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Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model
International Tourism and Hospitality Journal 1(2): 1-10 (2018) Print ISSN: 2616-518X Online ISSN: 2616-4701 RPA ITHJ Journals International Tourism and Hospitality Journal Journal Homepage: https://rpajournals.com/ithj Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model Tendai Makoni*1, Delson Chikobvu2 Bongani Maphosa3 Great Zimbabwe University, Zimbabwe1,3 University of the Free State, South Africa2 Abstract Forecasting tourist arrivals and volatility for Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Parks using SARIMA-GARCH models are vital for decision and planning purposes. The monthly data from the Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority (ZIMPARKS) for the period January 2010 to December 2016 was used. The time series plot indicated mixed fluctuations in tourist arrivals and exhibited seasonality. The series became stationary after a logarithmic transformation and a seasonal difference. The Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion was used in selecting the best model and a SARIMA(1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 model fitted well to the data. The residuals of the model confirmed to all tests. Accuracy measures like the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) supported the model and an out of sample for the next 24 months (2017 to 2018) were done. From the forecasts, an increase in tourist arrivals was noted. The results imply the need for enough accommodation facilities in and around the recreational centre. Keywords: Tourist arrivals, ARIMA models, SARIMA models, time series plot 1 *Corresponding author: Tendai Makoni ; Email: [email protected] Submission Date: 9 June 2018 Acceptance Date: 17 June 2018 Introduction Forecasting is a key tool for planning and decision-making in modern business organisations, according to Thoplan (2014). -
(Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020
Statutory Instrument 55 ofS.I. 2020. 55 of 2020 Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) [CAP. 23:02 Order, 2020 (No. 20) Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) “THIRTEENTH SCHEDULE Order, 2020 (No. 20) CUSTOMS DRY PORTS IT is hereby notifi ed that the Minister of Finance and Economic (a) Masvingo; Development has, in terms of sections 14 and 236 of the Customs (b) Bulawayo; and Excise Act [Chapter 23:02], made the following notice:— (c) Makuti; and 1. This notice may be cited as the Customs and Excise (Ports (d) Mutare. of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020 (No. 20). 2. Part I (Ports of Entry) of the Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) Order, 2002, published in Statutory Instrument 14 of 2002, hereinafter called the Order, is amended as follows— (a) by the insertion of a new section 9A after section 9 to read as follows: “Customs dry ports 9A. (1) Customs dry ports are appointed at the places indicated in the Thirteenth Schedule for the collection of revenue, the report and clearance of goods imported or exported and matters incidental thereto and the general administration of the provisions of the Act. (2) The customs dry ports set up in terms of subsection (1) are also appointed as places where the Commissioner may establish bonded warehouses for the housing of uncleared goods. The bonded warehouses may be operated by persons authorised by the Commissioner in terms of the Act, and may store and also sell the bonded goods to the general public subject to the purchasers of the said goods paying the duty due and payable on the goods. -
Zimbabwean Government Gazette
A I SET ZIMBABWEAN GOVERNMENT GAZETTE Published by Authority Vol. LXXI, No. 44 2nd JULY. 1993 Price $2,50 i General Notice 384 of 1993. Zimbabwe United Passenger Company. ^^0/226/93. Permit: 15723. Motor-omnibus. Passenger-capacity: ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER 262] Route 1: As d^ned in the agreonent between the holder and Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits the Harare Municipality, approved by the Minister in terms of section 18 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262]. IN terms of subsection (4) of section 7 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that Route 2:' Throu^out Zimbabwe. the applications detailed in the Sdiedule, for ue issue or Route 3: Harare - Darwendale - Banket - Chinhoyi - Aladta amendment of road service permits, have been received for the Compoimd - Sheckleton Mine - lions Den. consideration of the Controller of Road Motor Transportation. Condition: Any person wishing to object to any such application must Route 2: lodge with the Controller of Road Motor Transportation, (a) For private hire and for advertised or organized P.O. Box 8332, Causeway— tours, provided no stage carriage service is operated (a) a notice, in writing, of his intention to object, so as along any route. to reach the Controller’s ofiSce not later than the 23rd (b) No private Hire or any advertised or organized tour July, 1993; shall be operated under authority of this permit, (b) his objection and the grounds therefor, on form RAl.T. during ^e times for which a scheduled stage carriage 24, together with two copies tiiereof, so as to tetaxHa. -
