Conference and Training Workshop

14-16 May 2012

Advantages to you 2012 ISPA/SCEA Joint International when attending:

 International network- Conference and Training Workshop ing opportunities with NATO mission and Register at www.cvent.com/d/5cqjw2 14-16 May 2012 European Commission (EC) members Let’s meet this year in Belgium!  Full workshop program in four tracks

 Full training program and opportunity to sit for certification exami-

nations

 Traditional receptions, award banquet, & guest program

Bruges Invitation from the Conference Committee Contents: Jason Dechoretz, Chair and the other five co-sponsoring organization.

On behalf of ISPA and SCEA, I am pleased to wel- This is the greatest number of co-sponsoring Invitation 1 come you to our 7th overseas conference (always organizations we have had and the benefited is a held on a leap year) and our first in Belgium. broad spectrum of best practices, lesson’s Keynote Speakers 2 learned and recommendations for extend- Preserving the tradition of past conferences ing the “state-of-the-art” for analytical Training 3 in England, Germany, France, Italy, and the techniques. Netherlands, we have prepared a vast array of Exhibitors 3 professional and cultural opportunities for you We will open the conference up on Sun- and your guests. We have summarized for day with a hosted reception. This will ena- Conference Hotel 3 you the in depth training program which is ble the delegates (attendees) and their designed to help learn about selected prod- guests to meet one another, catch up on Workshops 4-5 ucts as well as prepare for SCEA and ISPA events since the past conference, and rein- certifications which highly valued by your cus- force long friendships. Likewise we will Guest Program 6 tomers and employers. In addition to the conclude the conference with an Awards training, we have arranged for a robust spectrum of Banquet which leave us all with long lasting memo- Awards Banquet 6 technical papers which are drawn from ISPA, SCEA ries of our experience in Belgium.

Rev 3—3/22/2012 Page 2 2012 ISPA/SCEA Joint International Conference and Training Workshop

These keynote speakers will join other leaders from the Keynote Speakers international community in a panel to candidly discuss the future roles, challenges, and influences of estimating for Frank De Winne, Astro- international projects. They will take your questions.

naut, European centre, ESTEC, in Noordwijk, He served as Goodwill Ambassador Space Agency (ESA) the Netherlands. for UNICEF Belgium, Chairman of the In January 2000, Frank De From 27 May to 1 Decem- Forum Space and Education and is a Winne joined the European ber 2009 De Winne per- Member of the SESAR Scientific Com- Astronaut Corps of the Euro- formed the OasISS mission, a mittee. Notably he was the first non- pean Space Agency, whose long-duration spaceflight to American pilot to receive the Joe Bill home base is the European the International Space Station. Dryden Semper Viper Award, in 1997, Astronaut Centre in Cologne, During this flight De Winne for demonstrating exceptional skills Germany. He provided tech- became the first European and during a flight. Appointed 'Officier in nical support for the X38 Crew the first non-American and de Orde van Oranje Nassau' by the Return Vehicle project division non-Russian Commander of Dutch Queen for showing leadership within the Directorate of the ISS (expedition 21). He during operation Allied Force (July Manned Spaceflight and Microgravity, also performed the tasks of the Soyuz 1999). He was awarded the 'Medal of located at ESA's research and technology TMA-15 and ISS expedition 20 flight Friendship' by the Russian Federation. engineer.

Dominique Arnal, Vice work-packages subcontracted by Pro- product configuration and to de- grammes/Procurement, and to support ploy the 3D toolset (DMU) related President, Finance and any make or buy deci- to A380 Cabin development. Mr. Arnal joined Airbus Head of Costing, Airbus sions. Prior to being ap- in 1999 following 10 years Dominique Arnal is responsible with- pointed Head of Cost- of experience in IT Project in Airbus to provide accurate cost ing, Dominique Arnal Management and Sales estimates for new Airbus aircraft pro- served as Head of Pro- with Sun Microsystems Inc. gramme launch, programme exten- gramme Management He started within Airbus sions, aircraft configuration changes Office - A380 Cabin & as Head of IT Infrastruc- and customization. In his role, he advic- Cargo Customization. ture Design and Projects es on target cost values based on com- In this function, he was where he was responsible petition data, target must cost and responsible to control to design & deploy IT infra- benchmarking. These costs estimates overall project development costs, to structure projects related contribute to the elaboration of busi- pilot the industrial planning of A380 to Airbus single company integra- ness cases, to target must price for Cabin development, to manage the tion.

