Table of Contents

General Information Hotel Maps and Meeting Room Locations ...... 3 Housing Map and Hotel Listings ...... 11 Registration Area and Committee or Society Tables . . .13 While at JSM ...... 14 Meetings and Sessions ...... 15 Before Leaving JSM ...... 18 Hours of Operation ...... 19

Keynote Speakers ...... 21 Committees 2006 Program Committee ...... 22 Advisory Committee on Continuing Education ...... 22 Local Area Committee ...... 23

Association Offi cers ASA ...... 24 ENAR ...... 25 WNAR ...... 26 SSC ...... 26 IMS ...... 27

Continuing Education at a Glance ...... 28 Computer Technology Workshops at a Glance ...... 29 Career Placement Service Floor Plan ...... 31 Employers Listing ...... 31

Exhibits Listing of Exhibitors by Booth Number ...... 32 Exhibit Floor Plan ...... 33 Listing of Exhibitors by Name ...... 34 Who’s Who in the Exhibit Hall ...... 35

General Program Schedule Thursday, August 3 ...... 41 Friday, August 4 ...... 41 Saturday, August 5 ...... 42 Sunday, August 6 ...... 43 Monday, August 7 ...... 81 Tuesday, August 8 ...... 129 Wednesday, August 9 ...... 177 Thursday, August 10 ...... 225

Index of Participants ...... 249 Index of Continuing Education Instructors ...... 272 Advertising Index ...... 272

Seattle 1 General Information

WASHINGTON STATE CONVENTION & TRADE CENTER

2 JSM 2006 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Level 1 Kinkos

Citywide Concierge Center

Tour Bus Pick-up

Seattle 3 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Level 2

—Technical Sessions

4 JSM 2006 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Level 3 Bus/Cmte Mtgs CE Offi ce/Bus/Cmte Mtgs

—Technical Sessions

—CE Course Rooms

—Technical Sessions and CE Course Rooms

Seattle 5 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Level 4

Career Expo Placement 2006 Services

Registration

—Technical Sessions —Roundtable/Speaker Luncheon Rooms & Bus/Cmte Mtgs

6 JSM 2006 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Level 5

—Speaker Workrooms

Seattle 7 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Level 6

—Poster Sessions —Technical Sessions —Mixer & Keynote Sessions

8 JSM 2006 Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Level 2

Level 3 —Business & Committee Meetings

Level 35

Seattle 9 Grand Hyatt Seattle

Level 6 Level 1

Level 7

—Business & Committee Meetings

10 JSM 2006 Housing Map and Hotel Listings

1 Sheraton Seattle Hotel & 5 The Roosevelt Seattle 11 Renaissance Seattle Hotel Towers 1531 Seventh Avenue 515 Madison Street 1400 Sixth Avenue COC/COS, committee, and social 6 The Paramount Hotel 12 The Warwick Seattle Hotel activities 724 Pine Street 401 Lenora Street

2 Grand Hyatt Seattle 7 Mayfl ower Park Hotel 13 Sixth Avenue Inn 721 Pine Street 405 Olive Way 2000 Sixth Avenue Committee and social activities 8 Hilton Seattle 14 Seattle University 1301 Sixth Avenue 1111 E. Columbia, Bellarmine Hall No scheduled activities 3 Summerfi eld Suites 9 Crowne Plaza Seattle 15 Marriott SpringHill Suites 1011 Pike Street 1113 Sixth Avenue 1800 Yale Avenue

4 Red Lion Hotel on Fifth Avenue 10 Executive Hotel Pacifi c 1415 Fifth Avenue 400 Spring Street

Minor

Ave 15 1. Sheraton Seattle 2. Grand Hyatt 3. Summerfield Suites

4. Red Lion on 5th Ave 12th Bellevue Ave 9th Ter 5. RooseveltBroadway Ave St Av ry 6th

Ave Ave ia e 6. Paramount Ave 7th Ave 8 7. Mayflower Park Virgin th Ave 8. Hilton Seattle 9. Crowne Plaza 13 Bus Terminal St 10. Executive Hotel Pacific Ave 5th Boren-Pike- 11. Renaissance Seattle Ave Pine Park Howell 12. Warwick 12 McGraw 13. Sixth Avenue Inn Square 14. Seattle University 3r d Ave 6 3 15. Marriott SpringHill Suites Olive Way Boylston ific Pac Summ Place dstrom 2 Nor Madison St Ave 5 it 7 Ave e Convention Spring St

tlak 10th Ave Wes ter Cen Center wart St Macy’s Ste Westlake 1 Park y Marion St Cit Pine St Centre 4 Seattle U t Min Pl e S Freeway Park ace M Pik or 8 B Ave ore Columbia St ark n A Pos Terry St ve 14 et t O nion ff U ice Ave 9th St Av ty 9 St 8 e es niversi th Jam U Ave 7th Av 10 St 6th Ave e Seneca Broadway 11 Post 5th A All Spring St 4t ve t Seattle 11 AAmericanmerican StatisticalStatistical AssociationAssociation Saturday, Aug. 5 noon – 5:00 p.m.

MARKET Sunday – Wednesday Aug. 6 – Aug. 9 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. PLACE LOCATED IN THE MAIN Thursday, Aug. 10 REGISTRATION AREA 8:00 – 10:30 a.m.

Mugs, hats, ASA apparel, children’s shirts, JSM shirts, pens,

12 JSM 2006 and more! JSM Registration Area Floor Plan and Committee or Society Tables Washington State Convention & Trade Center—Level 4

—Committee or Society Tables

1. Caucus for Women in Statistics 2. Christian Statisticians 3. Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology (FCSM) 4. Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics 5. International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) 6. International Indian Statistical Association (IISA) 7. International Statistical Institute (ISI)

Seattle 13 While at JSM…

Child Care While JSM will not have organized child care, services may be organized through PANDA Dial-a-Sitter. Child care providers will come to your hotel room; the rate is $76 (plus parking) for four hours of service for up to two children, with an additional fee of $14 per hour thereafter. With the addition of a third child, the fee is $88 (plus parking) and $16/hour after the four-hour minimum. All three children cannot be under the age of 5. The fee for two families that want to share a sitter is decided on a case-by-case basis. For more information, call (206) 325-2327 or visit www.seattlesbestchildcare.com.

The Caucus for Women in Statistics will provide a subsidy toward Emergency Telephone Messages four hours of babysitting per family for up to 14 families. For details, contact Mary Gray at [email protected]. Th e general conference telephone number is (206) 219-4700. Th is will connect you to the JSM Special Assistance Desk and should only be used for emergency purposes. Emergency Electronic Devices messages will be posted in the electronic JSM Cyber Center, Please turn off all cell phones, pagers, and other electronic located in the registration area at the Washington State devices before attending any JSM session. Th ese devices Convention & Trade Center. All other calls or messages should cause interference with the audiovisual equipment and are a be left in the attendee’s guestroom on his/her voice mail. distraction to the session speakers and attendees.

Convention Hotels No Smoking Policy Th e main phone numbers for the convention hotels are: For the comfort and health of all attendees, smoking is not Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers (206) 621-9000 permitted at any JSM function. Th is includes plenary sessions, concurrent sessions, workshops, luncheons, and receptions Grand Hyatt Seattle (206) 774-1234 (unless the event is outside). Summerfi eld Suites (206) 682-8282 Red Lion Hotel on Fifth Avenue (206) 971-8000 Photographs and Videotaping Th e Roosevelt Seattle (206) 621-1200 Taking photographs or using video equipment in any session or at any JSM event is prohibited, and violators will be asked to Th e Paramount Hotel (206) 292-9500 leave. Th is is a disruption for the speakers, a distraction for the Mayfl ower Park Hotel (206) 623-8700 audience, and an infringement on intellectual property rights. Hilton Seattle (206) 624-0500 Only the offi cial JSM photographer will be authorized to take photographs. Crowne Plaza Seattle (206) 464-1980 Executive Hotel Pacifi c (206) 623-3900 Recycling at JSM Renaissance Seattle Hotel (206) 583-0300 Your participation can make the diff erence. You can help Th e Warwick Seattle Hotel (206) 443-4300 by making use of the paper, plastic, aluminum, and glass trash containers in the lobby areas of the Washington State Sixth Avenue Inn (206) 441-8300 Convention & Trade Center. Also, participating in the towel Seattle University, Bellarmine Hall (206) 296-5620 and linen programs in use at the area hotels makes a signifi cant Marriott SpringHill Suites (206) 254-0500 impact on the amount of energy and water used. You also can change the option from print to not print or use the paper Assistance for Those with Disabilities recycling containers available at the Cyber Center to help If you have a disability that may impede your participation, us continue our eff orts to conserve. If you have additional please contact a staff member at the Special Assistance Desk questions, please stop by the Special Assistance Desk at the on Level 4, South Lobby, of the Washington State Convention Washington State Convention & Trade Center registration area. & Trade Center.

14 JSM 2006 Meetings and Sessions

Poster Sessions CC – Level 6, East Lobby Regular and topic-contributed poster sessions are held Sunday from 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. and 8:00 p.m.– 9:50 p.m. and Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday from 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. and 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Th ese sessions are designed for the display of graphical materials, charts, printouts, etc., rather than the text of the paper. Details are available in the general program schedule. Authors are assigned a poster board corresponding to the number in the program and will remain for the allotted time.

Th e Monday morning session includes the Data Expo competition entries, which provide graphical summaries of a NASA dataset containing geographic and atmospheric data. Th e competition is sponsored by the Sections on Statistical Graphics, Statistical Computing, and Statistics and the Environment.

Poster Session Location Introductory Overview Lectures Th e Introductory Overview Lectures are a series of talks on a variety of topics. No pre-registration is necessary, and they are open to all JSM registrants. If you have suggestions for next year, please contact 2007 JSM Program Chair Allan Rossman at [email protected].

Sunday, August 6, 2:00 p.m. - 3:50 p.m. CC-4C-4 Session 1 Genetic Association Studies

Sunday, August 6, 4:00 p.m. - 5:50 p.m. CC-4C-4 Session 38 Adaptive Designs/Interim Pilots and Regression Trees Poster Sessions Monday, August 7, 8:30 a.m. - 10:20 a.m. CC-400 Session 83 Statistical Consulting

Tuesday, August 8, 8:30 a.m. - 10:20 a.m. CC-4C-4 Session 219 Computer Experiments

Wednesday, August 9, 8:30 a.m. - 10:20 a.m. CC-4C-4 Washington State Convention & Trade Center Session 355 Image Statistics and Bootstrap Level 6, East Lobby

Seattle 15 Late-Breaking Sessions Student Mixer Th e JSM partner societies recently approved two additional S – Metropolitan Ballroom B session slots for special invited late-breaking sessions to cover Student registrants can enjoy refreshments, meet their important topics that might emerge close in time to each JSM. peers, and make plans for local events and outings at this Th is is an exciting addition to the JSM program, most of which mixer, Monday, August 7, from 6:00 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. Th e is organized well in advance. 2006 Student Mixer is sponsored by the ASA Committee on Membership Retention and Recruitment. A number of door Monday, August 7, 2:00 p.m. – 3:50 p.m. CC - 4C-4 prizes will be given away. Students, you don’t want to miss it! Session 173 Statistical/Mathematical Challenges in Biodefense Immune Modeling Society Business Meetings You are encouraged to attend your society business meetings, Wednesday, August 9, 8:30 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. CC-400 if held during JSM. Th is is your chance to give your input to Session 354 What Is the Role of Statistics in Public the offi cers and other members of your society. Policy Debates about Climate Change? American Statistical Association CC-612 Business and Committee Meetings Sunday, August 6, 6:00 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. All meetings are open unless shown as “closed” or “by invitation only.” Section business meetings are open to all, and Statistical Society of H-Princessa II Ballroom members are urged to attend. Th e business meetings of ASA Canada Reception Sections provide the opportunity for JSM attendees to give Monday, August 7, 5:00 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. suggestions about Section business. IMS Member Reception S-Aspen Opening Mixer Monday, August 7, 5:30 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. CC – Ballroom 6ABC Don’t miss your chance to get JSM 2006 off to a great start International Biometric Society, CC-604 ENAR Business Meeting while enjoying refreshments with your colleagues. Join us Tuesday, August 8, 5:30 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6, from 8:00 p.m. - 10:30 p.m. Based on last year’s success, a poster session will be on display during the IMS New Member & Student Reception S-Willow A mixer in the East Lobby. We will see you there! Tuesday, August 8, 5:30 p.m. – 6:30 p.m.

16 JSM 2006 GGertrudeertrude CCoxox SScholarshipcholarship RRaceace 5K Race and 2.5K Fun Run/Walk Tuesday, August 8

Th e Caucus for Women in Statistics, in conjunction with the ASA, presents the 17th annual Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle, Washington. All proceeds will benefi t the Gertrude M. Cox Scholarship in Statistics.

The Race: Two races running concurrently—a competitive 5K and a 2.5K fun run/walk

When: Tuesday, August 8, at 7:00 a.m.

Where: Location and logistical information will be posted at the caucus table in the exhibit hall, Hall 4A, Level 4 of the Washington State Convention & Trade Center.

How Much: Th e entry fee is $20.

Registration: Th ose interested in participating are encouraged to register early. You may register at the hos- pitality table for the Caucus for Women in Statistics in the exhibit hall, Hall 4A, Level 4 of the Washington State Convention & Trade Center. All participants must sign a registration form and waiver. T-shirts for all preregistered runners will be distributed at the race. If you have questions, please contact Lori Th ombs at [email protected] or (573) 882-3844.

REGISTRATION FORM (each participant must complete and sign form)

Name

Address

City State/Province ZIP/Postal Code

Phone

Gender ❑ M ❑ F Age ______Event ❑ 5K Race ❑ 2.5K Fun Run/Walk T-shirt size ❑ L ❑ XL

The fine print. I understand that running a road race is a potentially hazardous activity. I will not enter and run unless I am medically able and properly trained. I agree to abide by any decision of a race offi cial relative to my ability to complete the run safely. I assume all risks associated with running in this event, including—but not limited to—falls, contact with other participants, effects of weather, traffi c, and course conditions. All such risks are known and appreciated by me. Having read this waiver, knowing these facts, and in consideration of your accepting my entry, I, for myself and anyone entitled to act on my behalf, waive and release the race directors, the race committee, and all sponsors from all claims of liabilities of any kind arising out of my participation in this event, even though such liability may arise as a result of negligence or carelessness on the part of the persons named in this waiver.

Signature Date

Parent or guardian (if under 18)

Make check payable to The Gertrude Cox Scholarship Fund. Please return this form along with your check to Lori Thombs, Race Organizer, Department of Statistics, University of Missouri, Middlebush 146, Columbia, MO 65211, or fax to (573) 884-5524. Seattle 17 Before Leaving JSM…

Recycling Badge Holders JSM badges and badge holders will be collected for recycling. Please place those you are not reusing into a designated bin in the registration area.

new 2006 JSM Proceedings Proceedings A copy of the 2006 Proceedings CD-ROM is included policy with most registration types; however, additional copies may be ordered by calling (888) 231-3473 or visiting www.amstat.org/asastore. CDs will mail in early 2007. Anyone who orally presents a paper, panel, or poster during JSM is eligible to submit a paper for publication on the 2006 Proceedings CD-ROM. For information about submitting a paper, visit www.amstat.org/ meetings/jsm/2006/index.cfm?fuseaction=proceedings. Papers may be submitted from August 1–October 20 and must be in electronic format.

JSM 2007 Th e 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings will be held in Salt Lake City, Utah, July 29–August 2, at the Salt Palace Convention Center. Preliminary information about JSM 2007 can be found at the Salt Lake Booth, #109, at this year’s EXPO. Th e complete listing of the 2007 Program Committee and instructions for submitting contributed papers appeared in the June issue of Amstat News and can be found at www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2007.

If You Are Not a Member... Information about the ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, and SSC will be available at the society booths located in the exhibit hall. Each society provides a variety of publications and activities to anyone interested in applied and/or theoretical statistics. Student membership is offered at substantially reduced rates. If you are not already a member of the ASA, join now and receive a $15 discount on your first year of Limited or Regular membership. Join at the ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk in the registration area by Thursday, August 10, at 10 a.m. to receive your discount. This discount is valid for Limited or Regular memberships only. Ask about other discounted memberships for students, post-graduates, retirees, and developing country residents.

18 JSM 2006 Hours of Operation

Registration All persons attending JSM, including participants in the program, are required to register. Materials for all those who registered in advance are available at the JSM Registration Desk, located on Level 4, South Lobby, of the Washington State Convention & Trade Center. Th e ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk also is located here. Additionally, you may add Continuing Education courses, the Career Placement Service, tours, guests, roundtables with coff ee, and roundtables with lunch to your registration at the JSM Registration Desk. Hours of operation: Saturday, August 5 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 7:00 a.m. – 8:30 p.m. Monday, August 7 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Tuesday, August 8 7:30 a.m. – 4:30 p.m. Wednesday, August 9 7:30 a.m. – 4:30 p.m. Th ursday, August 10 7:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. JSM registration includes the program book and abstract book or CD, access to EXPO 2006, admission to the Opening Mixer (dry snacks, beer, and soft drinks), the Student Mixer (students only), and the Informal Dance Party (dry snacks and cash bar). If you did not purchase roundtable tickets with your advance registration, ask at the JSM Registration Desk for availability. Existing tickets will be sold until 2 p.m. on the day prior to the A speaker work room is available for all presenters. Th ere will scheduled roundtable. NOTE: No onsite kosher or heart healthy be practice equipment available in each room. Th e practice meal tickets will be available. equipment will consist of an overhead projector and screen and a data projector and screen. To accommodate more than 3,200 ASA Continuing Education Courses presenters, each speaker will be limited to 10 minutes to test the equipment. Please rehearse your verbal presentation in the Courses will be held in rooms on Level 3 of the Washington privacy of your hotel room to ensure everyone has a chance to State Convention & Trade Center. For room assignments, please test the equipment. review the general program or visit the Special Assistance Desk on Level 4, South Lobby, of the Washington State Convention & Presenters using laptops for presentations are encouraged to Trade Center. report to the speaker work room for training on how to connect properly to the data projector. Audiovisual technicians will be Onsite CE Registration: Go to the JSM Registration Desk, available to assist with questions or problems. located on Level 4, South Lobby, of the Washington State Convention & Trade Center. Availability may be limited, and textbooks will not be available. Career Placement Service CC – Exhibit Hall 4B Speaker Work Rooms Th e JSM 2006 Career Placement Service will be located in the Th ere will be two speaker work rooms this year, both at the Washington State Convention & Trade Center, Hall B. Hours of Washington State Convention & Trade Center, Level 5, in rooms operation: 507 and 508. Hours of operation: Saturday, August 5 Saturday, August 5 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Job Posting and Résumé Submission Only 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 Monday, August 7 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Full Career Placement Service Open 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m. Tuesday, August 8 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 9 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Monday, August 7 Th ursday, August 10 7:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Full Career Placement Service Open 8:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.

Seattle 19 Tuesday, August 8 ASA Marketplace Full Career Placement Service Open 8:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. CC – Level 4, South Lobby Wednesday, August 9 Th e ASA Marketplace is your store for JSM and ASA souvenirs. Full Career Placement Service Open 8:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Purchase your offi cial JSM 2006 T-shirt, new shirt designs, great (Onsite registration closes at noon.) new gifts, and clearance items. Hours of operation: Saturday, August 5 12:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. EXPO 2006 Monday, August 7 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CC – Exhibit Hall 4A Tuesday, August 8 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Visit publishers, software companies, and recruiters. See state- Wednesday, August 9 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. of-the-art products designed for the statistical community. Th ursday, August 10 8:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Exhibitors Move in and out Information Saturday, August 5 ASA Communities Booth Hours (exhibitor move in only) 8:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CC – Exhibit Hall 4A, Booth 101 Sunday, August 6 Learn about the many programs available to you, including (exhibitor move in only) 8:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Chapters, Sections, career development, statistical education, Wednesday, August 9 and membership. Hours of operation: (exhibitor move out only) 2:00 p.m. – 8:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m. Monday, August 7 9:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Show Hours of Operation Tuesday, August 8 9:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 9 9:00 a.m. – 2:00 p.m. Monday, August 7 9:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Tuesday, August 8 9:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 9 9:00 a.m. – 2:00 p.m. Citywide Concierge Center CC – Level 1 Cyber Center Th e Citywide Concierge Center is operated by the CC – Level 4, South Lobby Washington State Convention & Trade Center and provides Th ere will be 20 terminals in the Cyber Center available for extensive information and referrals for restaurants, tours, internet access and the electronic Message Center. Th e Cyber and sightseeing—along with up-to-date maps and travel Center is for registered JSM attendees and will be located information. Th e center is located in the Main Lobby on Level 1 in the JSM registration area on Level 4, South Lobby, of the of the convention center. Hours of operation: Washington State Convention & Trade Center. Th ere will NOT Saturday, August 5 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. be 24-hour access to the Cyber Center. To reach an attendee Sunday, August 6 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. when the Cyber Center is closed, please call his/her hotel Monday, August 7 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. directly. Hours of operation: Tuesday, August 8 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Saturday, August 5 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 9 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Sunday, August 6 7:00 a.m. – 10:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 10 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Monday, August 7 7:00 a.m. – 10:00 p.m. Tuesday, August 8 7:00 a.m. – 10:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 9 7:00 a.m. – 10:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 10 7:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.

Wireless Internet Access Th e Washington State Convention & Trade Center has wireless internet access in the following locations: 1st fl oor – Pike Street entrance; 2nd fl oor – International Meeting Place; 4th fl oor – South Escalator Landing; and 6th Floor – East and West lobbies. Th e cost is $9.95 per day; call (206) 219-5644 for technical support.

