DOCSLIB.ORG

A Ship Defense Analysis Process

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
A Ship Defense Analysis Process A SHIP DEFENSE ANALYSIS PROCESS A Ship Defense Analysis Process Ronald S. Farris and Catherine B. Stuckey Over the past 6 years an adaptable, efficient, and cost-effective process to analyze ship defense against hostile air threats has been developed in support of the Program Executive Office (PEO) Theater Surface Combatants and PEO Expeditionary Warfare to evaluate planned and proposed improvements to their ship defense combat systems. The Requirements and Analysis Working Group, which comprises personnel from the Naval Surface Warfare Center/Dahlgren Division, Naval Research Laboratory, and APL, developed the process and conducted these analyses. This process is also used to evaluate current combat system performance to support tactics development. (Key- words: Analysis, Anti-air warfare, Ship self-defense.) INTRODUCTION An adaptable, efficient, and cost-effective process on and, in turn, expands an extensive database of Navy has been developed over the past 6 years to analyze ship weapon systems and threats. This article discusses the defense systems in support of Program Executive Office need for ship self-defense combat system analysis, Theater Surface Combatants (PEO TSC) and PEO describes the analysis process, and presents three ex- Expeditionary Warfare (PEO EXW). The process has amples of it. been developed under PEO sponsorship through the Requirements and Analysis Working Group (RAWG) THE NEED FOR COMBAT SYSTEM with representation from the Naval Surface Warfare Center (NSWC)/Dahlgren Division (DD), Naval Re- ANALYSIS search Laboratory (NRL), and APL’s Joint Warfare The analysis of combat system effectiveness is used Analysis Department and Air Defense Department. A by Navy leadership for system development and by the broad range of ship defense anti-air weapon systems Fleet to develop system employment guidelines and and threats that require expertise in many fields has tactics. The different user needs affect the analysis. been modeled and evaluated. For the analysis process, Program managers and resource sponsors are interested the analyst must have a basic knowledge of all weapon in future threats, especially those that stress defensive systems being studied, access to experts on each key capabilities. They also need a consistent representative system component, and a modeling tool to automate environment. Fleet users are interested in near-term effectiveness calculations. The analysis process relies threats in their operating area. JOHNS HOPKINS APL TECHNICAL DIGEST, VOLUME 21, NUMBER 3 (2000) 393 R. S. FARRIS AND C. B. STUCKEY Comparative Analysis ANALYSIS PROCESS TO SUPPORT Typically, a program manager or resource sponsor RAWG may have several systems from which to choose. A A six-step analysis process provides a flexible frame- comparative analysis is performed to evaluate one or work for resolving ship defense problems. Central to more systems against a common threat set and various this process is an engagement model to automate effec- conditions. When this analysis is combined with esti- tiveness calculations. Two major goals of the analysis mated system cost, it is a cost-effectiveness analysis. process (Fig. 1) are to develop data inputs needed The decision maker then selects the most cost-effective to support the model, such as the Surface Anti-Air system. The analysis is not always a simple comparison Warfare (AAW) Multi-Ship Simulation (SAMS) of numerical results because other factors such as de- model used for effectiveness calculations, and to pro- velopment risk may also be considered. vide sufficient data for the analyst to interpret results The Program Objectives Memorandum (POM) properly. process analysis, conducted biennially to determine The steps in the analysis are as follows: future weapon system procurement investment, is a comparative analysis. An example of it is discussed 1. Define the systems to be analyzed, the expected threat, later in this article. Several configurations are ana- and the operating environments lyzed against a common set of threats for 5 to 15 years 2. Modify the engagement model if necessary to ensure in the future. The effectiveness of alternatives and proper representation of the systems to be analyzed their estimated procurement and total lifetime costs 3. Establish the MOEs to use are compared. Specified measures of effectiveness 4. Collect data needed to model all components of the (MOEs) are used to compare systems. Another exam- problem, potentially using results from high-fidelity ple of comparative analysis is an analysis of alterna- simulations tives, previously called a cost and operational effec- 5. Use the engagement model to obtain the MOEs tiveness analysis. 