Valuation Report PO-17/2015
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Valuation Report PO-17/2015 A portfolio of real estate assets in St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast', Moscow and Moskovskaya Oblast’, Yekaterinburg, Russia Prepared on behalf of LSR Group OJSC Date of issue: March 17, 2016 Contact details LSR Group OJSC, 15-H, liter Ǩ, Kazanskaya St, St Petersburg, 190031, Russia Ludmila Fradina, Tel. +7 812 3856105, [email protected] Knight Frank Saint-Petersburg ZAO, Liter A, 3B Mayakovskogo St., St Petersburg, 191025, Russia Svetlana Shalaeva, Tel. +7 812 3632222, [email protected] Valuation report Ň A portfolio of real estate assets in St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast', Moscow and Moskovskaya Oblast’, Yekaterinburg, Russia Ň KF Ref: PO-17/2015 Ň Prepared on behalf of LSR Group OJSC Ň Date of issue: March 17, 2016 Page 1 Executive summary The executive summary below is to be used in conjunction with the valuation report to which it forms part and, is subject to the assumptions, caveats and bases of valuation stated herein. It should not be read in isolation. Location The Properties within the Portfolio of real estate assets to be valued are located in St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast', Moscow, Yekaterinburg, Russia Description The Subject Property is represented by vacant, partly or completely developed land plots intended for residential and commercial development and commercial office buildings with related land plots. Areas Ɣ Buildings – see the Schedule of Properties below Ɣ Land plots – see the Schedule of Properties below Tenure Ɣ Buildings – see the Schedule of Properties below Ɣ Land plots – see the Schedule of Properties below Tenancies As of the valuation date from the data provided by the Client, the office properties are partially occupied by the short-term leaseholders according to the lease agreements. Valuation Ɣ Commercial Properties. We’ve analysed both the office real estate market of St. considerations Petersburg and Moscow in general and the competitive environment of the Projects particularly to determine the market rental, vacancy and capitalization rates and OPEX for the Properties. We used this information to compare it with the data provided by the Client and to calculate the market rents after the lease expires if the current rent does not correspond to the market. Furthermore we’ve analysed the supply of the similar properties for sale. Thus the value was determined by reference to observable prices. Ɣ Residential Properties. We’ve analysed both the residential real estate market of St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast’, Moscow, Yekaterinburg in general and the competitive environment of the Projects particularly to determine market prices, sales pace per quarter, price growth due to the inflation and project completion and construction costs. We used this information to compare it with the data provided by the Client and to calculate the market sales prices if the current prices do not correspond to the market. We assumed that sale prices information provided by the Client refers to the current average prices for the appropriate unit (apartment (per unit), office or retail space (per sq. m) or parking lot (per unit)) as if the property was Valuation report Ň A portfolio of real estate assets in St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast', Moscow and Moskovskaya Oblast’, Yekaterinburg, Russia Ň KF Ref: PO-17/2015 Ň Prepared on behalf of LSR Group OJSC Ň Date of issue: March 17, 2016 Page 2 commissioned at the valuation date. Ɣ We used CPI forecast of Ministry of Economic Development of Russian Federation to index the construction costs. Ɣ Residential Properties. We’ve analysed average residential prices dynamics by classes and extrapolated it on indexing the income from sales. Ɣ All the general comments set out in this report refer to all the Properties within the portfolio if only special assumption is not provided. Ɣ To the Tax Code of Russian Federation residential development performed by contractors is not subject to VAT excluding commercial and parking construction in case of charging VAT from selling prices. Thus VAT paid on construction and other development costs can be offset only proportionally to the costs incurred in non- residential construction. Commercial properties are subject to VAT in full (long-term leasehold of the land plot) or in respect of the price apportioned to the building (freehold of the land plot) if only the owner’s company is not using Simplified Tax System. Thus we have assumed that all development costs and prices provided by the Client include VAT (where applicable). In our value calculations we applied cash flows including VAT. Ɣ More detailed valuation considerations for the particular Properties within the portfolio are expressed in the description placed in the attachments to the report. Valuation date Date of issue: March 17, 2016. Market Value 136,037,713,000 (One Hundred Thirty-Six Billion Thirty-Seven