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Security & Defence European a 7.90 D European & Security ES & Defence 5/2017 International Security and Defence Journal COUNTRY FOCUS: CZECH REPUBLIC ISSN 1617-7983 • Air and Missile www.euro-sd.com • Defence August 2017 Protecting the North Managing the Challenges Current capabilities and procurement programmes Poland has made a serious commitment to defence of the Royal Norwegian Navy modernisation Politics · Armed Forces · Procurement · Technology Defence Without Limits. Above and Beneath the Sea. Leonardo’s ATAS (Active Towed Array Sonar) system enables panoramic surveillance in active and passive modes, automatic classification of threats and torpedo alarm. Optimised size, weight and performance make the Whitehead ATAS the first towed active sonar for modern shallow waters and blue waters vessels in its class. Leonardo’s HITROLE® 12.7mm low weight, highly-flexible naval turret provides advanced defence capability as primary armament on small patrol vessels. The modern system is fully-controlled via an advanced control console from a remote station. Inspired by the vision, curiosity and creativity of the great master inventor – Leonardo is designing the technology of tomorrow. ATAS (Active Towed Array Sonar) ATAS (Active Towed Array Sonar) HITROLE® 12.7mm leonardocompany.com Helicopters | Aeronautics | Electronics, Defence & Security Systems | Space European Security&Defence-ATAS e HITROLE.indd 1 18/07/17 15:40 Editorial The Western Balkan Dilemma fter eight years on hold, NATO exten- Of the successor states to the former Yu- Asion in the West Balkans has taken goslavia, only Slovenia and Croatia have another step “forward”. At a ceremony taken the big step of joining the EU. True, on 5 June in Washington DC, birthplace the euphoric expectations harboured in Lju- of the Alliance, the Foreign Minister of bljana and Zagreb remain only been partially Montenegro, Srdjan Darmanovic, submit- fulfilled, but the attraction of the European ted his country‘s accession documents to Union remains unimpaired in the other coun- US Undersecretary of State Thomas Shan- tries of the Western Balkans, and Brussels de- non. With a population of 620,000 and clared over and over that their membership just 2,000 soldiers, it is true that the new continues to be the EU‘s intention, too. Now, member will not be viewed as a military however, they find themselves in a holding heavyweight, but its geographic location is pattern, with no sign of permission to land. of relevance: NATO has been able to close This dilemma is something for which the the last loophole on the Adriatic coast, and countries concerned can only partly blame that denies Russia, the “new” opponent in themselves: the more complex integration the game, a potential point of access. Rus- within the EU became, and the more the sia is weaving a web throughout the Bal- EU deviated from the original model of a kans, and Montenegro was potential prey. confederation, now pursuing a path towards One fly in the ointment with the acces- a de facto state, the higher the hurdles have sion is that it was not the outcome of a become for candidate members to clear. Fear referendum, for which its opponents had that changes in the status quo could trigger called, but legitimised only by parliamen- a dangerous chain reaction has crippled all tary decision. It may be assumed, however, attempts to tackle the fundamental prob- that vox populi would probably not have lems of Bosnia-Herzegovina, Macedonia, demurred. The government knows that it and Kosovo. And confronted by a range of has the backing of a majority of the popu- internal crises and growing criticism from an lation in its aspirations for integration into increasingly sceptical public, Brussels seems NATO - and later also the EU – although it to have lost the courage and vision to pursue faces a powerful and implacable opposi- expansion any further. tion that does not yet accept the dissolu- The risks of these longstanding wait-and-see tion of the union with Serbia, and that is tactics are plain to see. Where hope of EU traditionally inclined towards Moscow. The membership as an assumed precursor to political climate is poisonous, and the risk economic upswing has been lost, emigration of a violent escalation of the situation has has increased. Today, 1.2 million of a total of not eased. Last year a ring of potential re- 4.1 million Albanian citizens are already trying bels was unmasked, allegedly planning the their luck abroad, and the situation is similar assassination of prominent government in other countries in the region. The exodus of figures. Investigators have gone so far as to often younger, more ambitious people, with point the finger at individuals in Belgrade greater expectations of success, undermines and Moscow, but the case remains incon- efforts