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10 Dana / 10 Days 10 Dana / 10 Days DEVIZNO TRŽIŠTE / FX MARKET Datum/Date: Erste bank a.d. Novi Sad 4.mar.19 VESTI / NEWS ► SREDNJI KURS EUR/RSD : Dinar ojačao u odnosu na evro za 0,0657 dinara, srednji kurs 118,0634. Obim međubankarske trgovine evrom na dan 1. mart do 12:30h iznosio je 7,1 miliona evra. NBS nije intervenisala na međubankarskom tržištu (od početka godine ukupno prodala 130 miliona evra i kupila 30 miliona evra). ► BEOGRADSKA BERZA: Indeksi zabeležili rast vrednosti, BELEX15 viši za 0,18 odsto, BELEXline za 0,33 odsto. Promet manji u odnosu na prethodni dan, na regulisanom tržištu najviše trgovano akcijama Valjaonice bakra Sevojno, NIS-a, Energoprojekta, Jednistva Sevojno i Philip Morris Operationsa. ► INFLACIJA : Prema podacima Republičkog zavoda za statistiku međugodišnja inflacija merena indeksom potrošačkih cena u januaru je iznosila 2 ,1 odsto dok su u odnosu na prethodni mesec cene u proseku više za 0,4 odsto. ► RZS: Realni rast bruto domaćeg proizvoda (BDP) u četvrtom kvartalu 2018.godine u odnosu na isti period prošle godine iznosio je 3,4 odsto (fleš ocena) . DEVIZNO TRŽIŠTE / FX MARKET EUR / RSD (Srednji kurs / Official Middle Rate ) ► 10 dana / 10 days 119,00 118,90 118,80 118,70 118,60 118,50 118,40 118,30 118,2158 118,2437 118,1918 118,1836 118,1291 118,20 118,1396 118,1516 118,1291 118,0594 118,10 118,0471 118,00 19.feb 20.feb 21.feb 22.feb 25.feb 26.feb 27.feb 28.feb 01.mar 04.mar Izvor/Source: NBS EUR / RSD (Srednji kurs/ Official middle rate ) ► Jan - …. 125,00 123,00 121,00 119,00 117,00 115,00 113,00 111,00 109,00 2012 2013 2014 2015 107,00 105,00 2016 2017 2018 2019 103,00 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Promet na međubankarskom tržištu / Volumes on FX Interbank market (eur only) Intervencije NBS na deviznom tržištu / NBS Interventions on FX interbank market EUR mio EUR mio + kupovina - prodaja 1.400 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 400 1.200 200 1.000 856 824 800 663 0 543 577 529 Jan Feb Mart Apr Maj Jun Jul Avg Sep Okt Nov-15 Dec 600 478 486 -25 -30 456 462 505 460 -130,0 -60 447 -200 400 -180 -180 -205 -220 -220 -190 200 -400 -365 0 -400 Jan Feb Mart Apr Maj Jun Jul Avg Sep Okt Nov Dec Izvor: NBS -600 Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 USD / RSD (Srednji kurs / Official middle rate ) ► 10 dana / 10 days ► Jan - …. 104,60 104,5127 2012 2013 2014 2015 124,00 2016 2017 2018 2019 104,40 119,00 104,2255 104,2177 104,1732 114,00 104,20 104,0786 104,0813 109,00 104,00 103,8772 104,00 103,8592 103,8794 103,8772 99,00 103,80 94,00 103,60 89,00 84,00 103,40 79,00 Izvor: NBS Monthly change EUR/RSD % USD/RSD % Yearly change EUR/RSD % USD/RSD % 01.02.19 118,4266 0,07% 103,5469 -0,61% 04.03.19 118,1291 -0,18% 103,8772 5,85% 03.01.19 118,3439 0,10% 104,1851 0,14% 03.01.19 118,3439 0,00% 104,1851 6,16% 03.12.18 118,2313 -0,06% 104,0402 -0,27% 03.01.18 118,3431 -4,14% 98,1367 -17,25% 01.11.18 118,2984 -0,07% 104,3196 2,19% 04.01.17 123,4512 1,59% 118,6004 6,34% 01.10.18 118,3868 0,19% 102,0840 0,29% 04.01.16 121,5145 0,30% 111,5324 9,90% 03.09.18 118,1567 0,08% 101,7890 0,71% 05.01.15 121,1543 5,58% 101,4863 20,72% 01.08.18 118,0618 0,04% 101,0717 -0,27% 03.01.14 114,7559 2,14% 84,0641 -1,67% 02.07.18 118,0142 -0,12% 