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Belgrade SMARTPLAN WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff Client Name Project No 70013479 Month Year Iv

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Belgrade SMARTPLAN WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff Client Name Project No 70013479 Month Year Iv REPORT NO 170524_WJ_RP_FINAL REPORT_D_SER BEOGRAD SMARTPLAN KONAýNI IZVEŠTAJ MAJ 2017 BEOGRAD SMARTPLAN KONAýNI IZVEŠTAJ Beograd Tip dokumenta (verzija) Projekat broj: 70013479 Datum: Maj 2017 – WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff WSP House 70 Chancery Lane London, UK WC2A 1AF Tel: +44 (0)20 7314 5000 Fax: +44 (0)20 7314 5111 www.wsp-pb.com Juginus Andriüev Venac 2 Beograd Srbija Tel: 011 323 1353 Fax: 011 323 1192 UPRAVLJANJE KVALITETOM IZDANJE/IZMENA PRVO IZDANJE IZMENA 1 IZMENA 2 IZMENA 3 Komentari Datum Pripremio Tim projekta Potpis Pregledao Errol Tan Potpis Odobrio Mike Jordanou Potpis Projekat broj 70013479 Izveštaj broj Referenca fajla 170524_WJ_Rp_Final_Report_D_SER TEAM/ KLIJENT – KOMISIJA ZA SMART PLAN CLIENT President, Commission / Luka Tomiü, Kabinet Gradonaþelnika / Cabinet of the Mayor Predsednik Komisije Vice-President, Commission / Goran Raduloviü, Sekretarijat za investicije / Secretariat for Zamenik predsednika Komisije Investment Commission Members / ýlanovi Dragan Milosevic, Sekretarijat za investicije / Secretariat for Komisije Investment; Petar Cekiü, Direkcija za graÿevinsko zemljište i izgradnju Beograda / Belgrade Land Development Public Agency; Predrag Tomiü, Direkcija za graÿevinsko zemljište i izgradnju Beograda / Belgrade Land Development Public Agency; ýedomir Vukašinoviü, Sekretarijat za saobraüaj / Secretariat for Transport; Stanko Kantar, Sekretarijat za javni prevoz / Secretariat for Public Transport; Dušan Gajiü, Sekretarijat za saobraüaj / Secretariat for Transport; Predrag Krstiü, Urbanistiþki zavod Beograda /Urban Planning Institute of Belgrade; Aleksandar Vuþiceviü, Urbanistiþki zavod Beograda / Urban Planning Institute of Belgrade; and Snjezana Glumac, Sekretarijat za zaštitu životne sredine / Secretariat for Environmental Protection. WSP UK LTD Project Director / Direktor projekta Mike Jordanou Team Leader / Rukovodilac Errol Tan Public Transport Expert / Ekspert za javni prevoz George Burnett Parking Expert / Struþnjak za parkinge Allan Norcutt Transport Modeller / Vodeüi struþnjak za transportno modeliranje Craig Wright ITS Expert / Struþnjak za inteligentne transportne sisteme(ITS) Ed Riches Transport Economist / Transportni ekonomista Fintan Geraghty JUGINUS Local Coordinator / Lokalni koordinator Ivana Markoviü Local Public Transport Expert / Lokalni struþnjak za javni prevoz Vladimir Depolo Urban Planner / Urbanista Vesna Limiü Traffic Engineer / Saobraüajni inženjer Mirjana Pantiü Environmental Expert / Struþnjak za životnu sredinu Dejan Filipoviü iii SADRŽAJ 1 UVOD ............................................................................................7 2 TRANSPORT & MOBILNOST U BEOGRADU ............................8 3 PRISTUP I METODOLOGIJA.....................................................25 4 INFRASTRUKTURNI PROJEKTI ZA KOJE SE ýEKA ODOBRENJE SREDSTAVA ......................................................32 5 AKCIONI PLAN I ZAVRŠETAK PROJEKATA ..........................41 6 ZAKLJUýCI I POGLED IZVAN SADAŠNJEG SMARTPLAN- A .................................................................................................57 Belgrade SMARTPLAN WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff Client Name Project No 70013479 Month Year iv TABELE TABELA 2-1 PROGNOZA BROJA STANOVNIKA (2016-2033) .............................. 