BUSINESS AVIATION INSIGHT ISSUE: June 2020
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BUSINESS AVIATION INSIGHT ISSUE: June 2020 Hamburg, July 14th 2020 Table of Contents WINGX INSIGHTS TRENDING Global Market activity 30% below normal in June, strong recovery on April 1. North America United States leading recovery, especially Florida 2. Europe Recovery picking up, especially Switzerland, Germany, Austria 3. Middle East Top market Saudi Arabia showing very slow recovery 4. Africa Nigeria coming back strong, Morocco still very depressed 5. South America Mexico still weak, whereas Brazil, Colombia resilient 6. Asia Pac & ANZ Australia turboprop market largely recovered, China still 30% down E-mail WINGX for more information on other regions © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH 7/14/20 | 2 June YOY and YTD Change in Business Aviation Departures WINGX North Europe America -40.7% -27.0% Middle East -30.7% Africa Australasia & Asia Pacific Latin -38.1% America -13.0% -48.4% Global YOY Global YTD -29.8% -31.3% Click here to see WINGX market intel products © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY WINGX YEAR M O N T H YEAR MAIN 3 MONTH ON TO TO REGIONS FORECAST MONTH YEAR DATE Global Activity All regions still Global Activity Global Activity Down for almost experiencing Upward trend Up from April Down from 2019 all countries decreases • Activity saw an increase of • Activity still down 29.8% • 66% of Top 30 Countries are • North America experiencing • Accelerating growth in flight more than 80,000 flights from June 2019 experiencing YTD decreases most arrivals globally activity points to stronger compared to May of 30% and above. July and August, barring resumption of lockdown • More than 700,000 fewer • US, Canada, France and • Departures totaled 286K departures than the previous • Only Colombia is seeing a YTD Australia are experiencing during June and 1.6M YTD in year increases, of 12.1% vs 2019 most departures. • Pent up demand could see (H1) 2020 close to normal flight activity in North America. Europe • More than 50% of the major • India and Colombia are the • Top airports and airport pairs likely to hit 80% threshold. airports are now only major countries to see a mainly in North America experiencing a YOY Increase YOY increase of 2.9% and • August could see slowdown or same levels as 2019 10.2% respectively • Australasia & Asia-Pacific as economic impact erodes showing most resilience with business travel and summer • PC-12, King Air 200 and • YTD activity is down 32% IE lowest decrease in arrivals seasons tails off Caravan emerging as the key H1-20 vs H1-19 is 12.9% platforms during the trough of flight activity. © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 4 Regional Highlights WINGX Top airport pair LSGG-LFPB Top airport pair in Africa is DNMM- DNAA continues to suffer heavy declines experienced the largest increase. Serbia was the only country to experience 57% of top 30 countries experienced growth in the month of June vs June-19 growth. Nigeria had most departures. Germany, France clear leaders, UK lagging. Europe Africa Norway increased its private activity YTD seeing lowest decrease with Croatia increased its commercial activity. total activity down 7.7% on 2019 Challenger 600 and King air saw most departures. King Air 200, PC-12 and XLS busiest in the Almost 50% of aircraft types it saw increased month of June. YOY with Citation Bravo seeing the largest. Top airport pair was in Top airport pair OEJN-OERK Canada: CYVR-CYYJ. experienced the largest decrease Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Haiti and Nicaragua seeing Afghanistan and Iraq were the growth. only countries seeing any YOY North Middle growth in Middle East US is driving recovery in US America East especially Florida, Colorado. Activity was up by 200 flights, Leisure travel at weekends 30% less than June 2019 close to normal. Gulfstream Challenger and PC-12 saw most Legacy had most activity. departures in June and CJ3 47% of aircraft top 15 types showing “only” 4% decrease experienced growth Top airport pair was: MMAN-KBRO showing Top pair VHHH-ZGSD is operating at same flight largest increase activity levels as 2019 Mexico was busiest market but had the Australia had largely regained YOY bizav Australasia biggest drop, French Guiana showing Latin activity. Taiwan and Macau saw steepest largest YOY increase. & Asia decrease America Total activity down 42% YTD. June Pacific Total activity down 19.3% YTD. June activity activity down 48.4% from June 2019 down 13% from June 2019 King Air 200, Challenger and Caravan 208 had Phenom 300 was the busiest aircraft type in most activity. June. No aircraft experienced growth. 