4 September 2020 Equity Research Europe European Fibre Networks V Building the gigabit society – incumbent deployments accelerating Integrated Telecommunication Services | Theme Summary: In our fifth annual review of fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) in Europe, we look at Research Analysts the current landscape for both public and private fibre network deployment. FTTH deployments are accelerating across Europe (and in our view will accelerate further) and we Jakob Bluestone, CFA expect fibre assets to re-rate over time. We introduce our FTTH market dashboard for 44 20 7883 0834 ranking future FTTH investment opportunities.
[email protected] Fibre deployment accelerating: In Western Europe, nearly 40% of premises were passed Ben Lyons by FTTH at end-2019 with the pace of deployment accelerating +15% to 12.5m incremental 44 20 7888 8742
[email protected] premises passed. We expect a further +10% acceleration in homes passed in 2020 and FTTH coverage to reach 74% by 2024. In particular, incumbent deployments are picking up; Paul Sidney e.g. in the UK, France and the Netherlands, incumbents are accelerating build. 44 20 7888 6015
[email protected] Demand growing but still lagging: FTTH uptake is lagging deployment, with 15% of premises taking FTTH-broadband, but we expect this to rise to 33% by 2024. We believe Evgeny Kudinov in a post-COVID-19 world, demand for fixed connectivity generally – and FTTH in particular 44 20 7888 1791 – will be higher. We also expect FTTH to take share from cable, which has tended to lose
[email protected] market share when faced with FTTH-based infrastructure competition.