20 JSM 2006 Keynote Speakers

President’s Invited Address William R. Pulleyblank is the vice president of the Center for Business Optimization within IBM Business Consulting “A Data-Driven World: Why Now, and What Services. He has served on a number of boards, advisory panels, and editorial boards. His research interests are Do We Do about It?” in operations research, combinatorial optimization, and applications of optimization. Monday, August 7, 4:00 p.m.

William R. Pulleyblank Vice President, Center for Business Optimization, IBM Global Services, IBM Business Consulting Services

Deming Lecture Ron Snee is principal of Process and Organizational Excellence at Tunnell Consulting. Snee received his BA “Making Another World: a Holistic Approach to in mathematics from Washington and Jefferson College and MS and PhD degrees from Rutgers University in Performance Improvement” applied and mathematical statistics. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association, American Society Tuesday, August 8, 4:00 p.m. of Quality, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science. His work has been recognized by Ronald D. Snee 20 major awards and medals. He has published four books Tunnell Consulting and more than 165 papers in the fields of performance improvement, statistics, quality, and management.

ASA Presidential Address Sallie Keller-McNulty is dean of the George R. Brown School of Engineering, professor of statistics, and the E.D. Butcher Chair of Engineering at Rice University in “From Data to Policy: Houston, Texas. She is also Fellow and president of the Scientific Excellence Is Our Future” American Statistical Association, was named fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Tuesday, August 8, 8:00 p.m. and is a recipient of the ASA’s Founders Award. She has more than 60 statistical science publications. Her areas Sallie Keller-McNulty of research are uncertainty quantification, computational Rice University and graphical statistics and related software and modeling techniques, and data access and confidentiality.

COPSS Fisher Lecture While working toward his PhD in mathematics at Monash University, Terence P. Speed was in close contact with “Recombination and Linkage” population genetics and heard much about Fisher’s work in that area, but his research was in algebra. His first academic job was at the University of Sheffield, where he fell in love with sufficiency and dipped more deeply into Wednesday, August 9, 4:00 p.m. Fisher’s works. In 1997, he took up a 50% appointment in medical research at the University of Melbourne. Since Terence P. Speed then, he has divided his time as follows: 50% Berkeley, 50% University of California, Berkeley Melbourne, and 50% in the air. Statistics, genetics, and molecular biology are among his major research interests.

Seattle 21 Committees Page

Advisory Committee on Continuing Education 2006 PROGRAM COMMITTEE Charles Yun Tan, Chair Merck & Co., Inc.

Katherine T. Halvorsen Smith College

Gordon J. Johnston SAS Institute JSM 2006 Program Chair International Biometric Society (ENAR) International Biometric Society (WNAR) Lisa M. LaVange Brent Coull Gabriel Huerta The University of North Carolina Harvard School of Public Health University of New Mexico Nandini Kannan University of Texas

Eileen C. King Procter & Gamble

Andy Mauromoustakos University of Arkansas Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) Council of Chapters, ASA Committee on Committees, ASA Georgia Roberts James R. Kenyon Margo J. Anderson Leonard Oppenheimer Statistics Canada Bristol-Myers Squibb Company University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee J&J PRD

Xiaoming Sheng University of Utah

Clyde Tucker Bureau of Labor Statistics

Invited and Contributed Posters Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ASA Biometrics Section, ASA Maura E. Stokes Steven N. MacEachern Michael J. Daniels SAS Institute The Ohio State University University of Florida ASA Continuing Education Madge Haven Education Programs Administrator

Rick Peterson

Education Programs Administrator Statistical Computing Section, ASA Section on Statistical Consulting, ASA Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, ASA Michael W. Trosset Todd G. Nick Wendy Martinez College of William and Mary Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Office of Naval Research

ASA Meetings Elaine L. Powell, CMP Assistant Director of Meetings

Kathleen Wert

Meetings Planner Section on Epidemiology, ASA Section on Government Statistics, ASA Section on Statistical Graphics, ASA Lisa M. Sullivan Michael P. Cohen Juergen Symanzik Donna R. Arrington Boston University Bureau of Transportation Statistics Utah State University Meetings Planner

American Statistical Association Email: [email protected] Web: www.amstat.org

Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ASA Section on Physical & Engineering Sciences, ASA Section on Quality & Productivity, ASA Todd Ogden Thomas M. Loughin Martha M. Gardner Columbia University Kansas State University General Electric Global Research

22 JSM 2006 Local Area Committee Dan Fitzsimmons Boeing, Cochair Tim Hesterberg Insightful Corporation, Cochair Bruce Peters Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Invited) Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Contributed) Section on Statistics in Sports, ASA TerraStat Christopher Genovese Jennifer Hoeting Kara L. Morgan Carnegie Mellon University Colorado State University IBM Christian K. Hansen Eastern Washington University JoAnna Scott University of Washington I-li Lu Boeing

General Methodology, ASA General Methodology, ASA Section on Survey Research Methods, ASA Barry Graubard Jianwen Cai David R. Judkins Jim Ward National Cancer Institute The University of North Carolina Westat Sand Point Statistics Group Winson Taam Boeing Brian Leroux University of Washington Martin Meckesheimer Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Business & Economic Statistics Section, ASA Section on Teaching Statistics in the Boeing B. Christine Clark Margaret Land Health Sciences, ASA ICON Clinical Research Texas A&M University, Kingsville Janet Tooze Aileen Murphy Wake Forest University ZymoGenetics Paul Below IEEE Computer Society Paul Ross Industrial and Organizational Psychologist (retired) Section on Statistical Education, ASA Section on Statistics and the Environment, ASA Paul J. Roback Estelle Russek-Cohen St. Olaf College U.S. Food and Drug Administration Sabyasachi (Shobbo) Basu Boeing Shuguang Song Boeing Stephen Kaluzny Insightful Corporation Dane Wu Section on Health Policy Statistics, ASA Section on Statistics in Marketing, ASA Christopher H. Schmid Andrew Ainslie Pacific Lutheran University Tufts-New England Medical Center UCLA Anderson School of Management Anne York York Data Analysis Catherine White University of Washington

Section on Risk Analysis, ASA Social Statistics Section, ASA Ingo Ruczinski Juanita Tamayo Lott The The Johns Hopkins University U.S. Census Bureau

Seattle 23 2006 Association Offi cers

American Statistical Association

President Editors, Current Index to Statistics Sallie Keller-McNulty George Styan, Abstracting Editor David James, Database Editor President-Elect Mary Ellen Bock Editor, Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics Past President Byron J. T. Morgan Fritz J. Scheuren Editor, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Vice Presidents Torben G. Andersen George W. Cobb Daniel Kaspryzk Editor, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Robert Rodriguez Luke Tierney Editor, Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics Secretary ® William B. Smith David M. Th issen Editor, Treasurer STATS: Th e Magazine for Students of Statistics Paul J. Fields Sastry G. Pantula Editor, Technometrics Council of Chapters Representatives Randy Sitter Joan S. Chmiel Katherine Monti Editors, Amstat Online June Morita Martha Aliaga William B. Smith Council of Sections Representatives Ronald Fecso Editor, Journal of Statistics Education Ralph O’Brien W. Robert Stephenson Nathaniel Schenker Editor, ASA/SIAM Book Series Publications Representative Martin T. Wells Edward Wegman Editor, Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research International Representative Joseph F. Heyse Denise Lievesley Council of Chapters Chair Editors, Journal of the American Statistical Association Ronald L. Wasserstein Coordinating and Applications and Case Studies: Council of Sections Chair Mark S. Kaiser John E. Boyer Th eory and Methods: Stephen Portnoy and Walter Piegorsch Business Offi ce Book Reviews: William B. Smith, Executive Director Robert Lund American Statistical Association Editor, Th e American Statistician 732 North Washington Street Peter Westfall Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 Phone: (703) 684-1221 Editor, CHANCE Fax: (703) 684-6456 Michael Lavine Email: [email protected] Web: www.amstat.org

24 JSM 2006 International Biometric Society—Eastern North American Region January – December 2006

President 2006 Spring Meeting – Tampa, Florida Jane Pendergast Program Chair: Montserrat Fuentes Program Cochair: Jose Pinheiro Past President Peter Imrey 2007 Spring Meeting – Atlanta, Georgia Program Chair: Amy Herring President-Elect Program Cochair: Gene Pennello Lisa LaVange Biometrics Editors Secretary (2004–2006) Marie Davidian, Laurence Freedman, Mike Kenward, Lance Waller Naisyin Wang Treasurer (2004–2006) Biometric Bulletin Editor Oliver Schabenberger Urania Dafni Regional Committee (RECOM) ENAR Correspondent for the Biometric Bulletin President (Chair): Jane Pendergast Rosalyn Stone ENAR Executive Director Six ordinary members (elected to three-year terms): Kathy Hoskins RAB Chair: Scarlett Bellamy International Biometric Society Business Manager 2004–2006 2006–2007 2006–2008 Claire Shanley Bruce Craig Gregory Campbell A. John Bailor Amita Manatunga Naisyin Wang Stacy Linborg Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS) ENAR Tom TenHave Representatives Jane Pendergast (President), Peter Imrey (Past-President), Regional Members of the Council of the International Lisa LaVange (President-Elect) Biometric Society ENAR Standing/Continuing Committee Chairs Ron Brookmeyer, Marie Davidian, Walter W. Piegorsch, Nominating Marie Davidian Louise Ryan, Janet Wittes Sponsorship B. Christine Clark Appointed Members of the Regional Advisory Board Information Technology Oversight Committee (ITOC) (three-year terms) Bonnie LaFleur Chair: Stacy Lindborg American Association for the Advancement of Science (Joint 2004–2006 2006–2007 2006–2007 with WNAR) Terms through February 22, 2006 Hongshik Ahn Barbara Bailey Michael Hardin Section N, Medical Sciences Joan Hilton Brent Coull Sudipto Banerjee Eileen King Section G, Biological Sciences Geof Givens Debashis Ghosh Jason Conner Carol Lin Section U, Statistics Mary Foulkes Amy Herring Todd Durham Keith Muller Section O, Agriculture Kenneth Porter Tom Loughin Kirk Easley Soomin Park Section E, Geology and Geography Stephen Rathbun Jared Lunceford Abie Ekangaki Shyamal Paddada National Institute of Statistical Sciences (ENAR President is also Jeff rey Morris Deborah Ingram Jose Pinheiro an ex-offi cio member) Board of Trustees Member: Lisa LaVange Kerrie Nelson Xuejen Peng Paul Rathouz Business Offi ce Frank Roesch James Rosenberger Jeremy Taylor Eastern North American Region Helen Zhang Maura Stokes Melanie Taylor International Biometric Society Programs 12100 Sunset Hills Road, Suite 130 2006 Joint Statistical Meetings Reston, VA 20190 Brent Coull Phone: (703) 437-4377 Fax: (703) 435-4390 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings Email: [email protected] Christopher S. Coff ey Web: www.enar.org

Seattle 25 International Biometric Society— Statistical Society of Canada- Western North American Region Executive 2006–2007

President Christine McLaren President-Elect Ken Burnham President Past President Charmaine Dean Chris Drake President-Elect Secretary Christian Genest Antje Hoering Past President Treasurer David Binder Kenneth Kopecky Secretary Program Coordinator Paul Cabilio Weng Kee Wong Treasurer Representatives at-Large Edward Chen 2006–2008: Jennifer Hoeting, Rhonda Rosychuk 2005–2007: Todd Alonzo, Barbra Richardson Public Relations Offi cer 2004–2006: Ken Burnham, Sandrine Dudoit Angelo Canty

IBS Council Representatives Business Offi ce: John Neuhaus Statistical Society of Canada Elizabeth Th ompson 577 King Edward Avenue Ottawa, ON Canada K1N 6N5 Business Offi ce Phone: (613) 562-5320 WNAR Membership Services Fax: (613) 565-6774 Cancer Research and Biostatistics Email: [email protected] 1730 Minor Avenue, Suite 1900 Web: www.ssc.ca Seattle, WA 98101-1468 Email: [email protected] Web: www.wnar.org

26 JSM 2006 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Executive Committee Managing Editor, Probability President Michael Phelan Jim Pitman Editor, Electronic Journal of Probability President-Elect Andreas Greven Jianqing Fan Editor, Electronic Communications in Probability Past President David Nualart Th omas Kurtz Managing Editors, Electronic Probability Journals Program Secretary Philippe Carmona Andrew Nobel Zhenqing Chen Executive Secretary Editor, Probability Surveys Cindy Christiansen David Aldous Treasurer Council Jiayang Sun Richard Gill 2006 Hans R. Kunsch 2006 Editors Christian P. Robert 2006 Editor, Th e Annals of Applied Probability Ruth J. Williams 2006 Ed Waymire Th omas DiCiccio 2006 Susan Holmes 2007 Editor, Th e Annals of Probability Gregory F. Lawler Nancy Flournoy 2007 Erwin Bolthausen 2007 Editors, Th e Annals of Statistics Michael Steele 2007 Morris L. Eaton Xuming He 2007 Jianqing Fan Maury Bramson 2008 Merlise Clyde 2008 Executive Editor, Statistical Science John H. J. Einmahl 2008 Ed George Jun Liu 2008 Editor, IMS Bulletin Daniel Peña 2008 Bernard Silverman Editor, Lecture Notes-Monograph Series Business Offi ce Richard Vitale Elyse R. Gustafson, Executive Director P.O. Box 22718 Editor, IMS Web Site Beachwood, OH 44122 Krzysztof Burdzy Phone: (216) 295-2340 Managing Editor, Statistics Fax: (216) 295-5661 Paul Shaman Email: [email protected] Web: www.imstat.org

Seattle 27 Continuing Education at a glance Time Course Instructor(s) Course Title SATURDAY, AUGUST 5, 2006 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_01C Gary G. Koch/Todd Schwartz/Rebekkah Dann Categorical Data Analysis (two-day course) 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_02C Partha Lahiri Small Area Estimation Modern Approaches to Nonstationary Models of Spatial 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_03C Peter Guttorp/Paul Sampson and Space-Time Processes with Air Quality Applications 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_04C Bruno Sanśo Bayesian Inference 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_05C Richard De Veaux Practical Data Mining 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_06C Garrett Fitzmaurice Applied Longitudinal Analysis SUNDAY, AUGUST 6, 2006 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_01C Gary G. Koch/Todd Schwartz/Rebekkah Dann Categorical Data Analysis (two-day course) 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_07C David Madigan/David Lewis Text Mining 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_08C Roger Tourangeau The Psychology of Survey Response Statistical Methods for the Confirmatory Analysis of 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_09C Stefan Wellek Equivalence/Noninferiority Studies Computational Statistics: Methods for Monte Carlo 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_10C Jennifer A. Hoeting/Geof H. Givens Integration and Optimization 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_11C Frank E. Harrell, Jr. Regression Modeling Strategies 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_12C Bradley P. Carlin/Thomas A. Louis Hierarchical Bayes Methods and Software for Data Analysis 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_13C Oliver Schabenberger Generalized Linear Mixed Models: Theory and Applications MONDAY, AUGUST 7, 2006 8:00 a.m. – noon CE_14C Anthony R. Olsen/Donald L. Stevens, Jr. Spatial Survey Design with a Focus on Natural Resources 8:00 a.m. – noon CE_15C Danyu Lin Analysis of Multivariate Failure Time Data ★ 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_16C Peter H. Westfall Multiple Comparisons and Multiple Tests 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_17C Bruce D. Spencer/Juha M. Alho Statistical Demography with Applications ★ 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_18C Christy Chuang-Stein/Alex Dmitrienko/Geert Molenberghs Analysis of Clinical Trials: Theory and Applications 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_19C Alan Gelfand/Athanasios Kottas Applied Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_20C Sophia Rabe-Hesketh/Anders Skrondal Generalized Linear and Latent Mixed Models 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_21C Naomi B. Robbins Creating More Effective Graphs TUESDAY, AUGUST 8, 2006 8:00 a.m. – noon CE_23C Thomas W. O’Gorman Adaptive Tests of Significance and Confidence Intervals 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_24C Malay Ghosh/Bhramar Mukherjee/Samiran Sinha Bayesian Analysis of Case-Control Data 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_25C Dennis R. Helsel/Lopaka Lee Analysis of Environmental Data with Nondetects 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_26C Geert Verbeke/Geert Molenberghs Models for Discrete Repeated Measures 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_27C Judith A. Swan Effective Scientific Writing 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_28C Scott D. Patterson/Byron Jones Bioequivalence and Statistics in Clinical Pharmacology 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_29C Geoff McLachlan/Kim-Anh Do Methods and Computational Tools for the Screening and Classification of Microarray Gene Expression Data 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_30C Ingram Olkin Meta-analysis: Statistical Methods for Combining the Results of Independent Studies

★—Excellence-in-CE Award

28 JSM 2006 WEDNESDAY, August 9

FEE: $50 each Computer Technology Workshops

Computer Technology Workshops at a glance Time Course Instructor(s) Title

8:30 a.m. – 10:15 a.m. CE_31T Dongping Fang Time Series in SPSS: Automatic Model Selection and Outlier Detection 8:30 a.m. – 10:15 a.m. CE_32T Michael Borenstein/Hannah R. Meta-analysis: Concepts and Rothstein Applications 8:30 a.m. – 10:15 a.m. CE_33T John Castelloe Power and Sample Size Analysis Using SAS/STAT Software 10:30 a.m. – 12:15 p.m. CE_34T Mikhail Golovnya Introduction to CART: Data Mining with Decision Trees 10:30 a.m. – 12:15 p.m. CE_35T Michael Borenstein Power Analysis: A Simple and Effective Approach 10:30 a.m. – 12:15 p.m. CE_36T Robert Cohen Modern Regression Analysis in SAS Software 2:00 p.m. – 3:45 p.m. CE_37T Mikhail Golovnya Advances in Data Mining: Jerome Friedman’s TreeNet/MART and Leo Breiman’s Random Forests 2:00 p.m. – 3:45 p.m. CE_38T Cyrus Mehta East 4: A Comprehensive Package for Adaptive and Group Sequential Design, Interim Monitoring, and Simulation 2:00 p.m. – 3:45 p.m. CE_39T Colin (Lin) Chen Quantile Regression Using the SAS QUANTREG Procedure 4:00 p.m. – 5:45 p.m. CE_40T Mikhail Golovnya Introduction to MARS: Predictive Modeling with Nonlinear Automated Regression Tools 4:00 p.m. – 5:45 p.m. CE_41T Shawn Harahush From Software to Solutions in Statistics and Risk Analysis

Seattle 29 Seeking a CAREER in

Seattle, WA STATISTICS? August 6–10

Are you nearing graduation and wondering about entry-level jobs? Are you an experienced statistics professional interested in career information? Register for the JSM Career Placement Service!

What can the CAREER PLACEMENT SERVICE do for YOU?

Each year, hundreds of companies, universities, recruiters, and government agencies search for applicants using the JSM Career Placement Service. At the 2005 JSM in Minneapolis, employers listed more than 200 positions for qualifi ed statisticians. Th e JSM Career Placement Service provided the best opportunity for qualifi ed applicants to meet employers, establish valuable contacts, and learn about organizations employing statisticians.

Career Placement Service BENEFITS

APPLICANT READING AREA—for applicants to review complete job descriptions and contact information for all registered employers. VISIBILITY TO EMPLOYERS—applicants who register by July 20, 2006, will have their forms and résumés included in the Advance Applicant access database, available to employers prior to the meeting. Employers often contact applicants whose forms are included in the database prior to JSM to schedule interviews. COMPUTERIZED MESSAGE CENTER—allows applicants and employers to communicate throughout the meeting. www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2006/placement

Organizations Represented at Recent JSM Career Placement Services Capital One • FDA • Genentech • PPD • Stanford University 30 JSM 2006 GE Consumer Finance • Pacifi c Northwest National Lab • Eli Lilly Career Placement

The JSM Career Placement Service off ers a full-service recruiting facility, including online registration, private inter- view booths, and an onsite computerized message center. Each year, hundreds of qualifi ed applicants look to the JSM Career Placement Service to begin or further their careers in statistics. If you are an employer with statistical job openings or a statistician looking for a fi rst or new job, the JSM Career Placement Service is here to help. Please see Page 19 for hours of operation.