World Bank Document
HSBC Project: Process Framework E4474 V2 Public Disclosure Authorized GOVERNMENT OF ZIMBABWE Public Disclosure Authorized MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT, WATER AND CLIMATE HWANGE SANYATI BIODIVERSITY CORRIDOR (HSBC) PROJECT PROCESS FRAMEWORK Public Disclosure Authorized MARCH 2014 Public Disclosure Authorized 1 Waterkings Environment Consultancy: [email protected] HSBC Project: Process Framework Table of Contents Item Description Page Executive Summary 6 1.0 Introduction 8 1.1 Purpose of the PF 9 1.2 Preparation of the PF 10 1.3 Background of implementing entities 11 2.0 Project Description 19 2.1 Project location 20 2.2 Project activities 24 3.0 Legal, Policy and Administrative Arrangement 28 3.1 Constitution of Zimbabwe 28 3.2 Environment Management Act 29 3.3 Parks and Wildlife Management Act 30 3.4 Land Tenure 31 3.5 Traditional Leaders Act 31 3.6 Water Act 32 3.7 Administrative and Legal Procedures 32 3.8 Participation of NGOs 34 3.9 World Bank Safeguards Policies 35 4.0 Socio Economic baseline 36 4.1 land Use Pattern 36 4.2 Administrative arrangement 37 4.3 Cultural standing 39 4.4 Livelihoods 40 4.5 Demographic 42 4.6 Education 43 4.7 Vulnerable grounds 44 5.0 Community consultation and engagement 46 5.1 Community stakeholder profile 46 2 Waterkings Environment Consultancy: [email protected] HSBC Project: Process Framework 5.2 Engagement of partners 49 5.3 Stakeholder consultation discussion 50 6.0 Impact Management 65 6.1 Project Affected People Criteria 66 6.2 Impact analysis 67 6.3 Impact assessment 71 6. -
Science and Stewardship to Protect and Sustain
Zambezi River: Wilderness and Tourism Research Into Visitor Perceptions About Wilderness and Its Value Sally Wynn Abstract—This paper outlines the findings of questionnaire re- sources, implying that tourism was having a negative im- search undertaken by a conservation nongovernment organization pact on the Zambezi River’s wilderness values. The reports (NGO), the Zambezi Society, to capture perceptions about wilder- were wide ranging: unchecked commercialization, ad hoc ness and its values from people visiting four Zambezi River tourism development, tree cutting, border violations, unauthorized destinations in Zimbabwe. The research was conducted during a road and camp building, noise pollution, littering and abuse tourism boom in the area when the Society was receiving complaints of camping sites, illicit tour and guiding activities, and so on. that the wild values of the river were being eroded by tourism The overriding tenor was that the special “wilderness value” malpractice. of the Zambezi River was being eroded by inappropriate The research produced a visitor-generated definition of “wilder- tourism behavior and development. ness” in the Zambezi River context; a list of the attributes that make To provide a balanced response, the Society embarked on a place wild; an indication of the high value of a wilderness experience a research project in 1998 aimed at capturing peoples’ to Zambezi visitors; a list of factors that detract from people’s perceptions about wilderness in the Zambezi context, as well enjoyment of a wilderness experience; a list of the wild areas most as providing a workable definition of the term “wilderness,” valued by visitors to the Zambezi; and some detailed observations its “values,” and its importance to visitors to the Zambezi. -
PDF Strategic Plan for Painted Dog Conservation Organisation
Strategic Plan for Painted Dog Conservation Organisation 2012 - 2017 Prepared by: Painted Dog Conservation Project Team December 2011 Page 1 of 52 This page intentionally blank Page 2 of 52 Table of Contents Introduction ....................................................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Project Description. ............................................................................................................................................ 5 1A. INITIAL PROJECT TEAM ....................................................................................................................................... 6 1B. PROJECT SCOPE, VISION, AND TARGETS ............................................................................................................ 7 Scope ................................................................................................................................................................... 7 Vision .................................................................................................................................................................. 8 Conservation Targets .......................................................................................................................................... 8 1D. VIABILITY ASSESSMENT FOR ALL TARGETS WITH CURRENT STATUS ............................................................ 10 1E. CRITICAL THREATS .......................................................................................................................................... -