Million Seven Hundred (Fair Value), Thirteen Thousand) RUB. rounded Key assumptions Ɣ The Subject Property is represented by vacant, partly or completely developed land plots intended for residential (residential premises) and commercial (apartments) development (hereinafter referred to as “Residential Properties”) and by commercial office buildings with related land plots (hereinafter referred to as “Commercial Properties”). It is assumed that the buildings under construction will be completed in accordance with the identified plans and specification provided by the Client. Ɣ We have been provided with the Properties’ title information by the Client. Nevertheless we have not been provided with all the ownership certificates and land long-term lease agreements to verify it. Thus, in our valuation, we have assumed a good and marketable freehold (to the land plots and buildings) or long-term leasehold (to the land plots) title and that all documentation is satisfactorily drawn. Ɣ Several legal entities are the owners of the Properties within the portfolio. The Client has informed us that all these legal entities belong to LSR Group OJSC. Thus we assume that Valuation report Ň A portfolio of real estate assets in St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast', Moscow and Moskovskaya Oblast’, Yekaterinburg, Russia Ň KF Ref: PO-17/2015 Ň Prepared on behalf of LSR Group OJSC Ň Date of issue: March 17, 2016 Page 3 100% ownership of LSR Group OJSC is to be valued. Ɣ To the title documents provided by the Client, part of the Properties is either the shared ownership or leasehold. For a shared ownership we assume it is the share of freehold tenure of the Client in all the properties to be assessed. For leasehold property we assume it is freehold tenure of the improvements and leasehold of the land to be assessed. Ɣ We assume that all the utilities (heating, cold and hot water, electricity, sewerage / drainage and telecommunications) are available to the Property at the site borders. Ɣ We assume that public and social (including school) facilities for the future development are sufficient. Ɣ We have adopted the Developer’s estimate of project costs (project budget) within our assessment. Ɣ Development project costs provided by the Client consist of already incurred and estimated outstanding costs. Since we provide our opinion on the value as of the valuation date, in our calculations we have adopted only estimated outstanding costs. Ɣ Residential Properties. Sales proceeds provided by the Client consist of anticipated income from already sold but unpaid units and estimated income from the unsold units. In our DCF calculations we have adopted only income estimated from the unsold units. We assumed that a hypothetic potential purchaser of the Property would normally be entitled to all the Property rights including claim rights for the payment for sold unpaid units. Thus, we have added anticipated income from already sold but unpaid units to the NPV. Ɣ We have assumed construction period in accordance with the Developer’s envisaged timetable when in our opinion this timetable complied with construction periods witnessed at developments of a comparable scale. Otherwise our knowledge of similar developments suggested a construction period allowance of approximately 1 year (per phase if applicable). Ɣ Residential Properties. We have assumed construction phasing in accordance with the Client’s envisaged phasing. In the absence of construction phasing information provided by the Client, we have adopted the most probable market construction phasing. We assumed 100,000 – 200,000 sq. m of buildings constructed within 1 phase. Ɣ If a whole portfolio, or a substantial number of properties within it, were to be placed on the market at the same time, it could effectively flood the market, leading to a reduction in values. Conversely, the opportunity to purchase a particular group of properties might produce a premium. In other words, the value of the whole could exceed the sum of the individual parts, and vice versa. Since valuing is for a purpose of inclusion in financial statements that assumes that the portfolio will continue to remain in the existing ownership or occupation, it would be inappropriate to make any reduction or Valuation report Ň A portfolio of real estate assets in St. Petersburg and Leningradskaya Oblast', Moscow and Moskovskaya Oblast’, Yekaterinburg, Russia Ň KF Ref: PO-17/2015 Ň Prepared on behalf of LSR Group OJSC Ň Date of issue: March 17, 2016 Page 4 allowance in the valuation to reflect the possible effect of flooding the market. Ɣ To the Terms of Engagement the valuation of portfolio should be presented in the format of the report. Market researches, competitors analyses, and description of the Properties within the Portfolio are placed in attachments to the report. Ɣ We draw your attention to the fact that values change over time and a valuation given on a particular date may not be valid on an earlier or later date. Our opinion of value is only current at the valuation date.