EQUITY | SRI LANKA | FOOD & STAPLES RETAILING EARNINGS UPDATE |23 NOV 2018 CARGILLS (CEYLON) PLC INITIATING WITH A BUY 220.0 SPEARHEADING THE CONSUMER DRIVEN GROWTH STORY 2.7 10.0 200.0 Fair Value: FY19E - LKR 210.0 [+5%] FY20E LKR 240.0 [+20%] 180.0 Total Return with DPS: FY19E - 6% [AER 19%] FY20E - 24% [AER 18%] 160.0 During 2QFY19, CARG posted an earnings of LKR 476Mn, with a decline of 69%YoY relative to 200.0 200.0 140.0 LKR 1.6Bn made in 2QFY18, which includes a one off profit of LKR 1,010Mn made from the disposal of a property by its subsidiary Dawson Office Complex (Pvt) Ltd. during 2QFY18. 120.0 Excluding the gain, CARG’s normalized profits dipped by 9% in 2QFY19 vs the corresponding quarter. Dip in earnings was primarily owing to thinning GP margins from 12% in 2QFY18 to 100.0 Current FY19E 10% in 2QFY19 and increase in admin expenses by +9%YoY. We have derived an earnings outlook of LKR 2.4Bn (+12% recurring growth) and LKR 2.8Bn (+17%) for FY19E and FY20E with Current Price Expected Capital Gain Dividends upto 31.03.2019 a fair value of LKR 210.0 for FY19E and LKR 240.0 for FY20E providing an annualized return of FIRST CAPITAL RESEARCH 19% and 18% respectively. INITIATING WITH A BUY Hiruni Perera +94 11 263 9864 LKR (Mn) 2QFY18 2QFY19 YoY 1HFY18 1HFY19 YoY
[email protected] Earnings (LKR 'Mn) Revenue 22,625 23,265 +3% 45,506 47,730 +5% Gross Profit 2,721 2,420 -11% 5,501 5,204 -5% EBIT 2,507 1,083 -57% 4,102 2,565 -37% KEY DATA PBT 2,124 755 -64% 3,367 1,924 -43% CSE Ticker CARG.N0000 Net Profit 1,535 476 -69% 2,286 1,232 -46% Bloomberg Ticker CARG SL Balance Sheet (LKR 'Mn) Share Price (LKR) 200.00 Shareholders' Equity 15,711 17,419 +11% 15,711 17,419 +11% 52w High (LKR) 209.90 Borrowings 15,740 15,044 -4% 15,740 15,044 -4% 52w Low (LKR) 184.20 NAVPS 70.1 68.0 -3% 70.1 68.0 -3% Avg.