers. “That's a $33 million (state- multiple Dove Award winner Election Commission on Wednesday. wide) hit on property taxes,” he said. for her gospel singing, was inducted into the Gospel There is little room for excuse, since Other local governments are having Music Hall of Fame on Feb. every legislative candidate gets a packet to borrow money to meet current duties. 11. Her husband, Don of information. Lafayette and Evansville faced deficits. Page 9 of 10 Thursday, March 11, 2004

Numerous cities are going to be crimped If Chairman Borst is defeated, it in the coming years by unfunded police will be as dramatic as breaking through a and fire pensions, and EPA mandates to colon blockage. If Borst falls, the Old fix combined sewer overflow problems Guard Senate leadership that includes that have been neglected for decades. Senate President Pro Tempore Bob Garton Now, thanks to Borst, cities have fewer and cronies such as Sens. Joe Harrison options. and Pat Miller, can expect more of what Peslis, heads up the Center for The other fascinating aspect of the they were able to stave off over the past Character Development for Star’s coverage of the Borst-Waltz race several years: Leadership challenges from Anderson University. In with- was the editorial page’s outrage over the midling and stunted senators such as Luke drawing from the race, Patty said she would not be able to Senate Finance Committee passing a $17 Kenley and Murray Clark. devote the time to serve on the million increase for the horse tracks in the Garton was able to defuse those school board. "After making final week of the session. In that outrage, rebellions and punish the rebels with the decision to run for the the Star editorial writers never pointed out extreme prejudice. Clark was sent to the Anderson school board, I that it was Borst who not only helped back bench by Garton even after he was encountered many persons legalize parimutel wagering in Indiana the GOP’s 2000 lieutenant governor nomi- who asked how my constant more than a decade ago and is a hall of nee. Kenley was also punished and yet performing schedule might fame member of the Indiana Standardbred still tried to run for governor in the 2004 impact my attendance at Association, but provided the decisive sequence. Little wonder that Garton has important school board meet- ings and committee sessions," rallied to his old caucus rival, Borst. vote in that 8-7 scenario. Patty said. Nor has the Star written with any depth about Borst’s historic role in not Making the connection CLELAND TO KEYNOTE only the horse industry, but in the 1993 With six weeks remaining before DEMOCRATIC DINNER: Former budget compromise that brought the river- the primary, it will be fascinating to watch U.S. Sen. Max Cleland, a boat casinos to Indiana in the first place, Borst try to seize the trappings of change Democrat who lost both legs and his right arm in a grenade even though the Star has vociferously edi- on the vehicle of his Bulen brother torialized against all forms of gaming on explosion in Vietnam, will (Daniels) while evading the scrutiny from speak at the Indiana countless occasions. the Star, which has never connected the Democratic Party's spring In the mostly hostile reporting of dots of Borst’s career, his actions and his fund-raising dinner. Cleland, D- the concluded General Assembly, Times of rhetoric. Ga., will attend the party's Northwest Indiana reporter Brendan Some get it, such as David annual Jefferson-Jackson Day O’Shaughnessy wrote, “After four months Goodrich of the Central Indiana Corporate dinner April 17. "Max Cleland is of partisan wrangling, both parties blamed Partnership. He reacted to last week’s an American hero," said , chairman of the state the other, election-year politics and a $1 HPR story (“With Sine Die, End of the Democratic Party chairman. billion budget deficit for failing to achieve Jurassic Age”) by saying, “Excellent and compromise on anyone's priority legisla- "He served his country during accurate editorial assessment of the 2004 the Vietnam War with honor, tion. The only things they seemed to agree legislative session and the overall state of dignity and valor. His story is on are that voters should blame party poli- public policy leadership in Indiana. Too one of inspiration to all tics for this year's inaction, but shouldn't bad a wider audience does not have access Hoosier and to all Americans." vote out their incumbent as a reprisal for to your analysis, although I am beginning Tickets for the $75 reception inaction.” to wonder how much the average Hoosier and dinner can be obtained by cares, as we continue to elect the same old calling Molly Wilkinson at (317) 231-7100. There’s the crux dinosaurs, who seem all too unable or Of all the races in Indiana, except unwilling to address today's realities and NBC POLL HAS BUSH UP BY 2 for that of governor, the 36th Senate tomorrow's opportunities.” POINTS: In an NBC-Wall Street District Republican primary is the most Aside from reviving the Journal poll released important. The Star is preaching the ser- Indianapolis Eye (which did try to articu- Wednesday, President Bush mon that, they’re a bunch of turkeys, but late the need for change), the best avenue had a 47-45 percent lead over this senator is a swan. In doing so, may be to get the state’s largest newspa- Democrat . Indiana’s largest newspaper finds itself at per to engage in SD36 and connect the odds with its own stated goals. dots.  Thursday, March 11, 2004 Page 10 of 10

