National Tracking Poll 190989
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National Tracking Poll Project: 190989 N Size: 2488 Registered Voters Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report September 27-30, 2019 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 869 35% Wrong Track 1619 65% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 588 24% Somewhat Approve 428 17% Somewhat Disapprove 285 11% Strongly Disapprove 1105 44% Don’t Know / No Opinion 83 3% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 1015 41% Total Disapprove 1390 56% Don’t Know / No Opinion 83 3% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues – like taxes, wages, jobs, 604 24% unemployment, and spending Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign policy, and 483 19% border security Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health care law, 421 17% Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social Security 365 15% Women’s Issues – like birth control, abortion, and equal 141 6% pay Education Issues – like school standards, class sizes, 141 6% school choice, and student loans Energy Issues – like carbon emissions, cost of 178 7% electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other: 155 6% Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL1 How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state? Absolutely certain to vote 1797 72% Very likely 318 13% About 50-50 237 10% Not too likely 63 3% Not likely at all 73 3% POL2 Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? (N=2,352) Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 1079 46% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 838 36% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 100 4% Don’t know / No opinion 336 14% POL3 Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as the party’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2020? (N=838) Strongly support Trump’s nomination 580 69% Somewhat support Trump’s nomination 125 15% Somewhat support a different candidate’s nomination 43 5% Strongly support a different candidate’s nomination 64 8% Don’t know / No opinion 25 3% POL4_1 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Michael Bennet Very Favorable 52 2% Somewhat Favorable 191 8% Somewhat Unfavorable 126 5% Very Unfavorable 267 11% Heard Of, No Opinion 617 25% Never Heard Of 1234 50% Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_2 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Joe Biden Very Favorable 470 19% Somewhat Favorable 662 27% Somewhat Unfavorable 316 13% Very Unfavorable 717 29% Heard Of, No Opinion 228 9% Never Heard Of 96 4% POL4_3 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Cory Booker Very Favorable 157 6% Somewhat Favorable 435 17% Somewhat Unfavorable 200 8% Very Unfavorable 548 22% Heard Of, No Opinion 433 17% Never Heard Of 716 29% POL4_4 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Steve Bullock Very Favorable 29 1% Somewhat Favorable 172 7% Somewhat Unfavorable 137 5% Very Unfavorable 255 10% Heard Of, No Opinion 614 25% Never Heard Of 1281 51% Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_5 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Pete Buttigieg Very Favorable 232 9% Somewhat Favorable 366 15% Somewhat Unfavorable 157 6% Very Unfavorable 451 18% Heard Of, No Opinion 418 17% Never Heard Of 864 35% POL4_6 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Julian Castro Very Favorable 89 4% Somewhat Favorable 317 13% Somewhat Unfavorable 226 9% Very Unfavorable 514 21% Heard Of, No Opinion 556 22% Never Heard Of 785 32% POL4_7 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ John Delaney Very Favorable 42 2% Somewhat Favorable 179 7% Somewhat Unfavorable 166 7% Very Unfavorable 288 12% Heard Of, No Opinion 716 29% Never Heard Of 1098 44% Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_8 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Tulsi Gabbard Very Favorable 80 3% Somewhat Favorable 260 10% Somewhat Unfavorable 201 8% Very Unfavorable 324 13% Heard Of, No Opinion 463 19% Never Heard Of 1160 47% POL4_9 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Kamala Harris Very Favorable 260 10% Somewhat Favorable 457 18% Somewhat Unfavorable 210 8% Very Unfavorable 650 26% Heard Of, No Opinion 329 13% Never Heard Of 583 23% POL4_10 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’ Amy Klobuchar Very Favorable 84 3% Somewhat Favorable 349 14% Somewhat Unfavorable 176 7% Very Unfavorable 404 16% Heard Of, No Opinion 484 19% Never Heard Of 991 40% Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_11 Next we will look at a list of Democratic candidates for President.