MARKET LENS 15612 Intraday Pick AUROPHARMA Resistance 15735 Intraday Pick GAIL 15789 Intraday Pick VEDL
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Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15680 IN FOCUS July 02 2021 Support 15646 Stock in Focus SUPREME INDUSTRIES MARKET LENS 15612 Intraday Pick AUROPHARMA Resistance 15735 Intraday Pick GAIL 15789 Intraday Pick VEDL EQUITY INDICES Indices Absolute Change Percentage Change Domestic Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD BSE Sensex 52,319 (164.1) (0.3%) 0.2% 9.6% CNX Nifty 15,680 (41.5) (0.3%) (0.1%) 12.2% S&P CNX 500 13,454 (19.5) (0.1%) 0.6% 16.8% SENSEX 50 16,442 (39.6) (0.2%) 0.1% 12.3% International Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD DJIA 34,634 131.0 0.4% 0.2% 13.2% NASDAQ 14,522 18.4 0.1% 6.7% 12.7% NIKKEI 28,810 102.5 0.4% (0.9%) 5.0% HANGSENG 28,429 (399.0) (1.4%) (1.9%) 4.4% ADRs / GDRs Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD Dr. Reddy’s Lab (ADR) 75.2 1.7 2.3% 4.5% 5.5% STOCK IN FOCUS Tata Motors (ADR) 23.0 0.2 0.8% 3.3% 82.3% f Supreme Industries (Supreme) is the largest player in Indian PVC Infosys (ADR) 21.0 (0.2) (1.1%) 9.5% 23.7% pipes segment with ~11% market share. Higher distribution network ICICI Bank (ADR) 17.1 0.0 0.1% (4.2%) 15.1% HDFC Bank (ADR) 72.3 (0.8) (1.1%) (5.8%) 0.1% and improved penetration across products supported the company’s Axis Bank (GDR) 50.2 (0.1) (0.2%) (1.6%) 18.7% market share gain as the smaller players moved out of the market. Reliance Ind (GDR) 56.0 (0.6) (1.1%) (7.7%) 2.4% f Supreme has a diversified products portfolio, vast distribution network and healthy operational cash flow. It continues to innovate COMMODITY MARKET Key Commodities Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD and launch newer products to maintain leadership position. Brent Crude ($/bl) 75.9 0.1 0.1% 6.5% 46.5% f The company has acquired land parcels in Odisha and Tamil Nadu. Silver ($/Oz) 26.1 (0.0) (0.1%) (5.0%) (1.7%) The Assam plant is being constructed on lease agreement basis. The Gold ($/Oz) 1,778.1 1.3 0.1% (5.1%) (6.7%) company aims to begin production at these new plants in FY22E. Copper LME ($/MT) 9,298.8 29.8 0.3% (5.3%) 19.9% Aluminium LME ($/MT) 2,511.8 4.3 0.2% 5.1% 26.9% f Contribution of value-added products (having higher EBITDA margin in the excess of 17% and higher RoCE of >25%) increased to ~38% in CURRENCY RATES FY20 from 25% in FY10. Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD f Considering expected higher revenue from value-added products, USD/INR 74.8 0.21 0.3% 2.2% 2.0% higher capex, rising market share, lean working capital and high EUR/INR 88.8 0.11 0.1% (0.4%) (1.3%) return ratio, we have BUY on Supreme with a 2-Year Target Price RATES of Rs2,606, valuing the stock at 36x of FY24E EPS. Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD T-Bill - 91 D 3.4 0.00 0.00 (0.01) 0.11 10 Year G-sec Yield 6.0 (0.01) 0.00 0.01 0.02 Intraday Picks AUROPHARMA (PREVIOUS CLOSE: 968) BUY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY (RS. CR) For today’s trade, long position can be initiated in the range of Rs 950- Category BUY SELL NET Prev 960 for the target of Rs.995 with a strict stop loss of Rs 945. FII 4,395.8 5,641.1 (1,245.3) (1,646.7) DII 4,721.5 3,840.9 880.6 1,520.2 GAIL (PREVIOUS CLOSE: 153) BUY For