101,3432 0,06% 03.01.13 112,3495 6,20% 85,4889 5,32% 01.06.18 118,1616 -0,02% 101,2785 2,74% 04.01.12 105,7880 -0,21% 81,1693 2,16% 03.05.18 118,1901 -0,04% 98,5821 -1,41% 04.01.11 106,0156 10,47% 79,4541 18,48% 02.04.18 118,2345 0,18% 99,9937 3,28% 04.01.10 95,9679 7,17% 67,0635 4,25% 01.03.18 118,0237 -0,62% 96,8201 1,28% 05.01.09 89,5436 12,27% 64,3273 18,68% 01.02.18 118,7554 95,6009 03.01.08 79,7577 54,2016 ►Inostrano devizno tržište / Foreign FX market EUR / USD ► 10 dana / 10 days 1,1450 1,1400 1,1350 1,1300 1,1250 1,1200 EUR / USD 1,3000 1,2500 1,2000 1,1500 1,1000 1,0500 1,0000 EUR / CHF ► 10 dana / 10 days 1,1400 1,1390 1,1380 1,1370 1,1360 1,1350 1,1340 1,1330 1,1320 1,1310 1,1300 EUR / CHF 1,2500 1,2000 1,1500 1,1000 1,0500 1,0000 0,9500 0,9000 Izvor / Source: Reuters 04.03.2019 10:02:09 EUR / XX USD / XX Valutni par / CCY pair Kupovni/BID Prodajni/ASK Valutni par / CCY pair Kupovni/BID Prodajni/ASK EUR/USD 1,1336 1,1340 USD/EUR 0,8818 0,8818 EUR/JPY 126,8500 126,8800 USD/JPY 111,8800 111,9100 EUR/GBP 0,8567 0,8568 USD/GBP 0,7555 0,7557 EUR/CHF 1,1358 1,1363 USD/CHF 1,0018 1,0022 EUR/DKK 7,4614 7,4616 USD/DKK 6,5805 6,5815 EUR/NOK 9,7458 9,7483 USD/NOK 8,5951 8,5981 EUR/SEK 10,5289 10,5334 USD/SEK 9,2864 9,2894 EUR/CAD 1,5071 1,5076 USD/CAD 1,3294 1,3295 EUR/AUD 1,6020 1,6023 USD/AUD 1,4128 1,4130 EUR/HUF 316,2900 316,4600 USD/HUF 278,9700 279,0800 EUR/CZK 25,6300 25,6360 USD/CZK 22,6030 22,6130 EUR/PLN 4,2988 4,3008 USD/SKK 21,5460 21,6000 EUR/HRK 7,4295 7,4345 USD/PLN 3,7912 3,7931 EUR/RUB 74,6562 74,6765 USD/HRK 6,5520 6,5570 EUR/NZD 1,6663 1,6668 USD/RUB 65,8495 65,8641 USD/NZD 1,4697 1,4699 * Međunarodno devizno međubankarsko tržište / International FX Interbank Market Izvor / Source: Reuters NOVČANO TRŽIŠTE i TRŽIŠTE HOV ( Money Market and Bond Trading ) EURIBOR EURIBOR SW -0,373 2,00 3M 6M 1M -0,368 3M -0,310 6M -0,230 1,50 1Y -0,108 * Izvor: Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana 1,00 Kamatne stope Centralnih Banaka Interest rates of Central banks 0,50 CB Kamatna stopa/ Interest rate USD 2,50 EUR 0,00 0,00 GBP 0,75 CAD 1,75 AUD 1,50 -0,50 JPY 0,10 * Izvor: Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana REFERENTNA KAMATNA STOPA NBS / NBS Key Policy Rates BEONIA Date Rate Change (%) 4,10% Date Rate Change (%) 2,60 2,50 08.06.18 3,00% 0,00% 3,90% 01.03.19 2,02% 0,00% 2,40 10.05.18 3,00% 0,00% 28.02.19 2,02% -1,94% 3,70% 2,30 12.04.18 3,00% -7,69% 27.02.19 2,06% -1,90% 2,20 14.03.18 3,25% -7,14% 3,50% 26.02.19 2,10% -1,87% 2,10 08.02.18 3,50% 0,00% 3,30% 25.02.19 2,14% -5,31% 2,00 11.01.18 3,50% 0,00% 22.02.19 2,26% -0,44% 3,10% 1,90 07.12.17 3,50% 0,00% 21.02.19 2,27% 0,00% 1,80 09.11.17 3,50% 0,00% 2,90% 20.02.19 2,27% 1,79% 09.10.17 3,50% -6,67% 19.02.19 2,23% 0,45% 8.9.16 8.5.17 8.7.17 8.9.17 8.5.18 8.1.17 8.3.17 8.1.18 8.3.18 28.02.18 31.05.18 31.07.18 31.10.18 31.12.18 31.03.18 30.04.18 30.06.18 31.08.18 30.09.18 30.11.18 31.01.19 28.02.19 8.11.17 07.09.17 3,75% 8.11.16 18.02.19 2,22% * Izvor/ Source : NBS * Izvor/ Source : Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana / Published on previous working day Kamatne stope/Prinos na tržištu / Market Interest Rates Belibor 8,00% 7,00% 6,00% 5,00% 4,00% 2,98% 3,12% 2,66% 2,78% 3,00%2,30% 2,35% 2,45% 2,56% 2,00% 1,00% 0,00% TN SN 1W 2W 1M 2M 3M 6M Državne HOV