6. Analyze and present the results Utility analysis, a type of comparative analysis, eval- Each step is further described in the following uates new systems in the same context as current or subsections. planned systems. It may not hold to strict government guidelines or have a set requirement that must be met as in other applications of comparative analysis. The Defining the Problem High Energy Laser Weapon System (HELWS) Study, Problem definition consists of identifying three com- described in the Analysis Examples section, is represen- ponents: (1) the ship defense systems to be analyzed, tative of a utility analysis. (2) the threat, and (3) the operating environment. Ship defense systems are determined jointly by the sponsor and the analyst. The sponsor will identify Operational Analysis configurations based on existing or planned system Operational analysis is conducted to evaluate ship developments. Inputs from industry may be used to self-defense systems against current threats in support identify potential system improvements or possible new of the Fleet. The Fleet uses these analyses to develop systems. Several configurations of weapons, sensors, operational and experimental tactics and system em- and control systems may be considered. Fleet users will ployment guidelines, which may be evaluated during specify the current systems on their ships. Fleet exercises. For example, the analysis results may The Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) is respon- aid a commander in allocating ships to various missions sible for defining likely near- to far-term threats to such as escorting other ships or in conducting offensive naval forces. The program sponsor is interested in fu- operations such as amphibious assault or shore bom- ture threats that stress defensive systems. ONI selects bardment. The operating area of the Fleet under eval- appropriate threats based on the program manager’s uation dictates threat and environmental conditions needs, with input from the analyst about threat char- considered, and can include the time phase of hostil- acteristics that stress the systems. Attack densities are ities (e.g., prehostilities or hot war situation) as well as chosen to reflect intended ship missions. Environmen- rules of engagement. Operational analyses can also aid tal conditions are chosen to stress the systems. These a ship’s crew in determining best defensive doctrines for threat selections are made to avoid designing a system different warfighting situations. In some cases, a Fleet around a single criterion. commander wishes to understand his ship’s capabilities Such problem definition is sufficient for comparative in a potentially hostile situation. The Fifth Fleet Study, analysis. Operational analysis, however, may require which is described in the Analysis Examples section, development of an operational situation, which in- typifies this type of operational analysis. cludes the political evolution leading to an attack, daily 394 JOHNS HOPKINS APL TECHNICAL DIGEST, VOLUME 21, NUMBER 3 (2000) A SHIP DEFENSE ANALYSIS PROCESS RF/IR environment Surface-to-air missile RF environmental model Threat missile model seeker and 6-DoF (clutter, propagation, Radar simulations model(s) (RF/IR signature, multipath) trajectory, kinematics) (NAWC/WD RAM, APL Seasparrow, APL Standard Missile) IR environmental model Intercept IRST geometry (propagation, clutter) model(s) Modtran miss distance Threat launch/turn on Kinematic EW model(s), radar/IR perturbations Ship signature model Surface-to-air missile (acquisition, decoys, end-game model (RF, IR) DECM, jamming) NRL (NSWC warhead NRL cruise missiles evaluation) Combat system models Precision ESM data ESM model (SAMS, FACTS) to radar systems Threat launch/turn on SWYSIM model Gun model(s) (NSWC/DD track and fire) PRA, kills, penetrators, firepower (MOEs) Cumulative fluence (irradiance, radome angle) Kill fluence Figure 1. The RAWG analysis process involves the use of high-fidelity simulations to develop detailed weapon and threat data for the combat system models. The flexibility of the process allows the data inputs to be tailored to the type of analysis (operational or comparative) and to the needs of the end user. Not all analyses use each of the simulations or processes indicated in this figure. (DECM = deceptive electronic countermeasures, DoF = degrees of freedom, ESM = electronic support measures, EW = electronic warfare, FACTS = Fleet Anti-Air Warfare (AAW) Model for Comparison of Tactical Systems, FLIR = forward-looking infrared, IRST = infrared search and track, NAWC/WD = Naval Air Warfare Center/Weapons Div., NSWC/DD = Naval Surface Warfare Center/Dahlgren Div., PRA = probability of raid annihilation, RAM = Rolling Airframe Missile, SAMS = Surface AAW Multi-Ship Simulation, SWYSIM = SWY Simulation.) description of scenario events, and environmental
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Winning the Salvo Competition Rebalancing America’S Air and Missile Defenses
