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Central Region CP 2012.Pdf (English) Central Region Contingency Plan Humanitarian Regional Team Multi-Hazard Contingency Plan Central Region (Kabul, Kapisa, Logar, Wardak, Panjshir and Parwan Provinces) Period Covered March – December 2012 Last updated 19 Mar 2012 Central Region Contingency Plan Central Region Contingency Plan Table of Contents 1 Introduction .............................................................................................. 4 1.1 Regional Context by Hazards .................................................................... 4 1.1.1 Hazards and Risk Analysis .................................................................. 6 1.1.2 Cross-cutting Risks ........................................................................... 7 2 Coordination Arrangements ............................................................................ 8 2.1 National / Local Authorities’ responsibilities ................................................. 8 2.1.1 Disaster occurrence ......................................................................... 8 2.1.2 Operational procedures ..................................................................... 8 2.2 Humanitarian community: UN AFPs, INGOs and NNGOs ..................................... 9 2.2.1 The cluster approach ........................................................................ 9 2.3 Overview of Emergency Preparedness and Response Partners .... Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.4 Response Matrix................................................................................... 10 ANNEXES (see separate attachments) 1. Contacts 2. Humanitarian Profile (from OCHA sub-office) 3. Hazards Scenario with Population Data 4. Emergency Response Logistics Capacity 5. Stocks and Warehouses 6. 3Ws matrix (from OCHA sub-office) 7. Inventory of Inter-agency Initial Rapid Assessment Tools 8. Preparedness and Response Requirements per Cluster/Sector 3 Central Region Contingency Plan 1 Introduction This multi-hazard contingency plan is an inter-agency document produced and owned by the Humanitarian Regional Team for Central Region with the respective Provincial Disaster Management Committees. There are six provinces in the region, including: Kabul, Kapisa, Maydan Wardak, Logar, Panjshir and Parwan Provinces with 55 districts and total population is 5,830,700. • Kabul – The provincial capital is Kabul and has 15 districts with total population 3,817,700 (CSO/NRVA 2007/2008). • Kapisa - The provincial capital is Mahmud Raqi and has 7 districts with total population 413,000. (CSO/NRVA 2007/2008) • Logar - The provincial capital is Puli Alam and has 7 districts with total population 413,000. (CSO/NRVA 2007/2008)I • Panjshir - The provincial capital is Bazarak and has 7 districts with total population 143,700. (CSO/NRVA 2007/2008) • Parwan - The provincial capital is Charikar and has 10 districts with total population 620,900. (CSO/NRVA 2007/2008) • Wardak - The provincial capital is Maydan Shahr and has 9 districts with total population 558,400. (CSO/NRVA 2007/2008) The plan comes into effect from March to December 2012. As determined by the Humanitarian Coordinator for Afghanistan, the specific hazards covered include conflict, floods, earthquake and landslides. In addition, extreme winter and epidemics in CR will also be included in this plan. This contingency plan uses the most likely and the worst case scenarios in determining planning figures per hazard. The plan also draws on historical data and field experiences on occurrence of floods, conflicts, earthquakes and landslides as building blocks for coming up with assumptions and humanitarian caseloads. The overall objective of the HRT contingency plan is to support the timely, consistent and coordinated response to anticipated and imminent hazards. This will minimize the impact of the hazards on human population, their livelihoods and assets and the environment thus reducing the scale of humanitarian needs for the affected population. The specific objectives of the regional HRT contingency plan are to: • Improve the management and coordination of preparedness, response and early recovery arrangements; • Ensure timely resource mobilization, efficient and effective response; • Reduce the risk of secondary hazards, such as epidemics and disease outbreaks, malnutrition, etc; • Provide general guidance on the level of assistance that may be required as a result of specific emergency; • Provide overview of stocks and warehouse availability or required; and • Identify and define roles and responsibilities of players likely to be involved in humanitarian or emergency response. 