Introduction: from Big Bang to Galactic Civilizations
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The Origins and Consequences of Kin Networks and Marriage Practices
The origins and consequences of kin networks and marriage practices by Duman Bahramirad M.Sc., University of Tehran, 2007 B.Sc., University of Tehran, 2005 Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Department of Economics Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences c Duman Bahramirad 2018 SIMON FRASER UNIVERSITY Summer 2018 Copyright in this work rests with the author. Please ensure that any reproduction or re-use is done in accordance with the relevant national copyright legislation. Approval Name: Duman Bahramirad Degree: Doctor of Philosophy (Economics) Title: The origins and consequences of kin networks and marriage practices Examining Committee: Chair: Nicolas Schmitt Professor Gregory K. Dow Senior Supervisor Professor Alexander K. Karaivanov Supervisor Professor Erik O. Kimbrough Supervisor Associate Professor Argyros School of Business and Economics Chapman University Simon D. Woodcock Supervisor Associate Professor Chris Bidner Internal Examiner Associate Professor Siwan Anderson External Examiner Professor Vancouver School of Economics University of British Columbia Date Defended: July 31, 2018 ii Ethics Statement iii iii Abstract In the first chapter, I investigate a potential channel to explain the heterogeneity of kin networks across societies. I argue and test the hypothesis that female inheritance has historically had a posi- tive effect on in-marriage and a negative effect on female premarital relations and economic partic- ipation. In the second chapter, my co-authors and I provide evidence on the positive association of in-marriage and corruption. We also test the effect of family ties on nepotism in a bribery experi- ment. The third chapter presents my second joint paper on the consequences of kin networks. -
Origins: V 11 November 2015 Page 1 Table of Contents
Origins: V 11 November 2015 Page 1 Table of Contents Just Published: From Big Bang to Galactic Discovering Big History: Civilizations .............................................................................. 19 An Unorthodox Journey Robert H. Moore New and Returning IBHA Members ...................................... 20 PMR Communications .......... 3 Anthropocene Conference ....................................................... 21 Big History and the Stovepipe Call for Papers for the 2016 IBHA Conference Implosion at the University of Amsterdam ......................................... 22 Ken Baskin ......... 10 Mogli e Buoi ............................................................................... 28 New Coursera Big History Board Nominations ................................................................. 31 Course Available ................................................... 16 Post-Conference Tour .............................................................. 32 Origins Editor: Lowell Gustafson, Villanova University, Pennsylvania (USA) Origins. ISSN 2377-7729 Thank you for your Associate Cynthia Brown, Dominican University of California (USA) membership in Editor: Esther Quaedackers, University of Amsterdam (Netherlands) Please submit articles and other material to Origins, Editor, [email protected] the IBHA. Your Assistant membership dues Editor: Mojgan Behmand, Dominican University of California, San Rafael (USA) The views and opinions expressed in Origins are not necessarily those of the IBHA Board. all go towards the -
State and Socio-Political Crises in the Process of Modernization
State and Socio-Political Crises in the Process of Modernization Leonid Grinin Eurasian Center for Big History and System Forecasting ABSTRACT This article starts with a brief analysis of the causes of state col- lapse as states undergo the process of political evolution. Next, I describe and analyze the mechanisms of social-political crises arising in the process of modernization. Such crises are a conse- quence of the inability of many traditional institutions and ideolo- gies to keep up with changes in technology, communication, system of education, medical sphere, and with the demographic change. This analysis suggests that an accelerated development can cause a system crisis with potentially serious consequences to the society. It is important to take this aspect into consideration because some scholars insist that the economic reconstruction and development are necessary for nation-building. This actually implies a rapid economic advancement (otherwise, the economy could not be re- constructed and developed). However, one should not ignore the possibility that very rapidly developing countries may run the dan- ger of falling into the trap of fast transformation. The present arti- cle describes several mechanisms that can contribute to sociopoli- tical instability, including social tensions arising from rapid ur- banization, youth bulges, and ‘resource curses’. INTRODUCTION I define the state as a system of specialized institutions and rules that regulate internal and external political life of a society. This system is a power-, -
Revolution and Democracy: Sociopolitical Systems in the Context of Modernisation Leonid E
