Sport England Facilities Planning Model

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Strategic Assessment of Need for Swimming Pools, Sports Halls and Artificial Grass Pitch Provision in Amber Valley

Sport England’s Facilities Planning Model Report

Date of report December 2013

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Table of Contents

1 Introduction 3

2 Analysis of Swimming Pool Provision – Current (2013) 5 and Future (2028) Position Analysis of Sports Hall Provision – Current (2013) and 3 25 Future (2028) Position Analysis of Artificial Turf Pitch Provision – Current (2013) 4 44 and Future (2028) Position 5 Appendices (separate document(s)) 58

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Introduction

This report presents the findings from the Sport England Facilities Planning Model (FPM) analysis of the supply and demand for swimming pools, sports halls and artificial turf pitches (AGPs) in Amber Valley at the current time for 2013 and projecting forward to 2028, incorporating projected population growth and, where provided, planned housing growth.

The modelling and analysis is designed to inform the CSP and Local Authority whether current supply of swimming pools is adequate to meet current and future planned population growth. This in turn will inform planning policy development, sports strategy development and investment decisions by all partners and delivery agents. It is recommended that the findings of this report are considered by the Local Authority and developed into a Sports Facility Strategy in accordance with the PPG17 Companion Guide or is successor.

This report forms one part of a broader study across the Derbyshire Sport CSP area (including Staffordshire Moorlands) (core study area) for which there is a report for each local authority and an umbrella report bringing together a summary of the overall findings.

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

The analysis is based on two separate modelling runs that include:

Run 1 – existing demand based on 2013 population, and existing supply as at 2013 (based on the Active Places Power database as amended and updated by the CSP and LAs) and including commitments for new/replacement facilities where short term delivery is certain.

Run 2 – future demand, taking into account population growth as projected by ONS for the County and adjoining local authority areas for 2028 and, where available, planned housing growth scale/location. The supply is assumed to be the same but facilities will be 18 years older.

Details of the runs for each facility type and population projections can be found in the Word Specification in Appendix *.

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Swimming Pools

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

1 Supply of Swimming Pools 2013 and 2028 Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 1 - Supply 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Number of pools 279 276 57 54 8 8 Number of pool sites 195 194 39 38 5 5 Supply of total water space in sqm 60735 59984 12858 12107 1727 1727 Supply of water space in sqm, scaled by 51480.37 50781.3 11124.08 10425 1498 1498 hours available in the peak period Supply of total water space in VPWPP 446163 440105 96409 90350 12984 12984 Waterspace per 1000 13.1 11.5 12.4 10.4 13.93 11.8

There are 8 pools within Amber Valley located across 5 sites; their characteristics are summarised in the table below.

Yr Yr Weight Weight Pub/ Hrs Hrs Cap Name of facility Type Area Built Refurb 2013 2028 Com pp Open vpwpp ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 325 2009 1.00 0.85 P 51 92.5 3311 Learner/Teaching 96 36 48 ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE /Training BELPER LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 363 1974 2003 0.73 0.26 P 47 75 2840 ECCLESBOURNE SCHOOL Main/General 250 2013 1.00 0.91 P 30 40 1250 RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 263 2009 1.00 0.85 P 50 100 2758 Learner/Teaching 84 41 66.75 RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE /Training WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 263 2009 1.00 0.85 P 50 99.25 2825 Learner/Teaching 84 45 67 WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE CENTRE /Training

There are two facilities located in in the centre of the district they are Belper and Ripley Leisure Centres. Alfreton Leisure Centre is located on the north east boundary of the district, William Gregg VC Leisure Centre on the south east boundary and Ecclesbourne School located on the southern boundary. Amber Valley has relatively new pool facilities with the majority being built after 2009, and Ecclesbourne School built in 2013. The oldest facility is Belper Leisure Centre built in 1974, and refurbished in 2003. All the swimming facilities in Amber Valley are in public ownership, however William Gregg VC, Ripley and Alfreton Leisure Centres, are managed by DC Leisure, and Belper Leisure Centre is owned and run by a trust.

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The total supply of waterspace in Amber Valley is 1,727 square metres (sqm) which provides a total capacity of 12,984 vpwpp (visits per week in the peak period). In terms of water supply the largest facility is Alfreton Leisure Centre (421sqm), followed by Belper Leisure Centre (363sqm), and Ripley and William Gregg VC Leisure Centre’s at 347sqm. The smallest facility is Ecclesbourne School with 250sqm. The waterspace available per 1,000 population in Amber Valley in 2013 is 13.93sqm, this is higher than figures for Derbyshire County at (12.4), but broadly in line with figures for the East Midlands Region (13.1). Increased population between 2013 and 2028 leads to a decrease of water space per 1,000 people from 13.93sqm to 11.8sqm a reduction of 2.13sqm. However this decrease is broadly in line with figures for both Derbyshire County and the East Midlands Regions as a direct consequence of population increases.

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

2. Demand for Swimming Pools 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 2 - Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Population 4620650 5216370 1033567 1167934 123961 146257 Swims demanded – vpwpp 296129 328037 45960 73577 7821 9266 Equivalent in waterspace – with comfort 48812.53 54072.01 283.70 12128.02 1289.2 1527.42 factor included % of population without access to a car 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 18.7 18.7

The population data for Amber Valley for 2013 were derived from ONS-based projections using the 2011 census. 2028 data were projected by extrapolating the ONS predictions beyond their current limit of 2021 and using bespoke population projections provided by Amber Valley Council. The total modelled population increases from 123,961 to 146,257 (22,296) or 18% between 2013 and 2028. Demand increases by 1,445 from 7,821 to 9,266 vpwpp (or 18%) between 2013 and 2028 equivalent to the rise in population. Given the standard pool size of 212sqm, the change in required waterspace indicates that at least one additional pool would be required by 2028 to accommodate increased demand (1,527 – 1,289 = 238sqm). However this takes no account of the geographical location of the demand and the balance between access modes (walking vs. driving). The catchment map indicates that the western region of the district has poor coverage for walkers. In Amber Valley 18.7% of the population have no access to a car, which is lower that both East Midlands and Derbyshire County averages at 21.3%.

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

3. Supply & Demand Balance 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 3 - Supply/Demand Balance 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Supply - Swimming pool provision (sqm) scaled to take account of hours available for 51480.37 50781.30 11124.08 10425.00 1498.2 1498.15 community use Demand - Swimming pool provision (sqm) 48812.53 54072.01 10858.13 12128.02 1289.2 1527.42 taking into account a ‘comfort’ factor Supply/Demand balance - Variation in sqm of provision available compared to the 2667.84 -3290.71 265.95 -1703.02 208.96 -29.27 minimum required to meet demand.

Amber Valley is well supplied with pools in the sense that supply exceeds demand by about 209 sqm of water in 2013, equivalent to just under a one standard pool (a standard pool being 212 sqm). By 2028 as the population increases, demand exceeds supply by just over 29sqm. However, this takes no account of the geographical distribution of demand. Both the extent to which residents in surrounding LAs may use Amber Valley facilities and the access available to walkers, will impact the actual levels of use and satisfied demand. This is addressed in subsequent sections.

