Education Update Scrutiny Committee Tuesday 24 th April 2018

Roger Gough, Cabinet Member for Children Young People and Education School Place Provision In Sevenoaks Education Commissioning Plan

• The Commissioning Plan for Education sets out the need for 2018-24

• Previous Plan forecasting accuracy was as follows: – Year R: Sevenoaks 2.9%, Kent overall -0.1% – Year 7: Sevenoaks 2.4%, Kent overall -0.1% Context

• Going forward, any additional demand in Sevenoaks is now mainly predicated on inward migration.

• Across the district, there is sufficient capacity for primary, for both Year R and for Total Roll.

• Small pockets of higher demand, but partly driven by parental preference.

• Secondary picture skewed by the lack of Grammar provision.

• More than 40% of secondary aged students in the South of the district, travel to attend schools in or Tunbridge Wells.

• Introduction of Weald Of Kent Grammar Annexe will help to alleviate this. Context

• Likely further Secondary expansions will be required as there are only 3 Secondary provisions in Sevenoaks (plus the Grammar Annexe).

• No Primary year groups under significant pressures on a district wide basis. /Hextable most likely to encounter pressures in the future, but this is not being realised as yet.

• Even though Primary numbers dipped slightly in 2017, they now appear to have plateaued.

• However, the growth in primary numbers in recent years is now starting to impact on the secondary demand. School Commissioning: Mainstream • Sevenoaks Primary:

Planning Group Short Term Medium term Long Term

by 2018-19 by 2019-20 by 2020-21 2021-22 to 2024-25

1FE in Swanley and Swanley and Hextable Hextable.

Current information for the 2018-19 academic year indicates that there will not be a need for any expansion in Swanley for 2019. This possible demand is likely to be pushed back in the next iteration of the KCP. Commissioning of Places

• Following closure of Oasis Hextable, there are only three Secondary Schools in Sevenoaks

– Trinity Free School

• The District now also benefits from the 3FE Girls Grammar Annexe (part of the Weald of Kent School in Tonbridge) Sevenoaks Grammar Annex • KCC maintains its policy of pursuing a Boys Grammar Annexe provision in Sevenoaks.

• At least 1100 children leave Sevenoaks district to attend grammar schools in Tonbridge or Tunbridge Wells.

• Local pressure in Tonbridge & Tunbridge Wells means that fewer grammar places will be available to Sevenoaks students.

• Even following the establishment of the Trinity Free School, local demand in Sevenoaks means that a grammar provision would be necessary to fulfil the statutory duty to provide school places. School Commissioning: Mainstream • Sevenoaks Secondary : by 2018-19 by 2019-20 By 2020-21 2021-22 to 2025-26 2FE in 2FE in Sevenoaks Sevenoaks

– September 2018: • 2FE Temporary Expansion of Trinity School. Consultation on permanent expansion now complete and school will now continue to admit 6FE in the future rather than the previous 4FE • Most obvious candidate for the next 2FE expansion would be Knole Academy Housing

• Sevenoaks District Council’s (SDC) existing Core Strategy, adopted in 2011, plans for 3,300 new homes up to 2026.

• Some of this need is being delivered with the remaining locations for growth identified within SDC’s ‘Allocations and Development Management Plan’ adopted in February 2015.

• KCC are mindful that SDC is working on a new Local Plan to run from 2019 to 2035 which will replace the adopted Core Strategy.

• Following the call for sites, KCC officers have been made aware of a number of potential developments in areas such as Halstead, Edenbridge and Westerham.

• If any major sites do proceed then the impact could be significant with the need for additional provision in the district. Primary Offer Day

• County wide almost 90% offered 1 st Preference • Lowest recorded school allocations: – Sevenoaks 22 allocations (1.7%) • Still strong demand for schools in Sevenoaks Town (expansion of Seal ) • Anticipated growth not yet coming through in Swanley and Hextable • Some schools with significant spare capacity Sevenoaks area for appeals into Reception or Yr 7 for 2017:

In Round Appeals 2017 Appeals Appeals Schools within the Sevenoaks Area Heard Successful : Chevening (St Botolph's) CEP School 2 1 Fawkham CEP School 1 0 Ide Hill CEP School 1 0 Kemsing Primary School 1 0 Lady Boswell's CEP School, Sevenoaks 1 0 Trinity School 5 5 Grammar Appeals