preview version Revolution and Democracy: Sociopolitical Systems in the Context of Modernisation Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev Abstract The stability of socio-political systems and the risks of destabi- lisation in the process of political transformation are among the most im- portant issues of social development; the transition to democracy may pose a serious threat to the stability of a respective socio-political system. This article studies the issue of democratisation. It highlights the high economic and social costs of a rapid transition to democracy for countries unpre- pared for it—democracy resulting from revolutions or similar large-scale events. The authors believe that in a number of cases authoritarian regimes turn out to be more effective in economic and social terms than emerging democracies, especially those of a revolutionary type, which are often inca- pable of ensuring social order and may have a swing to authoritarianism. Effective authoritarian regimes can also be a suitable form of transition to an efficient and stable democracy. Using historical and contemporary examples, particularly the recent events in Egypt, the article investigates various correlations between revolutionary events and the possibility of es- tablishing democracy in a society. Keywords: democracy, revolution, extremists, counterrevolution, Isla- mists, authoritarianism, military takeover, economic efficiency, globali- sation, Egypt Introduction It is not surprising that in five years none of the revolutions of the Arab Spring has solved any urgent issues. Unfortunately, this was probably never a possibility. Various studies suggest a link between 110 preview version revolutions and the degree of modernisation of a society.1 Our research reveals that the very processes of modernisation, regardless of the level of consumption and the rate of population growth, is closely and organically linked to the risk of social and political upheaval, which can Leonid E. -
Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background*
Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background* Andrey Korotayev, Leonid Issaev, Maria Rudenko, Alisa Shishkina, and Evgeny Ivanov National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow ABSTRACT The evolution of the Afroeurasian world-system which in the ‘long 16th century’ was transformed into the global World System com- prised both economic and political components, some of which are discussed in the present article. Earlier research has identified four major zones of instability which can be designated as the Cen- tral Asian (including Afghanistan and Pakistan), the Middle East, North Africa, and the Sahel region. We suggest considering these four zones as a single Afrasian macrozone of instability. We show that this zone correlates rather closely with the zone of traditional prevalence of the parallel cousin marriage, as well as with the zone of very low female labor force participation rate, and the ter- ritory of the Umayyad Califate. The article demonstrates that this correlation is not coincidental and also discusses the factors and mechanisms that have produced it. INTRODUCTION The evolution of the Afroeurasian world-system that in the ‘long 16th century’ transformed into the global World System (see, e.g., Grinin and Korotayev 2014) had not only economic but also political components some of which will be discussed in the present article. In his article ‘Regional Instability Zones’ Konstantin Truev- tsev (2014) has identified five major zones of instability that can be Social Evolution & History, Vol. 15 No. 2, September 2016 120–140 2016 ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House 120 Korotayev et al. / Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background 121 designated as the Central Asian (including Afghanistan and Paki- stan), the Middle East, North Africa, the Sahel region and the Pa- cific. -
WALTER ALVAREZ Es Profesor De Geología En La
SELLO CRITICA COLECCIÓN FORMATO 15,5x23 TD SERVICIO Director: «Un relato maravilloso de la Gran Historia de la mano del geólogo que CORRECCIÓN: PRIMERAS JOSÉ MANUEL SÁNCHEZ RON demostró que los dinosaurios se extinguieron por el impacto de un asteroide. 29/3 ARNAU Últimos títulos publicados: DISEÑO Alvarez lo explica con precisión y gran encanto, recordando lo absurdamente El VIAJE MÁS REALIZACIÓN Carl Sagan improbable que es el papel que desempeñamos en esta historia colosal.» El mundo y sus demonios —DAVID CHRISTIAN, fundador de la Gran Historia EDICIÓN La ciencia como una luz en la oscuridad y autor de Mapas del tiempo: introducción a la Gran Historia. Rita Levi-Montalcini CORRECCIÓN: SEGUNDAS El viaje más improbable es una aventura apasionante para entender el origen del El as en la manga IMPROBABLE 7/4 Arnau DISEÑO Los dones reservados a la vejez universo y la vida desde el prisma de la Gran Historia, disciplina que concilia dis- WALTER ALVAREZ es profesor de Geología en la tintas ramas académicas para construir un retrato desde todas las perspectivas de Universidad de California, en Berkeley, y uno de REALIZACIÓN Ian Stewart un período histórico. Walter Alvarez, quien junto a su padre, Luis Alvarez, consi- Las matemáticas del cosmos los fundadores de la International Big History guió hallar en 1980 las primeras evidencias geológicas del impacto del meteorito Association. En 2002 fue galardonado con la CARACTERÍSTICAS Luigi Luca Cavalli-Sforza que causó la extinción de más del 50% de la vida animal sobre la Tierra (entre ellos, El VIAJE MÁS IMPROBABLE Medalla Penrose, el premio más distinguido en IMPRESIÓN CMYK Genes, pueblos y lenguas los dinosaurios), combina sus vastos conocimientos con Física y Arqueología para Geología. -
