Introduction Big History's Big Potential
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State and Socio-Political Crises in the Process of Modernization
State and Socio-Political Crises in the Process of Modernization Leonid Grinin Eurasian Center for Big History and System Forecasting ABSTRACT This article starts with a brief analysis of the causes of state col- lapse as states undergo the process of political evolution. Next, I describe and analyze the mechanisms of social-political crises arising in the process of modernization. Such crises are a conse- quence of the inability of many traditional institutions and ideolo- gies to keep up with changes in technology, communication, system of education, medical sphere, and with the demographic change. This analysis suggests that an accelerated development can cause a system crisis with potentially serious consequences to the society. It is important to take this aspect into consideration because some scholars insist that the economic reconstruction and development are necessary for nation-building. This actually implies a rapid economic advancement (otherwise, the economy could not be re- constructed and developed). However, one should not ignore the possibility that very rapidly developing countries may run the dan- ger of falling into the trap of fast transformation. The present arti- cle describes several mechanisms that can contribute to sociopoli- tical instability, including social tensions arising from rapid ur- banization, youth bulges, and ‘resource curses’. INTRODUCTION I define the state as a system of specialized institutions and rules that regulate internal and external political life of a society. This system is a power-, -
The Natural Science Underlying Big History
Review Article [Accepted for publication: The Scientific World Journal, v2014, 41 pages, article ID 384912; printed in June 2014 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/384912] The Natural Science Underlying Big History Eric J. Chaisson Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138 USA [email protected] Abstract Nature’s many varied complex systems—including galaxies, stars, planets, life, and society—are islands of order within the increasingly disordered Universe. All organized systems are subject to physical, biological or cultural evolution, which together comprise the grander interdisciplinary subject of cosmic evolution. A wealth of observational data supports the hypothesis that increasingly complex systems evolve unceasingly, uncaringly, and unpredictably from big bang to humankind. This is global history greatly extended, big history with a scientific basis, and natural history broadly portrayed across ~14 billion years of time. Human beings and our cultural inventions are not special, unique, or apart from Nature; rather, we are an integral part of a universal evolutionary process connecting all such complex systems throughout space and time. Such evolution writ large has significant potential to unify the natural sciences into a holistic understanding of who we are and whence we came. No new science (beyond frontier, non-equilibrium thermodynamics) is needed to describe cosmic evolution’s major milestones at a deep and empirical level. Quantitative models and experimental tests imply that a remarkable simplicity underlies the emergence and growth of complexity for a wide spectrum of known and diverse systems. Energy is a principal facilitator of the rising complexity of ordered systems within the expanding Universe; energy flows are as central to life and society as they are to stars and galaxies. -
Once Again from the Beginning: the Role of Historical Inquiry in the Anthropocene
Once Again from the Beginning: The Role of Historical Inquiry in the Anthropocene Camila Puig Ibarra Department of History, Barnard College Professor José Moya April 19th, 2017 Table of Contents Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................................ 3 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 4 Chapter 1: Expanding the Temporal Limits of History .................................................................. 10 Chapter 2: From the Neolithic Revolution to the Industrial Revolution ...................................... 22 Chapter 3: Towards the Anthropocene ........................................................................................ 35 Conclusion .................................................................................................................................... 44 Bibliography ................................................................................................................................. 48 2 Acknowledgements First of all, I owe the most thanks to my parents, without whom I would not have my education and, thus, I would have not been able to do this project (historical causation!). Many people supported me throughout this year. I especially want to thank my adviser José Moya who patiently and excitingly talked me through how to best write a history of all known time and Shannon O’Neill in the Barnard Archives -
Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring a New