today’s trade, long position can be initiated in the range of Rs 149- EXCHANGE TURNOVER 151 for the target of Rs.158 with a strict stop loss of Rs 147. Exchange Rs Crore BSE Equity 4,462.1 VEDL (PREVIOUS CLOSE: 263) SELL BSE Derivatives 3,01,641.5 For today’s trade, short position can be initiated in the range of Rs 266- NSE Equity 53,261.4 268 for the target of Rs.258 with a strict stop loss of Rs 270. NSE Derivatives 84,09,744.7 1 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15680 IN FOCUS July 02 2021 Support 15646 Stock in Focus SUPREME INDUSTRIES MARKET LENS 15612 Intraday Pick AUROPHARMA Resistance 15735 Intraday Pick GAIL 15789 Intraday Pick VEDL Technical Research MARKET SYNOPSIS f On Thursday, NIFTY-50 opened at 15,755-level and resumed its prior daily falling trend. Later, even narrow range consolidation failed to save the index from extending loss. Finally, the index finished trade near to its intraday low of 15,667-level, with cut of 42 points. f NSE Cash segment reported turnover of Rs53,261 crore as compared to Rs58,496 crore reported earlier. f Overall market breadth remained negative, where 972 stocks advanced against 1,013 declined stocks. f Mixed trend was observed across sectoral indices during the day, where Pharma emerged as a top gainer with the increase of 0.9%. However, IT index emerged as a top loser with the decrease of 0.6%. NSE-NIFTY OUTLOOK f Yesterday, continuing its prior daily falling trend, NIFTY-50 slipped to 8-day low of 15,667-level. The index closed on negative note for fourth trading session in a row. Its hourly RSI is negatively poised and near to its oversold zone. Overall market breadth remained bearish, while mixed trend witnessed across major sectors. As per the current set-up, we believe the index could continue its undergoing negative momentum and may visit 15,550-level. On the higher side, the index will face hurdle at around 15,900-level. f As for the day, support is placed at around 15,646 and then at 15,612 levels, while resistance is observed at 15,735 and then at 15,789 levels. 2 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15680 IN FOCUS July 02 2021 Support 15646 Stock in Focus SUPREME INDUSTRIES MARKET LENS 15612 Intraday Pick AUROPHARMA Resistance 15735 Intraday Pick GAIL 15789 Intraday Pick VEDL Derivatives Snapshot f NIFTY50 traded volatile with expiry woes in a narrow range to close near the low point of the day. Nifty closed down by 42 point at 15,680 levels. Among the nifty stocks 26 advanced and 24 declined during the day. f Among sectors it was a mixed bag with Auto, FMCG & Pharma to gain by 0.8% average while IT, Realty and Banks declined by 0.5% for the day. f Broader market indices remained negative with NIFTY 100, 200 and 500 to close down by 0.2% average while midcap indices and small cap indices declined by 0.4% for the day. f Nifty Jul futures end with 30 points premium at 15,710 mark while on other hand, Bank Nifty Jul futures ended with the premium of 167 points at 34,853 mark. f Nifty has closed near the 20 day average and positive momentum will be only above 15,900 levels. On the downside the trend reversal is placed at 15,550 levels. Sectoral Activity: Amongst sectoral index Auto and Pharma remained in focus with positive momentum. Stock Activity: Tata Motors and Dr.Reddy have witnessed long build up in today’s trade. 