Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No
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By Liz Battocletti, Bob Lawrence & Associates, Inc. Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 September 1999 Prepared for Idaho National Engineering & Environmental Laboratory Under Purchase Order No. F99-181039 And the U.S. Department of Energy, Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy, Office of Geothermal & Wind Technologies Under DOE Idaho Operations Office Contract DE-AC07-99ID13727 By Liz Battocletti, Bob Lawrence & Associates, Inc. Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 September 1999 Disclaimer This information was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the U.S. Government. Neither the U.S. Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the U.S. Government or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the U.S. Government or any agency thereof. Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 September 1999 Table of Contents INTRODUCTION ........................ 1 MAP OF TURKEY ...................... 17 POWER PROFILE ....................... 3 GEOTHERMAL SITES / PROJECTS ....... 18 POWER SUMMARY ..................... 3 CONCLUSION ......................... 59 GOVERNMENT / LEGISLATION .......... 6 BIBLIOGRAPHY ....................... 60 GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL IN TURKEY (TABLE) ................... 13 Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 September 1999 Introduction The Database of Geothermal Resources in Turkey 5. Installed Capacity (MWe/MWt) includes information on 63 specific geothermal sites, 6. Potential (MWe/MWt) representing at least 363* MWe in power potential and 7. Chronology 840* MWt in direct use potential. The actual figures are 8. Notes much higher as specific data on potential is not available for all sites. Dynamic Database The Database includes: The Database was designed to be dynamic. Created using Microsoft® Access 97, it can be easily updated or • Power Profile - basic information on Turkey, e.g., modified to include specific data which the industry population, installed capacity, power generation would find most useful. In addition, the Database can be breakdown, electricity prices, etc.; made more comprehensive by adding pertinent data, e.g., local population and market data, location of • Power Summary - brief description of Turkey’s transmission lines and roads, etc., using the Geographic power sector and privatization; Information System (GIS)1 of the U.S. Geological Survey, to the present structure. Finally, the Database could be • Government / Legislation - relevant Turkish adapted for posting on the World Wide Web and government agencies and laws; and searched using a variety of variables such as country, • Geothermal Sites / Projects - includes a Site Summary for each: 1 In the strictest sense, a GIS is a computer system 1. Name capable of assembling, storing, manipulating, and 2. Location displaying geographically referenced information 3. Status , i.e. data identified according to their 4. Temperature locations. See http://info.er.usgs.gov/research/gis/title.html. Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 1 desired temperature of resource, estimated power The cover illustration is courtesy of the General potential, and other parameters. Directorate of Mineral Research and Exploration of Turkey. For immediate dissemination to the industry, the Database has been converted to a PDF file.2 Liz Battocletti September 1999 The Database of Geothermal Resources in Turkey was compiled and built by a team led by Liz Battocletti of Bob Lawrence & Associates, Inc. for Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory (INEEL) under Purchase Order Number F99-181039, “Collection and Assembly of Published Data on Geothermal Potential.” Special appreciation goes to Joel Renner of INEEL and Dr. Marshall Reed of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Geothermal and Wind Technologies for their support. The author also wishes to thank Serdar Cetinkaya of the Foreign Commercial Service of the U.S. Embassy in Ankara; Gülden Gökçen Günerhan of Ege University-Solar Energy Institute in Bornova-Izmir, Turkey; and Dr. Orhan Merto• lu of Orme Geothermal for reviewing the document and giving their comments. 2 PDF files can be read and printed using the free Adobe® Acrobat® Reader which can be downloaded at http://www.adobe.com/prodindex/ acrobat/readstep.html). Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 2 Turkey Estimated Geothermal Power Potential (MWe) 4,500 Turkey Estimated Geothermal Direct Use Potential (MWt) 32,000 Power Summary Power Profile Turkey–with a young and growing population, low per capita electricity consumption, rapid urbanization, and Population (millions) - July 1998 64.57 strong economic growth–is one of the fastest growing Overall Electrification (% of population) 99% power markets in the world. Averaging an impressive 10% growth in electricity demand over the past ten GDP (billion US$) - 1997 est. $388.3 years, Turkey is the fourth-fastest growing electricity Real GDP Growth Rate - 1997 est. 7.2% market after China, India, and Brazil. Inflation Rate (CPI) - 1997 99.0% Projections by Turkey’s state utility, Electricity Total Installed Capacity (MWe) - 1998 22,625 Generating and Transmission Corporation (TEAS), indicate that the country’s demand for electricity will Electricity Consumption per Capita (kWh) - 1997 1,784 grow by 246% over the next 15 years and require an Energy Demand Growth Rate 11.8% estimated 160 new power plants. Turkey’s installed Prices (US¢/kWh) - September 1999 capacity is expected to be 65,069 MWe by 2010 and Residential 0.10 109,218 by 2020 (up from its current level of 22,625 Commercial 0.09 MWe). Industrial 0.07 The Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (MENR) Source: TEDAS. Residential and Industrial rates predicts the need for 2,500-3,000 MWe of new capacity represent an average of tariffs for “Provinces Under each year at a total cost by 2010 for generation and Development” and “Other Provinces.” Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 3 transmission alone of $72.3 billion. The Government of Mediterranean regions in solar energy, and the Aegean Turkey (GOT) expects to finance about a quarter of the and Marmara regions in geothermal energy. projects with the balance coming from private-sector investors. Although estimates are that geothermal power potential in Turkey could amount to 4.5 GWe, little progress has MENR plans to install 33 lignite-fired units, 27 natural been made toward exploiting this potential due to gas-fired units, 12 coal-fired plants, 2 nuclear power technical, financial, administrative, and economic plants, and 113 hydroelectric units to meet the country’s problems, including artificially low electricity prices. growing electric power needs. To date, 20 projects have been awarded for a total of 12,270 MWe; 47% of the The GOT has kept electricity prices relatively low, planned installed capacity will be fueled by natural gas, setting prices for household consumers at the same level up from 16% in 1998. The majority of the rest will be as that for industrial users. This has led to a lack of coal-fired. available funds for investment and contributed to the rapid growth in energy demand. To promote renewable With electricity shortages and blackouts already sources, the GOT must create a level playing field by common (partly as a result of generation and distribution allowing prices of conventional fuels to rise to market losses as high as 20%), increasing the country’s levels. electricity generating capacity is a top priority for Turkish energy officials. In the fourth quarter of 1998, Turkey produced 28,735.7 GWh gross of electricity, up 4.66% from the fourth Turkey’s primary indigenous energy resources are quarter of 1997. Of the total, 64% was thermal (lignite, hydropower, which is mainly located in the eastern part oil, and natural gas), 35% hydro power, and less than 1% of the country, and lignite. Almost all oil and natural gas came from other sources e.g. geothermal and biomass. is imported, as well as high quality coal. The country Of the total, TEAS and TEAS partnerships produced over also has a large potential for renewable energy including 85%. Private power generators account for only 6% of wind, solar, and geothermal power. the total electricity generated. Marmara, the Aegean and Southeast Anatolian regions of By 2010, Turkey’s total capacity will be composed of Turkey are rich in wind energy, the Southeast and 28.4% natural gas, 22% lignite and hard coal, 39.1% hydro, 6.5% fuel and diesel oil, and 3.2% nuclear. Geothermal Resources in Turkey Report No. INEEL/EXT-99-01282 4 Turkey’s hydroelectric economic capacity will be fully Azerbaijan’s port of Baku through Azerbaijan and utilized and its indigenous thermal energy resources Georgia and then across Turkey to the Mediterranean exhausted by the year 2010. Turkey currently produces port of Ceyhan, at an estimated cost of $1.8-$3 billion. less than 50% of its energy needs; this will decrease to In late May 1998,