    WINNING THE SALVO COMPETITION REBALANCING AMERICA’S AIR AND MISSILE DEFENSES MARK GUNZINGER BRYAN CLARK WINNING THE SALVO COMPETITION REBALANCING AMERICA’S AIR AND MISSILE DEFENSES MARK GUNZINGER BRYAN CLARK 2016 ABOUT THE CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND BUDGETARY ASSESSMENTS (CSBA) The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments is an independent, nonpartisan policy research institute established to promote innovative thinking and debate about national security strategy and investment options. CSBA’s analysis focuses on key questions related to existing and emerging threats to U.S. national security, and its goal is to enable policymakers to make informed decisions on matters of strategy, security policy, and resource allocation. ©2016 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. All rights reserved. ABOUT THE AUTHORS Mark Gunzinger is a Senior Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. Mr. Gunzinger has served as the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Forces Transformation and Resources. A retired Air Force Colonel and Command Pilot, he joined the Office of the Secretary of Defense in 2004. Mark was appointed to the Senior Executive Service and served as Principal Director of the Department’s central staff for the 2005–2006 Quadrennial Defense Review. Following the QDR, he served as Director for Defense Transformation, Force Planning and Resources on the National Security Council staff. Mr. Gunzinger holds an M.S. in National Security Strategy from the National War College, a Master of Airpower Art and Science degree from the School of Advanced Air and Space Studies, a Master of Public Administration from Central Michigan University, and a B.S. in chemistry from the United States Air Force Academy.
    [Show full text]
  • Navy Shipboard Lasers for Surface, Air, and Missile Defense: Background and Issues for Congress
    Navy Shipboard Lasers for Surface, Air, and Missile Defense: Background and Issues for Congress Ronald O'Rourke Specialist in Naval Affairs December 9, 2010 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov R41526 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress Navy Shipboard Lasers for Surface, Air, and Missile Defense Summary Department of Defense (DOD) development work on high-energy military lasers, which has been underway for decades, has reached the point where lasers capable of countering certain surface and air targets at ranges of about a mile could be made ready for installation on Navy surface ships over the next few years. More powerful shipboard lasers, which could become ready for installation in subsequent years, could provide Navy surface ships with an ability to counter a wider range of surface and air targets at ranges of up to about 10 miles. These more powerful lasers might, among other things, provide Navy surface ships with a terminal-defense capability against certain ballistic missiles, including the anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) that China is believed to be developing. The Navy and DOD are developing three principal types of lasers for potential use on Navy surface ships—fiber solid state lasers (SSLs), slab SSLs, and free electron lasers (FELs). The Navy’s fiber SSL prototype demonstrator is called the Laser Weapon System (LaWS). Among DOD’s multiple efforts to develop slab SSLs for military use is the Maritime Laser Demonstration (MLD), a prototype laser weapon developed as a rapid demonstration project. The Navy has developed a lower-power FEL prototype and is now developing a prototype with scaled-up power.
    [Show full text]
  • Navy Irregular Warfare and Counterterrorism Operations: Background and Issues for Congress
    Navy Irregular Warfare and Counterterrorism Operations: Background and Issues for Congress Ronald O'Rourke Specialist in Naval Affairs November 8, 2011 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov RS22373 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress Navy Role in Irregular Warfare and Counterterrorism Summary The Navy for several years has carried out a variety of irregular warfare (IW) and counterterrorism (CT) activities. Among the most readily visible of the Navy’s recent IW operations have been those carried out by Navy sailors serving ashore in Afghanistan and Iraq. Many of the Navy’s contributions to IW operations around the world are made by Navy individual augmentees (IAs)—individual Navy sailors assigned to various DOD operations. The May 1-2, 2011, U.S. military operation in Abbottabad, Pakistan, that killed Osama bin Laden reportedly was carried out by a team of 23 Navy special operations forces, known as SEALs (an acronym standing for Sea, Air, and Land). The SEALs reportedly belonged to an elite unit known unofficially as Seal Team 6 and officially as the Naval Special Warfare Development Group (DEVGRU). The Navy established the Navy Expeditionary Combat Command (NECC) informally in October 2005 and formally in January 2006. NECC consolidated and facilitated the expansion of a number of Navy organizations that have a role in IW operations. The Navy established the Navy Irregular Warfare Office in July 2008, published a vision statement for irregular warfare in January 2010, and established “a community of interest” to develop and advance ideas, collaboration, and advocacy related to IW in December 2010.
