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Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model
International Tourism and Hospitality Journal 1(2): 1-10 (2018) Print ISSN: 2616-518X Online ISSN: 2616-4701 RPA ITHJ Journals International Tourism and Hospitality Journal Journal Homepage: https://rpajournals.com/ithj Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model Tendai Makoni*1, Delson Chikobvu2 Bongani Maphosa3 Great Zimbabwe University, Zimbabwe1,3 University of the Free State, South Africa2 Abstract Forecasting tourist arrivals and volatility for Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Parks using SARIMA-GARCH models are vital for decision and planning purposes. The monthly data from the Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority (ZIMPARKS) for the period January 2010 to December 2016 was used. The time series plot indicated mixed fluctuations in tourist arrivals and exhibited seasonality. The series became stationary after a logarithmic transformation and a seasonal difference. The Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion was used in selecting the best model and a SARIMA(1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 model fitted well to the data. The residuals of the model confirmed to all tests. Accuracy measures like the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) supported the model and an out of sample for the next 24 months (2017 to 2018) were done. From the forecasts, an increase in tourist arrivals was noted. The results imply the need for enough accommodation facilities in and around the recreational centre. Keywords: Tourist arrivals, ARIMA models, SARIMA models, time series plot 1 *Corresponding author: Tendai Makoni ; Email: [email protected] Submission Date: 9 June 2018 Acceptance Date: 17 June 2018 Introduction Forecasting is a key tool for planning and decision-making in modern business organisations, according to Thoplan (2014). -
(Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020
Statutory Instrument 55 ofS.I. 2020. 55 of 2020 Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) [CAP. 23:02 Order, 2020 (No. 20) Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) “THIRTEENTH SCHEDULE Order, 2020 (No. 20) CUSTOMS DRY PORTS IT is hereby notifi ed that the Minister of Finance and Economic (a) Masvingo; Development has, in terms of sections 14 and 236 of the Customs (b) Bulawayo; and Excise Act [Chapter 23:02], made the following notice:— (c) Makuti; and 1. This notice may be cited as the Customs and Excise (Ports (d) Mutare. of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020 (No. 20). 2. Part I (Ports of Entry) of the Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) Order, 2002, published in Statutory Instrument 14 of 2002, hereinafter called the Order, is amended as follows— (a) by the insertion of a new section 9A after section 9 to read as follows: “Customs dry ports 9A. (1) Customs dry ports are appointed at the places indicated in the Thirteenth Schedule for the collection of revenue, the report and clearance of goods imported or exported and matters incidental thereto and the general administration of the provisions of the Act. (2) The customs dry ports set up in terms of subsection (1) are also appointed as places where the Commissioner may establish bonded warehouses for the housing of uncleared goods. The bonded warehouses may be operated by persons authorised by the Commissioner in terms of the Act, and may store and also sell the bonded goods to the general public subject to the purchasers of the said goods paying the duty due and payable on the goods. -
Zimbabwean Government Gazette
A I SET ZIMBABWEAN GOVERNMENT GAZETTE Published by Authority Vol. LXXI, No. 44 2nd JULY. 1993 Price $2,50 i General Notice 384 of 1993. Zimbabwe United Passenger Company. ^^0/226/93. Permit: 15723. Motor-omnibus. Passenger-capacity: ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER 262] Route 1: As d^ned in the agreonent between the holder and Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits the Harare Municipality, approved by the Minister in terms of section 18 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262]. IN terms of subsection (4) of section 7 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that Route 2:' Throu^out Zimbabwe. the applications detailed in the Sdiedule, for ue issue or Route 3: Harare - Darwendale - Banket - Chinhoyi - Aladta amendment of road service permits, have been received for the Compoimd - Sheckleton Mine - lions Den. consideration of the Controller of Road Motor Transportation. Condition: Any person wishing to object to any such application must Route 2: lodge with the Controller of Road Motor Transportation, (a) For private hire and for advertised or organized P.O. Box 8332, Causeway— tours, provided no stage carriage service is operated (a) a notice, in writing, of his intention to object, so as along any route. to reach the Controller’s ofiSce not later than the 23rd (b) No private Hire or any advertised or organized tour July, 1993; shall be operated under authority of this permit, (b) his objection and the grounds therefor, on form RAl.T. during ^e times for which a scheduled stage carriage 24, together with two copies tiiereof, so as to tetaxHa. -
