Prospects for Palestinian Unity After the Arab Spring

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Prospects for Palestinian Unity After the Arab Spring Prospects for Palestinian Unity After the Arab Spring Prospects for Palestinian Unity After the Arab Spring YOUSEF MUNAYYER* ABSTRACT If the revolutions sweeping then Arab world are in fact its n May 4, 2011, the Palestinian fac- “spring” then the Hamas/Fateh tions Fateh and Hamas signed a reconciliationO agreement ending a four-year reconciliation deal may very well be the first buds this season division, which debilitated Palestinian domestic produced. Whether or not this politics and national strategy. The agreement, reconciliation deal will bear any signed with much fanfare in a post-Mubarak fruit for the Palestinian people, Cairo, raised hopes as well as questions. Could however, is yet to be seen. To best this really be the end of division between bit- understand the factors affecting the success of the deal, one must ter rivals and the start of a unified Palestinian have grasp of the history of the movement? How will such an agreement be relationship between Hamas and tested over time? How will Washington and Tel Fatah and the role of external Aviv respond to the agreement, and how does actors in that relationship as this all relate to the “Arab Spring?” well. In this commentary I lay out a history of tensions and These many questions are as interesting the role of the US and Israel as they are important. To attempt to provide in driving wedges between answers to them requires an understanding of the parties. Similar challenges the genesis of the division between these two will undoubtedly face this Palestinian factions, the history of their rela- reconciliation attempt and the greatest chances of success can be tionship prior to the recent period, and the dif- achieved when both parties put ferences in both interests and ideology. the interests of the Palestinian people ahead of the demands of their external patrons. * Department of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland, [email protected] Insight Turkey Vol. 13 / No. 3 / 2011 pp. 21-31 21 YOUSEF MUNAYYER The reconciliation has potential The Origins of Tensions for ending a division that Fateh, like Hamas, derives its name debilitated Palestinian politics from an acronym; its complete title is and divided Palestinians for Haraket Tahrir al-Watani al-Falasteeni several years (The Palestinian National Liberation Movement). Fateh was founded in 1959, prior to the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, and before the initial implementation of the Oslo Accords the vast majority of Fateh’s leadership was based outside of historic Palestine. Hamas, whose complete title is Haraket al-Muqawamwh al-Islamiyeh (The Is- lamic Resistance Movement), is the largest of several Islamist movements in Pal- estine. Its origins are in the Palestinian Muslim Brotherhood, and while the Pal- estinian branch of the Brotherhood was established as early as 1946, the strength and coalescence of political Islam in Palestine really began to take root in the 1970s and 1980s.1 It was during this period that Fateh was making a transformation of its own. Fateh rose to prominence among all Palestinian factions in the Palestine Libera- tion Organization (PLO) by successfully carrying out many guerilla-style attacks on Israeli interests. In 1964, the Arab League recognized the PLO as the “sole, legitimate representative” of the Palestinian people. In 1967, the Arab League passed the “3 NOs” in Khartoum, but when the PLO obtained observer status at the United Nations in 1974, Fateh, whose leadership largely overlapped with the leadership of the PLO, began to moderate its positions and actions. The outbreak of the first intifada, or Palestinian uprising, in 1987 highlighted the contrast between Hamas, an organization inside Palestine, and the Fateh- dominated PLO which was based in Tunis at the time. Hamas was formally estab- lished in 1987 as an outgrowth of the Brotherhood and both fomented and ben- efitted from the activities of the first intifada resistance. The PLO quickly realized it had little leverage over the events on the ground in the West Bank and Gaza, which had grabbed the world’s attention. The Muslim Brotherhood increased in popularity among Palestinians in the Occupied Territories, which was evidenced by results in student elections at Palestinian schools and universities – a common- ly-used barometer of Palestinian public opinion in the absence of other formal electoral institutions.2 The Fateh-dominated PLO hastily moved to make changes to its strategy. Within months, the PLO declared the independence of the state of Palestine with 22 Prospects for Palestinian Unity After the Arab Spring reference to UN resolutions relating to The Oslo accords are the occupation of the West Bank and largely recognized by many Gaza. This amounted to implicit recog- nition of the state of Israel, which would Palestinians to have been a later be formalized, and initiated a pro- strategic