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How Strongmen Subvert Democracy Kim Jong Won The art of the hollow deal JUNE 16TH–22ND 2018 How strongmen subvert democracy ORBAN ERDOGAN DUTERTE PUTIN Contents The Economist June 16th 2018 3 5 The world this week Middle East and Africa 33 Housing in the Middle East Leaders Villas and slums 7 Politics 34 Iraq’s election How democracy dies Burnt ballots 8 America and North Korea 34 The war in Yemen Kim Jong Won Port in a storm 10 AT&T and Time Warner 35 Ghanaian football Green light Why fans are jaded 10 Chinese finance 35 Teenage mums in Africa Xi, make me chaste Impregnated and expelled America and North Korea The master negotiator seems 12 Russia 36 Congo’s coming election Mr Kabila’s intentions to have no clue how to haggle Free Oleg Sentsov with North Korea: leader, page On the cover 13 Britain and the EU 8. Kim Jong Un did better than The rise of autocrats in weak Softer is better United States Donald Trump at their strange states holds lessons for 37 Voting (1) meeting in Singapore, page democracies everywhere: 20. Mr Trump wants his own Letters Multiple choice leader, page 7.After decades foreign policy, but will not 38 Voting (2) 16 On Timor-Leste, want to pay for it: Lexington, of triumph, democracy is Husted, we have a problem losing ground. Why? Page 51 Parliament, American page 41 politics, banking, 38 Whaling in Alaska Germany, football Summer ice The Economist online 39 STDs Rash behaviour Daily analysis and opinion to Briefing supplement the print edition, plus 20 The Singapore summit 40 Preventing suicide audio and video, and a daily chart Enough to make a The sorrows of Werther Economist.com Rodman cry 41 Lexington E-mail: newsletters and The cost of America First mobile edition Europe Economist.com/email 23 Germany and central The Americas Print edition: available online by Europe 42 Canada’s economy 7pm London time each Thursday In bad Oder Breaking a few eggs Economist.com/printedition Britain and the EU A hard 24 Macedonia’s name 43 North American World Cup available online Brexit seems ever less likely. Audio edition: A new country Friends on the pitch to download each Friday Good: leader, page13. Theresa Economist.com/audioedition 24 The World Cup 43 Health in Latin America May has conceded just enough Beautiful game, ugly reality Polio’s comeback to avoid parliamentary 25 Women in cabinets 44 Chile defeats. But she is being Spain shows the way Money from mist driven towards a softer 25 Poland’s leader version of Brexit, page 30. Brexiteers fear being stitched Where’s Jaroslaw? Asia Volume 427 Number 9096 up by the establishment: 26 Turkey’s floundering 45 Development in India Bagehot, page 32 Published since September1843 economy Nutrition v debt relief to take part in "a severe contest between Pillow talk intelligence, which presses forward, and 46 Cricket in Afghanistan an unworthy, timid ignorance obstructing 27 Charlemagne Khyber pastime our progress." Europe and Trump 46 Pakistan’s economy Editorial offices in London and also: Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo, Chicago, Madrid, In need of re-stitching Mexico City, Moscow, Mumbai, Nairobi, New Delhi, Britain 47 Elections in South Korea New York, Paris, San Francisco, São Paulo, Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore, Tokyo, Washington DC 30 The politics of Brexit Rising Moon Problems postponed 48 Banyan 31 Philatelists fight back Squeezing Taiwan Dad’s Army revisited 31 The Daily Mail Paul Dacre is away The economy is 32 Bagehot Canada Brexiteers, back in the box already feeling the effects of Donald Trump’s trade war, page 42 1 Contents continues overleaf 4 Contents The Economist June 16th 2018 China 64 Banking in Africa Making waves 49 Foreign-language media A propaganda drive 65 Employing refugees Situations vacant 50 Activism in Hong Kong Reading the riot act 66 Free exchange The Fed and feedback International Science and technology 51 Democracy’s decline Rise of the strongmen 67 Materials science Industrial plants China’s shadow banks Now 68 Seismology Obituary Anthony Bourdain, that it has made progress in Business A light shaking chef, food-writer and tackling its debts, China faces 54 Renewable energy 69 Anti-predator behaviour insatiable traveller, page 78 the real test: leader, page10. On the solarcoaster Fight or flight? Stricter oversight of shadow 55 Bartleby 69 Scientific honesty banking, prompted by fears of Alternative employment Subscription service financial instability, begins to Something to crow about For our full range of subscription offers, 56 Latin American oil firms including digital only or print and digital bite, page 60 70 Military communications combined, visit In deep water Jaw-jaw and war-war Economist.com/offers 56 Google and AI or call the telephone number provided below: or Playing with