Investor Presentation Q1FY17
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Idea Cellular Limited Confidential 1 Presentation Segments Indian Mobile Telecom • Industry & Idea Performance Snapshot The Emerging Mobile Data Opportunity • Spectrum Auctions 2016 Industry Projections Idea Digital Services Indian Tower Industry & Opportunities Confidential 2 Presentation Segments Indian Mobile Telecom • Industry & Idea Performance Snapshot The Emerging Mobile Data Opportunity • Spectrum Auctions 2016 Industry Projections Idea Digital Services Indian Tower Industry & Opportunities Confidential 3 Confidential India Subscriber Penetration Large headroom for new subscribers addition in India India Mobility Active Subs - VLR (Mn) India Subscriber Penetration - VLR % 1000 936 90% 863 900 • India subscribers on VLR penetration remains 791 85% 800 723 low @ 73.7% v/s Global average @ 92.1% 683 80% 700 (Global subs: 7.3 Bn, Active: 6.8 Bn)^ 75% 600 500 70% • Indian Industry adding ~70 Mn active 400 73.7% 68.7% 65% subscribers per annum consistently for the last 300 63.8% 60% 200 3 years 59.0% 55% 100 56.5% 0 50% • Idea subscribers on VLR v/s reported subs Mar '12 Mar '13 Mar '14 Mar '15 Mar '16 Net Adds highest @ 105% against Indian Industry’s 91% 112 (Mn.) 40 68 72 74 (Mar ‘16) India India India India Rural Subs Urban Subs Rural Penetration Urban Penetration 1200 200% 1000 162.8% 148.7% 150% • Over the last 4 years, all Indian subscriber 800 addition has come from rural geographies 555.7 588.8 600 595.9 525.3 532.7 100% • Despite that, India rural subscriber penetration 400 38.3% 50.9% 50% remains low at 50.9% 200 323.3 342.5 371.8 414.2 444.8 0 0% • Rural segment key strength of Idea Total FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Reported 919 868 905 970 1,033 Subs (Mn.) 4 Source: TRAI Reports, ^ GSMA Intelligence, Q1 2016 Confidential Idea gaining amongst the highest incremental subscriber Net Adds share over last 4 years Industry & Idea EoP Subscriber trend Industry & Idea Net Annual Subs Addition trend (in Mn.) (in Mn.) Idea EoP Subscriber Industry EoP Subscriber Idea EoP Subs Market Share Idea Annual Subs Industry Annual Subs Idea Incr. Subs Market Share 936.5 862.6 112.0 790.9 723.0 682.9 19.6% 18.7% 71.8 73.8 67.9 17.4% 37.2% 16.6% 32.8% 30.5% 15.4% 40.0 26.0% 19.6% 183.9 23.5 22.5 105.3 120.2 137.9 161.4 22.0 14.9 17.7 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 EoP Subscriber Net Subscriber Net Subs iCMS - EoP Subscribers (Mn.) EoP Subscriber Share Operator Share change Adds Add Share CMS FY12 FY15 FY16 FY12 FY15 FY16 4 years 1 year 4 years 1 year 4 years 1 year Avg 4 yrs Idea 105.3 161.4 183.9 15.4% 18.7% 19.6% 4.2% 0.9% 78.6 22.5 31.0% 30.5% 11.4% Bharti 166.3 215.9 245.4 24.3% 25.0% 26.2% 1.9% 1.2% 79.1 29.5 31.2% 39.9% 5.0% Voda 133.5 175.1 190.9 19.5% 20.3% 20.4% 0.8% 0.1% 57.4 15.8 22.6% 21.5% 2.3% Rest of Ind. 277.8 310.3 316.3 40.7% 36.0% 33.8% -6.9% -2.2% 38.4 6.0 15.2% 8.1% -18.6% Total 682.9 862.6 936.5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 253.5 73.8 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% No. 2 Gap 28.2 13.7 7.0 4.1% 1.6% 0.7% 5 Source: TRAI Reports Confidential Idea – The fastest growing Indian Telco for straight 8 years Consistently growing at 2X the pace of industry Industry & Idea Revenue trend Industry & Idea Annual Incr. Revenue trend (in Rs Cr) (in Rs Cr) Idea Revenue Industry Revenue Idea RMS (%) Idea Annual Incr. Revenue Industry Annual Incr. Revenue Idea Annual Incr. RMS (%) +5.4% 193,010 17,827 18,600 44.0% +10.8% 183,161 +9.3% +9.2% 165,335 151,234 14,101 138,445 18.9% 12,789 9,849 17.5% 29.8% 29.8% 16.2% 14.9% 14.3% 21.5% 21.6% +18.6% +19.8% +13.5% +13.9% 5,304 36,409 3,993 4,199 4,335 19,813 22,571 26,770 32,074 2,758 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 In USD Bn In USD Bn Ind. 20.9 22.8 24.9 27.6 29.1 Ind. 2.8 1.9 2.1 2.7 1.5 Idea 