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Fact-Checking the Heralded “End of the Latin American Left”
Fact-checking the Heralded “End of the Latin American Left” By Peter Bolton, Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs Recent political developments across the region have prompted celebratory proclamations in the mainstream Western press that Latin America’s decades-long dominance by left-leaning governments is reaching its terminal stages. The landslide victory of the Venezuelan opposition in last December’s legislative elections, the impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff in Brazil, and the triumph of center-right candidate Mauricio Macri in Argentina’s presidential election do indeed seem to point to a region-wide decline in the fortunes of the parties of the Pink Tide. But as is so often the case in the mainstream media, commentators have been too quick to make current events fit neatly into overarching seismic shifts. The cursory and often incomplete news reports on which they are based simply do not provide sufficient support for such catchall explanations. While scholars have naturally initiated a more nuanced and detailed debate to consider whether the region is indeed witnessing the end of a progressive cycle, press analyses have struck a premature and in many cases triumphalist tone by declaring the collapse of the Latin American left both imminent and beyond serious doubt. In reality, it is the exact opposite that is beyond serious doubt: it is far too early to write off the future of the left in Latin America. Moreover, more research is needed to understand the dynamics of these movements and how things might play out in the coming months and years. But what is most disconcerting about these knee-jerk press responses is that the people making them seem to not even have a strong grasp of the basic facts surrounding the political developments on which they base their claims, let alone of the nuance needed to develop a sophisticated analysis. -
Leopoldo López Mendoza Citizen of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela
White Paper On the Case of Leopoldo López Mendoza Citizen of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela v. Government of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela Authored By: Jared Genser1 Perseus Strategies José Antonio Maes February 27, 2018 (updated) Original Published July 21, 2014 1 Jared Genser serves as international counsel to Leopoldo López. Jose Antonio Maes previously served as López’s domestic counsel. For further information in English, contact +1 202 466 3069 or [email protected]. For information in Spanish, contact Juan Carlos Gutierrez, López’s domestic counsel, +58 412 33 217 44 or [email protected]. Perseus Strategies would like to thank Elise Baranouski, Sara Birkenthal, Michael Cullen, Chris Fletcher, Reid Kurtz, Juan Pablo Miramontes, Asma Noray, Maddie Orcutt, Samuel Ritholtz, Nicole Santiago, and Juancarlos Vargas for their support. 1 Table of Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................ 4 I. Biographical Information on Leopoldo López Mendoza ............................................................ 7 II. Background Context and Current Situation in Venezuela ........................................................ 12 A. Rise of Chavismo... ............................................................................................................... 12 B. Protests in 2014 ..................................................................................................................... 15 -
The Image of the Country in Journalists' Tweets
38 Social Communication Volume 2 (2016), pp. 38-58 DOI: 10.1515/sc-2016-0011 THE IMAGE OF THE COUNTRY IN JOURNALISTs’ TWEETS – Case STUDY Oksana Banias1, Iwona Leonowicz-Bukała2, Anna Martens3 Abstract This article attempts to assess the role of Twitter in international communication on the ba- sis of intentionally selected part of reality. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the potential impact of messages, posted in the microblogging service by the internationally recognized journalist, on creating the image of Poland in the world. Case study was carried out on the example of Anne Applebaum’s Twitter account. Keywords: Twitter, image, journalism, communication Introduction This article attempts to assess the role of Twitter, as the medium, in international communication, although in a very limited extent. The purpose of the text is in fact the analysis of the potential impact of messages posted on Twitter by the recognized jour- nalist, and comments of the recipients of these messages, in creating the image of Po- land in the world. Case study was carried out on the example of Twitter account of Anne Applebaum, associated with Poland, American journalist and writer. At the beginning of the analysis, it was assumed, that basing on the individual case study, it is possible to state probable further hypotheses about the potential of creating an image of Poland on Twitter by well-known journalists. According to O. Gorbaniuk and D. Radman (2011, pp.75-94), the image of the country is the total sum of person’s beliefs on a given country. Positive image plays an important role as a tool of influence in international relations, therefore, every coun- try attempts to shape it, and thus strengthen its competitiveness on the international arena. -