mistake resulting in cess, which would culminate in Oslo by American-led negotiations way of Madrid. and the further colonization of The Oslo accords are largely recog- Palestinian territory nized by many Palestinians to have been a strategic mistake resulting in American-led negotiations and the further colo- nization of Palestinian territory. At the time, however, the Oslo accords gave the Fateh-dominated PLO something they much desired – the chance to formally op- erate in Palestine for the first time in its history. But it also cost them a great deal of revolutionary legitimacy amongst Palestinians, which had been hard-earned over years of guerilla attacks and extensive sacrifices. Hamas stood clearly opposed to the Oslo accords and has continued to do so, often using the Fateh-led PLO’s con- cessions in the Oslo process to score political points. While Oslo brought these Palestinian leaders back into Palestine, it had sown seeds of division, which would grow in the years to come. The PLO returned to the Occupied Palestinian Territory as a different -or ganization than it was when it rose to prominence. Israeli decapitation attacks had eliminated much of the leadership, including Wadie Haddad (1978), Zuheir Mohsin (1979), Ali Hasan Salameh (1979), Mamoun Meraish (1983) and Khalil al-Wazir (1988). During this time, Yasser Arafat had also solidified his control over the PLO’s various decision-making bodies.3 When Arafat’s PLO returned in the form of the newly Oslo-created Palestin- ian National Authority (PA), many Palestinian activists from different ends of the political spectrum began to feel that a distant and disconnected leadership was returning from abroad to lead a national movement that had already organically developed through the intifada. The political environment was conducive to in- ternal divisions, particularly between Fateh, which had embraced a negotiations strategy, and the rising Hamas, which believed negotiations to be futile. Oslo and its implementation would frequently be used as a wedge to drive these factions apart. In 1991, Hamas formed the Izz-ed-Din al-Qassam brigades, which unchecked would pose a challenge to the Palestinian Authority’s ability to keep security com- mitments made through the Oslo Accords. Hamas’ use of violence, particularly 23 YOUSEF MUNAYYER suicide attacks, was relatively non-existent prior to 1993. It was after an Israeli set- tler, Baruch Goldstein, massacred nearly 30 Palestinian civilians when he opened fire on worshipers praying in the Ibrahimi Mosque in Hebron that Hamas’ suicide bombings began to increase. 4 The Palestinian Authority (PA) was in the awkward position of having to ful- fill commitments of security for the Israelis against other Palestinians who the Israelis also occupied. Prior to the first PA elections in 1996, a major benchmark in the implementation of Oslo Accords, tensions between Hamas and the Fateh- dominated PA were on the rise as Hamas and Israel exchanged suicide attacks for assassinations. Many saw the elections as an extension of the Oslo Accords, which they believed to be against the Palestinian national interest, and the PA was well aware of the prospect of violence surrounding the election. Hamas and the PA entered talks to come to an agreement on security before the vote. They eventually came to an agreement in December of 1995 prior to the elections scheduled early the following year. The talks in Cairo were complicated by Hamas’ displaced po- litical leadership, which was in Amman at the time, but ultimately an agreement was reached in which Hamas pledged not to launch attacks against Israel from PA-controlled areas so as not to damage the PA’s credibility. The agreement seemed like it would be short-lived when on January 5, 1996, Israel assassinated a high-ranking engineer in the Qassam brigades, Yahya Ayash. Despite the deep anger and cries for retribution, violence immediately before and during the elections was limited. All this would change in the spring when a se- ries of bombings everyone expected were ultimately carried out to avenge Ayash. The PA came under tremendous pressure to clamp down on Hamas, which led to the most significant political repression of Hamas activists it had experienced to that point in its short history. The PA and Israel collaborated in massive waves of arrests of Hamas affiliates, and arms confiscation of Qassam brigades members ensued. 5 Within a few short weeks, elections in Israel yielded a new right-wing govern- ment led by Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, who made the case that the Oslo process was a sham better than Hamas ever could. The opening of an ancient tunnel underneath the Old City of Jerusalem infuriated masses of Pales- tinians, and the building of a new Israeli colony of Har Homa practically rendered the two-state solution dead. Har Homa is located on Jabal Abu Ghneim inside the Bethlehem governorate but within the unilaterally-declared, illegally-annexed Is- rael municipality of Jerusalem.
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