Sport England Facilities Planning Model
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Creating a lifelong sporting habit Strategic Assessment of Need for Swimming Pools, Sports Halls and Artificial Grass Pitch Provision in Amber Valley Sport England’s Facilities Planning Model Report Date of report December 2013 1 Creating a lifelong sporting habit Table of Contents 1 Introduction 3 2 Analysis of Swimming Pool Provision – Current (2013) 5 and Future (2028) Position Analysis of Sports Hall Provision – Current (2013) and 3 25 Future (2028) Position Analysis of Artificial Turf Pitch Provision – Current (2013) 4 44 and Future (2028) Position 5 Appendices (separate document(s)) 58 2 Creating a lifelong sporting habit Introduction This report presents the findings from the Sport England Facilities Planning Model (FPM) analysis of the supply and demand for swimming pools, sports halls and artificial turf pitches (AGPs) in Amber Valley at the current time for 2013 and projecting forward to 2028, incorporating projected population growth and, where provided, planned housing growth. The modelling and analysis is designed to inform the CSP and Local Authority whether current supply of swimming pools is adequate to meet current and future planned population growth. This in turn will inform planning policy development, sports strategy development and investment decisions by all partners and delivery agents. It is recommended that the findings of this report are considered by the Local Authority and developed into a Sports Facility Strategy in accordance with the PPG17 Companion Guide or is successor. This report forms one part of a broader study across the Derbyshire Sport CSP area (including Staffordshire Moorlands) (core study area) for which there is a report for each local authority and an umbrella report bringing together a summary of the overall findings. 3 Creating a lifelong sporting habit The analysis is based on two separate modelling runs that include: Run 1 – existing demand based on 2013 population, and existing supply as at 2013 (based on the Active Places Power database as amended and updated by the CSP and LAs) and including commitments for new/replacement facilities where short term delivery is certain. Run 2 – future demand, taking into account population growth as projected by ONS for the County and adjoining local authority areas for 2028 and, where available, planned housing growth scale/location. The supply is assumed to be the same but facilities will be 18 years older. Details of the runs for each facility type and population projections can be found in the Word Specification in Appendix *. 4 Creating a lifelong sporting habit Swimming Pools 5 Creating a lifelong sporting habit 1 Supply of Swimming Pools 2013 and 2028 Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 1 - Supply 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Number of pools 279 276 57 54 8 8 Number of pool sites 195 194 39 38 5 5 Supply of total water space in sqm 60735 59984 12858 12107 1727 1727 Supply of water space in sqm, scaled by 51480.37 50781.3 11124.08 10425 1498 1498 hours available in the peak period Supply of total water space in VPWPP 446163 440105 96409 90350 12984 12984 Waterspace per 1000 13.1 11.5 12.4 10.4 13.93 11.8 There are 8 pools within Amber Valley located across 5 sites; their characteristics are summarised in the table below. Yr Yr Weight Weight Pub/ Hrs Hrs Cap Name of facility Type Area Built Refurb 2013 2028 Com pp Open vpwpp ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 325 2009 1.00 0.85 P 51 92.5 3311 Learner/Teaching 96 36 48 ALFRETON LEISURE CENTRE /Training BELPER LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 363 1974 2003 0.73 0.26 P 47 75 2840 ECCLESBOURNE SCHOOL Main/General 250 2013 1.00 0.91 P 30 40 1250 RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 263 2009 1.00 0.85 P 50 100 2758 Learner/Teaching 84 41 66.75 RIPLEY LEISURE CENTRE /Training WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE CENTRE Main/General 263 2009 1.00 0.85 P 50 99.25 2825 Learner/Teaching 84 45 67 WILLIAM GREGG VC LEISURE CENTRE /Training There are two facilities located in in the centre of the district they are Belper and Ripley Leisure Centres. Alfreton Leisure Centre is located on the north east boundary of the district, William Gregg VC Leisure Centre on the south east boundary and Ecclesbourne School located on the southern boundary. Amber Valley has relatively new pool facilities with the majority being built after 2009, and Ecclesbourne School built in 2013. The oldest facility is Belper Leisure Centre built in 1974, and refurbished in 2003. All the swimming facilities in Amber Valley are in public ownership, however William Gregg VC, Ripley and Alfreton Leisure Centres, are managed by DC Leisure, and Belper Leisure Centre is owned and run by a trust. 