Do Something, Mr. Mcconnell
A24 EZ RE THE WASHINGTON POST . WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4, 2019 LETTERS TO THE EDITOR ABCDE [email protected] AN INDEPENDENT NEWSPAPER The broken electoral college Regarding George F. Will’s Aug. 29 op-ed, “The electoral college is here to stay”: EDITORIALS Democrats are less concerned that four of the five popular-vote losers who became president were Republicans than they are with making every vote count equally. Do something, Mr. McConnell Because of the winner-takes-all nature of picking electoral delegates in most states, the electoral college creates a paradox where both the minority in When the Senate returns from its Labor Day recess, it must act on guns. a state and the majority across the nation can have either no or insufficient representation, respectively. ODOLFO JULIO ARCO, 57; Kameron Karltess Brown, 30; Raul Garcia, safety? Would any volume of bloodshed convince the Kentucky Republican that If abolishing the electoral college or signing on to the 35; Mary Granados, 29; Joseph Griffith, 40; Leilah Hernandez, 15; Edwin Congress faces a moral imperative to act? Thirty-eight people were slain in three National Popular Vote compact does not appeal to Peregrino, 25. such shootings in August — in Dayton, Ohio, and El Paso, as well as West Texas — some, there is a third way to move closer to vote Add those seven individuals, randomly slaughtered Saturday by a and still Senate Republicans and President Trump refuse to act. equality: apportion delegates in all states according Rshooter in the West Texas cities of Midland and Odessa, to the toll of those lost to The list below, far from comprehensive, is tragic, in part, because it is so far to voting percentages for each candidate. -
Trump's Foreign Policies Are Better Than They Seem
Council Special Report No. 84 April 2019 Trump’s Foreign Policies Are Better Than They Seem Robert D. Blackwill The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) is an independent, nonpartisan membership organization, think tank, and publisher dedicated to being a resource for its members, government officials, business executives, journalists, educators and students, civic and religious leaders, and other interested citizens in order to help them better understand the world and the foreign policy choices facing the United States and other countries. Founded in 1921, CFR carries out its mission by maintaining a diverse membership, with special programs to promote interest and develop expertise in the next generation of foreign policy leaders; convening meetings at its headquarters in New York and in Washington, DC, and other cities where senior government officials, members of Congress, global leaders, and prominent thinkers come together with Council members to discuss and debate major international issues; supporting a Studies Program that fosters independent research, enabling CFR scholars to produce articles, reports, and books and hold roundtables that analyze foreign policy issues and make concrete policy recommendations; publishing Foreign Affairs, the preeminent journal on international affairs and U.S. foreign policy; sponsoring Independent Task Forces that produce reports with both findings and policy prescriptions on the most important foreign policy topics; and providing up-to-date information and analysis about world events and American foreign policy on its website, CFR.org. The Council on Foreign Relations takes no institutional positions on policy issues and has no affiliation with the U.S. government. All views expressed in its publications and on its website are the sole responsibility of the author or authors. -
Developments in Unconventional Gas: Challenges and Opportunities for Russia
Developments in Unconventional Gas: Challenges and Opportunities for Russia Sujoyini Mandal Marika Semerdzhian November 2013 M-RCBG Associate Working Paper Series | No. 23 The views expressed in the M-RCBG Fellows and Graduate Student Research Paper Series are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business & Government or of Harvard University. The papers in this series have not undergone formal review and approval; they are presented to elicit feedback and to encourage debate on important public policy challenges. Copyright belongs to the author(s). Papers may be downloaded for personal use only. Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business & Government Weil Hall | Harvard Kennedy School | www.hks.harvard.edu/mrcbg Developments in Unconventional Gas: Challenges and Opportunities for Russia Sujoyini Mandal and Marika Semerdzhian Harvard Kennedy School, Master in Public Policy, 2013 Client: Daniel Freifeld, Permian International Advisor: Professor Meghan O’Sullivan PAC Seminar Leader: Dean John Haigh This PAE reflects the views of the authors and should not be viewed as representing the views of the PAE's external client, nor those of Harvard University or any of its faculty. TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary………………………………………………………………………… 3 Overview…………………………………………………………………………………….. 3 PAE Structure………………………………………………………………………………... 3 Objectives and Methodology………………………………………………………………… 4 Sources……………………………………………………………………………………….. 4 Chapter 1: Global Gas Market and Russia’s Position…………………………………… -