    [Show full text]
  • Analyzing the Surface Warfare Operational Effectiveness of an Offshore Patrol Vessel Using Agent Based Modeling
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Calhoun, Institutional Archive of the Naval Postgraduate School Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis Collection 2012-09 Analyzing the Surface Warfare Operational Effectiveness of an Offshore Patrol Vessel using Agent Based Modeling McKeown, Jason L. Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/17415 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS ANALYZING THE SURFACE WARFARE OPERATIONAL EFFECTIVENESS OF AN OFFSHORE PATROL VESSEL USING AGENT BASED MODELING by Jason L. McKeown September 2012 Thesis Advisor: Paul Sanchez Second Reader: Eugene Paulo Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704–0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202–4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704–0188) Washington DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED September 2012 Master’s Thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Analyzing the Surface Warfare Operational 5. FUNDING NUMBERS Effectiveness of an Offshore Patrol Vessel using Agent Based Modeling 6.
    [Show full text]
  • American Naval Policy, Strategy, Plans and Operations in the Second Decade of the Twenty- First Century Peter M
    American Naval Policy, Strategy, Plans and Operations in the Second Decade of the Twenty- first Century Peter M. Swartz January 2017 Select a caveat DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. CNA’s Occasional Paper series is published by CNA, but the opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of CNA or the Department of the Navy. Distribution DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. PUBLIC RELEASE. 1/31/2017 Other requests for this document shall be referred to CNA Document Center at [email protected]. Photography Credit: A SM-6 Dual I fired from USS John Paul Jones (DDG 53) during a Dec. 14, 2016 MDA BMD test. MDA Photo. Approved by: January 2017 Eric V. Thompson, Director Center for Strategic Studies This work was performed under Federal Government Contract No. N00014-16-D-5003. Copyright © 2017 CNA Abstract This paper provides a brief overview of U.S. Navy policy, strategy, plans and operations. It discusses some basic fundamentals and the Navy’s three major operational activities: peacetime engagement, crisis response, and wartime combat. It concludes with a general discussion of U.S. naval forces. It was originally written as a contribution to an international conference on maritime strategy and security, and originally published as a chapter in a Routledge handbook in 2015. The author is a longtime contributor to, advisor on, and observer of US Navy strategy and policy, and the paper represents his personal but well-informed views. The paper was written while the Navy (and Marine Corps and Coast Guard) were revising their tri- service strategy document A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower, finally signed and published in March 2015, and includes suggestions made by the author to the drafters during that time.
    [Show full text]
  • The Terrorist Naval Mine/Underwater Improvised Explosive Device Threat
    Walden University ScholarWorks Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies Collection 2015 Port Security: The eT rrorist Naval Mine/ Underwater Improvised Explosive Device Threat Peter von Bleichert Walden University Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.waldenu.edu/dissertations Part of the Public Policy Commons This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies Collection at ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Walden University College of Social and Behavioral Sciences This is to certify that the doctoral dissertation by Peter von Bleichert has been found to be complete and satisfactory in all respects, and that any and all revisions required by the review committee have been made. Review Committee Dr. Karen Shafer, Committee Chairperson, Public Policy and Administration Faculty Dr. Gregory Dixon, Committee Member, Public Policy and Administration Faculty Dr. Anne Fetter, University Reviewer, Public Policy and Administration Faculty Chief Academic Officer Eric Riedel, Ph.D. Walden University 2015 Abstract Port Security: The Terrorist Naval Mine/Underwater Improvised Explosive Device Threat by Peter A. von Bleichert MA, Schiller International University (London), 1992 BA, American College of Greece, 1991 Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Public Policy and Administration Walden University June 2015 Abstract Terrorist naval mines/underwater improvised explosive devices (M/UWIEDs) are a threat to U.S. maritime ports, and could cause economic damage, panic, and mass casualties.