Note: This section only provides a ‘global’ view of provision and does not take account of the location, nature and quality of facilities in relation to demand; how accessible facilities are to the resident population (by car and on foot); nor does it take account of facilities in adjoining boroughs. These are covered in the more detailed modelling set out in the following sections (Satisfied Demand, Unmet Demand and Relative Share).

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4. Satisfied Demand- demand from Amber Valley residents currently being met by supply 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 4 - Satisfied Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits which are met 268674 295560 60179 66273 7321 8613 % of total demand satisfied 90.7 90.1 91.4 90.1 93.6 92.9 Total Annual Throughput 19045162 21139377 4603550 5027907 673571 838859 % of demand satisfied who travelled by car 79.5 80.2 81.0 82.5 81.4 82.5 % of demand satisfied who travelled by foot 12.5 11.9 10.5 9.3 11.9 10.7 % of demand satisfied who travelled by 8.0 7.9 8.4 8.3 6.6 6.9 public transport Demand Retained 260670 286610 53139 58185 6144 7273 Demand Retained -as a % of Satisfied 97.0 97.0 88.3 87.8 83.9 84.4 Demand Demand Exported 8003 8950 7040 8089 1178 1340 Demand Exported -as a % of Satisfied 3.0 11.7 Demand 3.0 12.2 16.1 15.6

Given the positive supply and demand balance it is not surprising that just under 94% of total demand is satisfied, this compares favourably with figures for Derbyshire County (91.4%) and East Midlands Region (90.7%). By 2028, even with the small negative supply/demand balance the total satisfied demand in Amber Valley remains broadly the same as in 2013, and figures are still above East Midlands Region and Derbyshire County averages. Between 2013 and 2028, annual throughput increases by 165,288 from 673,571 to 838,859 or 25%, 7% higher level than the increase in population. The percentage of demand satisfied by those who travel by car in Amber Valley is 81.4% in 2013, which is broadly in line with figures for East Midlands (79.5%) and Derbyshire (81%). This trend continues from 2013 to 2028; however there is a slight increase in Amber Valley of 1% by those travelling by car, during this period. 11.9% of total satisfied demand is from those who travelled by foot, again broadly in line with figures for East Midlands Region and Derbyshire County, however this figure reduces in 2028 by 1.2%. In 2013, 6.6% of total satisfied demand is from visits by public transport which is lower than the figures for East Midlands Region and Derbyshire County, and remains broadly the same in 2028.

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Amber Valley retains 83.9% of total satisfied demand in 2013, which is lower than figures for the East Midlands at 97%, and lower than figures for Derbyshire County at 88.3%, figures remain broadly consistent in 2028. In 2013 demand is mainly exported to Derby UA (about 8%), Erewash and Ashfield (just over 2% each) with the remaining split amongst other nearby LAs. However in 2028 the demand exported to Derby increases to just under 10%, and decreases in both Erewash and Ashfield (see table and charts below).

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Export Import 2013 2028 2013 2028 Amber Valley 7,321 8,613 8,981 11,182 Amber Valley 6,144 7,273 6,144 7,273 Bolsover 612 821 Chesterfield 5 3 12 24 Derby UA 598 819 214 317 Derbyshire Dales 86 110 134 140 Erewash 167 116 349 478 North East Derbyshire 40 20 340 508 South Derbyshire 9 23 8 16 Mansfield 21 16 7 12 Ashfield 160 130 479 678 Broxtowe 38 39 575 751 Rushcliffe 0 1 0 0 North West Leicestershire 0 1 0 0 East Staffordshire 0 1 1 1 OTHER 54 62 105 163

Export 2013 Export Export 2028

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5. Unmet Demand - demand from Amber Valley residents not currently being met 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 5 - Unmet Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits in the peak, not 27456 32477 5694 7303 500 654 currently being met Unmet demand as a % of total demand 9.3 9.9 8.6 9.9 6.4 7.1 Equivalent in Water space m2 - with 4525.64 5353.33 938.51 1203.83 82.34 107.73 comfort factor % of Unmet Demand due to ; Lack of Capacity - 4.3 8.2 3.6 10.8 0.0 5.2 Outside Catchment - 95.7 91.8 96.4 89.2 100.0 94.8 Outside Catchment; 95.7 91.8 96.4 89.2 100.0 94.8 % Unmet demand who do not have access 65.8 63.0 82.1 76.4 86.8 82.8 to a car % of Unmet demand who have access to a 29.9 28.8 14.3 12.7 13.2 12.0 car Lack of Capacity; 4.3 8.2 3.6 10.8 0.0 5.2 % Unmet demand who do not have access 2.8 5.4 2.9 8.6 0.0 4.0 to a car % of Unmet demand who have access to a 1.5 2.8 0.7 2.2 0.0 1.2 car

In 2013 unmet demand as a percentage of total demand in Amber Valley is 6.4%, which is lower than figures for East Midlands Region (9.3%), and Derbyshire County (8.6%). In 2028 as the population increases so does the level of unmet demand to 7%, but still lower than averages for Derbyshire County and the East Midlands Region. Unmet demand in 2013 expressed as equivalent in water space sqm (with comfort factor) is just over 82sqm of waterspace (a standard size pool is 212sqm) and this increases by just over 25sqm in 2028 to 108sqm. The unmet demand maps below do not show any significant pockets of unmet demand in Amber Valley (see maps below).

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

In 2013 and 2028 the main reason demand is not met is due to demand being located outside a pool catchment. However, by 2028 unmet demand because of lack of capacity becomes a slight issue at 5%. The percentages quoted in the above standard table are hard to interpret and these have been converted in to vpwpp in the table below.

UNMET DEMAND RUN 1 RUN 2 Diff Outside Catchment 500 620 120 No Car 434 541 107 Car 66 78 12 Lack of Capacity 0 34 34 No Car 0 26 26 Car 0 8 8

In 2013 500 vpwpp were not met due to demand being located outside the pools catchment; this increases by 120 vpwpp to 620 in 2028. The majority of the visits not being met in 2013 (434 vpwpp) are because residents do not have access to a car, and this increases by 107vpwpp in 2028 visits This is directly in line with the total demand increase (see section 2) and so represents increased demand in the areas outside the walking catchment. In 2013 there are no visits unmet as a result of lack of capacity. However, in 2028, 26 visits are not met due to lack of capacity from those without access to a car and 8 visits from car owners. When looking at the pools catchment Map (Section 2) the main areas with poor access to pools in Amber Valley are predominantly to the north, and the western boundaries of the district, so these are the areas most affected by the catch

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6.Used Capacity - How well used are the facilities 2013 and 2028?