In Round Appeals 2017 Appeals Appeals Heard Successful : 116 3 for Girls 93 0 Wilmington Grammar School for Boys 86 6 Wilmington Grammar School for Girls 122 10 Tun. Wells Grammar School for Boys 41 14 Weald of Kent Grammar School 76 49

KCC does not act for The Skinners’ School, Tunbridge Wells Girls’ Grammar, or School Standards:

Primary

Total Outstanding Good RI Inadequate Total Good or Inspected Outstanding 42 8 30 3 1 38

Secondary

Total Outstanding Good RI Inadequate Total Good or Inspected Outstanding 3 0 3 0 0 3 School Performance

Primary 2017: 2016 attainment data (District rankings are in brackets)

Good Level 2017 2016 Development (GLD) / 2017 GLD 2016 GLD Phonics Phonics Year 1 Phonics (%) Sevenoaks 77.8 (3) 76.9 (3) 81.9 (8) 81.5 (8) Kent LA - All Schools 74.3 74.9 82.1 81.6 National 70.7 81.2 School Performance - KS1

Primary 2017: 2016 attainment data (District rankings are in brackets)

KS1 - reaching or exceeding 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 expected 2016 Maths Reading Reading Writing Writing Maths standard EXS+ (%) Sevenoaks 81.8 (3) 83.0 (1) 75.1 (2) 74.9 (3) 79.7 (4) 81.3 (3) Kent LA - All 78.8 78.2 72.3 71.3 78.4 77.5 Schools National 75.5 68.2 75.1 School Performance – KS2 Primary: 2017: 2016 Key Stage 2 attainment data (District rankings are in brackets) Reading Maths RWM Writing GPS Achieving Achieving Working Expected Achieving 2017 KS2 (%) Expected Expected Expected Standard+ Expected Standard Standard Standard (TA) Standard (test) (test) Sevenoaks 71.9 (1) 81.2 (1) 83.4 (5) 81.4 (1) 83.1 (1) Kent - All Schools 64.4 74.2 80.4 75.7 76.0 National 61.0 71.0 76.0 75.0 77.0

Reading Maths RWM Achieving Writing Achieving GPS 2016 KS2 (%) Working Expected Expected Expected Achieving Expected Standard Standard+ Standard Expected Standard (test) (TA) (test) Standard Sevenoaks 65.1 (1) 76.4 (1) 80.4 (5) 77.6 (1) 79.5 (1) Kent - All Schools 58.1 69.2 80.0 71.3 72.5 School Performance – KS4

Trend Data Kent LA State funded schools % Entered for English English for Entered % No of Pupils at end of of end at Pupils of No KS4 8 Score Attainment Score 8 Progress or C Achieving % and English in above maths or C Achieving % (2017 English in above 5+) reflects figure C grade a Achieving % in above or mathematics Baccalaureate English Achieving % Baccalaureate 5+ A*-C Achieving % and English including maths 2015 16,124 48.3 - 59.8 70.4 66.6 41.6 26.5 57.4 2016 15,727 50.3 -0.04 63.7 76.2 68.1 43.3 29.5 59.0 2017 15,335 47.1 63.2 61.3 50.9 42.9 27.4 59.9 Orchards Academy 82 40.9 0.19 37 34.1 10 20 Knole Academy 226 41.3 -0.20 57 47.8 19 28

• Due to changes in Key Stage 4 reporting arrangements, 2017 outcomes are not directly comparable with previous years. Attendance Data

% of Pupils who % Authorised % Unauthorised % Total Primary have missed 10% or Absences Absences Absences more sessions (6) Sevenoaks 3.1 1.0 4.1 9.0 North Kent 3.0 1.2 4.2 9.5 Kent 3.0 1.1 4.1 8.7 3.0 1.1 4.0 8.3

% of Pupils who % Authorised % Unauthorised % Total Secondary have missed 10% or Absences Absences Absences more sessions (6) Sevenoaks 3.1 1.0 4.1 9.0 North Kent 3.6 1.4 5.0 12.3 Kent 4.1 1.5 5.6 14.6 ENGLAND 3.8 1.5 5.4 13.5 Q & A

• Questions?