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2020-2030 Comprehensive Plan CITY OF Ba÷nSOUTH w e ll CAROLINA 2021 - 2031 Comprehensive Plan 2020-2030 Comprehensive Plan Prepared by Lower Savannah Council of Governments on behalf of the City of Barnwell Planning Commission 2021-2031 Comprehensive Plan City of Barnwell Planning Commission Barnwell City Council Michael Peters, Chair Billy Dozier, District 1 Andy Thompson Peggy Kinlaw, District 2 Sheridan Bolen Alicia Davis, District 3 Garnette Alexander Jimbo Moody, District 4 Bennie Wiggins Jr. Robert S. Pattillo, District 5 Shelby Broomfield Pickens Williams Sr., District 6 Mayor Marcus Rivera City Administrator Lynn McEwen Table of Contents Introduction ......................................................................................................................................i Chapter 1: Population Element ...................................................................................................... 1 Chapter 2: Economic Element ........................................................................................................ 9 Chapter 3: Natural Resources Element ........................................................................................ 19 Chapter 4: Historic and Cultural Resources Element ................................................................... 27 Chapter 5: Community Facilities Element .................................................................................... 35 Chapter 6: Housing Element ......................................................................................................... 47 Chapter 7: Land Use Element ....................................................................................................... 53 Chapter 8: Transportation Element .............................................................................................. 61 Chapter 9: Priority Investment Element ....................................................................................... 74 APPENDIX: Goals and Implementation Strategies Timeline ........................................................ 80 City of Barnwell Comprehensive Plan 2021-2031 DRAFT Introduction The South Carolina Local Government Comprehensive Planning Enabling Act of 1994 requires all units of local government utilizing zoning or land use controls to complete and adopt a comprehensive plan. The law requires that an independent board of local citizens called a Planning Commission act as an advisory committee to the governing body on constructing and adopting the plan. The objectives of the planning process are to develop an inventory of the community’s historical and existing conditions and trends and to develop goals and objectives regarding community growth and development. These goals and objectives communicate the suggested policy directions for the local government. The comprehensive planning process consists of three separate, but equally important steps. The first step is designed to provide an inventory of facts and to undertake a fundamental analysis of community issues. This account of existing conditions will be used in subsequent decisions in the planning process. During the inventory process, basic information and statistics from the community are analyzed to identify historical trends and current conditions as well as to uncover potential problems or opportunities in the city. In the second step of the planning process, the needs and goals of the community are generated from the analysis of the community’s historical and existing conditions. In this step, the Planning Commission decides which trends or issues encountered in step one are important enough to warrant further attention or action from the local government. Once these issues are identified, it is necessary to decide the overall goals of the community. The final step in the planning process involves developing a plan of action for achieving the City’s goals. This implementation strategy identifies specific activities, programs, or policies to be carried out by the local government to address the identified objectives. Nine different elements have been inventoried and analyzed in the plan to determine the City of Barnwell’s needs and future development strategies. These elements include population, economic conditions, natural resources, historic and cultural resources, housing, transportation, community facilities, priority investment area and land use. Ultimately, the Comprehensive Plan should be utilized as a guide for policymakers to develop consistent and reasonable solutions that promote the goals of the plan. Community growth and development and the policies subsequently established should be developed in accordance with the implementation strategies of the Comprehensive Plan. i City of Barnwell Comprehensive Plan 2021-2031 DRAFT Chapter One: Population Element The population element of the Comprehensive Plan relates to the people residing in the City of Barnwell, South Carolina. This element includes information on the number of people, population trends, and selected characteristics of the population. Included in this section of the report is data provided by the United Sates Census