    [Show full text]
  • Naval Postgraduate School Thesis
    NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS INSURGENT UPRISING: AN UNCONVENTIONAL WARFARE WARGAME by Jeremy J. Arias Chad O. Klay December 2017 Thesis Advisor: Robert Burks Second Reader: Jeffrey Appleget Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704–0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington, DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED (Leave blank) December 2017 Master’s thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS INSURGENT UPRISING: AN UNCONVENTIONAL WARFARE WARGAME 6. AUTHOR(S) Jeremy J. Arias and Chad O. Klay 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION REPORT Monterey, CA 93943-5000 NUMBER 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND 10. SPONSORING / ADDRESS(ES) MONITORING AGENCY N/A REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government.
    [Show full text]
  • Countersea Operations
    COUNTERSEA OPERATIONS Air Force Doctrine Document 2-1.4 15 September 2005 This document complements related discussion found in Joint Publication 3-30, Command and Control for Joint Air Operations. BY ORDER OF THE AIR FORCE DOCTRINE DOCUMENT 2-1.4 SECRETARY OF THE AIR FORCE 15 SEPTEMBER 2005 SUMMARY OF REVISIONS This document is substantially revised. This revision’s overarching changes are new chapter headings and sections, terminology progression to “air and space” from “aerospace,” expanded discussion on planning and employment factors, operational considerations when conducting countersea operations, and effects-based methodology and the emphasis on operations vice capabilities or platforms. Specific changes with this revision are the additions of the naval warfighter’s perspective to enhance understanding the environment, doctrine, and operations of the maritime forces on page 3; comparison between Air Force and Navy/Marine Corp terminology, on page 7, included to ensure Air Force forces are aware of the difference in terms or semantics; a terminology matrix added to simplify that awareness on page 9; amphibious operations organization, command and control, and planning are also included throughout the document. Supersedes: AFDD 2-1.4, 4 June 1999 OPR: HQ AFDC/DS (Lt Col Richard Hughey) Certified by: AFDC/DR (Lt Col Eric Schnitzer) Pages: 66 Distribution: F Approved by: Bentley B. Rayburn, Major General, USAF Commander, Headquarters Air Force Doctrine Center FOREWORD Countersea Operations are about the use of Air Force capabilities in the maritime environment to accomplish the joint force commander’s objectives. This doctrine supports DOD Directive 5100.1 requirements for surface sea surveillance, anti-air warfare, anti-surface ship warfare, and anti-submarine warfare.
    [Show full text]
  • AFDD 2-3.1 Foreign Internal Defense
    FOREIGN INTERNAL DEFENSE Air Force Doctrine Document 3-22 15 September 2007 Interim Change 2 (Last Review), 1 November 2011 This document complements related discussion found in Joint Publication 3-22, Foreign Internal Defense. BY ORDER OF THE AIR FORCE DOCTRINE DOCUMENT 3-22 SECRETARY OF THE AIR FORCE 15 SEPTEMBER 2007 INCORPORATING INTERIM CHANGE 2, 1 NOVEMBER 2011 SUMMARY OF CHANGES The Air Force Doctrine Working Group has reviewed this document and recommended that it remains valid and will again be reviewed no later than September 2012. AFDD numbering has also been changed to correspond with the joint doctrine publication numbering architecture. AFDD titles and content remain unchanged until updated in the next full revision. A margin bar indicates newly revised material. Old Number New Number Title AFDD 2-1 changed to AFDD 3-1 Air Warfare AFDD 2-1.1 changed to AFDD 3-01 Counterair Operations AFDD 2-1.2 changed to AFDD 3-70 Strategic Attack AFDD 2-1.3 changed to AFDD 3-03 Counterland Operations AFDD 2-1.4 changed to AFDD 3-04 Countersea Operations AFDD 2-1.6 changed to AFDD 3-50 Personnel Recovery Operations AFDD 2-1.7 changed to AFDD 3-52 Airspace Control AFDD 2-1.8 changed to AFDD 3-40 Counter-CBRN AFDD 2-1.9 changed to AFDD 3-60 Targeting AFDD 2-10 changed to AFDD 3-27 Homeland Operations AFDD 2-12 changed to AFDD 3-72 Nuclear Operations AFDD 2-2 changed to AFDD 3-14 Space Operations AFDD 2-2.1 changed to AFDD 3-14.1 Counterspace Operations AFDD 2-3 changed to AFDD 3-24 Irregular Warfare AFDD 2-3.1 changed to AFDD 3-22 Foreign
    [Show full text]
  • Using Hughes' Salvo Model to Examine Ship Characteristics in Surface Warfare
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Calhoun, Institutional Archive of the Naval Postgraduate School Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis Collection 2004-09 Using Hughes' Salvo model to examine ship characteristics in surface warfare Haug, Kevin G. Monterey California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/1412 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS USING HUGHES' SALVO MODEL TO EXAMINE SHIP CHARACTERISTICS IN SURFACE WARFARE by Kevin G. Haug September 2004 Thesis Advisor: Tom Lucas Second Reader: Wayne Hughes Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED September 2004 Master’s Thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE: Title (Mix case letters) 5. FUNDING NUMBERS Using Hughes' Salvo Model to Examine Ship Characteristics in Surface Warfare 6. AUTHOR(S) Kevin G. Haug 7.