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 6 - Used Capacity 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits used of current capacity 267577 295046 59912 65351 8981 11182 % of overall capacity of pools used 60 67 62.1 72.3 69.2 86.1 % of visits made to pools by walkers 12.6 12 10.6 9.4 9.7 8.2 % of visits made to pools by road 87.4 88 89.4 90.6 90.3 91.8 Visits Imported; Number of visits imported 6907 8436 6773 7166 2838 3909 As a % of used capacity 2.6 2.9 11.3 11 31.6 35 Visits Retained: Number of Visits retained 260670 286610 53139 58185 6144 7273 As a % of used capacity 97.4 97.1 88.7 89 68.4 65

The pools in Amber Valley are just over 69% utilised in 2013 and this increases to just over 86% by 2028, (a 70% ‘used capacity’ figure is generally considered to be ‘comfortable’), so used capacities in 2013 are just within these levels. However by 2028 the capacity of pools in Amber Valley exceeds the 70% comfort level by just over 16%. However, Individual facilities can be more heavily used than others (this will be considered in later sections). Just under 32% (or 1 in 4 ) of the total visits used of current capacity or 2,838 vpwpp are imported in 2013 this rises to 3,909 in 2028, representing an increase of 3%. In relation to the figures for Derbyshire County and the East Midlands Regions this is very high. In addition, retained visits as a percentage of used capacity, increase from 6,144 to 7,273 (or 18%) which is broadly in line with the increased demand due to the population increases. Therefore this is putting more pressure on the capacity of Amber Valley pool facilities, to meet this increased demand. The imported visits come from mainly from Bolsover (7%), Broxtowe (6%) and Ashfield (5%) and Erewash and NE Derbyshire both at 4% (as shown in the pie charts below, and the table in Section 4). Between 2013 and 2028 the figures for Bolsover and Erewash remain the same. There is a 1% increase in this period for visits from Broxtowe, Ashfield and NE Derbyshire.

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Import 2013 Import 2028

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RUN 1 RUN 2 STUDY AREA 2013 2028 FPM TOTAL 64 69 ENGLAND TOTAL 64 69 EAST MIDLANDS TOTAL 60 67 AREA TOTAL 64 70 Derbyshire County 62 72 Amber Valley 69 86 Alfreton Leisure Centre 72 100 Belper Leisure Centre 52 45 Ecclesbourne School 51 80 Ripley Leisure Centre 77 100 William Gregg Vc Leisure Centre 83 100

In 2013 there are three facilities operating above the 70% ‘comfort level’ (highlighted in red) they are William Gregg VC (83%), Ripley (77%) and Alfreton (72%) Leisure Centre’s (see table above). In 2013 two of the facilities are operating way below the 70% comfort level they are Belper Leisure Centre (52%) and Ecclesbourne School (51%), and as a result have the potential capacity to aborb more visits in the peak period. However, the situation changes dramatically in 2028, with all but one facility, Belper Leisure Centre operating below the comfort level at 45%, used capacity at this facility has actually decreased during the period primarily as a result of the facility aging it has become less attractive (73% attractiveness weighting in 2013 and 26% in 2028). The largest increase in used capacity for a facility in Amber Valley between 2013 and 2028 is Alfreton Leisure Centre where used capacity has increased by 28% during the period to 100%. This is followed by Ecclesbourne School which has increased by 29% to 80%, and Ripley Leisure Centre has increased 23%, from 77% to 100%. With the exception of Ripley Leisure all the other facilities operating at 100% used capacity in 2028 are located on the border or within a 20 drive catchment of neighbouring authorities, which may in part explain the high levels of imported used capacity in Amber Valley pools: - Alfreton Leisure Centre - NE Derbyshire does not have any pool facility in the southern part of the district, and Bolsover has one pool facility located in the north of the district so no alternative accessible pool facilities for these residents to use. - William Gregg VC Leisure Centre -. The nearest other pool facilities are Victoria Park Leisure Centre, in Erewash built in 1972 refurbished in 2011 with an attractiveness weighting of 31% in 2028 and Kimberley Leisure Centre, Broxtowe built in 1974 with an attractiveness weighting of 26% in (2028) as a result residents of these LAs are drawn to the William Gregg

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facility because of the newness of the facility which has an attractiveness weighting of 85% in 2028.

When looking at the imported demand figures there is a direct correlation with the location of these facilities, all with high attractiveness weightings, with the levels of imported demand from neighbouring authorities, and the low attractiveness of their facilities because of age of stock, or geographic location. Ripley Leisure Centre is located in the centre of Amber Valley, but is within the 20 minute drive time catchment for Ashfield and Broxtowe. In addition as Belper Leisure Centre ages and becomes less attractive more visits will be attracted to Ripley Leisure Centre because of the newness of the facility. The FPM is able to estimate for pool facilities how much demand is being redistributed (ie not being able to be absorbed at individual sites) (see table below). The yellow highlighted numbers show re-directed visits. Overall some 311 visits to these Amber Valley pool facilities cannot be accommodated in 2028, with William Gregg VC Leisure Centre re-distributing 291 vpwpp, and Ripley Leisure Centre re- distributing 20 vpwpp.

vpwpp Capacity redistributed Amber Vallley (vpwpp) after initial allocation Name of facility 2013 2028 ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE 3311 26 330 BELPER LEISURE CENTRE 2840 3 118 ECCLESBOURNE SCHOOL 1250 4 121 RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE 2758 13 -20 WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE CENTRE 2825 39 -291

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7. Personal/Relative Share 2013 and 2028- equity share of facilities

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 7 - Relative Share 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Score - with 100 = FPM Total (England and also 108 107.6 107 113.6 114 125.8 including adjoining LAs in Scotland and Wales) +/- from FPM Total (England and also including 8 7.6 7 13.6 14 25.8 adjoining LAs in Scotland and Wales)

The relative share figure is above the national average in 2013 by a factor of 14 and by 2028 rises to 25.8 this is higher than the averages for the East Midlands and Derbyshire County.

NOTES: this helps to show which areas have a better or worse share of facility provision. It takes into account the size and availability of facilities as well as travel modes. It helps to establish whether residents within a particular area have less or more share of provision than other areas when compared against a national average figure which is set at 100.

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Summary and Conclusions – Swimming Pools

The supply of pools was not changed between the two runs with 8 pools spread across 5 separate sites (section 1). The majority of pool stock was built after 2009, with the exception of Belper Leisure Centre The 18% increase in population between 2013 and 2028 leads to a decrease of water space per 1,000 people from 13.93sqm to 11.8sqm a reduction of 2.13sqm. However this decrease is broadly in line with figures for both Derbyshire County and the East Midlands Regions, as a direct consequence of population increases. Demand is forecast to increase by 18% between 2013 and 2028. Given the standard pool size of 212sqm, the change in required waterspace indicates that at least one additional pool would be required by 2028 to accommodate increased demand (1,527 – 1,289 = 238sqm). Amber Valley residents are relatively mobile with only 18.7% of the population having no access to a car (section 2) Supply exceeds demand by 209sqm square metres in 2013 (equivalent to just under 1 ‘standard’ pool). However by 2028 demand exceeds supply by 29sqm. (section 3) Just under 94% of demand is satisfied in 2013 and remains broadly the same in 2028. The bulk of demand (83%) is retained within Amber Valley and this figure remains broadly the same in 2028. Demand is mainly exported to Derby UA (section 4) There are no significant pockets of unmet demand in Amber Valley. Unmet demand in 2013 expressed as equivalent in water space sqm (with comfort factor) is just over 82sqm and this increases to 108sqm in 2028. In 2013 the reason that demand is not met is due to demand being located outside a pool catchment, for those without access to a car (particularly the western edge of the district). However, by 2028 unmet demand because of lack of capacity becomes a slight issue at 5%. (section 5) The pools in Amber Valley are just over 69% utilised in 2013 just under the 70% ‘comfort level’ and this increases to just over 85% by 2028, so by 2028 pools capacity exceeds the 70% comfort level by just over 15%. (section 6) By 2028, with the exception of Belper Leisure Centre whose used capacity actually reduces as the centre ages (because of attractiveness) all the pool facilities in Amber Valley are operating above the 70% ‘comfort level’ with three operating at 100% used capacity. The majority of the pools operating at 100% are on or close to the borders with neighbouring authorities. (section 6). An issue for Amber Valley is the level of visits imported from neighbouring authorities and the impact this has on the used capcity of Amber Valley pool facilities, by 2028, 35% or 1:3 visits, are imported from neighbouring authorities, therefore putting more pressure on the capacity of Amber Valley pool facilities, to meet this demand. (section 6) In going forward there appears to be no case for providing any additional pool facilities but the under/over utilisation of pool capacity at individual sites in Amber Valley may need to be addressed by the following potential options:

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- Making better use of/improving/replacing Belper Leisure Centre Pool facility (operating at 52 and 45% utlised capacity) to ease the capacity issues with Ripley Leisure Centre and to a lesser extent William Gregg VC Centre - An aim to reduce the over use of the main public sector pools, management of the used capacity issue could be resolved more by programming of activity and management of the sports programme rather than additional provision. - An assessment of what contribution excluded pools, which are normally considered too small, to provide full swimming programmes, make to meeting some unmet demand (in terms of location, hours of opening, delivery of programmes etc.) particularly in smaller towns/villages where there is unmet demand.

Addendum

Boths Runs 1 and 2 were based on the amount of waterspace provided in Amber Valley from current facilities, known commttments and where facilities had obtained planning permission. However, since writing the full report the future of the new provision at Ecclesbourne School which was modelled in the report (250 sqm waterspace) is unclear, and the development is currently on hold.

If this 250 sqm of waterspace is not realised this would have an adverse effect on the levels of unmet demand in Amber Valley now and in the future. Consideration needs to be given to how this will be addressed if the Ecclesbourne School facility does not come to fruition.

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Sports Halls

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1. Supply of Sports Halls 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 1 - Supply 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Number of halls 516 516 121 121 13 13 Number of hall sites 362 362 81 81 9 9 Courts marked out 1590 1590 346 346 37 37

Supply of hall space in courts, scaled by 1522.05 1522.05 347.82 347.82 36.57 36.57 hours available in the pp Supply of total hall space in VPWPP 308216 308216 70434 70434 7406 7406 Courts per 10,000 4.2 3.7 4.2 3.7 3.74 3.17

There are 13 halls within Amber Valley spread across 9 sites; there characteristics are summarised in the table below. The weight factors are designed to make facilities less attractive as they age, and are a function of the year a facility was built, the management type and whether there has been any refurbishment

Weight Weight Name Courts Yr Built Yr Refurb Public/Comm 2013 2028 Modelled Capacity vpwpp ALDERCAR COMMUNITY LANGUAGE 4 2011 50% 45% P 678 COLLEGE

ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE 6 1974 2008 87% 37% P 990

BELPER LEISURE CENTRE 4 1974 55% 35% P 1,140 ECCLESBOURNE SCHOOL 4 2012 100% 90% P 313 GENESIS FAMILY ENTERTAINMENT 4 2002 2005 98% 77% P 730 CENTRE LEA GREEN DEVELOPMENT & 4 1962 2006 79% 27% P 760 CONFERENCE CENTRE RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE 4 2007 99% 84% P 760 WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE 3 1980 2007 89% 43% P 570 CENTRE 2012 100% 90% P 1,466 SWANWICK HALL SCHOOL 4

There are two facilities located in the centre of the district they are Belper and Ripley Leisure Centres. Swanwick Hall School, Genesis Family Entertainment Centre and Alfreton Leisure Centre are located on or close to the north east boundary of the district. Lea Green Development and Conference Centre is located in the north west and Aldercar Community Language School and William 26

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Gregg VC Leisure Centre are both located on the south east with Ecclesbourne School the only hall facility located in the south. There are no hall facilities located on the western area of the district. The purpose of the modelling is to assess the impact of the population changes on the existing supply, so no changes to the supply were made between 2013 and 2028. The oldest hall is Lea Green Development and Conference Centre built in 1962 and refurbished in 2006, followed by Belper and Alfreton Leisure Centres both built in 1974, (Alfreton Leisure Centre was refurbished in 2008). The newest halls are Ecclesbourne School and Swanwick Hall School both built in 2012. All the halls in Amber Valley are in public ownership, however however William Gregg VC, Ripley and Alfreton Leisure Centres, are managed by DC Leisure, and Belper Leisure Centre is owned and run by a trust. The total supply of court space is 37 (scaled by hours in the peak period). This sustains a total capacity of 7,406 vpwpp. Increased population between 2013 and 2028 leads to a decrease of just over half a court per 10,000 Amber Valley residents from 3.74 to 3.17, this is still higher than averages for county and region.

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2. Demand for Sports Halls 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 2 - Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Population 4620650 5216370 1033567 1167934 123961 146257 Visits demand –vpwpp 207745 228965 45960 51398 5407 6426 Equivalent in courts – with 1282.38 1413.36 283.70 317.27 33.38 39.66 comfort factor included % of population without access to 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 18.7 18.7 a car

The population data for Amber Valley were derived from ONS-based projections using the 2011 census. The 2028 data were projected by extrapolating ONS predictions beyond there current limit of 2021. The total modelled population increases by just under 18%, an increase of 22,296, between 2013 and 2028, which is broadly in line with the increase in visits demanded per week in the peak period, at just under 19%, therefore demand is increasing in line with the population increases. Based solely on the total demand, just over 33 courts are required in 2013 and this increases as the population rises to just under 40 courts in 2028. The change in required courts indicates that an additional two 3 court Halls would be required by 2028. However, this makes no allowance for the geographic distribution of the demand, and the balance between access modes (walking vs. driving). The catchment map (below) indicates that the western area of the district has poor coverage for walkers In Amber Valley, just under 18% of the population have no access to a car, which is lower than both East Midlands and Derbyshire County averages at 21.3%.

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3. Supply & Demand Balance 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 3 - Supply/Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Balance Supply - Hall provision (courts) scaled to take account of hours available for 1522.05 1522.05 347.82 347.82 36.57 36.57 community use Demand - Hall provision (courts) taking 1282.38 1413.36 283.7 317.27 33.38 39.66 into account a ‘comfort’ factor Supply / Demand balance 239.67 108.69 64.12 30.55 3.19 -3.09

Amber Valley is well supplied with Halls in the sense that supply exceeds demand by just over 3 courts in 2013. By 2028 as the population increases, demand exceeds supply by just over 3 courts. However, this takes no account of the geographical distribution of demand. Both the extent to which residents in surrounding LAs may use Amber Valley facilities and the access available to walkers will impact the actual levels of use and satisfied demand. This is addressed in subsequent sections.

