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©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution CONCLUSION 340. The Poverty Reduction and Growth Strategy (SCRP) is the new unifying framework for all sectoral strategies and constitutes the background document for government interventions for the period 2007-2009. Serving as an operationalization framework for the government's Strategic Development Approaches (SDAs), the 2007-2009 SCRP was prepared with the participation of all segments of Beninese society. 341. The success of this strategy will depend largely on its degree of ownership by the various stakeholders concerned. It thus requires that: • the units responsible for implementing the strategy, both at the governmental level and at the level of grassroots communities, effectively own its content; • the government makes sustained efforts to mobilize resources and utilize them on a priority basis for the effective implementation of the strategy, in accordance with the Paris Declaration; • institutional and human capacities are strengthened at all levels (central and local); • the actions of the government’s technical and financial partners fall within and are harmonized with the frame of reference represented by the SCRP. 342. To minimize all these risks, the government intends to strengthen and perpetuate the periodic consultations with all stakeholders and to implement a high-performance monitoring and evaluation system that will make it possible at all times to assess the progress made and plan the necessary corrective measures. 343. In order to render the SCRP operational, the government prepared a Priority Action Program (PAP) for SCRP implementation. This PAP recapitulates the investments that will enhance the visibility of the major measures and actions which will help to accelerate growth and reduce poverty. It links the SCRP, the different sectoral strategies, and the program budgets of the ministries. 108 ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution ANNEXES Annex 1: Principal macroeconomic indicators of the central scenario Annex 2: Education, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 3: Health, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 4: Road infrastructure, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 5: Water and energy, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 6: Rural development, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 7: Environment, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 8: Gender, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 Annex 9: Medium-term expenditure framework as a percentage of GDP Annex 10: Medium-term expenditure framework as a percentage of total expenditure Annex 11: Distribution of the population according to the socioeconomic characteristics of the head of household and the standard of living Annex 12: Determinants of poverty in Benin, 2006 Annex 13: Access to water and education, 2006 Annex 14: Monetary poverty indices, 2006 and 2002 109 ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution ANNEXES Annex 15: Principal macroeconomic indicators of the central scenario 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Change % Nominal GDP growth rate 3.5 7.4 5.3 9.0 9.8 10.5 Real GDP growth rate 3.1 2.9 3.6 6.0 6.8 7.5 As % of GDP Saving – investment Investment ratio 20.7 18.2 22.4 23.6 24.4 25.2 Public 5.6 6.3 7.6 8.6 9.5 9.9 Private 15.1 11.9 14.8 15.0 14.9 15.3 Gross domestic saving 12.2 10.1 13.3 16.5 17.7 19.1 Public 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.2 6.7 7.5 Private 7.0 4.6 7.4 10.3 10.9 11.7 National saving 13.6 13.5 16.3 17.8 18.9 20.3 Saving – investment balance -7.1 -4.6 -6.2 -5.8 -5.5 -4.9 TOFE Total revenue 16.4 16.7 17.0 17.6 18.0 18.1 Tax revenue 14.6 14.5 15.1 15.8 16.2 16.3 Nontax revenue 1.8 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 Total expenditure 19.9 21.3 22.1 24.4 25.0 24.6 Wage bill 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.5 Public investment 5.6 6.3 7.6 8.6 9.5 9.9 Budgetary contribution to investment 2.7 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.6 4.9 Primary balance (narrow definition) -0.3 -1.4 -0.9 -1.5 -1.6 -1.2 Overall deficit (payment-order basis) -3.5 -4.6 -5.1 -6.8 -6.9 -6.5 External sector Exports 14.0 13.0 11.7 12.5 13.4 14.0 Imports 20.8 19.8 19.5 18.9 19.3 19.0 Trade balance -6.7 -6.7 -7.8 -6.4 -5.9 -5.0 Openness ratio 34.8 32.8 31.2 31.4 32.7 33.0 Current balance (- = deficit) -7.1 -4.6 -6.2 -5.8 -5.5 -4.9 Overall balance -2.9 1.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 Debt indicators Debt stock/GDP (%) 38.6 40.0 21.9 21.9 23.2 23.3 Debt stock/goods and services exports (%) 199.5 222.3 133.4 124.9 123.8 118.9 Debt service/goods and services exports (%) 11.9 7.6 8.9 8.4 8.3 8.0 p.m. GDP in CFAF billions 2140.0 2298.7 2420.6 2637.7 2896.6 3200.9 110 ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution Sectoral MTEFs and related indicators Annex 16: Education, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Education sector expenditure (in CFAF billions) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Compensation 29.8 33.7 37.8 Operating expenditure 8.7 9.5 10.4 Transfers 29.4 32.4 35.7 Investment 28.7 30.6 32.6 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Total 97.8 106.2 116.5 ______________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________________ Education sector expenditure by program (in CFAF billions) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Preschool education 1.18 1.40 1.69 Primary education 72.08 76.64 81.67 Secondary education 20.40 24.88 29.61 Adult literacy 3.05 3.27 3.55 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Total 96.70 106.20 116.52 ______________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________________ Related indicators ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Preschool enrollment rate (%) 6.5 7.6 8.9 Ratio of pupils/preschool education center 51 51 51 Gross enrollment rate (%) 97.2 97.6 98.0 Ratio of pupils/class 48 47 46 Ratio of pupils/teacher 50 48 47 Exclusion rate in secondary education (%) 17.0 15.5 14.0 Ratio of pupils/teacher 28 28 28 Adult literacy rate (%) 69.0 72.9 76.8 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 111 ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution Annex 17: Health, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Health sector expenditure (in CFAF billions) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Compensation 14.99 17.99 18.84 Operating expenditure 6.01 7.58 8.61 Transfers 19.02 25.31 26.44 Investment 16.25 17.28 18.51 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Total 56.3 68.2 72.4 ______________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________________ Health sector expenditure by program (in CFAF billions) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Public health programs 24.02 30.31 34.44 Malaria 4.40 4.88 4.94 Tuberculosis – transfers 0.28 0.32 0.34 Child health – investment 12.42 16.07 18.68 Maternal health 3.14 3.54 3.62 HIV/AIDS 3.79 5.50 6.87 Management cost 6.01 7.58 8.61 Construction and equipment 10.86 11.88 10.09 Center rehabilitation 0.39 0.40 0.41 Maintenance 0.17 0.18 0.18 Operating cost 14.99 17.99 18.84 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Total 56.27 68.15 72.39 ______________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________________ Related indicators ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Malaria incidence rate (per 1,000 persons) 119 119 119 Tuberculosis incidence rate (per 100,000 persons) 87 87 87 Child health coverage rate HIV prevalence rate ______________________________________________________________________________________ 112 ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution Annex 18: Road infrastructure, cost of attaining the MDGs, 2007-2009 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Road infrastructure sector expenditure (in CFAF billions) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007 2008 2009 ______________________________________________ Compensation 10.00 12.00 12.00 Operating expenditure 26.60 25.84 22.15 Transfers Investment 39.81 40.99 52.26 ______________________________________________________________________________________ Total 76.4 78.8 86.4 ______________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________________ Road infrastructure sector expenditure by program (in CFAF billions) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2007
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