R6 9-Iranian-Interes
27 February 2018 SMA Reach-back Report Prioritized Iranian Interests in the Middle East Question (R6.9): How does Iran prioritize its influence and presence in the region? Contributors Mr. Nader Biglari, Geographic Services Inc.; Dr. Kristian Coates Ulrichsen, Rice University; Dr. Skye Cooley, Oklahoma State University; Dr. Zana Gulmohamad, University of Sheffield (UK); Faysal Itani, Atlantic Council; Ambassador James Jeffrey, Washington Institute for Near East Policy; Dr. Frederick Kagan, American Enterprise Institute; Dr. Randy Kluver, Oklahoma State University; Dr. Mark Luce, US Special Operations Command; Dr. Diane Maye, Embry Riddle Aeronautical University; Dr. Nicholas Jackson O’Shaughnessy, London University (UK); Dr. Afshon Ostovar, Naval Postgraduate School; Dr. Glenn Robinson, Naval Postgraduate School; Abdulaziz Sager, Gulf Research Center; Mubin Shaikh, Independent Analyst; Anonymous “Smith”; TRADOC G-27 Athena Study Team; Dr. Ethan Stokes, University of Alabama; Dr. Eric Watkins, Independent Analyst; Ms. Katherine Zimmerman, American Enterprise Institute Executive Summary Sarah Canna, NSI Inc. How Iran Prioritizes its Influence and Presence in the Region Protect Syria Nuclear Weapons Strengthen Conventional Force Weaken US Leadership in ME Domestic Economic Development First Export Islamic Revolution Global Champion of Shia Second Maintain Theocratic Regime Leader of Islam Third Influence in Iraq & Syria Land Bridge Regional Hegemony 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Figure 1 Iran's strategic interests in the Middle East Hoping to answer the question of how Iran prioritizes its influence and presence in the Middle East, we asked fifteen experts to list—in rank order—Iran’s key interests, how it seeks to realize those interests, and how successful it is likely to be in the next 18-24 months.1 As is evident in Figure 1, a clear majority of experts consulted identified regional hegemony as Iran’s primary regional goal.2 However, while listed only once as a top three interest, Dr.
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