JSM 2006 Registered Employers* Executive Suite Employers Abbott Vascular Mayo Clinic Amgen Inc. Merck Research Laboratories Battelle National Institute of Standards and Bristol-Myers Squibb Technology Capital One National Opinion Research Center Eli Lilly and Company National Security Agency Food and Drug Administration, CDRH Novartis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. GE Consumer Finance PPD, Inc. GlaxoSmithKline sanofi -aventis Google SAS Institute, Inc. John Deere Credit University of Florida, College of Medicine

Registered Employers Axio Research Acquisition Co., LLC. Smith Hanley Consulting Group Baruch College, City University of New Takeda Global Research and York Development Center, Inc. Bureau of Labor Statistics TAP Pharmaceuticals Clemson University Texas Tech University CSU Fullerton The Boeing Company DuPont Engineering Technology The Cambridge Group, Ltd. GE Global Research The EMMES Corporation Internal Revenue Service The University of Texas Health Science Center Johnson & Johnson Family of Companies Washington State Convention U.S. Census Bureau Kennesaw State University & Trade Center Exhibit University of Alberta, School of Business Hall 4B Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory University of Denver, Daniels College of LSU School of Public Health Business Medical Technology and Practice Patterns University of South Florida Institute Virginia Commonwealth University Northwestern University W.L. Gore & Associates Organon Washington University, School of *This list represents employers who registered by the Early Pfi zer Global Research and Development Medicine Bird deadline of June 29, 2006. Additional employers will be SciMetrika, LLC Westat participating onsite. Smith Hanley Associates

Seattle 31 Listing of Exhibitors by Booth Number

Booth Number Exhibitor Name Booth Number Exhibitor Name 101, 103, 105, 107 ...... American Statistical Association 301, 303 ...... Statpoint Inc. 102 ...... Institute of Mathematical Statistics 302 ...... Visual Numerics, Inc. 104 ...... Statistical Society of Canada 304 ...... Capital One 106 ...... SIAM–Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics 305 ...... Eli Lilly and Company 108 ...... ASA-SIAM Series 306, 308 ...... Prentice Hall 109 ...... JSM 2007 Salt Lake City 307 ...... GE Money - Global Decision Sciences 112, 114 ...... Minitab Inc. 309, 408 ...... Insightful Corporation 113, 115, 117, 119 ...... Springer 312 ...... SAGE Publications 116, 118 ...... Salford Systems 313, 315 ...... RTI International 120 ...... Bureau of Economic Analysis 314 ...... MedFocus LLC 121 ...... MacKichan Software 316 ...... Allergan, Inc. 124 ...... National Center for Health Statistics 317, 319, 321, 416, 418, 420 ...... CRC Press - 125 ...... Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Taylor & Francis Group LLC 126 ...... Bureau of Labor Statistics 318 ...... Stat-Ease, Inc. 127 ...... Internal Revenue Service (IRS), Statistics of Income Division 320 ...... Smith Hanley 128, 130 ...... U.S. Census Bureau 324 ...... Amgen Inc. 129 ...... U.S. Department of Education 325 ...... Systat Software, Inc. 131, 133 ...... National Security Agency 326 ...... ASG, Inc. 132 ...... U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural 327 ...... McGraw-Hill Higher Education Statistics Service 329 ...... Organon, USA 135 ...... National Death Index, NCHS, CDC 331 ...... Pfi zer Global Research and Development 200, 202 ...... JMP 400, 402 ...... Oxford University Press 201, 203, 205 ...... SAS Application 401, 403 ...... StatSoft, Inc. 204, 206, 208 ...... SAS Publishing 404 ...... Mayo Clinical Trial Services 207, 209 ...... SAS Education 405 ...... Kforce Clinical Research Staffi ng 212, 214 ...... Cytel Inc. 406 ...... Amazon.com 213 ...... NCSS 407, 409 ...... ELSEVIER 215, 217 ...... Duxbury 412 ...... Addison-Wesley 216 ...... statistics.com 413 ...... Palisade Corporation 218, 220 ...... Cambridge University Press 415, 417 ...... Scientifi c Computing Associates, Inc. (SCAI) 219 ...... Hawkes Learning Systems 419 ...... Biostat, Inc. 221 ...... Blackwell Publishing 421 ...... COMSYS 224 ...... Placemart Personnel Service 424, 426, 428, 430 ...... Wiley 225 ...... The Cambridge Group Ltd. 432, 434 ...... SPSS, Inc. 233, 235 ...... Aptech Systems, Inc. 300 ...... W.H. Freeman and Company

32 JSM 2006 EXPO 2006 Floor Plan

Washington State Convention & Trade Center—Exhibit Hall 4A

Seattle 33 Listing of Exhibitors by Name

Exhibitor Name Booth Number Exhibitor Name Booth Number ASA-SIAM Series ...... 108 National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) ...... 124 ASG, Inc...... 326 National Death Index, NCHS, CDC ...... 135 Addison-Wesley ...... 412 National Security Agency ...... 131, 133 Allergan, Inc...... 316 Organon USA ...... 329 Amazon.com ...... 406 Oxford University Press ...... 400, 402 American Statistical Association ...... 101, 103, 105, 107 Palisade Corporation ...... 413 Amgen Inc...... 324 Pfi zer Global Research and Development ...... 331 Aptech Systems, Inc...... 233, 235 Placemart Personnel Service ...... 224 Biostat, Inc...... 419 Prentice Hall ...... 306, 308 Blackwell Publishing ...... 221 RTI International ...... 313, 315 Bureau of Economic Analysis ...... 120 SAGE Publications ...... 312 Bureau of Labor Statistics ...... 126 Salford Systems ...... 116, 118 COMSYS ...... 421 SAS Application ...... 201, 203, 205 CRC Press - Taylor & Francis Group LLC ...... 321, 319, 317, 416, 418, 420 SAS Education ...... 207, 209 Cambridge University Press ...... 218, 220 SAS Publishing ...... 204, 206, 208 Capital One ...... 304 Scientifi c Computing Associates, Inc. (SCAI) ...... 415, 417 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ...... 125 SIAM-Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics . . .106 Cytel Inc...... 212, 214 Smith Hanley ...... 320 Duxbury ...... 215, 217 Springer ...... 113, 115, 117, 119 Eli Lilly and Company ...... 305 SPSS, Inc...... 432, 434 ELSEVIER ...... 407, 409 Stat-Ease, Inc...... 318 GE Money - Global Decision Sciences ...... 307 Statistical Society of Canada ...... 104 Hawkes Learning Systems ...... 219 statistics.com ...... 216 Insightful Corporation ...... 309, 408 Statpoint Inc...... 301, 303 Institute of Mathematical Statistics ...... 102 StatSoft, Inc...... 401, 403 Internal Revenue Service (IRS), Statistics of Income Division ...... 127 Systat Software, Inc...... 325 JMP ...... 200, 202 The Cambridge Group Ltd ...... 225 JSM 2007 Salt Lake City ...... 109 U.S. Census Bureau ...... 128, 130 Kforce Clinical Research Staffi ng ...... 405 U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service ...... 132 MacKichan Software ...... 121 U.S. Department of Education ...... 129 Mayo Clinical Trial Services ...... 404 Visual Numerics, Inc...... 302 McGraw-Hill Higher Education ...... 327 W.H. Freeman & Company ...... 300 MedFocus LLC ...... 314 Wiley ...... 424, 426, 428, 430 Minitab Inc...... 112, 114 NCSS ...... 213

34 JSM 2006 Who’s Who in the Exhibit Hall ▲—Pinnacle Partner ◆—Diamond Partner ★—Gold Partner ❍—Silver Partner

ASA-SIAM Series 108 ❍ Amgen Inc. 324 Alexandria, Virginia Thousand Oaks, California, Th e ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN)—a biotechnology pioneer— is published jointly by the ASA and the Society for Industrial discovers, develops, and delivers innovative human therapeutics. and Applied Mathematics. Th e series consists of a spectrum of Our medicines have helped millions of patients in the fi ght books on topics in statistics and applied probability and provides against cancer, kidney disease, rheumatoid arthritis, and other inexpensive, quality publications of interest to the intersecting serious illnesses. With a deep and broad pipeline of potential new membership of the two societies. medicines, we continue to advance science to serve patients.

ASG, Inc. 326 Aptech Systems, Inc. 233, 235 Vernon Hills, Illinois Maple Valley, Washington ASG, Inc., is a growing national staffi ng and functional Th e GAUSS Mathematical and Statistical System is a fast matrix outsourcing company dedicated to providing experienced programming language used widely for solving mathematical professionals to staff positions in clinical research; SAS and statistical problems. GAUSS is designed for computationally programming; data management; regulatory aff airs; and statistical intensive tasks and suits the researcher who lacks time to analysis for customers capturing, analyzing, and producing data in develop programs in C or FORTRAN, but fi nds statistical or the pharmaceutical, biotech, health care, and fi nancial industries. mathematical packages infl exible.

Addison-Wesley 412 Biostat, Inc. 419 Upper Saddle River, New Jersey Englewood, New Jersey Stop by, meet our authors, and explore a full display of our Comprehensive Meta-Analysis is the world’s best-selling statistics titles, including DeVeaux/Velleman/Bock’s Intro Stats program for meta-analysis. Sign up for our workshop or visit our (2nd edition) and Triola Elementary Statistics (10th edition) and booth for a free trial CD—www.meta-analysis.com. new texts in biostatistics, probability, and time series. And try out our new and exciting technology, including MyStatLab and Blackwell Publishing 221 ActivStats! Malden, Massachusetts Blackwell Publishing is a leading international publisher in all Allergan, Inc. 316 areas of statistics, science, technology, and medicine. Please stop Irvine, California by our booth for complimentary copies of our journals. You Allergan is a global specialty pharmaceutical company that also may visit our web site at www.blackwellpublishing.com for develops and commercializes innovative products for eye care, information about all our publications. neuromodulator, skin care, and other specialty markets. Bureau of Economic Analysis 120 Amazon.com 406 Baltimore, Maryland Seattle, Washington Th e BEA promotes a better understanding of the U.S. economy Amazon.com Risk Analytics team is at the forefront of risk by providing the most timely, relevant, and accurate economic management at Amazon. Th e activities of Risk Analytics have a accounts data in an objective and cost-eff ective way. direct impact on Amazon’s business through the use of statistical modeling and analysis and data mining to detect and eliminate Bureau of Labor Statistics 126 the ever-increasing risks in the e-commerce marketplace. Washington, DC American Statistical Association 101, 103, 105, 107 As the principal fact-fi nding agency for the federal government Alexandria, Virginia in the broad fi eld of labor economics and statistics, the BLS Since 1839, the ASA has been the world’s leading professional provides useful data that pertain to your community. For association for statisticians. Th e ASA serves as a forum for example, BLS tracks employment, work-related injuries, illnesses sharing ideas, experiences, innovations, and accomplishments. and fatalities, the Consumer Price Index, and wages by area Members are involved in many areas of statistics, including and occupational title. We encourage you to visit our booth and medicine, computer applications, quality management, ask for our fi ve-minute demonstration on how to access online analytical research, setting standards for statistics, and current and historical BLS data from the database. Our web site promoting statistical education. is www.bls.gov.

Seattle 35 COMSYS 421 Duxbury 215, 217 Portage, Michigan Belmont, California COMSYS is the leading provider of SAS statistics and clinical Visit Duxbury-Th omson Publishers at booths 215 and 217. View services to companies nationwide. We enable statisticians our latest publications and technology innovations. With more and programmers to support their customers more effi ciently than 30 years of experience publishing in the fi eld of statistics, through innovative analytical applications and overfl ow Duxbury is the source for complete solutions for all teaching support. COMSYS is a SAS Alliance Gold Partner, with more needs, from introductory to advanced statistics courses. than 40 offi ces in the United States and Canada. Duxbury: a Tradition of Quality and Innovation...

CRC Press - 317, 319, 321, 416, 418, 420 ★ Eli Lilly and Company 305 Taylor & Francis Group LLC Indianapolis, Indiana Boca Raton, Florida Eli Lilly and Company is a leading, innovation-driven Chapman & Hall/CRC (now a part of Th e 20) Taylor & Francis corporation committed to developing a growing portfolio of Group LLC is a premier publisher of books and journals on best-in-class and fi rst-in-class pharmaceutical products that statistics. Please visit our booth to pick up a journal sample help people live longer, healthier, and more active lives. copy and browse through our books that include specials at a 50% discount and all other titles at up to a 25% discount. ELSEVIER 407, 409 New York, New York ❍ Cambridge University Press 218, 220 Elsevier/Academic Press is a worldwide leader in scientifi c New York, New York and technical publishing. Come see our latest titles, including Cambridge’s new titles in statistics, biostatistics, econometrics, Roussas’ An Introduction to Probability, Ross’ Introduction to mathematical fi nance, and more are available at a 20% Probability Models (9th edition), and Freund/Wilson’s Regression discount. New books in the Cambridge Series in Statistical Analysis (2nd edition). Pick up instructor copies at up to 30% off and Probabilistic Mathematics include Statistical Mechanics of in addition to sample journals, including Statistical Methodology. Disordered Systems by Anton Bovier and Th e Coordinate-Free Visit http://books.elsevier.com/apmath. Approach to Linear Models by Michael J. Wichura. GE Money - Global Decision Sciences 307 ◆ Capital One 304 Stamford, Connecticut Richmond, Virginia GE Money is a leading provider of credit services to consumers, Capital One is a Fortune 500 company providing access to retailers, and auto dealers in 50 countries. With more than credit to tens of millions worldwide. We also provide auto, 300,000 employees across 160 countries and the power of home, and business loans, plus banking and other services. $163 billion in assets, we off er fl exible working arrangements, Statistical expertise is central to our success. Capital One seeks a diverse environment, world-class leadership, comprehensive superior applied statisticians at all career stages. training, and “Fast Track Leadership Programs.”

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 125 Hawkes Learning Systems 219 Atlanta, Georgia Charleston, South Carolina Th e Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is one of the For 20 years, Hawkes Learning Systems has specialized in math 13 major operating components of the Department of Health courseware. Our courseware is based on mastery-level learning and Human Services, which is the principal agency in the and off ers unlimited practice problems, tutorials, and intelligent United States government for protecting the health and safety feedback. On its own or as a supplement, our courseware of all Americans and for providing essential human services. improves student performance and provides instructors with an online grade book and state-of-the-art test generator. ❍ Cytel Inc. 212, 214 Insightful Corporation 309, 408 Cambridge, Massachusetts Seattle, Washington Cytel Inc. provides innovative clinical trial design services Insightful Corporation (NASDAQ:IFUL) is a provider of predictive and specialized statistical applications. Cytel’s East® is used analytics and reporting solutions. Insightful products S-PLUS®, throughout industry, academia, and the FDA for designing, Insightful Miner®, S-PLUS® Server, and InFact® provide companies simulating, and monitoring clinical trials. Cytel develops with the knowledge to act. Insightful consulting services provide superior tools and services that increase problemsolving specialized expertise and proven processes for the design, effi ciencies and reduce development costs. development, and deployment of customized solutions.

36 JSM 2006 Institute of Mathematical Statistics 102 McGraw-Hill Higher Education 327 Beachwood, Ohio New York, New York Th e Institute of Mathematical Statistics is an international McGraw-Hill is the leading provider of textbooks and technology professional society devoted to the development and dissemination applications in higher education and publishes introductory and of the theory and applications of statistics and probability. Its advanced titles in general statistics and statistics for business and activities include sponsorship of journals and other scientifi c economics, engineering, and social sciences. ALEKS, Homework publications and organization of scientifi c meetings. Manager Plus, Visual Statistics, and MathZone are a few of the technology applications available from McGrawHill. Internal Revenue Service (IRS), 127 Statistics of Income Division MedFocus LLC 314 Washington, DC Des Plaines, Illinois Th e Statistics of Income (SOI) Division produces data compiled MedFocus off ers clinical and scientifi c research contract from tax and information returns fi led with the IRS. SOI data outsourcing and staffi ng to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, about the fi nancial composition of individuals, business taxpayers, and medical device industries specifi cally. MedFocus has achieved tax-exempt organizations, and more are available through premier status as a top source of hiring for clinical research. publications, electronic databases, Tax Stats (www.irs.gov/taxstats), and SOI’s Statistical Information Services offi ce, (202) 874-0410. ❍ Minitab Inc. 112, 114 State College, Pennsylvania JMP 200, 202 Cary, North Carolina Minitab®, the leading statistical software package in education, is used around the world by instructors at more than 4,000 Point. Click. Discover. With JMP(r)6, the most recent release colleges, universities, and high schools. Minitab Statistical of statistical discovery software from SAS, it’s that simple to innovate new products, processes, and services—with fewer Software contains all the statistical methods students need and R&D bottlenecks and reduced time to market. Check us out. is powerful, reliable, and easy-to-use. For aff ordable student rental and purchase options, visit e-academy’s Minitab Center JSM 2007 Salt Lake City 109 at www.e-academy.com/minitab. For more information, visit Salt Lake City, Utah www.minitab.com/education. Salt Lake City, host of JSM 2007, welcomes you. Please stop by NCSS 213 Booth 109 for visitor information and answers to your questions. Kaysville, Utah Kforce Clinical Research Staffi ng 405 NCSS announces the availability of GESS, a new program for the Tampa, Florida statistical analysis of microarray data. Stop by our booth for a Kforce provides outsourcing alternatives and traditional staffi ng demonstration. We will also demonstrate PASS, our sample size services for the bio-pharma industries, including monitoring, program, and NCSS, our data analysis program. clinical trial management, project management, drug safety, data management, SAS programming, biostats, and data entry. National Center for Health Statistics 124 Hyattsville, Maryland MacKichan Software 121 Th e NCHS exhibit will showcase the various NCHS Poulsbo, Washington programmatic areas with an emphasis on statistical research New! Scientifi c WorkPlace 5.5 simplifi es writing, sharing, and and methodology. Th e exhibit will allow attendees to view and doing mathematics. Th e click of a button allows you to typeset acquire a host of publications, electronic products, and other in LaTeX. Th e integrated computer algebra system lets you solve promotional products. and plot equations; animate 2D and 3D plots; rotate, move, and fl y through 3D plots; create 3D implicit plots; and more. National Death Index, NCHS, CDC 135 Hyattsville, Maryland ❍ Mayo Clinical Trial Services 404 Th e National Death Index assists researchers in determining Rochester, Minnesota whether subjects have died and provides the states and dates of Mayo Clinical Trial Services, a full-service Academic Research death, death certifi cate numbers, and cause of death. Organization (ARO), off ers capabilities a CRO cannot match due to Mayo Clinic’s medical expertise and academic leadership.

Seattle 37 ❍ National Security Agency 131, 133 Prentice Hall 306, 308 Fort Meade, Maryland Upper Saddle River, New Jersey Th e Information Assurance mission provides the solutions, Prentice Hall will display statistics textbooks ranging from products, and services—and conducts defensive information the introductory level, such as Agresti/Franklin’s Statistics operations—to achieve information assurance for information (preliminary edition) and McClave/ Sincich’s Statistics (10th infrastructures critical to U.S. national security interests. Th e edition) to more advanced and specialized course texts, such as foreign signals intelligence, or SIGINT, mission allows for an Epstein’s Medical Image Processing and Hogg/Tanis’ Probability eff ective, unifi ed organization and control of all the foreign and Statistical Inference (7th edition). signals collection and processing activities of the United States. RTI International 313, 315 Organon, USA 329 Research Triangle Park, North Carolina Roseland, New Jersey For more than 45 years, RTI statisticians have developed and Organon is a global leader in the creation of innovative applied scientifi cally accepted statistical methodologies to prescription medicines for women’s health, mental health, and address major national and global public policy issues. One tool anesthesia—products that contribute to the health of people RTI has developed is the internationally recognized SUDAAN and their quality of life. Organon off ers challenging work Statistical Software package, which provides various procedures assignments with a chance to grow and learn on professional for analyzing survey and other cluster-correlated data. and personal levels within a global organization. SAGE Publications 312 ❍ Oxford University Press 400, 402 Thousand Oaks, California New York, New York SAGE Publications—an independent international publisher Oxford University Press is the oldest publisher in the English in the social sciences, technology, and medicine—provides language and known throughout the world for the quality of journals, books, and electronic media of the highest caliber. their publications. A department of Oxford University, OUP Researchers, students, and professionals have relied on our publishes more than 4,000 titles and 150 journals a year. Stop by innovative resources for more than 40 years. Please stop by our our booth and save 20% on all titles on display. booth or visit us at www.sagepub.com.

Palisade Corporation 413 ❍ Salford Systems 116, 118 Ithaca, New York San Diego, California Palisade Corporation has been a leading provider of risk analysis, Salford Systems develops advanced statistical and data mining decision analysis, optimization, and data analysis software software, including the CART® decision tree, MARS® automated since 1984. Recently, Palisade released NeuralTools, a neural regression, TreeNet® boosted decision trees and Random networks add-in for Microsoft Excel, and StatTools, a statistical Forests®. Salford Systems strives to make the best academic analysis add-in for Microsoft Excel that replaces Excel’s statistics research easily usable by the practicing data analyst and has won functions with a robust and accurate set of statistical analysis several distinguished international honors recently. procedures and routines. ▲ SAS Application 201, 203, 205 Pfi zer Global Research and Development 331 Cary, North Carolina New York, New York SAS will exhibit its software for statistics, data mining, Pfi zer Global Research and Development’s discovery and econometrics, and statistical quality control. Visit the SAS booth development division is one of the fi nest pharmaceutical to talk with members of the development staff and learn about research institutions in the world. Pfi zer discovers and delivers current off erings and upcoming software. medicines to enhance the health of people and animals. Our search for new treatments spans research projects across ▲ SAS Education 207, 209 multiple therapeutics areas—more than any other company. Cary, North Carolina SAS’ Higher Education Consulting Group provides universities Placemart Personnel Service 224 and community colleges with programs and services that can help Lanoka Harbor, New Jersey them incorporate SAS technology into their curriculums. Th e Placemart Personnel Service specializes in executive search SAS Certifi ed Professional program helps SAS users validate their services in clinical drug and medical product R&D. For more knowledge of SAS software with globally recognized credentials. than 40 years, we have been matching jobs and job candidates in Visit both SAS-sponsored programs at booths 207 and 209. biostatistics. Typical positions include directors, managers, project managers, group leaders, biostatisticians, data analysts, and statistical programmers. For details, visit www.placemart.com.

38 JSM 2006 ▲ SAS Publishing 204, 206, 208 Stat-Ease, Inc. 318 Cary, North Carolina Minneapolis, Minnesota Visit booths 204, 206, and 208 to learn more about saving Stat-Ease, Inc. produces two easy-to-use Windows programs for 20% on orders placed or mailed to us by September 11, new design of experiments (DOE), including Design-Ease® 7.0 (new!) SAS product documentation titles, new SAS Press titles, and software for fi nding breakthrough factors and Design-Expert® SAS® Learning Edition 2.0, SAS® Self-Paced e-Learning. SAS 7.0 (new!) software for optimization. Th e company also off ers Publishing staff are available to answer any questions and to computer-intensive DOE workshops, including Experiment assist you with your orders. Enjoy the conference! Design Made Easy, Response Surface Methods for Process Optimization, and Mixture Design for Optimal Formulations. Scientifi c Computing Associates, Inc. (SCAI) 415, 417 New Haven, Connecticut Statistical Society of Canada 104 Scientifi c Computing Associates, Inc. (SCAI) is a leading provider Ottawa, Ontario of software and support for open-source and proprietary scripting Th e Statistical Society of Canada’s mission is to encourage the languages, including R. Th e R Professional system from SCAI development and use of statistics and probability in Canada. It is combines high-level scripting (for increased productivity) with the Canadian equivalent of the American Statistical Association. high-performance computing to meet dramatically increasing Th e Statistical Society of Canada also off ers two levels of computational demands. R Professional from SCAI provides full accreditation, the Professional Statistician (P.Stat.) and the commercial support and independent certifi cation. Associate Statistician.