Status of the African Wild Dog in the Bénoué Complex, North Cameroon
Croes et al. African wild dogs in Cameroon Copyright © 2012 by the IUCN/SSC Canid Specialist Group. ISSN 1478-2677 Distribution Update Status of the African wild dog in the Bénoué Complex, North Cameroon 1* 2,3 1 1 Barbara Croes , Gregory Rasmussen , Ralph Buij and Hans de Iongh 1 Institute of Environmental Sciences (CML), University of Leiden, The Netherlands 2 Painted dog Conservation (PDC), Hwange National Park, Box 72, Dete, Zimbabwe 3 Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK * Correspondence author Keywords: Lycaon pictus, North Cameroon, monitoring surveys, hunting concessions Abstract The status of the African wild dog Lycaon pictus in the West and Central African region is largely unknown. The vast areas of unspoiled Sudano-Guinean savanna and woodland habitat in the North Province of Cameroon provide a potential stronghold for this wide-ranging species. Nevertheless, the wild dog is facing numerous threats in this ar- ea, mainly caused by human encroachment and a lack of enforcement of laws and regulations in hunting conces- sions. Three years of surveys covering over 4,000km of spoor transects and more than 1,200 camera trap days, in addition to interviews with local stakeholders revealed that the African wild dog in North Cameroon can be consid- ered functionally extirpated. Presence of most other large carnivores is decreasing towards the edges of protected areas, while presence of leopard and spotted hyaena is negatively associated with the presence of villages. Lion numbers tend to be lower inside hunting concessions as compared to the national parks. -
Showcasing Elephant Management in Zimbabwe
Original language: English CoP18 Inf. 32 CONVENTION ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN ENDANGERED SPECIES OF WILD FAUNA AND FLORA ____________________ Eighteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties Geneva (Switzerland), 17-28 August 2019 SHOWCASING IMPLEMENTATION OF ZIMBABWE’S NATIONAL ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT PLAN (2015-2020) AND ITS NATIONAL ACTION PLAN 1. This document has been submitted by Zimbabwe* in relation to proposal CoP18 Prop. 11 and agenda items 17 and 69. 2. In January 2016, Zimbabwe adopted its National Elephant Management Plan (2015-2020) – EMP, following a series of participatory National and Regional workshops in elephant range areas started in 2014. This document shows the implementation progresses of the EMP achieved since its inception in 2016. 3. It is an ambitious plan that includes the cooperation of all stakeholders to achieve its aims. The provision in the plan to establish regional elephant management committees that will include representative from the range of stakeholders that have a strong interest in elephant conservation is a major step in devolution of responsibility. 4. The Implementation of the action plan requires more human and financial resources than are currently available for the conservation and management of elephant in Zimbabwe. It requires resources to cover the ground effectively and at a rough estimate of at least $12,000,000 per annum in operational budget to protect the nearly 66,000 km2 of elephant range (inside and outside Protected Areas) in the country. This estimate is based on the rule of thumb of $200 per km2. Some of these resources are mobilized through Global Environment Facility (GEF) and European Union (EU) funded projects being implemented in Zimbabwe as well as a number of stakeholders including WWF, Frankfurt Zoological Society, Conservation Force, The Tashinga Initiative, Zambezi Society, African Wildlife Fund and private sector including hunting and photographic operators. -
ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT Contributing Authors
ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT Contributing Authors Brandon Anthony, Graham Avery, Dave Balfour, Jon Barnes, Roy Bengis, Henk Bertschinger, Harry C Biggs, James Blignaut, André Boshoff, Jane Carruthers, Guy Castley, Tony Conway, Warwick Davies-Mostert, Yolande de Beer, Willem F de Boer, Martin de Wit, Audrey Delsink, Saliem Fakir, Sam Ferreira, Andre Ganswindt, Marion Garaï, Angela Gaylard, Katie Gough, C C (Rina) Grant, Douw G Grobler, Rob Guldemond, Peter Hartley, Michelle Henley, Markus Hofmeyr, Lisa Hopkinson, Tim Jackson, Jessi Junker, Graham I H Kerley, Hanno Killian, Jay Kirkpatrick, Laurence Kruger, Marietjie Landman, Keith Lindsay, Rob Little, H P P (Hennie) Lötter, Robin L Mackey, Hector Magome, Johan H Malan, Wayne Matthews, Kathleen G Mennell, Pieter Olivier, Theresia Ott, Norman Owen-Smith, Bruce Page, Mike Peel, Michele Pickover, Mogobe Ramose, Jeremy Ridl, Robert J Scholes, Rob Slotow, Izak Smit, Morgan Trimble, Wayne Twine, Rudi van Aarde, J J van Altena, Marius van Staden, Ian Whyte ELEPHANT MANAGEMENT A Scientific Assessment for South Africa Edited by R J Scholes and K G Mennell Wits University Press 1 Jan Smuts Avenue Johannesburg 2001 South Africa http://witspress.wits.ac.za Entire publication © 2008 by Wits University Press Introduction and chapters © 2008 by Individual authors ISBN 978 1 86814 479 2 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the express permission, in writing, of both the author and the publisher. Cover photograph by Donald Cook at stock.xchng Cover design, layout and design by Acumen Publishing Solutions, Johannesburg Printed and bound by Creda Communications, Cape Town FOREWORD SOUTH AFRICA and its people are blessed with diverse and thriving wildlife. -