www.ssoar.info Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring A New Scholarly Field Grinin, Leonid; Baker, David; Quaedackers, Esther; Korotayev, Andrey Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Sammelwerk / collection Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Grinin, L., Baker, D., Quaedackers, E., & Korotayev, A. (Eds.). (2014). Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring A New Scholarly Field. Volgograd: Uchitel Publishing House. https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-58924-9 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer Basic Digital Peer Publishing-Lizenz This document is made available under a Basic Digital Peer zur Verfügung gestellt. Nähere Auskünfte zu den DiPP-Lizenzen Publishing Licence. For more Information see: finden Sie hier: http://www.dipp.nrw.de/lizenzen/dppl/service/dppl/ http://www.dipp.nrw.de/lizenzen/dppl/service/dppl/ INTERNATIONAL BIG HISTORY ASSOCIATION RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF ORIENTAL STUDIES The Eurasian Center for Big History and System Forecasting TEACHING & RESEARCHING BIG HISTORY: EXPLORING A NEW SCHOLARLY FIELD Edited by Leonid Grinin, David Baker, Esther Quaedackers, and Andrey Korotayev ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House Volgograd ББК 28.02 87.21 Editorial Council: Cynthia Stokes Brown Ji-Hyung Cho David Christian Barry Rodrigue Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring a New Scholarly Field / Edited by Leonid E. Grinin, David Baker, Esther Quaedackers, and Andrey V. Korotayev. – Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2014. – 368 pp. According to the working definition of the International Big History Association, ‘Big History seeks to understand the integrated history of the Cosmos, Earth, Life and Humanity, using the best available empirical evidence and scholarly methods’. In recent years Big History has been developing very fast indeed. -
Program E-Conference Evolution, Original Sin and the Fall
Evolution, original sin and the Fall June 22-24 2020, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO Organizers: Johan De Smedt, Helen De Cruz (Saint Louis University) Scientific committee: Johan De Smedt, Helen De Cruz (Saint Louis University), Adam Green (Azusa Pacific University) This conference will be held online. To register, please email deeptimemorality at gmail dot com by June 20. June 22 (All times are CT (Central Time Zone)) 9:50 – 10:00 Johan De Smedt and Helen De Cruz (Saint Louis University) Introduction, with review of the logistics of the conference (e.g., how participants can ask questions) 10:00 – 10:25 David Brown (Queen's University Belfast) Evolution as ontology and original sin: Is there a need for salvation? 10:25 – 10:30 Short break 10:30 – 10:40 Q and A 10:40 – 10:50 Break 10:50 – 11:15 Paul Macdonald (United States Air Force Academy) In defense of Aquinas’s Adam: Original justice, the Fall, and evolution 11:15 – 11:20 Short break 11:20 – 11:30 Q and A 11:30 – 12:30 Lunch break 12:30 – 13:10 Plenary talk: Hans Madueme (Covenant College) Sin and Evolution: A theological assessment 13:10 – 13:15 Short break 13:15 – 13:30 Q and A 13:30 – 13:40 Break 13:40 – 14:05 Walter Scott Stepanenko (John Carroll University) Evolution, the Fall, and Christian environmentalism 14:05 – 14:10 Short break 14:10 – 14:20 Q and A 14:20 – 14:30 Break 14:30 – 14:55 Janelle Aijian (Biola University) Believing in an interventionist God 14:55 – 15:00 Short break 15:00 – 15:10 Q and A End of day 1 June 23 (All times are CT (Central Time Zone)) 10:00 -
Completed Thesis
THE UNIVERSITY OF WINCHESTER Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences Human Uniqueness: Twenty-First Century Perspectives from Theology, Science and Archaeology Josephine Kiddle Bsc (Biology) MA (Religion) Thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy February 2013 This Thesis has been completed as a requirement for a postgraduate research degree of the University of Winchester. The word count is: 89350 THE UNIVERSITY OF WINCHESTER ABSTRACT FOR THESIS Human Uniqueness: Twenty-First Century Perspectives from Theology, Science and Archaeology A project aiming to establish, through the three disciplines, the value of human uniqueness as an integrating factor for science with theology Josephine Kiddle Bsc (Biology) MA (Religion) Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences Doctor of Philosophy February 2013 The theme that underlies the thesis is the challenge presented by science, as it developed from the time of the Enlightenment through the centuries until the present day, to Christian theology. The consequent conflict of ideas is traced in respect of biological science and the traditions of Protestant Christian doctrine, together with the advances of the developing discipline of prehistoric archaeology since the early nineteenth century. The common ground from which disagreement stemmed was the existence of human beings and the uniqueness of the human species as a group amongst all other creatures. With the conflict arising from this challenge, centring on the origin and history of human uniqueness, a rift became established between the disciplines which widened as they progressed through to the twentieth century. It is this separation that the thesis takes up and endeavours to analyse in the light of the influence of advancing science on the blending of philosophical scientific ideas with the elements of Christian faith of former centuries. -
Forthcoming Kondratieff Wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and Global Ageing Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton; Korotayev, Andrey