SIAM–Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics 106 statistics.com 216 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Arlington, Virginia Visit the SIAM booth to check out titles in the mathematics— XLMiner is a comprehensive data mining add-in for Excel. ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability. Browse It off ers neural nets, classifi cation and regression trees, naive recently published books and information. See sample issues Bayes, k-nearest neighbors, logistic and linear regression, of SIAM’s renowned journals; membership applications will be discriminant analysis, association rules, principal components, available. Don’t forget to pick up a copy of SIAM News for the k-means and hierarchical clustering, partitioning, over- road. www.siam.org. sampling, missing data handling, and sampling from and scoring to databases. Visit www.xlminer.com. Smith Hanley 320 New York, New York Our two divisions, permanent placement and contract staffi ng, off er targeted recruitment in statistics, biostatistics, SAS programming, data management, market research health Bringing the ASA outcomes, and epidemiology. Since 1980, we’ve provided clients to Seattle and recruits dedicated service, experience, and insight into industry trends for positions at all levels. Visit www.smithhanley. com or www.smithhanley-consulting.com. Visit the ASA COMMUNITIES BOOTH at JSM and learn about the many programs available to you. Within the ASA Communities Booth, you can hear about: ❍ Springer 113, 115, 117, 119 New York, New York SECTIONS—Get information about 22 Sections that encompass several Springer is one of the most renowned scientifi c publishing special interests in statistics companies in the world. Its publications cover subjects ranging from the natural sciences, mathematics, engineering, and CHAPTERS—Discover the 77 ASA Chapters in 6 Districts covering 3 computer science to medicine, humanities, economics, and law. Regions Springer publishes more than 3,400 new books each year and 1,250 journals, most of which are also available in electronic form. THE COMMITTEE ON CAREER DEVELOPMENT—Pick up information to help you make informed decisions about formulating and meeting ▲ SPSS, Inc. 432, 434 your objectives Chicago, Illinois EDUCATION—Get brochures about statistics in education and programs SPSS is the world’s leading provider of predictive analytics such as Adopt-a-School, Poster Competition and Project Competition, software and solutions. Since 1968, SPSS has enabled its Student Teacher Network, AP Statistics, and Beyond AP Statistics customers to improve their performance. Our software helps organizations optimize interactions with their customers and ensure that the actions they are taking today will positively aff ect Discover the benefi ts of membership their ability to reach tomorrow’s goals.

Seattle 39 ❍ Statpoint Inc. 301, 303 U.S. Department of Agriculture, 132 Herndon, Virginia National Agricultural Statistics Service STATGRAPHICS Centurion XV, unmatched statistical software Washington, DC for data analysis, statistical modeling, quality improvement, and Th e National Agricultural Statistics Service is a world leader Six Sigma. Perform sophisticated data analysis without investing in sampling, data collection, and estimation procedures weeks learning a statistical package. Entirely menu-driven, for economic, environmental, and agricultural surveys and numerous innovative tools—including StatAdvisor, StatWizard, censuses. Th e agency also creates a number of remote sensing and StatReporter—provide maximum return on investment. and geographic information system statistical products and STATGRAPHICS Mobile for handheld devices also is available. conducts ongoing applied research on statistical methodology and estimation. StatSoft, Inc. 401, 403 Tulsa, Oklahoma U.S. Department of Education 129 StatSoft, Inc., creators of STATISTICA, is one of the largest Washington, DC developers of enterprise-wide and single-user software for As the research, evaluation, and statistics-gathering arm of data analysis, data mining, and quality control worldwide. the U.S. Department of Education, the Institute of Education STATISTICA has received the highest rating in every Sciences funds research studies on ways to improve academic comparative review of statistics software since its release in achievement, conducts large-scale evaluations of federal 1993—a record unmatched in the industry. education programs, and reports an array of statistics on the condition of education. Systat Software, Inc. 325 Richmond, California Visual Numerics, Inc. 302 Systat Software, Inc., provides specialized scientifi c software San Ramon, California products and services for the environment sciences, life For decades, Visual Numerics has provided analysis and sciences, behavioral sciences, medical research, and engineering. visualization software to academia on platforms such as C/C++, Our products are used by the world’s top companies, research .NET, Java, and FORTRAN. It delivers tools for conducting centers, and universities and now include SigmaPlot, SigmaStat, research and building curricula for students. Th e unique SigmaScan, SYSTAT, TableCurve2D, TableCurve3D, PeakFit, combination of the IMSL Libraries, PV-WAVE, and expert and AutoSignal. professional services is unsurpassed for analytical applications.

The Cambridge Group Ltd. 225 W.H. Freeman and Company 300 Westport, Connecticut New York, New York Th e Cambridge Group Ltd. focuses on careers in biostatistics, W.H. Freeman and Company publishes high-quality textbooks clinical data management, clinical systems, SAS programming, and media in statistics and mathematics. Visit Booth 300 and more. Opportunities range from entry through executive to learn more about the new editions of Moore’s Th e Basic levels for both permanent and contract positions in the Practice of Statistics and Moore/Notz’s Statistics: Concepts pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. Th e Cambridge and Controversies and the current edition of Moore/McCabe’s Group Ltd., 1175 Post Road East, Westport, CT 06880; Introduction to the Practice of Statistics. Also on view will be [email protected]; (800) 525-3396. our innovative media, including our new nationally hosted solution for statistics: StatsPortal. For more information, visit U.S. Census Bureau 128, 130 www.whfreeman.com. Washington, DC Th e U.S. Census Bureau produces key data about the nation’s ❍ Wiley 424, 426, 428, 430 economic and social health. We produce the Decennial Hoboken, New Jersey Census each decade, the Economic Census every fi ve years, John Wiley & Sons, a leading publisher in statistics, more than 100 household and business surveys each year, provides numerous print and electronic products, including and several monthly surveys that supply data for the nation’s Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences (2nd edition), Applied economic indicators. Regression Modeling, Bayesian Models for Categorical Data, Bayesian Statistics and Marketing, Regression Analysis by Example (4th edition), Statistics in Medicine, and Data Mining and Statistics.

40 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Session Tag Descriptions THURSDAY, AUGUST 3 We expect both Theme and Applied sessions to draw a diverse audience. Committee/Business Meetings THEME ✪ & Other Activities JSM Th eme sessions are directly relevant to the 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. S-Douglas Room 2006 JSM theme “Statistics for an Uncertain World: The ASA Management Review Committee (closed) Meeting Global Challenges.” Th ese sessions highlight Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University presentations and discussions on the role that is being played by statistical sciences in the protection 7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. S-Douglas Room and development of people around the globe.. The ASA Board of Directors Executive Committee Th eme sessions are designed to expand the frontiers Working Dinner (closed) of statistical thought, emphasize new directions, Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University and promote interdisciplinary collaborations and partnerships. FRIDAY, AUGUST 4 APPLIED ● JSM Applied sessions have REAL applications at the heart of the discussions and presentations. Because Committee/Business Meetings these sessions are grounded in applications across & Other Activities the many areas of science and engineering, they may involve interdisciplinary work and include presentations 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. S-Cedar Room by nonstatisticians. Applied Sessions vary in scope, ASA Board of Directors Breakfast (closed) ranging from presentations on state-of-the-art statistical Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University methodology applied to real world problems to those that are tutorial in nature. All statisticians should fi nd these 8:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. S-Aspen Room sessions appealing. The ASA Planning Committee (closed) Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University

10:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. S-Aspen Room Meeting Rooms The ASA Board of Directors Meeting (closed) Meeting rooms include “letters” before the name of the room, Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University designating in which facility the room is located: 12:30 p.m.–1:30 p.m. S-Cedar Room Washington State Convention & Trade Center = CC The ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers = S Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Grand Hyatt Seattle = H 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. S-Governors Suite JSM Staff and ASA Board of Directors Reception (closed) Chair(s): William B. Smith, American Statistical Association; Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University

Seattle 41 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

SATURDAY, AUGUST 5 12:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Marketplace

12:30 p.m.–5:30 p.m. S-Willow B Committee/Business Meetings Association of GCRC Statisticians Meeting (closed) & Other Activities Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby 3:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. S-Spruce Room JSM Main Registration ICES III Program Committee Meeting (closed) ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk Chair(s): Eva Elvers, Statistics Sweden Cyber Center 7:00 p.m.–8:30 p.m. S-Cedar Room 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-507, CC-508 National Numeracy Network Board Meeting Speaker Work Rooms Organizer(s): Bernard Madison, University of Arkansas

7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. S-Cedar Room The ASA Board of Directors Breakfast (closed) Continuing Education (Fee Events) Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University CE_01C CC-310 8:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Exhibitor Move in and Lounge Categorical Data Analysis (two-day course) The ASA 8:30 a.m.–5:30 p.m. S-Aspen Room Instructor(s): Gary Koch, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel The ASA Board of Directors Meeting (closed) Hill; Todd Schwartz, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Rebekkah Dann, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

8:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. S-Spruce Room CE_02C CC-308 ASA BOD-2006 Strategic Activities Review 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Subcommittee (closed) Small-Area Estimation Chair(s): Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics The ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods Instructor(s): Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland 8:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. S-Douglas Room ASA BOD-2006 Dues Subcommittee (closed) CE_03C CC-307 Chair(s): Daniel Kasprzyk, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Modern Approaches to Nonstationary Models of 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Level 1 Spatial and Space-Time Processes with Air Quality Citywide Concierge Center Applications 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4B The ASA Career Placement Service (Electronic Registration Only) Instructor(s): Peter Guttorp, University of Washington; Paul D. Sampson, University of Washington 11:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. S-Willow A CE_04C CC-306 Association of GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Bayesian Inference 12:15 p.m.–1:00 p.m. S-Cedar Room The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science The ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Instructor(s): Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University

42 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

CE_05C CC-304 8:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. S-Juniper 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Business Statistics Focus Group (closed) Thurs-Sun Practical Data Mining Organizer(s): Dona Kenly, Addison Wesley The ASA 8:00 a.m.–11:00 a.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Instructor(s): Richard De Veaux, Williams College Exhibitor Move in CE_06C CC-303 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. S-Willow B 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Association of GCRC Statisticians Meeting (closed) Applied Longitudinal Analysis Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham The ASA, Biometrics Section Instructor(s): Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard University 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-302 ICES III Organizing Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Howard Hogan, U.S. Census Bureau SUNDAY, AUGUST 6 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-209 Amgen Inc. Interview Room (by invitation only) Tours Organizer(s): Chander Varma, Amgen Inc. 9:30 a.m.–1:30 p.m. CC-Convention Place 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4A TR01 - Northwest Winery Tour (fee event) Exhibitor Lounge

1:00 p.m.–4:00 p.m. CC-Convention Place 9:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. S-Cedar Room TR02 - Seattle City Highlights Tour (fee event) Council of Sections Governing Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University

Committee/Business Meetings 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. CC-301 & Other Activities Advisory Committee on Teacher Enhancement Annual Meeting (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:00 a.m. S-Willow A Chair(s): Robert Gould, University of California, Los Angeles Association of GCRC Statisticians Breakfast (closed) Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Level 1 Citywide Concierge Center 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-507, CC-508 Speaker Work Rooms 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Marketplace 7:00 a.m.–8:30 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby JSM Main Registration 11:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. CC-4C-1 ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk NISS/SAMSI Affi liates Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 7:00 a.m.–10:00 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby Cyber Center 11:30 a.m.–1:00 p.m. S-Douglas Room Committee on Committees Meeting (closed) 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. S-Douglas Room Chair(s): Darryl Downing, GlaxoSmithKline Committee on Women in Statistics (closed) Chair(s): Teri Peterson, Idaho State University 12:00 p.m.–1:00 p.m. S-Willow A Association of GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) 7:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. H-Blewett Suite Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Committee on Publications Meeting (closed) Chair(s): William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa State University

Seattle 43 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

12:00 p.m.–1:30 p.m. H-Portland 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-305 Amgen Inc. (closed) Cancer Center Biostatistics Directors Annual Meeting Organizer(s): Chander Varma, Amgen Inc. Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson University

12:00 p.m.–1:30 p.m. CC-601 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. S-Cedar Room Friends of the Indian Statistical Institute Business Council of Section New Offi cer Orientation Meeting Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University

12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. S-Juniper 5:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. H-Blewett Suite Journal of Statistics Education Editorial Board (closed) International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) Chair(s): W. Robert Stephenson, Iowa State University Board Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Ivan Chan, Merck & Co., Inc. 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. S-Aspen Room Statistica Sinica Board Meeting (closed) 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-302 Organizer(s): Michelle Liou, Academia Sinica; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard Committee on Scientifi c Freedom and Human Rights University Business Meeting 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Chair(s): Susan Hinkins, National Opinion Research Center EXPO 2006 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-4C-2 ASA Communities Booth #101 JSM First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4B Chair(s): Mary W. Gray, American University Career Placement Service (Full Placement Service 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-612 Open) ASA Open Meeting (all welcome) Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University 2:00 p.m.–4:30 p.m. S-Willow Ballroom Council of Sections Annual Business Meeting 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. S-Aspen Room (closed) Christian Statisticians’ Informal Discussion Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University Organizer(s): Robert W. Mee, University of Tennessee

4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. S-Douglas Room 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. S-Douglas Room 2006/2007 Committee Chairs Meeting (closed) Committee on Privacy and Confi dentiality (closed) Chair(s): Darryl Downing, GlaxoSmithKline Chair(s): Kim McGuigan, Pfi zer, Inc.

4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. H-Stevens Boardroom & Foyer 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-4C-3 Career Development Seminar - Snakes and Ladders: Purdue University Alumni and Friends Reception Building a Career in Statistics Organizer(s): Dana Neary, Director of Alumni Relations Chair(s): Janice Lent, Research and Innovative Technology Administration 6:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. off property 4:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. H-Chatham Section on Statistical Consulting Executive ENAR Executive Committee Meeting (by invitation Committee Meeting (closed) only) Chair(s): Philip Dixon, Iowa State University Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR 6:30 p.m.–9:30 p.m. H-Douglas Boardroom & Foyer 5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-303 Biometrics Section Executive Committee Meeting Volunteer Work in Statistics: The Second Year (closed) Chair(s): Fritz Scheuren, National Opinion Research Center Chair(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Th e Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

44 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪American Themed Session ● Applied Statistical Session ❖ Presenter CC -WashingtonAssociation State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

OPEN MEETING Thurs-Sun Sallie Keller-McNulty, ASA President Sunday, August 6, 2006, 6:00 p.m. Washington State Convention & Trade Center Room 612

FIND OUT WHAT YOUR ASSOCIATION IS DOING!

Come to the open meeting, meet your offi cers, hear about the following items— among others—and voice your opinions about the ASA:

➤ 2006 State of the Association – Sallie Keller-McNulty ➤ Update on fi nances – Sastry G. Pantula ➤ Status of the ASA building – William B. Smith ➤ Summary of 2005 Board task forces – Fritz J. Scheuren ➤ Responses to 2005 Open Meeting questions – Executive Committee ➤ Reports on 2006 task forces (public policy, security, and interaction with other groups)

Please plan to attend and lend your voice to the discussion of important issues affecting the future of the ASA. Seattle 45 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

7:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-4C-1 CE_11C CC-308 ACCE Presenters’ Social (closed) 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Chair(s): Charles Tan, Merck & Co., Inc. Regression Modeling Strategies The ASA 7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. CC-615 Instructor(s): Frank E. Harrell, Jr., Vanderbilt University School of Medicine Isolated Statisticians Meeting Organizer(s): Ann Cannon, Cornell College CE_12C CC-304 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m.–10:30 p.m. CC-Ballroom 6ABC Hierarchical Bayes Methods and Software for Data JSM Opening Mixer (included in registration fee) Analysis The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Instructor(s): Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota; Th omas A. Continuing Education (Fee Events) Louis, Th e Johns Hopkins University CE_01C CC-310 CE_13C CC-303 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Categorical Data Analysis (two-day course) Generalized Linear Mixed Models: Theory and The ASA Applications Instructor(s): Gary Koch, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel The ASA Hill; Todd Schwartz, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Instructor(s): Oliver Schabenberger, SAS Institute, Inc. Rebekkah Dann, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill CE_07C CC-309 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Text Mining The ASA, Section on Statistical Computing 1 CC-4C-4 Instructor(s): David Madigan, Rutgers University; David D. Lewis, Introductory Overview Lectures: Genetic David D. Lewis Consulting LLC Association Studies—Other The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR CE_08C CC-305 Organizer(s): Jianwen Cai, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 8:30 a.m.–5:00 a.m. Chair(s): Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute The Psychology of Survey Response 2:05 p.m. Association Mapping of Human Disease Genes— The ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods ❖Bruce S. Weir, University of Washington Instructor(s): Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland 2:55 p.m. Statistical Analysis of Haplotype-Disease Association—❖Danyu Lin, Th e University of CE_09C CC-307 North Carolina at Chapel Hill 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Statistical Methods for the Confi rmatory Analysis of Equivalence/Noninferiority Studies The ASA Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Instructor(s): Stefan Wellek, University of Heidelberg CE_10C CC-306 2 CC-206 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Seasonal Time Series—Invited Computational Statistics: Methods for Monte Carlo Business and Economics Statistics Section Integration and Optimization Organizer(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics The ASA, Section on Statistical Computing Chair(s): Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Instructor(s): Jennifer A. Hoeting, Colorado State University; Geof H. 2:05 p.m. Comparing MSEs for Finite X-11 and Model- Givens, Colorado State University Based Seasonal Adjustment Filters—❖William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau; Yea-Jane Chu, SPSS Inc.; George C. Tiao, Th e University of Chicago

46 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● AppliedYou Session ❖ Presenterare CC-Washington invited State Convention & Tradeto Center the H-Grand Hyatt SeattleJSM S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

FIRST-TIME Thurs-Sun ATTENDEE orientation and reception Washington State Convention & Trade Center, Room 4C-2 Sunday, August 6 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. OPEN TO ALL (Dinner groups will form after the reception.) Learn more about how to get the most out of your 1st JSM experience, meet new people, and network.

AGENDA • Introduction: Mary Gray, President, The Caucus for Women in Statistics • “Networking for Fun and Profi t” Monica Jackson, American University • Reception (light hors d’oeuvres to be served)

This reception is sponsored by: ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, The Caucus for Women in Statistics

Seattle 47 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:30 p.m. A Spectral Approach for Locally Assessing 2:30 p.m. Development of Methodology for Production Model Misspecifi cation—Tucker S. McElroy, of Rapidly Available, County-Level, Small-Area U.S. Census Bureau; ❖Scott Holan, University of Estimates To Monitor the Course of Infl uenza Missouri-Columbia Vaccine Coverage—❖Haomiao Jia, Mercer 2:55 p.m. Nonlinear Seasonal Adjustment in Unobserved University School of Medicine; Michael W. Link, Components Models—❖Siem Jan Koopman, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Kai Ming Lee, Ali H. Mokdad, Centers for Disease Control Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Prevention; James Holt, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Lei Li, RTI 3:20 p.m. Disc: Xichuan Zhang, Australian Bureau of International; Paul S. Levy, RTI International Statistics 2:55 p.m. Evaluating the Small-Area Estimates of the 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 2004–05 County-Level Infl uenza Vaccination Rates—❖Lei Li, RTI International; Paul S. 3 CC-615 Levy, RTI International; Akhil Vaish, RTI ● ✪ Recent Advances in the Design and Analysis International; Michael W. Link, Centers for of Clinical Trials—Invited Disease Control and Prevention; Ali H. Mokdad, WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Organizer(s): Lurdes Y. T. Inoue, University of Washington Lina Balluz, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Haomiao Jia, Mercer University Chair(s): Kenneth Rice, University of Washington School of Medicine 2:05 p.m. A Bayesian Seamless Design—❖Lurdes Y. T. Inoue, University of Washington 3:20 p.m. Disc: Tapabrata Maiti, Iowa State University 2:30 p.m. A Geometric Approach to Comparing Treatments 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion for Rapidly Fatal Diseases—❖Peter F. Th all, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Leiko H. Wooten, 5 CC-3A M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Elizabeth J. ✪ Pipeline Issues in Recruiting Federal Shpall, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Statisticians—Invited 2:55 p.m. Advances in Simple Phase I Trials: Three Committee on Membership Retention and Recruitment, Section on Examples—❖Rick Chappell, University of Statistical Education, Committee on Career Development Wisconsin-Madison Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University 3:20 p.m. Decision Analysis and Clinical Trial Design— Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University ❖Donald Berry, Th e University of Texas 2:05 p.m. JPSM: 14 Years of Training Federal Statisticians— 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Richard Valliant, University of Michigan; Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland 4 CC-609 2:30 p.m. Gulliver Tied down by Red Tape? The Federal Government’s Challenges as an Employer of Rapid Production of Small-Area Estimates Statisticians—❖Janice Lent, Research and Using the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Innovative Technology Administration System—Invited 2:55 p.m. Federal Statisticians in the Physical and Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics Engineering Sciences—❖William Guthrie, Organizer(s): Paul S. Levy, RTI International National Institute of Standards and Technology Chair(s): Babubhat V. Shah, SAFAL Institute Inc. 3:20 p.m. Disc: David Marker, Westat 2:05 p.m. Rapid Response Health Surveillance and the Utility of Small-Area Estimates: Responding 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion to the 2004–05 Infl uenza Vaccine Shortage— ❖Michael W. Link, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Ali H. Mokdad, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

