Chapter 3 Parties and Party Systems Change
Chapter 3 Parties and Party Systems Change Lise Storm 1. Introduction This chapter examines parties and party system change across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) since the eruption of the Arab Spring in December 2010. Hence, the discussion begins with an overview of the parties and party systems in the region on the eve of the Arab Spring, thereby providing a quick introduction to the cases as well as a benchmark against which to measure change, while also anchoring the analysis in the theoretical framework outlined previously in chapter 1. The units of analysis are the region’s parties and party systems and, more specifically, change to these units. That is, change within countries, the MENA as a region as well as MENA sub-regions and, finally, within groups of regimes. In short, the analysis is concerned with variance among and within countries, and the extent to which change has occurred, whether positive or negative. Given the focus on change, it is, of course, necessary to define how change is understood and measured here. In line with the so-called classic studies of parties and party systems, such as Sartori (1976) and Mair (1989; 1997), party system change is determined via indicators such as the effective number of parties, electoral volatility and the entry of new parties into the system. The analysis of the indicators of party system change is coupled with a discussion about empirical data on the political environment at election time and in the 1 immediate aftermath of the elections, including issues such as regime classification, rotation of power, coalition structures, prohibited parties, and societal cleavages.1 Hence, the emphasis is on (in)stability and on the structure and nature of competition in 2015 compared to that of 2010.
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