www.ssoar.info Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton; Korotayev, Andrey Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Zeitschriftenartikel / journal article Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Grinin, L., Grinin, A., & Korotayev, A. (2017). Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115, 52-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.017 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer Deposit-Lizenz (Keine This document is made available under Deposit Licence (No Weiterverbreitung - keine Bearbeitung) zur Verfügung gestellt. Redistribution - no modifications). We grant a non-exclusive, non- Gewährt wird ein nicht exklusives, nicht übertragbares, transferable, individual and limited right to using this document. persönliches und beschränktes Recht auf Nutzung dieses This document is solely intended for your personal, non- Dokuments. Dieses Dokument ist ausschließlich für commercial use. All of the copies of this documents must retain den persönlichen, nicht-kommerziellen Gebrauch bestimmt. all copyright information and other information regarding legal Auf sämtlichen Kopien dieses Dokuments müssen alle protection. You are not allowed to alter this document in any Urheberrechtshinweise und sonstigen Hinweise auf gesetzlichen way, to copy it for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the Schutz beibehalten werden. Sie dürfen dieses Dokument document in public, to perform, distribute or otherwise use the nicht in irgendeiner Weise abändern, noch dürfen Sie document in public. dieses Dokument für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke By using this particular document, you accept the above-stated vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, aufführen, vertreiben oder conditions of use. anderweitig nutzen. Mit der Verwendung dieses Dokuments erkennen Sie die Nutzungsbedingungen an. -
SMITH-THESIS.Pdf (550.5Kb)
Copyright by Ashley Michelle Smith 2009 The Thesis committee for Ashley Michelle Smith Certifies that this is the approved version of the following thesis: The Goldilocks Principle: Do Deviations from the Average Courtship Predict Divorce? APPROVED BY SUPERVISING COMMITTEE: Supervisor: ______________________________ Timothy J. Loving ____________________________________ Ted L. Huston ____________________________________ Lisa A. Neff The Goldilocks Principle: Do Deviations from the Average Courtship Predict Divorce? by Ashley Michelle Smith, B. A. Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of the University of Texas at Austin in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts The University of Texas at Austin December 2009 The Goldilocks Principle: Do Deviations from the Average Courtship Predict Divorce? By Ashley Michelle Smith, MA The University of Texas at Austin, 2009 SUPERVISOR: Timothy J. Loving The benefits of being average were examined within the context of romantic relationships by focusing on courtship progression and events for 164 married couples. The courtship progression was captured using a graph of the fluctuations in the percentage chance of marriage for each spouse from when couples first began dating up until the wedding day. Five factors were then used to capture the graph: Time elapsed to progress from 25 to 75% chance of marriage, turbulence in chance of marriage values, average change in percent chance of marriage between relationship events, courtship length, and the sum of squared deviations from a straight line connecting when couples first started dating until their marriage date. Couples also reported on the timing of important relationship events (i.e., meeting parents, first fell in love, first sexual intercourse, and engagement) that were then compared to the order of the average courtship event progression. -
Moral Implications of Darwinian Evolution for Human Reference
Andrews University Digital Commons @ Andrews University Dissertations Graduate Research 2006 Moral Implications of Darwinian Evolution for Human Reference Based in Christian Ethics: a Critical Analysis and Response to the "Moral Individualism" of James Rachels Stephen Bauer Andrews University Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.andrews.edu/dissertations Part of the Christianity Commons, Ethics in Religion Commons, Evolution Commons, and the Religious Thought, Theology and Philosophy of Religion Commons Recommended Citation Bauer, Stephen, "Moral Implications of Darwinian Evolution for Human Reference Based in Christian Ethics: a Critical Analysis and Response to the "Moral Individualism" of James Rachels" (2006). Dissertations. 16. https://digitalcommons.andrews.edu/dissertations/16 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Research at Digital Commons @ Andrews University. It has been accepted for inclusion in Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ Andrews University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Thank you for your interest in the Andrews University Digital Library of Dissertations and Theses. Please honor the copyright of this document by not duplicating or distributing additional copies in any form without the author’s express written permission. Thanks for your cooperation. Andrews University Seventh-day Adventist Theological Seminary MORAL IMPLICATIONS OF DARWINIAN EVOLUTION FOR HUMAN PREFERENCE BASED IN CHRISTIAN ETHICS: A CRITICAL ANALYSIS AND RESPONSE TO THE “MORAL INDIVIDUALISM” OF JAMES RACHELS A Dissertation Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy by Stephen Bauer November 2006 Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. UMI Number: 3248152 Copyright 2006 by Bauer, Stephen All rights reserved. -