down Structure Practice Neil Albert, Vice Chair- In 2010, Mr. Albert received the Standard and Earned Freiman Award from the International Value Management man, Board of Directors Society of Parametric Analysts (ISPA), its Practice Standard, and a of MCR, LLC, a company spe- highest honor. In 2007 Mr. Albert re- contributing author to ceived the “Civilian Leadership Award” cializing in Integrated Program Manage- the General Account- from the Secretary of Defense for his ment by providing business analysis and ability Office (GAO) outstanding contributions in supporting forecasting, project management con- Cost Estimating and the Department of Defense and in 2003; sulting, and systems engineering ser- Assessment Guide. he received the “Lifetime Achievement” vices. For over 20 years, he has served Mr. Albert is a Sen- award, the highest honor from the Society in numerous positions at MCR. In his of Cost Estimating and Analysis (SCEA). ior Fellow on the Defense Business Board prior position as CEO/President, Mr. He is a Past President of SCEA and the which reports to the Deputy Secretary of Albert managed and performed strate- Project Management Institute’s College of Defense. The board is an ongoing federally gic planning, cost/schedule analysis, Performance Management (PMI-CPM). acquisition management, and program supported advisory committee consisting Mr. Albert was a contributor to the PMI assessment activities in support of the of leaders in industry providing advice and Body of Knowledge (PMBOK), the SCEA Federal government and industry cli- support to the Secretary . Body of Knowledge, the PMI Work Break- ents. Register at www.cvent.com/d/5cqjw2 Page 3 Exhibitors Training Attending an ISPA/SCEA Confer- A robust Training Program has been established during the conference to help you improve ence affords a unique opportunity to your skill and prepare for either professional certification: Certified Parametric Professional meet face-to-face with our tool (CPP) and Certified Cost Estimator/Analyst (CCEA). You will be able to sit for either examina- providers and vendors to see the tion. The following courses are offered: latest in parametric cost estimating models, this year, we already have Practitioner Track Topics confirmed attendance by the follow- 1. PC 01 Parametric Analysis Overview, Dale Shermon, QinetiQ, UK ing : 2. PC 02 Cost Estimating Relationships, Rene Burghuijs, NATO, Belgium  PRICE Systems 3. PC 03 Company-Developed Complex Models, Hank Apgar, MCR, US  Galorath Inc 4. PC 04 Complex Hardware Models, Greg Kiviat, Sikorsky, US  4cost 5. PC 05 Complex Software Models, Sherry Stukes, JPL, US  MEE 6. PC 06 Government Compliance, Andy Nicholls, Price Systems, UK Interested vendors can join the 7. PC 07 Other Uses of Parametrics Paul Duvall Atkins Ltd., UK roster of tool vendors in the main 8. PC 08 International Use of Parametrics, Fabian Eilingsfeld, Price lobby of the hotel, right in front of the main assembly room, by contact Systems, GE

ing Hank Apgar at [email protected]. Fundamentals Track Topics 1. FD 01 Cost Estimating Basics, Stuart Wicks, Rolls-Royce, UK 2. FD 02 Cost Estimating Techniques, Ton Dekkers, Galorath, NL 3. FD 03 Data Collection & Normalization, Dan Ga- lorath ,Galorath, US 4. FD 04 Data Analysis Kurt Bruner, Tecolote, US 5. FD 05 Learning Curve Analysis, Natalie Faucher, MCR, Brussels

6. FD 06 Regression Linear Herve Joumier, ESA, NL Conference Trainers at 2011 7. FD 08 Risk Analysis Basics, Eric Drucker, BAH, US 8. FD 09 Probability & Statistics Basics, Peter Braxton, Technomics, US Conference Break — Frascati Getting There The Sheraton Brussels Brussels is the cross-roads of Europe, just 14 km from Zaventem International Airport (BRU). Travel to the down- town Sheraton Brussels Hotel by regular train link (every 15 minutes) or taxi. Bruges is one hour away by punctual train (SNCB) service. Travel around town by taxi, tram, or on foot Belgium runs on 220 volts AC using European two-pin plug adapters. Carry your passport with you when outside the hotel. The hotel provides internet connection. Belgium is on Central European Time, one hour ahead of GMT. Know your 4-digit pin number for your bank debit card so you can obtain Euros from convenient ATMs.