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4. Satisfied Demand- demand from Amber Valley residents currently being met by supply 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 4 - Satisfied 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Demand Total number of visits which are 193028 211363 42908 47829 met 5061 5982 % of total demand satisfied 92.9 92.3 93.4 93.1 93.6 93.1 Total Annual Throughput 13703503 14838363 3155159 3468573 391906 424224 % of demand satisfied who 79.2 79.7 79.4 79.9 travelled by car 82.6 83.5 % of demand satisfied who 14.0 13.5 13.5 13.0 travelled by foot 11.5 10.6 % of demand satisfied who 6.9 6.7 7.2 7.1 travelled by public transport 5.8 5.9 Demand Retained 188656 206484 38732 43232 3739 4334 Demand Retained -as a % of 97.7 97.7 90.3 90.4 Satisfied Demand 73.9 72.5 Demand Exported 4372 4879 4176 4596 1322 1647 Demand Exported -as a % of Satisfied Demand 2.3 2.3 9.7 9.6 26.1 27.5

Given the positive supply and demand balance it is not surprising that in 2013 just under 94% of total demand is satisfied, this is broadly in line with figures for Derbyshire County (93.4%) and the East Midlands Region (92.9%). By 2028 even with the small negative supply/demand balance the total satisfied demand remains broadly the same in 2028 again remaining broadly in line with figures for the region and county. Between 2013 and 2028 total annual throughput increases by 32,318 from 391,906 to 424,224 or just over 8%, (10% lower than the population increases), this may well partly be a function of the population between 2013 and 2028 The majority of total satisfied demand in 2013 is from those residents travelling to Amber Valley halls by car at just under 83%, higher than figures for the Region (79%) and County (79%). This trend continues from 2013 to 2028.. Just over 11% of the visits to halls in Amber Valley in 2013 is by those travelling on footwhich is lower than Region and County averages. In 2013 just under 6% of satisfied demand is from visits to halls by public transport lower than figures for the Region and County, and this remains the same in 2028

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Some 74% of Amber Valleys demand for halls is retained in 2013 – i.e. Amber Valleys residents use Amber Valleys halls but some 26% (over a quarter) are exported where residents travel to halls in adjoining local authorities. Demand is mainly exported to Broxtowe 10%, Derby UA 7% Erewash and Ashfield 3% and Derbyshire Dales 2%. (see table and charts below)

Export Import Authority Run 1 Run 2 Run 1 Run 2 Amber Valley 5,061 5,982 4,834 5,453 Amber Valley 3,739 4,334 3,739 4,334 Bolsover 62 92 286 277 Chesterfield 2 3 5 4 Derby UA 350 483 85 102 Derbyshire Dales 104 125 98 64 Erewash 140 184 106 104 High Peak North East Derbyshire 12 14 186 166 South Derbyshire 6 10 2 3 Mansfield 1 1 11 11 Ashfield 131 114 199 240 Broxtowe 486 587 88 112 Rushcliffe 0 1 0 0 North West Leicestershire 0 0 0 0 East Staffordshire 0 1 1 1 OTHER 29 33 29 36

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Export 2013 Export 2028

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

5. Unmet Demand - demand from Amber Valley residents not currently being met 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2

Table 5 - Unmet Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits in the peak, not 14717 17602 3052 3569 346 444 currently being met Unmet demand as a % of total 7.1 7.7 6.6 6.9 6.4 6.9 demand Equivalent in Courts - with comfort 90.85 108.66 18.84 22.03 2.14 2.74 factor % of Unmet Demand due to ; Lack of Capacity - 6.7 13.3 1.8 5.3 5.1 5.6 Outside Catchment - 93.3 86.7 98.2 94.7 94.9 94.4 Outside Catchment; 93.3 86.7 98.2 94.7 94.9 94.4 % Unmet demand who do not have 79.4 73.7 89.7 86.7 88.6 88.3 access to a car % of Unmet demand who have access 13.9 13.0 8.5 8.0 6.3 6.1 to a car Lack of Capacity; 6.7 13.3 1.8 5.3 5.1 5.6 % Unmet demand who do not have 4.6 7.9 1.6 4.8 4.6 5 access to a car % of Unmet demand who have access 2.0 5.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 to a car

In 2013 unmet demand as a percentage of total demand in Amber Valley is 6.4%, which is lower than figures for East Midlands Region (7.1%) and Derbyshire County (6.6%). In 2028 as population increases so does the level of unmet demand in Amber Valley it increases marginally by 0.5% equivalent to the increase for Derbyshire County but lower that the East Midlands Region. Unmet demand in 2013 expressed as equivalent in courts (with comfort factor) is just under over 2 courts and this increases by just under 3 courts in 2028. The unmet demand maps (below).do not show any significant pockets of unmet demand in Amber Valley. In 2013 the main reason that demand is not being met is due to demand being located outside a hall catchment (ie poor accessibility), only a small percentage of unmet demand is because of lack of capacity (5.1%). In 2028 unmet demand because of lack of capacity goes up slightly and unmet demand due to facilities being located outside catchment reduces slightly. The percentages quoted in the

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above standard table are hard to interpret and these have been converted into vpwpp in the table below.

UNMET DEMAND RUN 1 RUN 2 Diff Outside Catchment 328 419 91 No Car 306 392 86 Car 22 27 5 Lack of Capacity 18 25 7 No Car 16 22 6 Car 1 3 2 The table above shows that the changes between 2013 and 2028 relate mainly to those with no car. For those without access to a car, 306 vpwpp were not met due to demand being located outside the halls catchment in 2013; and this increases by 86 vpwpp to 392 (or 28%) in 2028. . When looking at the halls catchment map (section 2) the main area with poor access to sports halls in Amber Valley is predominantly to the western boundary of the authority, so this is the area most affected by the catchment issues.

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6. Used Capacity - How well used are the facilities 2013 and 2028?

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 6 - Used Capacity 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits used of current 193091 211533 43310 48446 4834 5453 capacity % of overall capacity of halls used 62.6 68.6 61.5 68.8 65.3 73.6 % of visits made to halls by walkers 14 13.5 13.3 12.7 11.7 11.1 % of visits made to halls by road 86 86.5 86.7 87.3 88.3 88.9 Visits Imported; Number of visits imported 4435 5049 4578 5214 1095 1119 As a % of used capacity 2.3 2.4 10.6 10.8 22.6 20.5 Visits Retained: Number of Visits retained 188656 206484 38732 43232 3739 4334 As a % of used capacity 97.7 97.6 89.4 89.2 77.4 79.5

The halls in Amber Valley are just over 65% utilised in 2013 and this increases to just over 73% by 2028, (an 80% ‘used capacity’ figure is generally considered to be ‘comfortable’), so used capacities in 2013 and 2028 are within comfortable levels. However, individual facilities can be more heavily used than others (this will be considered later). Just over 22% of the total visits used of current capacity (1,095 vpwpp) are imported from surrounding authorities in 2013 and this rises to 1,119 vpwpp representing a very small increase in 2028, (2%). Relative to Derbyshire County and East Midlands Regions figures this is very high. In addition, retained visits increase from 3,739 vpwpp to 4,334 vpwpp nearly a 16% increase which is broadly in line with the population increases. Therefore putting more pressure on the capacity of Amber Valley Hall facilities, to meet this demand. In 2013 the imported visits come from Bolsover (6%), and Ashfield and NE Derbyshire (4%) (as shown in the pie charts below and the table in section 4). The figures remain broadly the same in 2028