World Bank Document
HSBC Project: Process Framework E4474 V2 Public Disclosure Authorized GOVERNMENT OF ZIMBABWE Public Disclosure Authorized MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT, WATER AND CLIMATE HWANGE SANYATI BIODIVERSITY CORRIDOR (HSBC) PROJECT PROCESS FRAMEWORK Public Disclosure Authorized MARCH 2014 Public Disclosure Authorized 1 Waterkings Environment Consultancy: [email protected] HSBC Project: Process Framework Table of Contents Item Description Page Executive Summary 6 1.0 Introduction 8 1.1 Purpose of the PF 9 1.2 Preparation of the PF 10 1.3 Background of implementing entities 11 2.0 Project Description 19 2.1 Project location 20 2.2 Project activities 24 3.0 Legal, Policy and Administrative Arrangement 28 3.1 Constitution of Zimbabwe 28 3.2 Environment Management Act 29 3.3 Parks and Wildlife Management Act 30 3.4 Land Tenure 31 3.5 Traditional Leaders Act 31 3.6 Water Act 32 3.7 Administrative and Legal Procedures 32 3.8 Participation of NGOs 34 3.9 World Bank Safeguards Policies 35 4.0 Socio Economic baseline 36 4.1 land Use Pattern 36 4.2 Administrative arrangement 37 4.3 Cultural standing 39 4.4 Livelihoods 40 4.5 Demographic 42 4.6 Education 43 4.7 Vulnerable grounds 44 5.0 Community consultation and engagement 46 5.1 Community stakeholder profile 46 2 Waterkings Environment Consultancy: [email protected] HSBC Project: Process Framework 5.2 Engagement of partners 49 5.3 Stakeholder consultation discussion 50 6.0 Impact Management 65 6.1 Project Affected People Criteria 66 6.2 Impact analysis 67 6.3 Impact assessment 71 6. -
Science and Stewardship to Protect and Sustain
Zambezi River: Wilderness and Tourism Research Into Visitor Perceptions About Wilderness and Its Value Sally Wynn Abstract—This paper outlines the findings of questionnaire re- sources, implying that tourism was having a negative im- search undertaken by a conservation nongovernment organization pact on the Zambezi River’s wilderness values. The reports (NGO), the Zambezi Society, to capture perceptions about wilder- were wide ranging: unchecked commercialization, ad hoc ness and its values from people visiting four Zambezi River tourism development, tree cutting, border violations, unauthorized destinations in Zimbabwe. The research was conducted during a road and camp building, noise pollution, littering and abuse tourism boom in the area when the Society was receiving complaints of camping sites, illicit tour and guiding activities, and so on. that the wild values of the river were being eroded by tourism The overriding tenor was that the special “wilderness value” malpractice. of the Zambezi River was being eroded by inappropriate The research produced a visitor-generated definition of “wilder- tourism behavior and development. ness” in the Zambezi River context; a list of the attributes that make To provide a balanced response, the Society embarked on a place wild; an indication of the high value of a wilderness experience a research project in 1998 aimed at capturing peoples’ to Zambezi visitors; a list of factors that detract from people’s perceptions about wilderness in the Zambezi context, as well enjoyment of a wilderness experience; a list of the wild areas most as providing a workable definition of the term “wilderness,” valued by visitors to the Zambezi; and some detailed observations its “values,” and its importance to visitors to the Zambezi. -
Showcasing Elephant Management in Zimbabwe
Original language: English CoP18 Inf. 32 CONVENTION ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN ENDANGERED SPECIES OF WILD FAUNA AND FLORA ____________________ Eighteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties Geneva (Switzerland), 17-28 August 2019 SHOWCASING IMPLEMENTATION OF ZIMBABWE’S NATIONAL ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT PLAN (2015-2020) AND ITS NATIONAL ACTION PLAN 1. This document has been submitted by Zimbabwe* in relation to proposal CoP18 Prop. 11 and agenda items 17 and 69. 2. In January 2016, Zimbabwe adopted its National Elephant Management Plan (2015-2020) – EMP, following a series of participatory National and Regional workshops in elephant range areas started in 2014. This document shows the implementation progresses of the EMP achieved since its inception in 2016. 