Israel's Return to Security-Based Diplomacy
ISRAEL’S RETURN TO SECURITY-BASED DIPLOMACY Senior Foreign Policy Analyst, Jerusalem Dan Diker Center for Public Affairs; Adjunct Fellow, Hudson Institute Diplomacy-Based Security vs. Israel’s previous policy of making concessions first and trying to enforce its vital security Security-Based Diplomacy rights and requirements second has raised international expectations that For most of the past 17 years of Israeli peace Israel will continue to offer an intransigent diplomacy, since the 1993 Oslo Declaration Palestinian leadership greater concessions as of Principles signed with Yasser Arafat’s “sweeteners” to coax them into negotiations. Palestine Liberation Organization, Israel’s vital The Palestinians, in contrast, have been security requirements have been relegated sensitizing the international community to to a position of secondary importance in the what the PA leadership calls “Palestinian service of reaching a final peace agreement. rights” underpinning their statehood quest.2 Israel’s traditional “security-based diplomacy” The public silence of Israeli governments on approach to foreign relations that had anchored Israel’s own rights-based case for a viable, the Jewish state’s defense doctrine since the secure Jewish state with defensible borders Six-Day War in 1967 had been reversed. Instead, has encouraged confusion among allies and a doctrine of “diplomacy-based security” had exacerbated the antagonism of adversaries. come to dominate Israeli diplomatic thinking, as peace agreements were thought to be the Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s foreign guarantor of Israel’s safety. policy speech at Bar-Ilan University on June 14, 2009 – the first one of his administration In service to this new doctrine, Israeli efforts – represented a fundamental restoration of to end the Arab-Israeli conflict, including Israel’s security- and rights-based approach the Annapolis process in 2008, the Gaza to the conflict. -
U.S. Role in the World: Background and Issues for Congress
U.S. Role in the World: Background and Issues for Congress Updated January 19, 2021 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R44891 SUMMARY R44891 U.S. Role in the World: Background and Issues January 19, 2021 for Congress Ronald O'Rourke The U.S. role in the world refers to the overall character, purpose, or direction of U.S. Specialist in Naval Affairs participation in international affairs and the country’s overall relationship to the rest of the world. The U.S. role in the world can be viewed as establishing the overall context or framework for U.S. policymakers for developing, implementing, and measuring the success of U.S. policies and actions on specific international issues, and for foreign countries or other observers for interpreting and understanding U.S. actions on the world stage. While descriptions of the traditional U.S. role in the world since the end of World War II vary in their specifics, it can be described in general terms as consisting of four key elements: global leadership; defense and promotion of the liberal international order; defense and promotion of freedom, democracy, and human rights; and prevention of the emergence of regional hegemons in Eurasia. The issue for Congress is whether the U.S. role in the world has changed, and if so, what implications this might have for the United States and the world. A change in the U.S. role could have significant and even profound effects on U.S. security, freedom, and prosperity. It could significantly affect U.S. policy in areas such as relations with allies and other countries, defense plans and programs, trade and international finance, foreign assistance, and human rights. -
Beyond a ‘New Beginning’ Obama Administration Middle East Policy
Proceedings of the 2009 Weinberg Founders Conference Beyond a ‘New Beginning’ Obama Administration Middle East Policy October 16–18, 2009 Proceedings of the 2009 Weinberg Founders Conference Beyond a ‘New Beginning’ Obama Administration Middle East Policy October 16–18, 2009 The Washington Institute for Near East Policy 1828 L Street NW, Suite 1050, Washington, DC 20036 (202) 452-0650 All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. © 2009 by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy Published in 2009 in the United States of America by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 1828 L Street NW, Suite 1050, Washington, DC 20036. Design by Daniel Kohan, Sensical Design and Communication Photography by Rick Reinhard Editor’s Note These conference proceedings are presented as edited summaries of speeches and panel discussions, and should not be cited as actual transcripts of speaker remarks. Visit www.washingtoninstitute.org for audio and video of the presentations. n n n The opinions expressed herein are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, its Board of Trustees, or its Board of Advisors. Table of Contents Preface ix Robert Satloff Executive director, The Washington Institute Speaker Biographies xi Obama and the Middle East: An Early Assessment 3 Jackson Diehl Deputy editorial page editor, Washington Post Mortimer Zuckerman Editor in chief, U.S. -