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Import 2013 Import 2028

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Annual Throughput % Utilised Capacity

Percentage Utilised Capacity RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2

2013 2028 2013 2028

ENGLAND TOTAL 160438593 169707273 68 72 EAST MIDLANDS TOTAL 158154943 167405494 63 69 Derbyshire County 3155159 3468573 61 69 Amber Valley 391906 424224 65 74 Aldercar Community Language College 11307 16291 33 48 Alfreton Leisure Centre 54468 36642 53 35 Belper Leisure Centre 58460 69628 72 85 Ecclesbourne School 13723 15625 88 100 Genesis Family Entertainment Centre 48235 60854 71 89 Lea Green Development & Conference Centre 15361 8962 22 13 Ripley Leisure Centre 74238 77236 96 100 Swanwick Hall School 57724 80595 69 96 William Gregg Vc Leisure Centre 58390 58390 100 100

In 2013 there are three facilities operating above the used capacity comfort level of 80% they are William Gregg VC Leisure Centre (100%) Ripley Leisure Centre (96%) and Ecclesbourne School (88%) (identified in bold in red above) In 2013 three of the facilities are operating way below the 80% comfort level they are Lea Green Development & Conference Centre (22%) and Aldercar Community Language College (33%) and Alfreton Leisure Centre (53%). However the situation changes dramatically in 2028, with all but three facilities, (identified in bold in blue above) operating below the comfort level. Utilised capacity at two facilities has actually reduced between 2013 and 2028 these are Alfreton Leisure Centre (-18) and Lea Green Development & Conference Centre (-9) as a result of the facilities aging and becoming less attractive (see table section 1). In the case of Alfreton Leisure Centre this will be pushing vpwpp to the Genesis Family Entertainment Centre which has an attractiveness weighting of 77% in 2028 compared to Alfreton Leisure Centre at 37%. The largest increase in utilised capacity for a facility in Amber Valley between 2013 and 2028 is Swanwick Hall School, utilised capacity has increased by 27% during this period, followed by Genesis Family Entertainment Centre (18%) and Belper Leisure Centre at 13%. The reason why William Gregg VC Leisure Centre is operating at 100% utilised capacity in both 2013 and 2028 is because the nearest alternative facility is Aldercar Community Language College, which has limited hours available in the peak period, so residents will use William Gregg VC as there are more hours

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available in the peak period, and again William Gregg VC is more attractive because of the newness of the facility. One measure of the pressure on these facilities is the number of visits which are re-directed because a facility is too full (i.e visits in the peak priod cannot be absorbed at these facilities), these are summarised in the table below. The yellow highlighted numbers show re-directed visits

vpwpp Capacity redistributed Amber Vallley (vpwpp) after initial allocation

Name of facility 2013 2028 ALDERCAR COMMUNITY LANGUAGE COLLEGE 678 28 34 ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE 990 8 15 BELPER LEISURE CENTRE 1,140 11 65 ECCLESBOURNE SCHOOL 313 2 -24 GENESIS FAMILY ENTERTAINMENT CENTRE 730 7 28 LEA GREEN DEVELOPMENT & CONFERENCE CENTRE 760 0 1 SWANWICK HALL SCHOOL 1,466 20 86 RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE 760 23 -154 WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE CENTRE 570 -311 -142 In 2013 only one facility is re-directing vpwpp and that is the William Gregg VC Leisure Centre which is re-directing 311 visits. By 2028 because of the population increases and the new growth point located to the east of Belper, Ripley Leisure Centre is also re-directing 154 vpwpp, and William Gregg VC Leisure Centre re-directed visits has dropped to142 vpwpp, with Ecclebourne School re-directing 24. In addition given the low attractiveness weighting of Belper Leisure Centre in 2028, compared to the other nearest facilities, users are being drawn to the newer facilities with higher attractiveness weightings.

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7. Personal/Relative Share 2013 and 2028 - equity share of facilities

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2

Table 7 - Relative Share 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Score - with 100 = FPM Total (England and also including adjoining LAs in Scotland and 110 111 125 129 135 132 Wales) +/- from FPM Total (England and also including adjoining LAs in Scotland and 10 11 25 29 35 32 Wales)

The relative share figure is above the national average in 2013 by a factor of 35 and this reduces to by 3 in 2028 to 32 but this still higher than East Midlands, Derbyshire County.

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Summary and Conclusions – Sports Halls

Amber Valleys supply of sports halls is relatively good and in line with the regional and county benchmarks (Section 1). The basic supply/demand balance indicates the ‘surplus’ is currently around 3 badminton courts but falling to a deficit of 3 courts by 2028 (Section 3). With the exception of Belper Leisure centre built in 1974, all the sports halls are relatively modern or have been refurbished in the last eight years, and there is a good distribution of halls across the Borough, aaprt from on the western boundary of the district. Satisfied demand is broadly in line with regional and county benchmarks, in 2013 and 2028. However, Amber Valley only retains 74% of satisfied demand for sports halls in 2013 and 24% of total satisfied demand is exported, mainly to Broxtowe, and Derby UA (Section 4). The majority of unmet demand is made up of residents who do not have a car and rely on walking to a sports hall and live outside the 20 minute walk catchment area; this position remains constant through to 2028. There are no significant hot spots of unmet demand in Amber Valley and the location and amount of unmet demand is thinly spread across the district and is insufficient to justify provision of any new sports halls (Section 4). On average Amber Valleys sports halls operate at 65% utilised capacity in 2013, rising to 74% by 2028 when compared to the recommended benchmark of 80% there appears to be some ‘spare capacity’ in the Borough even accounting for planned population growth. However, facility specific data shows that in 2013 there are four facilities operating above the 80% benchmark, and the situation gets worse in 2028 with six sports halls operating 80%, with three facilities operating at 100% utilised capacity, they are Ecclesbourne School, Ripley Leisure centre and William Gregg VC Leisure Centre, and Swanwick Hall School is operating just under 100% utilised capacity at 96%. In going forward there appears to be no case for providing any additional sports halls but the under/over utilisation of sports hall capacity in Amber Valley may need to be addressed by the following potential options: - Making better use of Aldecar Community Language College (operating at 33 and 48% used capacity) to ease the capacity issues with William Gregg VC Leisure. - Making better use of/improving/replacing Alfreton Leisure Centre (operating at 53 and 35% utilised capacity) to ease capacity issues with Swanwick Hall School and to a lesser extent Genesis Familiy Entertainment Centre - Continuing to maintain access to school based sport halls for community use, and other venues. - Management of the used capacity issue could be resolved more by programming of activity and management of the sports programme rather than additional provision.