48 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

6 CC-3B 8 CC-614 ✪ Surveillance Geoinformatics and Hotspot ● Statistical Methods for Oral Health Thurs-Sun Dynamics for Prediction, Policy, and Research—Invited Management—Invited ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Section on Statistics and the Organizer(s): Jason Roy, University of Rochester Environment Chair(s): Julie Stoner, University of Nebraska Medical Center Organizer(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania State University 2:05 p.m. Analysis of Correlated Dental Data: Challenges Chair(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania State University and Recent Developments—❖Brian G. Leroux, 2:05 p.m. Spatiotemporal Geoinformatic Disease University of Washington ❖ Surveillance— Stephen L. Rathbun, University 2:30 p.m. Finding the Right Pair of Genes: Adding a of Georgia; Ganapati P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania Genetic Component to Existing Oral Health State University Studies—❖Deborah V. Dawson, Th e University 2:30 p.m. Crime Mapping and Hotspot Detection—❖Reza of Iowa Modarres, Th e George Washington University; 2:55 p.m. A Flexible Model for Recurrent Event Outcomes Ganapati P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania State in Oral Health—❖Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University University of South Carolina; Edsel A. Pena, 2:55 p.m. Applications of Hotspot Detection Analysis to University of South Carolina Large-Scale Plant Disease Forecasting: Case 3:20 p.m. Statistical Approaches for Dealing with Missing ❖ Study of Fusarium Head Blight— Murali Haran, Tooth- and Surface-Level Data in Caries Th e Pennsylvania State University Research—❖Jason Roy, University of Rochester 3:20 p.m. Disc: Bo Ranneby, Swedish University of 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Agricultural Sciences 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 9 CC-620 ● Empirical Likelihood-Based Semiparametric 7 CC-400 Inference—Invited ● Density-Based Clustering—Invited Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Organizer(s): Hua Liang, University of Rochester Medical Center Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Xiaogang (Steven) Wang, York University Organizer(s): David W. Scott, Rice University 2:05 p.m. Empirical Likelihood-Based Inference for Chair(s): Michael W. Trosset, Th e College of William & Mary Comparison of Two Populations with Censored 2:05 p.m. Variable Bandwidth Mode Testing—❖Michael C. Data—❖Hua Liang, University of Rochester Minnotte, Utah State University Medical Center 2:30 p.m. Generalized Single-Linkage Clustering— 2:30 p.m. Empirical Likelihood-Based Inferences for ❖Werner Stuetzle, University of Washington; Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves in Rebecca Nugent, University of Washington the Presence of Verifi cation Bias—❖Jing Qin, 2:55 p.m. Mixture Model Building for High-Dimensional National Institute of Allergy and Infectious and Functional Data—❖Catherine Loader, Th e Diseases University of Auckland; Ramani S. Pilla, Case 2:55 p.m. Empirical Likelihood for Accelerated Failure Time Western Reserve University Model—❖Mai Zhou, University of Kentucky 3:20 p.m. Disc: David W. Scott, Rice University 3:20 p.m. Nonparametric Imputation of Missing Values for 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Estimating Equation-Based Empirical Likelihood Inference—Song X. Chen, Iowa State University; ❖Dong Wang, University of Nebraska 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

Seattle 49 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

10 CC-203 2:25 p.m. Sensitivity of Latent Trait Analysis to Highly ● New Directions in Bayesian Joint Modeling of Skewed Ability Distributions—❖David Dailey, Longitudinal and Survival Data—Invited Woodcock-Munoz Foundation; Elena Erosheva, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR University of Washington Organizer(s): Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota 2:45 p.m. Checking the Appropriateness of the Statistical Chair(s): Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota Model Used in National Assessment of ❖ 2:05 p.m. A Flexible B-Spline Model for Multiple Educational Progress— Sandip Sinharay, Longitudinal Biomarkers and Survival— Educational Testing Service ❖Elizabeth Brown, University of Washington 3:05 p.m. Improve Variance Estimation for the Assessments ❖ 2:35 p.m. Extensions of the Standard Joint Model— Based on the Plausible Values Approach— Jiahe ❖Jeremy M. G. Taylor, University of Michigan Qian, Educational Testing Service; Shelby Haberman, Educational Testing Service 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Semiparametric Methods for Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data— 3:25 p.m. Estimation of Measurement Errors at Observed ❖ ❖Adam Branscum, University of Kentucky; and Scaled Scores— Michelle Liou, Academia Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota; Wesley Sinica; Philip E. Cheng, Academia Sinica O. Johnson, University of California, Irvine 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 13 CC-619 11 CC-604 ● Bayesian Modeling of Biomedical Data— Modern Monte Carlo Methods for Statistical Topic-Contributed Inference—Invited Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, WNAR, ENAR IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric Organizer(s): W. John Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles Statistics Chair(s): Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University Organizer(s): Anthony Brockwell, Carnegie Mellon University 2:05 p.m. Analysis of Longitudinal Clinical Trial Data Chair(s): Arnaud Doucet, Th e University of British Columbia with Informative Dropout—❖Xiaohong Yan, 2:05 p.m. An Overview of SMC and Adaptive MCMC— University of California, Los Angeles; W. John ❖Anthony Brockwell, Carnegie Mellon University Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles 2:35 p.m. Simulated Tempering Made Easy—❖Yves 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Approach to Multiple Changepoint with Atchade, University of Ottawa Application to HIV Immunologic Responses— ❖Pulak Ghosh, Georgia State University; Kaushik 3:05 p.m. Adaptive Monte Carlo Computing Methods— Ghosh, New Jersey Institute of Technology; Ram ❖Christophe Andrieu, University of Bristol Tiwari, National Institutes of Health 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Bayesian Model Checking for a Longitudinal Binary Variable—❖Catherine Crespi, University of California, Los Angeles; W. John Boscardin, Topic-Contributed Sessions University of California, Los Angeles; William G. 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Cumberland, University of California, Los Angeles 3:05 p.m. Modeling Multivariate Biomedical Data with ❖ 12 CC-606 Polynomial Smoothing Splines— Hector Lemus, University of California, Los Angeles; W. John Advances in Item Response Theory—Topic- Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles Contributed 3:25 p.m. Real-Time Learning for Heterogeneous Social Statistics Section Multivariate Longitudinal Data—❖W. John Organizer(s): Sandip Sinharay, Educational Testing Service Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles; Chair(s): Guowen Sun, sanofi -aventis Hector Lemus, University of California, Los 2:05 p.m. Limited Information Goodness-of-Fit Testing in Angeles Multidimensional Contingency Tables—❖Harry 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Joe, Th e University of British Columbia

50 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Seattle 51 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

14 CC-401 16 CC-602 ● Planning Medical Device Studies—Topic- ● ✪ IT Process Monitoring and Planning—Topic- Contributed Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Philip Lavin, Averion Inc.; Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Organizer(s): Yasuo Amemiya, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Drug Administration Chair(s): Yasuo Amemiya, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Chair(s): Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2:05 p.m. Fourier Domain Estimation for Network 2:05 p.m. Statistical Myths in the Design and Analysis Tomography—❖Jin Cao, Bell Labs, Lucent of Clinical Trials—❖Victor Hasselblad, Duke Technologies; Aiyou Chen, Bell Labs, Lucent University Technologies; Tian Bu, Bell Labs, Lucent 2:25 p.m. New Medical Device? When Clinical Data Are Technologies Needed for a New Medical Device—❖Jeng Mah, 2:25 p.m. Robust Estimation for Zero-Infl ated Longitudinal American Medical Systems Inc. Data with Application to IT System Monitoring— 2:45 p.m. Statistical Review Quality Assessment for ❖Jing Shen, University of Georgia/IBM; Daniel Therapeutic PMA Submissions—❖Lilly Yue, U.S. Hall, University of Georgia Food and Drug Administration 2:45 p.m. Some Statistical Problems in Capacity 3:05 p.m. What Device Pivotal Studies Have in Common: Management and Planning for on-Demand Recurring Themes in Study Planning—❖Philip Computing Services—❖Ta-Hsin Li, IBM T. J. Lavin, Averion Inc. Watson Research Center 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Modeling Multivariate Time Series with Application to Software Defects Data— ❖Mihaela Serban, Carnegie Mellon University; 15 CC-204 Wanli Min, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Bayesian Student Paper Competition II—Topic- 3:25 p.m. Improving Service Delivery Process—❖Wen- Contributed Hua Ju, Avaya Labs Research; Lorraine Denby, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Avaya Labs Research; James M. Landwehr, Avaya Organizer(s): Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University Labs Research Chair(s): Steven L. Scott, University of Southern California 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Models Involving Ordinary Differential Equations— ❖Lovely Goyal, North Carolina State University; 17 CC-201 Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University ● Statistical and Quantitative Literacy 2006— 2:25 p.m. Weighted Model-Based Clustering for Remote Topic-Contributed Sensing Image Analysis—❖Joseph Richards, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Carnegie Mellon University; Johanna Hardin, Sciences Pomona College Organizer(s): Milo Schield, Augsburg College 2:45 p.m. On Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Chair(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University Models Using Jacobian Technique—❖Sourish 2:05 p.m. Increasing Quantitative Literacy through the Das, University of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, Mathematics across the Community College ❖ University of Connecticut Curriculum Project— Rebecca Hartzler, Seattle Central Community College; Kim Rheinlander, 3:05 p.m. Using Incompatibility To Build Fast Gibbs Dartmouth College Samplers—❖Taeyoung Park, Harvard University; David A. van Dyk, University of California, Irvine 2:25 p.m. Quirks of Rhetoric: a Quantitative Analysis of Quantitative Reasoning in Student Writing— 3:25 p.m. Improving Classifi cation When a Class Hierarchy ❖Neil Lutsky, Carleton College; Scott Bierman, Is Available Using a Hierarchy-Based Prior— Carleton College ❖Babak Shahbaba, University of Toronto; Radford Neal, University of Toronto 2:45 p.m. Common Misconceptions in Statistical Literacy— ❖Marc Isaacson, Augsburg College 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

52 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:05 p.m. Statistical Literacy: Graphs, Studies, and Related 3:05 p.m. Disease Diagnosis Maximizing Effectiveness and

Confounders—❖Milo Schield, Augsburg College Minimizing Cost of Health Care—❖Jeff rey Vaks, Thurs-Sun 3:25 p.m. Pedagogical Challenges of Quantitative Beckman Coulter, Inc. Literacy—❖Bernard Madison, University of 3:25 p.m. Use of Frequency Domain Measures Instead Arkansas of Traditional Summary Statistics for Use in ❖ 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Diagnostic Devices— Roseann White, Guidant Corporation 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 18 CC-205 ✪ SAMSI Program on National Defense and Homeland Security: 2005–2006—Topic- Contributed Regular Contributed Sessions Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Organizer(s): Michael Last, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Chair(s): Michael Last, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 20 CC-607 2:05 p.m. A Study of Data Swapping for Categorical Types of Modes and Effects on Response Rates Variables—❖Lisa R. Denogean, SAMSI and Performance—Contributed 2:25 p.m. Anomaly Detection—❖Francisco Vera, National Social Statistics Section Institute of Statistical Sciences Chair(s): Kristin Stettler, U.S. Census Bureau 2:45 p.m. New Measures of Data Utility—❖Mi-Ja Woo, 2:05 p.m. A Repeated Measures Design To Investigate National Institute of Statistical Sciences Mode Effects in the Center for Epidemiologic 3:05 p.m. Agent-Based Methods for Dynamic Social Studies Depression Scale—❖Richard Swartz, M. Networks—❖Eric Vance, Duke University; D. Anderson Cancer Center; Carl David Banks, Duke University de Moor, Harvard Medical School; Karon Cook, University of Washington; Rachel T. Fouladi, 3:25 p.m. Disc: Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Simon Fraser University; Karen Basen-Engquist, Sciences M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Cathy Eng, 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 2:20 p.m. Making Item Selection More Effi cient in 19 CC-613 Computerized Adaptive Testing—❖Hua-Hua ● ✪ Estimation Techniques for Diagnostics Chang, University of Illinois; Zhiliang Ying, Devices—Topic-Contributed Columbia University Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Section on 2:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Roseann White, Guidant Corporation Chair(s): David Snead, CORDIS 21 CC-618 Functional Data Analysis, Supervised Learning, 2:05 p.m. Evaluation of a Noninvasive Diagnostic Device Using Weighted Least Squares Approach— and Dimension Reduction—Contributed ❖Zhen Huang, Duke Clinical Research Institute; Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR Huiman Barnhart, Duke University Chair(s): Carsten Botts, Williams College 2:25 p.m. System Accuracy Requirements for Blood 2:05 p.m. Functional Regression Analysis for Longitudinal Data with a Large Number of Repeated Glucose Monitors—❖Nancy Schatz, Home Measures—❖ Diagnostics, Inc. Xiaowei Yang, University of California, Davis; Hongquan Xu, University of 2:45 p.m. Bayesian Predictive Probability as a Diagnostic California, Los Angeles; Qing Shen, Edmunds.com Assessment of the Likelihood of Coronary 2:20 p.m. Self-Modeling Regression with Application to Artery Disease in Collateral Arteries—❖Laura Arterial Pulse Pressure Waveforms—❖ Th ompson, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Lyndia Brumback, University of Washington; Doug

Seattle 53 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Tommet, University of Washington; Richard 3:20 p.m. Additive Hazards Model for Case-2 Interval- Kronmal, University of Washington Censored Failure Time Data—❖Lianming Wang, 2:35 p.m. Classifi cation and Gene Selection of Cancer University of Missouri-Columbia; Jianguo Sun, Micro-Arrays by nu-Ridge Regression—❖Jun University of Missouri-Columbia; Xingwei Tong, Luo, Michigan State University University of Missouri-Columbia 2:50 p.m. Boosting with Missing Predictors—❖Ching- 3:35 p.m. Statistical Analysis of Multivariate Failure Time ❖ Yun Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Data with Auxiliary Covariates— Zhaozhi Fan, Center; Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Memorial University of Newfoundland Research Center 3:05 p.m. Prediction Based on Two-Stage Modeling— 23 CC-616 Amita K. Manatunga, Emory University; ❖Jose ● Normalization and Analysis of Microarrays— N. G. Binongo, Emory University; Ming Yuan, Contributed Georgia Institute of Technology Biometrics Section, ENAR 3:20 p.m. Steps Toward Individualized Treatment: a Double Chair(s): Dean Billheimer, Vanderbilt University ❖ Supervised Machine-Leaning Method— Steven 2:05 p.m. Two Extensions of the TW-SLM for Systematically Y. Cen, University of Southern California; Incorporating Control Genes and Spot Quality Catherine Sugar, University of Southern Information To Improve Normalization of California; Bryan Langholz, Keck School of cDNA Microarray Data—❖Deli Wang, Th e Medicine of USC; David Conti, University of University of Alabama at Birmingham; Cun-Hui Southern California; Doug Stahl, City of Hope Zhang, Rutgers University; Marcelo B. Soares, National Medical Center; Stanley P. Azen, Northwestern University; Jian Huang, Th e University of Southern California University of Iowa 3:35 p.m. On Reducing Multiple Outcomes into a Single 2:20 p.m. Using Cytogenetics Data To Guide the ❖ Score— Hui Xie, Boston University Normalization of SNP Microarray Signals— ❖Stanley Pounds, St. Jude Children’s Research 22 CC-617 Hospital; Cheng Cheng, St. Jude Children’s ● Regression for Censored Data—Contributed Research Hospital; Charles Mullighan, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Salil Goorha, Biometrics Section, ENAR St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Sheila Chair(s): Debajyoti Sinha, Medical University of South Carolina Shurtleff , St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; 2:05 p.m. Regression Analysis for Long-Term Survival Susana C. Raimondi, St. Jude Children’s Research ❖ Rate— Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University Hospital; James R. Downing, St. Jude Children’s 2:20 p.m. Accelerated Failure Time Model with Random Research Hospital ❖ Effects— Yaqin Wang, Iowa State University; 2:35 p.m. Category Analysis for Microarray Data—❖Zhen Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University Jiang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; 2:35 p.m. Penalized Weighted Least Squares Method for Robert Gentleman, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Accelerated Failure Time Models with Gene Research Center ❖ Expression Data— Simin Hu, Case Western 2:50 p.m. Probe-Level Modeling and Multiple Testing of Reserve University; J. S. Rao, Case Western Microarray Gene Expression—❖Tao Wang, Reserve University University of South Florida; Magali Mouy, 2:50 p.m. On Linear Regression under the Partial Koziol- deCODE genetics; Jason Hsu, Th e Ohio State Green Model of Random Censorship—❖Ke Wu, University; Hakon Hakonarson, deCODE California State University, Fresno genetics; Kari Stefansson, deCODE genetics 3:05 p.m. Inference for Interval-Censored Data with 3:05 p.m. Application of Temporal Association Rules to a Different Censoring Patterns among Treatment cDNA Microarray Experiment—❖Bruce Southey, Groups—❖Guozhi Gao, Amgen Inc.; Xiang University of Illinois; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Zhang, Amgen Inc.; Steven Snapinn, Amgen University of Illinois; Younhee Ko, University of Inc.; Qi Jiang, Amgen Inc. Illinois; Chengxiang Zhai, University of Illinois

54 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Seattle 55 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:20 p.m. Quantitative Association Rules Applied to the 25 CC-2B Analysis of cDNA Microarray Experiments— ● Multiple Trials and Multiple Endpoints— ❖Younhee Ko, University of Illinois; Bruce Contributed Southey, University of Illinois; Chengxiang Zhai, Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR University of Illinois; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Chair(s): Shuguang Huang, Eli Lilly and Company University of Illinois 2:05 p.m. Analysis of a Composite Endpoint with Missing 3:35 p.m. Strategies for Genome-Wide Family-Based Data in Components—❖Hui Quan, sanofi - Association Analysis for the Study of Integrative aventis; Daowen Zhang, sanofi -aventis; Ji Zhang, ❖ Genomics— James Degnan, Harvard sanofi -aventis; Laure Devlamynck, sanofi -aventis University; Jessica Su, Harvard University; 2:20 p.m. A Multivariate Median-Based Robust Procedure Cliona Molony, Rosetta Inpharmatics LLC; To Analyze Multiple Endpoints—❖ Eric Schadt, Rosetta Inpharmatics LLC/Merck Kao-Tai Research Laboratories; Benjamin Raby, Harvard Tsai, Organon; Harji Patel, Georgia Southern University; Christoph Lange, Harvard School of University Public Health 2:35 p.m. On O’Brien’s OLS and GLS Tests for Multiple Endpoints—❖Sergei Leonov, GlaxoSmithKline; James Roger, GlaxoSmithKline; Nigel Dallow, 24 CC-2A GlaxoSmithKline ● Pharmacokinetics and Crossover Trials— 2:50 p.m. Tree-Structured Gatekeeping Procedures in Contributed Clinical Trials with Multiple Objectives—❖Alex Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Brian Chair(s): Jie Chen, Merck Research Laboratories L. Wiens, Myogen, Inc.; Ajit C. Tamhane, 2:05 p.m. Assessing PK-AE Relationships Using Nonlinear Northwestern University; Xin Wang, Models—❖Haiyuan Zhu, Merck Research Northwestern University Laboratories 3:05 p.m. Control of Overall Type I Error in Clinical Trials 2:20 p.m. Applications of Adapted Crossover Designs To with Both Surrogate and Final Endpoints— Reduce Study Cost and Length in Phase I Clinical ❖Chung-Kuei Chang, Cephalon, Inc. ❖ Trials— Fang Liu, Merck Research Laboratories 3:20 p.m. Monitoring Futility in Two-by-Two Factorial 2:35 p.m. Analysis of Replicated Crossover Designs for Studies—❖Leslie A. McClure, Th e University of Average Bioequivalence—❖Donna Kowalski, Alabama at Birmingham; Christopher S. Coff ey, Astellas Pharma Inc.; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Research Laboratories George Howard, Th e University of Alabama at 2:50 p.m. Assessing Treatment Differences Adjusted by Birmingham Possible Carryover Effects in Crossover Clinical 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Trials—❖Ling Chen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 26 CC-210 3:05 p.m. Factorial Crossover Designs with Fewer Periods ● Mortgages and Auctions—Contributed and Fewer Subjects—❖Sourav Santra, Northern Business and Economics Statistics Section Illinois University Chair(s): J. Keith Ord, Georgetown University 3:20 p.m. Locally D-Optimal Designs for Pharmacokinetics 2:05 p.m. Loss and Prepayment Modeling in the Context Compartmental Models—❖Xin Fang, University of Subprime Mortgage Loans—Deniz Senturk, of Illinois at Chicago GE Global Research; ❖Huaiyu Ma, GE Global 3:35 p.m. The Hypothesis Testing behind Steady State Research; Greg Ratkovsky, WMC Determination in Clinical Pharmacology Trials— 2:20 p.m. Credit Rating Transition of U.S. Corporate ❖Bingming Yi, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xun Chen, Bonds—❖Weijian Liang, New York University; sanofi -aventis; Patrick Larson, Merck & Co., Inc. Halina Frydman, New York University; Stephen Figlewski, New York University

56 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:35 p.m. Credit Risk Ananlysis for Taiwan Electronic 2:20 p.m. Generation of the Distribution of the Test for