Board Meeting Minutes 3
IBHA Board of Directors Meeting Wednesday, August 6, 2014 Edgehill Mansion Garden Room Agenda 8:30 – 10:30 am 1. Opening the Meeting, Introduction of - Welcome to - New Board Members (Fred Spier, Chair) 2. Approval of 2012 Board Meeting Minutes 3. Presidential Remarks (David Christian) 4. Further Board Changes 5. Election of Officers 11:00 am – 12:30 pm 6. President’s Report (David Christian) 7. Publications Committee Report (Cynthia Brown, Esther Quaedackers) 8. Treasurer’s Report (Craig Benjamin) 9. Secretary’s Report (Lowell Gustafson) 1 – 3 pm 10. Advisory Council Report (Pamela Benjamin) 11. International Coordinator’s Report (Barry Rodrigue) 12. Archive IBHA papers (Barry Rodrigue) 13. Board Communication (Forum) 3:30 – 5 pm 14. Location for 2016 and perhaps 2018 IBHA Conferences (Esther Quaedackers). 15 Policies 16. New Business 17. Recognition and thanks. 18. Adjournment of Meeting Attending: Milly Alvarez, Walter Alvarez, Mojgan Behmand, Craig Benjamin, Pamela Benjamin, Cynthia Brown, David Christian, Lowell Gustafson, Jonathan Markley, Esther Quaedackers, Barry Rodrigue, Fred Spier, Joseph Voros, Sun Yue Absent (notified in advance), Andrey Korotayev 1. Fred Spier opened the meeting at 8:30 a.m. He welcomed the four new board members who will each be serving a three year term: Mojgan Behmand, Esther Quaedackers, Joseph Voros, and Sun Yue. Jonathan Markley was elected by acclamation to fill the seat that was open due to the resignation of Walter Alvarez. 2. Craig Benjamin moved and Esther Quadackers seconded a motion that the 2012 minutes be adopted as a true and accurate record of the 2012 board meeting. The motion was approved unanimously. -
Forthcoming Kondratieff Wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and Global Ageing Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton; Korotayev, Andrey
www.ssoar.info Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton; Korotayev, Andrey Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Zeitschriftenartikel / journal article Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Grinin, L., Grinin, A., & Korotayev, A. (2017). Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115, 52-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.017 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer Deposit-Lizenz (Keine This document is made available under Deposit Licence (No Weiterverbreitung - keine Bearbeitung) zur Verfügung gestellt. Redistribution - no modifications). We grant a non-exclusive, non- Gewährt wird ein nicht exklusives, nicht übertragbares, transferable, individual and limited right to using this document. persönliches und beschränktes Recht auf Nutzung dieses This document is solely intended for your personal, non- Dokuments. Dieses Dokument ist ausschließlich für commercial use. All of the copies of this documents must retain den persönlichen, nicht-kommerziellen Gebrauch bestimmt. all copyright information and other information regarding legal Auf sämtlichen Kopien dieses Dokuments müssen alle protection. You are not allowed to alter this document in any Urheberrechtshinweise und sonstigen Hinweise auf gesetzlichen way, to copy it for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the Schutz beibehalten werden. Sie dürfen dieses Dokument document in public, to perform, distribute or otherwise use the nicht in irgendeiner Weise abändern, noch dürfen Sie document in public. dieses Dokument für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke By using this particular document, you accept the above-stated vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, aufführen, vertreiben oder conditions of use. anderweitig nutzen. Mit der Verwendung dieses Dokuments erkennen Sie die Nutzungsbedingungen an. -
Cynthia Brown – ORIAS Summer Institute 2013 1
Cynthia Brown – ORIAS Summer Institute 2013 1 “A Big History Perspective” Cynthia Brown, Professor Emerita, History Department, Dominican University of California summarized by Stephen Pitcher Asked what “Big History” meant to them, participants responded that it meant “How the world began,” or “macro-history.” For Brown, it is history on the biggest possible scale— an evidence-based, scientific origin story, going from the Big Bang to the present. Professor Brown said that four big things had occurred in the Big History field in the last five years. The first involved the participation in 2010 of geologist Walter Alvarez, who thought the approximately forty people then teaching “something like Big History” weren’t incorporating enough geology, and invited six Big Historians, Brown among them, to his geological institute in Italy, where he took them to places where the K-T boundary, the iridium layer, could be seen. A lot of geology was learned and, partially as a consequence, the International Big History Association (IBHA) was founded. (The initials could not be used in the url as they had already been spoken for by the International Buckskin Horse Association. You can find the website at http://ibhanet.org/) A second development in the field arose from Dominican University’s dissatisfaction with its First Year Experience program. Such programs are taught by many colleges in many ways—emphasizing skills, great books, etc.—and are crucial to enrollment retention. Dominica n, in its reworking of that program, decided to require Big History, and to follow up with a second-semester course involving a specific discipline viewed through a Big History lens. -