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Artificial Turf Pitches

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

1. Supply of Artificial Grass Pitches (Combined) 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 1 - Supply 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Number of pitches 182 182 41 41 3 3 Number of pitch sites 165 165 38 38 3 3 Supply of total pitches in pitches 182 182 41 41 3 3

Supply of publicly available pitch space 152.75 152.75 32.84 32.84 2.98 2.98 in pitches (scaled with hrs avail in pp) Supply of total pitch space in VPWPP 113035 113035 24303 24303 2208 2208 Pitches per 10,000 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2

The data in the tables of this report relate to the generic position taking into account the ‘combined’ supply of both third generation AGPs, used primarily for football (but also some Rugby training), and sand based/filled AGPs, used for both football and hockey. The FPM modelling does split the result down to football and hockey specific supply and demand and where this provides results explicitly different from the combined data this will be drawn out separately in the report. Please note the FPM modelling assumes usage of AGPs will be split between football and hockey as currently delivered, dependant on surface, but the Football Association facility strategy now seeks to shift football AGP usage away from sand based AGPs to 3G AGPs which will have the effect of increasing 3G AGP demand above that predicted by the model but transferring some current football use of sand based AGPs to 3G thereby freeing up some sand based AGP capacity for more hockey usage. Amber Valley has 3 AGPs on 3 separate sites, one in the centre of the district, Belper Meadows Sports Club, Belper Leisure Centre to the north and Mill High School to the east. All Amber Valley AGPs are in public ownership.

SITE YEAR SITE YEAR WEIGHT PUBLIC/CO Name of facility Type Dimensions AREA BUILT REFURB FACTOR MMERCIAL BELPER LEISURE CENTRE 3GFloodlit 92 x 55 5033 2013 100% P BELPER MEADOWS SPORTS CLUB WATERFloodlit 100 x 60 6000 1990 2012 100% P 100 x 60 6000 2007 100% P MILL HILL SCHOOL FSANDFloodlit

One AGP is 3G and Floodlit, one is sand based and floodlit, and one is water based and floodlit 3G, therefore all AGPs have good accessibility in winter 45

Creating a lifelong sporting habit months. All AGPs in Amber Valley are relativey new with the oldest being Mill Hill School The hours of access will limit actual available supply and as such the supply ‘scaled by hours’ is equivalent to 3 AGPs In terms of supply there are currently 0.2 pitches per 10,000 residents in the district, and this remains the same in 2028. This is below the regional and county benchmarks at 4 AGPs:10,000 population. The map below illustrates the location of the AGPs which shows a relatively good distribution in the centre of the district but there are no AGPs in the south and west of the district, the only 3G pitch is in the north of the district and therefore not accessible to all Amber Valley residents, especially those without access to a car.

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2. Demand for Artificial Grass Pitches (Combined) 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 2 - Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Population 4620650 5216370 1033567 1167934 123961 146257 Visits demand – vpwpp 105361 110534 22682 24397 2535 3029 Equivalent in pitches 142.38 149.37 30.65 32.97 3.43 4.07 % of population without access to 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 18.7 18.7 a car

Demand for AGPs is estimated to be 2,535 vpwpp, equivalent to 3 AGPs in 2013 and 4 AGPs in 2028. Whilst the growth in population does increase demand, the aging population will also limit increases in demand to play pitch sports on AGPs (unlike swimming where a wider age range participates in the sport). The low levels of non car ownership will mean Amber Valley residents are less reliant on accessing AGPs by walking or public transport. Whilst overall demand equates to 4 AGPs, in 2028 the separate data for football and hockey demand illustrates that demand equates to 1 AGP for hockey and at least 3 AGPs for football. With football moving to 3G as a preferred surface this could mean an additional 1 x 3G pitches may be required by 2028?

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Supply & Demand Balance 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 3 - Supply/Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Balance Supply - Pitch provision (pitches) scaled to take account of hours available for 152.75 152.75 32.84 32.84 2.98 2.98 community use Demand - Pitch provision (pitches) 142.38 149.37 30.65 32.97 3.43 4.09 Supply/Demand balance - Variation in pitches of provision available compared 10.37 3.38 2.19 -0.13 -0.45 -1.11 to the minimum required to meet demand.

In terms of the simple measure of supply and demand with Amber Valley residents using Amber Valleys AGPs, the data above indicates a shortfall in supply of around 0.45 of an AGP in 2013 and 1 AGP by 2028. This will be subject to further more detailed analysis in the following sections. In terms of the separate sports there appears to be a small surplus of hockey provision (0.52 AGPs in 2013 and 0.38 in 2028) but a shortfall of football provision (-0.97 AGPs in 2013 and -1.49 in 2028).

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Satisfied Demand- demand from Amber Valley residents currently being met by supply 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 4 - Satisfied Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits which are 97383 100305 21362 22373 2395 2771 met % of total demand satisfied 92.4 90.7 94.2 91.7 94.5 31.5 Total Annual Throughput 5977792 6146771 1319383 1350744 103118 106209 % of demand satisfied who 83.3 84.4 85.3 87.3 91.5 93.0 travelled by car % of demand satisfied who 12.8 12.0 10.1 9.1 3.7 3.4 travelled by foot % of demand satisfied who 3.9 3.5 4.6 3.6 4.8 3.7 travelled by public transport Demand Retained 94828 97553 18018 18641 1259 1354 Demand Retained -as a % of 97.4 97.3 84.3 83.3 52.6 48.9 Satisfied Demand Demand Exported 2555 2752 3344 3732 1136 1416 Demand Exported -as a % of 2.6 2.7 15.7 16.7 47.4 51.1 Satisfied Demand

The amount of demand for AGP usage that is satisfied is currently just under 2,400 vpwpp and rises to 2771 in 2028. There is currently around 95% of demand that is being satisfied but this falls considerably to around 31% in 2028. The current level of satisfied demand is higher than the regional and county benchmarks, BUT, by 2028 the level of satisfied demand is significantly lower than the regional and county benchmarks. The majority of satisfied demand is met by residents driving to an AGP (around 92% 2013 and 93% in 2028). Around 50% of Amber Valleys demand is retained – i.e. Amber Valleys residents use Amber Valleys AGPs but just over 50% (half) is exported where residents travel to AGPs in adjoining local authorities. This level of exports compares to North East Derbyshire which exports some 56% of satisfied demand (the highest) and Derby which exports 17% of satisfied demand (2013). The table below shows that most exports from Amber Valley go to Derby UA (340 vpwpp) and Ashfield (239 vpwpp) all exports increase in 2028, with biggest increases going to Ashfield and increase of 88 vpwpp and Derbyshire Dales an increase of 64 vpwpp (from 109 to 173vpwpp).

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In terms of the differences between hockey and football it is interesting that the satisfied demand for hockey usage, despite the apparent small surplus of supply, is only 94% and this relies of nearly 60% of satisfied demand being met by exports – the amount of exports equates to around 311 vpwpp in 2013 and 373 vpwpp in 2028. Football has virtually the same level of satisfied demand (94%) and relies on 44% of demand being exported, (almost the opposite position for that of Hockey) BUT, this is 825 vpwpp in 2013 rising to 1044 in 2028 i.e. a smaller percentage of exports but almost double the number of exported visits, when compared with Hockey.