Industrial—❖Yi-Kuan Jong, St. John’s University a Latin Square Design with Heterogeneous Thurs-Sun ❖ 2:50 p.m. Statistical Validation of a Credit Risk Model— Variances— Miin-Jye Wen, National Cheng ❖Lydian Medema, University of Groningen Kung University; Hubert Chen, National Cheng Kung University 3:05 p.m. A Semiparametric Investigation of the Effect of Reserve Prices on Selling Prices Using Identical 2:35 p.m. On Testing the Bioequivalence of Several Auctioned Items from eBay—❖Dawit Zerom, Treatments Using the Measure of Distance— ❖ University of Alberta; Peter Popkowski Leszczyc, Hubert Chen, National Cheng Kung University of Alberta University; Miin-Jye Wen, National Cheng Kung University 3:20 p.m. A Statistical Approach to Controlling Sniping in Electronic Auctions—❖Dawn 2:50 p.m. An Exact Test for Testing the Equality of Porter, Georgetown University; J. Keith Ord, Parameter Matrices in Two Multivariate Linear ❖ Georgetown University Models— Jinadasa K. Gamage, Illinois State University; Malwane M. A. Ananda, University 3:35 p.m. A New Model for Forecasting Credit Spread of Nevada, Las Vegas Changes: Model Estimation, Prediction, and Inference Procedures—❖Yang Wang, Th e 3:05 p.m. Performance of Robust and Nonrobust Roy- Pennsylvania State University Bargmann Stepdown Follow-up to a Signifi cant MANOVA under a Variety of Conditions: a Simulation Study—❖Holmes Finch, Ball State 27 CC-213 University Software—Contributed 3:20 p.m. Comparisons of Sets of Multivariate Time Section on Statistical Computing Series—❖Jaydip Mukhopadhyay, University of Chair(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University Connecticut; Nalini Ravishanker, University of 2:05 p.m. The Carapace Environment—❖Gary Oehlert, Connecticut; Jonathan Hosking, IBM Research University of Minnesota 3:35 p.m. Iterated BH Procedure—❖Nasrine Bendjilali, 2:20 p.m. Enterprise Automatons with R—❖Zubin Lehigh University; Wei-Min Huang, Lehigh Dowlaty, InterContinental Hotels Group; Dean University Mao, InterContinental Hotels Group; Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research 29 CC-603 2:35 p.m. Estimation and Inference in Parametric Stochastic Likelihood-Based Inference—Contributed Frontier Models: a SAS/IML Procedure for a IMS Maximum Likelihood Bootstrap Method—❖Sylvie Tchumtchoua, University of Connecticut Chair(s): Siobhan Everson-Stewart, University of Washington 2:05 p.m. Testing of Rate Ratio under Inverse Sampling— 2:50 p.m. A New Program for Computing Percentage ❖Hon Keung T. Ng, Southern Methodist Points for Pearson Distributions—❖Wei Pan, University; Man Lai Tang, Hong Kong Baptist University of Cincinnati; Haiyan Bai, University University; Yijie Liao, Hong Kong Baptist of Cincinnati University; Ping Shing Chan, Th e Chinese ❖ 3:05 p.m. Statistical Inference Package (SIP)— Esa University of Hong Kong Uusipaikka, University of Turku 2:20 p.m. A Bivariate Interval Censorship Model 3:20 p.m. Floor Discussion for Partnership Formation—❖Qiqing Yu, Binghamton University; Linda Wong, 28 CC-214 Binghamton University Testing—Contributed 2:35 p.m. The Likelihood Ratio Test of Mixture Hypotheses ❖ Section on Statistical Computing and the Tube Volume Problem— Yong Lin, Chair(s): Faming Liang, Texas A&M University University of Medicine & Dentistry of New 2:05 p.m. Testing the Equality of Two Normally Distributed Jersey; Bruce G. Lindsay, Th e Pennsylvania State University Populations—❖Charles Dunn, Miami University

Seattle 57 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:50 p.m. On Hinkley’s Estimator: Inference about the 3:35 p.m. Bayesian Modeling of Noncompliance in Folic Change-Point—❖Stergios B. Fotopoulos, Acid Dosing Studies—❖Owen Devine, Centers Washington State University; Venkata Jandhyala, for Disease Control and Prevention Washington State University 3:05 p.m. Conditional Properties of a Parametric Bootstrap— ❖ 31 CC-605 Russell Zaretzki, University of Tennessee Consumer Prices and Expenditures—Contributed 3:20 p.m. Summarizing and Interpreting Likelihood Section on Government Statistics ❖ Functions as Functions— Michael Brimacombe, Chair(s): Alan R.Tupek, U.S. Census Bureau University of Medicine & Dentistry of New 2:05 p.m. A Micro-Level Latent Class Analysis of Jersey; Bo Peng, University of Medicine & Underreporting on the Consumer Expenditure Dentistry of New Jersey Survey—❖Brian Meekins, Bureau of Labor 3:35 p.m. Testing for and against a Set of Linear Inequality Statistics; Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor Constraints in the Product Multinomial Statistics; Paul Biemer, RTI International Setting—❖Hammou Elbarmi, Baruch College 2:20 p.m. The Use of Geocoding to Locate Outlets Outside of Sample Area Boundaries to Determine 30 CC-211 Signifi cant Areas of Commerce—❖John Schilp, Bayesian Biomedical Modeling—Contributed Bureau of Labor Statistics; Fred Marsh, III, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Edwin S. Iversen, Jr., Duke University 2:35 p.m. Internet Portals and Outlet Selection Issues in 2:05 p.m. Monitoring Event Times in Early-Phase Clinical the Consumer Price Index—❖Charles Mason, Trials: Practical Issues—❖Leiko H. Wooten, M. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Roberta Sangster, D. Anderson Cancer Center; Peter F. Th all, M. D. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Madeleine Saxton, Anderson Cancer Center; Nizar M. Tannir, M. D. Bureau of Labor Statistics Anderson Cancer Center 2:50 p.m. A Spatial Analysis of Price Change in CPI 2:20 p.m. Modeling Long-Term HIV Dynamics: a Bayesian Housing Index—❖William Larson, Bureau of Approach—❖Dacheng Liu, Boehringer Ingelheim; Labor Statistics Hulin Wu, University of Rochester; Yangxin Huang 3:05 p.m. Comparison of Chained CPI-U and Regular CPI-U Huang, University of South Florida All-U.S. Indexes in the Housing Sector (2000– 2:35 p.m. Prior Structures for Surrogate Endpoint 2004)—❖Owen Shoemaker, Bureau of Labor Validation Using PTE—❖Chunyao Feng, Baylor Statistics University; John W. Seaman, Baylor University; 3:20 p.m. Comparison between Newly Proposed Response Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company Rates and Current Response Rates for the TPOP 2:50 p.m. A Bayesian Multivariate PK/PD Model for Survey—❖Fred Marsh, III, Bureau of Labor Analyzing Cortisol Circadian Rhythm in a Statistics Depression Study—❖Niko Kaciroti, University 3:35 p.m. Effect of Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews in of Michigan; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey— University of Michigan; Delia Vazquez, ❖Moon Jung Cho, Bureau of Labor Statistics; University of Michigan Carolyn Pickering, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Modeling of Correlated Binary Data from the Cryotherapy for Retinopathy of Prematurity (CRYO-ROP) Study—❖Claudia 32 CC-612 ● Pedroza, Th e University of Texas School of Applications for Modeling Health Survey Public Health; Betty Tung, Th e University of Data—Contributed Texas School of Public Health Section on Health Policy Statistics 3:20 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of Age-Adjusted Cancer Rates Chair(s): David Blough, University of Washington Using Joinpoint Regression Model—❖Ram 2:05 p.m. Modeling of Longitudinal Polytomous Outcomes ❖ Tiwari, National Institutes of Health; Pulak from Complex Survey Data— Punam Pahwa, Ghosh, Georgia State University University of Saskatchewan; Chandima

58 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Karunanayake, University of Saskatchewan; 3:05 p.m. Signifi cance Analysis of Physician Photo

Helen H. McDuffi e, University of Saskatchewan Identifi cation Cards Trial—❖Ye-Ying Cen, Thurs-Sun 2:20 p.m. Statistical Modeling of Longitudinal Mental Hennepin County Medical Center; Jennings Distress among the National Population Health Ryan Staley, United States Air Force; Baolin Survey Participants: Missing Data Analysis— Wu, University of Minnesota; Scott F. Davies, ❖Chandima Karunanayake, University of Hennepin County Medical Center Saskatchewan; Punam Pahwa, University of 3:20 p.m. Development, Scaling, and Implementation Saskatchewan; Helen H. McDuffi e, University of of a Patient Satisfaction Inventory for Organ Saskatchewan Transplant Candidates and Recipients—❖Irene 2:35 p.m. A Two-Phase Model To Study the Health Care– Feurer, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Seeking Behaviors for Common Cold of People Hongxia Liu, Vanderbilt University School of in Taiwan—❖Hsing-Yi Chang, National Health Nursing; Panarut Wisawatapnimit, Vanderbilt Research Institutes; Yu-Wen Wen, National University School of Nursing; C. Wright Pinson, Health Research Institutes Vanderbilt University Medical Center 2:50 p.m. Alcohol Disorders and Employment Stability: 3:35 p.m. Factor Analysis with Categorical Data: a a Longitudinal Study—❖Richard Bryant, Methodological Illustration with the GAZA Child ❖ University of Missouri-Rolla; V. A. R. Health Survey Data— Dongguang Li, National Samaranayake, University of Missouri-Rolla Cancer Institute of Canada; John D. Pringle, Queen’s University; Julio Arboleda-Florez, Queen’s University; Heather Stuart, Queen’s University

Seattle 59 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

33 CC-212 2:35 p.m. Optimal Fold-over Designs for Three-Level ● Nonparametric Approaches to Regression and Fractional Factorial Designs—❖Hong Zhou, Spatial Modeling—Contributed University of Memphis; Manohar L. Aggarwal, Section on Nonparametric Statistics University of Memphis; Lih Yuan Deng, University of Memphis; Dennis K. J. Lin, Th e Chair(s): Huiping Jiang, Columbia University Pennsylvania State University 2:05 p.m. Regression Model-Fitting with Long Memory— ❖Hongwen Guo, Michigan State University; 2:50 p.m. (M,S)-Optimality in Selecting Factorial ❖ Hira L. Koul, Michigan State University Designs— Xianggui Qu, Oakland University; Robert Kushler, Oakland University; Th eophilus 2:20 p.m. Multivariate Theil-Sen Estimators—❖ Xin Ogunyemi, Oakland University Dang, University of Mississippi; Hanxiang Peng, University of Mississippi; Xueqin Wang, Yale 3:05 p.m. Algorithms for Generating Experimental Designs ❖ University School of Medicine for Irregularly Shaped Regions— Greg Piepel, Battelle-PNNL; Nam-Ky Nguyen, University of 2:35 p.m. A Goodness-of-Fit Test for Parametric Regression New England Models When Some Covariates Are Missing— ❖Lei Jin, Texas A&M University; Suojin Wang, 3:20 p.m. Orthogonal-Maximin Latin Hypercube Designs— ❖ Texas A&M University Ying Hung, Georgia Institute of Technology; Roshan J. Vengazhiyil, Georgia Institute of 2:50 p.m. Estimating Prediction Error in Linear Regression Technology by Cross-Validation—❖Hui Shen, Th e University of British Columbia; William J. Welch, Th e 3:35 p.m. Optimal Design of an Ion Trapping Experiment— ❖ University of British Columbia Kevin Coakley, National Institute of Standards and Technology 3:05 p.m. On Nonparametric Smoothing Methods for Assessing Climate Change—❖Patricia Menendez Galvan, Swiss Federal Research 35 CC-611 Institute WSL/ETHZ; Sucharita Ghosh, Swiss ● ✪ Causal Models and Causal Effects— Federal Research Institute WSL Contributed 3:20 p.m. Evaluation of Spatial Normalization Parameters Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR for SPM: Application to Type 2 Diabetes Data— Chair(s): Abdus Wahed, University of Pittsburgh ❖Bedda Rosario, University of Pittsburgh; Scott 2:05 p.m. On Informative Detection Bias in Screening Ziolko, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa Weissfeld, Studies—❖Arvid Sjölander, Karolinska University of Pittsburgh; Julie Price, University of Institutet; Juni Palmgren, Karolinska Institutet Pittsburgh 2:20 p.m. Estimating a Class of Causal Treatment Effect for 3:35 p.m. Statistical Methods for Proportional Hazards Survival Data—❖Jing Ning, Th e Johns Hopkins Regression with Missing Covariates—❖Lihong Qi, University; Mei-Cheng Wang, Th e Johns University of California, Davis; Ching-Yun Wang, Hopkins University; Zhiqiang Tan, Th e Johns Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Ross Hopkins University Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 2:35 p.m. Path Analysis for Ordinal Variables—❖Haihong Li, University of Florida; P. V. Rao, University of 34 CC-601 Florida Optimal Experimental Design—Contributed 2:50 p.m. Approaches to Obtaining Standard Errors for Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Parameter Estimates in Latent Class Analysis— Chair(s): Cheryl Dingus, Battelle Memorial Institute ❖David M. Th ompson, Th e University of 2:05 p.m. A Catalog of Nonisomorphic Indicator Oklahoma Functions—❖Shao-Wei Cheng, Academia 3:05 p.m. An Application of Multivariate Path Models Sinica; Chien-Yu Peng, Academia Sinica and the Calculus of Coeffi cients to Describe 2:20 p.m. Certain Orthogonal Arrays with Generalized Effects of Health Behaviors on the Metabolic ❖ Minimum Aberration—❖Aijun Zhang, Syndrome— Youngju Pak, University at Buff alo; University of Michigan Randy L. Carter, University at Buff alo

60 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Seattle 61 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:20 p.m. Signed Directed Acyclic Graphs for Causal 37 CC-610 Inference—❖Tyler J. VanderWeele, Harvard ● Estimation and Confi dentiality—Contributed School of Public Health; James Robins, Harvard Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics School of Public Health Chair(s): Andrew A. White, Institute of Education Sciences 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Disclosure Avoidance for the 2007 ACS PUMS: a Model-Based Approach for Group-Quarters 36 CC-608 Data—❖Rolando Rodriguez, U.S. Census Bureau ● Unit Nonresponse in Surveys I—Contributed 2:20 p.m. Reporting to Payers, Regulators, and Managers: Section on Survey Research Methods Issues and Experiences with Confi dentiality and ❖ Chair(s): Karol Krotki, RTI International Compliance— Richard Carlson, Medica 2:05 p.m. Nonresponse to a Computer-Assisted Self- 2:35 p.m. The Change-of-Variance Function in Generalized Interviewing (CASI) Module—❖Mick Couper, Linear Mixed-Effect Models with Applications University of Michigan; Eleanor Singer, to Poisson-Gamma and Beta-Binomial Models— University of Michigan; John Van Hoewyk, ❖Gabriela Cohen-Freue, Th e University of University of Michigan British Columbia 2:20 p.m. Assessing the Effectiveness of Weighting Cell 2:50 p.m. A Bridge between the Greg and the Linear Adjustments for Longitudinal Nonresponse— Regression Estimators—❖Sarjinder Singh, ❖Leroy Bailey, U.S. Census Bureau St. Cloud State University; Raghunath Arnab, 2:35 p.m. Sample Reweighting To Refl ect an Initial University of Botswana Population—❖Julia Bienias, Rush University 3:05 p.m. A Generalized Forced Quantitative Randomized Medical Center; Phillip S. Kott, National Response Model—❖Oluseun Odumade, St. Agricultural Statistics Service; Todd L. Beck, Cloud State University; Sarjinder Singh, St. Rush University Medical Center; Denis A. Evans, Cloud State University Rush University Medical Center 3:20 p.m. Global and Hierarchical Linear Regression in 2:50 p.m. Approaches to Nonresponse Bias Analysis in Two-Stage Sampling—❖Dhirendra Ghosh, an Adult Literacy Survey—❖Wendy Van de Synectics for Management Decisions, Inc.; Kerckhove, Westat; Th omas Krenzke, Westat; Andrew Vogt, Georgetown University Leyla Mohadjer, Westat 3:35 p.m. Confi dentiality in Survey Data: the Lack of 3:05 p.m. An Application of Propensity Modeling To Consistent Standards—❖M. Leeann Habte, Adjust Weights for Nonresponse: Effectiveness University of California, Los Angeles; Hongjian Yu, of Restricting Variables and Propensity University of California, Los Angeles; Jenny Chia, Values—❖Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy University of California, Los Angeles; Brandon Research, Inc.; Nuria Diaz-Tena, Mathematica Traudt, University of California, Los Angeles Policy Research, Inc.; Stephen R. Williams, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 3:20 p.m. Adjusting for Nonignorable Missing Data with Special Presentation 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. Nonignorable Sampling Design in Longitudinal ❖ Sample Survey— Moh Yin Chang, University of 38 CC-4C-4 Nebraska-Lincoln Introductory Overview Lectures: Adaptive 3:35 p.m. Estimated Response Propensities as a Means To Designs/Interim Pilots and Regression Trees— Evaluate Error Effects Due to Nonresponse— Other ❖Leela Aertker, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; William D. Kalsbeek, The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SPAIG Committee, WNAR Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Organizer(s): Lisa M. LaVange, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Lisa M. LaVange, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 4:05 p.m. Regression Trees—❖Wei-Yin Loh, University of Wisconsin-Madison

62 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

4:55 p.m. Adaptive and Internal Pilot Designs— 41 CC-203 ❖Christopher S. Coff ey, Th e University of ● ✪ Statistical Effect Assessment of Thurs-Sun Alabama at Birmingham Environmental Exposure—Invited 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR, Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Li-Shan Huang, University of Rochester Chair(s): Christopher Cox, Th e Johns Hopkins University Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 4:05 p.m. Bayesian Models for Multiple Outcomes Nested within Domains—❖Sally W. Th urston, 39 CC-401 University of Rochester Medical Center; David Statistics in Biotechnology around the Puget Ruppert, Cornell University Sound—Invited 4:30 p.m. Analysis of Multivariate Longitudinal Data Using ❖ ASA, Puget Sound Chapter, Section on Statistical Graphics Structural Equation Models— Esben Budtz- Organizer(s): Bruce Peterson, Terastat Jorgensen, University of Copenhagen; Philippe Chair(s): Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation Grandjean, Harvard University; Frodi Debes, University of Southern Denmark; Pal Weihe, 4:05 p.m. Reference Samples and Other Low-Level Choices Faroese Hospital System for the Design and Analysis of Two-Color Microarray Experiments—❖Kathleen Kerr, 4:55 p.m. Double-Smoothing Local Linear Estimation University of Washington in Partial Linear Models with Application to Environmental Health Data—❖Li-Shan Huang, 4:35 p.m. Graphs and Networks in Computational University of Rochester; Christopher Cox, Th e Biology—❖Robert Gentleman, Fred Hutchinson Johns Hopkins University Cancer Research Center 5:20 p.m. Synthesizing Data from Multiple Sources for 5:05 p.m. Statistical Methods for Integrating High- Environmental Risk Assessment—❖Louise Ryan, Dimensional Genotype, Molecular Profi ling, and Harvard School of Public Health Clinical Data To Elucidate Human Disease— ❖Eric Schadt, Rosetta Inpharmatics LLC/Merck 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Research Laboratories 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 42 CC-610 Graphical Models and Variational Methods— 40 CC-400 Invited Statistical Issues in Genetic Association IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Studies—Invited Organizer(s): Martin Wainwright, University of California, Berkeley General Methodology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Chair(s): Martin Wainwright, University of California, Berkeley Organizer(s): Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel 4:05 p.m. Variational Methods for Dirichlet Process Hill Mixtures—❖David M. Blei, Princeton Chair(s): Daniel Schaid, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine University; Michael I. Jordan, University of 4:05 p.m. Family Studies in the Age of Association—❖Nan California, Berkeley M. Laird, Harvard School of Public Health 4:35 p.m. Structured Prediction, Dual Extragradient, and 4:30 p.m. Hybrid Vigor: Family-Based and Population- Bregman Projections—❖Ben Taskar, University Based Designs Can Work Together—❖Clarice R. of California, Berkeley Weinberg, National Institute of Environmental 5:05 p.m. A Variational Inference Procedure Allowing Health Sciences; David M. Umbach, National Internal Structure for Overlapping Clusters and Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Deterministic Constraints—❖Christopher Meek, 4:55 p.m. Analysis of Complex Pathways in Molecular Microsoft Research; Dan Geiger, Technion-Israel Epidemiology—❖Duncan C. Th omas, University Institute of Technology of Southern California 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 5:20 p.m. Disc: David Clayton, University of Cambridge 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion

Seattle 63 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

43 CC-213 5:20 p.m. Disc: Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug ● Statistical Methods in HIV/AIDS Research— Administration Invited 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Michael G. Hudgens, Th e University of North Carolina at 45 CC-3A Chapel Hill Chair(s): Michael G. Hudgens, Th e University of North Carolina at Statistical Learning and Data Mining—Invited Chapel Hill International Chinese Statistical Association, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 4:05 p.m. Methods for Determining the Accuracy of Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, University of Minnesota Quantitative PCR for Low Levels of HIV-1— Chair(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University ❖Barbra Richardson, University of Washington 4:05 p.m. Image Denoising via Solution Paths—❖Ji Zhu, University of Michigan; Li Wang, University of 4:25 p.m. A Bernoulli/Left-Censored Lognormal Mixture Michigan; Hui Zou, University of Minnesota Model for Activity of the Protease of HIV-1 as a Function of Amino Acid Characteristics—❖Paul 4:35 p.m. Using Input-Dependent Weights for Model W. Stewart, Th e University of North Carolina at Combination and Model Selection with Multiple Chapel Hill Sources of Data—❖Wei Pan, University of Minnesota; Guanghua Xiao, University of 4:45 p.m. Evaluating Linked Substitutions in HIV Genomic Minnesota; Xiaohong Huang, University of Sequences—❖Francoise Seillier-Moiseiwitsch, Minnesota Georgetown University Medical Center; Huwaida Rabie, Georgetown University Medical 5:05 p.m. Binning in Gaussian Kernel Regularization— Center; Rebecca Slack, Georgetown University ❖Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley; Tao Medical Center; JaeHyung Ahn, Th e University Shi, University of California, Berkeley of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Gary Koch, Th e 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 5:05 p.m. A Comprehensive Mathematical Model of ❖ 46 CC-614 HIV/STD Spread in Communities— Georgiy V. Statistical Graphics: from Playfair to Bertin and Bobashev, RTI International; Michael Goedecke, RTI International; Elizabeth Costenbader, RTI beyond—Invited International; Wiliam Zule, RTI International Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Michael Friendly, York University 5:25 p.m. Disc: Sarah Holte, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Chair(s): Antony Unwin, Universität Augsburg Research Center 4:05 p.m. Graphics in French Statistical Journals during 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion the 19th Century—❖Antoine de Falguerolles, University Paul Sabatier (Toulouse III) 44 CC-201 4:35 p.m. Andre-Michel Guerry and the Rise of Moral ● Global Views on the Role of Statistics in Statistics—❖Michael Friendly, York University Medical Device Regulation—Invited 5:05 p.m. William Playfair and the Psychology of Graphs— Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR ❖Ian Spence, University of Toronto Organizer(s): Gene Pennello, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Chair(s): Gene Pennello, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:05 p.m. Statistical Regulations in the EU: Do They Exist for Medical Devices?—❖Bart Gerritse, 47 CC-210 Medtronic, Inc. ● Statistical Methods in Oral Health Research— 4:30 p.m. Statistics in the Chinese Regulatory Environment Invited of Medical Devices—❖Li Wei, Cardiovascular Biometrics Section, WNAR Institute and Fu Wai Hospital; Yao Chen, Peking Organizer(s): Elizabeth G. Hill, Medical University of South Carolina University First Hospital Chair(s): Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University of South Carolina 4:55 p.m. The Global Harmonization Task Force—❖Larry 4:05 p.m. A Semiparametric Bayesian Model for Inter- G. Kessler, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Rater Agreement of Probing Pocket Depth—

