bioRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/344796; this version posted December 11, 2018. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. 1 Estimating the benefit of quarantine: eradicating invasive cane toads from islands 2 3 Adam S Smart1*, Reid Tingley1,2 and Ben L Phillips1 4 1School of Biosciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, 3010, Australia 5 2School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, 3800, Australia 6 *Corresponding author: Adam Smart email:
[email protected] 7 phone: +61 03 9035 7555 8 Reid Tingley email:
[email protected] 9 Ben Phillips email:
[email protected] 10 Running title: The benefit of cane toad quarantine 11 Word Count; summary: 342 12 main text: 3926 13 acknowledgements: 116 14 references: 1827 15 tables: 80 16 figure legends: 182 17 Number of tables and figures: 8 18 References: 58 19 20 Manuscript for consideration in Journal of Applied Ecology 1 bioRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/344796; this version posted December 11, 2018. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. 21 Summary 22 1. Islands are increasingly used to protect endangered populations from the negative impacts 23 of invasive species. Quarantine efforts are particularly likely to be undervalued in 24 circumstances where a failure incurs non-economic costs. One approach to ascribe value 25 to such efforts is by modeling the expense of restoring a system to its former state.