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.8 5.5 Idea 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 Revenue (in Rs Cr) RMS (%) Revenue Growth (%) Annual Incr. RMS iRMS - RMS Operator FY12 FY15 FY16 FY12 FY15 FY16 4 years 1 year 4 years 1 year Avg 4 yrs Idea 19,813 32,074 36,409 14.3% 17.5% 18.9% 16.4% 13.5% 30.4% 44.0% 11.6% Bharti 41,344 56,272 60,687 29.9% 30.7% 31.4% 10.1% 7.8% 35.4% 44.8% 4.0% Vodafone 30,659 42,601 44,643 22.1% 23.3% 23.1% 9.8% 4.8% 25.6% 20.7% 2.5% Rest of Ind. 46,628 52,214 51,271 33.7% 28.5% 26.6% 2.4% -1.8% 8.5% -9.6% -18.1% Total 138,445 183,161 193,010 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 8.7% 5.4% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% No. 2 Gap 10,846 10,526 8,234 7.8% 5.7% 4.3% 6 Source: Gross revenue as per TRAI Reports 1 USD = 66.33 INR Confidential Idea – The fastest growing Indian Telco for straight 8 years A Clear #2 in Incremental Revenue Market Share RMS IRMS (Q1) Q1 FY13-17 FY13-17 FY16-17 32.6% 32.4% 31.1% 31.3% Airtel 30.8% 39.4% 53.4% 30.1% [ +2.4% ] 29.8% Rest of Ind. 28.7% 26.6% 4.5% -2.7% 25.0% [ -7.4% ] 23.3% 23.2% 23.3% 23.2% Vodafone 22.5% 25.2% 21.7% [ +0.7% ] 18.7% 19.2% Idea 17.1% 16.2% [ +4.2% ] 30.9% 27.6% 14.9% Details of Rest of Ind. 8.6% 7.7% Tata [ -2.1% ] 6.9% 6.5% Aircel [+0.7% ] 5.7% [ -2.4% ] 5.0% 4.8% BSNL 4.3% 4.5% RCom [ -2.8% ] 3.5% Others [ -0.8% ] Q1FY13 Q1FY14 Q1FY15 Q1FY16 Q1FY17 7 Source: Gross revenue as per TRAI Reports Confidential Idea Mobile Voice & Data Segment Performance Gaining both Revenue and Traffic share Voice* Revenue (Rs Cr) Minutes of Usage (Bn Minutes) Ind. Voice* Revenue Idea Voice* Revenue Idea Voice* RMS (%) Ind. Minutes Volume Idea Minutes Volume Idea Minutes Volume Share (%) YoY rev. grow th FY15 FY16 YoY mins grow th FY15 FY16 200,000 Ind. Growth 5.9% 0.7% 20.0% 6,000 20.0% Ind. Growth 6.4% 6.8% Idea Growth 12.6% 7.1% $ 24 Bn 180,000 Idea Growth 16.3% 15.0% 158,166 159,266 5,000 160,000 149,311 18.5% 19.0% 4,474 4,187 17.6% 18.0% 140,000 3,934 178% 4,000 16.3% 120,000 17.4% 18.0% 35.8% 100,000 3,000 14.9% 16.0% 35% 37.8% 80,000 16.4% 17.0% 2,000 60,000 $ 4.45 Bn 14.0% 40,000 24,459 27,537 29,495 16.0% 786 1,000 588 683 20,000 - 15.0% - 12.0% FY14 FY15 FY16 FY14 FY15 FY16 Data Revenue (Rs Cr) Data Volume (Bn MB) Ind. Data Revenue Idea Data Revenue Idea Data RMS (%) Ind. Data Volume Idea Data Volume Idea Data Volume Share (%) 40,000 $ 5.1 Bn 24.0% 1,800 24.0% YoY rev. grow th FY15 FY16 YoY vol. grow th FY15 FY16 33,742 1,600 1,541 35,000 Ind. Growth 56.0% 35.0% Ind. Growth 66% 64% 22.0% 22.0% Idea Growth 96.3% 52.4% 20.5% 1,400 Idea Growth 117% 73% 30,000 19.3% 24,996 20.0% 1,200 20.0% 25,000 27.2% 18.2% 943 18.3% 1,000 20.9% 20,000 24.8% 18.0% 18.0% 16,023 800 24.7% 15,000 566 600 16.0% 14.4% $ 1.05 Bn 16.0% 14.0% 10,000 6,914 400 298 4,538 14.0% 173 14.0% 5,000 2,311 200 79 - 12.0% - 12.0% FY14 FY15 FY16 FY14 FY15 FY16 * Voice (+ others including VAS) revenue = TRAI reported Gross Revenue less Data Revenue 8 All figures are estimated based on TRAI PI reports Figures in Green indicate incremental market share figures. Confidential Idea delivering consistent Revenue & EBITDA growth CAGR of 16.3% Revenue, 27.8% EBITDA & 10.4% margin improvement over past 4 years Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Margin % (Rs Cr) (Rs Cr) 33.1% 31.0% +2.2% EBITDA Margin 27.7% +3.2% +4.0% 22.7% +1.0% 23.7% +14.0% 35,967 +19.1% 31,555 +4,412 +17.3% 26,504 +5,051 +14.8% 22,595 +3,909 Revenue 19,680 +2,915 +21.9% +33.0% 11,910 +37.3% 9,768 +2,142 +19.8% 7,347 +2,421 5,352 +1,995 4,466 +886 EBITDA ($ Mn) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Rev 2,967 3,406 3,996 4,757 5,422 EBITDA 673 807 1,108 1,473 1,796 Based on Idea standalone + 100% subsidiaries financials as per IGAAP 9 1 USD = 66.33 INR Confidential Idea – Revenue growth & scale benefit translating into Margin improvement; Closing gap with No.