Jan '20 Blockfile.Pdf
A2 AFF A2: Sanctions hurt civilians (Topshelf OV) A2 Oil Price Spikes A2 Debt Restructuring IMF Debt Restructuring/SAP’s A2 Oil Production A2: Fuel Shortages A2: Low Oil Causes Diversification (A2 NEG) A2 Brain Drain A2 Scapegoating A2: Guaido won’t become president A2: A2: Social Programs A2: Maduro Militarization Responsible for the Problem 1. Militarization is not responsible for the problem A2: China 1. Reuters 19 explains China distancing itself from Venezuela. In August, China National Petroleum Corp, one of the largest foreign investors in Venezuela’s oil sector, stopped lifting crude from Venezuelan ports due to worries about sanctions, and China’s imports of Venezuelan crude fell to zero last month, as it imports more oil from Malaysia. A2: Regional Instability Venezuela crisis doesn’t trigger regional instability A2: 40,000 Dead The foundational statistic for the 40,000 dead is false The methodology for the 40,000 dead claim is flawed A2: Sanctions Reduced Oil Production Many other causes of economic decline A2 Neg A2 Colombia War A2 Targeted Sanctions A2 Economic Reforms Topshelf A2 Privatizing Oil A2 Dollarization A2 Price controls A2 Diversification A2 CITGO A2 Hezbollah A2 Sanctions Cut Financing A2 Opposition Regime Ousts Hezbollah A2 Regime Change Topshelf A2: Elections = Guaido A2 Opposition Protests A2 Anything w/ Funding A2 Turning Military A2: Can’t pay military A2 Invasion (Impact) Sanctions Lead to Intervention Rhetoric A2: War Hawks A2: Florida A2: Colombian War A2: Trump wants oil A2 Negotiations (Impact) A2 Strain -
Leopoldo López Background Briefer
Leopoldo López Background Briefer Table of Contents 1. Fact Sheet: Leopoldo López 2. “The Poster Boy” – Peter Wilson, Foreign Policy 3. “Venezuela’s Failing State” – Leopoldo López, The New York Times 4. “Venezuela’s Crackdown on Opposition” – Editorial Board, The New York Times 5. White Paper on the Case Of Leopoldo López Mendoza v. Government Of The Bolivarian Republic Of Venezuela – Jared Genser, Jose Antonio Maes 6. How You Can Help “WE ARE LIVING IN A DARK HELD PRISONER TO SILENCE DISSENT On February 18, Leopoldo Lopez, the most prominent leader of the TIME WHEN CRIMINALS Venezuelan opposition movement, was arrested on charges of murder, terrorism and conspiracy. ARE REWARDED AND THEY According to Human Rights Watch, the government provided no evidence linking WANT TO IMPRISON THE Lopez to any crime, “just insults and conspiracy theories.” Amnesty International called the arrest “A politically motivated VENEZUELANS WHO attempt to silence dissent.” WANT PEACEFUL, The New York Times reported that Lopez “has routinely called for peaceful protests,” and that the government has “provided no evidence for the charges but DEMOCRATIC CHANGE.” havedemonized Lopez in speeches...on government-controlled television and radio.” – Leopoldo Lopez, February 19, 2014 Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in a televised address that evening: "I said, 'Send him to jail,' and that's what happened and that's what will happen with all of the fascists.” Lopez is currently being held in Ramo Verde, a military prison outside of Caracas. He faces a hearing held at the military prison, away from public view. His lawyers have noted that holding such a hearing outside of a court of law is in violation of the constitution. -
The Saban Forum a U.S.–Israel Dialogue
The Saban Forum A U.S.–Israel Dialogue War and Peace in the Middle East November 3-5, 2007 Jerusalem 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036 USA Phone: 202-797-6462, Fax: 202-797-2481 www.brookings.edu/sabancenter A Letter from Haim Saban Welcome to Jerusalem and the fourth annual Saban Forum. We are honored to welcome back many participants and privileged to have new guests join us. We are also grateful to those who traveled long distances to be here with us. This year’s Saban Forum, “War and Peace in the Middle East,” comes on the eve of the planned international peace meeting in Annapolis, Maryland, which may lead to the resumption of Israeli-Palestinian final status negotiations. That would be a silver lining in some of the dark clouds that threaten the Middle East’s horizon, from sectarian strife in Iraq, to Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and Islamic extremist challenges to the existing order. Our overall purpose in this year’s dialogue is to assess the prospects for both war and peace in the Middle East and consider what the United States and Israel can do about both challenges. We aim to foster a candid exchange of views among people with diverse experience and deep knowledge. As in past years, we are avoiding set-piece speeches in favor of short opening presentations and even shorter interventions. This year, we have also reduced the number of sessions, allowing for more time within each session for the dialogue. Because we want to hear from all of you, please be succinct and to the point.