64 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Seattle 65 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

❖Elizabeth G. Hill, Medical University of South Topic-Contributed Sessions Carolina; Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. of South Carolina 4:30 p.m. Ensemble Models for Risk Prediction with Survey and Multilevel Data—❖Stuart A. Gansky, 50 CC-204 University of California, San Francisco; Nancy F. ● Strengths and Weaknesses of a Megatrial— Cheng, University of California, San Francisco Topic-Contributed 4:55 p.m. Spatial Analyses of Periodontal Data Using Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Conditionally Autoregressive Priors Having Two Organizer(s): Vipin Arora, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Classes of Neighbor Relations—❖Brian Reich, Tsushung A. Hua, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation North Carolina State University; James Hodges, Chair(s): John E. Connett, University of Minnesota University of Minnesota; Bradley P. Carlin, 4:05 p.m. Megatrials: Not Necessarily Either/Or—❖Lloyd University of Minnesota Fisher, University of Washington 5:20 p.m. Disc: Julie Stoner, University of Nebraska 4:25 p.m. Issues in the Use of a Composite Endpoint in Medical Center Megatrials—❖Steven Snapinn, Amgen Inc. 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:45 p.m. Are Megatrials Worth It?—❖Barry Davis, Th e University of Texas School of Public Health 5:05 p.m. Strengths and Weaknesses of a Megatrial: Invited Panels 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. Complexity of Designing, Handling, and Implementing Megatrials—❖Timothy Church, 48 CC-617 University of Minnesota ● ✪ Minorities, Environment, and Statistics— 5:25 p.m. Disc: Patrick O’Meara, Pat O’Meara Associates, Invited Inc. Committee on Minorities in Statistics, Section on Statistical Education 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Nagambal Shah, Spelman College Chair(s): Calvin L. Williams, Clemson University Panelists: ❖Nagambal Shah, Spelman College 51 CC-613 ● ✪ Issues with Open Source Statistical ❖William Hunt, North Carolina State University Software in Industry: Validation, Legal ❖ Julia Bader, Th e University of Texas at El Paso Issues, and Regulatory Requirements—Topic- ❖Kishi Animashaun Ducre, Syracuse University Contributed 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistical Computing, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Graphics 49 CC-3B Organizer(s): Nicholas J. I.Lewin-Koh, Eli Lilly and Company ● ✪ ‘Bad’ Statistical Methods: What Are the Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company Costs?—Invited 4:05 p.m. Open-Source Software and Pharma The American Statistician, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Development: Computer Systems Validation and Statistical Consulting, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Value—❖Anthony Rossini, Novartis Pharma AG Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University 4:25 p.m. Open-Source Software in Pharmaceutical Chair(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Discovery—❖Gregory Warnes, Pfi zer Inc.; Panelists: ❖David Freedman, University of California, A. Max Kuhn, Pfi zer Global Research & Berkeley Development; James Rogers, Pfi zer Global ❖S. Stanley Young, National Institute of Research & Development Statistical Sciences 4:45 p.m. Use of Open-Source Software by an Academic ❖Mary Foulkes, U.S. Food and Drug Center in a Regulatory Environment—❖Th omas Administration D. Cook, University of Wisconsin-Madison ❖Juliet Shaff er, University of California, Berkeley 5:05 p.m. Times R A’changin’: FDA Perspectives on Use ❖ 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion of Open Source— B. Sue Bell, U.S. Food and

66 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Seattle 67 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Drug Administration; Kathleen Morrish, U.S. ❖Teresa A’mar, University of Washington; Andre Food and Drug Administration; Ferrin Harrison, E. Punt, University of Washington; Martin U.S. Food and Drug Administration; David W. Dorn, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Petullo, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Administration Laura Th ompson, U.S. Food and Drug 4:25 p.m. Using Mixture Models To Estimate Abundance of Administration; Gerry W. Gray, U.S. Food and Patchy Species—❖Elizabeth Conners, National Drug Administration Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration 5:25 p.m. Software and Code Evaluation: Risk-Based 4:45 p.m. Forecasts of Salmon Returns—❖Saang-Yoon Approaches to Software Integration—❖Nicholas Hyun, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish J. I. Lewin-Koh, Eli Lilly and Company; Robert A. Commission; David H. Salinger, University of Myers, Eli Lilly and Company Washington 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 5:05 p.m. Using Multivariate Statistics To Resolve Issues of Scale with Salmon Survival and Ocean 52 CC-602 Environmental Data—❖Rishi Sharma, University Model-Based Seasonal Adjustment: Algorithms of Washington and Applications—Topic-Contributed 5:25 p.m. Reconciling Biological Realities with Statistical Business and Economics Statistics Section Requirements in Fitting Growth Curves with Organizer(s): Brian C.Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Emphasis on Growth Models for Sharks— ❖ Chair(s): Tucker S.McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Nicole Vega, University of Washington; 4:05 p.m. Numerical Implementation of Kalman Filter/ Vincent Gallucci, University of Washington Smoother for State Space Models with Partially 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Diffuse Initial Conditions—❖Rajesh Selukar, SAS Institute, Inc. 54 CC-620 4:25 p.m. Evaluation of Finite-Sample Diagnostics for ● ✪ Overview and Results from the 2005 Model-Based Seasonal Adjustments and National Census Test—Topic-Contributed Trends—❖David Findley, U.S. Census Bureau; Section on Survey Research Methods Richard Gagnon, U.S. Census Bureau; Tucker S. Organizer(s): Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): James Treat, U.S. Census Bureau 4:45 p.m. Aspects of Model Averaging for Seasonal 4:05 p.m. An Overview of the 2005 National Census ❖ Adjustment— John Aston, Academia Sinica Test—❖Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau 5:05 p.m. Assessing Spectral Peaks in Economic Time 4:25 p.m. Effect of Internet Response Mode Designs on Data ❖ Series— Th omas D. Evans, Bureau of Labor Quality and Ease of Use—❖Kelly Allmang, U.S. Statistics; Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Census Bureau; Kevin Zajac, U.S. Census Bureau Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia; Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 4:45 p.m. Experimental Treatment Results of the Bilingual Census Form from the 2005 National Census 5:25 p.m. Floor Discussion Test—❖Julie Bouff ard, U.S. Census Bureau; Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau 53 CC-615 5:05 p.m. Analysis of Self-Response Options and ● From Sharks to Salmon: Quantitative Tools Respondent-Friendly Design from the 2005 in Marine Demography and Management for National Census Test—❖Michael Bentley, U.S. Puget Sound and Alaska Fisheries—Topic- Census Bureau Contributed 5:25 p.m. Experimental Treatment Results for the Age, Section on Statistics and the Environment Relationship, and Tenure Items from the 2005 Organizer(s): Loveday Conquest, University of Washington National Census Test—❖Joan Hill, U.S. Census Chair(s): Loveday Conquest, University of Washington Bureau; Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau; 4:05 p.m. The Management Strategy Evaluation Approach Cynthia A. Rothhaas, U.S. Census Bureau and the Gulf of Alaska Walleye Pollock Fishery— 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

68 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

55 CC-611 M. Byrne, University of Miami; Laura A. ● Statistical Issues in Veterans Administration (VA) Petersen, U.S. Department of Veterans Aff airs Thurs-Sun Health Services Research—Topic-Contributed 5:25 p.m. Disc: Stephan Fihn, University of Washington Section on Health Policy Statistics School of Public Health Organizer(s): Roslyn A. Stone, Veteran’s Aff airs Pittsburgh Healthcare 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion System Chair(s): Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University of Washington 56 CC-604 4:05 p.m. Statistical Issues in Racial/Ethnic Disparities ● ✪ Bayesian Student Paper Competition I— Research—❖Roslyn A. Stone, Veteran’s Aff airs Pittsburgh Healthcare System; Huanyu Chen, Topic-Contributed VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System; Xiangyan Xu, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Veteran’s Aff airs Pittsburgh Healthcare System Organizer(s): Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University Chair(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University 4:25 p.m. The Use of Hierarchical Linear Models To ❖ Evaluate Methods for the Delivery of Primary 4:05 p.m. Bayesian Synthesis— Qingzhao Yu, Th e Ohio Care—❖Martin Lee, University of California, State University; Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Los Angeles Ohio State University; Mario Peruggia, Th e Ohio State University 4:45 p.m. Understanding Variation in Patient Safety Measures in the VA: How Bayesian Methods Can 4:25 p.m. A Bayesian Framework To Combine Multivariate Help—❖Cindy Christiansen, Boston University Spatial Data and Physical Models for Hurricane Surface Wind Prediction—❖Kristen M. Foley, 5:05 p.m. A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Identifying ❖ North Carolina State University; Montserrat Future High-Cost Patients— Kenneth Pietz, Fuentes, North Carolina State University U.S. Department of Veterans Aff airs; Margaret

Seattle 69 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

4:45 p.m. A Bayesian Pooled Analysis of Doubly Censored Topic-Contributed Panels HIV Data Using the Hierarchical Cox Model— ❖Wei Zhang, Boehringer Ingelheim; Kathryn 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. Chaloner, Th e University of Iowa; Ying Zhang, Th e University of Iowa; Mary K. Cowles, Th e 58 CC-608 University of Iowa ● ✪ Going beyond the Law: Ethical Aspects of 5:05 p.m. An Adaptive Bayesian Approach to Jointly Privacy in Surveys—Topic-Contributed Modeling Response and Toxicity in Phase I Dose- Social Statistics Section Finding Trials—❖Meihua Wang, University of Organizer(s): Gerald Gates, U.S. Census Bureau Pittsburgh; Roger Day, University of Pittsburgh Chair(s): Virginia A. de Wolf, Consultant 5:25 p.m. Hierarchical State-Space Model for Microarray Panelists: ❖Gerald Gates, U.S. Census Bureau ❖ Short Time Course Experiments— Haiyan Wu, ❖Pamela White, Statistics Canada Emory University; Ming Yuan, Georgia Institute ❖Jeff ery Rodamar, U.S. Department of of Technology; Susan Kaech, Yale University; Education M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 59 CC-609 ● 57 CC-612 How Is the TI-83 Calculator Changing How We ● Student Paper Competition Award Teach the Introductory Course in Statistics? Or Presentations—Topic-Contributed Is It?—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Education Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Marjorie Bond, Monmouth College Organizer(s): Michael P. Cohen, Bureau of Transportation Statistics Chair(s): Marjorie Bond, Monmouth College Chair(s): Michael P. Cohen, Bureau of Transportation Statistics Panelists: ❖Dexter Whittinghill, Rowan University 4:05 p.m. Robust Model-Based Predictor of Finite ❖Christopher Mecklin, Murray State University Population Total—❖Yan Li, University of ❖Carolyn P. Dobler, Gustavus Adolphus College Maryland; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland ❖Madhuri Mulekar, University of South 4:25 p.m. Causal Inference Based on Directed Acyclic Alabama Graphical Models and the Randomization 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Distribution: a Probability-Sampling Approach— ❖Joel E. Hanson, University of California, Berkeley 4:45 p.m. Small-Area Estimation for Business Surveys— 60 CC-607 ❖Hukum Chandra, University of Southampton The Nontechnical Side of Statistical Consulting: 5:05 p.m. An Application of Parametric Bootstrap Method Refl ections on Careers as Working Statisticians in Small-Area Estimation Problem—❖Huilin Li, and Suggestions and Guidance for Those on the University of Maryland Way—Topic-Contributed 5:25 p.m. Local Polynomial Regression for Small-Area Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Estimation—❖Pushpal Mukhopadhyay, Iowa Organizer(s): John Bartko, Retired State University; Tapabrata Maiti, Iowa State Chair(s): Edward D. Rothman, University of Michigan University Panelists: ❖John Bartko, Retired 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Th omas Boardman, Colorado State University ❖Ross Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ❖Gerald van Belle, University of Washington 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

70 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

61 CC-211 5:20 p.m. Semiparametric Analysis of Gene Expression Statistical Aspects of Pharmaceutical Industry Patterns across Ages—❖Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Thurs-Sun Proof-of-Concept Studies—Topic-Contributed University of Illinois; Bruce Southey, University Biopharmaceutical Section of Illinois; Gene Robinson, University of Illinois Organizer(s): Alfred Balch, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 5:35 p.m. Connectivity, Module-Conformity, and Chair(s): Joga Gobburu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Signifi cance: Understanding Gene Coexpression ❖ Panelists: ❖Surya Mohanty, Johnson & Johnson Network Methods— Jun Dong, University Pharmaceutical R&D of California, Los Angeles; Steve Horvath, ❖ University of California, Los Angeles; Andy Yip, Glen Laird, Novartis Pharmaceuticals National University of Singapore Corporation ❖Alfred Balch, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 63 CC-206 ● ❖Jens Praestgaard, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Advances in Analyzing fMRI Studies— Corporation Contributed Biometrics Section, ENAR 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins University 4:05 p.m. Intrinsic Voxel Correlation in fMRI—❖Daniel Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin; Raymond Regular Contributed Sessions G. Hoff mann, Medical College of Wisconsin 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 4:20 p.m. Robust Independent Component Analysis in fMRI—❖Ping Bai, Th e University of North 62 CC-205 Carolina at Chapel Hill; Young Truong, Th e ● Measuring Gene Expression—Contributed University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR 4:35 p.m. A Semiparametric Approach To Estimate the Chair(s): Saonli Basu, University of Minnesota Family-Wise Error Rate in fMRI Using Resting- ❖ 4:05 p.m. Clustering of Time-Course Gene Expression State Data— Rajesh Nandy, University of Data Using Functional Data Analysis—❖Joon California, Los Angeles Jin Song, University of Arkansas; Ho-Jin Lee, 4:50 p.m. Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Functional Schering-Plough Corporation; Jeff rey S. Morris, Magnetic Resonance Imaging Data—❖Qihua M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Sanghoon Kang, Lin, Southern Methodist University; Patrick S. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Carmack, Th e University of Texas Southwestern 4:20 p.m. Dynamic Network Analysis of Time-Course Medical Center at Dallas; Richard F. Gunst, Gene Expression Data—❖Donatello Telesca, Southern Methodist University; William R. University of Washington; Lurdes Y. T. Inoue, Schucany, Southern Methodist University; Jeff rey University of Washington S. Spence, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas 4:35 p.m. A Bayes Approach to Virus Gene Time Course Expression Data—❖I-shou Chang, National 5:05 p.m. Interpreting Experience-Based Cognition from ❖ Health Research Institutes fMRI— Rajan Patel, Rice University; F. DuBois Bowman, Emory University; Ying Guo, Emory 4:50 p.m. Comparing Distance Measures for Clustering ❖ University; Gordana Derado, Emory University; Time-Course Microarray Data— Th eresa Scharl, Lance Waller, Emory University; Amita K. Vienna University of Technology; Friedrich Manatunga, Emory University Leisch, University of Munich 5:20 p.m. Detecting Cerebral Activation from Functional 5:05 p.m. Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Data—❖William Restricted Maximum Likelihood Study of Gene ❖ Baumann, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, Expression Patterns across Time— Feng Hong, Iowa State University University of Illinois; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, University of Illinois 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion

Seattle 71 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

64 CC-214 University; Steven G. Heeringa, University of ● ✪ Methodological Issues in Genetics Studies— Michigan; Peter W. Solenberger, University of Contributed Michigan Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR 4:20 p.m. Optimum Allocation in Two-Stage and Stratifi ed Chair(s): Bryan Langholz, Keck School of Medicine of USC Two-Stage Sampling for Multivariate Surveys— ❖ 4:05 p.m. An Importance Sampling Procedure for M. G. M. Khan, Th e University of the South Obtaining Confi dence Intervals of Disease Loci Pacifi c; Munish A. Chand, Th e University of the with General Pedigree Data—❖Shuyan Wan, South Pacifi c Th e Ohio State University; Shili Lin, Th e Ohio 4:35 p.m. An Application of Genetic Algorithms to State University Multivariate Optimal Allocation in Stratifi ed ❖ 4:20 p.m. Correcting for Measurement Errors in Structured Sample Designs— Charles Day, U.S. Internal Association Tests—❖Jasmin Divers, Th e University Revenue Service of Alabama at Birmingham; Laura K. Vaughan, 4:50 p.m. The Effect of the Number Eligible and Number Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; David Selected within Households on Reported Income Redden, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; and Other Socioeconomic Characteristics in the Jose R. Fernandez, Th e University of Alabama at 2004 NSDUH—❖Tania Robbins, RTI International Birmingham; David B. Allison, Th e University of 5:05 p.m. NASS/USDA Area Frame Sample Allocation for Alabama at Birmingham Estimation of Number of Farms Not on the Ag 4:35 p.m. Genomic Control for Association Studies When Census Mailing List—❖Floyd Spears, Harding the Genetic Model Is Unknown—❖Gang Zheng, University; Raj S. Chhikara, University of National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Houston-Clear Lake; Charles R. Perry, National Boris Freidlin, National Cancer Institute; Joseph Agricultural Statistics Service; Phillip S. Kott, Gastwirth, Th e George Washington University National Agricultural Statistics Service 4:50 p.m. Pedigree Disequilibrium Test for X-Chromosome 5:20 p.m. Simple Power Calculations: How Do We Know Markers—❖Jie Ding, Th e Ohio State University; We Are Doing It the Right Way?—❖Michael Shili Lin, Th e Ohio State University Vorburger, RTI International 5:05 p.m. Incorporating Endophenotypes into Allelic 5:35 p.m. Estimation in Network Populations—❖Mike Association Studies—❖Chao Hsiung, National Kwanisai, National Opinion Research Center Health Research Institutes 5:20 p.m. Allowing for Etiologic Heterogeneity by Disease 66 CC-618 Subtype Increases the Power of Tests for Genetic ● Sample Survey Quality I—Contributed ❖ Association— Peter Kraft, Harvard University; Section on Survey Research Methods Sholom Wacholder, National Cancer Institute; Chair(s): Michael P. Battaglia, Abt Associates Inc. Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute 4:05 p.m. Nonresponse Bias Studies: 2003–2004 School 5:35 p.m. A Multiple Test Procedure Controling Type I and Staffi ng Survey—❖Robyn Sirkis, U.S. Error for Genome Scan Association Studies Census Bureau; Bac Tran, U.S. Census Bureau; ❖ Using HapMap Data— Renfang Jiang, Michigan Phyllis Singer, U.S. Census Bureau Technological University; Jianping Dong, 4:20 p.m. Call Efforts and Relational Estimates: Michigan Technological University; Shuanglin Preliminary Findings—❖Chung-tung Lin, U.S. Zhang, Michigan Technological University; Food and Drug Administration Qiuying Sha, Michigan Technological University 4:35 p.m. Estimation of Low Incidence Rates under Selection 65 CC-619 Bias—❖Bin Wang, University of South Alabama; ● Sample Survey Design I—Contributed Jiayang Sun, Case Western Reserve University Section on Survey Research Methods 4:50 p.m. Assessment of Diagnostic Tests in the Presence Chair(s): Soma Roy, Th e Ohio State University of Verifi cation Bias Using Multiple Imputation ❖ 4:05 p.m. Model-Based Sampling Designs for Optimum and Resampling Methods— Michael P. Estimation—❖Sun Woong Kim, Dongguk McDermott, University of Rochester Medical