3. It is an ambitious plan that includes the cooperation of all stakeholders to achieve its aims. The provision in the plan to establish regional elephant management committees that will include representative from the range of stakeholders that have a strong interest in elephant conservation is a major step in devolution of responsibility. 4. The Implementation of the action plan requires more human and financial resources than are currently available for the conservation and management of elephant in Zimbabwe. It requires resources to cover the ground effectively and at a rough estimate of at least $12,000,000 per annum in operational budget to protect the nearly 66,000 km2 of elephant range (inside and outside Protected Areas) in the country. This estimate is based on the rule of thumb of $200 per km2. Some of these resources are mobilized through Global Environment Facility (GEF) and European Union (EU) funded projects being implemented in Zimbabwe as well as a number of stakeholders including WWF, Frankfurt Zoological Society, Conservation Force, The Tashinga Initiative, Zambezi Society, African Wildlife Fund and private sector including hunting and photographic operators. -
ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT Contributing Authors
ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT Contributing Authors Brandon Anthony, Graham Avery, Dave Balfour, Jon Barnes, Roy Bengis, Henk Bertschinger, Harry C Biggs, James Blignaut, André Boshoff, Jane Carruthers, Guy Castley, Tony Conway, Warwick Davies-Mostert, Yolande de Beer, Willem F de Boer, Martin de Wit, Audrey Delsink, Saliem Fakir, Sam Ferreira, Andre Ganswindt, Marion Garaï, Angela Gaylard, Katie Gough, C C (Rina) Grant, Douw G Grobler, Rob Guldemond, Peter Hartley, Michelle Henley, Markus Hofmeyr, Lisa Hopkinson, Tim Jackson, Jessi Junker, Graham I H Kerley, Hanno Killian, Jay Kirkpatrick, Laurence Kruger, Marietjie Landman, Keith Lindsay, Rob Little, H P P (Hennie) Lötter, Robin L Mackey, Hector Magome, Johan H Malan, Wayne Matthews, Kathleen G Mennell, Pieter Olivier, Theresia Ott, Norman Owen-Smith, Bruce Page, Mike Peel, Michele Pickover, Mogobe Ramose, Jeremy Ridl, Robert J Scholes, Rob Slotow, Izak Smit, Morgan Trimble, Wayne Twine, Rudi van Aarde, J J van Altena, Marius van Staden, Ian Whyte ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT A Scientific Assessment for South Africa Edited by R J Scholes and K G Mennell Wits University Press 1 Jan Smuts Avenue Johannesburg 2001 South Africa http://witspress.wits.ac.za Entire publication © 2008 by Wits University Press Introduction and chapters © 2008 by Individual authors ISBN 978 1 86814 479 2 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the express permission, in writing, of both the author and the publisher. Cover photograph by Donald Cook at stock.xchng Cover design, layout and design by Acumen Publishing Solutions, Johannesburg Printed and bound by Creda Communications, Cape Town FOREWORD SOUTH AFRICA and its people are blessed with diverse and thriving wildlife. -
Domestic Workers in Zimbabwe KNOW YOUR RIGHTS and OBLIGATIONS
Domestic Workers in Zimbabwe KNOW YOUR RIGHTS AND OBLIGATIONS An information guide for domestic workers in Zimbabwe 2016 Free copy 1. WHAT IS THE GUIDE ABOUT? 2. BEFORE ACCEPTING A JOB 3. YOUR BASIC RIGHTS AS A HUMAN BEING IN ZIMBABWE 4. YOUR RIGHTS AND OBLIGATIONS AS A DOMESTIC WORKER IN ZIMBABWE 5. WHO CAN HELP? CONTENTS USEFUL CONTACTS FOR DOMESTIC WORKERS 6. SENDING MONEY BACK HOME 7. SAMPLE CONTRACT Employment Contract for Domestic Worker 2 1. WHAT IS THE GUIDE ABOUT ? This information guide is published by the organisations listed on the back cover. Its objective is to provide up-to-date, reliable information to people who are considering working or already working as domestic workers in Zimbabwe The guide provides information on: Ÿ What you should consider before accepting to work as a domestic worker Ÿ Your basic rights as a human being in Zimbabwe Ÿ Your rights and obligations as a domestic worker in Zimbabwe Ÿ Practical information about sending money to your family Each section provides a list of useful numbers of organizations that can help you. 3 2. BEFORE accepting a job Taking your decision: Ÿ Only make your decision on the basis of verified information: do not trust anyone simply on their word; verify information from different people and organizations. Ÿ Compare the income you currently have and the minimum income you can reasonably hope for in the new job. Ÿ Research the standard conditions of work that apply to your position. Ÿ Try to work out all your costs including accommodation, transport to work, food & toiletries, etc to see whether you will be able to save anything. -
Your Phone Number Has Been Updated!
