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ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSIY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCEINCES CENTER FOR AFRICAN AND ORIENTAL STUDIES EVALUATING THE CHALLENGES OF IGAD-LED PEACE PROCESS OF SOUTH SUDAN BY MULUGETA BIRHANU ADDIS ABABA October, 2016 EVALUATING THE CHALLENGES OF IGAD-LED PEACE PROCESS OF SOUTH SUDAN A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES OF 1 ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIRMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ARTS IN AFRICAN STUDIES (STATE AND CITEZENSHIP IN AFRICA) BY: MULUGETA BIRHANU ADVISOR: SAMUEL TEFERA (PhD) ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES CENTER FOR AFRICAN AND ORIENTAL STUDIES ADDIS ABABA October, 2016 ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCE CENTER FOR AFRICAN AND ORIENTAL STUDIES EVALUATING THE CHALLENGES OF IGAD-LED PEACE PROCESS OF SOUTH SUDAN BY 2 MULUGETA BIRHANU Approved by the Board of Examiners: Dr.__________________________ ________________ _________________ Advisor Signature Date Dr.__________________________ _________________ _________________ External Examiner Signature Date Dr.__________________________ __________________ _________________ Internal Examiner Signature Date 3 Acknowledgement I would like to express my most cordial gratitude to all those who made this thesis possible. First, I would like to thank my advisor Dr. Samuel Tefera for his guidance and encouragement. I would also like to thank all my key informants for their obedience and willingness to bestow valuable information for this study. I would like to forward my appreciation to my beloved wife (Adenech Bekele), for her unreserved encouragement and for standing by my side as well as for her financial support throughout the study. Further, I would like to thank my entire families and my friends (Meseret Bekele, Adene W/Abe and Bekele Habitamu), for their unlimited assistance in sharing their experience and suggestions respectively. Finally, I would like to thank Assefa Makebo (Fr.) Holy Saviour's Catholic School Director in Hossana for his assistance in contacting with my key informants. Abstract The purpose of study is to evaluate the challenges of IGAD-led peace process of South Sudan. Its objective is to evaluate and assess the challenges surrounding the South Sudan peace process mediated by the IGAD-led team. To address these objectives, the researcher employed qualitative research design to make use of its advantage in gaining detailed information about the issue, to examine reflections, understandings and knowledge of negotiators and refugees by offering an in-depth understanding of a particular problem and challenges. South Sudan became 4 an independent state from the Sudan in July 9, 2011, following an internationally monitored referendum, which was held on 9 January. However, almost after three years of independence, the world newest state backslide into the horrific civil war on 15, December 2013, due to the power rivalry within SPLM/A. The war resulted in the massive loss of human life and property destruction. Consequently, the regional organization, IGAD swiftly launched the peace process on Saturday 4th January 2014, in order to halt the crisis in South Sudan. Nevertheless, the peace process faced enormous internal and external challenges during the peace talk and also at present the Joint Monitoring and Evolution Commission (JMEC)is facing impediment in the implementation process. Based on the findings of this study, the researcher recommends the concerned bodies such as the IGAD, AU, IGAD-Plus and UN should exert pressure on both warring parties so as to speed up the implementation process of Peace Agreement because the South Sudanese are suffering by intense security problems and food crisis associated with the conflict up until now. Besides, the international community should keep out, those who are uncompromising and create impediment to the implementation of the peace accord, from the rank of Transitional Government of National Unity (TGONU). Because the evidences indicate that both belligerent parties leaders are not portrayed their political will and good faith to implement the Peace Concord. Key words: Conflict, Challenges, Conflict Resolution, Peace, Peace-building, South Sudan Lists of Acronyms ABC Abyei Boundary Commission AU African Union AUCISS African Union Commission of Inquiry on South Sudan ALF Azania Liberation Front 5 DDR Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration CPA Comprehensive Peace Agreement COH Cessation of Hostilities CTSAMM Ceasefire and Transitional Security Arrangement Monitoring Mechanism DOP Declaration of Principles DUP Democratic Unionist Party EFMA Economic and Financial Management Authority EU European Union FD Former Detainees GOS Government of Sudan GOSS Government of South Sudan