40% of aircraft top 15 types saw some growth © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 5 Month-Month Trends Globally so far this year vs last year WINGX Global business aviation* flight activity dropped 30% in June-20 vs June-19. 31.3% decline in global flight activity in H1-20 vs H1-19. -31,3% DepArtures 2.400.000 2.349.090 2.200.000 2.000.000 1.800.000 1.614.391 1.600.000 1.400.000 1.200.000 -0,9% 1.000.000 -51,4% +0,4% -29,5% -69,2% -29,8% 800.000 362.813 600.000 359.544 420.883 354.626 355.961 405.333 400.356 417.782 408.180 418.601 419.435 402.126 385.283 375.320 400.000 285.922 286.509 203.108 2019 200.000 123.347 0 0 0 0 0 0 2020 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD 0 1335 -3269 -119411 -277009 -500000 -214674 -121671 -1000000 -734699 DeltA -1500000 ∆ JAN ∆ FEB ∆ MAR ∆ APR ∆ MAY ∆ JUN ∆ JUL ∆ AUG ∆ SEP ∆ OCT ∆ NOV ∆ DEC ∆ YTD *Business aviation = non-scheduled flights on business jet and turboprop aircraft types, see Definitions for more detail © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 6 Arrivals Globally, by Destination Region, June 2020 WINGX Business aviation activity* in North America and Asia-Pac & ANZ were relatively resilient in June-20. Europe and Latin America were worst affected. ARRIVAL DePartures 2020 YOY REGION: DePartures 2019 220.495 North America -27,1% 302.528 43.738 Europe -40,8% 73.940 12.277 Asia PAC & ANZ -12,9% 14.090 7.272 Latin America -46,2% 13.517 1.478 Africa -38,4% 2.398 1.245 Middle East -26,8% 1.700 286.505 Grand Total -29,8% 408.173 *Business jets and props; see Definitions or more detail © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 7 Departures by Origin Country and YOY growth, June 2020 WINGX Almost 70% of global activity was US-based in June. Worst declines were in UK, Mexico, Italy, Spain. Brazil was resilient, and some growth occurred in India and Colombia. June 2020: YOY TREND DePartures YOY: Growth YTD: Growth United States 198.997 -25,1% -30,8% Canada 19.108 -35,8% -24,6% France 7.789 -41,4% -39,7% Australia 7.516 -4,7% -14,9% Germany 6.545 -18,7% -29,2% United Kingdom 3.725 -60,5% -41,6% Mexico 3.665 -60,8% -55,4% Italy 3.645 -50,3% -51,2% Switzerland 2.848 -29,5% -30,0% Spain 2.057 -62,3% -43,9% Brazil 2.048 -9,1% -1,4% Norway 1.657 -25,0% -21,4% Russia 1.617 -35,4% -27,1% New Zealand 1.608 -22,2% -19,6% Turkey 1.486 -21,7% -33,4% Austria 1.296 -32,3% -34,8% Map shows relative decline for only top 30 countries ;darker shade = more decline Sweden 1.272 -23,5% -12,4% Belgium 824 -33,2% -37,7% Bahamas 789 -73,1% -53,9% Croatia 727 -6,3% -34,2% Poland 681 -26,3% -34,1% Greece 675 -67,4% -51,3% Netherlands 670 -43,4% -41,6% Czech RePublic 628 -29,0% -33,8% Colombia 625 10,2% 12,1% China 598 -22,1% -42,1% India 531 2,9% -17,2% Puerto Rico 466 -24,4% -25,2% Finland 446 -37,3% -30,6% Portugal 444 -39,3% -37,0% Grand Total 286.509 -29,8% -31,3% © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 8 Top 30 Airport Pairs, June 2020 WINGX Top global pairs were all in North America, notably in Canada, mainly prop-driven. Notable increase on KPBI-KHPN, MMAN-KBRO; appears to be leisure travel. June 2020: YOY TREND Flights YOY Delta CYVR-CYYJ 293 -87 CYYJ-CYVR 260 -109 PHNL-PHMK 219 -695 KPBI-KHPN 195 163 MMAN-KBRO 186 95 KBRO-MMAN 185 75 KHPN-KACK 166 -54 KLAS-KSNA 160 -92 KACK-KHPN 160 -53 CYCD-CYVR 157 -5 KSNA-KLAS 148 -113 KGUP-KABQ 148 0 NZWB-NZWN 144 -62 CYEG-CYQU 141 3 CYVR-CYCD 139 -27 NZWN-NZWB 136 -46 KLAS-KBUR 135 -114 KBUR-KLAS 132 -140 CYQU-CYEG 131 0 PHNL-PHLI 129 -39 PHMK-PHNL 124 -494 KABQ-KGUP 124 34 PHLI-PHNL 122 -65 KPHX-KSOW 122 -1 CYVR-CYLW 122 29 KPBI-KTEB 120 49 CYYC-CYXH 119 19 KSOW-KPHX 117 -19 KHOU-KDAL 117 -64 CYFC-CYQM 115 103 © 2020 by WINGX ADVANCE GMBH | Source: Multi-regional ATC and ADSB CLICK HERE 7/14/20 | 9 Departures by Top 15 Aircraft Types Globally, June 2020 WINGX PC-12, King Air 200 and Caravan the key platforms.