9 TABELA 2-2 PROGNOZA BROJA RADNIH MESTA (2016-2033) .......................... 9 TABELA 2-3 UPOREDIVI EVROPSKI GRADOVI U SMISLU RASPODELE PO VIDOVIMA PREVOZA (%) .............................................................. 16 TABELA 3-1 SMARTPLAN BAZNI GODIŠNJI MODEL – JUTARNJI I POPODNEVNI VRŠNI ýAS, REZULTATI KALIBRACIJE................. 26 TABELA 3-2 POREĈENJE POSMATRANOG I MODELOVANOG NEZAVISNOG BROJANJA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS........................ 26 TABELA 3-3 PROGNOZA, MODEL REFERENTNOG SLUýAJA (DO MINIMUM), JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS, MATRICA PUTOVANJA UKUPNO PO VIDU TRANSPORTA, GRADSKO PODRUýJE ......... 27 TABELA 3-4 PROGNOZA PROSEýNE DUŽINE PUTOVANJA, IZMENE U MODELU REFERENTNOG SLUýAJA (DO MINIMUM) ................... 27 TABELA 3-5 ODNOS OBIM/KAPACITET NA SIGNALISANIM RASKRSNICAMA, ZONA GUP-A .................................................... 28 TABELA 4-1 FAZE KAPITALNO INTENZIVNOG PAKETA (DO-MAX).................. 35 TABELA 4-2 MATRICA PUTOVANJA, PROGNOZA ZA JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS (PUTOVANJA PO OSOBI), PO VIDU PREVOZA ZA SVAKU PRESEýNU GODINU, ZONA GUP-A .............................................. 37 TABELA 4-3 STATISTIKA UKRCAVANJA PUTNIKA NA LINIJE BGVOZA I METROA, MREŽA JAVNOG PREVOZA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS.... 38 TABELA 4-4 PUTNIK-KM NA LINIJAMA BGVOZA I METROA, MREŽA JAVNOG PREVOZA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS.................................. 38 TABELA 4-5 PUTNIK-ýASOVI NA LINIJAMA BGVOZA I METROA, MREŽA JAVNOG PREVOZA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS.................................. 39 TABLE 5-1 SMARTPLAN PROJEKTI: PROGNOZA KAPITALNIH TROŠKOVA (SVE U EUR, PO CENAMA IZ 2016. GODINE) ........... 55 TABELA 6-1 INSTRUMENTI ZA FINANSIRANJE ZEMLJIŠTA............................. 61 SLIKE SLIKA 2-1 BEOGRAD SMARTPLAN – OBLAST KOJA JE PREDMET STUDIJE ........................................................................................... 8 SLIKA 2-2 POREĈENJE BROJA STANOVNIKA ZA 2015. I 2033. GODINU ZONA GUP-A .................................................................................. 10 SLIKA 2-3 VAŽNE IZMENE U BROJU RADNIH MESTA ZA 2015. I 2033. GODINU ZONA GUP-A ................................................................... 10 SLIKA 2-4 POREĈENJE BROJA STANOVNIKA ZA 2015. I 2033. GODINU, ZONA GUP-A .................................................................................. 11 SLIKA 2-5 POREĈENJE BROJA RADNIH MESTA ZA 2015. I 2033. GODINU, ZONA GUP-A .................................................................. 11 SLIKA 2-6 TREND PORASTA BROJ VOZILA U VLASNIŠTVU (CO) DO 2033. GODINE, ZONA GUP-A ........................................................ 12 SLIKA 2-7 VREMENSKA DNEVNA RASPODELA PUTOVANJA ...................... 13 Belgrade SMARTPLAN WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff Client Name Projekat Br. 70013479 Month Year v SLIKA 2-8 RASPODELA PO VIDOVIMA PREVOZA: SMARTPLAN-OVI 2009 & 2015 ............................................................................................ 14 SLIKA 2-9 NAJVAŽNIJA KRETANJA U JUTARNJEM VRŠNOM ýASU ZA 2015. GODINU (OD SEKTORA DO SEKTORA), ZONA STUDIJE, BEOGRAD ...................................................................................... 