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NATIONAL EARLY WARNING and FOOD INFORMATION SYSTEM HIGHLIGHTS • Light Rains Received During October to November Were Not Signi

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NATIONAL EARLY WARNING and FOOD INFORMATION SYSTEM HIGHLIGHTS • Light Rains Received During October to November Were Not Signi NATIONAL EARLY WARNING AND FOOD INFORMATION SYSTEM Republic of Namibia AGRICULTURAL INPUTS AND HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY SITUATION REPORT DECEMBER 2009 HIGHLIGHTS Light rains received during October to November were not significant enough to trigger off ploughing activities....Despite the normal start of the 2009/2010 rain season; all regions visited have indicated that rainfall performance has been erratic, sporadic and insufficient enough to activate significant cultivations in the regions. At the time of this assessment, few farmers have started ploughing their crop fields, while the majority are still waiting for productive rains for them to get started. Delay on the delivery of essential inputs to various centres in the Kavango region may hamper production prospects. At the time of this assessment, delivery of improved seeds and fertilizer to various centres could not be carried out because prices for this season were not yet determined. The region have indicated that stocks for these inputs are available but could not deliver them to centres pending pricing information from the Ministry‟s headquarter Cases of Africa Swine Flu are still reported in some parts of the regions with the latest reports from Ongenga and Endola constituencies in the Ohangwena region. The majority of farmers are reported to have lost most of their pigs to this problem. Moreover, suspected case of Anthrax was reported in Onamagogani and Okapeleki village in Epembe constituency of the Ohangwena region where a certain person died after eating a meat from cattle suspected to have died from Anthrax. Household food security is tightening as most households are reported to have depleted their food stock last August. Transitory food insecurity was observed in most parts of the communal crop producing regions as the hunger season progresses. Most households interviewed indicated that they have depleted their harvest in last August and are currently dependent on the market and or government drought/flood relief food for food access. Compiled By: Namibia Early Warning and Food Information Unit NEWFIU) Directorate of Planning Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry Private Bag 13184, Windhoek. Telephone 264-61-2087662. Fax 264-61-2087767. Email: [email protected] OVERVIEW The National Early Warning & Food Information Unit (NEWFIU) in collaboration with the Directorate of Disaster Risk Management of the Office of the Prime Minister and the Meteorological Service of Namibia of the Ministry of Works and Transport carry out an assessment on Agricultural Inputs and Household Food Security in the six communal crop producing regions1 as from 30 November to 17 December 2009. The main purpose of this mission was to assess the overall agricultural inputs situation at household and regional levels and to find out as to what extend farmers are prepared for the just started 2009/2010 cropping season in terms of land preparation. Moreover the mission assessed changes in household food security, marketing of the 2009/2010 harvest, livestock and pasture conditions. The assessment team was split into two groups of which one group visited the Regional Council and was briefed by the Regional Governor/ Councillors who provided information among other things, current household food security as well as progress on the agricultural season. The other group visited the Regional Agricultural Extension Office and were briefed by the Chief Agricultural Extension Officer and Chief Extension Technicians. The two teams covered all the constituencies of the six crop producing regions. Information of each constituency was obtained from both primary (field observation & farmers‟ interviews) and secondary sources (agricultural extensionists, Regional Councillors, NGOs, Farmer‟s Organizations, Namibian Agronomic Board (NAB), Directorate of Veterinary Services, Local Traders, Traditional Authorities, etc). During the field visit in each constituency, the teams were brief by Agricultural Extension Technician who provided an overview of the agricultural situation in view of the upcoming crop season. The assessment team proceeded to the Office of the Councillor where they were briefed about the current household food security situation in light of the poor harvest received last season. These meetings were followed by field visits to three randomly selected households in each constituency for an interview. Interviews were also held with the formal and informal traders working in the area. This report however, gives an overview of the agricultural inputs and land preparation during the current cropping season, whilst reviewing the marketing problems experienced during the previous harvest. The report is aimed at providing the latest information to the government of the Republic of Namibia, International Organizations and other Institutions involved in humanitarian operation. Since conditions may change rapidly, please contact the NEWFIU for further information if required. 