to get these countries back on their clusive. economic feet. When Brussels fails to deliver The immediate benefit which Montenegro the goods, other options come into play. can derive from its NATO membership These include Russia and Turkey in particular, might be negligible – the security of the but also Salafi extremists, who are finding country is not under threat, and the border growing support among young Muslims. dispute with Kosovo can be largely disre- The European Union, so keen to see itself garded – but joining the ranks should rather as a global player, could have proved in the be seen as a sign of a “pro-West decision”; Western Balkans – rumoured to be part of as a first step towards EU membership as Europe – that it is more than just an eco- the real goal. The example of neighbouring nomic area, that it is specifically a power for Albania, however, which joined NATO way stability and growth. So far, that proof has back in 2009 and since that time has made not been furnished, and there is not much hardly any progress at all in getting closer to will and less time to make up for the oppor- the European Union, suggests that this is far tunities that have already been wasted. from a foregone conclusion. Peter Bossdorf August 2017 · European Security & Defence 1 Content Headwinds Continue for European Air Lift COUNTRY FOCUS: CZECH REPUBLIC Photo: Airbus Czech Air Force • Security Policy While Airbus has won European orders with its A330 • Armed Forces MRTT, its A400M continues to cause concern, giving • Procurement Pages 42-63 Lockheed Martin’s C-130J a latent opportunity for ad- ditional sales. Page 64 SECURITY POLICY ARMAMENT & TECHNOLOGY 8 The Baltic States' Defence Capabilities 64 Headwinds Continue for European Air Lift Giulia Tilenni Andrew Drwiega 14 Are Russia and NATO on the Collision Course 68 Air and Missile Defence Alternatives around the Black Sea Region? Doug Richardson Eugene Kogan 73 “The Framework Nation Concept might also be a 16 What Belarus’ Crisis Means for success story in the air defence arena.” European Security Interview with Thomas Gottschild, CEO, MBDA Stephen Blank Deutschland GmbH 22 Does OPEC Have a Future? OPEC Versus 74 Naval ASW Sonar Review US Shale Oil Revolution Bob Nugent Frank Umbach 78 Rocket Propulsion for Guided Missiles Doug Richardson ARMED FORCES 82 Armour Evolution in Poland David Saw 26 Royal Norwegian Navy and Maritime Forces Overview 85 New Counter-Air Defence Capability Emerges Bob Nugent Stefan Nitschke 34 Poland – The Strategic Environment and Defence Modernisation INDUSTRY & MARKETS David Saw 88 Polish Defence Industry From COIN Back to Combat Operations 39 Remigiusz Wilk Michael Johnsson 94 “Funding is the cornerstone of any defence technology development.” COUNTRY FOCUS: CZECH REPUBLIC Interview with Michael Schreyögg, Chief Programme Officer, MTU Aero Engines 42 End of the Peace Dividend – Czech Republic Joins the Ranks in 97 European Submarine Cooperation Modernising the Armed Forces Stefan Nitschke Thomas Bauer 102 IMDS 2018 47 Fundamental Transformation in the Past Decade Sergei Kirshin and Yury Laskin Josef Bečvář 103 “Best competence to build the next generation 53 The Czech Republic – A Defence Market Overview of conventional submarines.” Stephen Barnard Interview with Eirik Lie, President of Kongsberg Defence Systems 2 European Security & Defence · August 2017 Index of Advertisers VIEWPOINT FROM … Arms and Security 46 12 Warsaw ARTEC 35 Marek Swierczynski AVIASVIT 52 92 Vienna BIDEC 59 Georg Mader Ceska zbrojovka a.s. (CZ) 3rd cover Diehl Aerosystems 65 Eastern Europe Defence Summit 38 THE BRUSSELS BACKDROP EXPAL 45 32 Montenegro and Euro-Atlantic FMV 57 Integration in the Western Balkans Future Mortar Systems 3 Joris Verbeurgt General Dynamics European Land Systems 51 Geroh 37 GPEC 2018 5 COLUMNS I/ITSEC 81 1 Editorial KADEX 2018 19 Koehler Books 87 4 Periscope Leonardo 2nd cover 67 Masthead NIMR 9 100 Firms & Faces Orbital ATK 4th cover PSM 49, 62/63 104 Preview secunet Security Networks 43 sensonor 71 MARKETING REPORT TDN UK 61 TechNet Europe 2017 25 62 PUMA AIFV Impresses During Trials Textron Systems 27 in the Czech Republic ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems 29 PSM Projekt System & Management GmbH Wärtsilä ELAC Nautik 77 PRESENTS THE 7TH ANNUAL 25th-26th October 2017 London, United Kingdom Maintaining Advantage in Dynamic Tactical Environments Introducing the speaker panel: Colonel Nick Cowey, Lieutenant Colonel Eungsoon Jang, Major Nick Gregson, Lieutenant Colonel Refael Aviya, Major Peter Koliennikov, Assistant Head Close Andrea Bandieri, Director of Armored OIC of Enlisted Gunnery & Head of the Keshet Section, Company Commander, Field Artillery Combat Capability, ACOS Training Innovation Vehicle Project Team, Cannoneer Schools, Weaponry
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