Causes and Consequences of Kenya's Military Intervention In
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Causes and Consequences of Kenya’s military intervention in Somalia Yirgu Alemu Center for African Studies For Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts in African Studies (Citizenship and State in Africa) Addis Ababa University Advisor: Dr, Yasin Mohammed (PhD) June, 2014 Addis Ababa 0 Acknowledgement I would like to express my special gratitude to my advisor Dr. Yasin Mohammed whose incredible contributions were essential not only for the successful accomplishment of this thesis but also for my academic life in general. My deepest thank also goes to my sweetheart Sr, Tadelech Desta for her prayer and moral support throughout the course of my educational career from high school to second degree. My final thank is to my lovely sons Bekalkidan, Beamlak and Bemenet. i Table of contents Pages Acknowledgment ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- i Table of Contents --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ii List of Tables -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- v List of Maps --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- v Acronyms ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------vi Glossary ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ viii Abstract --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ix Chapter One ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 1. Introduction ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 1.1 Background of the study ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 1. 2 Statement of the problem --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.3 Objectives of the study ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7 1.4 Significance of the study ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 1.5 Scope of the study ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8 1.6 Limitations of the study ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 1.7 Organization of the Study --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 Chapter Two --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 2. Methodology and Study Area---------------------------------------------------------- ------------------ 9 2.1 Methodology ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9 2.1.1 Review of Documents ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9 2.1.2 Media monitoring ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 2.1.3 Procedures of Data Analysis ---------------------------------------------------------------- 10 2.1.4 Ethical considerations ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 10 2.2 Study Area-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 2.2.1 Somalia------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------- 10 2.2.2 Kenya--------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------- 12 Chapter Three ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 15 3. Review of Related Literature ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 ii Chapter Four --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 22 4.Conceptual and theoretical framework of foreign military intervention ----------- 22 4.1 Foreign military intervention ----------------------------------------------------- 22 4.1.1 Conceptual Debates on Military Intervention ----------------------------- 23 4.1.2 The Concept of Military Intervention ----------------------------------------------------- 23 4.1.3 The New Interventionist Debate ----------------------------------------------------------- 25 4.1.4 African Cases of Military Intervention ---------------------------------------------------- 27 4.1.5 The Case of Somalia, 1992------------------------------------------------------- ---------- 28 4.1.6 British Intervention in Sierra leone, 2000 ------------------------------------------------- 29 4.2. Theoretical Approaches to Military Intervention ---------------------------------------------- 31 4.2.1. Constructivism ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31 4.2.2. Pluralism -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 32 4.2.3. Idealism --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 34 4.2.4. Realism----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- 35 Chapter Five--------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------- 36 5. Causes and Consequences of Kenya‟s Military Intervention in Somalia ------------------------- 36 5.1. Causes of Kenya‟s Military intervention in Somalia ------------------------------------------ 36 5.1.1. Political Causes ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 36 5.1.1.1 Security threat -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 36 5.1.1.2 Defending Territorial integrity ------------------------------------------------------- 38 5.1.1.3 Domestic military dynamics --------------------------------------------------------- 41 5.1.1.4. Internal Political dynamics ---------------------------------------------------------- 42 5.1.1.5. Strategic interest of creating a buffer zone ---------------------------------------- 45 5.1.2 Economic Causes ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 47 5.1.2.1. The Question of oil ------------------------------------------------------------------- 47 5.1.2.2. Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia Transport Corridor Project ---------------- 49 5.1.3 Social cause ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 51 5.2. Consequences of Kenyan Military Intervention in Somalia ---------------------------------- 55 5.2.1 Casualties -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 55 5.2.2 Retaliatory attacks on Kenya --------------------------------------------------------------- 56 5.2.3 The repatriation of Refugee ----------------------------------------------------------------- 61 iii 5.2.4 The formation of Juba land ----------------------------------------------------------------- 63 5.2.5 Strengthening of African Union Mission in Somalia ----------------------------------- 67 5.2.6 Kenya‟s financial instability ---------------------------------------------------------------- 69 5.2.7 Further Militancy in Kenyan ---------------------------------------------------------------- 70 5.2.8 Al Shabaab‟s loss of strong holds ---------------------------------------------------------- 72 5.2.9 Alienating Kenyan Somalis ----------------------------------------------------------------- 73 Chapter Six --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 75 6. Recommendation and Conclusion ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 75 6.1. Conclusion ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 75 6.2. Recommendation ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 76 References ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 79 Appendixes iv List of Tables Table 1: Value of Kenyan military spending, 2010–13 ---------------------------------------- 42 Table 2: Masters of Jubaland since the collapse of the central Somali state in 1991 ------ 63 List of Pictures Picture 1: Kenya‟s defense force in Somalia ---------------------------------------------------- 36 Picture 2: Westgate-Mall outside view before the attack -------------------------------------- 58 Picture 3: Westgate-Mall inside view before the attack --------------------------------------- 59 Picture 4 :West gate outside view during the attack ------------------------------------------- 59 Picture 5:West gate inside view during the attack --------------------------------------------- 60 v Acronyms AlAI: Al Ittihad Al Islamiyya AMISOM: African Union Mission in Somalia ASWJ: Ahlu Sunna Wal Jama AU: African Union DRA: Department of Refugee Affairs ECOMOG: Economic Community of West African States Monitoring Group EU: European Union HIPS: Heritage Institute for Policy Studies IDP: Internally displaced persons IGAD: Inter-Governmental Authority on Development KADU: Kenyan African Democratic Union KANU: Kenyan African National Union KDF: Kenyan Defense Forces LAPSSET: Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia Transport Corridor MP: Members of Parliament MYC: Muslim Youth Center NARC: National Alliance Rainbow Coalition NFD: Northern Frontier District NFD: Northern