Your phone number has been updated! We have changed your area code, and have updated your phone number. Now you can enjoy the full benefits of a converged network. This directory guides you on the changes to your number. TELONE NUMBER CHANGE UPDATE City/Town Old Area New Area Prefix New number example City/Town Old Area New Area Prefix New number example Code Code Code Code Arcturus 0274 024 214 (024) 214*your number* Lalapanzi 05483 054 2548 (054) 2548*your number* Banket 066 067 214 (067) 214*your number* Lupane 0398 081 2856 (081) 2856*your number* Baobab 0281 081 28 (081)28*your number* Macheke 0379 065 2080 (065) 2080*your number* Battlefields 055 055 25 (055)25*your number* Makuti 063 061 2141 (061) 2141*your number* Beatrice 065 024 2150 (024) 2150*your number* Marondera 0279 065 23 (065) 23*your number* Bindura 0271 066 210 (066) 210*your number* Mashava 035 039 245 (039) 245*your number* Birchenough Bridge 0248 027 203 (027) 203*your number* Masvingo 039 039 2 (039) 2*your number* (029)2*your number* Mataga 0517 039 2366 (039) 2366*your number* Bulawayo 09 029 2 (for numbers with 6 digits) Matopos 0383 029 2809 (039) 2809*your number* (029)22*your number) Bulawayo 09 029 22 Mazowe 0275 066 219 (066) 219*your number* (for numbers with 5 digits) Mberengwa 0518 039 2360 (039)2360*your number* Centenary 057 066 210 (066) 210*your number* Chatsworth 0308 039 2308 (039)2308*your number* Mhangura 060 067 214 (067) 214*your number* Mount Darwin 0276 066 212 (066) 212*your number* Chakari 0688 068 2189 (068) 2189*your number* Murambinda -
Health Cluster Bulletin 11Ver2
Zimbabwe Health Cluster bulletin Bulletin No 11 1-15 April 2009 Highlights: Cholera outbreak situation update • About 96, 473 cases and 4,204 deaths, CFR 4.4% Following a 9 week decline trend in cholera cases, an upsurge was reported during epidemi- • Sustained decline of ological week 15. Batch reporting in three districts may have contributed to this slight in- the outbreak crease. • Cholera hotspots in The cumulative number of Mashonaland west, Cholera in Zimbabwe reported cholera cases was Harare and Chitungwiza 17 Aug 08 to 11th April 09 96, 473 and 4204 deaths with 10,000 cities cumulative Case Fatality Rate 8,000 Cases Deaths (CFR) as of 4.4 as of 15 April. During week 15, a 17% de- 6,000 crease in cases and 5% in- 4,000 crease in deaths was re- Number ported. The crude CFR is 2.7% 2,000 compared to 2.9% of week 14 0 while the I-CFR is 1.8% com- pared to 2.7% of week 14. The w2 w4 w6 w8 w36 w38 w40 w42 w44 w46 w48 w50 w52 w10 w12 w14 CFR has been steadily de- weeks clined although the proportion of deaths in health facilities has increased compared to Cholera in Zimbabw e from 16 Nov 08 to 11th A pril 09 those reported in the commu- W eekly c rude and institutional c ase-fatality ratios 10 nity. CFR 9 This is probably an indication Inside this issue: 8 iCFR 7 of more people accessing 6 treatment and/or the increas- Cholera situation 1 5 ing role of other co- 4 morbidities presenting along- ORPs in cholera 2 3 management percent side cholera. -
Downloads/Financial-Reports