72 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sun

Seattle 73 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Center; Hua He, University of Rochester Medical 68 CC-616 Center ● ✪ Risk Assessment in Business and Finance— 5:05 p.m. Treatment of Spatial Autocorrelation in Contributed Geocoded Crime Data—❖Krista Collins, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Quality and Productivity Statistics Canada; Colin Babyak, Statistics Chair(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. Canada 4:05 p.m. On the Application of the Latent-Variable Model 5:20 p.m. Assessing Population Coverage in a Health To Predict Business Default—❖K. Paul Chin, Dun Survey—❖Karen Davis, National Center for & Bradstreet, Inc.; Edgar Ortiz, Dun & Bradstreet, Health Statistics; Chris Moriarity, National Inc.; Jianjing Ling, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. Center for Health Statistics 4:20 p.m. Mixture Models Applied To Reject Inference— 5:35 p.m. A Study of IRS Administrative Payroll as a ❖Billie Anderson, Th e University of Alabama; Substitute for Missing Payroll—❖Melvin J. Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama; McCullough, U.S. Census Bureau Ana Landeros, Th e University of Alabama; Michael Conerly, Th e University of Alabama 67 CC-606 4:35 p.m. How To Address Click Fraud in Pay-per-Click ● ✪ Industrial Applications—Contributed Programs—❖Vincent Granville, Authenticlick Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering 4:50 p.m. Application of Kernel Methods to Fraud Sciences Detection—❖Ravi Mallela, Equbits Chair(s): Angela Patterson, GE Global Research 5:05 p.m. Partial Hedging Using Malliavin Calculus—❖Lan 4:05 p.m. Hierarchcial Modeling Using GLMs To Improve Nygren, Rider University; Lakner Peter, New Yield—❖Christina Mastrangelo, University York University of Washington; Naveen Kumar, University of 5:20 p.m. An Econometric Model for Insurance Washington Underwriting Using Bivariate Zero-Infl ated 4:20 p.m. Sequential Analysis on Misspecifi ed Count Models—K. Paul Chin, Dun & Bradstreet, Distributions—❖Th eresa Utlaut, Intel Inc.; ❖Edgar Ortiz, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. Corporation; Kevin Anderson, Intel Corporation 5:35 p.m. Investigating the Determinants of Financial 4:35 p.m. On Robust Statistics—❖Kevin Anderson, Intel Harm and Predatory Lending through RDD and Corporation Victim Population Surveys—❖Danna Moore, 4:50 p.m. Robust Analysis of Variance: Process Design Washington State University and Quality Improvement—❖Avi Giloni, Yeshiva University; Sridhar Seshadri, New 69 CC-601 York University; Jeff rey Simonoff , New York Modeling—Contributed University Section on Statistical Computing 5:05 p.m. Statistical Quality Control of Loadboards for Chair(s): Wei Pan, University of Cincinnati Electronic Package Testers—❖Meihui Guo, 4:05 p.m. Finite Elements Methods for Density National Sun Yat-sen University; Yu-Jung Huang, Estimation—❖George Terrell, Virginia I-Shou University; Ming-Kun Chen, I-Shou Polytechnic Institute and State University University 4:20 p.m. On the Mixture of Multivariate Skew Normal 5:20 p.m. Statistical Monitoring of Multistage Processes— Distributions—❖Jack C. Lee, National Chiao ❖Fugee Tsung, Th e Hong Kong University of Tung University; Tsung-I Lin, National Chung Science and Technology Hsing University 5:35 p.m. Stochastic Models for Predicting Product Failure 4:35 p.m. Latent Regression—❖Th addeus Tarpey, Wright Rate of Parenterals Due to Particulate Matter— State University; Eva Petkova, Columbia University ❖Chi-Hse Teng, Pfi zer Inc. 4:50 p.m. Estimation for Finite Mixture Multinomial Models—❖Nagaraj Neerchal, University of Maryland Baltimore County; Minglei Liu, Medtronic, Inc.; Jorge Morel, Procter & Gamble

74 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:05 p.m. Predictive Discrepancy Using Full Cross- Th addeus Tarpey, Wright State University;

Validation for Regression Models—❖Mark Yimeng Lu, Columbia University; Donald Klein, Thurs-Sun Greenwood, Montana State University Columbia University 5:20 p.m. On the Nonnegative Garrote Estimator—❖Ming 4:20 p.m. Effi cient Adaptive Designs for Clinical Trials— Yuan, Georgia Institute of Technology; Yi Lin, ❖Jay Bartroff , Stanford University; Tze Leung University of Wisconsin-Madison Lai, Stanford University 5:35 p.m. Latent Transition Analysis: Inference and 4:35 p.m. Remodifi ed Continual Reassessment Method Estimation—❖Hwan Chung, Michigan State and the PBTC Experience—❖Arzu Onar, St. Jude University Children’s Research Hospital; Mehmet Kocak, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; James Boyett, 70 CC-603 St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital ● ✪ Bayesian Spatial and Spatio-Temporal 4:50 p.m. D-Optimal Designs for Compartmental Models— Models—Contributed ❖Gang Li, GlaxoSmithKline; Dibyen Majumdar, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science University of Illinois at Chicago Chair(s): Peter F. Craigmile, Th e Ohio State University 5:05 p.m. Robust Designs for Binomial Data—❖Adeniyi 4:05 p.m. Bayesian Change Point Analysis for Local Linear Adewale, University of Alberta; Douglas P. Regression: a New Approach to Prior Selection— Wiens, University of Alberta ❖Rajib Paul, Th e Ohio State University; L. Mark 5:20 p.m. Exact D-Optimal Designs for Second-Order Berliner, Th e Ohio State University Response Surface Model on a Sphere and with ❖ 4:20 p.m. A Bayesian Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Interaction Qualitative Factors— Chuan-Pin Lee, National Model—❖Jacob Oleson, Th e University of Sun Yat-sen University; Mong-Na Lo Huang, Iowa; Hoon Kim, California State Polytechnic National Sun Yat-sen University; Ray-Bing Chen, University, Pomona National University of Kaohsiung 4:35 p.m. Multiresolution Hierarchical Dynamical Models 5:35 p.m. D-Optimal Designs for Combined Polynomial and for Spatio-Temporal Processes—❖Ali Arab, Trigonometric Regression on a Partial Circle— ❖ University of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher Fu-Chuen Chang, National Sun K. Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia Yat-sen University 4:50 p.m. Spatial Bayesian Modeling of fMRI Data: a Multiple-Subject Analysis—❖Lei Xu, University 72 CC-2A of Michigan; Timothy D. Johnson, University of ● Clinical Trial Design and Analysis— Michigan; Th omas Nichols, University of Michigan Contributed 5:05 p.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Spatially Correlated Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Functional Data Analysis with Application to Colon Chair(s): Sheng Feng, Duke University Carcinogenesis—❖Veera Baladandayuthapani, M. 4:05 p.m. Note on Randomization-Based Inferences for D. Anderson Cancer Center; Raymond J. Carroll, Randomized Clinical Trials—❖Guohua Pan, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Yibin A&M University; Mee Young Hong, Texas A&M Wang, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation University 4:20 p.m. Four Types of Sums of Squares and Estimates 5:20 p.m. Floor Discussion of Treatment Differences in Multicenter Clinical Trials—❖Daozhi Zhang, DOV Pharmaceutical, Inc. 71 CC-605 4:35 p.m. Optimal Allocation of Units When Comparing Designs for Clinical Trials and Other Studies— k Treatments to Two Controls of Unequal Contributed Importance—❖Nairanjana Dasgupta, IMS, Biometrics Section, ENAR Washington State University Chair(s): Rebecca Nugent, University of Washington 4:50 p.m. A Method for Testing a Prespecifi ed Subgroup in ❖ 4:05 p.m. Identifi ably of Placebo Responders via Potential Clinical Trials— Yang Song, Johnson & Johnson Outcomes—❖Eva Petkova, Columbia University; Pharmaceutical R&D; George Chi, Johnson &

Seattle 75 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D 74 CC-212 5:05 p.m. Some Issues in Fitting Clinical Count Data with ● Methods for Incomplete Data—Contributed Poisson Regression Model—❖Abdul Sankoh, Biometrics Section sanofi -aventis Chair(s): Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University 5:20 p.m. Interval Estimation of Risk Ratio in the Simple 4:05 p.m. Semiparametric Models and Sensitivity Compliance Randomized Trial—❖Kung-Jong Lui, Analysis of Longitudinal Data with Nonrandom San Diego State University Dropouts—❖David Todem, Michigan State 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion University; Kyung Mann Kim, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Jason P. Fine, University of Wisconsin-Madison 73 CC-2B 4:20 p.m. Methods on Longitudinal Data with Dropouts ● Phase II Trials—Contributed and Mismeasured Covariates—❖Grace Y. Yi, Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR University of Waterloo Chair(s): Dennis Cosmatos, Wyeth Research 4:35 p.m. Semiparametric Analysis of Longitudinal Data 4:05 p.m. A Parallel Phase I/II Clinical Trial Design for with Potential Right Censoring—❖Mengling ❖ Combination Therapies— Xuelin Huang, Liu, New York University School of Medicine; M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Swati Biswas, Zhiliang Ying, Columbia University University of North Texas Health Science 4:50 p.m. A Multiple Imputation Approach for Responders Center; Yasuhiro Oki, M. D. Anderson Cancer Analysis in Longitudinal Studies—❖Liqiu Jiang, Center; Jean-Pierre Issa, M. D. Anderson Cancer North Carolina State University; Kaifeng Lu, Center; Donald Berry, Th e University of Texas Merck & Co., Inc.; Anastasios A. Tsiatis, North 4:20 p.m. Three-Outcome Design for Randomized Carolina State University Comparative Phase II Clinical Trials—❖Shengyan 5:05 p.m. Estimation of Transition Probabilities in a Hong, Eli Lilly and Company; Yanping Wang, Eli Discrete-Time Markov Chain with Missing Lilly and Company Observations—❖Hung-Wen Yeh, Th e University 4:35 p.m. Optimal Trial Designs for Screening Cancer of Texas School of Public Health; Wenyaw Chan, ❖ Therapeutic Agents— Vandana Mukhi, New Th e University of Texas School of Public Health York University School of Medicine; Yongzhao 5:20 p.m. Nonparametric Comparison of Two Survival Shao, New York University; Judith D. Goldberg, Functions with Dependent Censoring via New York University School of Medicine Nonparametric Multiple Imputation— 4:50 p.m. Optimal Adaptive Designs in Phase II Trials— ❖Chiu-Hsieh Hsu, University of Arizona; Jeremy ❖ Anindita Banerjee, North Carolina State M. G. Taylor, University of Michigan University; Anastasios A. Tsiatis, North Carolina 5:35 p.m. Multivariate One-Sided Hypotheses Testing with State University Complete or Incomplete Data—❖Tao Wang, 5:05 p.m. Optimal Two-Stage Designs for Phase II Clinical Th e University of British Columbia; Lang Wu, ❖ Trials for Continuous Endpoints— Chinfu Th e University of British Columbia Hsiao, National Health Research Institutes; Hsiao-Hui Tsou, National Health Research Institutes; Jen-pei Liu, National Taiwan Regular Contributed Posters University; Shein-Chung Chow, Duke University 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 5:20 p.m. Critical Statistical Issues in the Design and Analysis of Proof-of-Concept Clinical Trials in Multiple Sclerosis—❖Chris Assaid, Merck & 75 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Co., Inc. Contributed Posters—Contributed 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, General Methodology, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc.

76 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Biometrics, biostatistics, epidemiology 10 Issues of Covariate Adjustments in Clinical Trials— 01 Examining the Effect of Biomarkers in Terms of ❖Moh-Jee Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Thurs-Sun Pathological Compartmentalization and a Continuous Tie-Hua Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Variable—❖Irene Helenowski, Northwestern 11 Can We Recruit Additional Subjects for a Failed University; Edward F. Vonesh, Baxter Healthcare Study?—❖Paul Hshieh, U.S. Food and Drug Corporation; Ryan J. Deaton, University of Illinois at Administration; Tie-Hua Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Chicago; Borko Jovanovic, Northwestern University; Administration Alfred W. Rademaker, Northwestern University; Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Sally A. Freels, University of Illinois; Vijayalakshmi 12 Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations: Predictive Ananthanarayanan, University of Illinois at Chicago; Mean Matching—❖Gerald Kolm, Emory University; Peter H. Gann, University of Illinois at Chicago Deborah Ehrenthal, Christiana Care Health System; Clinical trials, drug discovery Edward Ewen, Christiana Care Health System 02 Minimum Sample Size in Control Group When 13 Weighted Logrank-Type Tests Based on Doubly Truncated Comparing Effi cacy Rate with Several Treatment Data—❖Su Pei Fang, National Cheng Kung University Groups—❖Alan Davis, Pharmanet; Inder J. Sharma, 14 Kernel-Assisted EM Algorithm—❖Suzanne Dubnicka, Sharma Associates, Inc. Kansas State University 03 Exploring the Relationship between Extended Oral Anticoagulant Therapy after a First Episode of Venous Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics Thrombosis and Mortality Using Meta-analysis— 15 The Analysis of Mixed-Effects Compartmental Systems ❖ ❖Brianna Miller, Th e University of Oklahoma Using Bayesian and non-Bayesian Methods— Yi Wang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Kent M. 04 Interval Estimation of Binomial Proportion in Clinical Eskridge, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Shunpu Trials with a Two-Stage Design—❖Chen Chia Min, Zhang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln National Cheng Kung University 05 GLUMIP 2.0: Free SAS/IMLÆ Software for Planning Reliability and survival modeling Internal Pilots—❖John Kairalla, Th e University of 16 An Application of Accelerated Lifetime Design/Analysis North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Christopher S. Coff ey, for Estimating the Lifetime of CDs and DVDs— ❖ Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Keith E. James J. Filliben, National Institute of Standards and Muller, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Technology; Adriana Hornikova, National Institute of Standards and Technology; Frederick R. Byers, 06 Stroke Clinical Trials and Response-Adaptive National Institute of Standards and Technology Randomization: an Ideal Match—❖Yuko Palesch, Medical University of South Carolina; Amy Bardeen, 17 Parametric Distance Estimators versus Maximum Medical University of South Carolina; Renee Martin, Likelihood Estimators in Estimating Quantiles with ❖ Medical University of South Carolina Misclassifi ed Data— Elliott Nebenzahl, California State University, East Bay; Dean Fearn, California State 07 Multivariate Applications in Systems Biology— University, East Bay ❖Amber Anderson, GlaxoSmithKline; Zhu Lei, ❖ GlaxoSmithKline; Edit Kurali, GlaxoSmithKline; 18 A Hyperbolastic Model for Survival Data— Zoran Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine; Kwan Lee, Bursac, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; GlaxoSmithKline; Michael Durante, GlaxoSmithKline Mohammad Tabatabai, Cameron University; David K. Williams, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; 08 Comparing the Performance of Three Asymptotic Karan P. Singh, University of North Texas Health Methods in Estimating the Sample Size for a Science Center Therapeutic Equivalence Study Based on Difference of Proportions—❖Xiaoning Li, Th e University of 19 Survival Analysis on Recurrent Event Data: an ❖ Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Sara K. Vesely, Th e Application to Alcoholism Study— Jian Han, Bristol- University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center Myers Squibb Company 09 Recent Development in Exact Inference for Parallel 20 Exact Test for an Epidemic Chance in a Sequence of ❖ Group Design with Repeated Binary Measurements— Exponentially Distributed Random Variables— Ping ❖Dar-Shong Hwang, B.R.S.I.; James Lee, Sankyo Shing Chan, Th e Chinese University of Hong Kong; Pharma Development Kim Fung Lai, Th e Chinese University of Hong Kong

Seattle 77 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Semiparametric and nonparametric methods Safety and Health; Jinghui Liu, Westat; Steven Spaeth, 21 Locally Effi cient Estimators for Semiparametric Models Kyle Steenland, Emory University with Measurement Error—❖Yanyuan Ma, Texas A&M 04 Estimating Lifetime Prevalence Using Data from University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University Disease Registries—❖Limin X. Clegg, National Cancer 22 A Graphical Method for Testing the Equality of Institute Regression Curves—❖Kee-Hoon Kang, Hankuk 05 Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster (Shingles)—❖Peter University of Foreign Studies; Cheolwoo Park, Wollan, Olmsted Medical Center; Patricia Saddier, University of Georgia Merck Research Laboratories; Lina Sy, Merck Research 23 A Permutation Test for Compound Symmetry— Laboratories; Barbara P. Yawn, Olmsted Medical Center ❖Tracy Morris, Oklahoma State University; Mark Business, fi nancial, marketing statistics Payton, Oklahoma State University 06 What We Know about Unsuccessful and Successful High-Risk R&D Projects and What We Can Learn from Them—❖Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of Regular Contributed Posters Standards and Technology 8:00 p.m.–9:50 p.m. Clinical trials, drug discovery 07 Data Simulation Methodologies for Determining 76 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Sample Size Requirements To Test Gene-Drug Interactions in Genetically Pre-Screened Populations— Contributed Poster Session with Opening Mixer: ❖Kimberly Lowe, University of Arizona College of a Look at the Richness of Statistical Interests— Public Health; James Ranger-Moore, University of Contributed Arizona College of Public Health; Patricia Th ompson, ENAR, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistics in Arizona Cancer Center Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Business and Economics Statistics Section, General Methodology, Section on Government Computational statistics, numerical methods Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Social Statistics 08 Wavelet-Based Functional Mixed Model Data Analysis: Section, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statistical Computational Considerations—❖Richard Herrick, Education, Section on Statistics and the Environment M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 09 Hierarchical Bayesian Calibration of Untested 01 A Bayesian Approach to Semicontinuous Longitudinal Devices—❖Reid Landes, University of Arkansas for Data—❖Bing Han, Th e Pennsylvania State University; Medical Sciences Wei Huang, Temple University Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife Biometrics, biostatistics, epidemiology management 02 Survival Instantaneous Log-Odds Ratio from Empirical 10 Strip Transect Sampling To Estimate Object Abundance Functions—❖JungAh Jung, Novartis Pharmaceuticals in Homogeneous and Nonhomogeneous Poisson Fields: Corporation; J. Wanzer Drane, University of South a Simulation Study of the Effects of Transect Width Carolina and Number—❖Timothy C. Coburn, Abilene Christian 03 LTAS.NET: a NIOSH Life Table Analysis System for the University; Sean A. McKenna, Sandia National Windows Environment—❖Mary Schubauer-Berigan, Laboratories; Hirotaka Saito, University of California, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Riverside; Orlando T. Garcia, Sandia National William R. Raudabaugh, Constella, Inc.; Avima Ruder, Laboratories National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; General Misty Hein, National Institute for Occupational 11 The Impact of Computer Programming Languages on Safety and Health; Sharon R. Silver, National Institute Statistics—❖Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State for Occupational Safety and Health; Patricia Laber, University National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Kathleen Waters, National Institute for Occupational

78 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Genetics, bioinformatics, computational biology Marquette University; Mary Jo Maciejewski, Medical 12 Analyzing a Metabolomics Dataset—❖Teresa Norris College of Wisconsin; Edward A. DeYoe, Medical Thurs-Sun College of Wisconsin; Daniel Rowe, Medical College 13 Inferring Quantitative Trait Loci Using a Bayesian of Wisconsin Variable Selection Model and Markov Chain Monte Carlo Convergence Diagnostics—❖Daniel Shriner, Th e Sampling and survey methodology University of Alabama at Birmingham; Nengjun Yi, Th e 22 Design-Based versus Model-Based Methods: a University of Alabama at Birmingham Comparative Study Using Longitudinal Survey 14 Estimating p-Values in Small Microarray Experiments— Data—❖Sunita Ghosh, University of Saskatchewan; ❖Hyuna Yang, Th e Jackson Lab; Gary Churchill, Th e Punam Pahwa, University of Saskatchewan; Geert Jackson Lab Molenberghs, Limburgs Universitair Centrum 15 Multivariate Simulation of Gene Expression Data— 23 Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models for Data ❖Rudolph Parrish, University of Louisville; Horace J. from Complex Sampling Designs—❖Prabhu Spencer, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Bhagavatheeswaran, Southern Methodist University; Ian Harris, Southern Methodist University Government statistics 16 Treating Breaks in Time Series in the Current Social and behavioral science Employment Statistics State and Area Program— 24 Mediation Analysis with Multilevel Data—❖Jungwha ❖James White, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kenneth Lee, Institute for Health Research and Policy; Eisuke Shipp, Bureau of Labor Statistics Segawa, Institute for Health Research and Policy; Sue Curry, University of Illinois at Chicago Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 17 On the Likelihood Ratio Test for the Numbers of Factors Spatial statistics, time series, spatio-temporal in Exploratory Factor Analysis—❖Kentaro Hayashi, modeling University of Hawaii at Manoa; Peter M. Bentler, 25 The Application of the Kalman Filter to Nonstationary University of California, Los Angeles; Ke-Hai Yuan, Time Series through Time Deformation—❖Zhu Wang, University of Notre Dame Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Henry Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, cluster L. Gray, Southern Methodist University; Wayne A. data Woodward, Southern Methodist University 18 GEE Models for Longitudinal Analysis of Long-Term Teaching, training, consulting Occupational Radiation Exposures in Russian Nuclear 26 Is It Normal? A Simulation Study of Properties of Some Workers—❖Adina Soaita, University of Pittsburgh; Normality Tests—❖Daniel M. Sultana, California State Ada O. Youk, University of Pittsburgh; Richard Day, University, East Bay; Charlyn J. Suarez, California State University of Pittsburgh; Tamara Azizova, Southern University, East Bay; Bruce E. Trumbo, California State Ural Biophysics Institute; Niel Wald, University of University, East Bay; Eric A. Suess, California State Pittsburgh; Mike Kuniak, University of Pittsburgh; University, East Bay David M. Slaughter, University of Utah; Carol K. 27 Classroom Simulation: False Indications of Ouliers Redmond, University of Pittsburgh in Boxplots of Normal Data—❖Bruce E. Trumbo, 19 Antioxidant Use Predicts Transitions to Amnestic MCI California State University, East Bay; Eric A. Suess, and Dementia—❖Marta Mendiondo, University of California State University, East Bay; Jacob Colvin, Kentucky; Richard J. Kryscio, University of Kentucky; California State University, East Bay Fred A. Schmitt, University of Kentucky 20 Structural Nested Mean Models for Assessing Time- Varying Effect Moderation: a Comparison of Two Estimation Methods—❖Daniel Almirall, University of Michigan Neuroscience, brain imaging 21 Methods for Assessing Changes in the FMRI Visual Field Map after Surgery—❖Raymond G. Hoff mann, Medical College of Wisconsin; Paul Savarapian,

Seattle 79 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

80 JSM 2006