Study on Intra-Regional Cooperation on Water and Power for Efficient Resources Management in Central Asia
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No. Central Asia Region Study on Intra-Regional Cooperation on Water and Power for Efficient Resources Management in Central Asia Main Report February 2009 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY supported by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan JAPAN WATER FORUM JAPAN WATER AGENCY TOKYO ELECTRIC POWER SERVICES CO., LTD. EC JR 09-001 Preface In order to promote intra-regional cooperation in Central Asian countries, the “Central Asia plus Japan” dialogue initiative was launched by the Japanese government in 2004. The action plan in each field was drawn up at the foreign ministers’ meeting in 2006. In 2007, at the 2nd “Central Asia plus Japan” intellectual dialogue in Tokyo, a specific theme called “Prospects for Regional Cooperation in Central Asia on Water Resources and Electric Power” was discussed. The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (new JICA, Japan International Cooperation Agency, from October 2008) and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan conducted a basic study to set up a new direction for their support, and to concretize the roles of Japan by entrusting Japan Water Forum, Japan Water Agency and Tokyo Electric Power Services Co., Ltd. whit a further study. The study team visited the four countries of Central Asia (Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan) twice. The comprehension of the current situation and issues regarding water resources and the electric field was enabled by interviewing governmental organizations, international organizations, donors etc. (the first research). Furthermore, a presentation of the interim report to the organizations and a hearing of the opinions (the second research) were undertaken. The present report was compiled and finalized, as a result of the researches. I would like to express my sincere appreciation to the officials concerned for their significant cooperation. I hope that this report will contribute to the enhancement of collaborative relationships between the Central-Asia countries and Japan. February 2009 Study Team on Intra-Regional Cooperation on Water Resources and Electric Power in Central Asia Takeyoshi Sadahiro Team Leader Table of Contents Chapter 1. Outline of the study............................................................................................................................................................... 1-1 1-1 Background of the study.............................................................................................................................................................. 1-1 1-2 Purpose of the study.................................................................................................................................................................... 1-3 1-3 Term of reference (TOR).............................................................................................................................................................. 1-4 1-4 Area and scope of the study ........................................................................................................................................................ 1-5 1-5 Members of the study team and itinerary of the research trip ..................................................................................................... 1-7 Chapter 2. Present situation, problems and measures concerning development and management of water resources ...................... 2-1 2-1 Overview...................................................................................................................................................................................... 2-1 2-2 Operational status of major reservoirs in the Syrdarya River basin ............................................................................................ 2-2 2-3 Water use in the Syrdarya River basin ...................................................................................................................................... 2-13 2-4 Present situations and issues on water resources development and management in the Syrdarya River basin ..................... 2-17 2-4-1 Present situation and problems concerning water resources development and management of riparian countries......... 2-18 2-4-2 Changes in development and management of soft/hard infrastructures ........................................................................... 2-30 2-5 Background and issues on water resources and establishment on power exchange system................................................... 2-39 2-5-1 Efforts for regional water coordination by international organizations and donors ............................................................ 2-39 2-5-2 Obstacles for intra-regional accommodation's of water resources and electric power...................................................... 2-41 Chapter 3. Current Issues and measures in the electric power field...................................................................................................... 3-1 3-1 Outline ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 3-1 3-2 Status and issues of the power field in Central Asian countries .................................................................................................. 3-3 3-2-1 Demand for electricity.......................................................................................................................................................... 3-3 3-2-2 Power generation facilities in Central Asia .......................................................................................................................... 3-5 3-2-3 Interconnection of the power network system in the region ................................................................................................ 3-8 3-2-4 Approaches of each government for power supply ........................................................................................................... 3-10 3-3 Current situation and issues on generation in the Syrdarya River basin................................................................................... 3-13 3-3-1 Hydropower potential of Central Asian countries............................................................................................................... 3-13 3-3-2 Current situation of hydropower stations in the Syrdarya River basin............................................................................... 3-14 3-3-3 Toktogul Reservoir / Naryn cascade hydropower stations................................................................................................. 3-16 3-4 Effective utilization of electric power facilities with regional power trade................................................................................... 3-19 3-4-1 Objective of power balancing simulations between supply/demand ................................................................................. 3-19 3-4-2 Methodology of simulation balancing supply/demand ....................................................................................................... 3-19 3-4-3 Model and condition of simulation on balancing supply/demand ...................................................................................... 3-22 3-4-4 Results of simulation of balancing supply/demand and optimal operation ........................................................................ 3-25 3-4-5 Evaluation of results of simulation ..................................................................................................................................... 3-27 3-5 Impacts of this winter’s power shortages in Kyrgyzstan ............................................................................................................ 3-28 3-6 Activities of each donor.............................................................................................................................................................. 3-31 3-6-1 The World Bank (WB)........................................................................................................................................................ 3-31 3-6-2 Asian Development Bank (ADB) /CAREC...................................................................................................................... 3-31 3-6-3 United States Agency for International Development (USAID).......................................................................................... 3-31 3-6-4 European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) ......................................................................................... 3-32 3-6-5 United Nations Development Program (UNDP) ................................................................................................................ 3-32 3-7 Issues and measures in the electric power field........................................................................................................................ 3-33 3-7-1 Change of issues since the last study in 2005 in the power field ...................................................................................... 3-33 3-7-2 Visions and strategies for support to the field of electricity................................................................................................ 3-34 3-7-3 Specific candidate of assistance in power field ................................................................................................................. 3-36 Chapter