6 Creating a lifelong sporting habit The total supply of waterspace in Amber Valley is 1,727 square metres (sqm) which provides a total capacity of 12,984 vpwpp (visits per week in the peak period). In terms of water supply the largest facility is Alfreton Leisure Centre (421sqm), followed by Belper Leisure Centre (363sqm), and Ripley and William Gregg VC Leisure Centre’s at 347sqm. The smallest facility is Ecclesbourne School with 250sqm. The waterspace available per 1,000 population in Amber Valley in 2013 is 13.93sqm, this is higher than figures for Derbyshire County at (12.4), but broadly in line with figures for the East Midlands Region (13.1). Increased population between 2013 and 2028 leads to a decrease of water space per 1,000 people from 13.93sqm to 11.8sqm a reduction of 2.13sqm. However this decrease is broadly in line with figures for both Derbyshire County and the East Midlands Regions as a direct consequence of population increases. 7 Creating a lifelong sporting habit 2. Demand for Swimming Pools 2013 and 2028 Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 2 - Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Population 4620650 5216370 1033567 1167934 123961 146257 Swims demanded – vpwpp 296129 328037 45960 73577 7821 9266 Equivalent in waterspace – with comfort 48812.53 54072.01 283.70 12128.02 1289.2 1527.42 factor included % of population without access to a car 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 18.7 18.7 The population data for Amber Valley for 2013 were derived from ONS-based projections using the 2011 census. 2028 data were projected by extrapolating the ONS predictions beyond their current limit of 2021 and using bespoke population projections provided by Amber Valley Council. The total modelled population increases from 123,961 to 146,257 (22,296) or 18% between 2013 and 2028. Demand increases by 1,445 from 7,821 to 9,266 vpwpp (or 18%) between 2013 and 2028 equivalent to the rise in population. Given the standard pool size of 212sqm, the change in required waterspace indicates that at least one additional pool would be required by 2028 to accommodate increased demand (1,527 – 1,289 = 238sqm). However this takes no account of the geographical location of the demand and the balance between access modes (walking vs. driving). The catchment map indicates that the western region of the district has poor coverage for walkers. In Amber Valley 18.7% of the population have no access to a car, which is lower that both East Midlands and Derbyshire County averages at 21.3%. 8 Creating a lifelong sporting habit 9 Creating a lifelong sporting habit 3. Supply & Demand Balance 2013 and 2028 Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 3 - Supply/Demand Balance 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Supply - Swimming pool provision (sqm) scaled to take account of hours available for 51480.37 50781.30 11124.08 10425.00 1498.2 1498.15 community use Demand - Swimming pool provision (sqm) 48812.53 54072.01 10858.13 12128.02 1289.2 1527.42 taking into account a ‘comfort’ factor Supply/Demand balance - Variation in sqm of provision available compared to the 2667.84 -3290.71 265.95 -1703.02 208.96 -29.27 minimum required to meet demand. Amber Valley is well supplied with pools in the sense that supply exceeds demand by about 209 sqm of water in 2013, equivalent to just under a one standard pool (a standard pool being 212 sqm). By 2028 as the population increases, demand exceeds supply by just over 29sqm. However, this takes no account of the geographical distribution of demand. Both the extent to which residents in surrounding LAs may use Amber Valley facilities and the access available to walkers, will impact the actual levels of use and satisfied demand. This is addressed in subsequent sections. Note: This section only provides a ‘global’ view of provision and does not take account of the location, nature and quality of facilities in relation to demand; how accessible facilities are to the resident population (by car and on foot); nor does it take account of facilities in adjoining boroughs. These are covered in the more detailed modelling set out in the following sections (Satisfied Demand, Unmet Demand and Relative Share). 10 Creating a lifelong sporting habit 4. Satisfied Demand- demand from Amber Valley residents currently being met by supply 2013 and 2028 Derbyshire East Midlands Amber Valley County RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 RUN 1 RUN 2 Table 4 - Satisfied Demand 2013 2028 2013 2028 2013 2028 Total number of visits which are met 268674 295560 60179 66273 7321 8613 % of total demand satisfied 90.7 90.1 91.4 90.1 93.6 92.9 Total Annual Throughput 19045162 21139377 4603550 5027907 673571 838859 % of demand satisfied who travelled by car 79.5 80.2 81.0 82.5 81.4 82.5 % of demand satisfied who travelled by foot 12.5 11.9 10.5 9.3 11.9 10.7 % of demand satisfied who travelled by 8.0 7.9 8.4 8.3 6.6 6.9 public transport Demand Retained 260670 286610 53139 58185 6144 7273 Demand Retained -as a % of Satisfied 97.0 97.0 88.3 87.8 83.9 84.4 Demand Demand Exported 8003 8950 7040 8089 1178 1340 Demand Exported -as a % of Satisfied 3.0 11.7 Demand 3.0 12.2 16.1 15.6 Given the positive supply and demand balance it is not surprising that just under 94% of total demand is satisfied, this compares favourably with figures for Derbyshire County (91.4%) and East Midlands Region (90.7%).