fire Telephone: +44 (0) 845 120 0983 Books and arts +44 (0) 207 576 8448 57 Italian business Subscription for 1 year (51 issues) Price of protection 71 Inequality and its costs Print only The crack-up Euro-zone countries €229 57 Entrepreneurship in Denmark DKr 1,709 Germany 73 David Lynch’s memoir Hungary HUF 78,042 The painting and the moth Norway NKr 1,839 Taking off Poland PLN 1,011 58 Airbnb and Uber in Japan 73 A poet’s debut novel Sweden SKr 2,089 Together, once Switzerland SFr 296 Can share, won’t share Turkey TL 814 59 Schumpeter 74 Alberto Giacometti Other Europe (ex UK) €229 Multinationals’ malaise Rising up to heaven Middle East – GCC US$352 South Africa ZAR 4,670, US$285 Inequality and health Is the Middle East and Africa US$285 gap between rich and poor to Finance and economics 76 Economic and financial blame for suicide, drug abuse indicators and mental illness? Page 71 60 Chinese finance Statistics on 42 economies, Principal commercial offices: Light on the shadows plus a closer look at coal The Adelphi Building, 1-11John Adam Street, 61 International trade London WC2N 6HT Tel: +44 (0) 20 7830 7000 Hidden barriers Obituary Rue de l’Athénée 32 62 Buttonwood 1206 Geneva, Switzerland Playing Argentina 78 Anthony Bourdain Tel: +4122 566 2470 The power of food 63 American banks 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10017 Under the rug Tel: +1212 5410500 1301Cityplaza Four, 63 Statistics in Greece 12 Taikoo Wan Road, Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong Significant figure Tel: +852 2585 3888 Other commercial offices: Chicago, Dubai, Frankfurt, Los Angeles, Paris, San Francisco and Singapore Plant-reinforced concrete How carrot-power can make buildings stronger, page 67 PEFC certified This copy of The Economist is printed on paper sourced from sustainably managed forests certified by PEFC PEFC/04-31-1267 www.pefc.org © 2018 The Economist Newspaper Limited. All rights reserved. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or other- wise, without the prior permission of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Published every week, except for a year-end double issue, by The Economist Newspaper Limited. The Economist is a registered trademark of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Printed by Vogel Druck und Medienservice GmbH, Leibnizstraße 5, 97204 Höchberg, Deutschland. France, Numéro Commission Paritaire: 68832 GB. Encart d’abonnement de deux pages situé entre les folios 10 et 130. Rapp. Italia: IMD srl Via Guido da Velate 1120162 Milano Aut. Trib. MI 272 del 13/04/88 Poste Italiane SpA - Sped Abb Post DL 353/2003 (conv. L. 27/2/2004 n.46) art 1comma 1DCB Milano, Dir. Resp. Domenico Tassinari The world this week The Economist June 16th 2018 5 Leung had angered the illegal migration. Critics defeated in a primary election. Politics Chinese government by wondered whether the word Mr Sanford previously made supporting independence for “axis” had quite the right headlines in 2009 when, as Hong Kong. historical ring to it. governor, he disappeared for a week. It turned out he was Lorry drivers staged strikes in Scales of justice having an affair. The official several Chinese cities. They Jean-Pierre Bemba, a former explanation for his absence, were protesting against fuel Congolese warlord, had his that he was “hiking the Appa- costs and competition from conviction for crimes against lachians”, became a popular app-based haulage services. humanity overturned on euphemism forinfidelity. appeal. He still awaits sentence Reversal of fortune on a separate charge ofbribing The non-believer With a tiny majority in Parlia- witnesses, but the Internation- The G7 summit in Canada ment and faced with a rebel- al Criminal Court ordered his was the most rancorous in the lion from a handful ofTory release. His supporters want club’s history. America clashed Donald Trump and Kim Jong MPs opposed to Brexit, the him to return to the Democrat- with its allies over climate Un, North Korea’s dictator, British government promised ic Republic ofCongo and run change and trade. Donald held a summit in Singapore. MPs what Remainers hope forpresident. Trump refused to sign the final Mr Kim promised “complete will be a “meaningful” vote on communiqué, accusing Justin denuclearisation” in exchange whether to approve whatever An American soldier was Trudeau, the Canadian prime forAmerican security guaran- deal emerges from talks with killed and fourwounded in minister, ofmaking “false tees. Mr Trump called it “a very the EU. This week’s machina- Somalia after they were statements”. “There’s a special great moment in the history of tions make it more likely that attacked by al-Shabab, a jiha- place in hell” forthose who act the world”. Critics noted that the United Kingdom will end dist group.
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