Export Import Run 1 Run 2 Run 1 Run 2 Amber Valley 2,395 2,771 1,753 1,806 Amber Valley 1,259 1,354 1,259 1,354 Bolsover 72 103 43 35 Chesterfield 2 2 4 3 Derby UA 345 363 99 109 Derbyshire Dales 109 173 102 95 Erewash 154 179 27 25 North East Derbyshire 12 14 76 55 South Derbyshire 13 19 3 4 Mansfield 2 3 8 8 Ashfield 239 327 64 58 Broxtowe 64 79 53 42 Rushcliffe 7 8 OTHER 117 146 17 16

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3. Unmet Demand - demand from Amber Valley residents not currently being met 2013 and 2028

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 5 - Unmet Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits in the peak, not 7979 10229 3052 3569 141 259 currently being met Unmet demand as a % of total 7.6 9.3 6.6 6.9 5.5 8.5 demand Equivalent in pitches 10.78 13.82 18.84 22.03 0.19 0.35 % of Unmet Demand due to ; Lack of Capacity - 65.1 71.0 1.8 5.3 47.9 66.0 Outside Catchment - 34.9 29.0 98.2 94.7 52.1 34.0 Outside Catchment; 34.9 29.0 98.2 94.7 52.1 34.0 % Unmet demand who do not have 11.0 9.1 89.7 86.7 28.2 18.4 access to a car % of Unmet demand who have access 23.9 19.9 8.5 8.0 23.9 15.5 to a car Lack of Capacity; 65.1 71.0 1.8 5.3 47.9 66.0 % Unmet demand who do not have 27.5 28.0 1.6 4.8 29.6 34.0 access to a car % of Unmet demand who have access 37.6 43.0 0.2 0.6 18.3 32.0 to a car

Unmet demand is the residual of satisfied demand and is currently 141 vpwpp, rising to 259 vpwpp by 2028. This is equivalent to 0.19 of an AGP in 2013 and 0.35 of an AGP in 2028 and the majority of that unmet demand is caused by lack of capacity (66% by 2028) as opposed to poor access. The maps below showing the location and scale of unmet demand in 2013 followed by 2028 illustrate that the amount of unmet demand is spread across the district and there are small hotspots of unmet demand in Heanor and Belper but not significant enough to justify additional AGP provision. The data for hockey and football shows that unmet demand is higher for hockey at 6% of total demand in 2013 and this remains the same in 2028 however in terms of numbers this only equates to some 32 vpwpp in 2013, rising to 39 in 2028. Whilst football unmet demand is around 5%, rising to 9% it is equivalent to some 220 vpwpp by 2028 assuming the continuation of usage of sand based pitches (i.e. it would be higher if all football was played on 3G). 52

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4. Used Capacity - How well used are the facilities 2013 and 2028?

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 6 - Used Capacity 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Total number of visits used of current 101622 104495 22430 22963 1753 1806 capacity % of overall capacity of pitches used 89.9 92.4 92.3 94.5 79.4 81.8 % of visits made to pitches by walkers 12.3 11.6 9.7 8.9 4.9 4.8 % of visits made to pitches by road 87.7 88.4 90.3 91.1 95.1 95.2 Visits Imported; Number of visits imported 6795 6943 4412 4321 494 451 As a % of used capacity 6.7 6.6 19.7 18.8 28.2 25 Visits Retained: Number of Visits retained 94828 97553 18018 18641 1259 1354 As a % of used capacity 93.3 93.4 80.3 81.2 71.8 75

AGPs, whether sand based or 3G, whether used for football or Hockey or both are operating at around 82% used capacity in peak times in Amber Valley, so generally limited capacity before the AGPs reach 100% capacity. However this masks variations between the used capacity of Hockey and Football AGPs. In 2013 and 2028 Football AGPs are operating at 100% utilised capacity and there is no capacity for increased usage. However Hockey AGPs are operating at around 52% utilised capacity in in 2013 and around 57% utilised capacity in 2028 so there is scope to increase the usage on the Hockey AGPs. In addition 57% (276 vpwpp) of used capacity are visits imported this figure remains broadly the same in 2028 (mainly from Derbyshire Dales and NE Derbyshire see table Section 4). In comparison Football AGPs 17% of used capacity is imported BUT this still equates to 219 vpwpp and 13% or 160 vpwpp in 2028

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5. Personal/Relative Share 2013 and 2028 - equity share of facilities

Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County

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Table 7 - Relative Share 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028

Score - with 100 = national share 121 120 125 129 130 123

+/- from National share 21 20 25 29 30 23

Amber Valley has a slightly better share of AGP space than the national, regional and county averages in 2013, but in 2028 Amber Valley has a better share than the region, and a worse share than the county.

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Summary and Conclusions – Artificial Turf Pitches

Amber Valley has 3 AGPs, 1 sandbased 1 waterbased and 1 third generation (3G). In general they are fairly well distributed across the District but the only 3G pitch is in the north. In terms of hours of availability supply is actually equivalent to 3 AGPs and at 0.2 pitches per 10,000 population by 2028 falls below the regional and county benchmarks (4 pitches per 10,000). Demand from Amber Valley residents equates to 4 AGPs, 1 for hockey and 3 for football. At present there is shared usage of sand based AGPs for both sports but the FA strategy is to move the game entirely onto grass and 3G AGPs implying more than 1:4 AGPs should have that surface. The simple supply/demand equation indicates a shortfall of AGP capacity equivalent to 1 AGP by 2028. This varies for the different sports with a small surplus for hockey usage but the shortfall being entirely for football demand (around 1.5 AGPs by 2028). The level of satisfied demand in Amber Valley is higher than the regional and county benchmarks in 2013 but drops dramatically below these benchmarks in 2028 and relies on around 50% of demand being satisfied by Amber Valley residents travelling to AGPs outside of the district. Assuming this level of export continues the amount of unmet demand is equivalent to around 0.3 of an AGP and primarily caused by lack of capacity for football (as opposed to poor access) as all Football AGPs are operating at 100% (full) at peak times. In contrast there is spare capacity on the Hockey AGPs. Unmet demand is spread across the district and there are small hotspots of unmet demand in Heanor and Belper but not significant enough to justify additional AGP provision The supply of AGPs for Football in Amber Valley appears very tight with existing AGPs operating at full capacity and a poor balance of surface types to accommodate the shift by the FA to more 3G usage. It is therefore recommended that the following are considered: - Consider the contribution small AGPs make to meeting demand to judge if football demand can be partially met for the smaller sided game. - Consider providing one additional 3G AGP if increased participation in hockey and football is a developmental objective subject to some further modeling/consideration of the supply/demand/utilised capacity, business planning and discussions with the Football Association. This may well be addressed with the proposals for a new 3G at Charles Hill, Loscoe, not currently modelled

Creating a lifelong sporting habit

Appendix 1: Sports Facilities Excluded

See Spreadsheet (separate) for modelled facilities

Facilities Excluded

The audit excludes facilities that are deemed to be either for private use, too small or there is a lack of information, particularly relating to hours of use. The following facilities were deemed to fall under one or more of these categories and therefore excluded from the modelling:

Swimming Pools

Ecclesbourne School (Lido. Private Use)

Sports Halls

Alfreton Grange Arts College (too small) Crompton Inglefield Village Hall (too small, lack of data) Heanor Gate Science College (too small, private use) John Flamsteed Community School (too small) Michael House School (too small, private use) Ripley Junior School (too small, private use) Strutts Centre (too small) The Hayes Conference Centre Sports Hall (private use) Charles Hill Sports Complex (closed) Ecclesbourne School (planned) Mill Hill School (too small) Swanwick Hall School (too small) Waingroves Methodist Church (too small)

AGPs

Aldercar Community Language College (Too Short. Too Narrow) Lea Green Development & Conference Centre (Too Short. Too Narrow)