    [Show full text]
  • The Fundamentals of Salvo Warfare
    Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis Collection 1990-03 The fundamentals of salvo warfare Cares, Jeffrey R. Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/34844 OTT FILE COPY ' ( ) NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California 0 CN DTIC 0 "Ao_ "ELECTE THESIS THE FUNDAMENTALS OF SALVO WARFARE by Jeffrey Richard Cares March, 1990 Thesis Advisor: Wayne P. Hughes, Jr. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited V, Unclassifle( SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE I Form Approved REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE OMB No. 0704-0188 1a. REPORT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION lb. RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS UNCLASSIFIED 2a. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION AUTHORITY 3. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY OF REPORT 2b. DECLASSlFICATION/DOWNGRADING SCHEDULE Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 4. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S) 5. MONITORING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S) Ga. NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION 6b. OFFICE SYMBOL 7a. NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION Naval Postgraduate School 55 Naval Postgraduate School 6c. ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIP Code) 7b. ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIP Code) Monterey, CA 93943-5000 Monterey, California 93943-5000 Sa. NAME OF FUNDING/SPONSORING 8b. OFFICE SYMBOL 9. PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER ORGANIZATION 8c. ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIP Code) 10. SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERS PROGRAM PROJECT TASK WORK UNIT ELEMENT NO. NO. NO. ACCESSION NO. 11. TITLE (Including Security Classification) THE FUNDAMENTALS OF SALVO WARFARE 12 PERSONAL AUTHOR(S) Jeffrey Richard Cares 13 TYPE OF REPORT 13b. TIME COVERED 14. DATE OF REPORT (Year, Month, Day) 15. Page Count Master's Thesis FROM TO 1990, Mar ch 72 16. SUPPLEMENTAL NOTATION The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • THE SALVO COMBAT MODEL with AREA FIRE Michael J Armstrong
    23 Oct 2015 Salvo Combat With Area Fire Michael J Armstrong THE SALVO COMBAT MODEL WITH AREA FIRE 1 Michael J Armstrong Goodman School of Business, Brock University St Catharines, ON, L2S 3A1, Canada [email protected] Abstract: This paper analyzes versions of the salvo model of missile combat where area fire is used by one or both sides in a battle. While these models share some properties with the area fire Lanchester model and the aimed fire salvo model, they also display some interesting differences, especially over the course of several salvos. Whereas the relative size of each force is important with aimed fire, with area fire it is the absolute size that matters. Similarly, while aimed fire exhibits square law behavior, area fire shows approximately linear behavior. When one side uses area and the other uses aimed fire, the model displays a mix of square and linear law behavior. Keywords: military; missile combat; salvo equations; Lanchester equations. 1. INTRODUCTION In battle it is desirable to have precise information about enemy dispositions. For example, consider a naval task force that encounters hostile warships in mid-ocean. Each side’s radar would presumably provide good information about enemy positions and allow accurate aiming of anti-shipping cruise missiles (ASCMs). This aimed fire scenario could appropriately be represented by the salvo model of missile combat developed by Hughes [7]. However, navies do not always have such precise information. Suppose the task force next approaches the enemy coastline and comes into range of their land-based defenses (e.g., truck-mounted ASCMs), as in [11].
    [Show full text]