1 Crop producing regions included Caprivi, Kavango, Omusati, Ohangwena, Oshana and Oshikoto region 1 SADC REGION SEASONAL RAINFALL OUTLOOK (October 2009 – March 2010) The Thirteenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-13) Meteorologists and partners met in Harare, Zimbabwe as from the 26 to 27 August 2009 to formulate a consensus outlook for the 2009/2010 rainfall season over the SADC region. The rainfall prospects for the SADC region are presented below (Fig 1 & 2). The forum has also reviewed current and projected state of the global climate system and its implications for the SADC region. Among the principal factors considered included the evolving sea surface temperatures (SSTs) observed over the tropical Atlantic and Indian Ocean, the emerging El Niño-like conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean and atmospheric circulation processes. Figure 1: SADC October - December 2009 Rainfall Forecast Zone I: (Southwestern Angola and extreme northwestern Namibia) Increased chances of above-normal to normal rainfall Zone II: (Northern and western parts of Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), most of Angola, bulk of Namibia, most of South Africa, most of Botswana, western Lesotho, western parts Swaziland and southwestern Zimbabwe) Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall Zone III: South of Lake Victoria (Tanzania) Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall 2 Zone IV: (Southeastern DRC, most of Zambia, most of Tanzania, most of Mozambique, extreme eastern Angola, extreme northeastern parts of Namibia, northern Botswana, north and southeastern parts of Zimbabwe, western tip of Zimbabwe, extreme eastern parts of South Africa, eastern Lesotho, extreme northern part of Malawi and eastern parts of Swaziland) Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone V: (Central and southern Malawi, eastern Zambia and northern Mozambique) Increased chances above-normal to normal rainfall Zone VI: (Western parts of Madagascar) Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone VII: (Eastern and southern Madagascar) Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall Zone VIII: (Mauritius) Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall Figure 2: SADC January - March 2010 Rainfall Forecast Zone I: (Extreme western parts of Angola) Increased chances of above-normal to normal rainfall Zone II: (Most of Angola, most of central DRC, most of Tanzania, extreme southern Zambia, central and southern Malawi, extreme northern Botswana, northern half of Zimbabwe, central and northwestern parts of Mozambique) Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall 3 Zone III: (Extreme northern DRC) Increased chances of above-normal to normal rainfall Zone IV: (Extreme eastern Angola, southeastern DRC, the bulk of Zambia, northern Malawi, southern Tanzania and northern Mozambique) Increased chances of above-normal to normal rainfall Zone V: (Most of Madagascar) Increased chances of above-normal to normal rainfall Zone VI: (Southern Madagascar) Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone VII: (Most of Namibia, extreme south Angola, most of Botswana, southern Zimbabwe, southern Mozambique, South Africa, Swaziland and Lesotho) Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall Zone VIII: (Mauritius) Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall SEASONAL RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR NAMIBIA (October 2008 – March 2009) According to the Meteorological Services of Namibia the rainfall outlook for the period of October to December 2009 (fig 3) region 1 is expected to receive normal to below normal rainfall while region 2 is expected to receive below normal rainfall. Figure 3: October to December 2009 Rainfall Forecast Source: Meteorological Services of Namibia 4 In the second part of the season January to March 2010 (Fig. 4 below) the forecast indicates below normal rainfall over Namibia. Figure 4: January to March 2010 Rainfall Forecast Source: Meteorological Services of Namibia MARKETING INFORMATION Consumer Price Index (CPI) The monthly percentage change for the Consumer Price Index for Namibia as from January to October 2009 is presented below. Figure 5: Namibia Consumer Price Index Sources: National Planning Commission (NPC) 5 Based on the graph above, there has been a sharp decrease in both All Items Inflation and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverage from January to October 2009. This sharp decrease could be attributed to interest rate cut as well as reduction in International Oil prices which was the main drive force to rising inflation last year. Despite the impacts of world economic
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