15 SLIKA 2-10 8ýEŠûE JAVNOG PREVOZA, KROZ ISTORIJU (1971 – 2015) ..... 16 SLIKA 2-11 POREĈENJE PONUDE JAVNOG GRADSKOG PREVOZA (MESTA-KM) U 2001. I 2015. GODINI ............................................. 17 SLIKA 2-12 POREĈENJE ZAHTEVA JAVNOG GRADSKOG PREVOZA (PUTNIKA-KM) U 2001. I 2015. GODINI .......................................... 17 SLIKA 2-13 POREĈENJE SREDNJIH OPERATIVNIH BRZINA U JAVNOM GRADSKOM PREVOZU U 2001. I 2015. GODINI ........................... 18 SLIKA 2-14 UKUPAN BROJ PUTNIKA U JAVNOM PREVOZU NA DAN, 2001. I 2015. GODINA .............................................................................. 18 SLIKA 2-15 KATEGORIZACIJA PUTNE I ULIýNE MREŽE, BEOGRAD, GLAVNA GRADSKA ZONA ............................................................. 19 SLIKA 2-16 PUTNA I ULIýNA MREŽA PREMA BROJU TRAKA PO SMERU ..... 20 SLIKA 2-17 PARKING ZONE, BEOGRAD CENTAR GRADA ............................. 21 SLIKA 2-18 PROŠIRENA PEŠAýKA ZONA, PLAN, CENTAR GRADA .............. 22 SLIKA 2-19 POSTOJEûA MREŽA BICIKLISTIýKIH STAZA .............................. 23 SLIKA 2-20 PREDLOŽENA MREŽA BICIKLISTIýKIH STAZA ............................ 24 SLIKA 3-1 DIJAGRAM SINTETIýKOG MODELA PROGNOZE ........................ 26 SLIKA 3-2 POREĈENJE NIVOA USLUGE NA SIGNALISANIM RASKRSNICAMA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS, MODEL REFERENTNOG SLUýAJA ............................................................ 28 SLIKA 3-3 NIVO USLUGE NA SIGNALISANIM RASKRSNICAMA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS, MODEL REFERENTNOG SLUýAJA (DO MINIMUM)....................................................................................... 29 SLIKA 3-4 PROTOK SAOBRAûAJA, JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS, MODEL REFERENTNOG SLUýAJA, GRADSKO PODRUýJE ..................... 29 SLIKA 4-1: PRIKAZ RANGIRANJA PROJEKATA PO PRIORITETU .................. 34 SLIKA 4-2 OBIM SAOBRAûAJA ZA 2033. GODINU, DO MINIMUM / MODEL REFERENTNOG SLUýAJA (PCU), JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS, GRADSKO PODRUýJE .................................................................. 39 SLIKA 4-3 OBIM SAOBRAûAJA ZA 2033. GODINU, 2033 DO MAX PLUS (PCU), JUTARNJI VRŠNI ýAS, GRADSKO PODRUýJE ................ 39 SLIKA 5-1 PREDLOŽENE SEMAFORSKE RASKRSNICE ZA INSTALACIJU SISTEMA ZA DAVANJE PRIORITETA (STARI GRAD) ................... 45 SLIKA 5-2 PREDLOŽENE SEMAFORSKE RASKRSNICE ZA INSTALACIJU SISTEMA ZA DAVANJE PRIORITETA (NOVI BEOGRAD) .............. 46 SLIKA 5-3 PREDLOŽENE SEMAFORSKE RASKRSNICE ZA INSTALACIJU SISTEMA ZA DAVANJE PRIORITETA DO 2021. ............................ 47 SLIKA 5-4 PREDLOŽENA MREŽA MASOVNOG JAVNOG GRADSKOG PREVOZA, INTEGRISANI BG-VOZ I METRO DO 2033. GODINE... 48 SLIKA 6-1 GODIŠNJI IZVEŠTAJ TREZORA VELIKE BRITANIJE O NACIONALNOM INFRASTRUKTURNOM PLANU........................... 62 Belgrade SMARTPLAN WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff Client Name Projekat Br. 70013479 Month Year vi APPENDICES APPENDIX A PREDLOZI PROJEKATA APPENDIX A-1 PROJEKTI SAOBRAûAJNICA APPENDIX A-2 PROJEKTI U JAVNOM GRADSKOM PREVOZU Belgrade SMARTPLAN WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff Client Name Projekat Br. 70013479 Month Year 7 1 UVOD 1.1 OPIS PROJEKTA 1.1.1 WSP | Parsons Brinckerhoff (WSP | PB) zajedno sa lokalnim partnerima (Juginus) izabran
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