Evolution: from Big Bang to Nanorobots Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
www.ssoar.info Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Sammelwerk / collection Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Grinin, L., & Korotayev, A. (2015). Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots. Volgograd: Uchitel Publishing House. https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-57761-1 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer Basic Digital Peer Publishing-Lizenz This document is made available under a Basic Digital Peer zur Verfügung gestellt. Nähere Auskünfte zu den DiPP-Lizenzen Publishing Licence. For more Information see: finden Sie hier: http://www.dipp.nrw.de/lizenzen/dppl/service/dppl/ http://www.dipp.nrw.de/lizenzen/dppl/service/dppl/ RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF ORIENTAL STUDIES The Eurasian Center for Big History and System Forecasting VOLGOGRAD CENTER FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH EVOLUTION From Big Bang to Nanorobots Edited by Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House Volgograd ББК 28.02 87.21 ‘Evolution’ Yearbook Editors Council: H. Barry III (USA), Yu. Е. Berezkin (Russia), M. L. Butovskaya (Russia), R. L. Carneiro (USA), Ch. Chase-Dunn (USA), V. V. Chernykh (Russia), H. J. M. Claessen (Netherlands), D. Christian (Australia), S. Gavrilets (USA), А. V. Dybo (Russia), K. Yu. Es'kov (Russia), I. V. Ilyin (Russia), N. N. Iordansky (Russia), P. Herrmann (Ireland), A. A. Kazankov (Russia), E. S. Kul'pin (Russia), G. G. Malinetsky (Russia), A. V. Markov (Russia), A. Yu. Militarev (Russia), M. V. Mina (Russia), V. de Munck (USA), А. P. Nazaretyan (Russia), E. B. Nay- mark (Russia), A. D. Panov (Russia), Zh. I. Reznikova (Russia), B. -
Big History: a Working Bibliography of References, Films & Internet Sites
Big History: A Working Bibliography of References, Films & Internet Sites Assembled by Barry Rodrigue & Daniel Stasko University of Southern Maine (USA) Index Books & Articles on Big History…………………………………………...2–9 Works that Anticipated Big History……………………………………....10–11 Works on Aspects of Big History…………………………………………12–36 Cosmology & Planetary Studies…………. 12–14 Physical Sciences………………………… 14–15 Earth & Atmospheric Sciences…………… 15–16 Life Sciences…………………………….. 16–20 Ecology…………………………………... 20–21 Human Social Sciences…………………… 21–33 Economics, Technology & Energy……….. 33–34 Historiography……………………………. 34–36 Philosophy……………………………….... 36 Popular Journalism………………………... 36 Creative Writing………………………….. 36 Internet & Fim Resources on Big History………………………………… 37–38 1 Books & Articles about Big History Adams, Fred; Greg Laughlin. 1999. The Five Ages of the Universe: Inside the Physics of Eternity. New York: The Free Press. Alvarez, Walter; P. Claeys, and A. Montanari. 2009. “Time-Scale Construction and Periodizing in Big History: From the Eocene-Oligocene Boundary to All of the Past.” Geological Society of America, Special Paper # 452: 1–15. Ashrafi, Babak. 2007. “Big History?” Positioning the History of Science, pp. 7–11, Kostas Gavroglu and Jürgen Renn (editors). Dordrecht: Springer. Asimov, Isaac. 1987. Beginnings: The Story of Origins of Mankind, Life, the Earth, the Universe. New York, Berkeley Books. Aunger, Robert. 2007. “Major Transitions in “Big’ History.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 74 (8): 1137–1163. —2007. “A Rigorous Periodization of ‘Big’ History.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 74 (8): 1164–1178. Benjamin, Craig. 2004. “Beginnings and Endings” (Chapter 5). Palgrave Advances: World History, pp. 90–111, M. Hughes-Warrington (editor). London and New York: Palgrave/Macmillan. —2009. “The Convergence of Logic, Faith and Values in the Modern Creation Myth.” Evolutionary Epic: Science’s Story and Humanity’s Response, C. -
9 Mathematical Modeling of Biological and Social Phases of Big History
9 Mathematical Modeling of Biological and Social Phases of Big History Andrey V. Korotayev and Alexander V. Markov Abstract The present article demonstrates that changes in biodiversity through the Phanerozoic correlate with a hyperbolic model (widely used in demography and macrosociology) much more strongly than with exponential and logistic models (traditionally used in population biology and extensively applied to fossil biodi- versity as well). The latter models imply that changes in diversity are guided by a first-order positive feedback (more ancestors – more descendants) and/or a negative feedback arising from resource limitation. The hyperbolic model im- plies a second-order positive feedback. The authors demonstrate that the hyper- bolic pattern of the world population growth arises from a second-order positive feedback between the population size and the rate of technological growth (this can also be identified with the collective learning mechanism). The feedback between the diversity and community structure complexity can also contribute to the hyperbolic character of biodiversity. This suggests that some mechanisms vaguely resembling the collective learning might have operated throughout the biological phase of Big History. Our findings suggest that we can trace rather similar macropatterns within both the biological and social phases of Big History which one can describe in a rather accurate way with very simple mathematical models. Keywords: biological phase of Big History, social phase of Big History, mathe- matical modeling,