Go now to the Conference Website, www.cvent.com/d/5cqjw2, to register Reserve your room by going to the conference reservation site, for the conference and to reserve your http://www.cvent.com/d/5cqjw2. Extend your stay for only €80 per below-market rate room at the Shera- night (including breakfast and VAT) - €130 during the conference. Don’t miss the welcome reception on Sunday evening. This four- ton Brussels Hotel by March 31st! star hotel is Just off Place Rogier and within walking distance of the historic Grand Place; it has a fitness center and a rooftop swimming pool. But, remember to book before March 31st; after this date, there is no guarantee of availability at the greatly discounted rate. Page 4 2012 ISPA/SCEA Joint International Conference and Training Workshop Workshops Management and Decision Making

Normalization of Costs for The Evolution of Parametrics An Overview of the 2012 NASA Multiple Currencies and in Parallel with the Maturing Cost Estimating Handbook Multiple Base Years of ISPA Leigh Rosenberg, Sherry Stukes Marcel Smit Henry Apgar The Jet Propulsion Laboratory MCR Technologies, LLC TNO

Expanding the Frontier: A new Human Spaceflight Value Inflation - What Do We Re- parametric Look into the Eco- Study ally Know and How Should nomics of Post-Shuttle Space Andy Prince We Project It In Cost Esti- Transportation NASA Marshall Space Flight mates? Fabian Ellingsfeld Center Kurt Brunner PRICE Systems Ltd Tecolote Research, Inc

NASA Science Mission Phase Calculating the Fully Burdened E Cost Growth and Historical A Performance Assessment Cost of Energy Cost Comparison and Root Cause Analysis Daniel Nussbaum Robert Bitten, Debra Emmons (PARCA) on EVM - The State Naval Postgraduate School, De- Marc Hayhurst of EVM partment of Operations Research H Lindsey Arison III The Aerospace Corporation

U S Air Force Space and Missile Claude Freaner, Voleak Roeum NPS and AFIT Master’s Degree Systems Center NASA Headquarters in Cost Estimating and Analysis

DACE Price Booklet and Daniel Nussbaum Preparing for Retirement Naval Postgraduate School, De- Andy Nicholls DACE Labour Norms being used for Parametric Estimat- partment of Operations Research Conference Exhibitors (Rob PRICE Systems LLC ing? Currie photo) Rob Van Hoeve Comparison of ESA and NASA Estimation & Planning Pro- Acquisition Approaches and cesses Decide Project Success Dutch Association of Cost Engineers their Potential Effects on Sci- Dan Galorath ence Mission Development Du- Galorath Inc Affordability ration and Schedule Growth Edwin Dean Hervé Joumier Dean Consulting European Space Agency Over 45 workshop Risk Analysis Analytical Program Manage- Value of Probabilistic Pro- ment: An Approach for En- speakers—offer Earning More with Lower ject Models hanced Cost and Schedule Risk Fedde Tolman Risk Analysis hands-on Ton Dekkers KOAC-NPC University of Graham Gilmer, Eric Druker, Galorath International Ltd Twente Colin Smith, Paul Herzog experience in Booz Allen Hamilton Integrated Cost and Sched- Probabilistic Risk Analysis, ule Optimization with management, More Insight into Contingen- Introduction to Value Man- Monte Carlo Simulations cies agement Colin Smith risk analysis, Joep van der Meer Timme Hendriksen Paul Herzog Arcadis models, and Rudolf Verver Booz Allen Hamilton Dutch Association of Cost Dealing with Risks and Un- Engineers Joining Effort and Duration software. certainties Related to Project in a Probabilistic Method Management and Cot Esti- Fitting Absolute Distributions for Predicting Software mates to Limited Data Cost and Schedule Gerard Filé Blake Boswell Michael Ross DHV Engineering Company Booz Allen Hamilton r2Estimating