Congressional delegation hops on Kernan

By BRIAN A. HOWEY Gov. Kernan explained in a letter The 2004 governor’s race contin- released on Tuesday, “Instead of creating a ues to collect “firsts.” new tier of benefits, the General Assembly 44 PERCENT BACK BUSH ON Let’s see, thus far we’ve seen: chose to leave over $102 million in GAY MARRIAGE: An ABC  The first time candidates’ Indiana’s UI Trust Fund to improve its sol- News/Washington Post poll marriage and divorce status was publicly vency and to help pay for a $54 increase in of 1,202 adults, conducted discussed (thanks the the House regular maximum weekly UI benefits over March 4-7 (+/- 3%), Republicans and the gay marriage drama). phased in over three years. Those actions shows: 44% approve "of the  way President Bush is han- The first time a candidate preserved the integrity of the trust fund dling the issue of same sex actually gave money away (Mitch Daniels while providing increased benefits to all marriage"; 52% disapprove; donated $210 in raffle winnings to the out-of-work Hoosiers eligible for compen- 4% have no opinion. Boys/Girls Clubs in Linton last week). sation. This package of state legislation  The first 30-minute docu- passed both chambers of the General ORR QUESTIONED BOWEN’S drama (Daniels and “RV1” which debuted Assembly with strong bipartisan support ENORSEMENT: ORR QUES- last weekend to generally good reviews). and was supported by business and labor TIONS BOWEN’S ENDORSE-  Oh, and how about this one: groups.” MENT: Two days before he An entire congressional delegation of one Rep. Buyer said of the letter, “The died, former Gov. Robert Orr party ganging up on a sitting governor? governor's response rests on a claim that said he was not only backing Daniels but also is question- That occurred when U.S. Reps. the $175 million cannot be used for ing Bowen's decision (Mary Steve Buyer, Mike Pence, Dan Burton, enhanced unemployment benefits. In fact, Beth Schneider, Indianapolis Chris Chocola, John Hostettler and Mark nine states have provided additional bene- Star). "It's hard for me to Souder sent a letter to Gov. Kernan ques- fits with their distributed funds. The gov- understand," said Orr. "Doc tioning the administration’s use of $175 ernor also stated that Indiana could not Bowen is a damn good guy, million in federal funds received by the provide benefits for individuals who were and his candidate is one of state to help unemployed Hoosiers. ineligible for TEUC payments, when, in the religious right. That both- “I just assumed the governor fact, the state of Vermont has done just ered me." Miller has centered would use the money we sent to Indiana to that. his campaign on a call for a give it to people who are unemployed, to “Gov. Kernan's letter is wrong state spending cap and a constitutional amendment extend their benefits. Then when I learned on the facts and the law. He continues to banning same-sex marriage. he was blaming us, it was just outrageous,” mislead Hoosiers, which is unfortunate and His commercials will discuss said Souder. “Make those decisions, but disappointing,” Buyer said. those issues, as well as his then don't lie about it. Tell the people the AFL-CIO President Ken Zeller opposition to abortion rights. truth. You took their unemployment bene- told WISH-TV’s Karen Hensel, if the He counts 3,500 churches fits, not Congress. And we want that cor- unemployment trust fund drops below a among his conservative net- rected for the people of Indiana.” certain level, employers have to pay a work. "I know (Miller is) con- In March 2002, Congress enacted higher rate. “We didn't want to burden servative," Bowen countered. the Temporary Extended Unemployment employers with a higher unemployment But, "I suspect he would be Compensation (TEUC) program, which tax,” said Zeller. State Rep. Ron Liggett called a compassionate con- included a 13-week extension of unem- agrees. “You have to realize businesses servative."  ployment compensation benefits, as well have a legitimate complaint. They're pay- as an $8 billion distribution to the states. ing money to the federal government Indiana's portion of these funds was rough- for benefit extensions,” he said. ly $175 million. As of this month, only 2 With jobs and economy likely to percent of the funds (approximately $3.7 be a top issue this fall, you can see the bat- million) has been spent to help Hoosiers in tle lines being drawn... by the GOP con- need. gressional delegation no less.