GONU Government of National Unity HSBASSS Human Security Baseline Assessment for Sudan and South Sudan IASSW International Association of School of Social Work ICG International Crisis Group IFSW International Federation of Social Work ICF Islamic Charter Front IGAD Inter-governmental Authority on Development IPF IGAD Partners Forum IMF International Monetary Fund IPC Integrated Food Security Phase Classification JIUs Joint Integrated Units JMEC Joint Monitoring and Evaluation Commission LRA Lord Resistance Army MVM Monitoring and Verification Mechanism NCP National Congress party NDA National Democratic Alliance NEC National Elections Commission NIF National Islamic Front NIF/NCP National Islamic Front or National Congress party NUP National Unionist Party PCSG Payson Conflict Study Group PDF Protection and Deterrent Force PSC Peace and Security Council SAF Sudan Army Force SAF Sudan Alliance Forces SANU Sudan African National Union SDSRB Strategic Defense and Security Review Board SPLA Sudan People's Liberation Army SPLM Sudan People's Liberation movement SPLM/A-IO Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army-In Opposition SPLM/A Sudan People's liberation Movement/Army SSCC South Sudan Council of Churches SSDF South Sudan Democratic Front SSIM South Sudan Independence Movement 6 SSLM South Sudan Liberation Movement SI Sudd Institute SSPG South Sudan Provisional Government TMC Transitional Military Council TGONU Transitional Government of National Unity UNMISS United Nations Mission In South Sudan UNSC United Nation Security Council UPDF Ugandan People's Defense Force Table of Contents Page Acknowledgement ………………………………………………………………………………...I Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………………...II Lists of Acronyms………………………………………………………………………………..III Chapter One……………………………………………………………………………………….1 1. Introduction…………………………………………………………………………….……….1 1.1. Background…………………………………………………………..……………………….1 1.2. Statement of the Problem of the study…………………………………………………..……6 1.3. Justification of the Study…………………………………………………..…………………9 1.4. Objectives of the Study…………………………………………………..………………….10 1.4.1. General Objective…………………………………………………..……………..10 1.4.2. Specific Objectives …………………………………………………..…………...10 1.5. Research Questions …………………………………………………..……………………..11 1.6. Significance of the Study…………………………………………………..………………..11 1.7. Organization of the Study …………………………………………………..………………11 1.8. Scope of the Study…………………………………………………..………………………13 1.9. Limitations of the Study …………………………………………………..……………..…13 Chapter Two…………………………………………………..…………………………….....…15 2. Conceptual Framework and Review of Literature…………………………………………….15 2.1. Concept of Peace ………………………………………………………………………...….15 2.2. Concepts of Conflict Resolution.............................................................................................16 2.2.1. Negotiation...............................................................................................................17 7 2.2.2. Mediation.................................................................................................................17 2.2.3. Arbitration................................................................................................................18 2.2.4. Conciliation..............................................................................................................18 2.2.5. Shuttle Diplomacy...................................................................................................19 2.3.The Notion of Peace-building..................................................................................................19 2.4. Actors and Approaches to Peace-building..............................................................................20 2.4.1. Track One Diplomacy..............................................................................................20 2.4.2. Track Two Diplomacy.............................................................................................21 2.4.3. Track Three Diplomacy...........................................................................................21 2.5. Liberal Peace-building versus Post-liberal Peace-building/Hybrid Peace-building...............22 2.6. Historical Underpinnings of Conflict in Sudan…………………………………………..…23 2.7. South Sudan during the Anglo-Egyptian Rule…………………………………………..…24 2.8. South Sudan during Independence Movement…………………………………………..…26 2.9. Genesis of Southern Armed Struggle…………………………………………..…………...28 2.10. The Foreign Relation of Sudan People's Liberation Movement During the Second Civil War (1983-2005) …………………………………………..………………………..…...42 2.11. The Comprehensive Peace Agreement and Its provisions …..…………………………….44 2.11.1. Provision of the CPA …..……………………………………..............................45 2.12. The Path to South Sudan Self-determination .………………………..................................49