3 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15680 IN FOCUS July 02 2021 Support 15646 Stock in Focus SUPREME INDUSTRIES MARKET LENS 15612 Intraday Pick AUROPHARMA Resistance 15735 Intraday Pick GAIL 15789 Intraday Pick VEDL Pivot Table Name LTP Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Resistance 1 Resistance 2 SENSEX 52,319 52,175 52,329 52,602 52,756 53,030 Nifty 50 15,680 15,626 15,674 15,756 15,804 15,887 NiftyBank 34,684 34,421 34,597 34,906 35,081 35,390 ADANIPORTS 703 692 698 708 714 723 ASIANPAINT 3,022 2,958 2,976 3,003 3,020 3,047 AXISBANK 746 738 743 752 757 766 BAJAJ-AUTO 4,205 4,095 4,114 4,139 4,159 4,183 BAJAJFINSV 11,816 11,877 11,993 12,181 12,297 12,486 BAJFINANCE 5,967 5,922 5,969 6,047 6,094 6,172 BHARTIARTL 523 521 523 527 529 533 BPCL 463 464 466 468 471 473 BRITANNIA 3,596 3,600 3,625 3,658 3,682 3,715 CIPLA 978 952 962 979 990 1,007 COALINDIA 146 144 145 146 148 149 DIVISLAB 4,436 4,321 4,365 4,398 4,442 4,475 DRREDDY 5,559 5,368 5,396 5,432 5,460 5,496 EICHERMOT 2,675 2,627 2,649 2,687 2,709 2,747 GRASIM 1,500 1,481 1,490 1,500 1,509 1,519 HCLTECH 986 975 979 985 990 996 HDFC 2,459 2,445 2,460 2,487 2,503 2,530 HDFCBANK 1,487 1,485 1,492 1,500 1,507 1,515 HDFCLIFE 686 678 682 689 693 700 HEROMOTOCO 2,923 2,877 2,890 2,910 2,923 2,943 HINDALCO 379 366 369 374 377 383 HINDUNILVR 2,478 2,438 2,455 2,480 2,497 2,522 ICICIBANK 631 623 627 634 638 645 INDUSINDBK 1,008 1,003 1,010 1,019 1,025 1,034 INFY 1,560 1,562 1,572 1,581 1,591 1,600 IOC 108 106 107 108 109 111 ITC 203 201 202 203 204 205 JSWSTEEL 681 673 678 688 694 704 KOTAKBANK 1,716 1,671 1,688 1,716 1,733 1,761 LT 1,492 1,479 1,490 1,506 1,517 1,534 M&M 779 767 772 781 786 795 MARUTI 7,584 7,398 7,457 7,552 7,611 7,706 NESTLEIND 17,646 17,481 17,557 17,651 17,727 17,821 NTPC 117 115 116 117 118 119 ONGC 119 115 116 119 120 122 POWERGRID 231 228 230 234 236 240 RELIANCE 2,098 2,077 2,094 2,108 2,125 2,140 SBILIFE 1,007 993 1,000 1,006 1,014 1,019 SBIN 420 414 417 421 423 427 SHREECEM 27,060 26,803 27,154 27,802 28,153 28,801 SUNPHARMA 684 669 672 678 681 687 TATACONSUM 756 738 746 757 765 776 TATAMOTORS 344 335 337 341 344 348 TATASTEEL 1,164 1,145 1,156 1,173 1,184 1,202 TCS 3,342 3,312 3,329 3,355 3,372 3,399 TECHM 1,085 1,073 1,084 1,095 1,106 1,116 TITAN 1,740 1,711 1,722 1,739 1,749 1,766 ULTRACEMCO 6,707 6,681 6,729 6,797 6,845 6,913 UPL 792 778 785 798 806 819 WIPRO 539 539 542 545 548 551 4 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15680 IN FOCUS July 02 2021 Support 15646 Stock in Focus SUPREME INDUSTRIES MARKET LENS 15612 Intraday Pick AUROPHARMA Resistance 15735 Intraday Pick GAIL 15789 Intraday Pick VEDL Simple Moving Average Scrip Name Close Rate 20-SMA 50-SMA 100-SMA 200-SMA HIGH_52WEEK LOW_52WEEK SENSEX 52,319 52,455 50,863 50,502 47,010 53,127 34,662 Nifty 50 15,680 15,749 15,275 15,062 13,924 15,916 10,224 NiftyBank 34,684 34,969 34,148 34,353 30,911 37,709 20,405 ADANIPORTS 703 758 759 726 571 901 298 ASIANPAINT 3,022 2,993 2,829 2,648 2,481 3,093 1,645 AXISBANK 746 745 727 724 643 799 400 BAJAJ-AUTO 4,205 4,182 4,060 3,952 3,586 4,361 2,812 BAJAJFINSV 11,816 12,028 11,498 10,659 9,081 12,520 5,400 BAJFINANCE 5,967 6,014 5,683 5,484 4,866 6,249 2,770 BHARTIARTL 523 535 538 545 516 623 394 BPCL 463 476 458 445 413 494 325 BRITANNIA 3,596