Republike Srbije u Evrima - prinosi sa poslednje aukcije Državne HOV Republike Srbije u Dinarima - prinosi sa poslednje aukcije Government bonds (EUR) of Republic of Serbia - yield on last primary auction Government bonds (RSD) of Republic of Serbia - yield on last primary auction 4,00% 3,60% 5,50% 4,80% 3,50% 3,25% 5,00% 4,57% 3,00% 4,50% 4,05% 4,00% 3,73% 2,50% 3,48% 3,50% 2,00% 1,75% 2,79% 3,00% 2,65% 1,25% 1,50% 1,00% 2,50% 1,00% 1,74% 0,45% 2,00% 0,50% 1,50% 0,00% 1,00% 53W 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 3M 6M 53W 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y BELIBOR Trenutne stope / Current rates Istorijski pregled kretanja 6M i 3M Belibor-a / Historical overview of 6M and 3M Belibor rates TN 2,30% 4,00 3M 6M SN 2,35% 3,80 1W 2,45% 2W 2,56% 3,60 1M 2,66% 3,40 2M 2,78% 3,20 3M 2,98% 6M 3,12% 3,00 * Izvor/ Source : Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana / Published on previous working day 2,80 * Izvor/Source: MoF - Trezorr DRŽAVNE HOV Republike Srbije u Dinarima - primarna prodaja / Government bonds (RSD) of Republic of Serbia - primary auctions * Izvor/Source: MoF - Trezorr T-BILLS 3M - RSD T-BILLS 6M - RSD Date Rate Realisation 12,00% Date Rate Realisation 15,50% 11,00% 14,00% 14.01.16 2,79% 100,00% 10,00% 01.09.16 2,65% 23,03% 12,50% 05.11.15 2,94% 100,00% 9,00% 03.03.16 3,25% 96,46% 11,00% 8,00% 9,50% 15.10.15 3,00% 92,18% 03.12.15 3,25% 97,22% 7,00% 8,00% 06.08.15 4,40% 96,26% 6,00% 08.10.15 4,09% 100,00% 5,00% 6,50% 16.07.15 4,79% 98,47% 4,00% 03.09.15 4,57% 87,90% 5,00% 3,00% 3,50% 07.05.15 5,63% 92,92% 2,00% 04.06.15 5,25% 93,30% 2,00% 16.04.15 6,45% 100,00% 05.03.15 7,00% 21,33% 1.9.12 1.2.13 1.7.13 1.3.15 1.8.15 1.1.16 1.5.14 1.6.16 05.02.15 6,95% 45,05% 04.12.14 7,10% 100,00% 1.4.12 10.1.13 10.4.13 10.7.13 10.1.14 10.4.14 10.7.14 10.1.15 10.4.15 10.7.15 10.1.16 1.12.13 1.10.14 10.10.14 10.10.15 10.10.13 T-BILLS 53W - RSD G-BONDS 2Y - RSD Date Rate Realisation 9,00% Date Rate Realisation 5,15% 06.02.17 3,48% 17,91% 8,00% 24.10.17 4,05% 116,30% 4,95% 21.12.16 3,49% 32,22% 7,00% 13.06.17 4,65% 51,56% 4,75% 15.11.16 3,57% 45,64% 6,00% 16.05.17 4,65% 43,95% 4,55% 28.09.16 3,58% 52,92% 5,00% 21.03.17 4,65% 100,00% 4,35% 4,15% 27.07.16 3,59% 49,07% 4,00% 13.02.17 4,74% 78,80% 3,95% 07.06.16 4,01% 78,06% 3,00% 10.01.17 4,74% 23,25% 15.03.16 4,01% 16,73% 13.06.16 4,30% 95,67% 17.03.… 17.09.… 17.12.… 17.03.… 17.06.… 17.09.… 17.12.… 17.06.… 17.09.… 17.12.… 02.02.16 4,09% 63,42% 17.06.… 10.03.16 4,95% 56,41% 28.03.16 28.07.16 28.11.16 28.01.17 28.03.17 28.07.17 28.01.16 28.05.16 28.09.16 28.05.17 28.09.17 G-BONDS 3Y - RSD G-BONDS 5Y - RSD Date Rate Realisation 11,00% Date Rate Realisation 15,50% 20.02.19 120,53% 27.02.19 37,84% 13,50% 3,73% 9,00% 1,74% 15.01.19 3,73% 60,94% 11.09.18 3,74% 98,60% 11,50% 7,00% 28.02.18 3,80% 100,00% 14.08.18 3,75% 65,62% 9,50% 30.01.18 3,88% 34,77% 5,00% 17.07.18 3,80% 40,58% 7,50% 06.11.17 4,29% 97,97% 05.06.18 3,95% 35,67% 5,50% 3,00% 3,50% 31.08.17 4,80% 100,00% 22.05.18 3,99% 26,18% 02.08.17 4,90% 81,63% 08.05.18 4,15% 97,00% 17.06.14 17.06.15 17.12.15 17.06.16 17.12.16 17.06.17 17.12.17 17.12.14 17.06.18 17.12.18 06.07.17 5,00% 50,54% 17.12.13 24.04.18 4,15% 52,31% 01.01.12 01.10.13 01.05.14 01.09.16 01.04.17 01.08.12
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