Jul 2 3 2019
Form 3-200-20 OMS Control No. 1018~93 Ellplra& 08131/2020 JUL 2 3 2019 Department of Interior U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Federal Fish and Wildlife Permit Application Form Type cl AciMly U.S. Fish aod Wildlle Service Division of Managemert Aulhority IMPORT OF SPORT-HUNTED TROPHIES under Appendix I of Branch of Permits, MS. IA 5276 Leesburg Pike the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Faus Church, VA 22041-3803 Species (CITES) and/or U.S. Endangered Species Act (ESA) 1-800-358-2104 or 703-358-2104 Complete Sections A or B, end C, D, end E of this eppllcetlon. U.S. edclross mey be required in Sedlon C, ,ee lnstructlon:s for details. lnttn.u::tlons on haw to make your appllc:atlon complete und help ■ voidunntteessary delaY9 .ire attached. Section A: Com in as an Individual t.l>.Fnl- 1.d.Sulb no. 3. .... P,,ndpol I. Pttmay C0'1lact n.,. c.a...-1a....- 7.L&-.-- SecUon C: AH a 1.a. CounrylP,ow,ce 11. Elkhart USA 2 c. Slate Z.d lip CDdell'ollll C:X:e 7.e. Caunfyfl',,,.,;,,... 21.Counlry Section D: All a llcants MUST com lete 1. Allach lhe nonrelundabl• appllc.illon proc"slng fH .r, \he lonn 0f • c:hec:I< or mDl'OY order payeble lo the U.S. FISH ANO WILDLIFE SERVICE In Ille amount of S100. Federal, Tri~ Slate, and local goverm,o<ll agendas, :ind lh0$0 acting on behd of auch aoe,,des. are exempl rrom the processing fee abch documenlalfcn of fH eXflr.1)1 !ilal11s 11S oull:ned In lnsll\ldlans 150 CFR 13 11(d)I 2. -
26Th International Congress for Conservation Biology
Program SocietySociety for for Conservation Conservation Biology Biology 26th International Congress for Conservation Biology Connecting Systems, Disciplines, and Stakeholders Baltimore, Maryland, USA • July 21-25, 2013 www.conbio.org/2013 Baltimore,2013 Maryland, USA Auckland,2011 New Zealand Edmonton,2010 Alberta, Canada Beijing,2009 China Chattanooga,2008 Tennessee, USA Port2007 Elizabeth, South Africa About the International Congress for Conservation Biology San2006 Jose, California, USA Welcome to our international forum for addressing conservation challenges. The International Congress for Conservation Biology Universidade2005 de Brasília, Brasília, Brazil is the global gathering spot for presenting and discussing new research and developments in conservation science and practice. From North America to Asia and Oceania to Europe, ICCB Columbia2004 University, New York, New York, USA moves around the world and is recognized as the most important global meeting for conservation professionals and students. University2003 of Minnesota, Duluth, Minnesota, USA Most importantly, the ICCB connects conservation professionals and serves as the premier networking opportunity for anyone University2002 of Kent at Canterbury, United Kingdom interested in conservation. University2001 of Hawaii, Hilo, Hawaii, USA About the Society for Conservation Biology Dedicated to advancing the science and practice of conserving University2000 of Montana, Missoula, Montana, USA Earth’s biological diversity, SCB is a global community of conservation professionals -
Domestic Workers in Zimbabwe KNOW YOUR RIGHTS and OBLIGATIONS
Domestic Workers in Zimbabwe KNOW YOUR RIGHTS AND OBLIGATIONS An information guide for domestic workers in Zimbabwe 2016 Free copy 1. WHAT IS THE GUIDE ABOUT? 2. BEFORE ACCEPTING A JOB 3. YOUR BASIC RIGHTS AS A HUMAN BEING IN ZIMBABWE 4. YOUR RIGHTS AND OBLIGATIONS AS A DOMESTIC WORKER IN ZIMBABWE 5. WHO CAN HELP? CONTENTS USEFUL CONTACTS FOR DOMESTIC WORKERS 6. SENDING MONEY BACK HOME 7. SAMPLE CONTRACT Employment Contract for Domestic Worker 2 1. WHAT IS THE GUIDE ABOUT ? This information guide is published by the organisations listed on the back cover. Its objective is to provide up-to-date, reliable information to people who are considering working or already working as domestic workers in Zimbabwe The guide provides information on: Ÿ What you should consider before accepting to work as a domestic worker Ÿ Your basic rights as a human being in Zimbabwe Ÿ Your rights and obligations as a domestic worker in Zimbabwe Ÿ Practical information about sending money to your family Each section provides a list of useful numbers of organizations that can help you. 3 2. BEFORE accepting a job Taking your decision: Ÿ Only make your decision on the basis of verified information: do not trust anyone simply on their word; verify information from different people and organizations. Ÿ Compare the income you currently have and the minimum income you can reasonably hope for in the new job. Ÿ Research the standard conditions of work that apply to your position. Ÿ Try to work out all your costs including accommodation, transport to work, food & toiletries, etc to see whether you will be able to save anything.