IMF Country Report No. 20/219 ZIMBABWE TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE REPORT—GOVERNMENT July 2020 FINANCE STATISTICS This Technical Assistance Report paper on Zimbabwe was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed in April 2019. Copies of this report are available to the public from International Monetary Fund • Publication Services PO Box 92780 • Washington, D.C. 20090 Telephone: (202) 623-7430 • Fax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail: [email protected] Web: http://www.imf.org Price: $18.00 per printed copy International Monetary Fund Washington, D.C. © 2020 International Monetary Fund ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution ZIMBABWE JULY 2019 REPORT ON GOVERNMENT FINANCE STATISTICS TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE MISSION (APRIL 15–26, 2019) PREPARED BY MIKE SEIFERLING The contents of this report constitute technical advice provided by the staff of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the authorities of Zimbabwe (the “TA recipient”) in response to their request for technical assistance. This report (in whole or in part) or summaries thereof may be disclosed by the IMF to IMF Executive Directors and members of their staff, as well as to other agencies or instrumentalities of the TA recipient, and upon their request, to World Bank staff, and other technical assistance providers and donors with legitimate interest unless the TA recipient specifically objects to such disclosure (see Operational Guidelines for the Dissemination of Technical Assistance Information). Publication or Disclosure of this report (in whole or in part) or summaries thereof to parties outside the IMF other than agencies or instrumentalities of the TA recipient, World Bank staff, other technical assistance providers and donors with legitimate interest shall require the explicit consent of the TA recipient and the IMF’s Statistics Department. -
MASHONALAND WEST PROVINCE - Overview Map
MASHONALAND WEST PROVINCE - Overview Map Kanyemba Mana Lake C. Bassa Pools Legend Province Capital Mashonaland Key Location r ive R Mine zi West Hunyani e Paul V Casembi b Chikafa Chidodo Mission Chirundu m Angwa Muzeza a Bridge Z Musengezi Place of Local Importance Rukomechi Masoka Mushumbi Musengezi Mbire Pools Chadereka Village Marongora St. International Boundary Cecelia Makuti Mashonaland Province Boundary Hurungwe Hoya Kaitano Kamuchikukundu Bwazi Chitindiwa Muzarabani District Boundary Shamrocke Bakasa Central St. St. Vuti Alberts Alberts Nembire KARIBA Kachuta Kazunga Chawarura Road Network Charara Lynx Centenary Dotito Kapiri Mwami Guruve Mount Lake Kariba Dora Shinje Masanga Centenary Darwin Doma Mount Maumbe Guruve Gachegache Darwin Railway Line Chalala Tashinga KAROI Kareshi Magunje Bumi Mudindo Bure River Hills Charles Mhangura Nyamhunga Clack Madadzi Goora Mola Mhangura Madombwe Chanetsa Norah Silverside Mutepatepa Bradley Zvipane Chivakanyama Madziwa Lake/Waterbody Kariba Nyakudya Institute Raffingora Jester Mvurwi Vanad Mujere Kapfunde Mudzumu Nzvimbo Shamva Conservation Area Kapfunde Feock Kasimbwi Madziwa Tengwe Siyakobvu Chidamoyo Muswewenhede Chakonda Msapakaruma Chimusimbe Mutorashanga Howard Other Province Negande Chidamoyo Nyota Zave Institute Zvimba Muriel Bindura Siantula Lions Freda & Mashonaland West Den Caesar Rebecca Rukara Mazowe Shamva Marere Shackleton Trojan Shamva Chete CHINHOYI Sutton Amandas Glendale Alaska Alaska BINDURA Banket Muonwe Map Doc Name: Springbok Great Concession Manhenga Tchoda Golden