Crater, Catastrophe, Contingency: an Improbable Journey and the Human Situation: a Review of Books by Walter Alvarez Barry Wood University of Houston
Crater, Catastrophe, Contingency: An Improbable Journey and the Human Situation: A Review of Books by Walter Alvarez Barry Wood University of Houston Correspondence | Barry Wood, [email protected] Citation | Wood, B. (2019) Crater, Catastrophe, Contingency: An Improbable Journey and the Human Situation: A Review of Books by Walter Alvarez. Journal of Big History, III(2); 101 - 114. DOI | http://dx.doi.org/10.22339/jbh.v3i2.3260 alter Alvarez’ big history of our planet and conclude that a city-sized asteroid 10 to 12 miles in Wourselves, A Most Improbable Journey (2017), begins diameter had struck the earth somewhere, causing a with a 1991 expedition to Mexico with two other catastrophic disruption of planetary climate. Since the geologists to search for ejecta from the 110-mile- K-T boundary corresponded with the disappearance diameter Chicxulub crater recently found straddling of numerous megafaunal species, Alvarez theorized the Yucatan Peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. This was that this hitherto unknown asteroid had brought down a follow up episode in a decade-long – and by now the dinosaurs that had dominated the Earth over well-known – story. It began when Alvarez presented the previous 200 million years, along with half the his theory that a large asteroid had struck the Earth world’s wildlife. Following its publication in Science 65 million years ago, causing the extinction of the (1980), his theory received a lukewarm, sometimes dinosaurs. His evidence was a mysterious centimeter- hostile, response in the geological community until thick layer of clay located at the Cretaceous-Tertiary the Chicxulub Crater was discovered a decade later (K-T) boundary in the Apennine Mountains near the and dated at 65 million years. -
Professor Preston Cloud
Professor Preston Cloud (1912-Jl990) (Preston Cloud, a great name in Earth Science is no more, His was a versatile mind which probed into many aspects of Earth history. We pro duce below a short life history of the famous professor written specially for the Journal by Somadev Bhattacharji, Professor of Geology, New York State University, Brooklyn, New York.-Ed. With the death of Professor Preston Cloud, Emeritus Professor of Geology at the Department of Geological Sciences, University of California, Santa Barbara~ the Earth Sciences have lost one of their most eminent spokesman. Professor Cloud was born in eastern Massachusetts in 1912. He started his undergraduate study of geology in a one-professor department at George Washing ton University at Washington, D.C. while holding a tenuous job in the Smith sonian Institution's Natural History Museum during the great depression yea'rs in the U.S.A. This early experience influenced his later career in geology. He graduated from George Washington University in 1938, and continued on to receive his Ph.D. from Yale University at New Haven, Connecticut in 1940. After a long association with the U.S. Geological Survey as a geologist and paleonto logist, he retired in 1979. He also taught at the Missouri School of Mines~ Harvard University, The University of Minnesota, and the University of California at both Los Angeles and Santa Barbara. In the last years of his active retired life, Santa Barbara was his base, but he travelled widely to see · real geology' and lectured and inspired many, beside being busy writing. -
Energy Rate Density As a Complexity Metric and Evolutionary Driver
Energy Rate Density as a Complexity Metric and Evolutionary Driver E. J. CHAISSON Wright Center and Physics Department, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts and Harvard College Observatory, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts Received March 8, 2010; revised April 1, 2010; accepted April 5, 2010 The proposition that complexity generally increases with evolution seems indisputable. Both developmental and generational changes often display a rise in the number and diversity of properties describing a wide spectrum of ordered systems, whether physical, biological, or cultural. This article explores a quantitative metric that can help to explain the emergence and evolution of galaxies, stars, planets, and life throughout the history of the Universe. Energy rate density is a single, measurable, and unambiguous quantity uniformly characterizing Nature’s many varied complex systems, potentially dictating their natural selection on vast spatial and temporal scales. Ó 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 16: 27–40, 2011 Key Words: energy; complexity; evolution; thermodynamics; universe 1. PRE` CIS OF COSMIC EVOLUTION philosopher Heraclitus, who arguably made the best ob- or nearly three decades, I have endeavored to servation ever while noting that ‘‘everything flows and F strengthen our modern understanding of the scientific nothing stays.’’ This remarkably simple idea is now essen- interdiscipline of cosmic evolution. This is an inclu- tially confirmed by modern scientific reasoning and much sive worldview that chronicles the origin and evolution of supporting data. As recently summarized [1, 2], I have galaxies, stars, planets, and life, especially as pertains to sought to undergird this broad, integrated subject with humanity on Earth and our place in the Universe.