Bureau, Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) and American Fact Finder and ESRI Business Analyst. This information is provided to give decision-makers an understanding of how the population affects the existing and future potential of an area. A. BACKGROUND AND INVENTORY OF EXISTING CONDITIONS Key factors of population changes over time include births, deaths and migration. While births and deaths change gradually over time, migration trends can be more dramatic from one decade to another due to economic circumstances. The population trend of the City of Barnwell is shown below in Table 1.1. Recent census estimations indicate that the City of Barnwell has experienced a drop in population since the 2000s. The US Census estimates a total population of 4,367 people in 2018, compared to 5,035 in 2000. The population decreased from 2000 to 2010 by an estimated 285 persons or 5.7% and from 2010 to 2018 by an estimate 383 or 8%. The decline in population seen during these times may be attributed to various factors that could include, decrease in available job opportunities for skilled workers and slow rebound from the 2008-2010 housing crash. Table 1.1: Population for County Incorporated Places, 2000- 2018 Municipality 2000 2010 2018 (est.) Barnwell 5,035 4,750 4,367 Blackville 2,973 2,406 2,217 Elko 212 193 180 Hilda 436 447 418 Kline 238 197 184 Snelling 246 274 259 Williston 3,307 3,139 2,932 Barnwell County 23,478 22,621 21,112 Source: US Census Bureau, ACS 5-year Estimates The population trends from the City of Barnwell and the other incorporated municipalities of Barnwell County are shown in Table 1.1. Overall, Barnwell County’s population has experienced a decline in population. 1 City of Barnwell Comprehensive Plan 2021-2031 DRAFT While the City of Barnwell has seen moderate to slight population decline since 2000, ESRI forecast projects that the City of Barnwell will show a flat to slight increase in population growth by 2024 with a population of 4,424. Figure 1.1 below depicts the fluctuation in the population of the municipalities within Barnwell County from 2000 – 2018. Figure 1.1 Population of Municipalities in Barnwell County, 2000 - 2018 Population of Municipalities in Barnwell County 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 Population 2,000 1,000 0 Barnwell Blackville Elko Hilda Kline Snelling Williston Municipality 2000 2010 2018 Population Composition The City of Barnwell has generally experienced some change in racial composition since 2000. Over a ten-year period, the African American population has increased by about 2.6% and the white population showed a decrease of about 15.3%. Table 1.2 shows the racial population trends in the city by total number and percentage of the total population for 2000 through 2010. There were 31 people of Hispanic descent in the City of Barnwell in 2000 and 47 in 2010. For Census purposes, Hispanic is considered an ethnic group rather than a race. Hispanic persons are counted in one of the racial groups in the table 1.2. The Census Bureau’s ACS estimates project the city’s Hispanic population as 126 in 2017, representing approximately 2.8% of the total population. 2 City of Barnwell Comprehensive Plan 2021-2031 DRAFT Table 1.2: City of Barnwell Population Characteristics, 2000-2010 Race 2000 % of Total 2010 % of Total Black or African American 2,385 47.4% 2,448 51.5% White 2,508 49.8% 2,116 44.5% American Indian and Alaska Native 2,385 20 0.4% 2,448 11 0.2% Asian 53 1.1% 72 1.5% Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 2,508 2 0.0% 2,116 3 0.1% Other 17 0.3% 20 0.4% Two or more Races 20 50 1.0% 11 80 1.7% Total 5,035 100% 4,750 100% 53 72 Source: US Census Bureau 2 3 Age Distribution 17 20 The age distribution of the population for the City50 of Barnwell is shown below80 in Table 1-3. The data shown in the table indicates that the largest percentage of persons in the City of Barnwell in 2017 were between the ages of 45-54, and followed5,035 by age group 25-34. 4,750 2,385 2,448 Table 1.3: City of Barnwell Age Distribution, 2000-2017 2017 % of Age Group 2000 % of Total 2010 % of Total (est.) Total Under 5 407 8.1% 342 7.2% 470 10.3% 5 to 9 364 7.2% 383 8.1% 433 9.5% 10 to 14 431 8.6% 336 7.1% 315 6.9% 15 to 19 363 7.2% 317 6.7% 358 7.9% 20 to 24 316 6.3% 303 6.4% 226 5.0% 25 to 34 671 13.3% 607 12.8% 485 10.7% 35 to 44 720 14.3% 543 11.4% 542 11.9% 45 to 54 617 12.3% 622 13.1% 548 12.0% 55 to 59 239 4.7% 312 6.6% 156 3.4% 60 to 64 164 3.3% 261 5.5% 271 6.0% 65 to 74 386 7.7% 342 7.2% 472 10.4% 75 to 84 278 5.5% 277 5.8% 193 4.2% 85 and over 79 1.6% 105 2.2% 83 1.8% Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% Sources: U.S. Census Bureau,5,035 ACS 5-year Estimates4,750 2013 -2017 4,552 Figure 1.2 below depicts the city’s age profile from 2000- 2017. This chart shows that there are higher numbers of working aged persons as well as older citizens. The 35-54 age group tends to 3 City of Barnwell Comprehensive Plan 2021-2031 DRAFT represent people whose needs generally revolve around their family. This data would indicate that the City of Barnwell is appealing for quality of life characteristic for families.
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