1.1 Regional Context by Hazards The plan comes into effect from March to July 2012. As determined by the Humanitarian Coordinator for Afghanistan, the specific hazards covered include conflict, floods, earthquake and landslides. In addition, central region also faces with snow avalanches and harsh winter hazards. Main hazards in Central Region include floods, snow avalanches, harsh winter, armed conflict and earthquake. In 2010 and 2011, summer floods constituted the largest disaster in the region. Armed conflict continues to affect the some parts of the region, leading to an increasing number of internally displaced persons (IDPs). Flood and Landslides: Damaging flood events usually occur in early May when heavy rainfall encourages rapid melting of the winter snowpack. Snow avalanches disaster is happening in Salang, Siagerd and Shinwary districts of Parwan and Hisa –i- awal, Hisa-i- do, Paryan and Dara districts of Panjshir Province of CR. 4 Central Region Contingency Plan Earthquake: Since long time, there is no major evidence of Earthquake seen in CR. While no doubt some parts of the region (Parwan and Panjshir Provinces) are located on earthquake belt of Kohi Pamir series and there is possibility of earthquake to hit mountainous areas.. In general, Poverty rate of CR is high like other regions of the country and in remote areas most of the houses made of mud and have less resistance to earthquake. The region is capable with early warning system of the disaster including earthquake. Conflict: Security situation is continued to be volatile in some parts of the region. Military Operations will continue in two (Alasay, Tagab) districts of Kapisa, while many districts of Wardak and Logar provinces are not currently accessible for UN agencies. Conflict between Kochi and Hazara in Wardak Province can modify the scenarios in the region and ANSF military operations are expected to continue, with direct impact on civilian population and the humanitarian community’s response ability. Thematic areas by cluster likely to be impacted by hazard: The humanitarian consequences of flash flood was dramatic, leading to loss of harvest, loss of livestock, hunger, acute malnutrition, increased numbers of extremely vulnerable individuals (EVIs), internal displacement; increased water, sanitation and hygiene needs, outbreak of communicable diseases, increased levels of infant mortality rates and mortality rates of children under five, increased maternal mortality rates, lack of animal feed, adversely affect education, and a long-lasting severe impact on the economy of the region. 5 Central Region Contingency Plan 1.1.1 Hazards and Risk Analysis A. CONFLICT Hazard Early Warning Humanitarian Most Likely Scenario Planning Worst-Case Scenario Planning Trend(timeframe) Indicators Consequences Assumptions Assumptions (general) (include what indicator and by who) Throughout the year Conflict by security Short-term Increasing degradation of general A military operation causes the across the region organs. • displacement of population security environment. displacement. Civilian causalities except Panjshir and • death and injury of people Approximately 21,514 individuals increase Kabul Provinces. A Displaced from 10 districts in 6 constant threat in Medium and Long-term Approximately 26,893 individuals provinces. Approximately 126, 652 Alasay and Tagab • Displaced from 10 districts in 6 provinces. displacement of population Individual affected from 56 districts districts of Kapisa Approximately 158, 322 Individuals • death and injury of people in Kabul, Kapisa, Logar, Panjshir, and some parts of affected from 56 districts in Kabul, • loss of access to basic Parwan and Wardak provinces of Wardak, Logar and Kapisa, Logar, Panjshir, Parwan and services CR, which were assisted by Wardak provinces of CR, which were Parwan provinces. • loss of livelihoods humanitarian actors. assisted by humanitarian actors Note: Most Likely Scenario is calculated based UNHCR IDP baseline data of 2011 with expected 20% increases. Worst-Case Scenario is calculated based UNHCR IDP baseline data of 2011 with expected 50% increases. The conflicted affected data is calculated based on humanitarian assistance provided by WFP, IOM and HCR during 2011 with 20% increases in most likely and 50% increases in worse case scenarios. B. FLOODS AND LANDSLIDES Hazard Trend Early Warning Humanitarian Most Likely Scenario Planning Worst-Case Scenario Planning (timeframe) Indicators Consequences Assumptions Assumptions (include what indicator and by who) Spring floods National level Short-term High temperature and rapidly melting of snow Over flow of narrowed rivers, particularly flowing March – April and mapping by IMMAP • displacement of population at the top of the mountains. Limited through populated areas/villages summer floods on precipitation levels. • death and injury of people implementation flood mitigation projects Limited presence of humanitarian
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