Influential Data Points in Applying Parametric disci- What about DAIV (Demand Regression Analyses pline to Performance Based as an Independent Variable)? Donald MacKenzie Contracting (PBC) in Doug Howarth MacKenzie Consulting Inc Through Life projects MEE LCC Dale Shermon Asteroid Sample Return De- John Scire Enterprise Resource Planning sign-to-Cost in the ESA Con- QinetiQ Ltd Cost, Size, and Schedule current Design Facility Estimating Relationships Michel van Pelt The winning presentation of Wilson Rosa, Paula Young European Space Agency the ISPA-DACE Parametric Tongia Shirer, Estimating Challenge Abishek Krupanand Evaluation of Models to Pre- Jacek Pachocki Air Force Cost Analysis Agency dict the Construction Materi- DHV Engineering Company James Bilbro al Quantities of Cylindrical Jacqueline Schlagwein JB Consulting International Storage Structures at an Gerrit Morren 2011 Best Conference Paper Early Project Phase Arcadis Use of EVM Trends to Find Winner: Christian Smart Borja Garcia de Soto Lastra Laura Wouters WBS Level 3 Completion (Rob Currie photo) Adey Bryan, Fernando Dilum Tauw Dates ETH Zurich Roy Smoker Faster, More Credible Esti- MCR LLC Estimating the Cost of Hy- mates with TruePlanning brid Airships for Joint Future 2012 SAR Data Analysis, CV Theater Lift Anthony DeMarco Benchmarks, and the Updat- Robert Georgi PRICE Systems LLC ed NCCA S-Curve Tool Booz Allen Hamilton Peter Braxton, Richard Lee Capabilities Based Portfolio Technomics Inc Developing a Missile System Assessment(CBPA): A Meth- Cost Estimating Model for odology for Balancing Capa- Cost Model for Enabling Korean R&D Environment bility and Managing Costs of Knowledge Sustainability, Sung Jin Kang Defense Programs Usability, and Recovery for Korea National Defense Uni- Paul Gvoth, Brad Ellis Economic Value versity Cask LLC Mohamed Badawy

Cranfield University Designing a Conceptual The Perceived Problem be- Framework for Assessing tween Bottom up and Para- Total Ownership Cost metric Estimating Methods Gurney Thompson Herbert Spix, 4cost GmbH PRICE Systems LLC Workshop Session

Software and Technology Taking Control over Mission- Critical Software - Software is a Mission-Critical Element of Most Are Parametric Techniques Complex Systems Relevant for Agile Software Estimate Software Pro- Agile Measurement - The Joost Visser Development Projects? jects Cheaper, Faster and Success Formula behind Software Improvement Group Arlene Minikiewicz Better! - Can Parametric High Performance Organi- PRICE Systems LLC Estimating “Beat” the zations: Small, Self-Steering Experts? Development Teams Work An Innovative Load Balancing Planning Software Build De- Harold van Heeringren Faster, Cheaper and Better! Parametric Software Mainte- velopment Execution Using a Sogeti Nederland BV Hennie Huijgens nance Model Software Parametric Model Goverdson Donald Reifer Paul Morris Reifer Consulting LLC The Millennium Group Inc Regis Guest Program - ter at Page 6 Tuesday in Bruges

On Tuesday, 15 May 2012, the Conference Committee is offering a bus tour to the medieval city of Bruges. Atmospheric and enchanting, Bruges features Bruges ancient streets, criss-crossing canals, and Gothic architecture. Awards Banquet at Comic Museum The 13thcentury city center explodes with history, culture, The venue for the awards banquet (which will be a markets and praline shops. Enjoy shared event with the traditional SSCAG dinner) will provide a the 272-foot Belfry in the market memorable experience at the nearby Comic Museum. Belgium has square, the Basilica of the Holy enjoyed a long history of being the home of widely appreciated Blood, and the many quaint comics for children and political satire. This museum was designed stores. to house international events. On Monday and Tuesday, guests In addition to our traditional multi-course dinner for you and can arrange tours with the hotel your guests, we will present our best paper awards: concierge or explore vibrant  Best Track Papers Brussels, the center of the  Best Conference Paper Touring, shopping, or European Union, on their own. Brussels makes no secret of its and our ISPA professional just wandering in zest for the good life, and you can awards: explore the historic Grand-Place,  Freiman Award Brussels will become numerous museums, and devour melt-in-the-mouth chocolates and  Parametrician Award an unforgettable ex- pomme frites (French fries) while  Service Award. huddling over a Belgian brew. perience tasty beer in a gloriously old- 2011 Parametrician-of the-Year world pub. (Rob Currie Photo)

FIRST CLASS ISPA/SCEA Joint Business Office US POSTAGE PAID 8221 Old Courthouse Road Suite 106 PHOENIX AZ Vienna, VA 22182, USA PERMIT NO 5419